The Suicene....
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Printed Date: April 27 2024 at 4:54pm
Topic: The Suicene....
Posted By: Dutch Josh
Subject: The Suicene....
Date Posted: March 12 2023 at 5:21am
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[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/we-are-now-in-the-suicene.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/we-are-now-in-the-suicene.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/we-are-now-in-the-suicene.html ; We have left the Anthropocene. We are now functionally extinct and we look set to drag most, if not all life on Earth into extinction with us, as we keep appointing omnicidal maniacs who act in conflict with best-available scientific analysis. We are now in the Suicene. DJ, There have been warnings for climate change since the 19th century...[url]https://daily.jstor.org/how-19th-century-scientists-predicted-global-warming/[/url] or https://daily.jstor.org/how-19th-century-scientists-predicted-global-warming/ - https://daily.jstor.org/how-19th-century-scientists-predicted-global-warming/ ; But the road to understanding climate change stretches back to the tweed-clad middle years of the 19th century—when Victorian-era scientists conducted the first experiments proving that runaway CO2 could, one day, cook the planet. In other words, “ https://www.jstor.org/stable/25190619?mag=how-19th-century-scientists-predicted-global-warming" style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; line-height: inherit; color: rgb(171, 1, 1); text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer; transition: all 0.2s ease 0s; font-weight: 600; - global warming was officially discovered more than 100 years ago .” and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_climate_change_science#First_calculations_of_greenhouse_effect,_1896[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_climate_change_science#First_calculations_of_greenhouse_effect,_1896 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_climate_change_science#First_calculations_of_greenhouse_effect,_1896 DJ-Extreme weather events, (Ant)Arctic sea ice melt, glacier decline should not come as a surprise...There is no point blaming politics for the bad choices you have made... On top of-linked with-climate collapse we now face an out of control global healthcrisis...Starting wars only makes matters worse... Damage control-trying to buy time, slow down a collapse may still be possible and have some use...Somehow democracy did become democrazy...voting for politicians that deny problems as a "solution" for those problems... DJ-I wonder will we survive 2023....or will a mix of "extreme weather events"-now the "new normal", combined with lots of diseases, wars, hyperinflation end life on this planet.... Humans are able to be very creative, clever...still "clever mistakes" do a lot more damage than stupid mistakes...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Replies:
Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: March 20 2023 at 2:13am
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[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/sea-surface-temperature-at-record-high.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/sea-surface-temperature-at-record-high.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/sea-surface-temperature-at-record-high.html DJ-Record high sea(surface) temperature mean; -further break down of polar ice (both land and sea...more rain in (Ant)arctic regions, more wind erosion) -Stronger/more storms - lasting longer, very likely showing up in regions that do not see that kind of storms before (Pacific coast of Chile a.o.) -More extreme weather events, rain...so more flooding -More extreme temperatures We are moving further into a food crisis... DJ-Like climate collapse politics simply "does not look up" to ongoing pandemics, financial collapse...increased risk for nuclear war... If we do not change the way-we as humans-act we are killing ourselves high speed... There are LOTS of things we could/should do; -Decrease bio-hazards by decreasing meat production (Porc in China in "pig-flats" with 10 layers...) -Decrease fossil fuel use...less travel by car/plane -Decrease transport all kinds of diseases all over the world...(from insect in old tyres to infected animals) -Increase surveilance...In NL we may only see sequencing of CoViD in hospital cases...most older patients-with new variants starting spread in younger population... -Get realistic on risks....We are on our way to END !!! life....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 15 2023 at 2:56am
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[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/temperatures-rising-fast-march-2023.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/temperatures-rising-fast-march-2023.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/temperatures-rising-fast-march-2023.html ; Monthly Northern Hemisphere Land Temperature Anomaly Temperatures have been rising fast in March 2023. The image below shows the Monthly Northern Hemisphere Land Temperature Anomaly up to March 2023, with two trends added. The blue trend, based on Jan.1850-Mar.2023 NOAA data, points at a 3°C rise in 2032. The magenta trend, based on Oct.2010-Mar.2023 NOAA data, better reflects variables such as El Niño and sunspots, and illustrates how they could trigger a rise of more than 5°C in 2026. Anomalies are versus 1901-2000 (not versus pre-industrial). - The sea surface temperature between 60°South and 60°North has been above 21°C for a while, something that hasn't happened before in the NOAA record that started in 1981. Vast amounts of ocean heat are moving toward the Arctic. With further melting of sea ice and thawing of permafrost, the Arctic Ocean can be expected to receive more heat over the next few years, i.e. more heat from direct sunlight, more heat from rivers, more heat from heatwaves and more ocean heat from the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean.
Last year, North Atlantic sea surface temperatures reached a record high of 24.9°C in early September. The continuing rise of ocean heat threatens to trigger massive loss of sea ice (and loss of albedo) and eruptions of methane from the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean, as has been described many times before, such as in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/sea-surface-temperature-at-record-high.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this post, in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/02/dire-situation-gets-even-more-dire.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this post and in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/sea-surface-temperature-at-record-high.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this post . - This threatens to cause rapid destabilization of methane hydrates at the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean leading to explosive eruptions of methane, as its volume increases https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1875510021004297" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - 160 to 180-fold when leaving the hydrates, as illustrated by the above image.
Conclusion
A huge temperature rise thus threatens to unfold over the next few years, as illustrated by the image in the right. Altogether, the rise from pre-industrial to 2026 could be more than 18.44°C, potentially as early as in 2026.
Meanwhile, humans are likely to go extinct with a rise of 3°C and most life on Earth will disappear with a 5°C rise, as illustrated by the image below, from an analysis discussed in an https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/06/when-will-we-die.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - earlier post . See also [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/weve-been-warned-el-nino-watch-initiated-ag-industry-crosshairs[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/weve-been-warned-el-nino-watch-initiated-ag-industry-crosshairs - https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/weve-been-warned-el-nino-watch-initiated-ag-industry-crosshairs ; This week, the https://www.noaa.gov/news/what-to-watch-for-el-nino-likely-to-develop-summer" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(20, 112, 178); - Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released an El Niño Watch, indicating the increasing likelihood of the weather-altering phenomenon developing in the Pacific Ocean. If El Niño does form, it could result in heavy rainfall and heatwaves in specific regions across the globe, potentially causing disruptions in the agricultural industry. A watch is issued when conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño within the next six months. The Climate Prediction Center said probabilities have risen over the last month from 61% to 74% of an El Niño emerging between August and October. DJ, Sealevel rise is just one of many aspects of the present climate collapse. Food production now is in a danger zone...(made worse by bird flu at unseen levels). Australia did see another record storm recently... The increased risk of earthquakes (due to less ice-pressure pushing down land in many places; Greenland, Antarctica, Himalaya etc) does also increase risk of tsunami waves reaching polar regions further destroying sea ice/snow on low lying land... Like pandemics climate change is a very complex process. One factor being somewhat different may change the calculation/outcome... The "baked in" temperature rise-many experts think-is already that much the only option left is "limiting risks/buying time"...slowing down the collapse that is already going on... Still "politics" go for wars to "save the US$"....we have run out of time...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 15 2023 at 11:32pm
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April 16-and "we" are still around.... DJ-I think we face major crises but NEVER should give up hope... -In climate collapse one of my "hopes" was land-ice slipping into the Oceans (Greenland, Canada North, Antarctica) would do enough to cool the ocean water. A matter of amounts of how fast how much land-ice could slip into the ocean to become sea-ice... Even the best experts may not know how that process may work out...however warming of ocean water now is going that fast, decline of sea-ice also increasing. Eventough we are not in a BOE/Blue Ocean Event in the Arctic; less then 1 million km2 sea ice...The multi year sea ice is going down fast...quality of ice is decreasing. We have less ice longer-so even nordic waters can warm up longer... -The chances of "large methane burbs" is another big ? In general methane is released from the ocean floor in streams of small bubles. However (and I am not an expert) there may be a chance we could see (as a result of an earthquake, drilling etc) "larger bubbles"...The big bubbles may cause tsunami-like events... https://www.facebook.com/groups/198455902158792/user/1551696806/?__cft__[0]=AZVBWz91ab6o5XhDqEhBdeVriQ7VwWtm_Hh7pYohE8e5dEMGtqas1na-TP0T1-YgR1Op_lRg9DIOxuV4-Lt2ZxuPos6Ox37g9zNZKi7WRih4DgnTEmNNa2RFavK4na8TdCI1ps37Lm1Qw3qZb2_7p-BfBnkPmSkXUBhbeHpcrGkNmbsiqJ9xlAbwVL9V5Sttk4mdoB1I9icGA-ktQYN9qr9b&__tn__=-UC%2CP-y-y-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; outline: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: none; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.facebook.com/groups/198455902158792/?__cft__[0]=AZVBWz91ab6o5XhDqEhBdeVriQ7VwWtm_Hh7pYohE8e5dEMGtqas1na-TP0T1-YgR1Op_lRg9DIOxuV4-Lt2ZxuPos6Ox37g9zNZKi7WRih4DgnTEmNNa2RFavK4na8TdCI1ps37Lm1Qw3qZb2_7p-BfBnkPmSkXUBhbeHpcrGkNmbsiqJ9xlAbwVL9V5Sttk4mdoB1I9icGA-ktQYN9qr9b&__tn__=-UC%2CP-y-y-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; outline: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: none; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.facebook.com/groups/198455902158792/posts/617601123577599/?__cft__[0]=AZVBWz91ab6o5XhDqEhBdeVriQ7VwWtm_Hh7pYohE8e5dEMGtqas1na-TP0T1-YgR1Op_lRg9DIOxuV4-Lt2ZxuPos6Ox37g9zNZKi7WRih4DgnTEmNNa2RFavK4na8TdCI1ps37Lm1Qw3qZb2_7p-BfBnkPmSkXUBhbeHpcrGkNmbsiqJ9xlAbwVL9V5Sttk4mdoB1I9icGA-ktQYN9qr9b&__tn__=%2CO%2CP-y-y-R" style="color: inherit; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; outline: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: none; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 400; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - - o - t - d - r - p - 1 - 1 - l - 4 - 3 - 1 - a - 9 - 6 - g - l - 1 - l - u - 8 - m - f - 0 - 6 - 0 - f - 0 - m - i - c ·
day for history in SE Asia, records allover All time records: Thailand 45.4C Tak agro Highest temperature in Thai history 43.5C Phetchabun Laos 41.6C Luang Prabang (yesterday) 41.5C Phonhong 41.4C Vientiane 41.4C Sayaburi China 38.2C Mengla Monthly record giornata per la storia nel sud-est asiatico, record dappertutto Record di tutti i tempi: Tailandia 45.4C Tak agro Temperatura più alta nella storia tailandese 44.6C Aeroporto Tak 43.5C Phetchabun Laos 41.6C Luang Prabang (ieri) 41.5C Phonhong 41.4C Vientiane 41.4C Sayaburi Cina 38.2C Mengla Record mensile @extremetemps From [url]https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva[/url] or https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva - https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva -[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature ; The wet-bulb temperature (WBT) is the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Temperature" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Temperature - temperature read by a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermometer" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Thermometer - thermometer covered in water-soaked (water at ambient temperature) cloth (a wet-bulb thermometer) over which air is passed. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#cite_note-Gupton2002-1" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [1] At 100% https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_humidity" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Relative humidity - relative humidity , the wet-bulb temperature is equal to the air temperature ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dry-bulb_temperature" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Dry-bulb temperature - dry-bulb temperature ); at lower humidity the wet-bulb temperature is lower than dry-bulb temperature because of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evaporative_cooling" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Evaporative cooling - evaporative cooling . The wet-bulb temperature is defined as the temperature of a parcel of air cooled to saturation (100% relative humidity) by the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evaporation" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Evaporation - evaporation of water into it, with the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Latent_heat" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Latent heat - latent heat supplied by the parcel. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#cite_note-2" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [2] A wet-bulb thermometer indicates a temperature close to the true (thermodynamic) wet-bulb temperature. The wet-bulb temperature is the lowest temperature that can be reached under current https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ambient_pressure" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Ambient pressure - ambient conditions by the evaporation of water only. Even https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_and_heat_adaptations_in_humans" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Cold and heat adaptations in humans - heat-adapted people cannot carry out normal outdoor activities past a wet-bulb temperature of 32 °C (90 °F), equivalent to a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_index" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Heat index - heat index of 55 °C (130 °F). The theoretical limit to human survival for more than a few hours in the shade, even with unlimited water, is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 °C (95 °F) – equivalent to a heat index of 70 °C (160 °F). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#cite_note-3" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [3] DJ, there are limits for live...Humans can only survive under certain conditions. We need a certain level of oxygene, temperature, humidity...(and of course we need water, food, company). My non expert view is we may be moving to seeing more often places reaching such high temperatures/humidity people/animals die in high numbers...Parts of India, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq do see temperatures of 50C/120F+ much to often...it may be hard to grow products under those conditions...(There are some claims UV-C more often reaches the biosphere/ground...increasing problems from skin cancer to damage on plants). Some oil rich trees could start self igniting if temperatures get high enough...besides that an increase in thunderstorms is also increasing wildfires... So -YES- we face very major climate "questions"...however the biggest problem is not that we do not know the answers...we simply are not willing to give the known answers... Stop flying all over the planet, reduce cars/fossil fuel...much more durable economy oriented at surviving not maximum profits...WE -US !!!- have to change the way we live ! Less/no meat, if possible no car, no flying can make a major difference...! WE ARE NOT POWERLESS !!!! ACT NOW !!!!! -Pandemics are linked to climate disasters in many ways...We offer free global travel for all kinds of diseases all over the world ! And that is down right stupid !!! Living with CoViD is an illusion based on the idea that once you did get CoViD you will not catch it again..."natural herd immunity" on top of vaccine immunity...That idea is WRONG !!!! The WHO may still claim CoViD is NOT airborne-but contact-spread...that view also is incorrect... A major problem with CoViD may be the early infection may be "mild" often (50%?) missed...[url]https://www.innatoss.com/en/customers/#COVID-19-info[/url] or https://www.innatoss.com/en/customers/#COVID-19-info - https://www.innatoss.com/en/customers/#COVID-19-info however LONG TERM damage may be serious... One of the reasons [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#Cases_per_country_and_territory may be in decrease of immunity...After catching CoViD -even without symptoms at first- immunity defense against other diseases may become less... It is unclear how-on the long term- that will develop...NOT testing/reporting is not helping...You do NOT solve any problem by ignoring it... My non-expertview is both CoViD (also spreading more and more into mammals from humans) and H5N1 (a.o. spreading from birds into mammals-mutating...) are such a potential risk we may not survive..."Long-CoViD" often chronic CoViD may limit already over 100 million people in daily activities... - -A third factor [url]https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/[/url] or https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ - https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ (very US oriented-most focus on war risks) is global war...We do not need a nuclear war to end humanity...a "conventional" war can kill us all...The main reason for wars is profit...some people get very rich from selling "the best" weapons-if possible to both sides of (created) conflicts... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_refugee_crises[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_refugee_crises - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_refugee_crises World War Two may have seen 60 million refugees leaving/losing their country. The Ukraine war may now result in 9 million refugess...This list put present number of refugees at 30,7 million...but is excluding millions of refugees fleeing climate change, drug-wars, internal refugees...Societies can not survive if people can not make a home...have a basic economy... The way to stop wars is stop creating armies....People have NO right to kill other people...DJ-For me-here and now-it is easy talking...but my basic belief is I do not have a right to kill fellow humans...If "politics" demand me to kill I will refuse...even if "politics" would kill me for that...I am willing to do medical work, fire-fighter...try to save lives... So-also here-we as humans have a choice to make ! If "politics" tell you to kill other people say NO ! [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thou_shalt_not_kill[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thou_shalt_not_kill - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thou_shalt_not_kill ...lots of discussion in religion...I am not a religious person...but find killing other humans immoral... -My basic story is...WE are ACTIVELY !!!! destroying our planet...WE do it to ourselves ! WE have choices ! We could be "to deep" into many very serious crises but still may have a moral obligation to "do what is right"...even if we no longer can stop major disasters...we at least should try to go for damage control ! ------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 25 2023 at 9:55pm
Posted By: judeusx
Date Posted: April 25 2023 at 10:23pm
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This are natural cycles,we cant change them ! We are going into a mini ice age.And we get 2 incoming objects in next decades. Still we are poisoning the planet thats true ! But in many more dangerous ways than CO2.Gaia will heal herself. BUT... Nuclear radiation, 5G wifi,AI, MRNA vaccinations,GM crops,destroying of empathy with screen time, destroying/disconnecting of the human soul ! ...... Thats suicene !
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: April 27 2023 at 6:26am
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judeusx, I do not see any signs for whatever mini ice age....In general glacier-melt is increasing (with in Scandinavia some still growing...). Sea Surface Temperature record high for time of year...Antarctic sea ice as good as record low... As far as I understand lots of climatologists think we should be moving into another ice age by now...the fact that we are not doing so only shows how big the problem is... And -yes- natural cycles will be also a factor... "Gaia" in the way of this planet will survive humans...but we may have done that much damage to climate a Venus-like climate may be coming...ending most life... Disconnecting the human soul-forgetting what makes us human(s) - should be a major worry...We need to "rethink ourselves" if we want to survive...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: judeusx
Date Posted: April 27 2023 at 11:09am
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Yes true,signs still not clear.Im also not 100% convinced,but looks most logical. Now the vulcanoes start erupting ashclouds,the natural reaction to the warming,to cool down.Yes its complicated,but the global warming scare is being used for other goals. No,its the other way around,human interference is also a factor,which is bad enough,dont understand me wrong.(also Haarp etc ) The danger from radiation,GMO,Mrna manipulation is becoming irreversable. (just a side note :depleted uranium Iraq few hunderd thousend ? victims,( plus 150.000 veterans and their families,from the experimental vaccinations !) then Serbia,now Ukraine..) Ending most life is in my opinion not even the most scaring aspect,life will appear again,its the genetic holocaust started now. And yes,the major worry,the Human soul,empathy,compassion. The secret of the Human power,"unique" in the universe like Werner von Braun told on his deadbed..... ( most optimistic view, see Dan Winter (the living Tesla )
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: June 01 2023 at 4:22am
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[url]https://earthcommission.org/news/publications/just-world-safe-planet/[/url] or https://earthcommission.org/news/publications/just-world-safe-planet/ - https://earthcommission.org/news/publications/just-world-safe-planet/ A just world on a safe planet: First study quantifying Earth System Boundaries liveHumans are taking colossal risks with the future of civilization and everything that lives on Earth, a new Earth Commission study published today in the journal Nature shows. Developed by more than 40 researchers from across the globe, the scientists deliver the first quantification of safe and just Earth system boundaries on a global and local level for several biophysical processes and systems that regulate the state of the Earth system. - Health indicators for people and planetThe Earth Commission has quantified safe and just boundaries for climate, biodiversity, freshwater and different kinds of pollution to air, soil and water – and most have been breached. For example, human activities are altering water flows, excessive amounts of nutrients are released into waterways from fertilizer use, and limited natural areas are left. This poses existential threats for a stable planet, to ecosystems and their vital contributions to people. The world has already passed the safe and just climate boundary, which is set at 1°C above pre industrial temperature levels, as tens of millions of people are already harmed by the current level of climate change. “Our results are quite concerning: Within the five analyzed domains, several boundaries, on a global and local scale, are already transgressed. This means that unless a timely transformation occurs, it is most likely that irreversible tipping points and widespread impacts on human well-being will be unavoidable. Avoiding that scenario is crucial if we want to secure a safe and just future for current and future generations,” continued Rockström. “The Earth system is in danger, as many tipping elements are about to cross their tipping points. So far, seventeen tipping elements are identified in scientific literature, among them, nine are cryosphere-related. The Asia High Mountain Cryosphere (AHMC) is fast changing and close to becoming a new tipping element, which can impact the regional social-economy.” explained Prof. Dahe Qin, Co-Chair of the Earth Commission and Director of the Academic Committee, Chinese Academy of Sciences. DJ [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-IJ2od9pXqE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-IJ2od9pXqE - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-IJ2od9pXqE on slavery in the Islamic world....it did get less attention-but the "kill ratio" sometimes was even worse...for every slave reaching the (Ottoman) Cairo-slave market several others died on transport...Maybe resembling the way we today (mis)treat animals... Humans are their own worst enemies...we keep doing major harm to our own species...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: June 04 2023 at 12:10am
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DJ What is killing us-it is already happening !- is a combination of "events"...from pandemics, wars to climate collapse... [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat.html ; The above image shows that the sea surface temperatures on the North Atlantic (SST NA 0-60N, 0-80W) was 21.9°C on June 2, 2023 (black line), much higher than the SST on June 3, 2022 (orange).
SST NA reached a record high of 24.9°C in early September 2022, and this high temperature occurred while La Niña suppressed the temperature. This time, El Niño is on the way.
Sea ice concentration is getting lower in many places and there is open water in parts of the Beaufort Sea and Baffin Bay, as illustrated by the Uni of Bremen image on the right. - As discussed in earlier posts such as https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/05/will-there-be-arctic-sea-ice-left-in-september-2023.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this one , conditions are dire: • Earth's energy imbalance is at record high
• emissions are at record high
• greenhouse gas concentrations are at record high
• temperatures are very high, especially in the Arctic • North Atlantic sea surface temperatures are at record high • sea ice is very vulnerable
• the Jet Stream is strongly deformed
Furthermore, El Niño is on the way, sunspots are higher than predicted and the Tonga submarine volcano did add large amounts of water vapor high into the atmosphere.
All this looks set to jointly result in massive loss of Arctic sea ice over the coming months, with loss of the latent heat buffer and loss of albedo threatening to trigger eruption of methane from the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean, as has been described many times before, such as in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/sea-surface-temperature-at-record-high.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this post, in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/02/dire-situation-gets-even-more-dire.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this post and in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/03/sea-surface-temperature-at-record-high.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this post .
DJ, from a history perspective the inter-action of crises is of interest. Climate change will result in more wars over water. Climate change, wars-further increase the number of refugees-people trying to find a save place... And of course some countries trying to keep refugees out-in fact killing thousands of refugees each year...making relations inside those countries even worse. More repression, censorship..."superior elite" ruling ever harder over the "inferior mass" with less rights...still "democrazy"...however how long before wars become civil wars ? Can these scenario's be avoided ? At least we should prepare for the food, water, climate crises...on top of health, housing, etc. crises...However the same people/elite NOT dealing with the present problems only worsen the problems... [url]https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/06/03/aavt-j03.html[/url] or https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/06/03/aavt-j03.html - https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/06/03/aavt-j03.html , [url]https://southfront.org/eric-zuesse-which-harms-democracy-more-conservative-deceivers-or-liberal-deceivers/[/url] or https://southfront.org/eric-zuesse-which-harms-democracy-more-conservative-deceivers-or-liberal-deceivers/ - https://southfront.org/eric-zuesse-which-harms-democracy-more-conservative-deceivers-or-liberal-deceivers/ ...political crises may result in new politics....Humans struggle with survival...the struggle only did get more complex...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: June 26 2023 at 12:04am
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DJ, [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat-update-4.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat-update-4.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat-update-4.html ; The image below shows that the North Atlantic sea surface temperature was 23.3°C on June 21, 2023 (on the black line), 0.9°C higher than the 22.4°C on June 21, 2022 (on the orange line). A record high of 24.9°C was reached on September 4, 2022, even while La Niña then was suppressing the temperature, whereas now there's an El Niño. - Global sea ice extent was at a record low for the time of year on June 23, 2023, i.e. only 21.57 million km², as illustrated by the image below. - Contributing to this is very low Antarctic sea ice extent. The image below shows Antarctic sea ice extent up to June 23, 2023. Values in the column on the left are for February 16; Antarctic sea ice extent reached a record minimum on February 16, 2023. Values in the column on the right are for June 23. Highlighted are three years: 2023 (red), 2022 (blue) and 2016 (black). Antarctic sea ice extent was also very low at the end of the year 2016, which was a strong El Niño year, yet extent was even lower at the very end of the year in 2022, even though that was during a La Niña. very depressing....The increasing heat does mean more melt not only on the North/South Pole but also in mountain area's....Part of rock is sticking together by frozen water...If that ice melts you may see more landslides...with increasing risks of lots of land ending up in mountain lakes resulting in local tsunami-like scenario's ... Besides that the flow of rivers may change because of landslides in mountains...(after a Nepal earthquake we did see that already). On the long run less ice/snow in mountains means less fresh water for the people...for food production. --------- More land-ice will be on the move in Greenland, Antarctica, many other places...Large chunks of ice dropping into the ocean can cause major waves...(so far not that strong one would see tsunami like risks...). Also methane release from ocean floor permafrost may become more explosive.... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Atlantic_hurricane_season[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Atlantic_hurricane_season - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Atlantic_hurricane_season so far has not gone wild...But more heat in the ocean=,more energy for stronger storms (with rain a growing risk). [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?board=3.0[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?board=3.0 - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?board=3.0 trying to follow events...It may be to early to see what El Nino brings... We did get out of a long warm time here in NL....July models indicate it may be getting 1-3C+ later on...with early part of July temperatures-here in NL-around "normal" (for the 1990-2020 norm)...We did get lots of rain during spring...June so far has been very dry so the upper parth of the ground is getting dry...Overuse of groundwater may cause problems on the longer term... July, August may be the most warm, dry, months in NW Europe...so the "real summer" still has to start...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: June 27 2023 at 3:06am
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DJ, Of course wars and pandemics "help" people "ending" themselves...[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/extreme-heat-stress.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/extreme-heat-stress.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/extreme-heat-stress.html ; As the EPA animation on the right illustrates, a relatively small rise in average temperature can result in a lot more hot and extremely hot weather.
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-GFGm9quS_BI/V5gvmC9PhoI/AAAAAAAAVEw/iswQSkcjJkY3sDVgePNhw1Yw4TcQF707gCLcB/s1600/fig2-32s.gif" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;">  The three images underneath, from the https://archive.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/088.htm" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - IPCC , show the effect on extreme temperatures when (a) the mean temperature increases, (b) the variance increases, and (c) when both the mean and variance increase for a normal distribution of temperature.
The thermodynamic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - wet-bulb temperature is determined by temperature, humidity and pressure (hPa), and it is the lowest temperature that can be achieved by https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evaporative_cooling" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - evaporative cooling of a water-wetted ventilated surface.
As temperatures and humidity levels keep rising, there comes a point where the wind factor no longer matters, in the sense that wind can no longer provide cooling.
Once the wet-bulb temperature reaches 35°C, one can no longer lose heat by perspiration, even in strong wind, but instead one will start gaining heat from the air beyond a wet-bulb temperature of 35°C.
The 'Misery Index' is the perceived air temperature as a combination of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_chill" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - wind chill and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_index" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - heat index (which combines air temperature and relative humidity, in shaded areas).
