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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Post Suspect Cases Possibly Not Being Reported - Event Date: June 12 2006

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    Posted: June 12 2006 at 7:47pm
DESCRIPTION Eleven children in a village in western Georgia are suffering from an unknown virus, a local news agency said Monday. The Novosti-Georgia agency said all children were students at a school in the village of Lekhaindravo and showed similar symptoms, including fever, headaches and vomiting. Georgian Rustavi-2 TV station earlier reported that three children with the worst symptoms had been hospitalized. Doctors are attempting to establish the nature of the disease, the news agency said."
 
Country: Georgia (Borders Russia and Turkey)
Suspect number of cases: 14

http://www.avianflutalk.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=9613
 
 
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MALACCA: Theresa Pauline Sarimuthu died of multiple causes. As well as pneumonia, the 17-year-old National Service trainee had a viral infection of the brain, which eventually spread to other parts of her body.
 
Country: Malaysia
Suspect Number of cases: 1

 
 
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The condition for pre-schoolers Suspect
Bird Flu improved
 
(2 year old) 
The condition for pre-schoolers suspect bird flu that was reconciled from RS Elisabeth on 7/6 Wednesday, began to improve
 
Country: Indonesia
Suspect Number of cases: 1
 
 
 
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ReadyMom had been keeping track

I'm still keeping that excel sheet on people who are mentioned as ill or have died. For Romania I have:

Date in News       Where                         Name/age/sex        Hospital                                         (1) 5/16/2006       Sita Buzaului, Romania    unknown/F/25    Bucharest
              
                                                        Notes: showing flu like symptoms
(2) 5/22/2006       Codlea, Romania               Unknown child     Matei Bals
(3) 5/22/2006       Codlea, Romania               Unknown child     Matei Bals
(4) 5/22/2006       Codlea, Romania               UK/M/31               Matei Bals
                                                       Notes: Father
(5) 5/22/2006       Codlea, Romania               UK/M/3             Matei Bals    
                                                        Notes: Son
(6) 5/22/2006       Codlea, Romania               UK/M/17               Matei Bals
                                                       Notes: teen who worked at the farm
(7) unknown        Codlea, Romania     'electrician'/M                     UK
                                                         Notes: worked at the farm                 

Country: Romania
Suspect Number of Cases: 7
 
 
 
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Human bird flu case reported in Shenzhen
*
 

The Centre for Health Protection has been notified of a suspected human case of avian influenza in Shenzhen.

 The 31-year-old man developed fever and pneumonia on June 3. He is in critical condition.

 It was reported that he visited a wet market where live chickens were on sale. The centre is seeking more information on the case.

 
Country: China
Suspect Number of Cases: 1
 
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Update on Avian Influenza

Eight countries have confirmed the virulent H5N1 in poultry. These are Nigeria, Egypt, Niger, Cameroon, Burkina Faso, Sudan, Ivory Coast and Djibouti.

To date, Egypt and Djibouti are the two countries in Africa that have reported human cases of Avian Influenza

In Niger, authorities have started culling of birds in the southeast Niger to stop the spread of the deadly H5N1 strain of bird flu. The operation focused on the area of Boko Mai Gao, where avian influenza was detected for the first time last week

Within the Mano River Union countries, there are no reports of bird flu or massive deaths of poultry within the sub-region and in Liberia. A Nationwide surveillance and the formation of County Task Force have been established in all the fifteen counties in Liberia. The last counties to be visited were Montserrado, Margibi, Bomi, Gbarpolu and Grand Cape Mount counties. All meetings were successful except in Robertspot, Grand Cape Mount County, was said to have been low

Countries: Nigeria, Egypt, Niger, Cameroon, Burkina Faso, Sudan, Ivory Coast and Djibouti.
 
Suspect Number of Cases: 0
 
 
 
 
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Turkey Accuses Nations of Hiding Bird Flu


By SUZAN FRASER
The Associated Press

ANKARA, Turkey - Turkey's agriculture minister accused several neighboring countries Friday of concealing bird flu outbreaks and hampering efforts to prevent the spread of the disease.

Preliminary tests indicate that 21 people in Turkey have been infected with the deadly H5N1 strain of bird flu, including four children who died.

The country has reported confirmed or suspected H5N1 outbreaks in poultry in 26 provinces, including areas a few miles away from the borders with Armenia, Iran, Iraq, Syria and Georgia. Turkey also borders Bulgaria and Greece.

"We know through unofficial channels that the disease exists ... in neighboring countries, which are ruled by closed regimes," Agriculture Minister Mehdi Eker said during a meeting with governors of Turkey's 81 provinces. "These countries do not officially declare the existence of the disease." He did not name the countries.

January 20, 2006 7:29 AM

http://www.phillyburbs.com/pb-dyn/news/94-01202006-600468.html

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6/14/06
 
Indonesia: Suspected of being affected by Bird Flu, three Meninggal

Banda Lampung, Kompas

In three successive days, from Friday (9/6) up to Sunday (11/6), three children from one family died. It is believed they died from AI because of the surrounding environment included the repeated deaths of poultry.

