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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 04 2020 at 3:56am

DJ-

Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson on [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dcCyeq1Tmt8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dcCyeq1Tmt8

Election Disaster: Half the nation mourns & the whole nation loses

Whether Biden or Trump wins, the nation loses.  I am a studious avoider of left-right politics preferring the up-down axis. Neither party has advanced meaningful ideas for any of our biggest and most vexing problems and predicaments.

 #1: there's no comprehensive energy policy that comports with reality.  Nothing.  It's the biggest oversight of them all.  It leaves us all horribly unprepared for the future

 #2: The US sick care system bankrupts more than 600,000 US families each year even as the US spend more than 2x as much per capita as other nations (who also enjoy better outcomes).  Why no protests over this vile way we treat ourselves here in the US?  Ever think about that? 

#3:  Monetary and fiscal policy.  Neither party is going to do anything but more of the same.  And where has that gotten us?  to the largest fiscal deficits on record, the largest amount of money printing ever, and the widest wealth gap ever. This all leads to one rock-solid conclusion.  No matter how this turns out, we all lose.  So you'd better be working on your personal and community resilience.

DJ-Again the US has 1/5 of both the Covid cases and deaths...

-[url]https://news.yahoo.com/more-61-000-children-got-235122993.html[/url] or https://news.yahoo.com/more-61-000-children-got-235122993.html DJ-Spring numbers may give false perspective on what to expect this fall/winter...children/spread via school may become a major problem.

Politics and a pandemic will always interact but can derail...

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/america-after-election-few-hard-truths-about-things-wont-change[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/america-after-election-few-hard-truths-about-things-wont-change Whoever wins the US has very major problems...(also in part explaining why Covid19 does get that much out of control in the US.)

Trump-supporter Hal Turner [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/who-won-the-u-s-presidency-depends-on-who-you-ask[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/who-won-the-u-s-presidency-depends-on-who-you-ask claims trump already did win the elections-so does trump himself...a sharp increase of public unrest can make this pandemic explode. Votes still are being counted it is to early to claim victory for trump or biden.

-[url]https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesper100klast7days[/url] or https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_casesper100klast7days there seems to be a relation between Covid-cases and voting....

-[url]https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/international/[/url] or https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/international/ giving more info

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 04 2020 at 1:02pm

DJ

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ The numbers are shocking-with not all numbers in-a record number of 8552 deaths-so far. So far 465.000 new cases-and counting. Could it be "some country" is "correcting its numbers" (for political reasons) ? DJ-In part it is the result from Spain "redefining Covid deaths"-reporting 1623 deaths in one day. 

-In Denmark [url]https://www.thelocal.dk/20201104/denmark-to-cull-millions-of-minks-over-mutated-coronavirus[/url] or https://www.thelocal.dk/20201104/denmark-to-cull-millions-of-minks-over-mutated-coronavirus ;

The mutation "could pose a risk that future (coronavirus) vaccines won't work the way they should," Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen told a press conference, adding: "It is necessary to cull all the minks."

“The mutated virus could thereby have serious negative consequences for the whole world’s response to the ongoing pandemic,” she said.

Danish police estimated that between 15 and 17 million minks would need to be put down.

Twelve people are currently registered as infected with a mutated form of the coronavirus in Denmark, according to news wire Ritzau. The mutated virus is reported to respond weakly to antibodies.

DJ-The Dutch minister of health claims "Dutch minks to be different from Danish minks"....

-[url]https://cphpost.dk/?p=120034[/url] or https://cphpost.dk/?p=120034 In Denmark; 

According to the latest figures from the State Serum Institute (SSI), 1,353 people tested positive for the coronavirus in the past 24 hours.

That figure is the highest number of cases registered in one day since the pandemic kicked off last spring.

DJ-Yet another country were the second wave is becoming worse than the spring wave. 

USA

DJ-The US did lose this election. With [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/the-election-is-being-stolen-before-our-very-eyes-there-is-only-one-solution-to-this[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/the-election-is-being-stolen-before-our-very-eyes-there-is-only-one-solution-to-this -crazy persons having the freedom to publish this there is something very wrong with the US. 

DJ-We have freedom of expression in NL-but within certain limits. In press freedom NL still scores (much) better than the US. How is it possible that someone can get room to start almost a civil war because he does not like the outcome of an election ? 

In the past a lot of neo-nazi material was send from the US to Europe due to "freedom of expression" US rules. We can do without those "freedom of expression rules" ! 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 04 2020 at 1:46pm

The virus mutating  has always been my biggest concern, 

When in high school I learnt that a common cold couldn't  be cured is when I became fascinated by  viruses......

Covid19 is a common cold  as far as I'm concerned, most on here understand this I think, 

The vaccine will work for this current virus,

However  a virus changes with every person it infects not by much but it only takes a small shift and we be back to the start ....

The world has changed.............

Take care all ........

Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 04 2020 at 9:58pm

DJ

-Though I am not neutral I try to limit "politics" in my comments. Problem is trump ignores science and he himself is responsible for major spreading of Covid19 in the US. A look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for nov 4 shows a global new cases of over 570.000 with over 108.000 new cases in the US. Over 9000 new Covid19 deaths of wich 1201 in the US. (Yesterday evening the number of deaths had a correction from Spain I do not see that correction in the present numbers. Could it be we now may see a "US correction" were numbers lowered for political reasons?). 

-The "good news" may be we may learn today who did win the US elections. Eventhough the opposite party shows himself a bad loser one can hope unrest in the US will remain limited. (Hal Turner has US military on the move-behind his paywall. I-DJ-can imagine US military preparing to deal if unrest becomes large scale/or very organized. Right wing armed militia are not a police matter.)

When you look at deaths per million (dpm) the US is still at number 9 with 723 dpm, Bolivia has 746 dpm, Chile 748, Brazil 756....(DJ-The numbers are not always meaning the same thing. Belgium includes all possible Covid deaths incl. from carecenters. A lot of other countries do not include all the deaths related to Covid19).

-Dr. John Campbel on "US difficulties" (he did not want to say that much of earlier) [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z27M-ekXlbI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z27M-ekXlbI ;

-CDC claiming "US rounding a corner"-Dr.J.C. cases are exploding. Making masks political is insane. Science denial is deadly...

-On average US testing is 7% positive (with some states up to 20%). The claim "more testing is more cases" is ignoring widescale community spread. (DJ-And I can not help to see Covid situation in pro-trump states often a lot worse..) England also has positive at 7% but is moving into lockdown (the US is not...)

-Dr. Birx; We are entering the most concerning and most deadly phase of this pandemic...

-Simple steps-masks, social distancing, ventilation, keeping groups small and outside are not being done in the US. Warning for over 100.000 new US cases in the US per day (is already a reality looking at worldometers-oct4 over 108.000 new US cases....)

-Over 200.000 cases in universities/schools, prisons etc.

-Voting (also of people in quarantine, with Covid19) may have become another superspreader event (with trump trying to sabotage voting per US mail...)

UK

-At the spring peak the UK had around 20.000 hospital Covid cases, the present (nov 1) number is over 10.000 and going up=lockdown to keep healthcare able to deal with healthissues (DJ most likely including other then Covid cases. In a lot of countries in spring people with cancer, heart issues and other urgent medical matters did not get the care needed). 

-UK hospital trends are going beyond worst case scenarios (DJ-There is a delay of up to 10 days between measures and effects. The UK lock down will slow down the hospital cases by november 15-but by then hospitals may find it already very hard to deal with the new number of cases. Staff getting infected is an increasing problem. Staff simply breaking down, burn out, depression is-in many countries-also a very major concern.)

-DJ-I remember stories on the New York health crisis. Nurses working long days seeing a lot of patients die under their hands. Medical staff unable to do much since there were that many cases...It is sad that since spring not that much has been done-in most countries-to improve medical care. In some countries there now is even less staff/HCW then there was in spring. With more agression and denial from the public.)

-DJ- I did/do follow Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson. I did NOT agree with his XYZ-herd immunity non-sense. I am very sorry to see facts show what a load of garbage any idea on "herd immunity" is proving to be. 

Dr. John Campbell also on the 1918 Spanish Flu Pandemic-50/100 milion deaths. [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oo53rojlp5Q[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oo53rojlp5Q Secondary bacterial infections may have been the killer most often. Anti biotics only came aroun round 1950...Good background info. 

The US had 675.000 excess deaths during that time-would translate to 1,9 million in 2020. (So far Covid19 deaths in the US is 240.000 but US hospitals are getting close to breaking point. A very major health crisis is on its way. There were projections of 2,2 milion US deaths from Covid 19. The US did not enough to stop the spread-in general. Political chaos may worsen the situation.

DJ-Denmark is going to kill ALL minks because of the potential danger Covid virus spread in minks pose for humans. In a lot of other countries (NL, Poland, Finland, US, Ukraine (and China ???) there is still limited/no government action. Spread in and via animals is a very real and major mutation risk. The way I see it now we will get newer forms of Covid-one should call that "the second wave"...it can be an even bigger risk than the present corona-virus. If we are out of luck there may be SEVERAL forms of new Covid-virusses...

Weather

BPEarthWatch [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yn0GeFgIXCI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yn0GeFgIXCI the navy model has "Eta" moving towards Florida. After crossing Cuba above warm waters getting very strong-hitting Florida around nov-11, moving into the Atlantic and then moving towards South Carolina by nov-12. (DJ-It is still far away-other models are much less dangerous-but it is something to keep an eye on.)

Music; Dutch rock Golden Earrings-Just a Little bit of Peace in my Heart [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5DGBhZuP2k[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5DGBhZuP2k 1968



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2020 at 1:12pm

DJ

-Both in Europe and the US number of cases show a very sharp increase. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ In both Europe and the US health care may get overstretched. 

Alarming news from Denmark; [url]https://cphpost.dk/?p=120053[/url] or https://cphpost.dk/?p=120053 ;

New restrictions are set to come into force in seven North Jutland municipalities as a result of the farm-related coronavirus mutation, whilst all the country’s mink are to be culled. It will mean the loss of thousands of jobs.

It follows the Statens Serum Institut finding a more resilient form of coronavirus spreading from mink to at least 12 people in Denmark – bringing fears that a future vaccine may be rendered ineffective.

or [url]https://www.thelocal.dk/20201105/denmark-tightens-north-jutland-restrictions-in-response-to-coronavirus-mutation[/url] or https://www.thelocal.dk/20201105/denmark-tightens-north-jutland-restrictions-in-response-to-coronavirus-mutation ;

Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen announced special restrictions for more than 280,000 people in the north of Denmark on Thursday after a mutated version of the new coronavirus linked to mink farms was found in humans.

DJ-[url]https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54818615[/url] or https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54818615 ;

Denmark will cull all its mink - as many as 17 million - after a mutated form of coronavirus that can spread to humans was found on mink farms.

-

But cases are spreading fast in Denmark - 207 mink farms in Jutland are affected - and at least five cases of the new virus strain were found. Twelve people had become infected, the authorities said.

-

Ms Frederiksen cited a government report which said the mutated virus had been found to weaken the body's ability to form antibodies, potentially making the current vaccines under development for Covid-19 ineffective.

"We have a great responsibility towards our own population, but with the mutation that has now been found, we have an even greater responsibility for the rest of the world as well," she told a news conference.

It is unclear how far stretching this mutation is. (Again) There is a real risk of new forms of Covid (Covid20) via spread in minks. Also some countries do checks-but even with testing there is no 100% certainty of not getting mutations in/via animals. 