The image below shows high readings on the Misery Index for parts of Pakistan, the 'feels like' temperature at nullschool.net. On June 22, 2023, an air temperature of 45.4°C (113.7°F) and a relative humidity of 25% resulted in 'feels like' temperatures as high as 51°C (123.7°F) at the area marked by the green circle. DJ Canadian wildfire smoke now over Europe....there are lots more wildfires (expected) so air quality is getting worse...soot ending up on the poles... [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#Wet-bulb_temperature_and_health[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#Wet-bulb_temperature_and_health - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#Wet-bulb_temperature_and_health ; Living organisms can survive only within a certain temperature range. When the ambient temperature is excessive, many animals cool themselves to below ambient temperature by https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evaporative_cooling" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Evaporative cooling - evaporative cooling (sweat in humans and horses, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saliva" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Saliva - saliva and water in dogs and other mammals); this helps to prevent potentially fatal https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperthermia" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Hyperthermia - hyperthermia due to heat stress. The effectiveness of evaporative cooling depends upon humidity; wet-bulb temperature, or more complex calculated quantities such as https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_globe_temperature" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Wet-bulb globe temperature - wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) which also takes account of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_radiation" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Solar radiation - solar radiation , give a useful indication of the degree of heat stress, and are used by several agencies as the basis for heat stress prevention guidelines. A sustained wet-bulb temperature exceeding 35 °C (95 °F) is likely to be fatal even to fit and healthy people, unclothed in the shade next to a fan; at this temperature human bodies switch from shedding heat to the environment, to gaining heat from it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#cite_note-pnas-9" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [9] In practice, such ideal conditions for humans to cool themselves will not always exist – hence the high fatality levels in the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_European_heat_wave" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="2003 European heat wave - 2003 European and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Russian_wildfires" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="2010 Russian wildfires - 2010 Russian heat waves, which saw wet-bulb temperatures no greater than 28 °C. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#cite_note-toohot2020-10" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [10] A 2015 study concluded that depending on the extent of future https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Global warming - global warming , parts of the world could become uninhabitable due to deadly wet-bulb temperatures. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#cite_note-11" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [11] A 2020 study reported cases where a 35 °C (95 °F) wet-bulb temperature had already occurred, albeit too briefly and in too small a locality to cause fatalities. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#cite_note-toohot2020-10" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [10] On top of that (farm)animals die...lack of water or flooding destroying both animals and plants/trees...our food. Top-priority for western politics is more war....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: June 27 2023 at 1:15pm
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[url]https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123023002451?via%3Dihub[/url] or https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123023002451?via%3Dihub - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123023002451?via%3Dihub ; AbstractClimate models are developed based on well-established physical principles applied to past and recent climate changes. There is considerable confidence that the models can also provide estimates of some climate variables (i.e., surface temperature, ��2 levels, ocean heat content). Despite advanced mathematical developments in the field of climate modeling, the existing climate models suffer from the following major limitations: - first, the models do not consider that their estimations will be highly unreliable when a tipping point is triggered; -secondly, many of the environmental tipping points are already triggered, however their existence is overlooked; and - third, the existing climate models do not consider the interrelations among the tipping points (i.e., one tipping point can trigger other tipping points to be tipped more rapidly). Our objective is to describe the importance of environmental “tipping points,” the importance of which is often ignored or downplayed in relevant literature. Our analysis, based on extensive multidisciplinary literature searches, reveals that there are many environmental tipping points which are overlooked in climate-modeling studies. We argue that climate modeling could be improved when the tipping points and their interrelations are all considered within the modeling process. We further discuss two other important issues regarding environmental tipping points: -first, all tipping points might not be as impactful on the climate system, therefore their relative impacts should be ranked; -second, it is in principle impossible to know the exact number of environmental tipping points, therefore even though it could be possible to devise improvements to the existing climate models with our suggestions, it may be impossible to achieve a perfect model to estimate the climate variables of the upcoming years. The remainder of this paper is structured as follows: In the background section, we introduce research on tipping points within commonly used climate models. We explain the https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/aerosol" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; background-color: transparent; word-break: break-word; text-decoration: underline 1px rgb(46, 46, 46); color: rgb(46, 46, 46); text-underline-offset: 1px;" title="Learn more about aerosol from ScienceDirect's AI-generated Topic Pages - aerosol masking effect and ocean dynamics with respect to their commonly overlooked roles as important contributors to environmental change. We introduce remote sensing and AI methods that serve as promising approaches for identification of currently unknown tipping points. We mention perturbation theory, a standard set of mathematical methods in physics that serves as a potentially systematic method to rank environmental tipping points according to their impact on extant climate models. In the discussion section, we make suggestions regarding further research on identifying the typically overlooked tipping points, and we make suggestions to improve climate models by considering additional information presented in the current paper. Finally, we conclude this article summarizing our chief methodological recommendations. DJ from [url]https://guymcpherson.com/[/url] or https://guymcpherson.com/ - https://guymcpherson.com/
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Usk
Date Posted: June 28 2023 at 1:46am
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Figure 1: 10-year averages between 1979 and 2018 and yearly averages for 2007, 2012, and 2023 of the daily (a) ice extent and (b) ice area in the Northern Hemisphere and a listing of the extent and area of the current, historical mean, minimum, and maximum values in
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 01 2023 at 11:31pm
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[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_plume[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_plume - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_plume ; The Spanish Plume (Penacho Ibérico in Spanish and Spaanse Pluim in Dutch) is a weather pattern in which a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plume_(fluid_dynamics)" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Plume (fluid dynamics) - plume of warm air moves from the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iberian_Peninsula" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Iberian Peninsula - Iberian plateau or the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sahara" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Sahara - Sahara to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northwestern_Europe" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Northwestern Europe - northwestern Europe , causing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thunderstorm" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Thunderstorm - thunderstorms . This meteorological pattern can lead to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_wave" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Heat wave - extreme high temperatures and intense rainfall during the summer months, with potential for https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flash_flood" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Flash flood - flash flooding , damaging https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hail" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Hail - hail , and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Tornado - tornado formation. DJ, the article in Dutch also mentioned october 28-30 2022 did bring very high temperatures for NL...very late in the season... [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/01/june-2023-warmest-sunniest-june-122-years[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/01/june-2023-warmest-sunniest-june-122-years - https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/01/june-2023-warmest-sunniest-june-122-years ; It was the warmest and sunniest June in the Netherlands since 1901, the national weather institute KNMI reported. In June, De Bilt has never had so many summer days as this year. In the exceedingly sunny and warm month, there were 16 summer days and two tropical days, compared to the typical five summer days and one tropical day in the Netherlands. In addition, the average temperature was 19.3 degrees. On a national average, the sun shone for about 330 hours, while 214 hours of sunshine are normal. June 2023 was characterized by long-lasting sunshine and by many days with the highest sunshine duration. It was the sunniest on the Dutch west coast with about 340 hours of sunshine. In Twente, the sun shone the least with about 320 hours. That is still over 120 hours more than normal. While June ranks as the warmest month in the Netherlands, this year is among the five driest years. With a national average of about 23 millimeters of precipitation compared to the normal 66 millimeters, the month was very dry. In the coastal provinces, locally no more than 5-10 millimeters fell. It was wettest in the southeast and east. On average across the country, the precipitation deficit increased to about 170 millimeters by the end of June. A deficit of this magnitude normally occurs in less than five percent of years DJ one of the misleading "facts" in climate change can be going for averages...ignoring the risks shorter extremes can bring... -A wildfire with temperatures above 40C is more explosive then such a fire at 25C -Crop damage, animal disease/deaths are heat/drought related...One may see an "average summer" but a few extreme hours can kill a lot of food production... -Low waterlevels in rivers mean logistics via shipping is getting problematic. If high temperatures also deform rails, melt roads not only food production also logistics has a problem. Paul Beckwith/PB [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I3gLZZHu2_I[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I3gLZZHu2_I - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I3gLZZHu2_I ; 3,201 views Jun 30, 2023 As I said many moons ago, Earth is losing the ability to provide for and support us and all the plants and animals. It is not rapidly dying, but it is actively being killed by us and the weapon of choice that we use is our fossil fuel combustion. I chat about a brand spanking new peer reviewed scientific paper on Ecological Tipping Points. Basically, we have been modelling dynamic systems incorrectly for years, and we do not recognize the reality that many of our ecological and physical systems are much closer to abrupt tipping point thresholds than we can imagine. Most of our models to-date examine incremental change in one primary driver that increases and eventually reaches a threshold whereby the system either undergoes a “flickering” between the existing and new state, or a critical slowing down of frequency (with an increase in amplitude of fluctuation) and then flips (tips) into a new system state. In reality, systems are more complex than this, and we need to model: 1) changes in primary driver 2) changes in secondary driver 3) changes in tertiary driver 4) addition of stochastic (random) or uncoupled noise 5) addition of coupled noise When we include all of these multiple forcings and two types of noise into our simulations, we find that the system tipping (crossing a breakpoint or threshold of no return) occurs much sooner, in fact occurs substantially sooner, or closer to today by between 38% and 81%. Although the four different systems examined in this paper represent a cross-section of all systems, the results are likely variously applicable to Earth systems like Arctic Sea Ice collapse to a Blue Ocean event, collapse of Amazon Rainforest to a grassland or savannah state, loss of Boreal Forests, Ocean Acidification, Loss of Arctic Permafrost, loss of Greenland Ice Sheets, loss of Antarctica Ice sheets, and Shutdown of AMOC and PMOC (Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulation), as well as Biodiversity Collapse. Please donate to https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbTh5b3d0VGJtY19ic044OU54ZmdtOUxrRE9NZ3xBQ3Jtc0tscnA4MEd1TmMyVC03bUVPR3Z6THE4X3lLWlZEajhEQUllN0xoY01Rc3NIdTExeWRqV0E0WEo4bGhPQWF2c2NkaUFjcW1lcnZkaU1US1RpWEN3MnZ4a0pXUjV1bHJ1ZUdIZUZ6QnVuTVVfWE40a0tTMA&q=http%3A%2F%2FPaulBeckwith.net%2F&v=I3gLZZHu2_I" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I educate people and caution people on our ongoing abrupt climate system change. Live long and prosper, or at least be in the know. Sincerely, Paul, Shackey, Newton, … DJ, I have a very limited history background. Dramatic changes "revolutions" can be explained-but hardly ever may have been predicted... The US-1776, French 1789, Russian 1917, Iran 1979 revolutions-just to mention a few-in many ways were NOT that likely...In most cases "powers for the status quo" supposed to stop "revolutions" were stronger... [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat-update-5.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat-update-5.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/arctic-sea-ice-under-threat-update-5.html so... In addition, the Jet Stream is strongly deformed, and this threatens to strengthen heatwaves extending over the Arctic Ocean and causing hot water from rivers to enter the Arctic Ocean, and to strengthen storms accelerating the flow of ocean heat into the Arctic Ocean, while fires and storms contribute to darkening of the sea ice, further speeding up its demise.
The danger is that, as El Niño strengthens and as ocean heat keeps entering the Arctic Ocean from the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean, a huge amount of heat will abruptly be pushed into the Arctic Ocean. Yes...there is still a lot of ice in Greenland/Arctic, Antarctic, higher mountains...but a few days of extreme heat for those regions may "kill the ice"...even if the "average temperature" for all of the year could be BELOW what one would expect...Extremes matter ! ------ One could see "sui-cene" as linked to suicidium in wich "sui" means (your) self "caedere" means "killing"..."cene" stands for an "era"...so "Suicene" means- we as humans are killing life...not only ourselves...but part of the proces is killing other life as well... -Pandemics in many ways by now should be seen as "man made"...NOT because of "lab leaks" eventough there are risks but by the way we now see over 8 billion people confronted with insane number of farm animals and crazy level of travel...We are doing all we can to boost diseases and spread them around the planet... We manage to combine it with -wars....As always the #1 wants to hang on to "power" via war...#2 etc. try to change its position...In a nuclear age/modern warfare can get that destructive it can end live... -Of course we "need" cars...billions of them...We need millions of planes...addicted to fossil energy...Like we are getting addicted to mobile phones... -Social/economic/political collapse; politics that much out of touch with both voters and reality it acts like "a car with the steering wheel no longer in contact with the wheels on the road"... Most humans "outsourced" thinking...to those that make profit from outsourcing thinking...We have more knowledge than ever before in history...in many places people still live longer than ever before...But we have reached "peak humans".... In a "friendly" scenario people will limit the number of children...so from over 8 billion humans in 2023 we may be at 4 to 5 billion ??? in 2100....??? However for now forget about "a friendly scenario"...we did do so much damage the enviroment is getting hostile for life... So forget about "one pandemic every 100 years" ...we in many ways [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology_of_HIV/AIDS[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology_of_HIV/AIDS - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epidemiology_of_HIV/AIDS have been in a global health crisis for decades...For now it only will get worse !!! More heat=more war over water, food, energy...More starvation and poverty... Of course there are -still- lots of things to "limit the damage"...investing in wars is NOT helping...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 02 2023 at 10:46pm
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[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/06/low-earners-and-city-dwellers-struggling-to-stay-cool-at-home/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/06/low-earners-and-city-dwellers-struggling-to-stay-cool-at-home/ - https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/06/low-earners-and-city-dwellers-struggling-to-stay-cool-at-home/ ; Health boards are calling on local authorities and housing corporations to take measures to stop people overheating in their homes. Almost half of people are having difficulty cooling off in the house, the garden or in their neighbourhood during longer spells of hot weather, a https://ggdgelderlandzuid.nl/nieuws/wie-houdt-het-hoofd-koel/" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - survey among 140,000 people by regional health boards and Radboudumc has found. The elderly, people on low incomes, adolescents and people with health problems have the most difficulty keeping out the heat. Some 44% struggle to stay cool indoors, while 49% are unable to find relief in their gardens or neighbourhood. - Recommendations include good ventilation, external blinds and heatproof housing for the elderly. Large-scale https://nos.nl/artikel/2383052-in-nederland-hogere-sterfte-door-klimaatverandering-stelt-nieuw-onderzoek" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - research carried out by the RIVM health institute in 2021 has shown that one-third of all deaths caused by heat in the Netherlands can be ascribed to climate change. “We know that people who have heart problems, for instance, are at greater risk of heat. It has always been the case that more people die when it is extremely hot. But climate change is exacerbating the effect,” RIVM climate researcher Joost van der Ree said at the time. The Netherlands has been experiencing above average summer temperatures for June since 2017, with every year since setting a new record. The recent heatwave will make this June the https://www.nu.nl/klimaat/6269670/na-verreweg-de-heetste-juni-ooit-is-extreem-zomerweer-voorlopig-voorbij.html" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - hottest yet. “Spanish heat” is set to become a https://www.rtlnieuws.nl/nieuws/nederland/artikel/5389355/hitte-juni-warm-wennen-spanje-tips" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - regular feature of the Dutch summer, experts have warned. DJ, there are plans to build 900,000 new houses before 2040 to solve the housing crisis. That housing crisis -my view- is the outcome of bad politics...Old people can no longer move to housing better able to deal with their demands...Shortage of lower price houses did push up housing prices/costs...Neo-liberals even did sell public housing to foreign investors making matters even worse... I live in an area with around 1 million people in a radius of 25 kilometer...divided over many municipalitis in different regions...Since profit is the main driver in housing -no longer public needs- we see less houses per m2 at much higher costs with less room for nature... [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/02/dutch-people-want-firm-clear-climate-policy-says-report[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/02/dutch-people-want-firm-clear-climate-policy-says-report - https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/02/dutch-people-want-firm-clear-climate-policy-says-report DJ Use of public transport -in NL- is still under pre-pandemic level, car use may be 30% ABOVE pre pandemic level...In many countries there is not enough investment in public transport, bike lanes etc. Most of the population are willing to look for alternatives (for the expensive car, meat etc. -in part to save costs) but (tax) rules make it "hard" if not impossible... [url]https://www.nioz.nl/en/news/dossier-warm-sea-and-ocean-water[/url] or https://www.nioz.nl/en/news/dossier-warm-sea-and-ocean-water; Dossier: warm sea and ocean waterPublication date: Friday 30 June 2023 Global warming dominates global news. Here, rising atmospheric temperatures are usually the common thread. But of all the extra heat trapped by our greenhouse gas emissions, only 1 per cent remains in the air. The vast majority (89 per cent) disappears into the water of the world's oceans. The rest is locked up in land (6 per cent) and melting ice sheets (4 per cent). The result: warmer ocean water and more marine heat waves! In this dossier, we highlight the different sides of all that warming seawater. The enormous amount of stored energy is influencing the weather. More precipitation is created by more evaporated water. And hurricanes also draw their energy from the warm ocean water. Changes are also visible in biodiversity. Coral reefs and shellfish are getting above their critical temperature and die in more and more places. With this, their function as nurseries of marine biodiversity is also disappearing. A changing distribution of heat in ocean water also affects currents. Ocean water flows because of wind, temperature and the difference in density of fresh meltwater or salty ocean water. More warm water at the surface, shifts these forces. The consequences of this are still far from clear. DJ, Atlantic Ocean water seems to be unexpectedly hot...[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html trying to follow statistics on the (Ant)Arctic, Greenland ice etc. [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/03/2c-crossed.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/03/2c-crossed.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/03/2c-crossed.html (march 13 2020) ; It's time to stop denying how precarious the situation is.
Remember the Paris Agreement? In 2015, politicians pledged to hold the global temperature rise to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pledged they would try and limit the temperature rise to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Well, an https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/crossing.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - analysis by Sam Carana shows that it was already more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial when the Paris Agreement was reached. DJ, my non expert view; all that is left is damage control...Some countries (a.o. China) go for massive reforestation, renewable energy...but the effect of those steps NOW will take DECADES !!! to show any results in climate...A further SERIOUS rise in temperatures is "baked in"... We can no longer avoid growth of deserts, massive loss of land/sea-ice, very serious public health crises killing tens of millions of (poor) people... One of the reasons for BRIICSS+ is "the west talks to much without serious action"....countries like Pakistan, India, Indonesia, China, but also Russia, Brazil are hit hard by climate collapse. From extreme heat to wildfires... [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/could-earth-go-same-way-as-venus.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/could-earth-go-same-way-as-venus.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/could-earth-go-same-way-as-venus.html ; The rise that has already unfolded, i.e. the rise from pre-industrial to 2020, could be as much as 2.3°C, as discussed above and at the https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/pre-industrial.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - pre-industrial page . Furthermore, the temperature rise is https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2021/11/human-extinction-by-2022.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - accelerating . In other words, Earth is already in the danger zone and the question remains what the implications are of a 3°C, 4°C and 5°C rise. DJ...time could be a factor if countries did take action...Empty words do NOT help...the UK made XR/climate protests illegal, German "greens" promote war...Blowing up gas pipelines, dams etc, war in general, is further destroying the climate...blame-games do NOT help ! Here in NL july and august are (so far) the warmest months...some models see 30C+ temperatures -in a short wave- next weekend for NL. [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#Wet-bulb_temperature_and_health[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#Wet-bulb_temperature_and_health - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature#Wet-bulb_temperature_and_health and [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_of_climate_change_on_human_health[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_of_climate_change_on_human_health - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_of_climate_change_on_human_health We WILL !!! face water/food/logistic crises in many places SOON ! Ignoring this will only kill more millions...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 06 2023 at 12:17am
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DJ, Pandemics, wars are "bad news" for human survival...Climate collapse however may soon show itself to be far worse... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6o6nma12vY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6o6nma12vY - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6o6nma12vY Paul Beckwith/PB; 5,210 views Jul 5, 2023 The jet stream waviness these days is utterly insane, and causing huge negative consequences for humanity. The main purpose of this video chat is to discuss a brand new peer reviewed paper just released last week that connects a huge high pressure dome that occurs often in summer months over Greenland with the ever increasing rapid snow cover melt over North America in the spring months, mostly May and June. The jet streams basically form an omega block, with exceptional high pressure, cloudless skies, and heat over Greenland, and extreme weather events associated with this jet stream pattern at lower latitudes. Arctic Temperature Amplification has greatly increased, and now main stream scientific papers and articles are saying it is 4x (they incorrectly said, en masse, that it was 2x for many years). One of the jet stream patterns that commonly establishes now is an omega block with a high pressure region over Greenland. Not only does this pattern lead to surface ice melt on Greenland doubling over the rates used in the large scale sophisticated climate models, but it is warming a large region of the North Atlantic Ocean, which is seeing SST’s (Sea Surface Temperatures) 5 to 6 C above previous highs, which is basically off the scale. With jet streams being much wavier and setting up persistent blocks, we are seeing very intense, widespread heatwaves around the planet, for example in Mexico and Texas, where temperatures have reached about 50 C and temperature/humidity conditions have essentially briefly reached wet bulb uninhabitable states. Heatwaves are occurring in numerous other places like China and India. Much of the boreal forest regions in Canada have had heatwaves resulting in uncontrollable unprecedented wildfires burning over 8 million hectares, or about 3% of Canada’s boreal forests. In the southern hemisphere, wavy jet streams are bringing extensive heat down to Antarctica, and sea ice extent has dropped off a cliff by 4 or 5 standard deviations below previous record lows. Add an El Niño to the equation, and it is obvious that numerous climate records will be obliterated over the next few years, and humanity is in for a very precarious and rough ride. Please donate to https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbkY2UHpOUzFfSHZxbllDUXNtT2tzT1UwTjZlQXxBQ3Jtc0trb0FaMURRQ3RWaTZBVng1d0hYUHZzWUNmLWowSHI1ZWJVZFBwMldZd3ZEM2MwS3pVTVBLcGp5bkttYlpxb0pONUVLZzRreE96eHlQeVlwbHNmYm9YaDVrR0p5T3Z5NGtVd1JhREZHc20tWGMtZUpFMA&q=http%3A%2F%2FPaulBeckwith.net%2F&v=J6o6nma12vY" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I connect the dots on abrupt climate system change. DJ A "Super el Nino" [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2cxWf5yA9so[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2cxWf5yA9so - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2cxWf5yA9so may have started (temperature +2C above the norm) So we face a "mega mix"; -Wet Bulbe temperatures (35C + 100% humidity + time will kill you) may show up in more places...people, animals simply get overheated and die... -Of course extreme heat also not helping harvests... -[url]https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230705-schiphol-grounds-hundreds-of-flights-as-record-storm-lashes-the-netherlands[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230705-schiphol-grounds-hundreds-of-flights-as-record-storm-lashes-the-netherlands - https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230705-schiphol-grounds-hundreds-of-flights-as-record-storm-lashes-the-netherlands extreme weather becomes normal...We only once before had a storm in july in NL...so this was the second one yesterday... -"Wild"fires produce smoke damaging human organs hundreds of kilometers/miles from the fire... -Maybe as a reminder; Ukraine may see extreme high/dry conditions...in combination with major war and lots of fuel it could result in mega burning...(with radio active waste from Tjernobil going into the atmosphere). [url]https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith[/url] or https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith - https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith has updates on twitter, [url]https://arcticrisk.org/alert-item/north-seas-alarming-temperature-rise-sparks-storm-warnings/[/url] or https://arcticrisk.org/alert-item/north-seas-alarming-temperature-rise-sparks-storm-warnings/ - https://arcticrisk.org/alert-item/north-seas-alarming-temperature-rise-sparks-storm-warnings/ Arctic Sea Ice must be getting very low [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html but melt is on its way... Greenland [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.50.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.50.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.50.html#lastPost ; July 4th
For a 8th day running melt affects more than 50% of Greenland, 7 days at more than 55%.
SMB losses for a 3rd day well above average, though accumulated SMB well above average still.
Sustained melt at this level in early July must be entering record territory.
Later a look at Greenland Today data - though their melt data seems to be somewhat lower than for DMI and Antarctica-where it is supposed to be winter....[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3500.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3500.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3500.html#lastPost ; Projections. (Table JAXA-Ant1)
Average remaining freeze (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in Sept 2023 of 16.01 million km2, 1.99 million km2 below the 2002 record low maximum of 18.01 million km2, which would be 1st lowest in the satellite record.
On the probability 2023 extent will set a new record low maximum
The current record low maximum in 2002 is 18.01 million km2.
Current sea ice extent is 12.43 million km2, 5.57 million km2 below the record low maximum.
Average sea ice extent gain from now to maximum is 3.58 million km2.
To reach the current record low maximum, sea ice gains from now need to be 1.99 million KM2, 56% above the average.
The maximum sea ice extent gain in the years 2006 to 2022 was 4.2 million KM2, 17% above the average.
The probability of a new record low maximum in 2023 is therefore extremely high DJ [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7 - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7 One would expect more storms over the oceans (Pacifix =2x Atlantic in seize)...so far that part of the collapse seems limited... Jet streams going insane may bring extreme cold weather in one region while extreme heat/rain may show up in another (nearby) region... It will further decrease healthcare capacity...decrease life expectency, increase risks for famine (even in the US-UK-EU...part of the problem income inequality). Wars over water -with weapin/war industry making more profits- will increase... --------------- If you think war or pandemics are bad-they are both related to climate collapse...Yes BRIICSS+ wants to become the #1 global player...US/NATO may even go nuclear to stop that... We-as humans-have destroyed the planet we live on...damage control may be all there is left....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 06 2023 at 8:56am
Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 07 2023 at 11:14pm
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[url]https://www.ccag.earth/about[/url] or https://www.ccag.earth/about - https://www.ccag.earth/about Climate Crisis Advisery Group = C.C.A.G. We are an independent group of experts reflecting a wide range of academic disciplines, comprising 15 experts from 10 nations. CCAG members include leading authorities in climate science, carbon emissions, energy, environment, and natural resources. Some of our members also participate in governmental advisory groups. The function of CCAG is complementary to these other roles. All scientists have agreed to give up their time at no cost. Read more about each of our members below. A video on how bad the situation is on Antarctica [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O2WRb-MOFD0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O2WRb-MOFD0 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O2WRb-MOFD0 ; Antarctica currently has very little sea ice – the lowest ever recorded. What are the causes and likely consequences of this reduction? A comment; Yes, you can invite people like me to be part of CCAG because I am a regenerative systems professional with a long record of accurate analysis WRT to climate - and other areas. I predicted there had to be a mechanism for Pacific heat to affect the arctic and predicted the 2016 low. (We'll almost certainly see another low extent in 2024 due to the El Nino.) Scripps Institute confirmed the existence of Pacific "heat bombs" in 2021. What to do? The fastest way to change, the lowest-hanging fruit, is to simply stop doing much of what we do. We must simplify, we must turn to regenerative farming/gardening. Simplification alone can reduce emissions 80%. Regenerative farming another 40%. That's negative emissions and can be achieved in a decade or less. So long as people think we can just make everything electric, we will continue to fail. DJ, limiting (air)travel is limiting pandemics/disease spread...Less meat is less room for diseases in animals we only "produce" to eat them....Smaller families-better education for next generations also would have helped... [url]https://www.clubofrome.org/[/url] or https://www.clubofrome.org/ - https://www.clubofrome.org/ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#The_Limits_to_Growth[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#The_Limits_to_Growth - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#The_Limits_to_Growth ; The Club of Rome stimulated considerable public attention with the first report to the club, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="The Limits to Growth - The Limits to Growth . https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#cite_note-4" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [4] Published in 1972, its computer simulations suggested that https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_growth" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Economic growth - economic growth could not continue indefinitely because of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resource_depletion" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Resource depletion - resource depletion . The https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="1973 oil crisis - 1973 oil crisis increased public concern about this problem. The report went on to sell 30 million copies in more than 30 languages, making it the best-selling environmental book in history. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#cite_note-Simmons-2000-5" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [5] Even before The Limits to Growth was published, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eduard_Pestel" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Eduard Pestel - Eduard Pestel and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mihajlo_Mesarovic" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Mihajlo Mesarovic - Mihajlo Mesarovic of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case_Western_Reserve_University" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Case Western Reserve University - Case Western Reserve University had begun work on a far more elaborate model (it distinguished ten world regions and involved 200,000 equations compared with 1,000 in the Meadows model). The research had the full support of the club and its final publication, Mankind at the Turning Point was accepted as the official "second report" to the Club of Rome in 1974. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#cite_note-6" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [6] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#cite_note-7" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [7] In addition to providing a more refined regional breakdown, Pestel and Mesarovic had succeeded in integrating social as well as technical data. The second report revised the scenarios of the original Limits to Growth and gave a more optimistic prognosis for the future of the environment, noting that many of the factors involved were within human control and therefore that environmental and economic catastrophe were preventable or avoidable. DJ...lots of people have been warning for the present crises....(because we face not just one crisis...)...some going back more than 100 years [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_climate_change_science#First_calculations_of_greenhouse_effect,_1896[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_climate_change_science#First_calculations_of_greenhouse_effect,_1896 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_climate_change_science#First_calculations_of_greenhouse_effect,_1896 Now all that is left is damage control...trying to buy time so "some people may survive and do better"...may be the best available option...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 08 2023 at 11:42pm
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[url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/08/hottest-day-year-temperatures-343-degrees-netherlands[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/08/hottest-day-year-temperatures-343-degrees-netherlands - https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/08/hottest-day-year-temperatures-343-degrees-netherlands ; It is officially the warmest July 8 since measurements began in 1901, Weeronline reports. At 3:10 p.m., the temperature in De Bilt rose to 31.9 degrees. The old record was 31.6 degrees, measured in 1959. It is also the hottest day of the year so far. Until Saturday, June 11 was the hottest day, when it was 32.2 degrees in Hoek van Holland. In general, it is also quite warm in the rest of the country, with afternoon temperatures well above 30 degrees. At 2:30 p.m., for instance, the temperature in Eindhoven reached 34.3 degrees, Weeronline reports. Never before has it been so warm at a KNMI measuring station on July 8. The previous record for this date was set in Gilze-Rijen in 1959. In large parts of the country, it was tropically warm with 29 to 34 degrees. Only on the Wadden Islands, the temperature remained below the 30-degree mark. According to the weather service, the hot weather is caused by a southeast wind that blows very warm and dry air from the continent into the Netherlands. DJ...in lots of places it is even hotter...For the US; [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/giant-dust-cloud-south-us-another-round-canadian-wildfire-smoke-northeast[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/giant-dust-cloud-south-us-another-round-canadian-wildfire-smoke-northeast - https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/giant-dust-cloud-south-us-another-round-canadian-wildfire-smoke-northeast ; AccuWeather meteorologists say massive dust clouds from Africa's Sahara Desert will traverse the Caribbean and the southeastern US this weekend. "Saharan dust is common most years across parts of the Atlantic basin and sometimes spreads as far west as the Caribbean and Florida," said AccuWeather Director of Forecast Operations Dan DePodwin. NOAA's weather satellites have spotted two dust plumes. The first is over the eastern Caribbean Sea and the southern Gulf of Mexico. There's an even larger one behind it. - Simultaneously, forecast models from The Weather Channel show the possibility that the https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/forecasting-models-show-third-round-canadian-wildfire-smoke-headed-us" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(20, 112, 178); - third round of Canadian wildfire smoke will blanket parts of the Northeast. but a lot of "wildfires" in many places result in poor air quality increasing the health/infection of respitory system risks.. (With ZH ending its story climate collapse is not real...) For BeNeLux [url]https://www.estofex.org/[/url] or https://www.estofex.org/ - https://www.estofex.org/ ; A level 2 was issued across the eastern Benelux and Northwest Germany for severe wind gusts, large hail, and excessive rainfall. DISCUSSION
France, Benelux, Germany, Switzerland...
Model guidance suggests that an elongated zone of convergent winds, related to a cold front, will stretch from the northern Netherlands to southwestern France. Substantial MLCAPE on the order of 1500-2000 J/kg will build in response to the diurnal heating of the most low-level air mass near this boundary. There, approximately 20 m/s of deep-layer shear will be present, suggesting that storms will be well-organized.
In particular, across the level 2 area, quite high storm coverage is simulated. The severe risk will be large (2-5 cm) hail with any more isolated storms, but most convection-allowing models do simulate a quick transition into a linear mode, which would elevate the wind risk. These models suggest the highest risk of wind gusts will develop in case a bow echo propagating north-northeastward along the boundary materializes. However, this does not seem to be the most likely scenario. Regardless of the scenario, scattered severe wind reports are likely, but in case of such a bow echo wind speeds may become extreme and exceed 32 m/s.
Overnight the storms should gradually diminish in intensity and move eastward across Germany and the North Sea into Denmark. DJ, during the process the weather "situation" may develop to "code red/level 3" ; [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_European_floods[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_European_floods - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_European_floods ; Weather events[ https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2021_European_floods&action=edit§ion=1" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: nowrap;" title="Edit section: Weather events - edit ]Between 12 and 15 July 2021, heavy rain fell across the United Kingdom, western Germany, and neighbouring Netherlands, Belgium, and Luxembourg. A storm complex moved east from France into Germany and stalled over the region for two days. Precipitation was intense in the East of Belgium, with 271.5 millimetres (10.69 in) of rain over 48 hours in Jalhay and 217 millimetres (8.5 in) over 48 hours in Spa. Heavy rainfall was also seen in the south of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Rhine-Westphalia" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="North Rhine-Westphalia - North Rhine-Westphalia and north of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhineland-Palatinate" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Rhineland-Palatinate - Rhineland-Palatinate in Germany where accumulations averaged 100 to 150 mm (3.9 to 5.9 in) in 24 hours, equivalent to more than a month's worth of rain. In https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reifferscheid" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Reifferscheid - Reifferscheid , 207 mm (8.1 in) fell within a nine-hour period while https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cologne" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Cologne - Cologne observed 154 mm (6.1 in) in 24 hours. Some of the affected regions may not have seen rainfall of this magnitude in the last 1,000 years. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_European_floods#cite_note-NYT_RI-14" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [14] Floods started in Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands, and Switzerland on 14 July 2021 after record rainfall across western Europe caused multiple rivers to burst their banks. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_European_floods#cite_note-bbc-15" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [15] The https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Flood_Awareness_System" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="European Flood Awareness System - European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) issued alerts of life-threatening floods in advance, which, although very vague, were delivered to national authorities. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_European_floods#cite_note-16" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [16] Extreme weather killed 243 people in NW Europe almost two years ago...it is very unpredictable...hills may results in lower lying grounds getting flash floods... Hail 2-5 cm may destroy harvests/glass houses further damaging food production. [url]https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL[/url] or https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL - https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL ; https://www.facebook.com/SamCarana?__cft__[0]=AZW8mF0bj2yaZnJtv5KMwy5JjvptyyMQTPqZ-ldnPkk140S2XrQbiJIEQAFeBLTYXut7YD-jFqO7e6VeiqWAQP75B2bsEEZE4wqtE8ROPkUPI3R7VVQhTYyMu_PGyQCzRlxVbe03wQZtvs11_1yVOYqUCAYMWtnvCdxB6m6hhpjYmMAFhRnVxZYkxdl31vme2mg&__tn__=-UC%2CP-y-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - Sam Carana
https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL#" style="color: inherit; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 400; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - - t - s - S - p - o - 5 - 1 - l - o - u - g - - j - 4 - 2 - 2 - m - 8 - 7 - m - 1 - t - 7 - f - u - c - 3 - l - 6 - · WHY IS THE TEMPERATURE RISING SO FAST? 1. Emissions are high and greenhouse gas levels keep rising. 2. We did come out of a La Niña that has for years been suppressing temperatures and we are now in an El Niño. Temperature anomalies can be very high during an El Niño. February 2016 on land was 3.28°C (5.904°F) hotter than 1880-1896, and 3.68°C (6.624°F) hotter compared to February 1880 on land. Note that 1880-1896 is not pre-industrial, the rise will be even larger when using a genuinely pre-industrial base. A 2023 study led by Tao Lian predicts the current El Niño to be strong. Moving from the bottom of a La Niña to the peak of a strong El Niño could make a difference of more than half a degree Celsius. 3. The June 2023 number of sunspots is more than twice as high as predicted. If this trend continues, the rise in sunspots forcing from May 2020 to July 2025 may well make a difference of more than 0.25°C, a recent analysis found. 4. The 2022 Tonga submarine volcano eruption did add a huge amount of water vapor to the atmosphere, as discussed in an earlier post. Since water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas, this is further contributing to speed up the temperature rise. A 2023 study calculates that the submarine volcano eruption near Tonga in January 2022 will have a warming effect of 0.12 Watts/m² over the next few years. 5. There are further things that contribute to the temperature rise, such as reductions of Sahara dust and of sulfur aerosols co-emitted with fossil fuel combustion that previously masked the temperature rise. This dire situation spells bad news regarding the temperature rise to come, the more so since, on top of these dire conditions, there are feedbacks and further developments that make the outlook even more threatening. DJ, denial of problems-"politics" is the best way to worsen the climate crisis...Some political fools want to get rich by pushing trillions into war industry and massive killing !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 11 2023 at 12:05am
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DJ, There is growing alarm on the very bad (sea)ice Antarctic situation...Antarctica has now 60x NL seize of sea ice less... [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/arctic-sea-ice-july-2023.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/arctic-sea-ice-july-2023.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/arctic-sea-ice-july-2023.html ; As the globe on the left shows, on July 9, 2023, sea surface temperatures as high as 13.5°C or 56.4°F were recorded at a location where the Mackenzie River flows into the Arctic Ocean (green circle). The globe at the center shows that sea surface temperature anomalies as high as 13.2°C or 23.7°F were recorded that day in the area marked by the green circle. Hot water from rivers ending in the Arctic Ocean is one way the water heats up.