"But we were still continuing to try to find out the cause of the death of three children."
Because of these deaths and characteristics cluster related to chicken deaths  Ayla Kayrus, the Section Head the Prevention and Observation of the Lampung Illness of the Health Service was contacted per the telephone, on Tuesday (13/6).

Ayla said, Yudha (4) died on Friday (9/6) about 0900
His twin Yudhi (4) died on Saturday (10/6) about 1600.

Both of them died in their house in the Sweet Pandanus Village, the Village of the Pawpaw Gutter, the Wonosobo Subdistrict, the Tanggamus Regency.

The older brother, Misyani (5) died in RS Abdul Moeloek (RSAM) Banda Lampung Hospital, on Sunday (11/6) about 1720.

"Because the twins died in the house, the team survailance from the Community Health Centre and the Health Service of Tanggamus could not take the example of blood from either of them."

But the sample of Misyani’s blood could be taken, said Ayla.

The head of the Medical RSAM Service Field, Arief Effendi, that was contacted was separated said according to parents's story of the three casualties, in the environment around the house the death of the poultry could happen twice, to be precise around two months and half of the previous month.

However the hospital side still could not confirm the three of them died because of bird flu.
Results of the sample of Masyani's blood in fact showed the existence of the respiratory tract infection, not bird flu.
With the occurrence of this case, the Lampung Health Service continued to carry out the monitoring and to remind the community around to guard the cleanliness of the environment.
"Today the service of province livestock breeding sprays the location of the case and carries out investigation," he said.


http://www.kompas.com/utama/news/0606/13/163002.htm
 
Country: Indonesia
 
Suspect Number of Cases: 3
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Romania Will Control Bird Flu Situation by Mid July: Romania’s PM

 14 June 2006 | 19:22 | FOCUS News Agency



Bucharest. By mid July Romania will have got the bird flu outbreak under control, Romania’s Prime Minister Calin Popescu Tariceanu stated cited by Greek TV station Antenna.
According to the Prime Minister by then all the bird flu foci will have been brought under control. Calin Popescu Tariceanu said the experts have managed to avert the transmission of the disease to humans. He announced that 29 people are being investigated with regard to the second outbreak of the virus in the country.

 

Country: Romania

Suspect Number of Cases: 29

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote pugmom Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2006 at 4:29pm
Ponygirl--wow, I have to congratulate you on your great cataloging of events.  Thanx so much.  You are very organized and really help us out alot.  Sorry for the duplicated posting on the new cluster in Indo--it is Dr. Niman's latest take on the matter.  keep up the good work!
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Hi PM. If Dr Niman is talking we are listening. And I ALWAYS read those posts.
 
The cataloging of events is the only way to keep the cases straight in my head. Some of these may not be BF but we need some proof that WHO and the rest of the Globalist boobs are not reporting these suspected cases.
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Hi back to you PG.  Readymom used to do alot of cataloging too, but you have a much more global approach and one gets the big picture more readily.  Very much appreciated by all of us here.
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Reporter Hospitalized in Bandung With H5N1 Bird Flu Symptoms

Recombinomics Commentary

June 15, 2006

the Spreading Reporter of the Time newspaper the Setiabudi Echo was treated in the Handsome Sadikin Hospital (RSHS), Bandung because of being suspected of being attacked by bird flu .Spreading that was assigned in Tasikmalaya, West Java was brought to RSHS, on Wednesday (14/6) around struck 23.00 WIB with the high and breathless fever complaint. The temperature of the Spreading body also achieved 39 Celcius levels. After doing the inspection, the doctor referred Spreading was treated in isolation space. Spreading felt the high fever was accompanied breathless since Saturday set and at that point he only underwent treated the road. However because the illness it was felt never will recover Spreading immediately was brought to RSHS. two weeks set, Spreading could cover the funeral of bird flu casualties and the extermination of the positive poultry was infected by bird flu.

The above translation indicates that a reported covering an earlier H5N1 bird flu case in Bandung has now developed symptoms and has been hospitalized with a high fever and breathing difficulties.  Symptoms began on Saturday and hospitalization was on Wednesday.

There have been
clusters of bird flu cases in Bandung as well as much of the region in western Java.  In addition, nurses in the hospital in Bandung also developed symptoms. Initial tests on the health care workers were negative, but more reliable antibody tests could not be run until later in the month.

Although most reports mention some link with birds, the H5N1 isolated from patients have a novel cleavage site that does not match the bird isolates, raising questions about the origin of the infections as well as ease of transmission.

In the past, the clusters have generally involved family members with close contact to the index case or other family members.  Confirmation of H5N1 in the reporter would indicate that H5N1 transmission was becoming more efficient, since poultry contacts would likely have been minimal.
 
 
Country: Indonesia
 
Suspect Number of Case 1 possibly more
 

 
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Commentary
 

Neurological Complications in H5N1 Patient in Medan Sumatra

Recombinomics Commentary

June 15, 2006

After being stated recovered from bird flu, JG must reside in the hospital and might not come home. He the diagnosis suffered the infection in and around the brain. If being forced to come home, JG could be suddenly unconscious.