WAR

[url]https://southfront.org/israel-warns-of-coming-war-with-iran-if-biden-wins-as-trump-calls/[/url] or https://southfront.org/israel-warns-of-coming-war-with-iran-if-biden-wins-as-trump-calls/ President Biden would return to the Iran-deal. Netanyahu may see this as a reason for war with Iran. 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2020 at 9:56pm

DJ

-The US elections are becoming "problematic" -I (DJ) want to keep it polite-is the US president still in good mental health ? 

-Yesterday november 5 did see over 600.000 new cases. Both Europe and the US see cases explode.

-Reports from mutated Covid from;

  -Denmark via mink

  -Australia-Queensland (12 different mutations)

DJ-The more widespread the virus gets the more likely all kind of mutations become. Most of those mutations (the Corona virus causing COrona VIrus Disease or COVID-19 has 30.000 "blocs" in copying errors are made) make the virus weaker NOT stronger. Still some mutations may create a "new aspect" of the virus. Making the virus spread more easily or giving another form of illness (effecting other parts of the body). Also vaccinations/immunity may become a problem. You can have antibodies for an earlier strain of Covid19 NOT for a new-slightly different-strain. 

Both Denmark and Australia try to get this new form under control by isolation. The problem is there most likely will be several other mutations spreading undetected. The duration of the virus being around is also a factor-the more time for mutations the more likely you get mutations. Also most RNA virusses have 10.000 to 20.000 RNA "blocs"-Covid19 has 30.000 "blocs"-any small change can give unprecedented effects. 

DJ-It may sound "hard" but this pandemic may just be beginning. The Covid19-virus could be maybe even less then 1 year old and has become very widespread in-very likely-hundreds of millions of people. But also it did spread in tens of millions of mink. It could be other animals may have catched the virus as well (cat-like, dog-like animals, horses seem to be able to get it-have a lot of ACE-2 receptors). 

DJ-International cooperation is needed to deal with this pandemic. But that cooperation is very far away. The economic damage-worldwide-will increase. Wether via lockdowns trying to contain the disease or via massive disease spread-health care collapsing. 

Most governments fail to make long term plans to deal with this pandemic-that could be around for years...Even if vaccinations will have an effect we may be already to far in "virus variations" to deal with this pandemic by just a few vaccines. I (DJ) expect one step forward, two steps back-being repeated. Our society is facing long term changes. 

The way we live will need to change long term. I do have hope for rapid testing giving some safety on the short term. But when you look at daily lives-from (air) travel to shopping things will change..Governments have to get more realistic on that and "help" to accomodate to those changes. 

(My laptop has problems with the cursor-I try again later today-maybe we will know who did win the US elections by then...)

Stay safe !

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2020 at 10:57pm

That news from Denmark hit the top spot in our news this morning,  The mutation sounds bad.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2020 at 12:10am

EdwinSm, Denmarks reaction is giving the impression there is a major problem. 

[url]https://www.thelocal.dk/20201105/how-serious-is-denmarks-mink-coronavirus-mutation-and-outbreak[/url] or https://www.thelocal.dk/20201105/how-serious-is-denmarks-mink-coronavirus-mutation-and-outbreak ;

The country is to commence the culling as "soon as possible," police chief Thorkild Fogde said on Wednesday, adding that with 15 million to 17 million minks spread over 1,080 farms it was "a very large undertaking".

Although the majority of cases have been detected in the northern part of Jutland, all minks in the country will be culled.

Meanwhile, residents in North Jutland will be asked not to leave their home municipalities due to concerns over the spread of the mutated form of coronavirus.

Seven municipalities with confirmed coronavirus cases in mink are to be encompassed by restrictions asking residents to remain within municipal limits as far as possible.

-

The mutation "could pose a risk that future (coronavirus) vaccines won't work the way they should", Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen told a press conference, adding that "it is necessary to cull all the minks".

That statement is alarming when unpacked: could a new version of coronavirus emerge from North Jutland as it did from Wuhan in January, resetting international efforts to develop a vaccine and beat the pandemic, and leaving Denmark a global pariah?

"In a few instances, the minks that were infected by humans have transmitted the virus to other people. These are the first reported cases of animal-to-human transmission," the WHO said in a statement sent to news agency AFP.

DJ-(In NL there were several mink-human infections-further spreading in other humans before this Danish story showed up.) 

The novel coronavirus has been detected at 207 Danish mink farms, including some cases with a mutated version that has been confirmed to spread back to humans.

Twelve people were registered as infected with a mutated form of the coronavirus, but the real number is likely to be far higher.

Up to four or five percent of infections in North Jutland may be with a specific mink mutation of coronavirus that is concerning authorities due to its potential to be resistant to a vaccine.

Health authorities have concluded that the mutated virus "is not inhibited by antibodies to the same degree as the normal virus", according to AFP.

"Studies have shown that the mutations may affect the current candidates for a Covid-19 vaccine," health minister Magnus Heunicke said.

"It is a threat to the development of coronavirus vaccines. That is why it is important that we make a national effort," he added.

-

A potentially more disastrous outcome is that Denmark could "unwillingly be the cause of a new variant of corona being let loose not just in our own country, but in the rest of the world", according to Funding.

"We could be known as the country that ruined the last half a year of vaccine work," he added.

A failure to contain the new variant of virus could not only severely damage Denmark's international reputation, but also result in Danes being "denied entry to all the countries of the world", Funding describes as being a concern of the Danish foreign ministry.

-

"The worst case scenario is that we have a pandemic that starts from the beginning with its origin point in Denmark," Kåre Mølbak, technical director with the State Serum Institute (SSI), the country's infectious disease agency, said during Wednesday's briefing.

Mølbak, whose comments were reported in detail by Information, said that around half of all people in North Jutland who currently have coronavirus are infected by a mink variant of the virus. An SSI update from two days ago shows infections in the region at 4,139.

But not all of those infected with mink variants have the type which is concerning health authorities. Only nine percent, in fact, are estimated infected with the specific mutation – termed 'cluster 5' – which, according to SSI, weakens the effect of antibodies and therefore also a possible vaccine. As such, around four or five percent of infections in North Jutland could have the mutation in question.

-

Mølbak said he believes it is possible to contain the mutated 'cluster 5' virus and stop it from spreading from Denmark to the rest of the world.

"One thing is to remove the minks so no new introductions occur. The other thing is to ensure limitation of infection in the community," he said, noting that the R-number or reproduction rate for Covid-19 in the North Jutland health authority region is currently "just a touch over 1".

Hans Jørn Kolmos, a microbiology professor at the University of Southern Denmark, sounded a less reassuring note in his comments to Information.

"The danger is far from over, because mutations are still occurring out there as we speak. And it will take a long time to cull all the (mink) populations," he said.

"So you have to say that if we are lucky, we can contain it, but there is a clear risk of this spreading further. I believe it will be controlled, but action must be taken now," he said, also before the announcement of the North Jutland restrictions.

DJ-This story-that should be top-of-the-news, not behind a form of paywall-leaves a lot of questions unanswered;

1-How long has this mutation been around ? 

2-Can the strategy to contain the virus in North Jutland have a realistic chance ? How much travel is there between North Jutland and other area's ? 

3-Are these (several forms !!!) of mutations more easy to spread ? (It may take just one person spreading the new variation outside the restricted zone to start a new chain...is this form of virus more dominant ?)

4-Denmark is not the only country with a large fur-industry. How likely are mutations-spreading via minks, raccoon dogs to humans in other parts of the world ? 

5-Also if there may be several mutations as result of limited human-mink-human transfer of the virus how likely is it that there is spread via other animals ? (DJ-In NL cats hang around mink farms eating spilled mink food and rats/mice. Can rats/mice get infected ? Is there cat-cat transfer of the new virus (the "normal" Covid19 virus has very limited cat-cat transfer-as far as there is testing.)

6-Will there be samples taken-on a large scale-before Denmark kills all its minks ? Has there been spread to humans/enviroment by mink-hairs ? (DJ-In NL and Denmark the way the virus spread among mink farms is unclear. The farms seem to do all they can to limit virusspread-still the virus escapes...one idea is that mink-hairs blowing in the wind could be a way of spreading.)

DJ-This is just the Danish story. I will try to find more info on the Australian/Queensland [url]https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-06/covid19-sofrana-surville-cargo-ship-world-first-strain-mutation/12853736[/url] or https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-06/covid19-sofrana-surville-cargo-ship-world-first-strain-mutation/12853736 (thanks Carbon20) story. Mutations on a ship-most likely-as far as I have info-in between a limited number of people. It would be a good thing if mass media did pick up this story ! 

The "US election disaster" does take away attention from the Covid19-virus-mutations story to much. Both in the US and Europe (including Russia) new cases are exploding. Can there be a link with mutations ? Does the age groups effected show "unusual"patterns ? Does the illness manifest itself in a different form ? (DJ-On the long run I expect Covid19 to develop into a more common cold. But on its way we may be in for all kind of surprises.) 

[url]https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02544-6[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02544-6 Nature-The coronavirus is mutating-does it matter ? September 8-2020

DJ-Again I do not have any science background. Maybe these "mutation stories" could be "blown up"...

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2020 at 12:21am





Do many minks escape into the wild?

And do farmed minks have any contact with other farm animals,

IE would a mink farmer, have a few pigs at home for instance ?

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2020 at 12:54am

Carbon20,

-As far as I know for NL mink farms most often only keep minks. But there may be (wild) cats around-rats/mice drop by for visits..

-Since animal rights activists have been very active against this kind of farming often there are watchdogs on the farm. 

-In the past animal right groups did destroy cages so the minks could escape. They then often die under cars, do not have much/any chance in the wild. (So there was a lot of discussion on these kind of action in animal rights groups.The market for fur-products is decreasing so increasing security costs makes mink farms less profitable. Often mink farms (in NL) are in area's were the land has limited other uses, there were large families so for economy reasons other forms of farming also did not work. 

A family can have several familymembers having their own mink farms. The largest mink farms can have tens-of-thousends of minks, also a lot of (temporary-foreign workers) staff. Most of the workers-certainly in these days-only work on ONE farm. 

-There have been minks showing up in some area's-maybe escaping but more likely dumped. Sometimes these minks were found to be infected. It may be farmers dumped infected minks to "save the production". (If they would follow the official way-even one infected mink could mean ALL minks being killed-end of the farm). 

-In some area's of NL they did test the virus showing up in infected people living near farms to see if it came from nearby mink farms. So far those tests turned out negative. The only humans infected by minks did show up in farm workers. They themselves did spread those mink virus to other family members. 

-What I do get from the Danish story is that-in DK (Denmark)- mink-to-human infections did see more humans spreading the mink-mutated virus. 

Some other news;

-There is growing trade in declerations you did not test positive for Covid19 on the internet. You can buy such a declaration for 50€-.Some countries demand such a recent negative test declaration. 

-There has been a decrease of positive tests for some cancertypes in NL. There is public testing in NL but due to Covid19 a lot of testing stopped.

-Also excess deaths in NL are still above the statistics for this time of year. (As for most countries-we will see the real number of pandemic-deaths show up in statistics after this pandemic has ended.)

-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-russia-china-bid-farewell-americas-failing-democracy[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-russia-china-bid-farewell-americas-failing-democracy US chaos does have consequences...

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2020 at 1:04am

[url]https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-06/new-coronavirus-covid19-strain-mutation-hits-vaccine-research/12218834[/url] or https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-06/new-coronavirus-covid19-strain-mutation-hits-vaccine-research/12218834 ;

A group of leading international researchers has concluded the coronavirus behind the global pandemic has already mutated into a second strain, which appears to have spread faster and wider than the original one, potentially undermining efforts to create a vaccine.

The research, yet to be peer-reviewed but posted online by scientists from the US and UK, also found the newer strain, or G-strain, may undermine any immunity gained from infection by the original strain.