The water of the Arctic Ocean also receives direct heat from sunlight. The globe on the right shows that on July 9, 2023, a temperature of 33°C or 91.3°F was recorded in Canada near the Arctic Ocean and near the Mackenzie River (green circle), with the heatwave on land extending over the Arctic Ocean.
Furthermore, heat is entering the Arctic Ocean from the North Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean, melting the sea ice from below. The image below, created with https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Climate Reanalyzer images, shows that the North Atlantic sea surface temperature was 24°C on July 8, 2023 (black), a full 1°C above the 23°C recorded on July 8, 2022 (orange). The above image also shows that a record high temperature was reached on the North Atlantic of 24.9°C on September 4, 2022.
The 2022 temperatures were reached while La Niña was suppressing temperatures, whereas El Niño is now pushing up temperatures, so even higher temperatures can be expected in September this year.
Since Arctic sea ice typically reaches a minimum extent for the year about mid-September, there still are a few weeks of melting to go this year.
Arctic sea ice is getting very thin. The image on the right, adapted from https://seaice.uni-bremen.de/start" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Uni of Bremen , shows the sea ice thickness in cm on July 8, 2023. The dire situation is getting more dire every day, calling for a https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/climate-emergency-declaration.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Climate Emergency Declaration and implementation of comprehensive and effective action, as described in the https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/climateplan.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Climate Plan with an update at https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/10/transforming-society.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Transforming Society . A look at [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/10/transforming-society.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/10/transforming-society.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/10/transforming-society.html shows how much governments are failing to protect the planet...We may be Venus-like within decades... [url]https://www.ventusky.com/?p=11;-23;1&l=temperature-2m&t=20230713/1900[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/?p=11;-23;1&l=temperature-2m&t=20230713/1900 - https://www.ventusky.com/?p=11;-23;1&l=temperature-2m&t=20230713/1900 showing how much to high temperatures reach the Arctic not only in Canada/Alaska but also East Siberia, Scandinavia... -----------
https://twitter.com/Laurie_Garrett" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/Laurie_Garrett" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Laurie Garrett
https://twitter.com/Laurie_Garrett" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · Air temps as low as 34 °C (92 F) cause a steady increase in heart rate under humid conditions. Cardiovascular strain occurs even before a person’s internal temp starts to rise.
There's a slew of new science on the heart’s struggles when exposed to heat. DJ, Climate change may kill you by overheating...[url]https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-023-02419-z[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-023-02419-z - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-023-02419-z ; Over 70,000 excess deaths occurred in Europe during the summer of 2003. The resulting societal awareness led to the design and implementation of adaptation strategies to protect at-risk populations. We aimed to quantify heat-related mortality burden during the summer of 2022, the hottest season on record in Europe. We analyzed the Eurostat mortality database, which includes 45,184,044 counts of death from 823 contiguous regions in 35 European countries, representing the whole population of over 543 million people. We estimated 61,672 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 37,643–86,807) heat-related deaths in Europe between 30 May and 4 September 2022. Italy (18,010 deaths; 95% CI = 13,793–22,225), Spain (11,324; 95% CI = 7,908–14,880) and Germany (8,173; 95% CI = 5,374–11,018) had the highest summer heat-related mortality numbers, while Italy (295 deaths per million, 95% CI = 226–364), Greece (280, 95% CI = 201–355), Spain (237, 95% CI = 166–312) and Portugal (211, 95% CI = 162–255) had the highest heat-related mortality rates. Relative to population, we estimated 56% more heat-related deaths in women than men, with higher rates in men aged 0–64 (+41%) and 65–79 (+14%) years, and in women aged 80+ years (+27%). Our results call for a reevaluation and strengthening of existing heat surveillance platforms, prevention plans and long-term adaptation strategies. This year, also other places, could see over 1 million people dying from heat-stress...Of course water/food/logistic problems kill many more...I am amzed [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ - https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ has no excess deaths from heat waves in the south of Europe... [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.650.html#lastPost still has Arctic (Sea) Ice now at #14 (!!!) position...quality of ice, thickness, multi-year ice, however tells a much worse story...
https://twitter.com/extremetemps" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/extremetemps" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Extreme Temperatures Around The World
https://twitter.com/extremetemps" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · China and Japan are under terribly hot and muggy conditions with >40C in hundreds stations in China and above 38C in Japan.
Humidity makes the heat unbearable in both capitals Beijing and Tokyo today.
But watch what it's coming to China next:50C might hit Turfan in some days. A look at [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.100.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.100.html - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.100.html ; The cumulative melt and the SMB (Surface Mass Balance) losses during the melt season were so high that no year since has been anywhere close. An extreme extreme outlier.
DMI have the data, but have not published the daily Melt and SMB data for the years before 2017. They have plans to do so, but no funding. Budget on a shoestring syndrome. Last EDIT: Despite that extraordinary melt, over the DMI year Sept to Aug precipitation exceeded melt+runoff, so the SMB increased but by much less than average. The trend is for melt to increase but also precipitation, so annual SMB increase is expected to increase further until a tipping point is reached, caused by higher melt and more precipitation falling as rain on snow events. Someone needs to cough up funding so DMI can do more including more published data. DJ, Greenland may see massive melt...but also high snowfall... Antarctica; [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3550.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3550.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3550.html#lastPost ; On the probability 2023 sea ice area will set a new record low maximum
The current record low maximum in 2002 is 14.16 million km2.
Current sea ice area is 9.72 million km2, 4.44 million km2 below the record low maximum.
Average sea ice area gain from now to maximum is 2.55 million km2.
To reach the current record low maximum, sea ice gains need to be 1.89 million KM2, 74%, above the average.
The maximum sea ice area gain in the years 2006 to 2022 was 3.86 million KM2, 51% above the average. This was in 2007, and was pretty much an outlier
The probability of a new record low maximum sea ice area in 2023 is therefore high a look at [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=1760.0;attach=377266;image[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=1760.0;attach=377266;image - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=1760.0;attach=377266;image Thwaites glacier may give some indications on what to expect of glaciers in many places... High temperatures in the Alps-Central Europe may melt the ice keeping rocks glued together in mountain area's... -DJ-The climate collapse is increasing in speed...we are still in the early phase of summer 23...the worst is still to come !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 14 2023 at 12:13am
https://twitter.com/PopCounts" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/PopCounts" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Population Counts
https://twitter.com/PopCounts" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · 11th July is World Population Day. It was first marked in 1990, when world population was 5.2bn. Today, 33 years later, it's over 8 billion! .. an increase of more than 50% in one generation.
Is it any wonder that the Earth's ecosystem is failing under the weight of human demand? DJ, if every human does not change eating meat, mobility demands (cars, planes) we can not survive.... [url]https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith[/url] or https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith - https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith lots of info on climate collapse...so has [url]https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL[/url] or https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL - https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL ...parts of US may reach 120F/50C...parts of southern Europe expected to be over 100F/40C...even worse [url]https://www.ventusky.com/?p=11;-23;1&l=temperature-2m&t=20230715/0200[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/?p=11;-23;1&l=temperature-2m&t=20230715/0200 - https://www.ventusky.com/?p=11;-23;1&l=temperature-2m&t=20230715/0200 may indicate East Siberia, Norway, Alaska/Canada coast with Arctic Ocean could see 20C/70F+ temperatures daily.... [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/12/prepare-now-extreme-heat-says-red-cross-appeal-governments-worldwide[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/12/prepare-now-extreme-heat-says-red-cross-appeal-governments-worldwide - https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/12/prepare-now-extreme-heat-says-red-cross-appeal-governments-worldwide ; The Red Cross is calling on governments to prepare for extreme heat. The aid organization is advocating for implementing measures now, saying that extreme heat is no longer at arm's length. "If we don't adapt, we can expect an unprecedented increase in death rates from that heat in the coming years," said Fleur Monasso, program manager at the Red Cross Climate Center in The Hague. Earlier this week, a study was published that showed that more than 61,000 people died as a result of the heat during the European summer last year. If nothing is done to protect people from rising temperatures, about 68,000 people will die from heat each summer in Europe by 2030, the researchers estimated. That number will continue to increase in subsequent years. DJ, this may be even over optimistic...Ice is cooling the planet...and that ice is melting high speed in many places... ----------- From a new preprint of a 2-year, prospective follow-up cohort of unvaccinated individuals with Covid in Spain
"Recovery is extremely rare [from #LongCovid] during the first 2 years [full = 7.6%], posing a major challenge to healthcare systems." https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4505315 So we may have tens of millions -if not hundreds of millions- of people dealing with the long term effects of catching CoViD... [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/07/finnish-food-authority-statement-on.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/07/finnish-food-authority-statement-on.html - https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/07/finnish-food-authority-statement-on.html (etc) Both CoViD and H5N1 is now spreading and mutating in mammals... The sea/ocean is getting that warm in many places oxygen levels become to low for lots of sea life...So one may see interaction between less water/air quality-resulting in more vulnerability for infections-massive die-off of sea life...We are allready in a mass extinction event ! Poor air quality in combination with long/chronic CoViD (and aging/bad health) -wet bulb temperatures- could kill millions THIS YEAR !!! [url]https://www.worldometers.info/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/ - https://www.worldometers.info/ now has twice as many births as deaths per day worldwide...That pattern soon may change...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 16 2023 at 5:09am
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[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/m-7-4-earthquake-off-alaska-coast-tsunami-warning-issued[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/m-7-4-earthquake-off-alaska-coast-tsunami-warning-issued - https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/m-7-4-earthquake-off-alaska-coast-tsunami-warning-issued ...less alarming [url]https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/16/americas/alaska-earthquake-tsunami-advisory/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/16/americas/alaska-earthquake-tsunami-advisory/index.html - https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/16/americas/alaska-earthquake-tsunami-advisory/index.html ; A tsunami advisory issued after a magnitude 7.2 earthquake struck off the coast of Alaska late Saturday has since been canceled, officials said. The earthquake hit offshore about 55 miles southwest from Sand Point, Alaska, at a depth of 13 mi. on Saturday around 10:48 p.m. local (2:48 a.m. ET), according to the https://tsunami.gov/" style="box-sizing: inherit; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; text-rendering: optimizelegibility; font-family: cnn_sans_display, helveticaneue, Helvetica, Arial, Utkal, sans-serif; font-weight: 400; font-size: var(--theme-paragraph__font-size--from-small); line-height: var(--theme-paragraph__line-height--from-small); color: var(--theme-paragraph__link-color); text-decoration-line: var(--theme-paragraph__link-decoration); text-decoration-color: var(--theme-paragraph__link-decoration-color); text-decoration-thickness: var(--theme-paragraph__link-decoration-thickness); text-underline-offset: var(--theme-paragraph__hover-link-offset); text-decoration-skip-ink: var(--theme-underline-skip-ink); - US Tsunami Warning Center . The quake prompted a brief tsunami warning for parts of Alaska near the Aleutian islands, extending from Unimak Pass to Kennedy Entrance, before being revised to a tsunami advisory. A small tsunami was later observed up to 0.5 feet in elevation at Sand Point and King Cove, Alaska.
There is no tsunami threat for other Pacific coasts in the US and Canada, the advisory said. The Alaska Volcano Observatory provided a threat notice for the Shishaldin volcano after it sent up a plume of ash earlier Saturday, https://m.facebook.com/alaska.avo" style="box-sizing: inherit; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; text-rendering: optimizelegibility; font-family: cnn_sans_display, helveticaneue, Helvetica, Arial, Utkal, sans-serif; font-weight: 400; font-size: var(--theme-paragraph__font-size--from-small); line-height: var(--theme-paragraph__line-height--from-small); color: var(--theme-paragraph__link-color); text-decoration-line: var(--theme-paragraph__link-decoration); text-decoration-color: var(--theme-paragraph__link-decoration-color); text-decoration-thickness: var(--theme-paragraph__link-decoration-thickness); text-underline-offset: var(--theme-paragraph__hover-link-offset); text-decoration-skip-ink: var(--theme-underline-skip-ink); - according to a social media post. There is a “watch” currently in effect for the Shishaldin volcano. According to the observatory, seismic tremor aptitudes began to increase at around 5 p.m. local. DJ, what part of this quake may have climate collapse links ? Or is there no link at all ? Another "claim" is one could expect a "major" earthquake to see a follow up on the other side of the globe...What could be seen here as "the other side of the globe"? New Zealand-Fiji is "only south" ...south part of the Pacific ring of fire...Will South Africa region see some sort of reaction ? ------- [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7 - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7 Hot ocean water so far did not mean lots of hurricanes [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqzQpdhwPjY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqzQpdhwPjY - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqzQpdhwPjY El Nino may bring lots of wind shear to the Atlantic-different winds at different heights. Also Sahara-dust/dry air could hinder formation of hurricanes...But there could be signs el Nino is not that strong-resulting in less wind shear...increasing risks record hot ocean waters will feed major hurricanes this season..And the long term trend is hurricanes go from West Africa to the US/central America and some of them may go north and then move east towards Greenland/Europe...So the chances for Western Europe being affected by an Atlantic hurricane is growing...it may also increase heat transport towards the Arctic... ------------ Among lots of other "weather news" [url]https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20230716001153315?section=national/national[/url] or https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20230716001153315?section=national/national - https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20230716001153315?section=national/national ; SEOUL, July 16 (Yonhap) -- Flooding and landslides caused by heavy rains have killed 37 people nationwide and left nine people missing, while thousands have evacuated their homes due to rain damage, authorities said Sunday. The Central Disaster and Safety Countermeasure Headquarters said 37 people had reportedly been killed in the aftermath of the heavy rains that have pounded the country since last week, while nine others remained missing as of 6 a.m. The death toll includes nine bodies authorities recovered from a bus trapped in a flooded underground tunnel in the central town of Osong. Flooding a.o. in the news in New Delhi-India, parts of the US... -------------- [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-large-radiation-spike-in-eastern-ukraine[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-large-radiation-spike-in-eastern-ukraine - https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-large-radiation-spike-in-eastern-ukraine with [url]https://remap.jrc.ec.europa.eu/Advanced.aspx[/url] or https://remap.jrc.ec.europa.eu/Advanced.aspx - https://remap.jrc.ec.europa.eu/Advanced.aspx UA34304 Kolomak back to normal... UA33621 Kobeliaky still showing abnormalities tough...less extreme...(depleted uranium ammunition used by NATO ? Radio-activa NATO storage hit by Russiam missiles ?) )
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 16 2023 at 11:58pm
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"Here comes the rain again" to New York...it is NOT "mother nature" it is climate collapse...Canada did see a record level of wild fires, 2,5 times the seize of NL this year was burned...air quality in Canada, US "problematic"....soot ending up on arctic ice... In the south of Europe temperatures may end up above 40C/110F later in this week... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tua4p9ns2JY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tua4p9ns2JY - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tua4p9ns2JY ; Jason Box It’s not just flooding in Vermont, Japan, Mexico, new study documents deluge rains to Greenland Article: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbnI4ZkJ5XzJteXNDYW9xTnZNT1pMYk5meFRPQXxBQ3Jtc0ttMk1mWTlSZURIQ2lpenkyR2hFUG5VWldrRkV0UnJqaTZtVkoybGd4MGlfLVkyT0Jjb3U3ZnpnZ3U4V2xNWjFWQjY1b3luZENpVjlHamJXaE4zS1kwTkNUcWRxVDdhTzFiT3FnSEtiTVhCVmlVMkJYbw&q=http%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1002%2Fmet.2134&v=Tua4p9ns2JY" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.2134 We add a new term to the atmospheric river vocabulary, “rapids” Copernicus, Arctic, Regional, Reanalysis video: ”What is the Copernicus Arctic Regional Reanalysis? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8gfrJ853UY&t=0s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline-flex; color: inherit; align-items: center;" tabindex="0" target="">  • What is the Coper... 2021 August rain study videos Long version https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMSLj0EUpCM&t=0s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline-flex; color: inherit; align-items: center;" tabindex="0" target="">  • Greenland Ice She... Short version https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nARDWrA6jzk&t=0s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline-flex; color: inherit; align-items: center;" tabindex="0" target="">  • Greenland Ice She... Article: Box, J. E., Wehrlé, A., van As, D., Fausto, R. S., Kjeldsen, K. K., Dachauer, A., Ahlstrøm, A. P., and Picard, G., (2022). Greenland ice sheet rainfall, heat and albedo feedback impacts from the mid-August 2021 atmospheric River. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL097356. https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbUhBUl9SQjM1V25NWTFFZENYZDV0LWFzbVNrUXxBQ3Jtc0ttMG9FNUVGcEZuQ002YktRejh1MjhIRzZZVWNDZXZXRmVNenMybk01VGp5YVJRMkRtZjd4VFduVEpXUmxzNzV2Q2RsaFBCUm1venQ2aGVwLWt3MG9CNXNvenFESWk0SzluMTR4ODkwVmRnUlVZTnpYWQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fdoi.org%2F10.1029%2F2021GL097356&v=Tua4p9ns2JY" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097356 DJ, rivers-in-the-sky melting ice in Greenland, Antarctica...wind eroding ice and snow...rain seeking into ice holes... I used to believe volcanoes may slow down climate collapse...water vapor from volcanic eruptions could increase climate collapse...Also land-ice and glaciersflowing into the ocean may decrease temperatures nearby for some time...the effect of slowing down climate collapse is not strong enough... We are in very serious troubles...dealing with both the global climate and health crises should be the only priority...the "political crisis" in the US, UK, however only is making matters worse and keep pushing us towards a nuclear war we can not survive...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 21 2023 at 12:00am
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[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/planetary-inferno-nero-fiddles-while-rome-burns.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/planetary-inferno-nero-fiddles-while-rome-burns.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/planetary-inferno-nero-fiddles-while-rome-burns.html ; The fast rise in global warming manifested by current extreme weather events betrays a dangerous underestimation of the Earth’s liveable climate, while governments ignore climate science, claim to set limits on domestic emissions, but allow major https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/global-hydrocarbon-exports-in-the-21-century-general-trends-and-risks" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - export of fossil fuels and emissions worldwide on a scale threatening life on Earth. With current policies, there appear to exist few limits on global carbon emissions, as reported by https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev.energy.22.1.217" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Rogner (1997) : “The global fossil resource base is abundant and is estimated at approximately 5000 Gt (billion tons). Compared to current global primary energy use of some 10 Gt per year, this amount is certainly sufficient to fuel the world economy through the twenty-first century”. According to these estimates, future production of https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0016236110002954" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - coal , oil and gas render a https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/18/science/extinction-global-warming.html#:~:text=Trilobites-,Burning%20Fossil%20Fuels%20Helped%20Drive%20Earth" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - mass extinction of advanced species more than likely . DJ [url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/07/dutch-train-tickets-are-pricey-compared-with-other-eu-countries/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/07/dutch-train-tickets-are-pricey-compared-with-other-eu-countries/ - https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/07/dutch-train-tickets-are-pricey-compared-with-other-eu-countries/ Greenpeace [url]https://www.greenpeace.org/nl/greenpeace/59556/treintickets-gemiddeld-twee-keer-zo-duur-als-vliegen/[/url] or https://www.greenpeace.org/nl/greenpeace/59556/treintickets-gemiddeld-twee-keer-zo-duur-als-vliegen/ - https://www.greenpeace.org/nl/greenpeace/59556/treintickets-gemiddeld-twee-keer-zo-duur-als-vliegen/ (in English) did look at the costs of trains compared to planes...Trains are much more tax-ed...while planes-even on short distances- do not have to pay AVT, tax on fuel etc...poluting over 5x as much as trains... DJ-Politics has become empty bla-bla...an insult to voters ! In Germany the "green party" could get into government but insulted their voters as a bunch of crazy war mongers...(I had high hopes of German Greens...I am very, very disappointed in them !!!). [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/20/nl-gets-2-tropical-days-every-degree-warming-mediterranean-warming-alarmingly[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/20/nl-gets-2-tropical-days-every-degree-warming-mediterranean-warming-alarmingly - https://nltimes.nl/2023/07/20/nl-gets-2-tropical-days-every-degree-warming-mediterranean-warming-alarmingly ; The Netherlands gets two extra tropical days for every degree of global warming, the meteorological institute https://www.knmi.nl/over-het-knmi/nieuws/met-elke-graad-opwarming-komen-er-twee-tropische-dagen-bij" style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(33, 70, 139); text-decoration: underline; - KNMI reported on Thursday, one day after the Spanish weather institute Aemet raised the alarm about the increasing temperatures of the Mediterranean Sea. Spain is in the midst of its third heatwave this year. The average temperature of the Mediterranean Sea at the Spanish coast reached 24.6 degrees this month - 2.2 degrees higher than typical for this time of year, Aemet reported. The seawater in Spain hasn’t been this hot since measurements started in 1940. The Netherlands has had three tropical days - when thermometers top 30 degrees Celsius at the national weather station in De Bilt - so far this summer. A hundred years ago, the average was one tropical day per summer. Now it’s already 4.5, the KNMI said. “A relatively small warming causes a relatively rapid increase in the number of hot days,” the KNMI said. Summers in the Netherlands have become 2 degrees warmer. “The number of tropical days has increased by more than a factor of four.” The increase in hot days can be seen throughout Europe and is currently very visible in Spain with its third heatwave. Weather agency Aemet stressed that the record for the warmest seawater wasn’t broken by a little. It was broken by a lot, spokesperson Ruben del Campo told the press agency AFP. The previous record was 24 degrees Celsius in 2015. The new record is 24.6, and the summer is far from over. Looking at averages doesn’t make you realize the whole story, ecologist Anieke van Leeuwen of the Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ) told https://nos.nl/collectie/13871/artikel/2483450-zeetemperatuur-in-spanje-breekt-record-hitte-kan-keten-van-effecten-hebben" style="box-sizing: border-box; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(33, 70, 139); text-decoration: underline; - NOS . “If you only look at the average, it seems like small values. But an average goes up because there are more days with much higher temperatures. And places that are much warmer. With the climate crisis we are in now, extremes are becoming more and more common.” In the southeast of Spain, sea temperatures have risen to 28 degrees in some places. The measuring point near the Balearic Islands even recorded 29 degrees. The high water temperatures have a significant impact on marine life. But outside the water, it also means that ambient temperatures cool down very little at night. “If we want to limit a further increase in heat, greenhouse gas emissions must be reduced and CO2 must be removed from the air,” the KNMI stressed. DJ...and we do NOT !!!! have the technology to remove CO2 from the air on any major scale other than trees.... With atmospheric CO₂ levels reaching https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - 423 parts per million , according to James Hansen and colleagues humanity is facing a new Frontier, marked by intense heatwaves, more than vindicating warnings by climate scientists over the last 40 years or so. Within less than a century, the levels of CO₂ and temperatures have risen to levels of the Miocene (23.03–5.33 million years ago), with implications for sea level rise ( http://www.climatecodered.org/2023/06/james-hansens-new-climate-bomb-are.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Spratt, 2023 ). Hominids, living during glacial to inter-glacial periods, rarely had to endure mean temperatures higher than 50°C, which are increasingly common at present. Governments, busy subsidizing new coal mines and oil and gas wells and arming to the teeth for nuclear war, appear to be oblivious to the lessons of the last great world wars. we need a "revolution" to avoid the "end game scenario" if that still is possible... There was a time when kings and generals would fall on their sword when they were defeated, or when their faith in their gods collapsed. Nowadays so-called leaders, assuming opportunistic positions, betray the defence of their own people and of nature, protecting or advancing their own careers. The voices of climate scientists have become subdued, ignored or non-existent. There may not be too many historians to document the 20-21ˢᵗ centuries crimes against humanity and against nature.
DJ, climate crisis=food crisis= health crisis= global war... It is all linked !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 22 2023 at 1:48am
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[url]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/19/climate-crisis-james-hansen-scientist-warning[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/19/climate-crisis-james-hansen-scientist-warning - https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/19/climate-crisis-james-hansen-scientist-warning ; Scientists have estimated, through reconstructions based on evidence gathered via ice cores, tree rings and sediment deposits, that the current surge in heating has already brought global temperatures to levels not seen on Earth since about 125,000 years ago, before the last ice age. “We quite possibly are already living in a climate that no human has lived through before and we are certainly living in a climate that no human has lived in since before the birth of agriculture,” said Bob Kopp, a climate scientist at Rutgers University. Should global temperatures rise by a further 1C or more, which is widely predicted to happen by the end of the century barring a drastic reduction in emissions, Huber said Hansen was “broadly correct” that the world will be plunged into the sort of warmth not seen since 1-3m years ago, a period of time called the Pliocene. “That is a radically different world,” said Huber of an epoch in which it was warm enough for beech trees to grow near the south pole and sea levels were about 20 meters higher than now, which would today drown most coastal cities. A look at [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#Ancient_and_post-classical_history[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#Ancient_and_post-classical_history - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#Ancient_and_post-classical_history Estimates of the population of the world at the time agriculture emerged in around 10,000 BC have ranged between 1 million and 15 million. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-16" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [16] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-17" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [17] Even earlier, genetic evidence suggests humans may have gone through a population bottleneck of between 1,000 and 10,000 people about 70,000 BC, according to the now largely discredited https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toba_catastrophe_theory" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Toba catastrophe theory - Toba catastrophe theory . By contrast, it is estimated that around 50–60 million people lived in the combined eastern and western https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_Empire" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Roman Empire - Roman Empire in the 4th century AD. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-18" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [18] The https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plague_of_Justinian" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Plague of Justinian - Plague of Justinian caused Europe's population to drop by around 50% between the 6th and 8th centuries AD. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-19" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [19] The population of Europe was more than 70 million in 1340. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-20" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [20] From 1340 to 1400, the world's population fell from an estimated 443 million to 350–375 million, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-21" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [21] with the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_subcontinent" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Indian subcontinent - Indian subcontinent suffering the most tremendous loss and Europe suffering the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Death" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Black Death - Black Death https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandemic" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Pandemic - pandemic ; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-Essai_sur_l'%C3%A9volution_du_nombre_des_hommes-22" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [22] it took 200 years for European population figures to recover. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-23" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [23] The population of China decreased from 123 million in 1200 to 65 million in 1393, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-24" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [24] presumably from a combination of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mongol_Empire" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Mongol Empire - Mongol invasions, famine, and plague. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#cite_note-25" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [25] [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#/media/File:Illustration_of_contemporary_and_past_human_populations_Our_World_in_Data.png[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#/media/File:Illustration_of_contemporary_and_past_human_populations_Our_World_in_Data.png - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#/media/File:Illustration_of_contemporary_and_past_human_populations_Our_World_in_Data.png In 1990 global (human) population was 5,2 billion...in 2022 we did pass 8 billion people [url]https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ - https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ moving towards 8,050 million within a few weeks...All the time we knew overpopulation was a major problem-but we failed to stop it... So the climate may be moving towards an earth with only a few million people - while population for now keeps growing 8 billion +....We have to change food production (reduce meat consumption). [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/pfizer-plant-damaged-tornado-could-worsen-nationwide-drug-shortage-crisis[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/pfizer-plant-damaged-tornado-could-worsen-nationwide-drug-shortage-crisis - https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/pfizer-plant-damaged-tornado-could-worsen-nationwide-drug-shortage-crisis Climate disasters are already decreasing production/logistics for essentials; water, food, pharma..."Politics" investing in war(industry)...NOT in solutions... Dengue, malaria etc. are climate related-and expected to become major problems soon...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 24 2023 at 10:08pm
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Wildfires in a.o. Greece, Algeria, Tunesia resulting in mass evacuations of both tourists and population-destroying tourism...But also destroying agriculture, forests, wildlife...Temperatures often 40C+...some places may even see 50C+...wind, drought, create an explosive mixture... Here in NL it is "cold" 20C, wind, rain...an extreme in the other direction... [url]https://www.estofex.org/[/url] or https://www.estofex.org/ - https://www.estofex.org/ ; A level 3 was issued across Austria, Northwest Hungary, and western Slovakia mainly for damaging winds and very large hail, and to a lesser extent for very heavy rainfall.
A level 3 was issued across northern Italy, northern Slovenia, and extreme southern Austria for very large to giant hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, and to a lesser extent for very heavy rainfall.
A level 2 was issued across a larger area surrounding the level 3 for all hazards, particularly large hail, and severe wind. DJ, hail becoming blocks of -hand seize- ice...extreme rain in a short time...destroying harvests, buildings...wounding/killing people... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nagmRzCMEVM&t=1s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nagmRzCMEVM&t=1s - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nagmRzCMEVM&t=1s Jason Box on extreme rain/melt in Greenland... a data dive reveals parts of Greenland have record setting melt losses DJ, 3 km thick ice may push parts of Greenland 1 km downward...Less ice pressure may not only result in "lifting" of the underlying landmass-creating seismic activity...very likely also volcanic activity could get more chances...So far the increase of Greenland ice melt did add <1 mm per year to sea level rise...Melting ice reaching the ocean did see the sea around Greenland getting colder...this year influx of warm ocean water is enough to undo the influx of meltwater in sea temperatures... There should be no doubt that rapid "climate change" will worsen health for many species increasing even more pandemic risks...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 28 2023 at 12:12am
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[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html ;On July 25, 2023, the North Atlantic sea surface reached a temperature of 24.9°C, a record high in a tie with early September 2022. In previous years, a La Niña was suppressing temperatures, whereas El Niño is now pushing up temperatures. Arctic sea ice typically reaches its minimum extent about half September. We are facing huge sea ice loss over the coming weeks. [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P5fqYfyJ_ZQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P5fqYfyJ_ZQ - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P5fqYfyJ_ZQ ; The Climate Crisis Is Also A Health CrisisAs extreme weather including heatwaves intensifies, CCAG's world-leading climate experts and guests explore how the climate crisis is affecting health. Professor Mark Maslin opens our discussion with a keynote presentation. Hosted by climate justice activist Mitzi Jonelle Tan. from [url]https://ccag.earth/about[/url] or https://ccag.earth/about - https://ccag.earth/about ; Climate Crisis Advisery Group We are an independent group of experts reflecting a wide range of academic disciplines, comprising 15 experts from 10 nations. CCAG members include leading authorities in climate science, carbon emissions, energy, environment, and natural resources. Some of our members also participate in governmental advisory groups. The function of CCAG is complementary to these other roles. All scientists have agreed to give up their time at no cost. DJ, Maybe "informed people" should try to get a form of "global citizenship"....Politics/governments fail on global problems...from food and water safety to global health... In the CCAG video also 35C and 100% humidity can kill you within hours...because heat can not find a way out of your body if you can not cool it with water, air-co etc. Food, higher sea level, may be the longer term problems... [url]https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/july-2023-set-be-hottest-month-record[/url] or https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/july-2023-set-be-hottest-month-record - https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/july-2023-set-be-hottest-month-record ; Bonn and Geneva, 27/07/2023 (Copernicus and WMO) - According to ERA5 data from the EU-funded Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), the first three weeks of July have been the warmest three-week period on record and the month is on track to be the hottest July and the hottest month on record. These temperatures have been related to heatwaves in large parts of North America, Asia and Europe, which along with wildfires in countries including Canada and Greece, have had major impacts on people’s health, the environment and economies. « We don’t have to wait for the end of the month to know this. Short of a mini-Ice Age over the next days, July 2023 will shatter records across the board, » said United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres. « According to the data released today, July has already seen the hottest three-week period ever recorded; the three hottest days on record; and the highest-ever ocean temperatures for this time of year, » Mr Guterres told journalists at UN headquarters in New York. « For vast parts of North America, Asia, Africa and Europe – it is a cruel summer. For the entire planet, it is a disaster. And for scientists, it is unequivocal – humans are to blame.