"There were the infection and the clump of pus in and around his brain," said the Co-ordinator Tim the Handling of Adam's Hospital Bird Flu the Medan Owner, Adlin Adnan in Medan, on Thursday morning (15/6). This infection was known after being done pemindaian against JG. "The temperature of his body also was not yet stable," said Adlin.

This hospital, said Adlin, will coordinate with the Hospital of Sulianti Saroso Jakarta to memperlajari the patient's relations recovered bird flu and the brain infection. According to Adlin, the case that was suffered by JG was classified as rare and first happened in Sumatra.

The above translation indicates that the sole survivor of the H5N1 bird flu cluster near Medan, north Sumatra, has neurological involvement.  Neurological involvement of H5N1 has been associated with PB2 E627K.  This polymorphism is found in
all human isolates that are H1, H2, or H3.  PB2 in H5N1 has been associated with neurological problems in mammals.  Mice infected with H5N1 have neurological involvement and E627K has been found in brain isolates.  Similarly, tigers in Thailand infected with H5N1 have neurological symptoms and E627K.  E627K has also been found in H5N1 from cats and dogs.  Experimental ferrets infected with H5N1 with E627K have hind leg paralysis.

PB2 E627K is also associated with increased activity at lower temperatures (33 C), which would increase levels in the nose and throat of humans.  Declan Butler
reported that cases in northern Sumatra had increased levels of H5N1 in their nose and throat, suggesting the H5N1 from these patients had E627K.  This change was found in H5N1 (A/Indonesia/6/2005) from the second confirmed case in Indonesia (see phylogenetic tree), suggesting E627K is also in the north Sumatra cases.  Isolates from these cases also have an H5N1 wild type cleavage site, RERRRKKR, which was also present in the above examples of neurological involvement.

Neurological involvement of H5N1 is cause for concern.  The effectiveness of neuraminidase inhibitors such as Tamiflu is unclear.  In addition, the isolates from Sumatra are amantadine resistant, further limiting treatment options.  This complication creates additional concerns linked to an H5N1 pandemic, which could significantly impact treatment centers and anti-viral stockpiles.
 
 
Country: Indonesia
Suspect Number of Cases: 1 (from the N Sumatra lcuster)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jhetta Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 16 2006 at 9:12am
PonyGirl,
 
Nice information.... Dates and links for every article or excerpt posted would be very helpful.
 
It is easy to get the regions mixed up if you are not familiar with the countries and the history of animal infections in these countries.
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WSJ
Avian Flu News Tracker
June 16, 2006 11:42 a.m.

Updated regularly with news on avian-flu precautions, research and outbreaks. All times EST.

Friday, June 16

11:05 a.m.: The Indonesian government admitted that its bird-flu campaign has failed to increase public awareness of the disease, the Jakarta Post reported.

%5bMap%5d

10:45 a.m.: Two journalists are suspected of having H5N1. A reporter for the Indonesian newspaper Tempo was thought to be infected with H5N1 after covering a mass cull of flu-infected poultry, Indonesian officials told the Jakarta Post. A second journalist, working for Indonesian daily publication RES, was thought to have H5N1 after attending a bird-flu victim's funeral, the state Antara news agency reported.

10 a.m.: Neurological tests including an MRI are being performed on the sole survivor of the Indonesian family cluster, Bloomberg reported, to determine if he's suffering from a brain infection as a result of contracting H5N1. Diseases involving the central nervous system have been associated with influenza in humans, the report said, but, if tests show Jones Ginting has such an infection, it would be one of the first from avian flu.

3 a.m.: A recent bird-flu case involving a man in southern China may indicate that the H5N1 virus has mutated so that the infection risk is as high in summer as in winter, Hong Kong Health Chief York Chow said. He also cautioned that the human case may indicate a "silent infection" among poultry, Chinese business newspaper "The Standard" reported.

5:15 a.m.: A 14-year-old Indonesian boy died of bird flu, the country's health ministry said, marking the latest in a flurry of cases in the sprawling nation. The boy, who died on Wednesday in a Jakarta hospital, had come into contact with dead chickens, said Health Ministry official Nyoman Kandun. If the case is confirmed by an international laboratory, Indonesia's human death toll from bird flu would rise to at least 39.

Thursday, June 15

3:30 p.m.: Scientists in Hong Kong have found that avian-flu viruses are more likely to trigger a destructive immune-system overreaction than ordinary flu viruses, the University of Minnesota's Center for Infection Disease Research and Policy reported. Such a response is known as a "cytokine storm," which means an overabundance of cytokines, or messenger proteins. Further, the scientists found that the H5N1 strain produced higher levels of certain cytokines in adults than in newborn babies. It has been suggested that cytokine storms played a role in the high death rate in the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic. The scientists' finding are slated to be reported in the July 1 issue of the Journal of Infectious Diseases.

12:05 p.m.: Hong Kong has issued a three-week ban on live poultry and birds from the Chinese mainland following Beijing's confirmation of an H5N1-infected man in Shenzen, Kyodo News reported. A Hong Kong health official cited a lack of detailed information on the case.