(This is not on the latest Queensland finding. It would be very welcome if science did come up with an overview of all the present -main-mutations. Since there are already lots of smaller "changes" it may be very complicated. ) 


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[url]https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/06/who-looking-at-how-a-covid-mutation-among-minks-may-impact-a-vaccine.html#close[/url] or https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/06/who-looking-at-how-a-covid-mutation-among-minks-may-impact-a-vaccine.html#close;

LONDON — The World Health Organization said on Friday it would review biosecurity measures across the globe after Danish health authorities found a mutated form of the coronavirus present in the country’s mink farms.

The detection of the mutated virus among minks has raised questions about the effectiveness of a future Covid-19 vaccine.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said earlier this week that the government planned to cull all 15 million minks in Danish farms to try to reduce the risk of the animals re-transmitting the new strain of the coronavirus to humans.

Frederiksen described the situation as “very, very serious,” warning the mutated virus could have “devastating consequences” worldwide.

-

I think it is very important to recognize that these types of things happen all of the time. This is a global pandemic and many millions (of people) have been infected and many millions of animals have been exposed,” Dr. Mike Ryan, executive director of the WHO’s health emergencies program, said during the same briefing.

“There is always a potential that the virus can then come back to humans and that is a concern because mammal species like mink are very good hosts in a sense and the virus can evolve within those species especially if there are large numbers packed closely together,” Ryan said.

DJ some other news;

-[url]https://innovationorigins.com/cellular-immunity-to-sars-cov-2-detected-in-mild-cases/[/url] or https://innovationorigins.com/cellular-immunity-to-sars-cov-2-detected-in-mild-cases/ 

and 

[url]https://innovationorigins.com/air-filter-system-from-the-diy-store-makes-classrooms-largely-free-of-aerosols/[/url] or https://innovationorigins.com/air-filter-system-from-the-diy-store-makes-classrooms-largely-free-of-aerosols/ 

(DJ-spread via schools may be a major concern. Dutch cases are going up-may be school related.)

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ is already climbing fast-will it again see record cases/deaths ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/893095-denmark-coronavirus-detected-in-222-mink-farms-all-danish-mink-15-17-million-must-be-killed-because-coronavirus-has-mutated-and-has-spread-to-humans-12-people-registered-with-the-mutated-virus-september-16/page4[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/893095-denmark-coronavirus-detected-in-222-mink-farms-all-danish-mink-15-17-million-must-be-killed-because-coronavirus-has-mutated-and-has-spread-to-humans-12-people-registered-with-the-mutated-virus-september-16/page4 

(DJ-I did not find any news yet on Australian new mutations)

US-elections

DJ-[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/election-chaos-coming-very-fast-get-bullet-resistant-vest[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/election-chaos-coming-very-fast-get-bullet-resistant-vest It looks like some trump-supporters are preparing to not accept a biden win in the US elections. With the coming weekend it may mean "increase of civil unrest".

One can only hope the unrest will be limited. The way things look now biden's win will be accepted by almost all countries and most likely by almost all US citizens. Still a small group could cause a lot of problems...

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DJ-At this moment [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ already showing almost 550.000 new cases, 8000 new deaths...US close to 100.000 new cases, France over 60.000 new cases...

-The US elections is moving towards a biden-victory. Most likely trump-in part-did lose reelection on his handling of the pandemic...

WAR

DJ-Is part of the "trump middle east peace plan" between Israel/Netanyahu and IS sponsors like UAE, Kuwait etc (trump hoped to get the nobel peace prize for his "peace for war-plan") to start a major conflict for the "unrealistic chance" of trump not getting reelected ? 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/china-outraged-after-pompeo-removes-terrorist-label-hardline-uighur-jihadist-group[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/china-outraged-after-pompeo-removes-terrorist-label-hardline-uighur-jihadist-group 

and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/iran-747-carrying-missiles-to-venezuela-us-military-goes-to-threatcon-delta-all-units-change-call-signs[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/iran-747-carrying-missiles-to-venezuela-us-military-goes-to-threatcon-delta-all-units-change-call-signs 

may give some hint of what could be next...

Other illnesses;

[url]http://www.thebigwobble.org/2020/11/huge-bird-flu-outbreak-across-europe.html[/url] or http://www.thebigwobble.org/2020/11/huge-bird-flu-outbreak-across-europe.html more and more wild birds die of H5N8 all over Europe...

[url]https://www.thebigwobble.org/2020/11/what-fresh-hell-is-this-its-disease.html[/url] or https://www.thebigwobble.org/2020/11/what-fresh-hell-is-this-its-disease.html ;

It's a disease which wiped out nearly 50% of the global pig population in 2019 and is still killing millions of pigs in 2020 but African Swine Flu is thought not to infect humans.

An infectious disease expert at the University of Alberta says it's shocking to hear about Canada's first human case of a rare swine flu variant, but she expects it's likely a one-off situation. Dr Lynora Saxinger, an associate professor in the department of medicine, wrote on Twitter "what fresh hell is this"[?] when she first heard about the case in central Alberta.

DJ-A man did show up with a H1N2-pig flu related disease in Alberta Canada...hopefully an isolated case..

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DJ-

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ looked alarming yesterday evening-turned out to be record breaking-again.

Some records in new cases-nov 6; US 132.540, France 60.486-if only 10% of those cases would need hospital care in ten days there is a major problem.

The US reported 1248 deaths-in one day. France had 828 deaths in just a single day. 

Most likely there will be "corrections" in the statistics. The Dutch number included  27 people that died in march and april...If there was underreporting in the US because of the elections of course that is not good. 

The US now has 730 Deaths Per Million of population (DPM)-at #10. Argentina 731, Bolivia748, Chile 754...Belgium is at #2 with 1079 dpm-but that number may include all POSSIBLE covid deaths-could be a slightly different number. (San Marino-a mini state in Italy has 1237 dpm-on a population of under 34.000). 

By looking at cases/deaths per million you can correct/balance how severe the pandemic is striking a country. I think you also have to include measures-most of Europe is in lockdown. The US is facing chaos...

-Dr. John Campbell trying to find out what is happening in Denmark. [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QvvMDw6YQw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QvvMDw6YQw Why is there not a total travel stop from Denmark ? Can this mink-mutated virus in humans reinfect people who did already suffer from earlier Covid19 infection more easily ? 

DJ-As far as I know there was not even a strict lockdown in North Jutland !!!! It was an advice...Over 200 cases of mink-mutation in humans have been identified. Earliest reports of mutations/mink infections were from early september...there was no action !

(DJ-Correction-Reuters Factbox-Cluster 5 has been found on five mink farms in Northern Denmark and 12 cases were registered in humans in the same Danish region in August and September, but none has been registered since then, according to SSI. )

DJ-The spread of the mink-mutation in Denmark has been going on for over two months (or has it stayed limited so far-if there were no findings of other cluster 5 mutations ?) If the farm-staff is-as it is in NL-often migrant temporary workers doing dirty jobs from overcrowded houses. Maybe even working a few weeks at a mink farm, then working in meat production, you know "the picture is not good"....([url]https://www.thelocal.dk/20201105/how-serious-is-denmarks-mink-coronavirus-mutation-and-outbreak[/url] or https://www.thelocal.dk/20201105/how-serious-is-denmarks-mink-coronavirus-mutation-and-outbreak and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/denmark-covid-19/870823-denmark-mink-farms-affected-by-coronavirus-june-17-september-14-2020/page2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/denmark-covid-19/870823-denmark-mink-farms-affected-by-coronavirus-june-17-september-14-2020/page2 )

Dr.J.C. Denmark-population 5.8 million (humans) has over 17 million minks. [url]https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-denmark-mink/denmark-has-found-214-people-infected-with-mink-related-coronavirus-state-serum-institute-idUSKBN27M11W[/url] or https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-denmark-mink/denmark-has-found-214-people-infected-with-mink-related-coronavirus-state-serum-institute-idUSKBN27M11W and [url]https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-denmark-mink-factb/factbox-what-we-know-about-denmarks-mink-coronavirus-strain-idUSKBN27M2L4[/url] or https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-denmark-mink-factb/factbox-what-we-know-about-denmarks-mink-coronavirus-strain-idUSKBN27M2L4 

DJ-The Danish government did know of virusspread in minks AND mutations for two months and did nothing !!!![url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/893095-denmark-coronavirus-detected-in-222-mink-farms-all-danish-mink-15-17-million-must-be-killed-because-coronavirus-has-mutated-and-has-spread-to-humans-12-people-registered-with-the-mutated-virus-september-16[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/893095-denmark-coronavirus-detected-in-222-mink-farms-all-danish-mink-15-17-million-must-be-killed-because-coronavirus-has-mutated-and-has-spread-to-humans-12-people-registered-with-the-mutated-virus-september-16 

The 12 people Dr.J.C. is mentioning have a "cluster 5 mutation" "effecting vaccine/immunity-the other 202 mutation infected people have "different kinds of mutation now being studied"....(DJ-And there must be hundreds if not thousend of people already spreading all kind of mink-mutated Covid19 (or 20DK) virusses...DJ-The mink-human infection in NL has been-as far as is known-very limited. Several other countries have mink farms, working conditions are poor, housing is often poor. 

[url]https://www.gelderlander.nl/binnenland/uitzendbaas-schopt-en-slaat-arbeidsmigrant-op-uitgelekte-video-verschrikkelijk-om-te-zien~af1f7c25/[/url] or https://www.gelderlander.nl/binnenland/uitzendbaas-schopt-en-slaat-arbeidsmigrant-op-uitgelekte-video-verschrikkelijk-om-te-zien~af1f7c25/ DJ-A video of a temporary service employee beating up a Romanian worker in NL. These workers do the dirty job in the meat industry. A lot of dirty work is in the semi-legal sphere. Workers often do not have health insurance, sometimes "in papers" do not excist. Some employers may "cull" infected workers if infections show up...

Dr.J.C. has a cold (?) and in my opinion (DJ) may need to be a bit "sharper". DJ-The Danish government did know of minks infecting humans and mutations for (at least) two months without action. Can we trust them in being open on the risks ? 

DJ-My opinion/question is "the second wave"of Covid19 in any way related to a new animal linked mutation (from NL, Denmark, Poland, Spain where ever..). Governments and "experts"keep running behind the facts all the time...

WAR

DJ-Will trump accept losing the US election "in peace" ? How much room has "this man" to start world war three ? To be honest-I think the present US president may be insane....He does not have to start a major war-Israel/Netanyahu (as long as "that man" is out of prison) may start a war for trump....The US moving in to rescue Israel...

This pandemic did make trump lose the election-will the next domino-block be a major war...? 

Music-Anouk (from The Hague-NL) Birds [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMTggnBEtt4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMTggnBEtt4



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DJ-Some more info on the Danish-mink story;

[url]https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/2020/11/denmark-mink-culling/[/url] or https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/2020/11/denmark-mink-culling/ ;

In a press conference on November 4, Danish Health Minister Magnus Heunicke said that genomic analysis of Danish human cases of coronavirus indicated about half of the 783 human cases of coronavirus in the northern part of the country are related to mink, according to the Associated Press. But by the end of the week a report posted in Danish by the State Serum Institute stated lower numbers: Testing indicated at least 214 people had contracted coronavirus associated with the minks. That work has also not been peer-reviewed.

-

The U.S. situation

The United States, too, has confirmed that minks have contracted coronavirus on fur farms in Utah, Wisconsin, and Michigan, though so far there is no evidence that the minks are making humans sick in the U.S. “These investigations are ongoing, and we will release data once available,” says Jasmine Reed, a U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention spokesperson.

