Three "tshtf"scenario's:
3. (Limited) nuclear war. Now that North Korea and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) also have nuclear weapons, KSA may have used a small nuclear weapon in Yemen, it could be that in 2003 the US used a Neutron-bomb to take over Bagdad-airport, the chances for a nuclear war are increasing. Depleted uranium is used in US-shells, used in former Yugoslavia, Iraq. In Afghanistan (Bora-bora) the US may also have used nuclear-small-scale-weapons. This fact alone will cause an increase in cancercases. A large-scale nuclear war will mean that most people will die in the first few minutes of such a conflict.
2. Fukushima was not an incident. According to their own statistics Fukushima, Tjernobyl, Harrisburg etc. would not have happened. But the nuclear industry is only interested in money. Another large scale nuclear disaster will be here within 5 years. Nuclear plants are getting older, more expensive to run. Climate change, earthquakes etc, increase the risks. Nuclear polution is already a large problem. The "natural background radiation" is six times the level of the pre-nuclear age. With an older getting population-and the use of nuclear weapons-this also will cause a sharp rise in cancercases.
1. Climate change, global warming, is causing melt of ice and permafrost in polar regions. This means that methane-release is rising sharply. The "hockystick-model" may be to optimistic. Looking at earlier episodes in earths-history can be misleading. Since CO2, methane, temperature is rising in an unprecidented rate, further methane, temperature, sealevel etc. rise will also go much faster. Not in a diagonal-hockystick-way but in a vertical way.
Already in East Siberia methane-rates seem to be exploding. This will further escalate. In a "fire-triangle" you need fuel, oxygen and temperature to start a fire. Rapid temperature rise, more than enough fuel (methane) and the presence of oxygen may lead to large wildfires, possibly further escalation into massive methane explosions. Also the large scale release of methane in "burps" can cause earthquakes. In the worst-case scenario the Earth itself could explode.
At present the temperature rise is already giving problems in drinkingwater supply, food production, heat exhaustion. In the short term extreme weather will mean increasedchance for nuclear disaster and war. In the nearby future, proberbly before 2030, life on earth can become impossible for humans. The heating-up proces will than still further escalate-proberbly not to Venus-like circumstances-but to the earth becoming fuel for a "big-bang-explosive ending".
I hope these ideas all prove to be totally incorrect.
------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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