11:40 a.m.: Wildlife biologists this week began testing migratory birds in Maine for bird flu. Until now, most of Maine's bird-flu monitoring was focused on the state's commercial poultry flocks. When testing wild birds, the birds will be captured, swabbed and released unharmed, a biologist from Maine's Department of Inland Fisheries and Wildlife said; the samples will be tested for several dozen strains of bird flu. Maine's Center for Disease Control also opened its seasonal hotline for residents to report dead birds. Last month, scientists began testing wild birds in Alaska, considered the "Grand Central Station" of migration. See a map of major migratory routes.

9:05 a.m.: China confirmed that a 31-year-old man from the southern city of Shenzen has H5N1. That brings the country's total human infections to 19, of which 12 have been fatal.

2 a.m.: A seven-year-old girl who died in Indonesia earlier this month was suffering from bird flu, international tests have confirmed, bringing the country's death toll from the virus to at least 38. The girl's brother also died showing symptoms of the virus, but was buried before tests were taken, the health ministry said earlier this month. More.

Wednesday, June 14

3:15 p.m.: Half a million times a year -- about once every minute -- ambulances carrying sick patients are turned away from full emergency rooms and sent to others farther away, the Institute of Medicine reported. The U.S. emergency-care system is "at its breaking point," the IOM reported. The report found that most hospitals don't even have the capability to handle a school-bus crash, nevermind a bird-flu epidemic or terrorist strike. "If you can barely get through the night's 911 calls, how on earth can you handle a disaster?" asked report co-author Arthur Kellerman, Emory University's emergency medicine chief. More.

11:45 a.m.: A Chinese man in the southern city of Shenzen locally tested positive for H5N1, the government said, but the diagnosis must be confirmed by China's Ministry of Health and WHO. The 31-year-old truck driver, identified only by his surname Jiang, is in critical condition. The man had no contact with live birds before the disease, but two weeks ago, he and four family members had eaten a freshly slaughtered chicken that his wife had bought at a local market and cooked at home, the official Xinhua news agency reported. He developed symptoms of fever, coughing and a back pain soon thereafter. No other family members showed bird-flu symptoms, but were put under observation.

Tuesday, June 13

3 p.m.: The Indonesian government has a tall task ahead of it in convincing Indonesians that bird flu is a viable threat. In the north Sumatra district of Karo, a group calling themselves the "Anti Bird Flu Rumours Coalition" protested the government's plan to randomly cull poultry after seven people died in the first family cluster of bird flu, the Ankara news service reported. The group slaughtered and ate five chickens and one man even ate a raw chicken's gall to prove that the poultry was healthy. Two weeks earlier, the AP reported that the one survivor of that family cluster -- also infected with H5N1 -- had refused treatment and his relatives snubbed protective masks and gloves when visiting him. The man has since made a full recovery and no other family members have fallen ill.

11:25 a.m.: A Chinese man suspected of having bird flu is in critical condition in the southern city of Shenzen, the Hong Kong government reported. Shenzen is a Chinese boomtown just across the mainland border from Hong Kong; it is a popular shopping and business destination for Hong Kongers. The 31-year-old man reportedly visited a market where live chickens were on sale, the Center for Health Protection said in a statement, and then on June 3 developed a fever and pneumonia. China has reported 12 bird-flu deaths; it has been a month since the last fatality, the official Xinhua News Agency on Monday quoted Chinese Health Ministry spokesman Mao Qun'an as saying.

10:45 a.m.: Ukraine reported its first outbreak of H5N1 in domestic poultry. The outbreak occurred in the village of Peski in the Sumy region near capital Kiev. The former Soviet state said it would take up to two days to cull the thousands of domestic poultry that must be destroyed.

1 a.m.: Dutch pharmaceutical giant Akzo Nobel NV said its animal-health unit Intervet has developed a prototype vaccine that can be applied to large avian populations to protect them against bird flu and Newcastle Disease. The new vaccine is delivered by spray instead of injection, though it hasn't yet been tested. Field trials are scheduled for next year. "The prototype combines the efficacy of the present vaccines with a mass application tool and could prove invaluable in helping to quickly protect large numbers of birds, which currently have to be injected individually," Akzo Nobel said.

1 a.m.: Indonesia's fight against bird flu is underfunded and poorly coordinated, the World Bank said, urging the Indonesian government to be more aggressive in culling fowl in infected areas. Indonesia has said it will need $900 million over the next three years to fight H5N1. More.

Monday, June 12

4 a.m.: The WHO and the Chinese government said they were setting up a center to boost cooperation in fighting emerging infectious diseases such as SARS and influenza. The center will be opened Tuesday at the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Guangzhou, Guangdong province, and will serve as a liaison between the WHO and the Guangdong disease control facility, with the aim of increasing information-sharing between China and the rest of the world.

Previous Bird Flu News Trackers

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60 Students and Teachers Develop Febrile Illness in Mizhi County (Shaanxi)
-----------------------------------------------
Students and teachers at Liujiamao Primary School in Qiaohecha
Village, Mizhi County, Shaanxi Province have been coming down with
febrile illness since 12 Jun 2006. As of yesterday [Sun 18 Jun 2006],
there were already 33 students with febrile illness. Three teachers
also became infected. After receiving approval from the education
department, the school suspended classes from 14 Jun 2006.