DJ-Also some notes from [url]https://southfront.org/fur-trades-and-pandemics-coronavirus-and-denmarks-great-mink-massacre/[/url] or https://southfront.org/fur-trades-and-pandemics-coronavirus-and-denmarks-great-mink-massacre/ ;

Some scrutiny from international sources regarding Denmark’s decision has been forthcoming, though it is more in the order of modest scepticism.  Marion Koopmans of the Erasmus Medical Centre in Rotterdam, recalling the research into mink outbreaks in Dutch mink populations, considered the claim on a resistant mutation a bold one.  “That is a very big statement.  A single mutation, I would not expect to have that dramatic an effect.”  Emma Hodcroft, a molecular epidemiologist based at the Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine in Bern, Switzerland, was also doubtful.  “It’s almost never the case that it’s such a simple story of one mutation and all your vaccines stop working.”

DJ-Looking at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/denmark/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/denmark/  As far as I can see (with very limited knowledge of the subject) Denmark so far has no main differences from other countries in a second wave. Maybe more detailed info could give another picture. (Age group, gender ? severity of disease)

-DJ-In NL there seems to be an reinfections. We have been in this pandemic for almost 10 months so an increase of reinfections was to be expected. Allthough experts say "small mutations in mink" infecting humans most likely will not do that much harm-these mutations certainly do not help. 

-I could not find further news on the Australian-Queensland "ship mutations"...

-Looking at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ;

 -The global number of cases will cross the 50 million today

 -EurAsia now has about 26 million cases, the America's have almost 22 milion cases. 

Some background; [url]https://www.leopoldina.org/presse-1/nachrichten/wissenschaftsorganisationen-zur-coronavirus-pandemie/[/url] or https://www.leopoldina.org/presse-1/nachrichten/wissenschaftsorganisationen-zur-coronavirus-pandemie/ 

[url]https://www.corona24news.com/[/url] or https://www.corona24news.com/ (DJ-Do not know what to think of it...)



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Tabitha111 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2020 at 4:13am

First reported here- the mink -Covid connection.  Who would have thought it would come to this - a mutation that has passed on to humans?  Glad I payed attention way back when I first reported on the mink farms.

'A man who does not think and plan long ahead will find trouble right at his door.'
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2020 at 8:02am

As I have said here before, Josh, I have been reading The Dangerous Case Of Donald Trump, where 35 doctors give their opinions on the state of Trump's mental health.  Of course, the prevailing opinion is that Trump is suffering from Malignant Narcissistic Personality Disorder, with a few of them stating some paranoia.  Nixon was said to have suffered from paranoia, which fueled many drunken rants during his tenure.  Trump doesn't drink, but what fuels his paranoia is his narcissism, and his insecurity.  His behavior in the coming weeks is bound to become more erratic and inflammatory.  Biden is well aware and has a plan, which he has made clear: "The United States government is perfectly capable of escorting trespassers out of the White House".  So that is what I believe we're looking at in the next ten weeks or so.

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-Tabitha111, the earliest stories on mink-infections came in may from NL. So in six months time the mink-fur industry did see its end coming-that is a big chance ! And [url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2020/11/articles/animals/other-animals/mutating-covid-and-mink-whats-the-story/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2020/11/articles/animals/other-animals/mutating-covid-and-mink-whats-the-story/ is a great source of info on "one health" for all living creatures.

-ViQueen24, the problem with trump is that he is not the only problem. He has very fanatic followers-not able to compromise. The US friendship with IS-sponsors (started under Nixon-creating the petro-$) still is unhealthy and dangerous. To many politicians turn out to be self-centered socio-paths. Looking for followers-not discussion. We will have to see what the coming months will bring...(I remember the Bay-of-pigs Cuba invasion plan was made under Eisenhower but Kennedy-as a new president-had to deal with it...Also the Teheran-hostage story-republicans frustrating talks with Iran to make reelection of Jimmy Carter impossible.)

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ weekend-dip still almost 600.000 new cases. The US almost 125.000 new cases, France almost 87.000 new cases...[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/europe-back-lockdown-mode[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/europe-back-lockdown-mode NPI did show to be effective in bringing down the numbers...

-Denmark [url]https://www.foedevarestyrelsen.dk/Nyheder/Aktuelt/Sider/Nyheder%202020/Aflivede-mink-graves-ned.aspx[/url] or https://www.foedevarestyrelsen.dk/Nyheder/Aktuelt/Sider/Nyheder%202020/Aflivede-mink-graves-ned.aspx ;

In recent days, the authorities have investigated several possible places in Jutland that can be used for burying killed mink.

To prevent infection from spreading from the animals, the animals are encapsulated in layers of lime, says police inspector Uffe Stormly, head of the National Operative Staff.

"We face a great logistical challenge when it comes to disposing of such large quantities of animals killed in a very short time. Public health considerations have made it necessary to kill the animals very quickly, and therefore we have to dig some of them down. But we do it in a way so that there is no risk to the surrounding community, "he says.


DJ-I believe 17 milion minks will be killed (by gas ?) -In China during the African Swine Flu pigs were burried alive...

-Dr.John Campbell-Mutation update/UK [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HjvyNfdbWy8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HjvyNfdbWy8 ;

-The UK did close travel to and from Denmark-UK citizens coming from Denmark have to self-isolate. (DJ-Somehow Dr.J.C. did not get the info that 12 cluster-5 infections in humans were found in august and september...so sometime ago. There are other mutations as well. The reason Denmark is now killing all minks is bio-safety. You can not have virusses mutating in minks that create (large) risks for humans.)

-Trondheim/Norway also a mutation in mink-giving longer incubation time and (in that way ?) more spread ? (see next post [url]https://www.nrk.no/trondelag/ny-koronavariant-oppdaget-i-trondheim-1.15206064[/url] or https://www.nrk.no/trondelag/ny-koronavariant-oppdaget-i-trondheim-1.15206064 )

-Australia-ship not allowed to dock (Dr.J.C. also does not have more info...)

-Mutations in animals can make major changes in the virus. The world needs to be more pro-active (not re-active) to get this pandemic under control.

-Since cats and dogs have their own corona-virus there may be some cross-immunity against Covid19-why is there no study to see if humans with cats and/or dogs are showing less Covid cases (DJ-Statisticly the fact that you own/live with a cat/dog may be a minor factor-social behaviour is the big issue...still some statistic study could be a good idea. In an area with a lot of people owning a cat/dog is there more or les Covid19-in general ?)

-UK-Since there was so much less testing in the spring wave estimates are the number of infections-not tested-must have been much larger than the number of tested cases in november. But if you look at hospital cases the difference is much smaller-is this second wave causing more severe illness or are the estimates on the first wave number of cases incorrect ? (DJ-Several European countries now deal with a second wave that is worse then the first wave...we may be wrong in our number of likely-not tested-cases during the spring wave-it could be that number of cases was much lower !)

-

The US;

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/30-states-computer-system-known-be-defective-tallying-votes[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/30-states-computer-system-known-be-defective-tallying-votes 

[url]https://www.rt.com/op-ed/506057-biden-trump-same-old/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/op-ed/506057-biden-trump-same-old/ 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-banana-follies-mother-all-color-revolutions[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-banana-follies-mother-all-color-revolutions 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/regime-change-in-washington-paves-way-for-more-nefarious-polcies.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/regime-change-in-washington-paves-way-for-more-nefarious-polcies.html 

DJ-I think trump did not get reelected due to his inaction on the pandemic. Still the "old US elite" never accepted trump. In my opinion a civilized country (so without the death penalty) has good public healthcare for all. The US should stop its endless wars and cooperate with Russia and China. Sanctions hurt the US more then they hurt the sanctioned countries. There is no military way to stay the "only superpower"-there may be an economic, diplomatic way...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NfA2gw4Ddw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NfA2gw4Ddw a look at a X-mas show in my region (a few weeks old video. We are supposed to be in a semi-lockdown-still lots of people go to these kind of shows...no choirs this year, much less German visitors). 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2020 at 1:20am

DJ-A translation of a Norway article [url]https://www.nrk.no/trondelag/ny-koronavariant-oppdaget-i-trondheim-1.15206064[/url] or https://www.nrk.no/trondelag/ny-koronavariant-oppdaget-i-trondheim-1.15206064  (published october 19);

New corona variant discovered in Trondheim

Preliminary analyzes from FHI show that a new variant of the coronavirus is in circulation in Trondheim.

- We do not know where the virus comes from. No similar variant has been seen in Norway before. An international search has also been made and the variant has not been seen before there either, says municipal chief physician Tove Røsstad to NRK.

It was Dagbladet that first mentioned the case. The municipal chief expects that the outbreak will grow, as the people in quarantine get tested.

- We got the suspicion that this could be another variant that behaved differently. It spread more easily and people got sick faster, but you do not get sicker from this variant, says Røsstad.

Common with changes

The Norwegian Institute of Occupational Health writes in a press release that there are probably several different subgroups of the coronavirus in Trondheim.

- The way in which these changes may affect the virus' ability to infect or cause disease is still unclear, says Karoline Bragstad, section leader at the National Institute of Public Health.

Changes in viruses are common, they write. Some changes may have an effect on the infectivity, while others do not.

The changes that have been discovered in the virus in Trondheim now are not the same changes that were found in the virus that spread on a tourist bus from Rogaland. It is not a question of the same variant of the virus, writes FHI.

Eight new infected in Trondheim

During this weekend, eight new people in Trondheim have been diagnosed with coronary heart disease.

Seven of the eight are in their 20s and one in their 40s. Everyone has a mild course. Six of those infected this weekend are linked to the ongoing outbreak, which includes Little London and Barmuda.

- We see that those who have been infected, as far as I know, have had a mild course. So far, we have the impression that this is going well. Most are between 20 and 30 years old and have a mild course, says Røsstad.

On Monday morning, around 35 people are connected to the ongoing outbreak. Several hundred have been quarantined.

More contagious virus

On Thursday last week, it was announced that 1,000 people were placed in corona quarantine in Trondheim. 800 originated from a bar visit to the nightclub Lille London in the city.

Municipal chief physician Tove Røsstad then stated that the outbreak was due to a "variant of the virus that is more contagious than what we usually see".

- It has a potential to spread much more, Røsstad told NRK.

On Monday morning, the municipal chief emphasizes that they have control in Trondheim.

- It is not worrying that we have a new variant in itself, we must expect that to happen, says Røsstad.

Viruses from all over the country

FHI closely monitors the development of the coronavirus. They are sent viruses from all over the country. The samples are examined in detail to detect mutations, among other things.

- It is important to see if there are changes that are important for infectivity, how seriously ill you get from the virus, or if there are changes that can be important from vaccine development, Line Vold in FHI explained to NRK.

FHI then stated that they had found a mutated coronavirus after the mentioned retirement trip in southern Norway.

DJ-So there are three outbreaks "Little London"nightclub-800 cases in isolation and "Barmuda"-200 cases both in Trondheim-a third earlier case with "mutated" virus was in Rogaland-South Norway-tourist bus spread. I do not get much further at [url]https://www.fhi.no/en/[/url] or https://www.fhi.no/en/ Norwegian Health Institute. 

DJ-I do not have the knowledge to see if "different strains" means mutations and how to look at that. Looking at how this pandemic evolves most "new strains/mutations" will NOT be discovered in an early phase. The D614G [url]https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.075911v1.full.pdf[/url] or https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.075911v1.full.pdf "variation" was able to spread around the globe and do much damage. 