All this is entirely consistent with predictions and repeated warnings. The only surprise is the speed of the change, » said Mr Guterres. On July 6, the daily average global mean surface air temperature surpassed the record set in August 2016, making it the hottest day on record, with July 5 and July 7 shortly behind. The first three weeks of July have been the warmest three-week period on record. Global mean temperature temporarily exceeded the 1.5° Celsius threshold above preindustrial level during the first and third week of the month (within observational error). Since May, the global average sea surface temperature* has been well above previously observed values for the time of the year; contributing to the exceptionally warm July.It is extremely likely that July 2023 will be the hottest July and also the hottest month on record, following on from the hottest June on record. According to ERA5 data the previous hottest month on record was July 2019. Complete ERA5 data for July will be available and published by C3S in their upcoming monthly bulletin on August 8. It is extremely likely that July 2023 will be the hottest July and also the hottest month on record, following on from the hottest June on record DJ, CO2 and some other gasses in the atmosphere are able to store heat "better". Ocean water so far did absorp over 90% of increased heat...at a certain moment the sea water heat will increase heating up the atmosphere also...A turning point can result in coastal area's getting warmer than inland area's... Overheating may kill lots of people and animals soon... However; El Nino may increase shear winds limiting hurricane formation on the Atlantic. Also sahara-dust over the Atlantic also could limit extreme storms...Both sahara-dust and wild fire smoke do worsen air quality. With tens of millions of people dealing with long CoViD health issues worsening air quality may further increase excess deaths.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: July 29 2023 at 12:10am
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Let me connect [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKEtLdfPQLk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKEtLdfPQLk - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKEtLdfPQLk Democracy Now! ; The movie Oppenheimer about the "father of the atomic bomb" focuses on J. Robert Oppenheimer's conflicted feelings about the weapons of mass destruction he helped unleash on the world, and how officials ignored those concerns after World War II as the Cold War started an arms race. Journalist Greg Mitchell says that while the film is well made and worth seeing, "the omissions are quite serious." He says there is little mention of the dangers of radiation and no focus on the impact of the bomb on its victims in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The film also does not question the necessity of using the bomb in the first place, upholding the "official narrative … that has held sway since 1945," says Mitchell. with The Duran [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GYvqzybt5Tw&t=12s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GYvqzybt5Tw&t=12s - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GYvqzybt5Tw&t=12s ; Counter-offensive reboot. Regime change in Moscow still the goal DJ....there are claims there is still "diplomacy" between the US and Russia; former diplomats telling the Russian government two things; -Putin has to go -Russia has to break ties with China Somehow western "politics/media" are surprised "US diplomacy" is not a success for the NATO-west...With j.biden increasingly in legal problems-even with the US "justice department" trying to ignore all the evidence against the "biden crime family"...v.-f..k the EU-nuland did get promoted....She will be telling blinken what to do...or does she de facto run the US ? [url]https://tass.com/politics/1653919[/url] or https://tass.com/politics/1653919 - https://tass.com/politics/1653919 ; Addressing the African leaders, the Russian president said: "Your approach, your ideas - all this echoes the points of the Chinese peace plan for Ukrainian settlement, presented in February" DJ...however the real problem is a US run by the insane ...with lots of nuclear weapons...The major job -for BRICS, EU, US citizens,- is to get someone with some intellect running the US... The US is pumping weapons into Taiwan-part of China...Russia-Iran-China may increase "military cooperation" with Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela... I do discuss this in NATO-BRICS conflict but the insanity in "NATO-land" only seems to get worse...with another Ukraine army destroyed...It may be not "if" but "when" will j.biden go nuclear ? -------------- Paul Beckwith/PB [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nh1MbBmxOII[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nh1MbBmxOII - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nh1MbBmxOII ; I expand on my last video on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) Shitdown and Catastrophic Consequences to Humanity. The key chain of events is as follows…. 1) Global warming hole south of Greenland and warming water off East coast of North America, isotopic analyses of sediments, physical monitoring of ocean column, and other proxies all show that the AMOC has slowed significantly, and ocean water currents comprising AMOC are the slowest in the last 1000 years. 2) Nonlinear physics analyses shows that probability of AMOC shutdown between 2025 and 2095 is 95%, with highest likelihood by around 2050. 3) AMOC shutdown would basically cool northern hemisphere and warm southern hemisphere. 4) High Arctic north of Canadian Archipelago, Greenland, and Scandinavian countries would cool as much as 8C, Western Europe would cool 2 to 3 C, and eastern Canada by 1 to 2C. Southern hemisphere by Latin America and western African coast would warm by 2 to 3 C. 5) With ITCZ (Intertropical Convergence Zone) shifting from just north of equator to just south of equator, precipitation would increase up to 100% around 15 degrees S latitude and decrease this amount at 15 degrees N latitude. 6) Dynamic sea level change would be large. Between Antarctica and southern tips of South America and Australia, sea level would drop a foot, Gulf of Mexico to Mediterranean would increase a foot, high Arctic would rise as much as 3 to 9 feet. DJ but also the effects on sea-life will be very dramatic....CO2 absorption via algae would decrease... PB also discusses extreme hail storms in lots of places...Here in NL we have now several weeks BELOW !!! average temperatures...The "weirding" is increasing... In my view a weak spot with lots of experts is they end up in a sort of tunnelvision not connecting dots...[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html (PB does connect the dots...so he is seen by some as "alarmist"...those "some" claim we have untill 2100...or "still yers" to solve the problems..."Feeding" politics kicking cans down the road to "save profits/economy"... -------------- [url]https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/07/27/mpfs-j27.html[/url] or https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/07/27/mpfs-j27.html - https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/07/27/mpfs-j27.html ; Consistent with the World Socialist Web Site’s (WSWS) warnings of a summer surge of COVID infections as evidenced by wastewater levels of SARS-CoV-2, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ( https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_weeklyhospitaladmissions_select_00" rel="noopener" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-decoration: none; box-shadow: rgb(153, 153, 153) 0px -1px 0px inset; transition: background-color 350ms ease-out 0s, box-shadow 200ms ease-out 0s, color 200ms ease-out 0s; - CDC ) reported this week that hospitalizations due to infections with the coronavirus were up by more than 10 percent across the country. These have also been substantiated by the rise in emergency room visits for COVID-19 from 0.49 percent of all visits in June to 0.73 percent of all visits presently, an increase of nearly 50 percent. In absolute numbers, for the week of July 15, 2023, COVID-19 admissions had risen to 7,109 from 6,444 the week prior, an increase of 11 percent. Although these levels remain far below last year’s at this time, during the second eruption of Omicron infections, when hospital admissions had reached more than 44,000 per week, estimates suggest that current rates will triple by late August, thus reaching half the peak of last summer. The evidence for the surge has been corroborated by the rise in the positivity rate in PCR testing which has climbed from 4.1 percent last month to 6.3 percent in July. One must assume these figures underrepresent the real magnitude of infections as most people rely on home RAT tests, which are far less accurate, or have abandoned testing altogether. Even the World Health Organization ( https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19%E2%80%94-20-july-2023" rel="noopener" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-decoration: none; box-shadow: rgb(153, 153, 153) 0px -1px 0px inset; transition: background-color 350ms ease-out 0s, box-shadow 200ms ease-out 0s, color 200ms ease-out 0s; - WHO ) has acknowledged that “some countries continue to report high burdens of COVID-19, including increases in newly reported cases and, more importantly, increase in hospitalizations and deaths—the latter of which are considered more reliable indicators given the reductions in testing.” The international health agency noted that globally, over 836,000 new COVID-19 cases and over 4,500 deaths were reported in the last 28 days (June 19 to July 16, 2023). DJ..."the pandemic is over" ..."we hardly see any new cases"...Well...you do NOT want to see new cases so you STOPPED testing....Politics/media playing hide and seek...[url]https://twitter.com/CoronaHeadsUp[/url] or https://twitter.com/CoronaHeadsUp - https://twitter.com/CoronaHeadsUp has lots of info on CoViD cases increasing again in the US, Australia...H5N1 spreading in mammals...(with some media citing "experts" claiming "low risks" for "most"....) The exponential factor..in wars -not stopped-, climate collapse -not stopped-, health crises -not stopped- should be clear enough...we are killing ourselves...this is the end game... Enjoy the good moments for now...try to "limit damage" the best you can...(and by now I do not know if "voting" makes much of a difference...here in NL also "political parties" became a sub-culture out of contact with society...(here in NL we may have over 2 million 80+ y/o in a population of 18-20 million...and -yes- that is a problem ! "Politics" here only have a few parties that realy want to invest in care...We need people to stay healthy longer !) As always..I am NOT an expert...hope to be very wrong !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 01 2023 at 1:40am
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So far "mean stream media" went for "after 2100 sea level ris problems"...maybe even some dit mention there could be a foodcrisis before 2100... [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/wet-bulb-globe-temperature-tipping-point.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/wet-bulb-globe-temperature-tipping-point.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/wet-bulb-globe-temperature-tipping-point.html ; High Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures (WBGT) are forecast to hit Louisiana, United States, over the next few days. The image below shows a forecast for August 2, 2023, 18 UTC, with WBGT as high as 35°C forecast for a location 10 miles South East of Abbeville, Louisiana, U.S. WBGT is a measure used by https://www.weather.gov/news/211009-WBGT" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - weather.gov to warn about expected heat stress when in direct sunlight. It takes into account the effect of temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation on humans.
As temperatures and humidity levels keep rising, a tipping point can be reached where the wind factor no longer matters, in the sense that wind can no longer provide cooling. The human body can cool itself by sweating, which has a physiological limit that was long described as a 35°C wet-bulb temperature. Once the wet-bulb temperature reaches 35°C, one can no longer lose heat by perspiration, even in strong wind, but instead one will start gaining heat from the air beyond a wet-bulb temperature of 35°C.
Accordingly, a 35°C wet-bulb temperature (equal to 95°F at 100% humidity or 115°F at 50% humidity) was long seen as the theoretical limit, the maximum a human could endure.
A https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aaw1838" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - 2020 study (by Raymond et al.) warns that this limit could be regularly exceeded with a temperature rise of less than 2.5°C (compared to pre-industrial). A https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-35068-1" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - 2018 study (by Strona & Bradshaw) indicates that most life on Earth will disappear with a 5°C rise. Humans, who depend for their survival on many other species, will likely go extinct with a 3°C rise. Conclusion
Imminence alone could make that the danger constituted by rising temperatures needs to be acted upon immediately, comprehensively and effectively. While questions may remain regarding probability, severity and timescale of the dangers associated with climate change, the precautionary principle should prevail and this should prompt for action, i.e. comprehensive and effective action to reduce damage and improve the situation is imperative and must be taken as soon as possible. To combat rising temperatures, transforming society is needed, along the lines of https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/10/transforming-society.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - this 2022 post in combination with https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/climate-emergency-declaration.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - declaration of a climate emergency . DJ, global economy is based on fossil fuels...even if we would stop ALL fossil fuels NOW it may be to late... [url]https://news.cgtn.com/news/2023-08-01/Beijing-allots-110-million-yuan-for-torrential-rain-disaster-relief--1lUJ7upWF8I/index.html[/url] or https://news.cgtn.com/news/2023-08-01/Beijing-allots-110-million-yuan-for-torrential-rain-disaster-relief--1lUJ7upWF8I/index.html - https://news.cgtn.com/news/2023-08-01/Beijing-allots-110-million-yuan-for-torrential-rain-disaster-relief--1lUJ7upWF8I/index.html ; Chinese authorities on Tuesday earmarked 110 million yuan (about $15.35 million) from the central natural disaster relief fund to support rescue and relief work in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region recently hit by torrential rain. The emergency fund was jointly allocated by the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Emergency Management. [url]https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202308/1295447.shtml[/url] or https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202308/1295447.shtml - https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202308/1295447.shtml Eleven were killed, including two who sacrificed their lives in the line of duty in the rainstorms and flooding in Beijing, and another 27 were missing as of Tuesday morning.
About 45,000 people in 13 districts in the capital city were severely impacted and 127,000 were evacuated. Economic losses are being calculated, according to municipal authority.
The rainstorm hit western, southern and southwestern Beijing the hardest since July 29. As of Tuesday morning, the average precipitation reached 257.9mm. Suburban Mentougou and Fangshang districts, the two suffered severest flooding, saw precipitation of 470.2mm and 414.6mm.
The rainfall intensity has far exceeded the level of July 21, 2012 when 79 lives were claimed across Beijing, half in Fangshan district.
The peak rainfall recorded more than 700mm at two weather stations, while the peak rainfall in 2012 stood at 541mm.
Beijing’s annual average precipitation is 644mm.
Some trains passing Beijing West Station and Fengtai Station have been suspended, and the power and telecommunication have not resumed in Mentougou district as of press time.
Beijing is https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202308/1295444.shtml" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(51, 122, 183); text-decoration: underline; cursor: pointer; font-family: Merriweather; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" target="_self - intensifying efforts in disaster relief by employing PLA helicopters to airdrop essential supplies and transfer stranded residents. The city is also collaborating with neighboring Tianjin Municipality and Hebei Province in flood control by discharging floodwaters into available reservoirs. DJ [url]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#06W[/url] or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#06W - https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#06W next storm already on its way to China...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Beijing[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Beijing - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Beijing ; population of the Bejing area may be over 21 million people... The increased heat of ocean water came unexpected to a lot of experts...it will fuel more rain, storms...humidity, weather extremes...Mixed with dry heat/wild fires air quality is worsening in many places...NOW !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 07 2023 at 12:31am
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[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/betrayal-the-threat-to-life-on-earth.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/betrayal-the-threat-to-life-on-earth.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/betrayal-the-threat-to-life-on-earth.html ; A nuclear war would represent the ultimate outcome of tribalism, nationalism, racism and war, the human propensity for mutual and self-destruction. There was a time when kings and generals would fall on their sword when they were defeated, or when their faith in their gods collapsed. Nowadays oblivious or non-caring world powers continue to proliferate nuclear weapons on https://www.nti.org/atomic-pulse/review-hair-trigger-game-brings-nuclear-risks-life/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - hair trigger https://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/attach/2015/05/Hair-Trigger-Alert-Policy-Brief.pdf" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - alert , mine coal and pump oil and gas, starting a greenhouse https://www.earth.com/news/greenhouse-gases-threat-humanity/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - chain reaction . Leaders, so-called, opportunistically betray the defence of their own people and the future of their children. The voices of anti-nuclear and climate scientists have become subdued, ignored or betrayed. There may not be too many historians to document the 20-21ˢᵗ centuries crimes against humanity and against nature.
An explanation of the collapse of human society, dragging multiple species down with it, arises from https://johnmenadue.com/the-short-lifespan-of-technological-civilisations-and-the-future-of-homo-sapiens/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - Fermi’s Paradox , where the combination of technological achievements and an inherent killer instinct of some leads to collapse.
DJ, Do "social media" spread stupidity ? I find it very hard to accept most of my fellow humans simply have become part of the problem... [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.800.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.800.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.800.html#lastPost Arctic (sea) Ice may start decreasing high speed...So far record warm ocean water did not bring record low levels of Arctic Ice...Jason Box (a.o.) mentioned increase of heavy rainfall on Greenland-increasing ice melt... With less ice pushing Greenland, Antarctica down seismic events will increase...the underlying landmass will move up. Also methane from melting permafrost further worsening the unfolding crisis... DJ-I think we are "beyond hope" but I would LOVE to be very wrong ! We do not need nuclear global war to end humans...a mix of climate collapse, social collapse, pandemics may kill most of us... We still could limit damage...but we need other "leaders" for such a goal...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 10 2023 at 12:18am
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NATO is pushing for dominance or nuclear war-to serve a rich corrupt rotten elite...NOT democracy ! "Politicians" not willing to face that do a bad job ! [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/arctic-sea-ice-august-2023.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/arctic-sea-ice-august-2023.html - http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/arctic-sea-ice-august-2023.html ;
Arctic Ocean heating up
The water of the Arctic Ocean is heating up in several ways.
1. Firstly, the water of the Arctic Ocean heats up as it receives direct heat from sunlight. - 2. Hot water from rivers ending in the Arctic Ocean is another way the water is heating up. - 3. Yet another way heat is entering the Arctic Ocean is from oceans - Feedbacks and further developments
More generally, the rapid temperature rise threatens to cause numerous https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/feedbacks.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - feedbacks to accelerate and further developments to occur such as https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/dire-situation-gets-more-dire-every-day.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - crossing of tipping points , with the danger that the temperature will keep rising. DJ, Methane level going up in many places. Permafrost melting further increasing methane and other gas-release able to store heat..."green house gas"... [url]https://www.dw.com/en/extreme-weather/t-19020379[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/extreme-weather/t-19020379 - https://www.dw.com/en/extreme-weather/t-19020379 Storms, flooding, drought, wildfires, heatwaves are now that widespread it may be impossible to follow -it will increase famines, people dying due to unsafe drinkable water... [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.800.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.800.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.800.html#lastPost following Arctic Sea Ice or even worse-record low Antarctic Sea Ice [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3650.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3650.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3650.html#lastPost may give us an indication of the "scale of the event"... DJ- Ice on the poles keep Earth at a certain temperature...the speed in wich ice is melting indicates a human factor. I think it is already to late to avoid a very major disaster... But when you see a storm coming one could prepare for that storm...Damage-control...trying to slow down the disaster may be all that is left...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 12 2023 at 1:51am
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A few news items; Hawaii wildfires may have killed up to 67 citizens+ ...the fires went that fast authorities did not find ways to warn a lot of people in time...Very strong and dry winds-high temperatures did increase the fires... In Georgia (between Russia and Türkiye-SE Europe) landslides after heavy rain may have killed 24 people...with still a lot of people missing... In Valencia-Spain temperatures did reach 46,8C -3,4C higher than a previous record-in a third Spanish/Potugal heatwave Lots of wildfires; Canada, Portugal, Greece, Russia... [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ the "bigger picture" is "Polar problems"...both in Arctic/Greenland, Antarctica and a "third pole" in the Himalayas...source of water for the billions living in a major part of Asia... https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva?__cft__[0]=AZUzchPOhcsUnoFrzqjDQv6HtzARsjUATA3YWjAgOV2BTriauEda9VaJbKzo-NlU6BBUj7jkvgzAPrRy6eKBPfwDD0B6HxjVB1IJP9GY-hz2908NHHumXNYsTK1bkrPiG7izRB5_BM8nfdvECtpKC4PL&__tn__=-UC%2CP-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - Joe Neubarth
https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL#" style="color: inherit; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 400; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - - o - s - t - S - d - 4 - 2 - h - 4 - 1 - 6 - 9 - i - 4 - 3 - 2 - 1 - a - 2 - a - 2 - f - 5 - t - 6 - 9 - 5 - h - 2 - u · According to James Hansen, even if we ceased the burning of all fossil fuels today, the huge amount of excess heat that has already been absorbed by the earth's oceans will eventually result in a global average temperature about 10°C (18°F) above preindustrial levels. I will not be around to see it. Sadly, we are still doing nothing of importance with respect to removing Greenhouse Gases from the planet. all that is left -like in other man made crises- is damage control... [url]https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/australia-sleepwalks-into-bushfire-season/[/url] or https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/australia-sleepwalks-into-bushfire-season/ - https://cosmosmagazine.com/earth/australia-sleepwalks-into-bushfire-season/ ; For Australians, the reports inevitably bring back memories of our awful Black Summer in 2019-20. Like the Maui tragedy, those huge, uncontrollable bushfires were a terrifying glimpse of the intense fires we can expect as climate change worsens. Global warming – the result of fossil fuel burning – means bushfires will become more frequent and severe. Of course, we must reduce greenhouse gas emissions. That is blindingly obvious. But we must do more than that. Australians must urgently adapt to our fiery future. The Maui fires have been fuelled by strong winds, dry vegetation and low humidity. People were forced to run into the ocean for safety. Hundreds of structures have been damaged or ruined and many people are injured. Hawaii is not the only part of the northern hemisphere being ravaged by fire. - The southern hemisphere is also experiencing highly unusual conditions. Antarctica is struggling to freeze over; it’s reportedly missing a chunk of ice bigger than Greenland. And Australia is experiencing an https://theconversation.com/why-is-australia-having-such-a-warm-winter-a-climate-expert-explains-210693" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - unseasonably warm winter. The country looks set for a hot, dry, El Nino-fuelled summer, putting fire crews on high alert. - Australia, too, is fast becoming a continent of more uncontrolled fire. Let’s compare the period of 1988 to 2001, with the period 2002 to 2018. In Australian forests, the average annual burned area in the second period was https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-27225-4" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - 350% greater than in the first. If we include 2019 – the year the Black Summer fires began – the increase rises to 800%. The Black Summer fires were started by lightning and human activity. They were fuelled by extreme heat, record low rainfall and widespread dieback of vegetation. It meant the fires burned at https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/4/4/97" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - unprecedented intensity. - When the bushfire royal commission handed down its report in October 2020, I described it as a “ https://theconversation.com/the-bushfire-royal-commission-has-made-a-clarion-call-for-change-now-we-need-politics-to-follow-149158" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - clarion call for change ”. Finally, Australia had a map for its journey toward adapting to fires and other natural disasters. The scope of the commission’s recommendations was vast. For governments alone, it called for changes across land-use planning, infrastructure, emergency management, social policy, agriculture, education, physical and mental health, community development, energy and the environment. The commission also called for an acknowledgement of the role of Indigenous fire managers in mitigating bushfire risks. Almost three years on, we haven’t seen the changes needed. We’re behaving as if we’ve got an endless amount of time. Australia is sleepwalking into our fiery future. The pandemic shows humans are amazingly adaptable. We used an integrated approach to mitigate and adapt to that threat. We need an equivalent response to adapt to fire and climate change – but it’s just not happening. There is much Australia can do to adapt to fire. We can improve our urban planning regimes and building standards. We can better manage fuel loads in our forests. We can increase our firefighting capacity and get much better at bushfire preparation and early warning systems. And importantly, we should draw on Indigenous knowledge and the expertise of Aboriginal communities. These approaches could prove vital not only managing extreme fires in Australia, but elsewhere in the world. DJ, using (ignoring ) the pandemic as an example may not be the strongest point... One thing Australians can all agree on is that we don’t want catastrophically uncontrolled fires. As our Black Summer showed, these fires not only destroy lives, homes and biodiversity. They actually threaten the Earth’s systems. Black Summer pumped huge amounts of carbon into the atmosphere. It https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-10/how-the-black-summer-bushfires-depleted-the-ozone-layer/102076136" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - depleted the ozone layer. It created an https://theconversation.com/smoke-from-the-black-summer-fires-created-an-algal-bloom-bigger-than-australia-in-the-southern-ocean-164564" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - algal bloom in the Southern Ocean bigger than the Australian continent. It’s vital that we slash greenhouse gas emissions as quickly as possible, to stabilise Earth’s climate. But that’s not sufficient. Australians have to adapt to fire, too. The fires in Hawaii remind Australians that our summer is just around the corner. We don’t have much time. https://theconversation.com/profiles/david-bowman-4397" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - David Bowman , Professor of Pyrogeography and Fire Science, https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-tasmania-888" rel="noopener" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: utopia-std, sans-serif; color: rgb(47, 118, 187); - University of Tasmania DJ...so inaction WILL result in Australia dealing with wild fires coming months.... The heat, drought, in combination with "global developments" may change Australia, New Zealand as "part of the west"...Instead of moving to Australia, New Zealand people may start moving away from these countries...leaving it to mining, extensive farming...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 13 2023 at 8:43am
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[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/why-rome-collapsed-lessons-present[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/why-rome-collapsed-lessons-present - https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/why-rome-collapsed-lessons-present ; There is persuasive evidence that tribes from Central Asia moved westward into Europe in response to climate change--reduced rainfall led to less fodder for horses and less food for humans, forcing the move to the relative abundance of Europe. In effect, climate change doomed Rome by unleashing such massive waves of Barbarian migration that it could no longer manage or repel the Barbarian armies. In summary, Rome became dependent on the Barbarians for its military might while treating them with social distain, and mismanaging the integration of Barbarians, a task it had handled so admirably in an ad hoc but practical manner. What can we learn from this complex history of unfolding polycrises? We can start by observing how climate change (regardless of its source), pandemics, mass migrations, the hollowing out of the money supply, over-extended military commitments, the rise of new threats, declines in harvests and grain supplies, the hubris of ruling elites and extremes of wealth-power inequality all feed off of and reinforce each other. Put another way, polycrisis is endemic to complex, interconnected systems. If the problems were limited to 1+1+1+1+1=5, the empire could maintain its coherence and adapt in ways to resolve the multiple overlapping crises. But emergent systems--that is, complex, interconnected systems--are not just a collection of dynamics; the resulting polycrisis has its own dynamics and unique features that are distinct from the features of the five sub-crises. In other words, 1+1+1+1+1=15, and the system / empire is overwhelmed and collapses. This is why polycrises are different from existential crises: the system could handle one, two or even three crises with its existing resources and structures, but a fourth anf fifth crises changes the nature of the threat. As a thought experiment, consider how World War II might have gone for the US if: 1) the US hadn't been the world's leading producer of oil, steel, etc. 2) a pandemic had ravaged the young generation needed to expand the military. 3) The Dust Bowl had expanded to include the entire grain-growing Midwest of the US.
Even the most capable leaders still need a productive workforce, a population youthful and healthy enough to staff a military, access to essential resources and cooperative weather / food supplies. Roman emperor Marcus Aurelius had to auction off the imperial treasure to raise desperately needed cash to fund an expanded military, but he had the treasure, manpower, resources, legacy organization and values to manage the multiple crises he faced as emperor. It was no easy task, hence his Stoicism. But he still had the foundations of Roman power, both soft and hard power, and enough remained of traditional values and stored wealth to support the necessary adaptation and mustering of resources. As resources are depleted and climate change disrupts the few breadbaskets of the world, which nations will have the foundations of values, organization, resources, human capital and wealth to survive polycrises? In my book https://amzn.to/3lc4eVc" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: underline; color: rgb(20, 112, 178);" target="resource - Global Crisis, National Renewal , I argue that no nation clinging to the current "waste is growth / landfill economy" will survive the emergent global polycrisis. Only those nations that embrace degrowth and a set of values other than maximizing financial gains for the elites will have the means necessary to adapt and emerge not just as survivors but as more adaptable and resilient. DJ, denial of problems, kicking lots of cans down many streets-only buying time-at increasing exponential costs...If "politics" today is going this way there will be no tomorrow.....Do we really need to hit the concrete wall ???
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 15 2023 at 10:24pm
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Paul Beckwith (with Shackleton-old cat) discussing another-alarming-climate study; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E-YobPD8D_E[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E-YobPD8D_E - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E-YobPD8D_E ; James Hansen is arguably the giant of all climate scientists. I was very fortunate to meet him a few years ago at a COP climate conference, and chat with him on a CEF (Climate Emergency Forum) video. He has just published a new paper on updates on the climate system: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa2lTQUVnb3ZiVUVOa3ZrSUVRQ085b0hfak4tZ3xBQ3Jtc0tsanJHMzJabnVXNC1qWGplbWdRX2F3ZXU2bzdSa0JEamw3T1FmYkZVNkh0SXNlRXlkakctSWRPcTV4QjViVUR4Z3FlWmhsUmZCV3hvdk5wQWpoaEEyRUd0cEVOVjR5cko4bG5mbjd6ZmVjS3NsMXJRaw&q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.columbia.edu%2F%7Ejeh1%2Fmailings%2F2023%2FUhOh.14August2023.pdf&v=E-YobPD8D_E" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailing... This paper is vitally important in giving us a clear picture of what we can expect in the next few years. A confluence of factors is driving up global average temperatures of the atmosphere and oceans and we can expect warming and climate extremes to notch up to much higher record setting levels. We ain’t seen nothing yet. We are only getting a taste this summer of what is to come in the next year or two. 1) Average global temperatures trended upwards at 0.18 degrees C per decade before 2010. With less aerosol forcing, since 2010 to now it has risen between 0.27 and 0.36 degrees C (this was all in the previous paper “Global Warming in the Pipeline”) 2) We can expect an additional rise from El Niño; it is really just getting started. A super El Niño will easily drive global average temperatures well above 1.5 C perhaps later this year but highly probably for 2024. El Niño is much more powerfully warming the planet in the year after it starts, so in 2024 since it started this year. 3) Solar irradiation is peaking soon, and basically adds a forcing of +0.1 W per m**2 on top of everything else. 4) We are missing a vast area of sea ice around Antarctica, but Antarctica is still in its winter darkness. Come Fall and Winter for Northern Hemisphere dwellers, the sun rises in the Southern Hemisphere and the huge extra area of dark open ocean around Antarctica will absorb huge amounts of extra sunlight. 5) The Earth Energy Imbalance was 0.6 W or m**2 ten years ago (400,000 Hiroshima bombs a day) but is now 1.22 W per m**2 (more than double; namely 800,000 Hiroshima bombs per day). It is already rapidly rising and the additional effects listed above will greatly accelerate the rise. As a result of this unfortunate confluence of events, we can expect the global climate turmoil in the last few months to substantially worsen. When it does, expect the media and mainstream scientists and politicians to espouse their excuses and concerns, but none of that matters if they do not slash fossil fuels. Last week Lahaina in Hawaii was incinerated and 1400 people are still missing (I think they have returned to ashes and dust), and just today 90-95% of the town of Enterprise in Canada’s Northwest Territories has incinerated. Global floods are ongoing, heatwaves are killing countless people, and global governments just don’t give a damn, since they are subsidizing fossil fuels at record high levels. And the world goes on, at least for most people. Please donate to https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqblAwTGpaWnBkMTBPU1hLenJQMHNDeXZNQzFGd3xBQ3Jtc0ttMWJ5NUh5SGVmRDRCMzNiWDFtSnB4UDV6Tkhad1hMVm9lNm85Qk0tYkVNbnVZNjRoWG1YNENvTEVoeFV6aTlZOE5jaVBKY28tcmdWa0V6a201eGU5WU5xQ0lQSWZYakdQcHo4bUNxYy1xV3hick9yQQ&q=http%3A%2F%2FPaulBeckwith.net%2F&v=E-YobPD8D_E" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I document and explain why our planet is dying.