Another 30 students at Qiaohecha Central Primary School, not far from
Liujiamao Primary, have also developed febrile symptoms, and one
teacher has been infected. Based on reports, ill students are
concentrated in the pre-school class which has now also suspended classes.

At the Pediatrics Department of Mizhi County Hospital, an attending
physician explained that based on available information, it appears
that most students developed respiratory infections because of the
high temperature and dry air. A smaller portion of students are
suffering from mumps and whooping cough. This is due to poor rural
health care and the fact that parents do not get required
immunizations for their children.

According to Director Chang Xianzhang of the Mizhi County Center for
Disease Control, the outbreak among students in Qiaohecha Village is
basically under control. From analysis of symptoms, the preliminary
determination is acute viral influenza. Because health care in the
county is limited, no lab tests have been carried out on the virus,
and the identity of the pathogen is not yet known.

--
Dan Silver
<dgsilver@yahoo.com>

[Any of several common respiratory pathogens could be responsible for
this outbreak of febrile illness. However, it is late in the season
for an outbreak of human (seasonal) influenza, and the contagious
nature of the illness makes H5N1 avian influenza virus an unlikely
candidate. Indeed, the association of the outbreak with dry air
conditions suggests involvement of a pathogen not propagated by
airborne transmission. ProMED-mail would welcome further information
from informed sources in the region.

The translator has stressed that the location of the outbreak is in
the province of Shaanxi, which should not be confused with the
similarly named Shanxi province. The 2 provinces are adjacent in
north central China. Shaanxi is the more southerly; their locations
can be viewed at
<http://www.fao.org/AG/aGL/swlwpnr/reports/y_ea/z_cn/en/image_e/a2.htm>.
- Mod.CP]
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 21 2006 at 4:15pm

oops

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" From analysis of symptoms, the preliminary
determination is acute viral influenza. Because health care in the
county is limited, no lab tests have been carried out on the virus,
and the identity of the pathogen is not yet known. "
 
-Why the h*ll not??? Regardless if health care in the
county is limited, they could request help...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote bellabecky Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 21 2006 at 6:05pm
A few days ago I saw an article that said the last girl to pass from BF, her brother passed, was tested and the results were negative. But after her death they tested her lung tissue and it tested positive. That could also lead to cases not being reported. If they get false negatives, they might just think the people died from pnemonia. I have no medical background, is it too difficult to get a culture of lung tissue from a living person to test?
    
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NEIGHBOR TO CHINA &  INDO!
 
More than 25 children have died of suspected encephalitis in Bihar, India in the past few days. The dead in the Muzaffarpur district of Bihar reported sudden light fever in the early morning and then bouts of unconsciousness and convulsion before their death. The Muzaffarpur district administration has sounded a high alert to check the spread of the killer disease after doctors confirmed the deaths of the children due to suspected encephalitis. Muzaffarpur-based S.K. Medical College and Hospital superintendent G.K. Thakur has urged health experts to visit Muzaffarpur to study the cause of spread of the disease and preventive measures. The World Health Organization (WHO) has also expressed serious concern over the recurrence of encephalitis in Muzaffarpure. This is the third time in seven years that encephalitis has hit Muzaffarpur. Last year over 30 children died of the disease in the district.
 
6/21/06
 
 
 
Country: India
 
Suspect Number of Cases: 25 children.
 
 
Map:http://instructional1.calstatela.edu/bevans/art101/art101b-0-india/WebPage-ImageF.00001.jpeg
 
 
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 Influenza-like illness (ILI) in the general population (FluWatch national case definition): Acute onset of respiratory illness with fever and cough and with one or more of the following - sore throat, arthralgia, myalgia, or prostration which could be due to influenza virus. In children under 5, gastrointestinal symptoms may also be present. In patients under 5 or 65 and older, fever may not be prominent.
 

Severe ILI may include complications such as: pneumonia, Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), encephalitis and other severe and life threatening complications requiring hospitalization or resulting in death of otherwise healthy individuals.
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One link is posted above.
 
Here is the disease description link:
 
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http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory?id=2104850

Not only not being reported but also misdiagnosed:

By MARILYNN MARCHIONE AP Medical Writer

Jun 21, 2006 (AP)— Chinese scientists said Wednesday that a man initially thought to have SARS actually died of bird flu in November 2003

(Edited to add link)


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Topic: WHO pleads for calm in Zambia
    Posted: Today at 7:06am

Lusaka - The World Health Organization (WHO) on Thursday appealed for calm in Zambia as laboratory tests on possible presence of the avian influenza were carried out on scores of wild birds that died in unknown circumstances in the Southern province.

Provincial health authorities, meanwhile issued an appeal to people who ate the dead birds to immediately report to health centers for medical examinations.

Southern Province chief health officer Gardener Siakantu said there was urgent need for such people to be examined and monitored even before the laboratory tests were concluded.