DJ-Maybe we are in a "wordgame" in wich mutations are called "variations"? And are "expected and normal" while it may make finding a vaccine/getting immunity more difficult ? 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2020 at 9:49am

I certainly agree with you, Josh, that Trump is not the only problem.  But he is the first "road hazard" to deal with, and then we can deal with all with the others.  To me, those of us who find Trump and Trumpism distasteful need to be aware that the problem is half-solved, as you said.  And there are some of us who get that, and are willing to keep on the pressure. 

There is a lot of good old Republican conservatism that, although it is not my cup of tea politically, I can see good common sense in it, and I can see why those who embrace those particular ideals, do so.  I may disagree with them, but I have no animus toward them.  They are folks who see the world differently than I, and that is all.

But Trumpism is another thing altogether.  It is threatened by diversity, and reacts with fearful bluster toward it.  It wants to subjugate people it feels threatened by, and/or is used to dominating, and will go to great lengths to do so.  It is spiteful to those who disagree with it, and is not above intimidation, and implied and actual violence to keep them down.  It will fire and destroy colleagues who are not in lockstep, and will alienate allies if they do not share it's worldview, and pursue its goal.  It favors passive-aggressive missives to engaging in calm and fruitful discussions.  It thrives on chaos, not on peace.  

Republicans will have to decide what kind of party they want.  I did not like Reagan much, nor agree with about half of what he represented, but he was a safe president overall. Would Reagan recognize his party now, let alone Eisenhower, Teddy Roosevelt or Lincoln?

There are good Republicans who stand for decency.  They need to take control of their party.  They are people with a respectable vision for this country, even if I disagree with some of it.  Most Democrats could sit down at the table with them and bargain reasonable legislation, work across the aisle.  These Trumpers, there's no working with them, and the direction the country has taken under them has been repugnant.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2020 at 10:17am

That was very eloquent, VQ.  

I personally would like to add that  in addition to those nasty Trumpian tendancies is that most distastefull of behaviours.  Blaming others for what you do yourself.

For Instance:

ABC, CNN, BBC all lie and publish fake news.
Firing any member of his personal staff who dissagrees with him, publically or privately and then saying they were at fault for things he himself did.
Accepting (or at least not fighting against) Russian help with the last election and then accusing the opposing side of electoral fraud.
Accusing the Black Lives Matter movement of agression, then encouraging the extreme right militia to intimidate the electoral vote counters.


I could go on, - and on - and on - and on.  I have even lost count of some of the instances.


The supporters of the Democrat party are often accused of weeping when Trump won the last presidential election.  I wept when he won the contest to run.  Some of those Republicans he beat to the job were good, honest, educated and intelligent people.  Yes, the Republicans saw a 'winner', but at what cost?  The whole party has become tarnished, in my view and both Regan and McCain were heroes of mine.  Something truly 'nasty' has been concieved in the Republican party in the last few years- and many of them do not believe in abortion - even in the most extreme cases.  I keep wanting to scream: "Wake up!"


On a final note.  I never used to like Bush junior (I loved Bush Senior!) but I really misjudged him.  He has behaved with cast-iron integrity throughout this election; presidential, fair and patriotic.  I appologise to him for anything I ever said against him.  He would get my vote tomorrow if that were possible.

How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JellyMama Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2020 at 10:08pm

Funny, as a Trump supporter, I do not follow blindly and I find that the democrats or the left are quite guilty of what you attribute to the Trumpers as you call them. 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 08 2020 at 10:41pm

DJ-I want to keep politics aside...as far as is possible in dealing with a pandemic. I think a government has a major role in trying to get a pandemic under control. 1. They have the intelligence, information of the risks-how to react, and 2-They have the position to enforce rules to get this pandemic under control.

-When I look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for sunday nov. 8 some notes;

 -Most likely a weekend effect brings down the numbers -less then 500.000 new cases has been a few days ago

 -Still the US did see over 100.000 new cases...both in new and total cases the US has a 20% share-with 4% of the global population that is 5 times more then one would expect. 

 -Getting this pandemic under control has to be priority #1-for ALL countries. We came very close to healthcare breakdown in Europe. In such a scenario all of society comes close to collapse.

See also [url]https://kutv.com/news/coronavirus/gov-herbert-declares-new-state-of-emergency-to-address-hospital-overcrowding-case-surge[/url] or https://kutv.com/news/coronavirus/gov-herbert-declares-new-state-of-emergency-to-address-hospital-overcrowding-case-surge and [url]https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/11/utah-10000-minks-dead-from-coronavirus[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/11/utah-10000-minks-dead-from-coronavirus 

 -In most European countries there are lockdowns/NPI (hospital)cases tend to slowly decrease. 

-Besides "mutations/variations" via Danish minks, yesterday also news on "variations" in Norway. Australia/New Zealand ship had 5 mutated virus cases....DJ-We will never get out of this pandemic when new "forms" of the virus keep showing up. (Besides that H5N8 is getting widespread in wild birds in Europe-there is a risk it will reach humans. We now have had 5 cases of West Nile Fever in NL -it lookd like the mosquito spreading that disease did reach this part of Europe.)

Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfkMywgDEdY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfkMywgDEdY 

-Two reasons for loking at the Danish-mink story; A-the mutation itself may be significant, B-This story shows there are mutations when the virus spread in other then human hosts. 

-A third reason is forming of a virus reservoir in (other) animals-jumping from animals to humans making this risk last much longer. 

-Denmark is going to concentrate testing to North Jutland to see how widespread the "variations" of the mink virus are (DJ-in humans-or also looking at pets ?)

-WHO since JUNE (!!!) 2020 there has been spread of 5 variations of corona-virus (with mink mutations) in (at least) 214 humans.

-Since november 5 12 people did show (cluster 5) mutations that may decrease vaccination effect.These cases were found in september-the effect on vaccines may have been discovered on november 5. (DJ-this is what I make of the story)

-Decreased antibody immunity in cluster 5 cases (both in humans and minks=greater risk of reinfection, some forms of vaccination may not work that well. Dr.J.C. T-cell immunity is NOT mentioned !)

-Denmark will sequence all virus giving infection in humans and minks. (DJ-It would be wise to sequence-look at the RNA-of a certain percentage of minks to see if there have been more, asymptomatic spread between minks and humans. It could be some virusses-mutations could have much longer incubation times. If you kill all the minks now you may miss important information.)

-Dr.J.C. also wonders why such an "industry" was allowed to remain active-it is a major bio-hazard and inhumane. We as humans have to rethink how we deal with other animals...

-WHO advice more sequencing all around the globe (to see how many different forms of virus there are)

DJ-Under the video lots of info/links. Two of them [url]https://coronasmitte.dk/en/mink-farms[/url] or https://coronasmitte.dk/en/mink-farms and [url]https://coronasmitte.dk/en/restrictions-in-north-jutland[/url] or https://coronasmitte.dk/en/restrictions-in-north-jutland may be worth to keep an eye on. If the area with restrictions widens or there are new "clusters" DK may show it on these sites. 

DJ-There has been mink-to-human (and further into human) transfer in NL as well. It looks like it is "easy"-so why would it NOT (yet) be happening elsewere ? (Ukraine, Poland, Russia, China, US ???) Do we have to wait till another country has a fur-farm related outbreak ? Maybe even worse then this Danish one ? 

From [url]https://www.furfreealliance.com/shocking-results-of-the-investigation-on-probably-the-largest-fur-farm-in-the-world/[/url] or https://www.furfreealliance.com/shocking-results-of-the-investigation-on-probably-the-largest-fur-farm-in-the-world/ september 8 2020;

Today, activists from Polish animal rights organisation Otwarte Klatki published the shocking results of a two-month-long investigation at the largest fur farm in Poland. The activist employed on the mink farm documented, among others, cases of cannibalism, open wounds and untreated sick animals. The case was reported to the prosecution.

DJ-If politics want to act pro-active they stop fur-farming NOW !!!! It is a major bio-hazard. 

Another remark-the "word game" variations, mutations, different strains does not help to get a realistic view. It looks like most countries may choose to cover up virusspread in animals for economic reasons. So far "saving the economy" did prolong this pandemic by months...made matters worse not better ! 

Also the (insane) idea of "herd immunity" against a new corona-virus disease may be "the strategy" for some countries. It is an insane idea because; 1-There is very limited-and short term-immunity against cold-coronavirusses-herd immunity does not work ! 2-Uncontrolled spread of Covid19 will not only destroy healthcare it will also increase deaths from other causes in an explosive way....Covid19 is not "a mild flu" it is a very serious disease for ALL age groups. 3-We simply still do not know enough of covid19 on the longer term. Chronic illness may be more common, the risks for reinfections much greater then we still now know. 

The main reason why we are still in this pandemic is that governments make bad choices, do not take Covid19 serious enough !

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNKY3JZ5Eis[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNKY3JZ5Eis John Harle; The Three Ravens; How Should I My True Love Know ? 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/denmark-kill-17-million-mink-after-covid-mutation-found[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/denmark-kill-17-million-mink-after-covid-mutation-found

From Animal to Humans

When initial reports of human-to-cat infections came out, scientists doubted the connection, then generally claimed the reverse was unlikely.

Long ago, I asked why?

If the virus could go from bats and camels to humans why couldn't it spread from humans to other animals and back?


DJ-A virus can mutate while jumping from human to human-small errors in reproduction of the virus can have serious consequences. Jumping between species increases risks even further because different "hosts" may have slightly different receptors...

Weather

[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 DJ While "Eta" may hang around west of Florida all coming week-even get to a hurricane-there are two other "events" with risks of getting a (tropical) storm. One in the Atlantic may even move towards Spain/Portugal or North Africa coming days-the other system is forming south of Hispaniola. 

BPEarthWatch [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T1lpFuf6xE4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T1lpFuf6xE4 

More on the music-part [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G-2kbhuLvpQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G-2kbhuLvpQ 

The music-lyrics go back to 1611 but most likely is older [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Three_Ravens[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Three_Ravens 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 09 2020 at 10:10pm

DJ

EdwinSm yesterday in the latest news section posted this link [url]https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54867653[/url] or https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54867653 the mink (cluster 5) mutation found in Denmark first showed up in NL. Those Dutch minks did not infect humans and all were killed. 

If both the mink and human links are not there the same mutation could have taken place twice. In Denmark the Covid19 in mink did see the same mutation proces as was seen in Dutch minks...

If that would be the case-and we are talking about a "cluster-5" mutation giving less antibody defense in humans when they catch that mutated virus-such a "trajectory"is very likely to happen in other minks being infected with Covid19 from farm workers...

How bad that news is we will learn soon enough. It must be widespread by now. It may go undetected in countries that do not test minks. 

With good news on vaccines this "cluster 5"mutation may give (some) complications. Most likely this mutated form still will be vulnarable for vaccines. People having this form of Covid may still get some immunity. On the other hand we have to look in to news on re-infections. Can there be a link with (not earlier detected) "cluster 5"(like) mutations ? 

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Looking at new cases;

 -The US showing over 125.000 of new cases, France was doing very bad a few days ago-but (news of) lockdowns did seem to work. France a few days back reported over 80.000 new cases in a day-now takes #7 with just over 20.000 new cases. 

 -In deaths France still shows up at #2-as could be expected (and at #5 in serious/critical). In the US [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/breaking-news-liberal-media-pulling-back-biden-win[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/breaking-news-liberal-media-pulling-back-biden-win "politics" is a major problem in dealing with this pandemic. 

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rupert_Murdoch[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rupert_Murdoch did not like the way trump handled the Covid19 pandemic and stopped supporting trump. With that a.o. Fox stopped supporting trump. Biden seems to make dealing with this Covid19 a top-priority. Dealing with pandemics (just like with climate change-it is way to hot in a lot of parts of the globe !!!) should not be a matter of "politics"! In a crisis it is a governments job to deal with the crisis, any crisis !!!