DJ...my view; all that is left is damage "control"....We are on a global Titanic that did hit the iceberg...the orchestra still is playing... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkBuxeIsXDo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkBuxeIsXDo - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkBuxeIsXDo Melody Gardot - Our Love is easy (with lyrics)Deep within your heart, you know it's plain to see
Like Adam was to Eve, you were made for me
They say the poisoned vine, breeds a finer wine
Our love is easy DJ...for as long as possible try to enjoy the good things...Live is full of surprises, science is far from perfect...Hope they got it wrong !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 16 2023 at 12:03am
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[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/two-tipping-points.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/two-tipping-points.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/two-tipping-points.html ; The image below shows that the World Sea Surface Temperature (60°South - 60°North) reached a new daily record high on August 13, 2023. As the image also shows, the sea surface temperature over the past few months has been much higher than in any other year on record. The image below shows https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v4/customize.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - NASA data for Monthly mean global surface temperature anomalies (open ocean) vs 1901-1930. The ochre trend, based on January 1900-July 2023 data, indicates that the latent heat tipping point was crossed in 2021 and the seafloor methane tipping point may be crossed by the end of 2033. Both trends extend into the future for 15 years, but the red trend is based on July 2008-July 2023 data and better reflects https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - El Niño and other variables , and this red trend indicates that the latent heat tipping point was crossed in 2023 and the seafloor methane tipping point may be crossed later this year. DJ, A look at [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.850.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.850.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.850.html#lastPost indicating Arctic Sea Ice level is dropping. If the last al Nino-year-2016- gives an indication we may see 2023 in a top 5 for lowest Arctic Sea Ice...Antarctic (Sea) Ice is far worse...[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3700.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3700.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3700.html#lastPost ...but at least for now-it is winter in Antarctica !!!-Antarctic ice is growing.... Do we get time to see major food crisis or is heat going up that fast it will kill billions within a few years...You need extreme heat (50C/120F +) over major urban area's for just a few hours to see lots of people die...So will it be Mexico City, Houston, Caïro, Istanbul....Or will Moscow, New York, Paris be hit with extreme high temperatures ? "Wet Bulb" =35C + 100% humidity resulting overheating...killing people/animals within hours...But 50C can kill even with low humidity... Another risk is in the higher temperatures get the greater the risk for fires starting because of ignition-point getting reached...Some trees -plant oil rich- could ignite by itself if exposed to full sunlight and extreme heat...(We did see that in Kuwait a few years ago...). It may be impossible to get a grip on wildfires when temperatures are 50C+....There are limits to firefighters...Of course one should "plan" for fires...keep "empty zones" in between forests...to at least be able to contain fires...In cities reservoirs for extreme rain may be of use to cool cities during extreme heat...But you have to have reservoirs... Just like many other crises not enough (by far !!!) is done to deal with the crises one can see coming... [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ may indicate increase of hurricane risks...Major storms can transport hot air with high humidity to places not used to such conditions...Hitting a major city would be bad...but you also do not want 30C and lots of (hot !!!) rain over Greenland (or Antarctic !) ice....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 18 2023 at 1:47am
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Jason Box [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I4fz7Dc5vRs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I4fz7Dc5vRs - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I4fz7Dc5vRs on Greenland ice melt...How lakes of meltwater can flow -high speed- into the ice...Some of those lakes now 20 meter/60 feet deep...The water going into the ice can cause "ice-quakes" -will increase glaciers/ice moving towards the ocean... Of course what goes for Greenland also may already show in/on Antarctica, other lands with ice... Jason Box also provided a link to [url]https://www.sila.cool/book-faster-than-forecast/[/url] or https://www.sila.cool/book-faster-than-forecast/ - https://www.sila.cool/book-faster-than-forecast/ ; “Faster than Forecast: the story ice tells about abrupt climate change” book by Dr. Jason Box Accompanied by numerous first-hand videos and written in plain language, the American “ https://www.rollingstone.com/interactive/feature-greenland-melting/" style="box-sizing: inherit; text-size-adjust: 100%; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; background-color: transparent; color: rgba(17, 164, 157, 0.55); text-decoration: none; touch-action: manipulation; outline: 0px; - ice maverick ”, Professor Jason Box leads readers through a personal 30 year scientific adventure. This is the story that Greenland ice tells about abrupt anthropogenic climate change, and its global consequences. The readers and viewers understand how the Arctic is a ‘leading edge of climate breakdown’. The book concludes with a personal experience of radical resistance culture having surprising benefits, underlined with video clips. After framing grave climate impacts, a narrow window of opportunity for prosperity is defined, but only by following a set of radical solutions, described in the book, will the worst aspects of climate catastrophe be averted. With each book sold, a number of trees will be planted in the name of book buyer, coordinates and updates shared as our trees take a little bite out of the climate catastrophe. DJ Also video link... For the US both heat and storms may be on their way; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIrFOmvlsmE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIrFOmvlsmE - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIrFOmvlsmE ; In this video we are talking about the worst heat wave of this summer & how it will change our weather going forward… DJ, Lots of extreme weather events did kill hundreds of people this year...[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc has 4 possible storms on the Atlantic...[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/055245.shtml?cone#contents[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/055245.shtml?cone#contents - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/055245.shtml?cone#contents "Hilary" could bring extreme rain to the US-even Canada..The jetstream may push this storm/rain over the central US then east towards New York...[url]https://www.ventusky.com/[/url] or https://www.ventusky.com/ - https://www.ventusky.com/ may give an indication on extreme weather... [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.850.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.850.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3909.850.html#lastPost Arctic Sea Ice now at position 8...Could go to #4...unless extreme weather would see massive melt the coming month...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 22 2023 at 11:56pm
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[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/children-were-incinerated-ash-livid-hawaiians-slam-biden-cracking-jokes-lying-about-wife[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/children-were-incinerated-ash-livid-hawaiians-slam-biden-cracking-jokes-lying-about-wife - https://www.zerohedge.com/political/children-were-incinerated-ash-livid-hawaiians-slam-biden-cracking-jokes-lying-about-wife and [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/the-democrats-biden-problem.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/the-democrats-biden-problem.html - https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/the-democrats-biden-problem.html DJ-The Hawaii wildfires may have claimed hundreds of lives...biden making jokes is the last thing people on Hawaii need...[url]https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230823-at-least-1-100-missing-after-hawaii-fires-1[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230823-at-least-1-100-missing-after-hawaii-fires-1 - https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230823-at-least-1-100-missing-after-hawaii-fires-1 [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/high-wet-bulb-globe-temperatures-hit-the-US-again.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/high-wet-bulb-globe-temperatures-hit-the-US-again.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/high-wet-bulb-globe-temperatures-hit-the-US-again.html ; Extreme heat stress alert
High Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures are forecast to hit the U.S. again. Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures are forecast to be as high as 95°F or 35°C in Lufkin, Texas, on Monday August 21, 2023 at 4 am Central Time. Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures as high as 35°C are also forecast to be reached in Topeka, Kansas on Monday August 21, 2023 at 4 am Central Time. DJ, 35C + 100% humidity will kill all if it last long enough...the body gets overheated...Lots of places in the America's, Europe, Asia, Africa now face extreme heat. [url]https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230822-france-issues-rare-red-alert-for-heatwave-in-south[/url] or https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230822-france-issues-rare-red-alert-for-heatwave-in-south - https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20230822-france-issues-rare-red-alert-for-heatwave-in-south [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ lots of storms related to hot oceans...Earthquake-links [url]https://eu.palmbeachpost.com/story/weather/2019/10/28/can-hurricanes-cause-earthquakes-fsu-study-says-absolutely/2426817007/[/url] or https://eu.palmbeachpost.com/story/weather/2019/10/28/can-hurricanes-cause-earthquakes-fsu-study-says-absolutely/2426817007/ - https://eu.palmbeachpost.com/story/weather/2019/10/28/can-hurricanes-cause-earthquakes-fsu-study-says-absolutely/2426817007/ ; “There was a very strong correlation that whenever extreme storms are present and they are traveling through certain regions, the stormquakes would light up.” DJ, There has to be seismic activity to begin with. It may be hard to 100% link a quake to a storm for that matter. Statistics may give a false impression-but lots of statistics point to a storm-quake-link... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fX2tSmNu68[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fX2tSmNu68 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fX2tSmNu68 Dr.Gilbz talking to Jason Box on "biggest loser" Greenland or Antarctica...DJ-At the end WE are the biggest loser... Maybe another remark; the younger the scientist the more "hopium"...could there be an age-related bias ? When you are under 30 "hope" may "think away" climate collapse within months-see it as a long term issue ? Jason Box claims Greenland ice is that much it will last "hundreds of years"...DJ-If Earth goes towards a Venus-like climate within decades that ice will be gone... I am over 60 so-maybe that is why I am more cynical/realistic; politics will NOT stop climate change...People need to learn it the hard way...but may not survive it... -Maybe also a note on nuclear war. NATO keeps escalating...Somehow Russia/BRICS can not make NATO/biden into reality...NATO will go for wars as long as they have means to do so...They have to be #1 at all cost...even by nuclear war...It is a matter of time...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 24 2023 at 2:52am
https://twitter.com/raymcgovern" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Ray McGovern https://twitter.com/raymcgovern" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · Why Joe Biden & son, Blinken, & Sullivan may resort to "mini-nukes", rather than concede Ukraine defeat & NATO "power failure". Short answer: only 14 months before election AND they have personal stake. If they lose, there is enough evidence for jail time. DJ, the Ukraine war should have been avoided-but is an outcome of creating crises for profits... [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/high-wet-bulb-globe-temperatures-hit-the-US-again.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/high-wet-bulb-globe-temperatures-hit-the-US-again.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/high-wet-bulb-globe-temperatures-hit-the-US-again.html : Temperatures are high Globally, temperatures have been at record high levels for the time of year for some time in 2023, as illustrated by the image below, adapted from Climate Reanalyzer.
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg3GphodW-ojTY9_zjDfZYJgeS8MHgJHnO2V9gfULKzOVQcdOCA5SXlObPWpT3DuU0K2ttWEv3iadlY8gw5is_JsRvU1tSYpsDgU5NTN0zBGoPHVuhFxvWybltKhi-8OI4NJTOYAe7BRF9VVuzOMJzhzo2H9IR3T2V0J9KAHza6v9Q1Nm6LKepx2HR_H8/s1200/August-22-2023.png" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;">  On August 22, 2023, the world temperature was 16.9°C, 0.82°C higher than it was on that day in 1979-2000.
Extreme heat stress alert
High Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures hit the U.S. over a large area, over a long time. DJ [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNYgR_HEjhI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNYgR_HEjhI - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNYgR_HEjhI A high pressure area over the central US is resulting in a "heat dome" there-with lots of storms circling around that system...A new kind of mega-extreme weather system.... Lots of places facing extreme heat-extreme weather...also affecting logistics from the Dardanel-route to the Black Sea (wildfires) to Panama-canal (drought), Dnjepr river (NATO blew up a dam and blame Russia)... From the Arctic News Blogspot article; The image below shows forecasts for August 24, 2023, measured as temperature (left), apparent temperature (center) and wet bulb globe temperature (right), three areas with high values marked by squares, circles, and stars, respectively.
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgglO2tEYwSm1JzGJEeuGy_G3OPWJ6ap66IEe_5F7ReSLdYs9kf9oLrjgHibEil6dNdAkb__t_SO46JLd8VftDS6uSPLX2x9hj6CFTAabGid5eqTnufq9SrWO-2jwA-uwLBzKn7xQdTbGYwPPatulPWCAiH-MW4m0b0HsUZ6LeA4HZvWNBd6AIwvtNLJVo/s2517/Combination-August-24-2023.jpg" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;">  For descriptions of the various ways temperature can be measures, also see the earlier post https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/extreme-heat-stress.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - Extreme Heat Stress .
Unbearable conditions
The images further illustrate that, as temperatures rise, conditions are increasingly occurring that make it hard, if not impossible for many species (including humans) to survive, even at relatively high latitudes. This danger has been discussed in many earlier posts, such as in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/04/humans-may-be-extinct-in-2026.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - Humans may be extinct in 2026 . DJ...again temperatures themselves may become "killing millions" ...I would like to believe 2024 -future- would offer hope...but why ? ------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 31 2023 at 11:12am
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On Greenland ice melt [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.150.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.150.html - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,3857.150.html Daily melt down 1 % at 14%, which is well above the longterm average for the time of year.
Daily SMB gain of 2.1 GT compared with the 2017-2022 average gain on this day of 2.7 GT. Accumulated SMB gain at 394GT is 15 GT (4%) above the 2017-2022 average of 379 GT.
The next few days?
Maybe warm enough for above average melt over days 3-5 days mostly in the South?
SMB. Precipitation variable but maybe with extreme rain and snow next Saturday to Monday skirting East Greenland from a deep low from the South - that includes warmth and wet from the remains of Hurricane Franklin?
Accumulated melt to date is above the 2017-2022 average total by 16%.
Accumulated SMB is certain to end up above the 5 year average despite the certainty that accumulated melt this year will finish at 3rd and maybe even 2nd highest in the satellite record (from NSIDC Greenland Today data). 2012 will still be by far the year of the record accumulated melt and the lowest accumulated SMB gain in the DMI SMB year of 1 Sept to 31 Aug.
A warmer wetter Greenland this year in line with the climate models.
The strengthening El Nino could give us an unusual Autumn/Winter? DJ, Greenland and Antarctica may have a lot of similarity... [url]https://paulbeckwith.net/2023/03/10/can-ecological-economics-let-us-survive-and-reset-adjusting-to-abrupt-climate-system-change/[/url] or https://paulbeckwith.net/2023/03/10/can-ecological-economics-let-us-survive-and-reset-adjusting-to-abrupt-climate-system-change/; A few years ago Nate Hagens wrote a brilliant peer reviewed scientific paper (Ref1) in the journal “Ecological Economics” titled: “ https://paulbeckwith.net/Users/david/Downloads/Economics_for_the_future_-_Beyond_the_superorganis.pdf" style="background: transparent; border: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 102, 204); - Economics for the Future: Beyond the SuperOrgasm ” (sic Organism). I chat about the crucial messages of this paper, which are that energy constraints will soon result in a collapse of our present way of life. Orthodox economics does not consider energy constraints, and our Superorganism society is on its last legs as we create more and more credit (this debt) to extract dwindling fossil fuels. DJ...we have an "economic system" ignoring lots of damages...So what is supposed to be "profit" may have much higher costs we now ignore...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: August 31 2023 at 12:56pm
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[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasion_of_Poland[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasion_of_Poland - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasion_of_Poland september 1 1939- (western backed) nazi germany invaded Poland... [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/biden-approves-direct-us-military-aid-to-taiwan[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/biden-approves-direct-us-military-aid-to-taiwan - https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/biden-approves-direct-us-military-aid-to-taiwan ; The Biden administration has approved funding for the first-ever transfer of US military equipment to Taiwan under a program typically saved for sovereign nations, according to a notification sent to Congress on Tuesday. The package – which is part of the State Department’s foreign military financing (FMF) program – totals $80 million and will be paid for by US taxpayers. DJ, history repeating itself for our very eyes...yet most can 't see it... US ‘keeps creating tension’ over Taiwan with new arms funding By https://www.globaltimes.cn//author/Reporter-Yang-Sheng.html" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(18, 18, 18); text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer; - Yang Sheng and https://www.globaltimes.cn//author/Reporter-Liu-Xuanzun.html" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: rgb(18, 18, 18); text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer; - Liu Xuanzun Published: Aug 31, 2023 08:59 PM Updated: Aug 31, 2023 10:24 PM  US Taiwan arms sales Illustration: Liu Rui/GT The US intends to keep creating the tension of the Taiwan question to provoke China rather than to ease the tension, analysts said on Thursday, as US President Joe Biden's administration has approved a military transfer to the island of Taiwan under the Foreign Military Financing, or FMF, which is normally used for sovereign states.
Biden wants war....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 05 2023 at 7:29am
https://www.facebook.com/matthew.todd.351756?__cft__[0]=AZWvLSO2imqiqGEOItPU40C6nh7k_yb6VEl8Ynl_MyVSLoT3brXHy7q39UbYKUGRIZ62ROQqGu_qM_a7KS-gBenHSosdk-IPsBBeaBYIJmWh-AikpJj9EMDfLaVc1Bwr6G8AjzlzfNCGnW2l6lIh1LpBt5yBkcl35Dt5dNItRXj_LW9bYKFDr9S9TxNmAIjxIsoFIBcQSRv16a_DPEAscdzH&__tn__=-UC%2CP-y-y-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - Matthew Todd
https://www.facebook.com/matthew.todd.351756/posts/pfbid0tq7aHoJt7gce4rZtm1ihM4eXpqha6ECsjCzHArb4CnDPeyBojQwX2wmcQfY6B8zml?__cft__[0]=AZWvLSO2imqiqGEOItPU40C6nh7k_yb6VEl8Ynl_MyVSLoT3brXHy7q39UbYKUGRIZ62ROQqGu_qM_a7KS-gBenHSosdk-IPsBBeaBYIJmWh-AikpJj9EMDfLaVc1Bwr6G8AjzlzfNCGnW2l6lIh1LpBt5yBkcl35Dt5dNItRXj_LW9bYKFDr9S9TxNmAIjxIsoFIBcQSRv16a_DPEAscdzH&__tn__=%2CO%2CP-y-y-R" style="color: inherit; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 400; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - ·  NASA SCIENTIST: THE PUBLIC JUST DOESN’T UNDERSTAND WHAT A DEEP EMERGENCY WE ARE IN. WE COULD SEE HEATWAVES THAT KILL A MILLION PEOPLE IN A FEW DAYS IN THE COMING YEARS AND IT WON’T STOP THERE… -from [url]https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL[/url] or https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL - https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL We should expect 2024 will be more extreme due to the -just started-"El Nino"...This will result in more methane release-further pushing up temperatures...Less ice on Greenland, Antarctic...less sea ice... [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/too-late-the-climate-and-nuclear-juggernaut.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/too-late-the-climate-and-nuclear-juggernaut.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/too-late-the-climate-and-nuclear-juggernaut.html ; Under the guise of https://psychology.org.au/community/advocacy-social-issues/environment-climate-change-psychology/resources-for-psychologists-and-others-advocating/the-psychology-of-climate-change-denial" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - lies and cover-ups , the global powers to be have set the stage for the unthinkable, a world-wide hair-trigger human suicide system taking much of nature with it. With the exception of abstract ideas or experimental attempts, no actual steps are being taken to slow down, or even reverse, the inexorable rise of atmospheric greenhouse gases, now rising into https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020PA004037" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Miocene-like levels of >400 parts per million CO₂ within the century, the https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/04/the-fatal-road-to-4-degrees-celsius.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - fastest rise rate identified in the geological record .
Nor are steps undertaken to try and dismantle the global doomsday fleet of more than https://www.icanw.org/nuclear_arsenals" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - 12,700 nuclear warheads, where space and the oceans have become nuclear playgrounds, enough to render large parts of the Earth uninhabitable.
The criminal insanity of political, military, strategic, economic and scientific leaders, matched only by the naive blindness of billions of people, is consistent with what has been referred to as the ‘ https://www.britannica.com/story/the-fermi-paradox-where-are-all-the-aliens" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Fermi Paradox’ ─ the apparent absence of signals from technological civilizations in the Milky Way, interpreted in terms of a self-destruction of such civilizations. - But perhaps the most lethal human branch has become the media, which with few exceptions turned into a global propaganda machine skilful in distorting facts, promoting conflicts, manufacturing untruths, concealing avenues to peace and promoting wars in the tradition of Goebbels.
DJ, The US "politics" has fallen into the hands of criminals...Covering up their family crimes by wars... Climate collapse in itself is terrible...pandemics are linked to climate collapse. Starting a nuclear war "to solve the problem" would only proof humans may not be worthy of living on this planet.
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/DrEricDing" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Eric Feigl-Ding
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 -  **MEDICANE**—A very rare hurricane/cyclone-like storm in the Mediterranean Sea, due to very hot waters from Europe’s 2023 heat dome, may be emerging this week, that could dump astronomical amounts of rain and cause flooding in Greece  . Extreme forecasts of well over 500 mm of rain (less likely, but some models suggest maybe up to 2000 mm / 78 inches of rain) in 48 hours! (See right graph). Hurricane-level wind gust also recorded already. But the extreme volume of rain could cause severe amount of flooding. #Medicane- The medicane on the first pic is projected for next Sunday (and is still very uncertain). Has nothing to do with the astronomical rainfall in Greece right now DJ, Spain had a crazy amount of rain the last few days...Taiwan/China hit hard by a cyclone...more hurricanes are forming and may a.o. hit the US later next week. [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/intensity-models-show-big-development-late-week-all-eyes-atlantic-hurricane-season-nears[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/intensity-models-show-big-development-late-week-all-eyes-atlantic-hurricane-season-nears - https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/intensity-models-show-big-development-late-week-all-eyes-atlantic-hurricane-season-nears (And -yes- hurricanes in itself are NOT new...however the amount of rain, wind, seize could be record breaking !) ------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 08 2023 at 12:06pm
https://twitter.com/ProfBillMcGuire" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/ProfBillMcGuire" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Bill McGuire
https://twitter.com/ProfBillMcGuire" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · This is absolutely devastating news. First, one has to wonder if perhaps we have already passed the West Antarctic collapse tipping point. Second, it begs the question, are other climate model projections under-estimating the speed of #climate breakdown link; [url]https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/08/antarctica-warming-much-faster-than-models-predicted-in-deeply-concerning-sign-for-sea-levels[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/08/antarctica-warming-much-faster-than-models-predicted-in-deeply-concerning-sign-for-sea-levels - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/08/antarctica-warming-much-faster-than-models-predicted-in-deeply-concerning-sign-for-sea-levels ; Antarctica is likely warming at almost twice the rate of the rest of the world and faster than climate change models are predicting, with potentially far-reaching implications for global sea level rise, according to a scientific study. Scientists analysed 78 Antarctic ice cores to recreate temperatures going back 1,000 years and found the warming across the continent was outside what could be expected from natural swings.
In West Antarctica, a region considered particularly vulnerable to warming with an ice sheet that could push up global sea levels by several metres if it collapsed, the study found warming at twice the rate suggested by climate models. DJ, embedded media, the problem is NOT sea level rise... https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva?__cft__[0]=AZU7D8wd2O7lxUFzmv6IzxF2hcHYPcY4NLt-3q2F2kz8zr0ePqVsVIbXBUYsUp9zpkdHIhEQxR7Uc6zVbHuLO4JRkhTztyLZUlrL_L6iTJJy7TZvJ2ZqJq45Mxbs2P05BpCT2PtBc3aoaoyeQQzA7sUQ&__tn__=-UC%2CP-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - Joe Neubarth
https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL#" style="color: inherit; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 400; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - - t - o - S - r - p - 0 - i - 9 - b - e - s - 8 - l - 6 - 1 - c - t - - p - 9 - r - t - 2 - t - 5 - c - c - : - 5 - 1 · At temperatures above 68 degrees Fahrenheit, or 20 degrees Celsius, the rate of photosynthesis decreases because the enzymes do not work as efficiently at the increasing temperatures. At a temperature above 104 degrees Fahrenheit – 40 degrees Celsius – the enzymes that carry out photosynthesis lose their shape and functionality, and the photosynthetic rate declines rapidly. The graph of photosynthetic rate versus temperature presents a curved appearance with the peak rate occurring close to room temperature. Carbon Dioxide diffuses into leaves but can be slowed and even stopped at higher temperatures. DJ, the short term major problems; -extreme heat waves with lots of urban population unable to cool down.. -food and water shortage -extreme weather... Somehow people see the present extreme weather events as exceptional...It will only get much worse...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 09 2023 at 3:12am
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[url]https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4753461/kijk-live-mee-klimaatactivisten-blokkeren-a12[/url] or https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4753461/kijk-live-mee-klimaatactivisten-blokkeren-a12 - https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4753461/kijk-live-mee-klimaatactivisten-blokkeren-a12 [url]https://nltimes.nl/2023/09/09/fences-black-screens-placed-utrechtsebaan-planned-xr-protest[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2023/09/09/fences-black-screens-placed-utrechtsebaan-planned-xr-protest - https://nltimes.nl/2023/09/09/fences-black-screens-placed-utrechtsebaan-planned-xr-protest and [url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/extinction-rebellion-permanent-blockade-planned-on-a12/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/extinction-rebellion-permanent-blockade-planned-on-a12/ - https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/extinction-rebellion-permanent-blockade-planned-on-a12/ Extinction Rebellion is on Saturday scheduled to start what it describes as a “permanent” blockade of the A12 motorway, with well-known activists https://www.ad.nl/binnenland/extinction-rebellion-a12-den-haag-klimaat-demonstratie-snelweg-blokkade~ad7c4d72/" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - reportedly on the way there and planning repeat, daily action. On Friday caretaker justice minister and the next leader of the VVD Dilan Yeşilgöz urged protestors not to block the A12 motorway, saying the right to protest was “a great asset” but should not be done on major traffic routes. Dutch media report that 10,000 protesters are expected on Saturday and the ANWB warned motorists to take other routes. Previous such demonstrations have led to mass arrests, including of https://www.volkskrant.nl/nieuws-achtergrond/alweer-journalisten-gearresteerd-bij-klimaatacties-de-politie-moet-terughoudend-zijn~ba13a9e1/" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - journalists , and the use of water cannon. In May, Game of Thrones actress Carice van Houten was among those arrested then immediately released, in a demonstration of some 1,600 people. DJ, (NL) Politics is working for the fossil fuel energy interests. They ignore public interest. It is politics turning democracy into "democrazy"... [url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/rutte-and-royals-express-concerns-for-moroccan-quake-victims/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/rutte-and-royals-express-concerns-for-moroccan-quake-victims/ - https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/rutte-and-royals-express-concerns-for-moroccan-quake-victims/ "rutte and royals" have major interests in a.o. shell....Earthquakes, hurricanes etc. are getting worse because of climate collapse. Also pandemics have major links with the eco-cide politics...Again, we need to change the way "we" live if we even want to have a remote chance of survival...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 10 2023 at 5:18am
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DJ, We may not be that far away from our first official-national- heatwave in NL for a septembermonth...[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/extinction-rebellion-permanent-blockade-planned-on-a12/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/extinction-rebellion-permanent-blockade-planned-on-a12/ - https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/extinction-rebellion-permanent-blockade-planned-on-a12/ today police also used watercanons to cool themselves while breaking up a blockade of the main The Hague entry road for the second day... [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/methane-eruptions-threaten.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/methane-eruptions-threaten.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/methane-eruptions-threaten.html ; The above image, adapted from https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - Climate Reanalyzer , shows that on September 8, 2023, the North Atlantic sea surface reached a new record high temperature, of 25.4°C, even higher than the record reached the day before.
The situation is critical! More heat entering the Arctic Ocean threatens to destabilize hydrates and cause huge amounts of methane to erupt and enter the atmosphere.
The image on the right, adapted from https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-87138.86088449847,-98868.92624648947,87023.42444016693,149293.6434006733&p=arctic&l=Reference_Labels_15m,Reference_Features_15m,Coastlines_15m,Graticule_15m,VIIRS_SNPP_DayNightBand_ENCC,VIIRS_NOAA20_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor&lg=true&t=2023-09-08-T03%3A22%3A26Z" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - NASA Worldview , shows the poor state of the sea ice.
On September 8, 2023, the Polarstern reached the North Pole. The https://twitter.com/AWI_Media/status/1700109787835318574/photo/1" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - image below shows the research vessel and the sea ice at the North Pole. - The image on the right, adapted from https://seaice.uni-bremen.de/data/amsr2/today/Polarstern_AMSR2_visual.png" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - University of Bremen , shows Arctic sea ice concentration and the route followed by the Polarstern.
The threat is that, as the water of the Arctic Ocean keeps heating up, heat will reach the seafloor and destabilize methane hydrates contained in sediments at the seafloor, resulting in eruptions of huge amounts of methane.
Erupting from the hydrates occurs at great force, since the methane expands 160 when decompressed, resulting in the methane rapidly rising in the form of plumes, leaving little or no opportunity for microbes to decompose the methane in the water column. Furthermore, the atmosphere over the Arctic contains very little hydroxyl, resulting in methane persisting in the air over the Arctic much longer than elsewhere.