WHO country representative Stella Anyangwe said it would be premature to speculate that the birds died of the feared H5N1 flu virus.

 
The rest of the article can be read at the following link
 
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Ponygirl - great research. It has been difficult to keep up and maintain life outside this forum. Already I find myself spending 3-4 hours a day doing research in addition to my profession. Your topic thread reminds me of a constant nagging question for me. What happened to the Alaskan test results? Theoretically we are in full swing with samples being sent down to a lab nearby, and thousands of tests being run. Often in the follow up, after the follow up, it turns out the H5N1 is positive. By this time it has passed into secondary websites and is not mainstream news.

How many birds in the Alaskan test were positive for the lesser virulent form of Avian?
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Originally posted by bellabecky bellabecky wrote:

A few days ago I saw an article that said the last girl to pass from BF, her brother passed, was tested and the results were negative. But after her death they tested her lung tissue and it tested positive. That could also lead to cases not being reported. If they get false negatives, they might just think the people died from pnemonia. I have no medical background, is it too difficult to get a culture of lung tissue from a living person to test?
    


I am quite convinced that the number of fatalities due to H5N1 is in the tens of thousands.  Most countries have not reported their deaths. Georgia is a perfect example. They have had an ongoing outbreak there that has claimed dozens of people (mostly school students), yet, no fatalities have ever been reported to the WHO.  The kids die just the same.

India probably has 20,000 fatalities or more, but they have all "died from other reported illnesss, including "Mystery Illness."
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Oisanatta Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 01 2006 at 8:51am
Originally posted by JoeNeubarth JoeNeubarth wrote:

Originally posted by bellabecky bellabecky wrote:

A few days ago I saw an article that said the last girl to pass from BF, her brother passed, was tested and the results were negative. But after her death they tested her lung tissue and it tested positive. That could also lead to cases not being reported. If they get false negatives, they might just think the people died from pnemonia. I have no medical background, is it too difficult to get a culture of lung tissue from a living person to test?
    


I am quite convinced that the number of fatalities due to H5N1 is in the tens of thousands.  Most countries have not reported their deaths. Georgia is a perfect example. They have had an ongoing outbreak there that has claimed dozens of people (mostly school students), yet, no fatalities have ever been reported to the WHO.  The kids die just the same.

India probably has 20,000 fatalities or more, but they have all "died from other reported illnesss, including "Mystery Illness."


Glad that I just read this now during the daytime and not right before trying to go to sleep.  Yikes!
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Most of the samples  in  Canada’s Wild Bird Influenza Survey 2006 will be collected after July 14th.
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Originally posted by PonyGirl PonyGirl wrote:

60 Students and Teachers Develop Febrile Illness in Mizhi County (Shaanxi)
-----------------------------------------------
, and the contagious
nature of the illness makes H5N1 avian influenza virus an unlikely
candidate.
 
 
Now there is some serious reasoning!
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Bird flu suspect hospitalized in Bucharest
Denisa Maruntoiu

A 25-year-old woman from the village of Sita Buzaului, Covasna County, was yesterday transferred to the Matei Blas Institute for Infectious Diseases in Bucharest, after she had been hospitalized in Covasna as she presented bird flu symptoms. 
The head of the Matei Blas Institute, Dr. Adrian Streinu Cercel, said the woman will be tested as soon as possible, as in her native village over 40 birds have died of bird flu.
All the birds belonged to the same family, who had bought them in April from an itinerant seller. Although all the birds had died by May 8, the villagers did not inform the authorities until May 15, after finding out about the new bird flu outbreak.
All the family members are now under medical surveillance as they have eaten chicken meat and raw eggs.

http://www.daily-news.ro/article_detail.php?idarticle=26365

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Oisanatta Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: July 01 2006 at 9:45pm
"BF Stream of Consciousness" would have been a great title for this thread.  Nothing like bouncing from here to there to nowhere to maybe somewhere with many of the posts.  Too much coffee???? Wacko
The only thing worse than a brutal lie is the brutal truth. (M Twain) I waited patiently for the LORD; He turned to me and heard my cry. He lifted me out of the pit; He set my feet on a rock. Psalm40
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Am not going to bother to explain my thought processes here.
 
This is for my own tracking purposes and it shouldnt require an explanation to you or anyone else.
 
 Maybe you should stick to your own posts where there isnt much bouncing going on.
 
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Unknown Disease Kills Three in Namibia

The Khomas Region of Namibia is in a state of panic as they grapple with an unknown ailment that has sickened nineteen and killed three. Health officials have reported that parts of two hospitals housing the sick are restricted until they learn more.

 

Guillain-Barre Syndrome, or GBS, a deadly disease that attacks the central nervous system, is suspected since the symptoms are similar, but it won't be known for sure until analysis on biological samples sent to South Africa is complete.