-Dr. John Campbell on vaccines [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RSAfRMrd8w[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RSAfRMrd8w DJ-Some remarks; (also some of the comments under the video are worth attention-this Pfizer interim update was not meant as a start-up for mass vaccination !) The Pfizer messenger RNA vaccine was given-in two doses to a group of over 20.000 vollunteers-another group did get a placebo. After one week since the second vaccination over 90 people reported/tested for Covid19-most of them in the placebogroup. (The vaccine needs storage/transport at -18C=around 0F). This is an interim report but I do think it is much to early to claim it is a major succes-yet. 

-Since working with a large group of vollunteers in six countries-requested to take all care not to get infected-most of the protection may come from masks, isolating themselves. The factor this vaccine may play-after just one week since the second vaccination-is "unclear" yet. 

Of course Pfizer would love to bring good news-it may be just a bit to early to say this vaccine is "a major succes"-in my (DJ) opinion. It is good 47 other vaccines are in phase-3 trials. Russia (Sputnik-V) and China (several) are working on their vaccines as well. I would love to believe vaccines can get us out of this crisis-they can make a difference ! (Brazil stopped using the Chinese vaccine-due to complications-DJ-or for political US-China "war" reasons ?)

"Emergency Use"-starting to vaccinate on a larger scale to soon-could give false sense of protection. I think it would be wiser to take more time to see how effective and safe vaccines are. As discussed elsewere on this forum-a two/three week lockdown-improved testing/contact tracing-in my (DJ) opinion would be a much better alternative. The main problem here is a total lack of support in a large group of the public (20 to 50% may simply not cooperate...NPI does not work that way...). If in reality the vaccine does NOT do such a good job we could soon be in a third wave-maybe even harder with lotst of complications..

YET-we have to discus the way WE-as humans-destroy "our"planet ! We have to stop spreading any kind of virus-just for fun-hollidays-around the globe. We have to stop creating major bio-risks in the way we mistreat other creatures/animals ! We do need cleaner air and to stop climate collapse. 

Climate "change" (I dislike the word "change" because when a ship is sinking "its position is changing"-we are talking about a climate disaster that could kill all live on earth-yes that is a "change" but please-no more wordgames...) is the big motor behind (future) pandemics-the sixt mass extinction. All kinds of life is being put on stress-most species losing there biotope-their place to live. 

If we neglect, ignore science, refuse to take warningsigns for what they are we will lose our biotope-"our" Earth !

Climate collapse

-"Eta" now north of Cuba may move towards Florida-could gain strength. "Theta"formed in the Atlantic moving towards Portugal/Spain/Morocco...[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ A third storm is forming [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Atlantic_hurricane_season[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Atlantic_hurricane_season that most likely will become "Iota" after that name the Greek Alphabet can provide three other names; "Kappa", "Lambda" and "Mu"-we may run out of names this year.... 

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=swRQ_mOQ54w[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=swRQ_mOQ54w A German group from Cologne about the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kristallnacht[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kristallnacht 82 years ago today...We can not let hate win...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 10 2020 at 10:02pm

DJ

-A look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for november 10. Out of around 540.000 new cases over 135.000 of them come from the US. Also 9190 deaths-US had 1345 of them..The US has a population of just over 330 milion. That makes 330.000 0.1% of all US population-in ONE day something like 0.04% of the US population tested positive...With over 245.000+ US deaths close to 0.08% of the US population died from Covid19 within about 10 months.

Yes-some countries do worse-often small countries. Latin America has a problem. In Europe some countries-Belgium, Czech Republic, are hard hit. In spring Italy and Spain did bad. But the US is doing poor most of the year...

Larger countries have a function for their region. In Europe Germany is helping other countries if there is a need. The US soon may not be able to help a lot-may be running out of hospital beds. It will be a hard winter-vaccines can not change that.

-Another note-Even with maximum test capacity some people with infections will not be found. They may have no or mild complaints, not recognize the symptoms well enough. With between 20 to 40% a/pre-symptomatic spread one should use testing to test ALL.  

In lots of countries even those who did test positive do not stay at home enough-keep spreading the virus. Civil liberties are great, essential-but when you are dealing with a pandemic the priority has to be to STOP virus spread...

In communications governments are not very clear-young people "do not get the virus", only "the old and vulnarable die"-this is NOT how to deal with a pandemic. 

Sad point is that pandemics are on the rise. We should be organizing societies to better deal with pandemics. How can you have freedom-if possible also of movement-and limit virusspread. Are Thailand-holidays are essential for democracy ? Do we realy need to eat half a cow per person per year ? Climate change is a motor behind pandemics and we are not doing enough to deal with climate change...

-DJ-I think "mutations may go faster then vaccines"...We did have the stories of Denmark, Norway, Australia. A "cluster 5" mutation was found in Dutch mink but did not jump to a human-we were lucky. These mutations showed up just a few months ago in developed countries that were willing to look at those possibilities. Other mutations most likely are happening now-spreading now in some countries. We NEED international cooperation to set up a databank to store all info on Covid19 virusses-and we need it fast-NOW !!!

We keep running behind the facts, repeating insane discussions (no worse then the flu, save the economy) while the virus is getting more widespread. Not only in locations, also in species...The more species get Covid19 infections, the more inter species mutations will happen. Why do we still not take this pandemic serious ????

-Peak Prosperity-Vaccine for Covid! Great news or not so fast ? [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4GoqMsOnFU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4GoqMsOnFU 

-Pfizer gave a press-release-not science data. Somehow the media made it bigger then it was. It may take to 2022 before there can be mass vaccinations. (And yes the Pfizer vaccine may need storage/transport at -60C Dr.J.C. was "optimistic/wrong" with -20C).

-Chris Martenson has room for self isolation. For most of us it will be the only available effective protection.

-In the UK mass distribution of vitamin D in care centers for the winter-it may provide some protection (DJ-but you CAN overdose vitamin D creating calcium problems)

-PP/CM gives a link to [url]https://www.evms.edu/media/evms_public/departments/internal_medicine/Marik-Covid-Protocol-Summary.pdf[/url] or https://www.evms.edu/media/evms_public/departments/internal_medicine/Marik-Covid-Protocol-Summary.pdf for home treatment of Covid19. (With the coming months health care in crisis it may be wise to have this info...)

DJ-Yesterday there was news from Brazil on the Chinese vaccine. Turns out the mayor of Sao Paulo is working with China-and could become the next president- Bolsenaro is working with western vaccine manufacturers.

-Also a look at Dr, John Campbell US/UK, mutations, vitamin D [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iuYCG8A7KTc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iuYCG8A7KTc 

-US passing UK in statistics, upward trend. A lot of cases in north-central (colder part) of US. 

-Dr.J.C. There are daily flights from Denmark to New Ark and Chicago (Dr.J.C. believes that is a danger for cluster5-mutation spread-DJ-I think since the cluster 5 was found in august and september  (or seprember/october Dr.J.C. ?) the spread is already going on...)

-There have been mink-Covid19 infections in the US. In the UK-by order-they start looking for mutated virusses in patients (it does not make Dutch news DJ-It should be a priority in NL, but also Poland, Spain etc where there were mink infections..)

-Dr.J.C. is very worried about these mutations-they could start a second pandemic. At least the UK seems to be taking it serious (as one of the few as far as I know DJ)

-Dr.J.C. the way we deal with animals is asking for pandemics. Mink-covid may have jumped to otters, ferrets etc...

-Dr.J.C. has been promoting Vitamin D usage since january-may now become practice in Scotland, England

-Are we over the peak of the second wave (DJ-in the UK and a lot of other European countries ? The US is following Europe, South Asia, Latin America may follow the US...)?

-UK-We may be missing 50% of the cases-people with mild or no symptoms still spreading the disease

DJ-A few Dutch links [url]https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/10/weekly-report-shows-145-tested-positive-coronavirus-2nd-straight-fall[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/10/weekly-report-shows-145-tested-positive-coronavirus-2nd-straight-fall and 

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/10/de-jonge-new-coronavirus-measures-now-lockdown-relaxation-talks[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/10/de-jonge-new-coronavirus-measures-now-lockdown-relaxation-talks 

To be realistic; when will there be a third wave ? Will it be Christmas/New Year-people visiting each other ? Will it be caused by (re-infecting) mutated virusses ? I would like to stay optimistic-but the basic problem in this pandemic is the way we-as humans-act. When I see-on TV news etc-how here in NL streets are still busy even with our semi-lockdown we are lucky the R0 is under 1 for now. 

Enough people take this pandemic serious-for now. But communications keep failing. We close musea, libraries but keep the IKEA, garden centers etc open...half choices made this pandemic much bigger...

Also international (air) travel is not stopped enough. We could import another "variation" of Covid19 any day-see cases going up again maybe even more agressive. It is good biden-in the US-is taking Covid19 serious...but it may take months before he can change things there. 

In NL Covid19 keeps spreading in care centers, schools, it may have slowed down for now. But we are not out of this pandemic !

Weather

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJynozcvDVQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJynozcvDVQ  Tropical Tidbits-Three systems at november 10 is "crazy". "Eta" moving toward Cuba/Florida..."Theta" moving in the direction of Portugal. "Iota" is forming can become another deadly storm for central America/Haïti/Puerto Rico...

Music ; Lenny Kravitz-It ain't over till it is over [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmENMZFUU_0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmENMZFUU_0 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 11 2020 at 10:42pm

DJ

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/  (11-11-2020)The numbers speak for themselves...at least some numbers.

-Total new cases over 613.000 in one day-almost 1/4 of them in the US. in new cases India and Brzil back at #2 and #3.

-All of the top-10 Covid cases countries did see over 1 million cases-5 of the countries are from Europe, 4 of them from the America's and just one from Asia (!!!!-Asia has over 4 billion  in population-it is very under represented-why ?)

-Two European countries are in the top 10 for most new cases and not in the top 10 for all cases-Poland and Germany. Poland is yet another country in political crisis-making dealing with this pandemic a problem..

-In the list of deaths per million (dpm) Belgium-of major countries-is in a top position with 1168 dpm. In that list the US is still at #10 with 746 dpm. At #6 Brazil has 767 dpm, at #7 Chile 763, at #8 Argentina with 761 and at #9 Bolivia with 751. 

-The US did see almost 1500 new Covid deaths in just one day-given the total numbers both deaths and dpm will go up (fast).

Elsewere on this forum there was already a post/disciussion on the US hospitals close to breaking point. With the new number of cases per day being that high the perspective-for the short term is bad. 1. Testing capacity most likely will not be able to deal with demand. A lot of people will not be able to get tested (even after dying from Covid19). 2. With a severe shortage of testing the spread of the virus can not get under control-it will increase. 3. Hospitals will not be able to deal with the influx of cases...severe cases ending up at their homes (or in the street). 4. Other urgent care becomes a problem-people dying from healthissues that would not kill them under normal circumstances. 5. Non urgent care-diabetes, thyroid, COPD etc becomes problematic-due to a health care crash...

Of course this scenario is preventable ! In Europe there are national lockdowns ! [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/milan-crematory-cant-keep-deaths[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/milan-crematory-cant-keep-deaths . Hospital cases may still be increasing but in a lot of European countries the (increase of) new cases is going down. 

Europe is further in its second wave then the US. For Latin America and Asia the second wave only started. 

Some countries with deep political problems manage dealing with this pandemic well-Israel is doing great ! They had a very major crisis a few weeks ago-with up to 10.000 new cases in one day at the peak. Now they did see 665 new cases yesterday. It is far from over but the main crisis is under control. 