Ominously, very high methane levels continue to be recorded at Barrow, Alaska, U.S. DJ-Politics serving the fossil fuel economy is destroying this planet...
https://twitter.com/WeatherProf" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/WeatherProf" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Jeff Berardelli
https://twitter.com/WeatherProf" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · We have a #medicane in the making. Storm #Daniel in the Mediterranean now has tropical characteristics heading south and will make landfall tonight near Benghazi, Libya. The dark shades of purple are winds 50 mph+ DJ, Since NATO destroyed Libya we may not see much reporting on this -yet another- extreme weather event...
https://twitter.com/99blackbaloons" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/99blackbaloons" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - George Tsakraklides
https://twitter.com/99blackbaloons" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · Our destruction of the planet’s climate is the ultimate result of a blind, parasitic civilisation which falsely assumed it had the luxury of taking unilateral decisions 1/4 of Greece’s agricultural production capacity vanished in 48 hours. Let that one sink in #ClimateAction DJ, several hurricanes/storms on the oceans may bring hot temperatures/more melt to the poles...[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ both north and south pole may be in major problems... -In some areas there is more rain than snow... -wind keeps blowing/eroding ice and snow -melting ice/rain on ice is darker so absorbing more heat -heat coming under (sea)ice via much to warm ocean water AND via hot air on top of the ice/snow/land (Greenland/Antarctica) ------------ So politics go for more war...Like with climate also on pandemics their "profit only" lack of strategy is beyond criminal....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 13 2023 at 4:40am
https://twitter.com/dwallacewells" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/dwallacewells" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - David Wallace-Wells
https://twitter.com/dwallacewells" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · "The US accounts for more than a third of the expansion of global oil and gas production planned by mid-century, despite its claims of climate leadership. Canada and Russia have the next biggest expansion plans, followed by Iran, China and Brazil." (1/2) link [url]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/12/us-behind-more-than-a-third-of-global-oil-and-gas-expansion-plans-report-finds?CMP=share_btn_tw[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/12/us-behind-more-than-a-third-of-global-oil-and-gas-expansion-plans-report-finds?CMP=share_btn_tw - https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/12/us-behind-more-than-a-third-of-global-oil-and-gas-expansion-plans-report-finds?CMP=share_btn_tw (guardian=embedded media). https://twitter.com/ClimateHuman" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Peter Kalmus https://twitter.com/ClimateHuman" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · . writes: "We are truly in the midst of the climate battle now, all around the world, with new developments daily in the ongoing fight between activists who want to speed up the transition to clean energy and the fossil fuel industry that wants to slow it down." -
https://twitter.com/Climate_Pete" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/Climate_Pete" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Peter McCartney
https://twitter.com/Climate_Pete" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · All we hear from the fossil fuel cheerleaders is that if Canada doesn't extract all its oil and gas other "bad" countries will do it instead. But five nations are planning a majority of the world's new fossil fuel production: US, Canada, Australia, UK and Norway — in that order. DJ, today the main road leading into The Hague again will be blocked by climate protesters. [url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/police-criticised-for-reporting-xr-demo-children-to-abuse-agency/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/police-criticised-for-reporting-xr-demo-children-to-abuse-agency/ - https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/police-criticised-for-reporting-xr-demo-children-to-abuse-agency/ (xr=Extinction Rebellion) Domestic abuse watchdog Veilig Thuis has criticised police for reporting around 30 children who were arrested during Extinction Rebellion protests in The Hague as at-risk cases. Veilig Thuis said it was “surprised” to have received dozens of referrals for parents who took their children on the demonstrations on Saturday and Sunday, which ended peacefully. “We think it was unnecessary to refer these cases to us,” https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2023/09/11/demonstreren-is-geen-vorm-van-kindermishandeling-a4174112" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - said spokesman Onno Aerden . “Demonstrating is not a form of child abuse.” Police https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/almost-3000-arrests-at-weekend-for-climate-protests-on-a12-road/" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - arrested more than 2,900 people over the two days for taking part in the unauthorised protests that blocked the A12 motorway heading into the city. One mother, Musetta Blaauw, https://www.ad.nl/binnenland/ruan-6-met-moeder-opgepakt-bij-a12-blokkade-nu-volgt-veilig-thuis-melding-dit-is-pure-intimidatie~add4b52f/" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: var(--bs-link-color); text-decoration: underline; - told AD the police decision to refer her two children, aged 16 and six, to the agency was “pure intimidation”. “This was a peaceful demonstration, not hooligans rioting,” she said. “We were just sitting on the motorway singing songs and eating biscuits.” Dick Goijers, spokesman for The Hague’s police division, admitted that almost all the children arrested had been referred to Veilig Thuis, but said this was “standard procedure” for “arrests and other situations where children are at risk, such as neglect.” But Aerden said police appeared to be using the agency’s name “as a kind of threat” to parents taking part in the demonstration. “A referral to Veilig Thuis is not a punitive measure and shouldn’t be used as such,” he said. DJ, "Veilig thuis"/Safe-at-home is already overloaded with taking care of children that are in real risk situations. The police may report children in climate protests to "safe-at-home" following political orders... the Mayor of The Hague is [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jan_van_Zanen[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jan_van_Zanen - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jan_van_Zanen a member of the neo-liberal party for decades... ------------- DJ-There is a very large gap between those taking climate problems very serious and those "trying to make a living"....My view; blocking roads in protest against fossil fuel subsidies (over 47 million per year in NL) has to be part of a communication strategy. In the UK XR/eXtinction Rebellion almost ends up at a terrorist list. NL did criminalize other protest groups (peace movement, squaters, anti-nuclear)...in part by violent actions by the police and than blaming the protest groups. Also right wing groups may decide climate protests go to far...so "the police" than would act as an in-between party while in fact possibly involved in organizing right wing protests... Maybe most of the public only will learn reality the hard way....we may need more, worse, climate disasters... The global economy for now is based on a high level of fossil energy consumption. The damage that brings are kept out of the energy costs...tax payers end up paying for it....We may need an elite-responsible of wasting most energy...it is just a small group-to take steps back. Stop private jets, cheap flying etc. Also here it are the poor paying for the rich...if not dying for a rich exclusive club of billionaires almost claiming 0,1% "own this planet"... For that matter it is also a fight for democracy.... ------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 15 2023 at 2:39am
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[url]https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458[/url] or https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 - https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 ; AbstractThis planetary boundaries framework update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity. Ocean acidification is close to being breached, while aerosol loading regionally exceeds the boundary. Stratospheric ozone levels have slightly recovered. The transgression level has increased for all boundaries earlier identified as overstepped. As primary production drives Earth system biosphere functions, human appropriation of net primary production is proposed as a control variable for functional biosphere integrity. This boundary is also transgressed. Earth system modeling of different levels of the transgression of the climate and land system change boundaries illustrates that these anthropogenic impacts on Earth system must be considered in a systemic context. See also [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html The bold black line at the top of the image below, adapted from Climate Reanalyzer, shows extremely high sea surface temperatures up to September 13, 2023, much higher than in any previous year on record. https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj8pKjo1c6X8_57pyj7GvNJGQqsh-W-7FYDawRPGiP7hKGDcDZ6NDHlHQ_pPJxgDny7v8Y1fOtlOF2l4lSR5OqgsdvcDWxPCIULnD-zcWfxG3NAjN3lAJVptWxWy2aP7HF8ECLCsMVGpwUhHISsozZ3v7cEaw1ETJ0fnH8ufhcgyDhEl6H6tG1E_3DG8HI/s1200/September-13-2023.png" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;">  The image below, created with https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v4/customize.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - NASA data , shows why these extremely high sea surface temperatures are so worrying. The image shows monthly mean global surface temperature anomalies (open ocean) vs 1901-1930. The ochre trend, based on January 1900-August 2023 data, indicates the latent heat tipping point was crossed in 2021 and the seafloor methane tipping point could be crossed in 2033. The red trend, based on August 2008-August 2023 data and better reflecting https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/07/record-high-north-atlantic-sea-surface-temperature.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - variables such as El Niño , indicates that the seafloor methane tipping point could be crossed late 2023. Data show the seafloor methane tipping point was reached in August 2023. https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgh8oR3H3VDdigMbpTTUe7-m56TvQU8FT8EFWI-47Rbf7tMRsgSddJ78jKR4XLuZuIrbQf-Zo_Zecd0kTey1EOprDA7JznsL_5jcrhZwZJrYagaK3bZSf7XR5tbbbuDaLxd47DfWUmqqJ8OvTUJk2IBJx9RZKDSKNfdNZLcP9hWXtN1Ie070AzhSXJvFcc/s1200/August-2023-SST.png" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;">  The latent heat tipping point is estimated to correspond with a sea surface temperature anomaly of 1°C above the long term average, 1901-1930 on the above image, as discussed in earlier posts such as https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/08/two-tipping-points.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this one . Sea ice constitutes a https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/latent-heat.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - latent heat buffer , consuming incoming heat as it melts. While the ice is melting, all energy (at 334 J/g) goes into changing ice into water and the temperature remains at 0°C (273.15K or 32 °F). Once all ice has turned into water, all subsequent energy goes into heating up the water, and will do so at 4.18 J/g for every 1°C the temperature of the water rises. DJ, we are ignoring public health risks -to secure profits for the very rich criminal 0,1%...That "elite" in part is also making money out of wars.... "Never waste a good crisis" for profits...has turned into creating profit making crises....We CAN and SHOULD !!!! stop a lot of diseases before they become pandemics ! We CAN and SHOULD limit further climate destruction...We NEED international cooperation to deal with these major crises. Pushing for NATO expansion now is yet another act of insanity !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 16 2023 at 2:01am
https://twitter.com/democracynow" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;"> https://twitter.com/democracynow" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Democracy Now!
https://twitter.com/democracynow" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · Ahead of a March to End Fossil Fuels in New York on Sunday, scientist talks about why she and hundreds of others wrote a letter to President Biden demanding climate action. "The science has come to such a complete consensus and we just want fossil fuels to stop." DJ, governments, most political parties, end up working for fossil fuel economies...In that way AGAINST public basic safety... [url]https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4755642/liveblog-mogelijk-opnieuw-tienduizenden-mensen-naar-klimaatdemonstratie-op-a12[/url] or https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4755642/liveblog-mogelijk-opnieuw-tienduizenden-mensen-naar-klimaatdemonstratie-op-a12 - https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4755642/liveblog-mogelijk-opnieuw-tienduizenden-mensen-naar-klimaatdemonstratie-op-a12 ; THE HAGUE - Day eight of the announced blockades of the A12 motorway. Where several hundred people demonstrated in recent days, Extinction Rebellion expects tens of thousands of people on and around the Utrechtsebaan in The Hague today - just like last Saturday. In our live blog we will keep you informed throughout the day. 10.30 am: Still quiet around A12It is still very quiet around the Malieveld and the A12 on Saturday morning around 10.30 am, our reporter sees. DJ...democracy has become democrazy...investing trillions into wars while NOT dealing with essential problems....
https://twitter.com/dpcarrington" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/dpcarrington" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Damian Carrington
https://twitter.com/dpcarrington" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · Earth ‘well outside safe operating space for humanity’, scientists find - First complete ‘scientific health check’ shows most global systems beyond stable range in which modern civilisation emerged Story by me link [url]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other - https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other (DJ-guardian is promoting war...it has become part of the problem...) Earth’s life support systems have been so damaged that the planet is “well outside the safe operating space for humanity”, scientists have warned. Their assessment found that six out of nine “planetary boundaries” had been broken because of human-caused pollution and destruction of the natural world. The planetary boundaries are the limits of key global systems – such as climate, water and wildlife diversity – beyond which their ability to maintain a healthy planet is in danger of failing.
The broken boundaries mean the systems have been driven far from the safe and stable state that existed from the end of the last ice age, about 10,000 years ago, to the start of the industrial revolution. The whole of modern civilisation arose in this time period, called the Holocene. The assessment was the first of all nine planetary boundaries and represented the “first scientific health check for the entire planet”, the researchers said. Six boundaries have been passed and two are judged to be close to being broken: air pollution and ocean acidification. The one boundary that is not threatened is atmospheric ozone, after action to phase out destructive chemicals in recent decades led to the ozone hole shrinking. The scientists said the “most worrying” finding was that all four of the biological boundaries, which cover the living world, were at, or close to, the highest risk level. The living world is particularly vital to the Earth as it provides resilience by compensating for some physical changes, for example, trees absorbing carbon dioxide pollution. - The assessment, which was published in the journal Science Advances and was based on 2,000 studies, indicated that several planetary boundaries were passed long ago. The boundary for biosphere integrity, which includes the healthy functioning of ecosystems, was broken in the late 19th century, the researchers said, as destruction of the natural world decimated wildlife. The same destruction, particularly the razing of forests, means the boundary for land use was broken last century. Climate models have suggested the safe boundary for climate change was surpassed in the late 1980s. For freshwater, a new metric involving both water in lakes and rivers and in soil, showed this boundary was crossed in the early 20th century. Another boundary is the flow of nitrogen and phosphorus in the environment. These are vital for life but excessive use of fertilisers mean many waters are heavily polluted by these nutrients, which can lead to algal blooms and ocean dead zones. According to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization data, three times the safe level of nitrogen is added to fields every year. The boundary for synthetic pollution, such as pesticides, plastics and nuclear waste, was shown to have been passed by a 2022 study. The Richardson-led analysis assessed air pollution for the first time, which affects plant growth and monsoon rains. It found air pollution has passed the planetary boundary in some regions such as south Asia and China, but not yet globally. Ocean acidification is also assessed as getting worse and being close to exceeding the safe boundary. The scientists said: “This update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity.” - Rockstrom said: “If you want to have security, prosperity and equity for humanity on Earth, you have to come back into the safe space and we’re not seeing that progress currently in the world.” Phasing out fossil fuel burning and ending destructive farming are the key actions required. The planetary boundaries are set using specific metrics, such as the level of CO2 in the atmosphere for climate change. The Earth’s systems are resilient to some level of change, so most of the boundaries have been set at a level higher than that which persisted over the last 10,000 years. For example, CO2 was at 280 parts per million until the industrial revolution but the planetary boundary is set at 350ppm. Prof Simon Lewis, at University College London and not part of the study team, said: “This is a strikingly gloomy update on an already alarming picture. The planet is entering a new and much less stable state – it couldn’t be a more stark warning of the need for deep structural changes to how we treat the environment.” DJ...the article is describing the picture science agrees upon...The "feed backs" due to global warming-like "explosive increase" of methane release may NOT be included...because they did not happen yet...[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html If "politics" keeps failing we should know what the outcome means for us. We-as humans-may not survive at +3C above pre-industrial. Some regions run higher risks. Those regions now did see extreme high temperatures, wild fires, extreme rain...(Mediterranean region as an example). It does decrease food production, logistics... DJ-my view- extreme weather itself may become the main killer...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 22 2023 at 4:12am
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How humans are killing themselves, a "mega-mix" of; -War [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/09/how-will-the-biden-administration-cope-with-its-loss-in-ukraine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/09/how-will-the-biden-administration-cope-with-its-loss-in-ukraine.html - https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/09/how-will-the-biden-administration-cope-with-its-loss-in-ukraine.html Declare victory over Russia because Russia was stopped at the border with Poland. Then forget about all the details and consequences and move towards war on China. and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gplplX40H8o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gplplX40H8o - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gplplX40H8o ; Geopolitical Review: US Preps Taiwan Proxy vs. China, NATO Postures as Ukraine FailsDJ...I am not that "optimistic" on US/NATO not going nuclear over Ukraine. The underlying mental "problem" is "western superiority" or nuclear war... For some in "the west" non-western global dominance seems to be unacceptable.... -Diseases Of course one can ignore CoViD, flu, M-pox, etc..."living with diseases" ...make insane claims catching a disease makes you stronger/gets you immunity (for a.o. CoViD)....however reality is more and more people end up with long term health issues...For now it look likes vaccines do limit damage however most children never were vaccinated... H5N1 soon will reach even the millions of birds in Antarctica-soon in a "warm summer"....H5N1 is spreading also in more and more mammals-increasing the risks of recombination/mix with H1/H2 types of (human) flu... -Climate Food production and logistics is moving towards the danger zone...From chickens/eggs to harvests getting destroyed. Getting food to the places in need of food is getting harder...Also extreme weather/heat/drought is becoming a mass killer... We may have run out of time to stop major disasters... -Economic collapse You can not have a real economy based on fiat-money...someone has to pay for that. China, Africa etc. may no longer be willing to pay for western currencies...So hyperinflation may be around the corner... Western companies may move to BRICS+ countries-now with over half of the global population per 2024...Foreign "policy/insanity" is leaving the west both without afordable energy, basic materials and a market... --------------- Can we still limit damage ? The longer we wait the harder it gets... -Global cooperation on climate, health, "green" economies and an end to poverty should be on top of a global agenda. -Media/journalist going for the best available info-not des-info... -Creating public support -worldwide- for needed changes; -We have to reduce fossil fuel use (cars, air travel) NOW ! -Public health is not "free" but the outcome of hard work by many -If we do not end war, war will end us....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 23 2023 at 3:23am
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[url]https://tass.com/economy/1676903[/url] or https://tass.com/economy/1676903 - https://tass.com/economy/1676903 ; https://tass.com/arctic-today" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; background-color: transparent; text-decoration: none; - ARCTIC TODAY 19 SEP, 13:51 Tropical fish caught in White Sea near ArkhangelskIt is noted that its appearance in the White Sea is an exceptional phenomenon
ARKHANGELSK, September 19. /TASS/. Garfish, which normally is found near Africa's western coast and near Europe's south, was caught in the White Sea in the Arkhangelsk Region, the Kenozero National Park's press service said. "The migrant from far-away southern waters - garfish (or sea needle) was caught in the White Sea, not far from the village of Lopshenga," the press service said. "The garfish's habitat is the western coast of Africa and Europe." Garfish is a long and slender fish with a laterally compressed body and elongated jaws, resembling a pterodactyl's beak. Garfish can be found in the Black and Baltic Seas. But, according to the national park's ichthyologist Gennady Dvoryankin, its appearance in the White Sea is an exceptional phenomenon. "Obviously, the fish has been brought to the Barents Sea by the Gulf Stream, and then it just got lost and after long wanderings it ended up near the national park shores," the press service quoted the expert as saying. "Presently, the fish is being studied at the laboratory." DJ...just another warning ! All kinds of forms of life are on the move searching for a new place to find food, to survive. Lots of species will NOT survive !
https://twitter.com/billmckibben" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/billmckibben" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Bill McKibben
https://twitter.com/billmckibben" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · The new revelations about Clarence Thomas are the most shocking yet. He wasn't just taking cash from right-wing billionaires, he was helping them raise it--all in the sacred cause of blocking environmental regulations link; [url]https://www.propublica.org/article/clarence-thomas-secretly-attended-koch-brothers-donor-events-scotus[/url] or https://www.propublica.org/article/clarence-thomas-secretly-attended-koch-brothers-donor-events-scotus - https://www.propublica.org/article/clarence-thomas-secretly-attended-koch-brothers-donor-events-scotus DJ-Uncontrolled capitalism leads to widespread corruption and "democrazy"....at the end "everything has to be for sale"...from politicians to science... [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4066.0.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4066.0.html - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4066.0.html Arctic refreezing season may have started. However storms may see reduction of Arctic Sea ice later on...Greenland, Antarctic Ice is in a dramatic shape... Projections. (Table JAXA-Ant1)
Average remaining melt (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Feb 2024 of 0.80 million km2, 1.15 million km2 BELOW the 2023 record low minimum of 1.95 million km2 which would be 1st lowest in the satellite record.
This projection probably exaggerates the melt in the Weddell Sea in particular DJ...glaciers, icebergs breaking away..Warmer (often record hot) ocean water will result in more extreme weather events. It will increase famines/starvation-with increasing food supply risk also for area's that believed to be safe. (US, Europe, India, China). We have a very complex supply/logistcs system where a lot of steps may go wrong.
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: September 26 2023 at 2:45am
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DJ, more climate disasters in the news; South Africa, Central America-floods/landslides...abnormal heat in Brazil... [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/september-2023-highest-anomaly-on-record.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/september-2023-highest-anomaly-on-record.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/september-2023-highest-anomaly-on-record.html The above image shows the temperature in 2023 as a bold black line, up to September 22, 2023, with the temperature reaching an anomaly of 1.12°C above the 1979-2000 mean for that day.
It looks like September 2023 will be the month with the highest temperature anomaly on record and the year 2023 will be the hottest year on record.
Note: 1979-2000 is not pre-industrial. The current El Niño is still strengthening, as illustrated by the image on the right, adapted https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-sst_table" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - from IRI . DJ...so already on september 22 1,12C above the 1979-2000 mean temperature.... Until now, February 2016 has been the hottest month on record. The above image, from an https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/06/extreme-heat-stress.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - earlier post , shows that February 2016 was 3.28°C (5.904°F) hotter than 1880-1896 on land, and 3.68°C (6.624°F) hotter compared to February 1880 on land. Note that 1880-1896 is not pre-industrial. The image adds an even more poignant note: Looking at global averages over long periods is a diversion, peak temperature rise is the killer!
The situation raises questions. How much has the temperature risen? Will the temperature keep rising? What can be done about it? How can these questions best be answered? DJ.....so more than 3C februray 2016 than the 1880-1896 average... While many politicians keep pushing the idea that 1.5°C above pre-industrial hasn't been crossed yet, we may already have crossed 2°C above pre-industrial, as discussed in https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/pre-industrial.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - this analysis . - emission reductions are best achieved early, rather than late. Yet, many politicians keep supporting fuel (fossil fuel and biofuels) and envisage burning of fuel to continue well beyond 2050 (combined with BECCS). Instead, when taking into account damage to health and the environment, and the danger of runaway temperature rise, it should be clear that better policies must be implemented soon, such as local feebates, to support better methods and technologies such as biochar, heat pumps and eVTOL air taxis. DJ....politics seem to go for short term profits...even if it would kill all of us within years.... Alarms bells have sounded loud and clear, such as https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/extinction.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - here , warning that the temperature rise could be more than 3°C as early as in 2026. The precautionary principle should prevail and the looming dangers should prompt people into demanding comprehensive and effective action to reduce the damage and to improve the situation. To combat rising temperatures, a transformation of society should be undertaken, along the lines of https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2022/10/transforming-society.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - this 2022 post in combination with a https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/climate-emergency-declaration.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - declaration of a climate emergency . DJ....every time there is a new climate conference "things went faster than expected"..... In the "still NOT over pandemic" we see politics often still in denial-very likely looking for scape goats, blame games..."of course they did know the pandemic was not over"...even if they made other claims just a few months ago... In the NATO-BRICS war "stand by Ukraine" could mean regime change in Kiev to get out of that disaster-war made by NATO...O-yes "we won" ....only the petro-$ is gone, western industry is in BRICS hands etc...but "we won"....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: October 01 2023 at 9:53pm
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DJ, People are better in noticing fast changes-may miss "slower" ones [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEuxDJ1XEi0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEuxDJ1XEi0 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEuxDJ1XEi0 Carribean risks growing with "Philippe" moving more west than expected earlier...Also flooding-risks in Haïti...mud slides... Here in NL it may get even 26C-almost 80F...very warm for early october ! When you move from one-in a 100 year event per year to "a few" of those it is easy to NOT want to see a pattern...When extreme weather stays away from your house "it is not your problem"...The heavy rain flooding New York City a few days back may reach the Bahamas today... DJ, exponential changes have a very slow start...we are beyond the start of the process.... https://www.facebook.com/groups/154327831333070/user/100077366820297/?__cft__[0]=AZVnvxH4V_6ppaXAoiI2PLLP3Obh4vg_Pnf7RnRxRw5uub_f_fO4hz_d4BK7ReWWbCx-u_KleJZgcV1a1-CVpK5HG83qLw8S_gP61msv50yu5_DFrsxj84K_e35TPmhvabHwPlEs7AUQ8nbgNZRwU2iPf6BjgRhtmIrix-EH29k53NGHYVEP2PR1higdgLXYOhcyjMgtGP34ku_RzbryCoYx&__tn__=-UC%2CP-y-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.facebook.com/groups/climatealert/?__cft__[0]=AZVnvxH4V_6ppaXAoiI2PLLP3Obh4vg_Pnf7RnRxRw5uub_f_fO4hz_d4BK7ReWWbCx-u_KleJZgcV1a1-CVpK5HG83qLw8S_gP61msv50yu5_DFrsxj84K_e35TPmhvabHwPlEs7AUQ8nbgNZRwU2iPf6BjgRhtmIrix-EH29k53NGHYVEP2PR1higdgLXYOhcyjMgtGP34ku_RzbryCoYx&__tn__=-UC%2CP-y-R" style="color: var(--primary-text); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; font-weight: 600; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.facebook.com/JoseBarbaNueva/?locale=nl_NL#" style="color: inherit; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; outline: none; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; padding: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; touch-action: manipulation; background-color: transparent; font-weight: 400; display: inline; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="0 - - - n - o - e - p - o - 6 - 8 - 5 - m - - 8 - 6 - t - 5 - 5 - 7 - - a - e - e - f - s - u - : - 0 - p - 2 - t - f - 9 ·
The amount of greenhouse gases entering the atmosphere right now is way more than what is being taken out and as long as that continues to happen, the world will just keep getting warmer. I can change the words of that sentence and the same truth can be seen. The amount of money entering their wallets is way more than being taken out and as long as that continues to happen, the rich just keep getting richer. It really isn't too hard to understand. a link [url]https://phys.org/news/2023-09-politicians-grasp-scientific-reality-climate.html?fbclid=IwAR0vHwynmiw4N0cdn7DwIwOFbhrqgoDicByFaiNp1SNsn8q_D1MtMZ2RUVI[/url] or https://phys.org/news/2023-09-politicians-grasp-scientific-reality-climate.html?fbclid=IwAR0vHwynmiw4N0cdn7DwIwOFbhrqgoDicByFaiNp1SNsn8q_D1MtMZ2RUVI - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-politicians-grasp-scientific-reality-climate.html?fbclid=IwAR0vHwynmiw4N0cdn7DwIwOFbhrqgoDicByFaiNp1SNsn8q_D1MtMZ2RUVI ; Wavering ambition by governments and a growing belief that science is politically subjective are great causes for concern in a rapidly escalating climate crisis, an expert told AFP.
A cascade of extreme weather events have inflicted devastation in 2023, which the European Union's climate monitor says is likely to be the hottest in human history. It underscores the urgency of slashing planet-heating greenhouse gas emissions to avert the catastrophic impacts of greater global warming. Yet several countries have drawn criticism for moves to weaken their https://phys.org/tags/climate+policies/" rel="tag" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; border-bottom: 1px dotted rgb(0, 0, 0); - climate policies in recent weeks, including Sweden and Britain, which has also approved a new oil project. Meanwhile in the United States, climate-skeptic https://phys.org/tags/presidential+candidates/" rel="tag" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; border-bottom: 1px dotted rgb(0, 0, 0); - presidential candidates —notably Donald Trump—are Republican frontrunners. For Francois Gemenne, a https://phys.org/tags/political+scientist/" rel="tag" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; border-bottom: 1px dotted rgb(0, 0, 0); - political scientist who contributed to the last report series of the UN's expert advisory panel, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the trends are worrying. "I am very concerned by a whole series of climbdowns we are seeing from a political or economic point of view," the Belgian told AFP. The IPCC lead author cited British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's latest policy changes and leading Republican politicians in the United States "who do not recognize the scientific reality of https://phys.org/tags/climate+change/" rel="tag" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; border-bottom: 1px dotted rgb(0, 0, 0); - climate change ". "What bothers me is the fact that science, for a part of the population that might be growing, is becoming a matter of belief, opinion, even ideology," said Gemenne. Current climate-related damage is happening with https://phys.org/tags/global+temperatures/" rel="tag" style="box-sizing: border-box; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; border-bottom: 1px dotted rgb(0, 0, 0); - global temperatures at around 1.2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and as the world lurches towards breaching the key 1.5C target agreed in Paris in 2015. DJ....the basic idea that "if you do not like the science you can ignore science" is the basics of pandemics, climate collapse...Ignoring or even rewriting history is the basics for "the last war"... [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/mad-propaganda-push-normalize-war-profiteering-ukraine[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/mad-propaganda-push-normalize-war-profiteering-ukraine - https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/mad-propaganda-push-normalize-war-profiteering-ukraine DJ-On this -once- a forum I try to "form an opinion" , make up my mind...hope to be very wrong often ! If some people are using, even creating, all kinds of crises to make lots of money then there is a very major basic problem. If we fail to stop such a major problem we - as humans- have failed and may become extinct... A mean reason why "we" do not learn from history is we do not want to be confronted with our mistakes and dark sides...Genocides are all over history..."better technology" is "improving" the "killer ratio"...You can get more people killed per $/€ invested...and that is kalled progress... ------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: October 02 2023 at 10:25pm
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DJ, We once had a "Pacifist Socialist Party" (PSP) in the Netherlands trying to limit the two basic evils destroying this planet; wars and (blind) capitalism... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rB1HuCpmdmU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rB1HuCpmdmU - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rB1HuCpmdmU ; Planet-Killing WarsJoin Dr. Peter Carter, Paul Beckwith and Regina Valdez as they discuss the effects of war and the war machine on the living planet that we inhabit and the urgent need to ‘smarten up’ as a civilization. This video was recorded on September 27th, 2023, and published on October 1st, 2023. Some of the topics discussed: - How wars are an atrocity with no real winners, only victims and how warfare has evolved from primitive tools to advanced weaponry that leaves a lasting impact on the planet. - The interconnectedness of humans and the planet and thus what affects the environment affects us all. - The current state of armed conflicts worldwide and the high number of casualties. - How the conflict in Ukraine has led to ecological issues, such as dolphins washing up dead in the Black Sea as well as damage to farmland and forests. - The need for a greater focus on ethics, morality, and cooperation to avoid the culture of war such as the glamorization and normalization of war. - How fossil fuels are an integral part of modern warfare - The significant military budgets and fossil fuel subsidies. - How the impacts of war versus climate change are not given an appropriate level of media coverage when one considers the magnitude of their environmental and human impact. - The need for technological solutions to combat climate change. - The Fermi paradox regarding intelligent life in the universe. - and much more. . . Links: - Stonewall Jackson Quotes https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbVZyOGUxN1R4UUh4a1NXSWFidThWdnJOLXlwZ3xBQ3Jtc0ttNmJHTEtzQUxqQWZrYlNvOTBrSzBSOTN6VXYxX1BOM0F4Tl9PQkE4YjRaamRnRXBTV1hQM19ta2gyazlhQUQxZjdLOW9rU0ZvRU9HNWZlNU5ldk5kY0p1dnhVeVJEYWJUZWM1S0JnYUppX0JkWXQyRQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.historynet.com%2Fstonewall-jackson-quotes%2F&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.historynet.com/stonewall-... - Global conflicts: Death toll at highest in 21st century https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqazVYRzdPNTRfdTlXeHhIX0hYVl9nbG12S08zQXxBQ3Jtc0ttak51M21BbVRNQ2NiUjZkTjhnM1ZhNEFPY19kWkl2OW8yaHlVck1JWV9OMG05RHJMYngtbGdEb1FXSy1lRzVYVVhlc2tSblRQZGhkRE53NUNyVHZsTjhIMGZNeWVTUnZBUUZXeTdrUFd5MXR6ckxDWQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dw.com%2Fen%2Fglobal-conflicts-death-toll-at-highest-in-21st-century%2Fa-66047287&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.dw.com/en/global-conflict... - Oppenheimer 2023 Movie Poster https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa1NTVmpWOWdnV0MxMmZZYU5UVnZoTFJ2Y2xBQXxBQ3Jtc0ttVVFZX1FZS0hyUTdnTEtuSkY3U0JaQ1lpMkdpdWozSkM5ZmJkcGMtbDNWZXE0OVdDR0h4aHJqblg3THhkNEFpdUxHeHA2OXVDdW95bGhWRDF3ODVFSlFpLU9Ta05tdDF1d3V3d2NLNlZXYmVmNnVOcw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.ca%2FOppenheimer-Movie-Poster-16x24-Unframed%2Fdp%2FB0C8ND6KKM%2Fref%3Dsr_1_6%3Fcrid%3D3GSGYFWR2Y3ES%26keywords%3Doppenheimer%252Bmovie%252B2023%26qid%3D1696079232%26sprefix%3Doppenheimer%252Bmovie%252B2%252Caps%252C74%26sr%3D8-6%26th%3D1&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.amazon.ca/Oppenheimer-Mov... - Bikini https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbmotbzNJSkREVkt3VHlJdzltcVNQYmNIbEtNQXxBQ3Jtc0tuVVhFNTlNcWZBUVRDVWJFUHZhTFkyRVJIR2RWYVJ6aFFrLXNfU3FHdUhQZ1IwSWFKT3RXNXQxN2lrRzlSXzFzUldVOGZWR2RRYTd2V3FJZ0FndnFMaldBN0tQeEkxSDdMUm5TdFJWUng1cDVJSUZkVQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FBikini&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bikini - Military Budget of the United States https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa0J4NlJVOUh1UjdudDFfUjhZVGNiQ3VVRFg5QXxBQ3Jtc0tsNjVNY3ozdl9KLWlubHNtdVVEQl9MVnpySUt0TENZYnhCQkpSV2VCUEtwcTQ0Ymlxb3A2VjZtYjRKOThOLUxQYldHbEI5UU1ObVFyc0ZXX242eGs2bjJyS3pTRmdOZnNFd3JELWdMRW5uVXBDelJtOA&q=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FMilitary_budget_of_the_United_States&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Militar... - Fossil Fuel Subsidies https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa0k0b3pJeVQzMFR3c29udjVISVVOZ0VPenhzUXxBQ3Jtc0tramRIMk1hbVJ0N2JEOXBTMzQ4WmFTb0Y3OEZrUXVTNmZRdU80dGlyeWxrLUo1NWs4cmxJcGZaY2xyNVZPVFFZQmQyT1huYUN5MG5aM3Z5QWRPUjBQbTdIMGtiRGp4US01dmY3QUFOVVVhTkJRTk9Rdw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.imf.org%2Fen%2FTopics%2Fclimate-change%2Fenergy-subsidies&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/climate... - Fermi paradox https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbkRnaWctOHE0YS1RU2RMdjcxekY0MENVS3U4QXxBQ3Jtc0ttdHJWTUJtblFxVTVrRlhFNGpQMFNVN201dXIxZ2VkR2pXaU1xRVVPR3BkQ2ZvVzl5NFFzQk5BYWg5dTVqS1BPeElOeUdCd0VrNE1TNE56bFlvYlh3SGp0NUtjQXRiLVpPOG1UYlJyV0o5OHJBZThaSQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FFermi_paradox&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_p... - We Don't Have Time https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbEl2UDVMRnNZMzlrSUo5UXRCY2FjZ1RDdkFJUXxBQ3Jtc0ttRzRjU3c2TlVud2NaUG9udGpMSVV6dW4zWjgzdjNCTVVIMXQ0ZG0zRFBndk9fN1MtVkNIZFlQUzJ0MXYzNGE4UHNUTUlPb0FSU19SZUxGUzk3ZGpleXpDc0hYd0hhMHhmM0ZKdEdrR0JEekJiZ0szZw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fapp.wedonthavetime.org%2Fhome%2Ffilter&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://app.wedonthavetime.org/home/f... Panelists: Dr. Peter Carter - MD, Expert IPCC Reviewer and the director of the Climate Emergency Institute Paul Beckwith - Climate Systems Scientist. Professor at the University of Ottawa in the Paleoclimatology Laboratory as well as at Carleton University Regina Valdez - Program Director, Climate Reality Project, NYC. GreenFaith Fellow and LEED Green Associate Our Website: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbER3emZjazlDeFhQSm9MTWNJZXB5NkFLWWhpQXxBQ3Jtc0tsd2JhNzFPaVdrRExoWElMTTdUdlYxNlNKeTk2QndMd2ZweEVrNEVLeWl1OF9YNWRvWmQxUmVGWlBaLXRQdVc2ZkRuUmdkWTJnSFBXWVFNMDFraVZua2FqZlFuS25YUmZPTm9nelJMUWFMVS1RWHBpYw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fclimateemergencyforum.org%2F&v=rB1HuCpmdmU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://climateemergencyforum.org/ DJ, If we do not end war war will end us.....No one -NO ONE !!!!!- has ANY !!!! right to kill !!! NEVER !!!! There are some people making money out of destruction...."never wasting a good crisis" even willing to create those crises...The Sui-Cene, "more or less "end-time" is political ! We now face record heat in many places...Spain dealing with another heatwave...Yes-I do like summer weather...but NOT in october here in NL ! [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ has more on the -lack of- ice keeping our planet "a cool place for live".... [url]https://app.wedonthavetime.org/[/url] or https://app.wedonthavetime.org/ - https://app.wedonthavetime.org/ --------------- DJ, To "save the economy=profits" "politics" are denying problems..now even rewrite history to make it fit their insanity... We urgently need "other politics"...Wealth may NOT be a sign of success but of evil...We live in an "economy" that simply ignores lots of damages and costs...Profits are private, costs are tax-funded... Public health, education, housing, transport getting de-funded to put trillions into a war-for-profit-machine is self destruction. But if I make that point "I am the crazy one"..... Are humans becoming an "insane naked ape"? "We do not have time"...we need to change the way "we" live NOW ! But we keep transporting diseases all over the world by planes and ships...We do NOT control pandemics, only the "news" on pandemics..."Do net test-do not tell" is NOT a solution but just another problem...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: October 16 2023 at 12:24am
Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: October 19 2023 at 11:36pm
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[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXrY4ESpIII[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXrY4ESpIII - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXrY4ESpIII Paul Beckwith/PB ; 11 Reasons Our Civilization Will Soon CollapseAn excellent article came out recently, explaining 10 reasons why our civilization will soon collapse; here is the link: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbk1EZEhHazRBTkV6N3VjM0VkY2ZfRUdTRThmQXxBQ3Jtc0tsY2hiMS1ubUc4ZEtZTjJodWNLZEtLVjBIWnk3aGNjaWxvZHl6MmQ4b0tuYVphM2FLUlpYTHVHNUt1OExLd3diQ3FFejZOQWxwN3R1QUM5S0x0YUNNOFdTTzBZc0JMcnkydXNiU05ydEtwNDNmM0Z1WQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.okdoomer.io%2F10-reasons-our-civilization-will-soon-collapse%2F&v=aXrY4ESpIII" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.okdoomer.io/10-reasons-ou... Since this article is so well written, well referenced, and hard hitting I felt that it was very important to do a detailed video on it. Given the total destruction of a hospital in the Gaza Strip today with the loss of over 500 human lives, almost certainly by a U.S. built JDAM 1000 pound bomb dropped intentionally from an Israeli warplane, I have added an additional reason to the ten in the article. Given the events of the day, we appear to be marching closer to global catastrophe and civilization collapse, and it is hard to argue that we don’t deserve it.