 

A senior health official said that "we can't say exactly what it is but we also do not want to sound alarm. People must stay calm for now."

http://www.shortnews.com/start.cfm?id=54719&rubrik1=Current%20Events&rubrik2=Fatalities&rubrik3=All&sort=1&start=1
 
 
Country: Africa
 
Number of Suspected cases: 22
 
Note:
 

Causes
Guillain-Barre syndrome is not hereditary or contagious. What causes GBS is not known; however, in about half of all cases the onset of the syndrome follows a viral or bacterial infection, A small number of cases have been known to occur after a medical procedure, such as minor surgery.

Expectations (prognosis)    Return to top

Recovery can take weeks or years. Most people survive and recover completely. According to the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, about 30 percent of patients still have some weakness after 3 years. Mild weakness may persist for some people.

A patient's outcome is most likely to be very good when the symptoms go away within 3 weeks after they first started (onset).

 
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That South African Lab is the one where all samples are sent from third world countries.  You almost NEVER hear the results of the tests.

I am still waiting to hear the results on the samples taken from the doctors and nurses who came down with "Crimean Congo Hemorrhagic Fever" (CCHF) in Pakistan.  The hospital staff that died were treating a host of patients who had pneumonia like illness in their hospital.


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New Poliomyelitis Cases -- Nambia

 
Source: Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and World Health Organization (WHO)
 
June 14, 2006

The World Health Organization (WHO) reported that as of June 7, 2006 thirty-four suspect cases with sudden paralysis are under investigation, mostly in the Windhoek area of Namibia, of which three have been confirmed as wild poliovirus. What is thought to be the first case is a 39-year old man with onset of paralysis on May 8, later confirmed as infected with wild poliovirus type-1. The majority of suspect cases are over 20 years old; seven of the individuals have died.

National health authorities are planning a response to an outbreak of wild poliovirus in Namibia, polio-free since 1996. An investigation of the outbreak – which unusually appears to be affecting mostly adults – is currently under way. Genetic sequencing confirms that the virus is consistent with an importation from Angola, of Indian origin. Angola, polio-free since 2001, was re-infected last year by a virus from India.

The Government is planning an immunization response consisting of three National Immunization Days (NIDs), using monovalent oral polio vaccine type 1 (mOPV1). The first NID could be conducted as early as June 21, and will aim to reach the entire population of the country (two million), rather than the usual under-five year population. The age of any further cases will dictate the target age groups for the two subsequent NIDs. An international team is in the country to assist the national authorities.

Namibia began routine immunization for polio in 1990. While the cause of the largely adult outbreak is yet to be determined, it is likely that those who fell ill did not receive immunization as children. Routine immunization coverage within Namibia today varies by region from 60% to 80%.

Polio
Poliomyelitis (polio) is a highly infectious disease caused by a virus. The transmission is fecal to oral and it most often affects children under the age of 5. Symptoms initially are fever, fatigue, headache, vomiting, stiffness in the neck and pain in the limbs. It invades the nervous system and can cause total paralysis in a matter of hours. 1 in 200 infections leads to irreversible paralysis or acute flaccid paralysis (AFP). Among those paralyzed, 5 – 10 % die when their breathing muscles become paralyzed.

Treatment of polio is supportive care only. While there is no cure for polio, it CAN BE PREVENTED by vaccination.

Polio Eradication
Experience in polio eradication demonstrates that outbreaks can be quickly contained with high quality immunization campaigns which reach every child under five years old. Efforts and education are ongoing to provide the above mentioned immunizations.
Global eradication efforts (The Global Polio Eradication Initiative was launched in 1988) have reduced the number of polio cases from 350,000 annually in 1988 to 1,267 cases in 2004. Namibia is the most recent of sixteen polio-free countries that have reported cases of polio since the epidemic began.

References: The World Health Organization (WHO), the Centers for Disease Control & Prevention (CDC)

Vaccination Recommendations

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), the government of Saudi Arabia now requires documented proof of up-to-date polio immunization for all persons less than 15 years of age entering Saudi Arabia from countries where wild polio virus is being reported.

As of August 19, 2005, the currently affected countries as listed by WHO are:

Afghanistan, Angola, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d’Ivoire, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Guinea, India, Indonesia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Sudan, and Yemen.

Travelers must meet the new requirement and receive mandatory vaccination at Saudi Arabian border points. This includes travel for the Hajj or Umrah. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) also reminds travelers of the importance of current polio and other routine immunizations prior to travel, regardless of destination.

Infants and Children
Because OPV is no longer recommended for routine immunization in the United States, all infants and children should receive four doses of IPV at 2, 4, and 6–18 months of age, and 4–6 years of age. If accelerated protection is needed, the minimum interval between doses is 4 weeks, although the preferred interval between the second and third doses is 2 months. The minimum age for IPV administration is 6 weeks. Infants and children who have initiated the poliovirus vaccination series with one or more doses of OPV should receive IPV to complete the series. 

Adults 
Adults who are traveling to polio-endemic areas and are unvaccinated or whose vaccination status is unknown should receive IPV. Two doses of IPV should be administered at intervals of 4–8 weeks; a third dose should be administered 6–12 months after the second. If three doses of IPV cannot be administered within the recommended intervals before protection is needed, the following alternatives are recommended:

  • If >8 weeks is available before protection is needed, three doses of IPV should be administered at least 4 weeks apart.
  • If <8 weeks but >4 weeks is available before protection is needed, two doses of IPV should be administered at least 4 weeks apart.
  • If <4 weeks is available before protection is needed, a single dose of IPV is recommended.