Countries like the US, Brazil, India, Poland are facing much more problems. "Politics" creating division not unity. Massive street protests in several of these countries spread the virus further. 

It is a major problem the US now has two old men claiming to be the next US president [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/youtube-is-down-massive-crash-or-shut-down-of-stolen-election-info[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/youtube-is-down-massive-crash-or-shut-down-of-stolen-election-info (to link some of H.T. non-sense seen as real by a large group). 

Dr. John Campbell with TWO new video's [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1K8ZkA8ukk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1K8ZkA8ukk on Covid vaccines. The other on HCQ [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n16W3cjBttA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n16W3cjBttA . Both with lots of info-but for the short term maybe not of much help. (The US HCQ "study" again was in severe cases-and yes-we already knew it did not work then...)

-The reasons why some countries use HCQ is that it is cheap and easy to make themselves. Even if it is not doing a lot it may be better then doing nothing for most...

-As far as I can see Russia and China are leading in vaccines. China restarted its testing in Brazil. "A severe complication" turned out more to be political than vaccine related. Both Russia and China may be able to start mass producing-and exporting- vaccines in 2021. Of course they also have their own political agenda. Other Asian countries like India, Iran, Korea, Israel are also working on vaccines. (One weak point of Pfizer is cold storage/transport. (-80C/-112F Dr.J.C.)The other weak point may be political/economical. Russia and China may give away their vaccines-to get influence in Latin America, South Asia, Middle East and Africa.)

-Vaccines will not help in the second wave-and on a global scale also be of little meaning in the coming third wave-january 2021. You can expect "mega-virus-spread" with Christmas, New Year, schools reopening in january. 

-Another important issue is who to vaccinate ? HCW ers, people with high social mobility so high risk of spread or the most vulnarable that still will have to isolate themselves (without locking them up-some "safe social bubble management coordination"could be welcome.) Some vaccines may be most effective in young people-of limited help in the older age group. 

-Most likely ALL of the vaccines could see some form of (hopefully limited) complications. This is crisis management, emergency intervention. 

-Whoever will be the next US president-the world is divided in dealing with this pandemic. For to long "the west" sort of went for herd immunity. 

DJ-This Covid19 virus can destroy nations. On a small scale this virus is very well treatable, not a major risk. Problem is the virus does spread. We now almost have 15 million active cases (with the US almost 4 million active cases) above all other health problems that IS a major problem. 

In NL all mink farming now has to end next month. In Denmark they are working on emergency laws to end mink farming-most likely also in 2020. Spread in and via other animals is already a very major risk. It is very likely a "mutated" form of Covid19 may be spreading. Still-as far as I know-(and that is very limited) vaccines may still have some effect on the "slightly mutated" virusses. NPI is simple and-if taken serious-very effective. If you do take social distance you may stay out of reach for a lot of trouble..

Climate collapse

-"Eta"will bring a lot of "discomfort" the the SE US. [url]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#25W[/url] or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#25W "Vamco" is doing a lot of damage in SE Asia. 

[url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/11/above-zero-celsius-at-north-pole-november-2020.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/11/above-zero-celsius-at-north-pole-november-2020.html  DJ-Of course it should be freezing at the north pole in november....This lack of cold in the Arctic means global temperatures will go up even faster....

DJ Music; Have Yourself A Merry LITTLE Christmas-Carpenters [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TPAOBN4Pt-Y[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TPAOBN4Pt-Y 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 12 2020 at 10:12pm

DJ

-In the media there is a lot of attention for vaccines. They will have to make an end to this Covid19-pandemic because "we" seem to be unable to do it in a non-pharma way. A number of countries (Australia, New Zealand, China etc.) did get the pandemic under control by social distancing, masks etc. I think that strategy still is the best; low risk, low cost and effective.

I do have my doubts on the miracles politics/media expect vaccines to do. To get all/most of my country-the Netherlands (NL) vaccinated would-at least-take a year. With almost 18 million of population getting-on average 1,5 million people vaccinated per month is a very major job. Certainly when you would need TWO vaccinations-like the Pfizer or Sputnik-V vaccine need to have.

It would be nice if the effectiveness of the vaccine would be longer then a year-Dr. J.C. loves to mention immunity for SARS-1 from 2003 lasting till now. But that immunity was/is in people who did get SARS-1. So the immune reaction is both via B-cell (antibody) and T-cell. Translating that to vaccinations may be a bit optimistic-at least. 

There must be a lot of "variations/mutations" of Covid19-and new mutations will increase. With more people-and most likely animals-getting infected-the more mutations (mistakes made when the virus copies itself-most of the time making the virus less of a risk-but still-since the extreme large numbers-enough times to increase risks for humans and (other) animals.)

To deal with this pandemic we need good and realistic communications. Non Pharma Intervention will be our main defense. Vaccines can and will help. But we may have to deal with Covid19 for at least a few years...(Indian pharma-producer claimed if everybody on the globe would be vaccinated by 2024 it would be very good.)

Politics, media, experts most of the time would like to present short term answers...I (DJ) do not think that that shows realism. 

-Looking at the sad numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for november 12. The US with over 161.000 new cases, 1190 deaths...it looks bad-but if you would put it in another order-say the US had 33 million people instead of 331 million-then the number of 16.100 new cases, 119 deaths almost sounds "European". 

To put it in perspective the US is at #16 in cases per million. The 15 other countries doing worse only include 3 "real countries".

At #4 there is Belgium. (Population 11 million)-That very divided country has SIX governments ! One federal, one for the Dutch, French. German speaking part, one for Brussel(s)-the capital and there seems to be even another government...The main reason why Flanders is still part of Belgium is that they do not want to give up Brussel(s)-once the largest Dutch speaking city in the Low Countries. About 4,5% of the population (44.399 per 1.000.000=4,4399 per 100) . Belgium has 1185 deaths per million (dpm)-but the Belgian number includes also suspected Covid-deaths.

In Belgium there is a large Jewish Orthodox community. Also a lot of migrant-background people living in bad housing did get infected. 

At #6 there is Czechia. What I do understand is they did quite well in the first wave but underestimated the second wave. Population 10,7 million-4,16% tested positive dpm 537

At #13 is Israel. Also a very divided country. From orthodox Jews to Palestinians-poor large families to well educated very western elite. Netanyahu managed to split the country-causing widespread protests. Now a strict lockdown (also to prevent anti-Netanyahu demonstrations) is showing effect. On bad days 10.000 new cases per day showed up in this country of almost 10 million. Over 0,1% of the population at some days tested positive. So far 3,5% of population did get infected-dpm (only) 294

The other top 15 countries in cases per million often have a population of less then 1 million. Panama and Armenia (in a war) are the largest of them. 

At #16 is the US !!!!! Hardly doing better then Panama with 3,3% of the population infected. In the deaths per million the US is at #10. (749 dpm). Spain at #17 gets close to the US with 3,2% of its population testing positive (and 865 dpm).

-There is/was hope we may have peaked in most of Europe for the second wave in new cases. But in NL the cases are going up again. Also some other countries do not see the progress they hoped for.

-Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson (PP/CM) taking a look at Sweden (DJ at #51 in cases per million-1,7% of population being infected, but at #18 in deaths per million with 605 dpm) [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJ1l0gLTjXQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJ1l0gLTjXQ ; Sweden puts extra vitamin D in food products. DJ-That may make a difference. PP/CM claims you have to take a very large amount of vitamin D to get an overdose. in the UK the "extra" vitamin D for people in care centers is such a low dose it will not make a major change. 

DJ-Can you compare countries ? Yes-I just did ! Sweden, Scandinavia is not densely crowded-for the most part. Social distancing is in the culture for most there. Extra vitamin D may help a lot. 

The Netherlands, Belgium, some other parts of Europe are almost mega-cities. Any virus can spread much easier-we have a high mobility-not only international but also inside the country or region. 

The US may be a mix of both-mega cities and more rural. Still-when you look at (limited) statistics the US is doing "not very well" in this pandemic. That is not only a US problem ! The US would like to be the "center of the world" but that ambition does not go well with high infection rate. 

The US did do "not very well" ever since the start of this pandemic. In part the problem is political. What I (DJ) find very interesting in this crisis is the many aspects of it. Communication is a very major part of that. 

In NL about 20% tends to believe Covid19 is non-sense. In the US that percentage could be 50% almost ? Some people think their religion may protect them (we had the South Korea church related superspreader a.o., also in Israel some orthodox groups refused to accept limitations) and become a risk. 

Spread in/via animals gets more attention-with NL and DK (DenmarK) killing all minks this year. But it could be to little to late. Extreme weather events did increase infection rates (INdia, Central America a.o.).

The outlook-since there is a very strong link with climate change- is bad. In democracies (becoming demo-crazies) telling people to stop flying, driving cars, eat less/no meat and have less children does not get you many votes. Still I (DJ) think that is what science is telling us we have to do...

Music-with a nice video clip Ave Maria-Vladimir Vavilov [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a3SQmI1I9i0&list=RDa3SQmI1I9i0&start_radio=1[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a3SQmI1I9i0&list=RDa3SQmI1I9i0&start_radio=1 to put things in perspective...this pandemic may be something we can deal with much better now then just 50 years ago... 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 12 2020 at 11:38pm

I notice that 5 of the States of USA have worse death ratios than Belgium (at 1,185 deaths/million)

These are:

New Jersey        1.872

New York           1,744

Massachusetts  1,486

Connecticut        1,326

Louisiana            1,312



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 13 2020 at 11:11pm

EdwinSm, The US numbers are-when you consider the duration-shocking. Texas and California both already over 1 million cases, Florida on its way to get there soon. 

DJ-Some other short news items;

-In Greece two mink farms did find Covid19-minks got killed. (At least) one worker also tested positive. Uncertain yet if he infected the minks or the mink-virus jumped to the worker...Although experts disagree on how much risk there is in Covid19 in animals-it could develop away from humans-if you want to get the spread under control you do not want Covid19 in any other animal then humans !

-There was some hope in parts of Europe we may have peaked in the second wave. But cases started going up in NL, Germany the last few days. Most experts expect a further increase with Christmas, New Year, schools reopening in january..DJ-Schools may be a bigger factor in virus spread. For a lot of countries closing schools is not an easy decission. 

-On vaccines there were some "plans" to go for on average 1,5 million vaccinations per mont in NL-giving all the people in NL a vaccination (or two ???) in 2021. One producer of vaccines told a government worker they would be very happy with 10.000 vaccines per month...

The idea that with vaccines, better testing, NPI we can "reboost"the economy in 21 is a fantasy. The Animals Rights Party here in NL already stated-we can NOT go back to the old abnormal !!! Limit meat production, airtravel etc. We are still destroying our planet high-speed ! Eco-cide is the "old normal". Climate change is the motor behind pandemics...

-In the US trump made (not) dealing with  the pandemic part of a campain (to stay president). There will be a big pro-trump protest in Washington D.C.-no doubt another super spreader event. A lot of people around trump already did get infected...

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ DJ-Even when you "down size" the US number to an average European country (18.353 new cases on a population of 33.1 million) the US number is high. Again some European countries did worse-but for a very short time. The US numbers have been very high for days-there is no national action in the US to stop this international health crisis. 

The US do see limits on US travel as anti US actions. A lot of European countries tend to react the same way...

If you look at four major "countries" and how they deal with this pandemic;

-China has most of the spread under control. Had a very strict lockdown early on, a lot of testing, contact tracing, travel restrictions.

-India may be facing a second wave. Limited access to healthcare and testing. In spring a lot of workers (200 million ?) lost their job and returned to their vilages taking Covid19 with them. India has internal borders-can enforce some lockdowns. But income inbalance is extreme. The real number of Covid cases/deaths may be 10 times the official number ? 