..[url]https://www.okdoomer.io/10-reasons-our-civilization-will-soon-collapse/[/url] or https://www.okdoomer.io/10-reasons-our-civilization-will-soon-collapse/ - https://www.okdoomer.io/10-reasons-our-civilization-will-soon-collapse/ ; That’s right. Our entire global industrial civilization is going to collapse. And soon, which means within the lifetimes of most people alive today. I realize this is quite the claim, and a pretty terrifying one if you’re under 50 or so. In this article, I will list 10 problems the world is facing, each of which could cause the collapse of civilization all on its own. Which means, if even one of these problems isn’t solved, our civilization is doomed. Before I continue, let me explain what I mean by “collapse.” First of all, it doesn’t necessarily mean that humans will go extinct. While that is certainly a plausible scenario given the many existential threats we are facing, I still believe it is unlikely. Small groups of humans survived in very difficult conditions for tens of thousands of years. By collapse, I mean a breakdown of social institutions like governments and economies, followed by a dramatic decline in the human population. I realize that’s still kind of vague, so here’s a more specific definition I found in the book, https://www.resilience.org/stories/2020-08-10/how-everything-can-collapse-excerpt/?ref=okdoomer.io" rel="noreferrer noopener" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-image: initial; border-color: var(--color-border); box-sizing: inherit; background-color: var(--color-transparent); box-shadow: none; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - How Everything Can Collapse . It says, “A collapse is the process at the end of which basic needs (water, food, housing, clothing, energy, etc.) can no longer be provided [at a reasonable cost] to a majority of the population by services under legal supervision.” As society breaks down, life will get simpler and simpler. By the late 21st century, people will be living the way they did in the early 19th century. DJ, Paul Beckwith does not agree with "climate alarmists" predicting temperature rise will increase that fast humans will no longer survive within a few years...[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html When you look at ends of empires (West/East Roman Empire a.o.) the reasons for collapse are complex. The "western Empire" Europe-US telling the rest of the world what to do lasted 500 years...BRICS+ ended it just recently...NATO/biden made wars are the -insane- reactions to these changes only speeding up western collapse... Global collapse may be the outcome of a "mega mix" of climate collapse, diseases/pandemics (denied by "politics" for sale...), wars and "peak fiat currency"...A western economic collapse pulling the rest of the globe with it... We already are IN !!! the collapse process ! All we may be able to do is try to limit further damage...What is needed most NOW is international cooperation...but we are further away from that than we may have EVER !!! been.... When predators are removed or a new food source is introduced, the population skyrockets then collapses as the food source is exhausted. (There’s a great book called https://www.amazon.com/Overshoot-Ecological-Basis-Revolutionary-Change/dp/0252009886?ref=okdoomer.io" rel="noreferrer noopener" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-image: initial; border-color: var(--color-border); box-sizing: inherit; background-color: var(--color-transparent); box-shadow: none; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change which explains this in detail.)
So the question is: How long until humans overshoot the Earth’s carrying capacity? We already did. https://www.overshootday.org/newsroom/past-earth-overshoot-days/?ref=okdoomer.io" rel="noreferrer noopener" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-image: initial; border-color: var(--color-border); box-sizing: inherit; background-color: var(--color-transparent); box-shadow: none; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - About 50 years ago.
That’s according to the https://www.footprintnetwork.org/?ref=okdoomer.io" rel="noreferrer noopener" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-image: initial; border-color: var(--color-border); box-sizing: inherit; background-color: var(--color-transparent); box-shadow: none; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - Global Footprint Network . Every year, they calculate the date when humans have used up as many resources as the planet can generate in a year. It’s called https://www.overshootday.org/about-earth-overshoot-day/?ref=okdoomer.io" rel="noreferrer noopener" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-image: initial; border-color: var(--color-border); box-sizing: inherit; background-color: var(--color-transparent); box-shadow: none; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - Earth Overshoot Day , and last year it was on July 28th, which means that every year, humans use the equivalent of nearly 1.75 Earths.
You might be wondering, if we used up an entire planet’s worth of resources by July 28th, then how did we continue to live after that date? We continued by using resources that had accumulated long before humans came along. Things like forests, aquifers, topsoil, and fossil fuels. Eventually, those surplus resources will be gone, and every year we will be forced to live on what the planet can generate that year.
This is something the average climate activist doesn’t seem to understand. Even if we could stop climate change, our civilization would still have the problem of dwindling resources. Now that we’ve gone into overshoot, the population is destined to plummet https://youtu.be/qPb_0JZ6-Rc?ref=okdoomer.io" rel="noreferrer noopener" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-image: initial; border-color: var(--color-border); box-sizing: inherit; background-color: var(--color-transparent); box-shadow: none; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - no matter what we do .
We should have seen this coming. ( https://www.vice.com/en/article/z3xw3x/new-research-vindicates-1972-mit-prediction-that-society-will-collapse-soon?ref=okdoomer.io" rel="noreferrer noopener" style="border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-image: initial; border-color: var(--color-border); box-sizing: inherit; background-color: var(--color-transparent); box-shadow: none; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - Some people did .) Why did anyone think that infinite growth on a finite planet was possible? Of course we would eventually reach the limits of what the planet can support, but most of us assumed it would happen far in the future, long after we’re dead.
Now, we have officially surpassed the carrying capacity of our planet. As we begin to run out of essential resources and food becomes harder to produce, the economy will collapse, the population will finally go back down, and civilization as we know it will come to an end. DJ, we have to decrease our consumption...Good family planning = less consumers...but we have run out of time...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: October 23 2023 at 12:10am
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Paul Beckwith on the lack of ice on Antarctica [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIR6mH1lSsE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIR6mH1lSsE - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIR6mH1lSsE ; Missing Antarctic Sea Ice to Warm Planet an Equivalent of Roughly an Arctic Blue Ocean EventThe last few years, the Antarctic Sea ice extent has literally fallen off a cliff. This most recent Antarctica winter (our northern hemisphere summer) the sea ice did not form properly, and we are essentially missing around 2 million square km of Antarctic sea ice, as we head into the Antarctica summer (which is our northern hemisphere boreal winter). Roughly, if this 2 million square km of sea ice deficit occurred in the northern hemisphere, we would be having a Blue Ocean event there. According to peer-reviewed science on what the consequences would be, it would be an increase of 0.71 W/m2 radiative forcing, or an equivalent of 1 trillion tons of CO2 emitted, with an equivalence of 25 years of additional global warming at present global emission rates. So the bottom line is this: today we are experiencing the 5-signa level collapse of Antarctic sea ice, and the Sun is rising above the horizon as we head into the Southern Hemisphere summer, with all that sea ice missing. The ice-albedo feedbacks will kick in, and the warming in the southern hemisphere (and Antarctica Amplification (AAA)) will increase global radiative forcing roughly 0.71 W/m2 which is equivalent to a sudden increase of 1 Trillion tons of CO2 emitted, which is roughly equivalent to 25 years of global emissions (at 40 Gtons CO2 per year). Sorry folks, but that is the bottom line. We missed our change to tackle climate change, and we will be experiencing super-exponential, abrupt Heaviside function like temperature spikes to a much warmer, destabilized climate world. Please donate to https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqazZ5aW16WUl5aFA5RTgtS3N5bUs1S0d2dHZ5d3xBQ3Jtc0tsNy1MUklsaEVmOXE3dENrVkp6YVBEQ2U0bEpfR1MwekJEMG5lWU5JTWZPa0I3RlB0SlJNZy1PcVJVNzh2ck5xVFc2ZXJJT0FVSzZmcE05UlliNE9saUp1cXFOeXZiclBaWVZDRWRJdE1BTElXR18zYw&q=http%3A%2F%2FPaulBeckwith.net%2F&v=OIR6mH1lSsE" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I connect the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. We are living the consequences. Abrupt climate change is upon us, and the Antarctic sea ice deficit of around 2 million square km will hit us like a sledgehammer over the next year, with global warming effects roughly equivalent to what we would experience with a Blue Ocean Event (BOE) in the Arctic. The risk of cascading tipping points also spikes up, with the AMOC and every other climate system on the planet approaching ever nearer to their tipping point thresholds. DJ, El Nino further also pushing up both global average temperature AND methane release... It will also bring more seismic/volcanic activity. Water vapor may increase global heating, dust on snow means even less reflection of solar heat... We DID destroy the planet to get a few people very rich...Humans are crazy apes... On Antarctic ice [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3950.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3950.html#lastPost - https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3950.html#lastPost [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html DJ-There has been a lot of discussion on "BOE" Blue Ocean Events-less than 1 million km2 sea ice in the Arctic...Some believe arctic sea-ice may "repair" itself in a few cold winters...maybe with some help of land-ice from Greenland, continents...Others go for "what is gone is gone"....a "BOE"=increase of global warming... Food production/logistics, extreme weather will become very major problems ..."main stream media" keep pushing stories on "sea level rise in 2100"...."bad for tourism"... We are BEYOND the point we can limit global temperature rise... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-q_S2bqnfxM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-q_S2bqnfxM - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-q_S2bqnfxM Guy McPherson/Nature Bats Last; “Many Scientists Don’t Want to Tell the Truth about Climate Change”DJ, A problem with lots of science-experts may be a "specialist tunnelvision" NOT connecting the dots....I love "hopium"...but I hate to "live on hopium".... We have to try to limit destruction the best we can, share information and get informed....
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: October 27 2023 at 11:06am
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[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/a-climate-of-the-unthinkable-on-a-burning-earth.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/a-climate-of-the-unthinkable-on-a-burning-earth.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/a-climate-of-the-unthinkable-on-a-burning-earth.html ; A climate of the unthinkable on a burning Earth
by Andrew Glikson “The climate is an angry beast and we are poking at it with sticks” - https://quotefancy.com/quote/1665914/Wallace-Smith-Broecker-Climate-is-an-angry-beast-and-we-are-poking-at-it-with-sticks" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - Wallace Smith Broecker Having turned a deaf ear to the basic laws of nature, ignoring the essential lessons from climate science, the powers that be have no idea, nor do they appear to care about, the rate and scale of the calamity life on Earth is facing. Global civilization having effectively replaced the United Nations with the United States and other super powers, having built a veritable nuclear https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - doomsday machine , enhancing the military-industrial complex and atmosphere-poisoning fossil fuel corporations, preoccupied with arming proxy states, allowing regional blood baths to enhance the arms trade, the powers that be are allowing the demise of human civilization as well a myriad of intelligent and beautiful animal and bird species. - Nowadays major untruths are propagated by a media subservient to the powers that be. - With the CO₂ level reaching https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - 418.51 ppm at a rate of ~2.5 ppm/year and methane CH₄ level reaching https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends_ch4/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - 1917.1 ppb at a rate of near-12 ppb per year, greenhouse gas rises are exceeding any in recent geological history, representing the most severe atmospheric crisis since the asteroid impact which killed the dinosaurs https://www.britannica.com/science/K-T-extinction" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - 66 million years ago . Oblivious to the physical laws on which climate science is based and to the time factor of the impending climate crisis, setting artificial targets such as “ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-01702-w" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - 1.5°C by 2030 ” or “ https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-might-the-world-exceed-1-5c-and-2c-of-global-warming/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - 2°C by 2050 ”, the powers that be may not be aware of what life on planet Earth is facing.
- As if proposed limits on domestic pollution are meaningful to the arrest of global warming despite continuing mining, export and combustion of fossil fuels, https://www.bgs.ac.uk/discovering-geology/climate-change/how-does-the-greenhouse-effect-work/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - greenhouse gases disperse through the atmosphere regardless of where the fossil fuel is burnt . As conveys by https://www.hrw.org/news/2022/08/25/australias-new-oil-and-gas-approvals-show-climate-wars-arent-over" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - McNeill : “The government denies responsibility for emissions created by the vast amounts of coal and gas Australia exports overseas as one of the world’s largest fossil fuel producers, and has flatly ruled out any discussion on banning new fossil fuel projects”.
- While ongoing combustion of fossil fuels is raising greenhouse gas concentration at a https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-54734-9" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - rate unprecedented in the geological record , current https://www.climaterealityproject.org/blog/how-feedback-loops-are-making-climate-crisis-worse" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - global heating being a self-amplifying process , the utilization of clean energy: solar, wind, hydropower and thermal power cannot by itself stem global warming, now rising above 420 ppm CO₂, well above the 180-280 ppm range of the preceding glacial-interglacial cycles. Such a high CO₂ level, compared to that which existed in the Miocene before 5.3 million years ago when mean global temperature was about ~4°C, has risen within the last century at a rate to which fauna and flora can hardly adjust.
- Cover-up, censorship and https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-journal-of-law-and-medicine/article/abs/suppression-of-environmental-science/E25B2D7D094BB94853E206C179AAD734" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - suppression of environmental and climate science in governments, industry and universities occur in countries professing freedom of information policies. One of the latest revelations is the story of https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-10-24/odyssey-climate-scientists-suppress-truth-or-risk-funds-careers/102968970" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - Dana Bergstrom .
Nowadays, as bombs keep falling, children are dying, heads of governments jet around the world genuflecting to each other, signing arms deals, uttering honey words, while the corporate media discusses their official dinner menus, they reach no solutions for the worsening humanitarian crises, nor for https://kids.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frym.2019.00037" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - the future of life on Earth .
A/Prof. Andrew Y Glikson
Earth and Paleo-climate scientist
DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Pacific_hurricane_season#Season_effects[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Pacific_hurricane_season#Season_effects - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Pacific_hurricane_season#Season_effects There is lots of discussion on how climate collapse will unfold...Wich area's may see extreme drought, wich area's may have more chance of extreme rain/wind... Extreme weather is on its way as a "new normal" with that weather only getting more extreme... [url]https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/8028528/graanoogst-opnieuw-gehinderd-door-extreem-weer-krankjorum[/url] or https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/8028528/graanoogst-opnieuw-gehinderd-door-extreem-weer-krankjorum - https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/8028528/graanoogst-opnieuw-gehinderd-door-extreem-weer-krankjorum ; Last summer, the harvest failed in large part due to prolonged drought and persistent rain at harvest time. Therefore, it must now come from the winter cereals. The first varieties, such as winter barley, now have to go into the ground, but in many places it is too wet to sow and so again part of the harvest is doomed to fail. DJ, Blue tongue is now widespread in NL sheep...meaning no lambs will be born next year in many cases...Growing risk other farm animals may show they can catch blue tongue as well.. ------------ We may be seeing Israeli "forces" moving into Gaza this evening...this very likely will see an international reaction. [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/two-middle-east-outlooks.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/two-middle-east-outlooks.html - https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/two-middle-east-outlooks.html ; Alastair Crooke, who has personally negotiated prisoner exchanges between Hamas and Israel, has published a rather bleak outlook. https://strategic-culture.su/news/2023/10/26/escalations-cannot-be-stopped-the-white-house-is-rattled-escalations-might-all-fuse-into-one/" style="color: rgb(153, 51, 0); text-decoration: underline; - Escalations Cannot Be Stopped – The White House Is Rattled; Escalations Might All Fuse Into ‘One’
The reality of the necessity of war is permeating widely the consciousness of the Arabic and Islamic world.
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It is no coincidence that Netanyahu flourished a map of Israel during his General Assembly address last month in which Israel dominated from the River to the Sea – and Palestine (indeed any Palestinian territory) was non-existent.Tom Friedman in his NYT reflections may fear that just as NATO’s impaired performance in Ukraine has ruptured ‘the NATO myth’, so too the 7 October Israeli military and intelligence collapse and what happens in its wake in Gaza ‘might explode the entire pro-American alliance structure’ in the Middle East. The confluence of two such humiliations might break the spine of western primacy. This seems to be the gist to Friedman’s analysis. (He likely is correct). Hamas has succeeded in smashing the Israel deterrence paradigm: They were not afraid, the IDF proved far from invincible, and the Arab street mobilised as never before (confounding western cynics who laugh at the very notion of there being an ‘Arab Street’). Well, that is where we are – and the White House is rattled.
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This is what worries the White House Team. They are deeply unconfident that an Israeli invasion of Gaza will put ‘Humpty’ together again. Rather, they fear that events may go badly for the IDF, and further, that the images relayed across the Middle East of Israel using overwhelming force in a civilian urban setting will revolt the Islamic sphere. In spite of western scepticism, there are signs that this insurrection in the Arab sphere is different, and resembles more the 1916 Arab Revolt that overthrew the Ottoman Empire. It is taking on a distinct ‘edge’ as both Shi’a and Sunni religious authorities state the duty of Muslims to stand with Palestinians. In other words, as the Israeli polity becomes plainly ‘Prophetical’, so the Islamic mood is turning eschatological, in its turn. That the White House should be https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/hamas-israel-conflict-us-and-israel-weigh-a-future-for-the-gaza-strip-without-hamas/articleshow/104598938.cms" rel="noopener" style="color: rgb(153, 51, 0); text-decoration: underline; - floating kites about ‘moderate’ Arab leaders pressing ‘moderate’ Palestinians to form an Israeli-friendly government in Gaza that would displace Hamas and impose security and order shows just how severed is the West from reality. Recall that Mahmoud Abbas, General Sisi and the King of Jordan (some of the region’s most pliable leaders) pointedly refused even to meet with Biden after the latter’s Israel trip. The anger across the region is real and threatens ‘moderate’ Arab leaders, whose room for manoeuvre is now circumscribed. So hotspots are proliferating, as are attacks on U.S. deployments around the region. Some in Washington claim to perceive an Iranian hand, and are hoping to expand a window for war with Iran.
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Should Israel enter Gaza (and Israel may decide it has no choice but to launch a ground operation, given the domestic political dynamics and public sentiment), it is likely that Hizbullah will incrementally be drawn further in, leaving the U.S. with the binary option of seeing Israel defeated, or launching a major war in which all the hotspots become fused ‘as one’. In a sense, the Israeli-Islamic conflict now may only be resolved in this kinetic way. All efforts since 1947 have seen the divide only deepen. The reality of the necessity of war is permeating widely the consciousness of the Arabic and Islamic world. DJ, we may be very close to a war in West Asia/North Africa...US attacks on/in Syria, Iraq only make matters worse... Crazy "joe" biden-not willing to look weak-could push the world towards further escalation...Some US "leaders" still believe the US runs the world...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: October 31 2023 at 12:51am
Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: November 01 2023 at 11:54pm
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[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=infNWYZ88U4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=infNWYZ88U4 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=infNWYZ88U4 Paul Beckwith; Extremely Rapid Acceleration of Ocean Heating in Regions like Southern Oceans: Devils in the Details- A new peer-reviewed paper called “Recent acceleration in global ocean heat accumulation by mode and intermediate waters” was just published online on October 28: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa1FUcjBWTWV4NDE2OE5Lbmt4d2RzQWp3X1JkZ3xBQ3Jtc0tuTjVWb1VXQURqeThBYk9UYXdiME0xVTVEN3dFbUFqM3BCeDdxbHI4dVZOUlpnUmlRX1lGY3NpWTR4c19TVVc5ODFnQ2RaWWxkcXBsd0VxSnlod3ZNdzVUZC15b3NTTnk1VElFTm53ZFJQeEpCMm9jVQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41467-023-42468-z.pdf&v=infNWYZ88U4" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: var(--yt-spec-call-to-action); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0 - https://www.nature.com/articles/s4146... It’s scarier than Halloween. We know that over 90% of global warming is actually ocean warming, with the remaining 10% melting ice, heating the atmosphere, and heating the land. This new study shows how the rate of ocean warming has greatly accelerated recently: in fact the warming in the most recent decade from 2010-2020 has been almost double the warming in the decade from 1990-2000, for water extending from the surface down to depths of 2000 meters (6600 feet). This is a massive increase in a short period of time. Since the heat capacity of water is huge, that warming is all the more surprising and significant. The ocean warming is highly nonuniform in the oceans around the planet. For example, most of the warming has occurred in the vast Southern Oceans, and also in the North Atlantic. This has vital implications for sea level rise, making it highly nonuniform as well around the planet. Also, this vitally important paper shows that many of the oceans around the world are becoming more stratified as they warm; namely more layered with less vertical mixing as warm water is a lot less dense than colder water. Since vertical mixing is vital for bringing carbon near the surface down below (eventually to the sediments in the ocean floor) stratification weakens the ocean sink for carbon, so more carbon stays in the atmosphere. Also, the vertical mixing is vital for bringing surface oxygenated water to depth to support marine life, so stratification reduces this and threatens the marine food chain. Our warming oceans have an enormous detrimental affect on our climate system, making it vital for maintenance of life on our planet that we slash fossil fuel emissions immediately.
DJ, hotter oceans mean; -more rain -more energy for storms -more ice melting on the poles Simply put; we are moving the wrong direction only faster... "Politics" seem only to be interested in wars...getting the rich more rich, ignoring climate, pandemic problems...pushing for global war in the interest of a very small group... WE NEED CHANGE NOW !!!!