The remaining doses of vaccine should be administered later, at the recommended intervals, if the person remains at increased risk for poliovirus exposure. 

Adults who are traveling to polio-endemic areas and have received a primary series with either IPV or OPV can receive another dose of IPV. For adults, available data do not indicate the need for more than a single lifetime booster dose with IPV. 

 

 
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On Saturday, July 22 2006 two pre-schoolers was suspected Be Hit By AISampel Blood in Send to the Lab Hongkong

TULUNGAGUNG-Community must continue to be on the alert against the plague of the virus avian influenza (AI) or bird flu.
That followed two pre-schoolers terbaring was sick that it was suspected was affected by this deadly virus.
Two unlucky children had the initials DA, was 5 years old, and NA, was 5 months old.
Both of them came from the Bandung Subdistrict.
Both of them were taken his blood to ascertain this assumption.
The sample of blood was brought to the Hall of the Health Laboratory (BLK) Surabaya and the Laboratory in Hong Kong.
That was revealed Kasubdin the Prevention and the Eradication of infectious diseases (P2PM) Dinkes Tulungagung, Bahrudin Budi Santoso yesterday.
According to him, the sample of blood of the two casualties was sent to Surabaya to last July 16.
And up until now his side does not yet get results of the test of the laboratory.
"We did not yet know whether positive or negative was affected by AI?"
Because results of the laboratory up until now do not yet come.
Usually results of the lab come four to one weeks.
That if his characteristics did not urge and have the testing hindrance and the sending, explained Bahrudin in his office yesterday.
The man that cheerful that said, originally the two children were treated in the community health centre because of contracting the high fever.
After being checked, they also were sick to his lungs.
Because of feeling suspicious, finally by the doctor was reconciled to RSUD Dr Iskak Tulungagung.
"Because of being suspected of having the affected indication of bird flu, finally was taken the sample of his blood and was sent to BLK Surabaya."
But up until now did not yet have results, added Bahrudin.
Apart from being waiting for the assurance of two children, his side also was waiting for results of the lab test of two other people who were sent beforehand.
That is that had the initials HOMEWORK, was 32 years old, and DAP aged 1.6 years.
They casualties's neighbour was killed that was stated positive bird flu, Tio Setiyaning Praise, 5, villagers Sukoharjo, the Bandung Subdistrict.
The "sample of blood of two people up until immediately was not yet known by results," he explained.
Till now, said Bahrudin, his side sent nine people of the sample of blood to Hong Kong.
But that was stated positive only one person, Tio Setyaning Praise.
"Because of that up until now we continue to stimulate prevention efforts and the spreading towards bird flu," he stated.
 
Country: Indonesia
 
Suspect Number of Cases: 2 deceased with more possible infections
 
 
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Thailand

Sun, July 23, 2006 : Last updated 0:10 am (Thai local time)
 
Avian influenza suspected after two dine on doves


Two cases of suspected bird flu in humans have been found in Uttaradit, one of the seven provinces declared a "red zone" by the Department of Livestock Development (DLD), a local health official said yesterday.

 
A 67-year-old man and his 35-year-old son-in-law were recently admitted to Uttaradit Provincial Hospital. They had developed symptoms similar to those caused by the bird-flu virus after eating spotted doves, said Dr Boonrieng Chuchaisaengrat, head of the provincial health office.

The men were transferred from Tha Pla District Hospital on Friday and detained at the provincial hospital, said Boonrieng.

Blood samples were collected from the two patients and sent for testing at the Northern Medical Science Centre in Pitsanulok. The results were expected in a few days, he added.

Panom Meesiriphan, chief of the province's livestock office, insisted that although there had been suspicious deaths of poultry in many districts, there had been no confirmed case of the H5N1 virus.

Despite declaring seven provinces bird-flu "red zones" the DLD's director-general Yukol Limlamthong said Thailand had not been hit by an outbreak of the virus.

"The red zone means the area has a high risk of becoming an infected

 
area, but it does not mean that it is already infected," said Yukol.

Besides Uttaradit, the other six red-zone provinces are Sukhothai, Pichit, Pitsanulok, Suphanburi, Nakhon Pathom and Kanchanaburi.

When the country recorded the first cases of bird flu between January and May 2004, the DLD used the term "red zone" to define the provinces that were hit by the virus.

The DLD's new definition of "red zone" has confused some medical practitioners. A source at the Disease Control Division said that for some doctors "red zone" meant an infected area. "Medical doctors believe the H5N1 virus has already arrived in Thailand, but no one wants to confirm it," said the source, who asked not to be named.

On Friday a leading virologist from Siriraj Hospital, Professor Prasert Thongcharoen, expressed doubt about the accuracy of official reports on bird flu. He said that in his experience when livestock officials said "no" it meant "yes".

Country: Thailand
 
Suspect Number of Cases: 2
 
 
 
Map:
 
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