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: November 02 2023 at 10:28pm
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DJ, Europe did see storm Ciarán yesterday. [url] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%9324_European_windstorm_season#Storm_Ciar%C3%A1n_ - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%9324_European_windstorm_season#Storm_Ciar%C3%A1n_ (Emir)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%9324_European_windstorm_season#Storm_Ciar%C3%A1n_ - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%9324_European_windstorm_season#Storm_Ciar%C3%A1n_ (Emir) a few remarks; -wind gusts over 110 mph/180 kmh in France -stormsystem stretched/moved from Ireland via UK/France but affected Spain, Italy in the south, south of Scandinavia in the north and still is moving east -At least 11 killed (the wiki-page may be updated) -Italy 3 -France and Belgium both 2 -NL, Germany, Spain and UK (?) 1 DJ-My goal on this -once a- forum is trying to get at least a bit realistic view on complex events... The bigger picture is extreme weather is getting both more extreme and showing up more often... Return to "normal" may take longer...but could be impossible/hard after to much damage makes repair not cost effective or risks run to high...Rebuilding houses/buildings close to a coast or riverbank may simply not be insured... Another aspect of more extreme weather is costs of food production/logistics going up...Of course there are also lots of links between weather/climate and health/pandemics...Here in NL the idea is cold weather may reduce the number of cases of blue tongue in sheep, cattle etc. Spread of colds, flu etc. also believed to see weather effects ("bad" weather = more indoor spread. Ventilation/wind=lower viral loads)
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: November 10 2023 at 4:36am
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Another climate get-together for politicians that do nothing...[url]https://oneplanetsummit.fr/en/events-16/one-planet-polar-summit-284[/url] or https://oneplanetsummit.fr/en/events-16/one-planet-polar-summit-284 - https://oneplanetsummit.fr/en/events-16/one-planet-polar-summit-284 ; The Arctic and Antarctic are today major strategic areas on which the planet's equilibrium largely depends. Like the oceans to which they are intrinsically linked, the North and South Poles play a central role in climate regulation and the preservation of biodiversity. Actors and first victims of climate change, they are also sounding the alarm. The state of the world's glaciers and high plateaus is no less worrying; they show the extent to which the collapse of the cryosphere on a global scale can have effects on populations, ecosystems as a whole, water resources, sea-level rise… If the phenomenon of cryospheric collapse is irreversible, the world's leaders must take it into account in order to enable ecosystems and populations to adapt to the challenges and disasters already visible. The effects of climate disruption, which are warming the Arctic and Antarctic very strongly and causing the Greenland ice sheet and sea ice to melt, as well as the Antarctic glaciers and other emblematic glaciers such as the Himalayas and Kilimanjaro, justify an exceptional and concerted mobilisation of the international community. France has just adopted its first https://oneplanetsummit.fr/sites/default/files/2023-10/equilibrium-in-extremes-snp-version-en.pdf" rel=" noopener" style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - National Polar Strategy in 2022, explained https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DpbL6ggX6kA&list=PLcKpjPWYkBe-l5N3kLNSj3ouddWnrPFZN&index=46" rel=" noopener" style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; - here . It does not only provide new resources for scientific research, but also sets a number of international objectives, including the organisation in France in 2023 of the first international summit for glaciers and poles, in the form of a One Planet Summit. DJ...good scientists need to go to this kind of meetings to get funding...For the rest they are ignored... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU Dr. Gilbz; We can’t save the West Antarctic. So what now?It’s not often that I make a video with a title this bleak, but unfortunately, needs must. Several pieces of new research point to the inevitability of West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse, which is pretty bad news. But what we do with this bad news is still up to us. Here, I talk to the lead author of one of these new papers, Dr Kaitlin Naughten. She tells me what it all means, including why we need to focus on adaptation, and why we must take courage, not hope, from this information. Contents https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=0s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 00:00 Intro https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=66s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 01:06 Who cares about the Amundsen Sea https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=118s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 01:58 What the study shows https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=186s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 03:06 Mechanisms of change https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=334s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 05:34 Can we trust it? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=396s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 06:36 The link to sea level rise https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=422s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 07:02 Time to adapt https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=533s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 08:53 Why our actions DO matter https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=651s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 10:51 Courage vs hope https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU&t=832s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0" target=" - 13:52 Thank yous with a link to lots of other sources; References and resources THE PAPER: Naughten et al. (2023) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbG0tZDNkZ1J5ZnhMUkpaVHRCMjhmLTg5a0ZxUXxBQ3Jtc0ttaVlmUVZhcUtXZEFJU0J5Uzk5cDVVN0dXajJFdHhCNWZIRkU3UDFqZy1TbHJjQ2FGMVk3V2xBM3JoTEwyb2R4UVNaOWh1aGctM3ZfaWpReTRhME9LMVRoSTl2czhaVlM5MWVWOVM4bmNEd1FCMFRfUQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41558-023-01818-x&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.nature.com/articles/s4155... Kaitlin’s twitter thread: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbmtRVWRlS3RmaXc0YmZJQ3U4dHFHNFZCUVI2UXxBQ3Jtc0tuQ0dGcGxBS0dnZUx0dS03dXZrWXpsYkZiME1sbGFBOHoxMTVMMm9KcUY3WmlrVk0yRXZzNUVsSC1mQ0tvak9UWG5vVGdyNjBKQUNvVEVTUTFYZ19HeTZPcVhLMkttdndPYTJOUHZyLXRmWnRlbTF2dw&q=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fkaitlinnaughten%2Fstatus%2F1716472710107222440&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline-flex; color: inherit; align-items: center;" tabindex="0">  / 1716472710107222440 Kaitlin’s article in The Conversation: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa1JpWmV1MkVzTWNPTW53Y1dZMWNXTGY5TFVsd3xBQ3Jtc0trTUQ5YV9oRUc4cndxd3NDbHU3MWx5VTEyVUNrV1dPNDZQYzJkdXB5VEVLay0tM21qLWZ6WEdTa0FpT0I5dkhycGJVU0xNNTRFSGE1bGpfVXg4Mkx3N0ZOVVFqTmhjTWRwN3QtVThpczhUakx0ZGVkbw&q=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconversation.com%2Fincreasing-melting-of-west-antarctic-ice-shelves-may-be-unavoidable-new-research-216030&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://theconversation.com/increasin... Coverage in the Guardian: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbEVBVE5nNUt5N0ZCVXhRcmdTaU11WkpTcWhxQXxBQ3Jtc0ttTFVNaEtjVl9TcV94MmxPU0poTDAxQnFPUVJjeXZMdTFweDNiNEstZGNIQnM2WFBDU1R1eW9qSHI3QTgzbEFVWk5ZMVluMTdaZWRuWFBzdk9HOHd4SWlyOVRUN2lPQmlpckNtNVhEUGc5TmM2aGxobw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2Fenvironment%2F2023%2Foct%2F23%2Frapid-ice-melt-in-west-antarctica-now-inevitable-research-shows&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.theguardian.com/environme... Commentary in Nature (Sohail, 2023): https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbDZkdGJFRVZJYWlQdnFFMnNfY3NTU0syWWFwUXxBQ3Jtc0ttYWZWNEViQXZkUE9NcHhCQkZxN2ZXNWVrWFUzUlQ5RlRDUXA3a2pvU2JMR2JSNGluWVRmSW9PV005VDZOTl83bzZBdEVUQWMzMnB6QU5VTHl2WWJYZ25KS1JUeFpNeHYyTHBhRkZLbXc2UHdXVTRlcw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41558-023-01817-y&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.nature.com/articles/s4155... Carbon Brief on West Antarctic tipping points: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa2syY2VxclJyVWRuY3E3RENTNnRUdllTWE5vZ3xBQ3Jtc0tucDdsd1RyZFpybVU2NmZ2dkZtd09zM2ZaTGlXYlJ3aEhOblhtMHpGQ1JLdkwxYWtta1piYy1HY3U1MlNzeXNyVEJnUTdLUHA1Z0ZXdzFzS1dIQVZPMTNsbVVoSWRhdW1XTlM0aGMzLWJKbUZvUllUYw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.carbonbrief.org%2Fguest-post-how-close-is-the-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-to-a-tipping-point%2F&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-pos... Carbon Brief on tipping points in Pine Island Glacier: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbEtEQ2pSV29OR0YzNTVqRTJiTThWcGVuazlWQXxBQ3Jtc0ttaFNCY0JmWUpBX1FhanB6M19QMEdPd3JIT0htOXI3Y2ZzMFZ3RkRIYm9pRHJZTWVEdTBJSEtMcklMcU13dU9peXI3MlVKbW5EampjTDl3YjNGa3VzTW1zY2JwcjhUbUtSSFZoeWphYUVmRFRiMG4tYw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.carbonbrief.org%2Fguest-post-identifying-three-tipping-points-in-antarcticas-pine-island-glacier%2F&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-pos... Reese et al. (2023) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa0hvS0lKOTdsWVVWQTVCY1pwdmd0TExHVGVDd3xBQ3Jtc0trSlNCa0JBQ2VKUnQxbjhUcWxQM3hvaUNWNWxGU0pzaFdla2J0QmR0ZVA5Y0lBLWZEUEVxSjY0Ulh2aEE2c1B6bGRtd1lqVllXcElid0JQbnhEYkxSelR6QUpBLW5kSnktVWdsVTJPQ2JFNTF0TTRiYw&q=https%3A%2F%2Ftc.copernicus.org%2Farticles%2F17%2F3761%2F2023%2F&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/17... Hill et al. (2023) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbm5VT29kQllZYlFCdkNjMU9UcVp0enRVUTBGZ3xBQ3Jtc0tsTnd4QnM2di1iVjdCbXQwUjVMUlVoZmxtMEp6MzJUT0o3SVNIYm9vZTI0d2N5WU0zWG1OaWF5ZWM3aFVjZmtRTElzTDJhSVA2U3JqZnVHcjBOelJNSFB0OEdkZklmZ0VSTUR1NWs5SzFyOTVxRjdzOA&q=https%3A%2F%2Ftc.copernicus.org%2Farticles%2F17%2F3739%2F2023%2F&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/17... Armstrong McKay et al. (2022) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbEVGQXdGbUQ0Wms1cWxMcjZVODJiSXFjWDVhZ3xBQ3Jtc0ttVEhEeXN6TlYwcDRBMFppZHdaOWp6UXhReWxSczZVZnpwT0RXSEpUdWZyZmowbFBKNVFyVnNLWVVKa2V4T3otMktWUWxraThxVTRvcnF3eTVUQ29YaGZOQm5EUjFxNmtkV2lKR0tCbmUtS0FWZEthOA&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.science.org%2Fdoi%2F10.1126%2Fscience.abn7950&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/s... Garbe et al. (2020) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbW1MNDBsV2dXeFd1TDF4Z01uaVhLTllSLV9LZ3xBQ3Jtc0tuMDgzZUNjVDV5UHlwYlpHMG1tLTVHRUxHdVZyWk5YODZtX2s1c1B3bUhwVlFsejh4ZkxVdWduMUhEdEFhaFVNYVJfTHRfelRTNFVrd1pWME1VOTAwRUpTeHgzM1JTcXh4VkR2UFBzYlEyLVBWUHJJcw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41586-020-2727-5&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.nature.com/articles/s4158... Joughin et al. (2014) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbnUwaUJOemZaYXlKLVhqYnJaVjFFeHhVblZOd3xBQ3Jtc0trazNtNW9HNVp2el9Jck9xaGJEVk1KclNWaGxNRk9ZY1Q0T2VNQlFPdWhYcEtwQkUweDBiZ0JaMzhsY0VrNE9rRTJXS3Q5Uktuc0xza29QaTVvS09pNzFwdjVIUTdhbHhsalBaVmpoMExBMUZGS0NYaw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.science.org%2Fdoi%2Fabs%2F10.1126%2Fscience.1249055&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.11... Park et al. (2013) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbi13bEtsSmtpd3BKWVJKUFJ3SVpsZkhsNkpwUXxBQ3Jtc0ttdTUtczZSWjFQNTdFRkVxOHNheDBsTktsZm83VjJJV04zb2RoNUZuTjBVN1hKUTEwOGctVThDejJTcGJaakFMbkJ5UWNYT01SZmctMlQwUzI1ZjJFbm5MM0NSVS1vZ1lLWTZONHFWOHlWQWVRT25pYw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fagupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com%2Fdoi%2Ffull%2F10.1002%2Fgrl.50379&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c... Feldmann & Levermann (2015) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa042WC1CNzJWZnNfeWVkcHlTWDgxOTYwVGlkZ3xBQ3Jtc0ttLUVRT0Q5dHFlWnN2X3RwVGhUdTJkMHhZU3JQWGVlTXJRbEkxTzVXemtvV2gtQU50QUwyUkNXTktvVnVCUldaM2VsWUNLQ0NuWHdXRXJpZThCbjNUODBZQkpybkUwYnh1WUFhOURGcmRRR2tSMVdyWQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pnas.org%2Fdoi%2F10.1073%2Fpnas.1512482112&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas... Joughin et al. (2021) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbkpyWFlVbHYtUXNnS0RqdTRQNnJBRzlodXREUXxBQ3Jtc0ttWFJEcjc4UGwzODBNUzlHLUtZU3drRXpsVFRVN0FyYXhhTVBFSkt1c2F1eDZlRHdQWkFLbEkxYktkNU5UMTRaTmRrVXk0MU9HdlhjdHZWeU5MdG1sYmtJRTdsMVVMY1VBSjNKSlp0cmtKQU1lREVnZw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.science.org%2Fdoi%2F10.1126%2Fsciadv.abi5738&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/s... Morlighem et al. (2020) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbXhPdEIwdEozelgzUEF0akczUWlKR3NlakRXUXxBQ3Jtc0tubWlnaFpQNHN0SDVlVVltRUZVb2dwVkZPNkIwMTEtNTUxbnVTcTNJTkZtOFJnODJBUm9XZmlzUjNHMVotMHUwUFRqTWFRSWtGVENfS05zY1IwT3Bsc2ZzQThHOVItYkZzS1lLal9GTHB2YThQSTE1QQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41561-019-0510-8&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.nature.com/articles/s4156... Wiabel et al. (2018) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqazA3cUY2YmJieGtra1RKSXBHdTZNdVRUdmZCZ3xBQ3Jtc0tuUUVlNTJ0RG9NaGxuTEZwZzktaW5PRU1LcE56T05WU0gxc3NuZVByR3E1WUNscndpR2preDZQTDFMSXZjSGVfQUVLZ1BjVERtOTYtY3ZBWEhjNjRPVjM2OWQ1ZUFUcWdkOXZxWTZLb1VQaElqTld6bw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fagupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com%2Fdoi%2F10.1002%2F2017GL076470&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c... Sutter et al. (2023) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbjR1YkJwN0tQbUlMTTRMRGFJajFKRTlpUHJmQXxBQ3Jtc0tuMkN1bHlLZlBMQ3pUQ3ZLYTlTd0VNUllCaFc1eFRYT05RYkNoSC15b283bjNUOG9kTVZ1YnFWbzg5Q1lGYlFkMGtKNTM1elBsWWx4QTZDWDUyVUs1TmdwTTUtNGVBN3NPQV9Ya0FJZHJtS2RyRlJYYw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41558-023-01738-w&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://www.nature.com/articles/s4155... Abrams et al. (2023) https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbnI3MVpPa1U2ZURWTjlEemN4ek9pcUFnTmdad3xBQ3Jtc0tsbFg0ZVpmeEswUThMcnVsZzdyQTB0QjlQaHVPY0x1UXUxbHFzVGZ2OVRkNkxlaHlVYkE5NVpTdzd2M0t1QnhLV05IR3RkUzQtQkJEb3dyZjI0WjRvOWQ1QlZ3QXNvRDZNR1lMQVJhT2twdGtTRFhoSQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fdoi.org%2F10.1029%2F2022EF003250&v=8_BoZDS1gjU" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: inherit;" tabindex="0 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003250 DJ, my view on climate change; We are already seeing this crazy amount of extreme weather in a downward spiral...It is already decreasing food/water availability & logistics...It has a lot of links with pandemics increasing... ----------- Israel dropped 25 kilo-ton of bombs on Gaza...the Hiroshima bomb had 15 kiloton, Nagasaki 21 Kt.... Non-nuclear war may take more time to get the same outcome as nuclear war could have...Both in Ukraine and Israel NATO is supporting crazy leaders willing to cause nuclear disasters (by using nuclear bombs or attacking nuclear powerplants...) ...of course in the US, UK, France also "leading politicians" are over their ears involved in the Gaza and Ukraine genocides... ----------
https://twitter.com/RajlabN" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; outline-style: none; width: 44px; height: 44px;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/RajlabN" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none; - - Raj Rajnarayanan
https://twitter.com/RajlabN" style="cursor: pointer; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: inherit; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration: none; -webkit-box-align: stretch; -webkit-box-direction: normal; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; align-items: stretch; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0; max-width: 100%; outline-style: none;" tabindex="-1 - · #Prevalence of JN.1* (BA.2.86.1.1*) in #France Predicted Prevalence Week 44 : 20.1% (LB 10.2% - UB 30%) Week 45 : 30.2% (LB 19.4% - UB 41%) Week 46 : 45.4% (LB 34.6% - UB 56.2%) Data source: GISAID DJ...in the UK at least former/future (???) PM boris johnson/bojo is honest; He believes CoViD is killing those that will die anyway..."Genocide by pandemic" as a UK conservatives strategy... ----------- Climate, wars, pandemics further increase socio-economic problems-at a certain moment beyond socio-economic collapse...It is the mega-mix that may end humans...could end live on this planet... Present "politics" are out of contact with reality...the measures that need to be taken do not get public support/votes...yet...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: November 18 2023 at 10:54pm
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In my latest "november"post; Pandemic is NOT over... In WAR The Ukraine war is getting to a bloody end...only to see a next mass murder-with full NATO support-by Israel... The basic war is an economic one; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSljq-_QRzs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSljq-_QRzs - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSljq-_QRzs ; JEFFREY SACHS ON A HISTORIC DEBTJeffrey David Sachs (/sæks/; born November 5, 1954) is an American economist, academic and public policy analyst. He is the former director of The Earth Institute at Columbia University. He is known as one of the world's leading experts on economic development and the fight against poverty. Detroit, Michigan, U.S. In short; 2000 US GDP/debt ratio was 35% (So the yearly income of the US did see an amount of debt 35% of that income) 2023 it is 95%, within a few decades it may grow to 185%.... Related [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Og7IC4uRhWE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Og7IC4uRhWE - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Og7IC4uRhWE Lena Petrova; PENTAGON FAILS Audit of $3.8 TRILLION In Military Assets, Once AgainDJ, US "politics" is paid/run by "donors"...those companies/billionaires do NOT want to pay tax but want US/NATO to secure their investments overseas... The US is spending 3x the amount of China on military/war (industry), more than the next 10 countries spent on wars put together... So far China, Japan did buy shares in US debts...they now try to get rid of them... Interests rates going up soon will mean the US will not spent most of its tax income on wars...but on interests... DJ-Under this "ocean of debt" there is a "galaxy of debt" in [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derivative_(finance)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derivative_(finance) ; Buffett called them 'financial weapons of mass destruction.' A potential problem with derivatives is that they comprise an increasingly larger notional amount of assets which may lead to distortions in the underlying capital and equities markets themselves DJ A few problems; -US "politics" is funded by a the same group of very rich funding BOTH parties...The US is NOT a democracy it is a racket [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racketeering[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racketeering - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racketeering ; Racketeering is a type of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organized_crime" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Organized crime - organized crime in which the persons set up a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coercion" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Coercion - coercive , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraud" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Fraud - fraudulent , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extortion" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Extortion - extortionary , or otherwise illegal coordinated scheme or operation (a "racket") to repeatedly or consistently collect a profit. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racketeering#cite_note-LouCNN-1" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [1] Narrowly, it means https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coercion" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Coercion - coercive or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraud" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Fraud - fraudulent business practices; broadly, it can mean any criminal organization with ongoing profit, as defined in the 1970 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._RICO_Act" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="U.S. RICO Act - U.S. RICO Act , which aimed to curtail the power of the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italian-American_Mafia" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;" title="Italian-American Mafia - Mafia and other organized crime DJ...a few will get very rich while the rest will go broke.... But that is even the "optimistic/controlled" scenario....The "uncontrolled scenario" will be a sort of "peak credits"...all of a sudden we may be in a global digital bank run with -world wide- major investors trying to get their tens-of-billions $/€ etc. in safety...The 1929 collapse may look small compared to that... My view is BRICS+ may be driven by this knowledge...The US in many ways is still the major global economy but it is also bankrupt...broken... So -by now- many non-western countries/companies try to buy up the "productive western factors" ...This could mean Lockheed, Boeing, Ratheon -US war industry- may find out they are -at that moment- in fact Chinese... The big problem however is US (and UK, EU may be in the same situation more or less) still has to provide "government"...Most-if not all-sources of major income may be gone... Socio-economic and political collapse may go very high speed...within a day... You may lose your job, your income, your house, your retirement...The schools may have closed...Supermarkets are next if money has become worthless... We are on our way to "failed state-status" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state ; A failed state is a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_(polity)" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="State (polity) - state that has lost its effective ability to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Governance" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Governance - govern its populace. A failed state maintains legal sovereignty but experiences a breakdown in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_power" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Political power - political power , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_enforcement" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Law enforcement - law enforcement , and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_society" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Civil society - civil society , leading to a state of near-anarchy. Common characteristics of a failing state include a government unable to tax and police its populace, control and maintain its territory, fill political or civil offices, or maintain its infrastructure. When this happens, widespread https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Corruption - corruption and criminality, the intervention of state and non-state actors, the appearance of refugees and the involuntary movement of populations, sharp economic decline, and military intervention from both within and without the state are much more likely to occur. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state#cite_note-1" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [1] Metrics have been developed to describe the level of governance of states. The precise level of government control required to avoid being considered a failed state varies considerably amongst authorities. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state#cite_note-stewart-2" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word; - [2] Furthermore, the declaration that a state has "failed" is generally controversial and, when made authoritatively, may carry significant https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geopolitical" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 102, 204); background: none; overflow-wrap: break-word;" title="Geopolitical - geopolitical consequences DJ...[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/11/arctic-ocean-heatstroke.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/11/arctic-ocean-heatstroke.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/11/arctic-ocean-heatstroke.html We are in a "mega-mix crisis" and ignoring that only is increasing the many problems... As I did write in my latest november writing; Have we gone crazy ? My answer is "yes" crazy seems to be the new normal....We can not survive this crisis !
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: November 21 2023 at 1:06am
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Western democrazy is about choices; Do you want to die from disease? [url]https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/11/20/uk-covid-inquiry-latest-patrick-vallance-live/[/url] or https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/11/20/uk-covid-inquiry-latest-patrick-vallance-live/ - https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/11/20/uk-covid-inquiry-latest-patrick-vallance-live/ ; Rishi Sunak thought the Government should “just let people die” as arguments raged over a second lockdown, https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/11/20/uk-covid-inquiry-latest-patrick-vallance-live/" style='background-repeat: no-repeat; box-sizing: inherit; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); touch-action: manipulation; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 1px; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); text-decoration-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); scroll-margin-top: 32px; text-underline-offset: 2px; font-family: "Austin News", georgia, times, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal;'>the Covid Inquiry was told. from war, Military Summary on Ukraine -Total war with Russia -Men 17-70 y/o and women mobilized -Mud/snow on frontlines -Ukraine "anti retreat forces" shelling other Ukraine forces refusing to die -NATO limiting "aid" but also against "surrender" The Gaza-genocide is pushing millions of Palestinians into "a corner"... DJ-Both Ukraine and Palestinians face hunger/starvation, shortage of water, heat, protection with lots of diseases just waiting for a chance... And then-also ignored-climate collapse; Paul Beckwith [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXbjccFsZIg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXbjccFsZIg - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXbjccFsZIg ; New Report: Dire Sea Level Rise up to 20 meters (66 ft) Locked-In Even if Climate Goals MetNew climate change reports are being released every single day as we approach the start of the 28th version of the United Nations Climate Conference (COP28 - Conference of Parties 28) In this video I chat about the new report on the vanishing cryosphere with massive sea level rise called: “State of the Cryosphere 2023: Two degrees is too high: We cannot negotiate with the melting point of ice”; link is in this article: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbW42aG9lTWxIYjlkbnkyNkZrMGNEeW9YdGlwZ3xBQ3Jtc0tsbFhCU25jSXQ5Z0ZQMC1jUkx5THBLXzNpdG5sblFxMXhobUJhYTNhVVhPQlBSMXhRblNTWFJ1V1ZuWV9WRTJHMkxZQjBlcEVRdkdNRkdJN1F4QmZmdl9XSjhXU3hXSkhPdHQ0WGxQeUJqeGRwM3ZOaw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fapple.news%2FAaPaaajMYT-iWfWXxchoOjw&v=eXbjccFsZIg" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(6, 95, 212); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05);" tabindex="0 - https://apple.news/AaPaaajMYT-iWfWXxc... Essentially, this report argues that Earth is facing dire sea level rise — up to 20m — even if climate goals are met and the global average temperature is stabilized at 2 degrees Celsius relative to the IPCC baseline 1850-1900 average. I discuss the main findings in this report, and have a look at what the figures tell us in specific areas of glacier melt, permafrost thaw and emissions feedbacks, Arctic and Antarctica polar temperature amplification and sea ice loss, polar ocean acidification, and changes to ocean circulation patterns and consequences. By the way, we are heading to a 2023 global average temperature of 1.54 degrees Celsius or higher, and on November 18, 2023 the daily average temperature reached 2.0 degrees C above the IPCC baseline for the first time. It appears that by the start of next year, we will only legitimately and honestly be able to discuss the 1.5 C temperature goal in the past tense. Recall that in the James Hansen video recently, I chatted about 1.71 C by 2030 and 2 C by 2038 with James. Please donate to https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbGQxZDVaaWpINTFXWGpHaDhvSFU4SEdwYURHUXxBQ3Jtc0tudWJqbmh5eVFDN2draXZhb1IyMXhmd3V5MDBUdnJibFRQOTltX0VlSFZHTGFEcG1vTl94M2l0UFphUWNzWDhBaFpHQTRETGJSaEdVdmdQWUtYb1NYUjFKQWptUGpZbXpRRVk1b19IbWtWdlFuN0JQOA&q=http%3A%2F%2Fpaulbeckwith.net%2F&v=eXbjccFsZIg" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(6, 95, 212); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05);" tabindex="0 - http://paulbeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. DJ, Good info -as always...but terrible news...Arctic West Antarctic even East Antarctic, Greenland ice melting at record levels...We need that ice to cool the planet...but "short term profits" seem to be more important...We are on our way to; -More climate collapse related diseases/pandemics -More water/food/refugee wars... -Exploding water/food shortages -Mega death... Of course I hope to be very wrong but we are in such a big mess -ignored by "politics" I am losing any hopium left...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: December 06 2023 at 11:00am
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See also CoViD out of control ? -latest news; https://twitter.com/drseanmullen" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%; - - Dr. Sean Mullen
https://twitter.com/drseanmullen" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%;" tabindex="-1 - Upon request by a few folks in this thread, I prompted it to tell me how much time we might have left…
Timeline Estimation: Estimating a specific timeline like 5 years or a decade for human survival under these conditions is speculative.
However, without effective mitigation and in the presence of a continuously spreading lethal virus, the situation could become critical within a few years. The impact would not only be in terms of direct mortality from the virus but also from the collapse of healthcare systems, disruption of supply chains, and breakdown of societal structures. -
https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; width: 44px; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; height: 44px; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; transition-duration: 0.2s;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%; - - Paul Beckwith
https://twitter.com/PaulHBeckwith" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%;" tabindex="-1 - · and [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/will-temperatures-keep-rising-fast.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/will-temperatures-keep-rising-fast.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/will-temperatures-keep-rising-fast.html ; The above image, created with https://climatereanalyzer.org/" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); - Climate Reanalyzer data, shows the temperature anomaly (in °C) compared to the 1979-2000 mean. In blue are the years 1979-2022 and in black and white is the year 2023 through December 3, 2023. A trend is added in pink and white, based on 2023 data. Note that the 1979-2000 mean isn't pre-industrial, the anomaly from pre-industrial is significantly higher. https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgyfQR5Zc5djdskMMVjP-WuZWphGP0PqApHELasrSDzDHnDscJsM5eDhCdjhnQ_IwalYGNQpeoyUb5WVD31djDYobn4-4Lpxspzi30jUtLiup0gc_j9gAHh2oc81JGXt10h1YNRFh2djXsjqiVGqfhhQkGpAN7X7QDrju-wFj48FTvWp9YDPHfeCAKgAc8/s2087/Nov-2023-IRI.png" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> | | [ click on images to enlarge ] |
The trend warns that temperatures could keep rising rapidly over the next few months. DJ, Paul Beckwith warned on some days temperature already above 2C of the IPCC norm. Lots of feedbacks may already have started, from methane to Antarctic (lack of) ice...
DJ-The combination of factors decrease chances for human survival high speed... [url]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/06/earth-on-verge-of-five-catastrophic-tipping-points-scientists-warn?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/06/earth-on-verge-of-five-catastrophic-tipping-points-scientists-warn?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other - https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/06/earth-on-verge-of-five-catastrophic-tipping-points-scientists-warn?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other ; The tipping points at risk include the collapse of big ice sheets in Greenland and the West Antarctic, the widespread thawing of permafrost, the death of coral reefs in warm waters, and the collapse of one oceanic current in the North Atlantic. Unlike other changes to the climate such as hotter heatwaves and heavier rainfall, these systems do not slowly shift in line with greenhouse gas emissions but can instead flip from one state to an entirely different one. When a climatic system tips – sometimes with a sudden shock – it may permanently alter the way the planet works. DJ, the guardian-embedded- still going for global temperature <1,5C + the IPCC norm. Very conservative estimates put 2023 temperature very likely 1,54C+ IPCC norm...If you go for a 1750 baseline temperature will already be over 2C+... ------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: December 14 2023 at 9:49am
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The Arctic did see the warmest summer since measuring began. [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/double-blue-ocean-event-2024.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/double-blue-ocean-event-2024.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/double-blue-ocean-event-2024.html ; A double Blue Ocean Event could occur in 2024. Both Antarctic sea ice and Arctic sea ice could virtually disappear in 2024. A Blue Ocean Event (BOE) occurs when sea ice extent falls to 1 million km² or less, which could occur early 2024 for Antarctic sea ice and in Summer 2024 in the Northern Hemisphere for Arctic sea ice. Antarctic sea ice loss The situation regarding Antarctic sea ice extent is pictured in the image below, which shows that on December 12, 2023, Antarctic sea ice extent was 9.499 million km², a record low for the time of year. Antarctic sea ice extent was 1.788 million km² on February 21, 2023. Antarctic sea ice extent may well be much lower in February 2024, with sea ice loss fuelled by several self-reinforcing feedback loops, as discussed in an https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/will-temperatures-keep-rising-fast.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - earlier post .
Arctic sea ice loss On December 12, 2023, as said, Arctic sea ice extent was third lowest low for the time of year, i.e. only 2016 and 2020 were lower. The years 2016 and 2020 had the highest annual temperature (a tie) on record and this annual temperature record is likely to be surpassed in 2023, while 2024 may be even worse, as the chance that the current El Niño will slow down soon is https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/12/will-temperatures-keep-rising-fast.html" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(153, 34, 17); font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14.85px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); - minimal .
Arctic sea ice extent would have been even lower, had the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) not been slowing down. As a result of AMOC's slowing down, less ocean heat is reaching the Arctic Ocean. Instead, a huge amount of ocean heat has been accumulating in the North Atlantic and much of this heat could soon be pushed abruptly into the Arctic Ocean as storms temporarily speed up currents that carry ocean heat into the Arctic Ocean. DJ, Polar ice is cooling the planet...If that ice (sea/land) is decreasing this fast it will further increase global temperature. Methane release also will further increase pushing up further global temperature...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: December 17 2023 at 11:40pm
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DJ, With nazi-NATO via its "israel" and "ukraine" proxies fighting BRICS-extra over fossil fuel-killing thousends of humans per day we also did see another "climate conference".... [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME Fossil fuels won at COP28Another year, another climate summit. This year's meeting may have made the landmark agreement to "transition away from fossil fuels" but it was still tainted by the influence of record numbers of fossil fuel lobbyists and the blatant hand of fossil fuel companies - not least that of the COP28 President. Thanks so much again to James, follow him on X here: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbURLclUyZGNsUTUzMDVwTERkNG5FRnhERmozd3xBQ3Jtc0tsVWtyamdmMUdaYjhRT0FrTENnS2FJc0ZNRzFHMzdEZHp0cnF2SXlwc25ZV285MVNZVjctdDZYOG94aXBuWXZSWnc5ak5IdkFNTC00YlVwaGpfNzBmSnlyQkI0cEtUZWd3eXlMd0dRMXU1cWtaQU5oMA&q=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2FJD_Kirkham&v=-DUwmr9wcME" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0 - https://twitter.com/JD_Kirkham - Contents https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=0s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 00:00 Intro https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=31s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 00:31 The headlines https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=100s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 01:40 The wins https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=224s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 03:44 The global stocktake https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=311s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 05:11 The scandal COP https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=514s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 08:34 COP is a joke https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=584s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 09:44 Protests https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUwmr9wcME&t=629s" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: none; display: inline; color: rgb(62, 166, 255); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);" tabindex="0" target=" - 10:29 What's the alternative? DJ, UK PM-"joke" sunak did spent more time in his private jet on the way to Dubai then he was at that conference...of course signing an agreement on deportation of refugees from the UK to Rwanda was more important...UK will increase oil and gas exploration in the North Sea... Not only oil/gas lobby groups also meat producers did use the COP-28 to find new clients... So any good news ? -At least there is still a global platform discussing climate.... -For the first time fossil fuels were linked -on a political level- with climate "change" -Some countries are even willing to put a few million into a "damage fund" in compensation their fossil fuel industry is doing to countries kept poor... Of course the damage of climate collapse is running in the billions per year...and 2024 may be another even more extreme year... DJ-People/politics seem only to learn the hard way there is an urgent need to make major changes...bad part of this time is running out... Pandemics are NOT isolated events...both wars and climate collapse do increase pandemic risks...Air polution undermining human health...worsening outcome of disease and "group immunity"... At the moment humans are killing themselves...sort of collective plastic bag over our head and "kicking" on it...If we do NOT wake up in time we should know the next step is knocking us all out... Corrupt politics defending fossil fuel, war industry, the petro-dollar only at present make matters much worse...Like in "wars" we need political major changes...the present political parties (also from the "left") have become part of the problem NOT offer a way out...
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We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: February 04 2024 at 6:16am
https://twitter.com/StTogether1" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; width: 43.98px; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; height: 43.98px; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; transition-duration: 0.2s;" tabindex="-1"> https://twitter.com/StTogether1" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%; - - StrongerTogether #ProtectLife
https://twitter.com/StTogether1" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%;" tabindex="-1 - · There are hundreds of peer reviewed scientific studies on the great damage repeat Covid infections and Long Covid causes to human bodies!
Millions cannot function anymore in daily tasks. No infection control in hospitals, testing is discouraged, few tests conducted. - https://twitter.com/_CatintheHat" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%;"> https://twitter.com/_CatintheHat" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration: none; z-index: 0; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; max-width: 100%;" tabindex="-1 - · The elephant in the room which no one ever mentions is that children’s mental health can be massively affected by repeated Covid infections. Neuroinflammation releases cytokines in the brain which cause heightened levels of anxiety, depression & cognitive dysfunction. DJ....no doubt some "politicians" will claim info on climate change, pandemics, is the main reason for mental health issues...so "stop information"....While NOT doing anything on the real issues.... [url]https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Chile-Emergency-State-and-22-Dead-Due-Forest-Fires-20240203-0004.html[/url] or https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Chile-Emergency-State-and-22-Dead-Due-Forest-Fires-20240203-0004.html - https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Chile-Emergency-State-and-22-Dead-Due-Forest-Fires-20240203-0004.html ; In Chile, the president Gabriel Boric declared an Emergency State as forest fires continue devastating the central regions, leaving several people feared dead and destroying thousands of hectares of forestland. RELATED: “The situation of forest fires, especially in the 5th region, is very difficult due to the temperatures and winds… I have also decided to declare a state of emergency due to a catastrophe to have all the necessary resources,” the president said. To combat the forest fires, Boric has has mobilized all available forces to combat the fires, with emergency services set to assess the catastrophic situation. On the other hand, the Interior Minister, Carolina Tohá, confirmed on Saturday that at least the death of 22 people as a result of forest fires that affect the Valparaíso Region and whose emergency is centered in Viña del Mar and Quilpué. DJ, [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/02/blue-ocean-event-2024.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/02/blue-ocean-event-2024.html - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/02/blue-ocean-event-2024.html Global "warming" means stronger wind....It could push very cold air into places not used to such cold..."populist-leaders" will come up with "there is no climate problem"...so they get more donations from fossil energy, car, aircraft industry... "The economy" works in a way that is destroying the planet....[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/02/who-statement-fao-alert-on-increased.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/02/who-statement-fao-alert-on-increased.html - https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/02/who-statement-fao-alert-on-increased.html ; During the past months, AI outbreaks have continued to be reported in domestic poultry and wild birds in Asia. In the past year, several AI virus subtypes, including H5N1, H5N2, H5N5, H5N6, H5N8, and H9N2 have been detected in domestic poultry and/or wild bird populations in the region. In addition, subtype H5N1 subclade 2.3.4.4b continues to circulate in both wild and domestic birds throughout the world. - Importantly, AI virus subtypes have demonstrated their zoonotic potential, i.e. the ability to transmit from birds to humans. During 2023, human cases of influenza A(H5N1) were detected in China and Cambodia, and the Americas (Ecuador and Chile), and human cases of A(H5N6) were reported in China. In 2024, two more cases of H5N1 in humans were already reported in Cambodia. Other AI subtypes that have been detected in humans in Asia in the past year include influenza A(H3N8), A(H10N5), and A(H9N2). Most of these cases reported exposure through close contact with infected live poultry. While human infections with AI viruses remain sporadic events, they warrant attention since symptoms observed in humans range from asymptomatic to fatal.
INCREASED AVIAN INFLUENZA RISK
There is an increased risk of AI spread in Asia due to intensified in-country travel around Lunar New Year (February 2024), specifically considering the following: • Millions of people are expected to travel for the New Year (starting early February 2024). • The vast majority of traffic will be within countries of the Asian region, but also to and from Asia. • Poultry trade is increasing to serve the high demand for poultry meat and other products consumed during these festivities. • Travel and trade increase the risk of spreading AI, since the virus can be transmitted via contact with infected animals as well as contaminated clothing, vehicles and other equipment.
DJ...some studies claim a human detected case of H5N1 could indicate there may be 200 undetected ones in some countries....That could mean a lot of H5N1 could be "mild"...easy to miss...however it can pick up mutations in each mammal/human infection... [url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-briefs-jn-1-11-and-spawns-rising-fast-in-india-young-people-dying-at-worrisome-rates-in-finland-jn-2-5-causes-brazil-s-carnival-cancella[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-briefs-jn-1-11-and-spawns-rising-fast-in-india-young-people-dying-at-worrisome-rates-in-finland-jn-2-5-causes-brazil-s-carnival-cancella - https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-news-briefs-jn-1-11-and-spawns-rising-fast-in-india-young-people-dying-at-worrisome-rates-in-finland-jn-2-5-causes-brazil-s-carnival-cancella tion... Both climate collapse and global public health may be out of control...The US/NATO going for more wars only further worsening problems... DJ-I would love to believe "there may be a way out" of this mega-mix of crises...but war is NOT one of them.... ------------- We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. ~Albert Einstein
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