-EU-We may not be that "united" as the US-there are lots of difference between EU member states. A major problem here is half measures. Germany did very well-most of the time. Southern states, NL, Belgium did not so good. Even a strict lockdown may have limited effect-in most countries people think rules are not made for them-lack of discipline and unclear government communications. 

-US The trump government does not see Covid19 as a real problem. Action has to be taken on state-level or even more local. Maybe up to 50% of the US population considers masks political, Covid19=flu etc. In a normal year close to 1 million US households face bankruptcy over medical bills. Healt insurance often is linked to a job. A biden government may bring some improvements in 21.

DJ-There are lots of factors that play a role in this pandemic. In statistics you can see state borders. So there is human influence. A rise in cases was expected in autumn and winter. In general if politics/government does not have a realistic vision on this pandemic it influences what the general public will do...Some long term discussions-on fur-farming, fireworks, will be influenced by this pandemic (both stopped this year in NL). 

We have not yet seen the worst of this pandemic...

Climate chaos and wars worsen the pandemic. [url]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/[/url] or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ "Iota" is expected to become a major hurricane and-following "Eta" on its way to central America. Most likely even more deadly-a major risk monday/tuesday for Nicaragua, Honduras. "Vamco" did do a lot of damage in the Phillipines-now moving towards Viet Nam. 

Music: Don't Fear The Reaper-Blue Oyster Cult [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PVn6b9QQZeM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PVn6b9QQZeM 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 14 2020 at 9:32pm

DJ-

-Some short news. From this forum-news section. -In Italy older blood samples they did find SARS-2 antibodies from before the pandemic. DJ As a reminder-they did find the same in France. Even in a sample of one of the first persons to get ill from Covid-he had no travel history to China. It is still unclear when (and maybe even where) this pandemic started. There were Military Games in Wuhan october 2019-maybe there participants from around the world did get infected. Also if these infections as good as always gave no or only mild symptoms the virus could spread "under the radar". 

-In Israel in some tests from people with recent travel history to Denmark the "cluster 5" mutation was found.  This spread should be not unexpected. DJ-That both Dutch and Danish minks developed this cluster-5 mutation-most likely without any contact should be alarming. This mutation seems to develop quite easy in minks...

-[url]https://www.rt.com/news/506707-scientists-decode-children-spared-covid19/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/news/506707-scientists-decode-children-spared-covid19/ DJ Children have less of an enzyme needed for the virus to enter the cells. The older you get the more enzyme you have.

-[url]https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/12/health/coronavirus-fall-surge-statistics/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/12/health/coronavirus-fall-surge-statistics/index.html Statistics can give an indication on how severe the pandemic outbreak is in each country. In some US states hospital capacity is running out while new cases keep increasing and more tests are positive. 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8elB6_AP3Ww&t=209s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8elB6_AP3Ww&t=209s A new database should be helping finding better treatments, see relations. 

He also has a new Pandemic-Update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hBFRJA_HCR8[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hBFRJA_HCR8 

-In most European countries cases going down (as a trend)

-In the US R0 is >1 (in some states 1.3)

-DJ A look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for saterday nov-14;

-Weekend numbers may be a bit lower, still high

-The UK now at #9 in deaths per million, the US at #10-Bolivia dropped out of this top ten. US now at 757 dpm the #6 Argentina is at 779 dpm-the gap is getting smaller. 

DJ-A warning in a Dutch program on reinfections. Covid19 looks like it may reinfect just like most colds do...Dr.J.C. is "acting very optimistic" over vaccines making a big difference. I (DJ) think he-and others-for now is much to optimistic. It may be helpfull in protecting the most vulnarable and HCW-ers. But even keeping them protected by vaccines may be a big job. 

(DJ) We also still have to find out how good and safe these vaccines work. Next to it we do have to keep testing and contact tracing the best we can. It would be wise to keep travel (very) limited-most likely for at least a few years (till 2025 ?). 

To be realistic there will be new "mutations/variations" and most likely other illnesses showing up as well. We need to have a total plan in dealing with pandemics. (Just recent news West Nile virus and H5N8 bird flu showing up in parts of Europe. Malaria and TB are a growing risk. HIV/AIDS still is a slow pandemic. All kind of diseases in animals can jump to humans-so we have to rethink how we deal with animals. )

DJ (I put DJ here to show it is-just-my opinion) The big discussion still has to start. We need cleaner air, a smaller healthier population. (I am against social Darwinism-but in a lot of countries it is the poor and uneducated that have most of the children. If you do not want to put limits there what role schools has to play ? Do schools need to educate children more then some parents (can) do ?)

Other news;

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/video-partial-cliff-collapse-canary-islands[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/video-partial-cliff-collapse-canary-islands DJ-There are several other area's that can cause major tsunami's. Melting glaciers are a major risk-but also mountains sticked together with melting ice can give unforseen complications. 

"politics"

DJ-I do NOT agree with HT words used-describing people as "subhuman" is a problem in itself. In a.o. the nazi-times we did see the outcome of de-humanizing fellow humans. Still [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/antifa-blm-attack-trump-rally-in-dc[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/antifa-blm-attack-trump-rally-in-dc Main Street Media (MSM) more or less ignore this news. Polarization-extremism is a fast growing problem in many countries. Violence is never an answer in itself...I noticed on the video's police trying to keep groups seperated, trying to protect individuals ending in the wrong group. De-escalation is needed !

This pandemic is yet another alarm/wake up call ; Something Better Change-Stranglers [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oSEOzimKnEY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oSEOzimKnEY 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 15 2020 at 9:56pm

DJ-

-Let me start with central America. [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5.. They did have to deal with "Eta" two weeks ago, now "Iota" is moving it-most likely even stronger. (Cat4-rain 500-750 mm-so a lot of mud slides). 

Did this influence Covid-cases ? [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/nicaragua/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/nicaragua/ is "unclear" maybe not enough testing capacity ? Also [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/honduras/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/honduras/ is not very clear-numbers have been going up and down over a longer time. 

[url]https://reliefweb.int/report/nicaragua/hurricane-eta-leaves-millions-central-america-needing-urgent-food-assistance[/url] or https://reliefweb.int/report/nicaragua/hurricane-eta-leaves-millions-central-america-needing-urgent-food-assistance Maybe they do have even bigger problems then Covid19-food. [url]https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/WTO-Least-Developed-Countries-Hardest-Hit-by-COVID-19-Pandemic-20201113-0023.html[/url] or https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/WTO-Least-Developed-Countries-Hardest-Hit-by-COVID-19-Pandemic-20201113-0023.html 

DJ-The west-and the world- is not doing enough to deal with climate change. China may be moving in "to help against a price"to deal with the consequences of climate change. Pandemics ARE climate change related. 

Tourism was "for the countries we keep poor" at least a source of income. That stopped (and in part had and has to stop) and "most of the rich countries" look-again-the other way...

-When I look at tne sunday november 15 numbers at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ you see the "weekend effect"-a drop in reported numbers. Still the 7-day moving averages for both cases and deaths show a clear sign-almost exponential growth. 

In a discussion on how effective a countries actions against this pandemic has been statistics can be of-limited-help. In Belgium they reported also suspected Covid deaths as Covid deaths-some other countries did exclude a lot of clear Covid deaths (a.o. from care centers) from their statistics. Also "corrections", redefinitions can blur the numbers. 

I have a history background-the most important reason why people do not learn from history is because they do NOT WANT to learn from history-this "second wave"is unbelievable stupid-repeating mistakes made during the first waves...limited/no testing, open borders, airtravel, spendingcuts on care...

In total cases per million  (cpm) Belgium-of larger countries-is "top of the list" (but they did also report suspected-not tested cases).  45,766 cpm. Israel has 35,198 cpm (just a reminder some countries use , others . but we are talking over 35 thousend+ per million not 35..) The US has 34,266 cpm. 

Countries like Spain, France do better then the US but worse then Brazil. In this cases-per-million list the UK is at #41 with "only" 20,131 cases per million (cpm) . But these numbers are on ALL of 2020. Sweden is at 17,520 cases per million at #51. 

Is Sweden "an example" ? No they are doing far worse then other Scandinavian/Baltic countries !!! Sweden is a disaster in pandemic dealing ! Population density is not very high, they did have some rules-but compared to Finland, Norway, Iceland, Estonia, Latvia, Lituania (all doing better then global average) Sweden would be that much better of if they did go for more stringent rules in time...

-From Denmark [url]https://nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2020-11-10-billeder-viser-bunker-af-doede-mink-paa-landevej[/url] or https://nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2020-11-10-billeder-viser-bunker-af-doede-mink-paa-landevej a truck did lose thousends of dead mink in northern Denmark. The official story is these minks were not infected...

There are several other stories of (dead) minks being dumped...(most likely also on a smaller scale in other countries). If other animals eat dead-infected-mink there is further risk of virus spread in animals...

-In Israel [url]https://www.debka.com/mivzak/curfew-disputed-as-covid-infection-stays-high/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/mivzak/curfew-disputed-as-covid-infection-stays-high/ . What measures are acceptable ?  Freedom of religion, closing schools, curfews...and political division is playing in many countries. 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h8K4y7ROCqc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h8K4y7ROCqc om messenger RNA-in short-not changing DNA. Hands-Face-Space-Ventilate-some very simple basic rules-wash your hands with soap, cover your face with a mask, keep social distance (1,5-2 meter/6 feet) and ventilate the space you live/work. It can make such a difference-not high tech ! No vaccines needed...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smm_ZvJqJk4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smm_ZvJqJk4 looking forward to 2021. Dr.J.C. is optimistic on vaccines...

DJ-Another look at the statistics-Italy and Mexico so far have reported over 1 million cases. In the new cases-list Poland is showing up in the top 10. Both Poland and Germany may get above the 1 million cases in two weeks. Iran may also get close...South Africa is at #15. There must be a lot of under reporting from poorer countries that do have other-even more urgent-problems. Water, food, flooding, war. The Ethiopia-internal-war may become a regional conflict in NE Africa. Egypt has serious problems with a dam/hydro power-plant in the Nile in Ethiopia near the Sudan border. 

Also trump telling Marocco the US will accept Maroccon claim on Western Sahara if Marocco goes for "peace" with Israel could start a war in NW Africa. Polisario-fighting for their own state of Western Sahara did get support from Algeria...

Under trump the US may be pushing for more "peace deals with Israel" to unite the Arab world against Iran (and Russia, China). The US foreign policy-never ending wars for oil-has been a global disaster for decades. Spreading chaos and destroying basic health care in a lot of the Middle East and North Africa. 

[url]https://alkhaleejtoday.co/international/5369646/%E2%80%98US-spied-on-allies-from-Denmark-including-the-Netherlands%E2%80%99.html[/url] or https://alkhaleejtoday.co/international/5369646/%E2%80%98US-spied-on-allies-from-Denmark-including-the-Netherlands%E2%80%99.html After the NSA hacking of Angela Merkels phone-a.o. US-EU relations "may not improve"...

PS-Jelmer Visser-a Dutch journalist/ICT will start working again today-very good at statistics-he had a three week break after working 20hrs a day for months...(because he seems to be hooked on reporting on the pandemic..)

Music-1972 Soley, Soley [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eaCM5m8y6o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eaCM5m8y6o Middle of the Road

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 16 2020 at 2:57am

DJ-To put this pandemic in perspective [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B7ivFcGbFJM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B7ivFcGbFJM a historic perspective. When people started keeping cattle the first pandemics showed up-something like 7000 years ago in the Middle East. The (first) Bubonic Plague may have killed up to 200 million people-half of the European population...the (april 2020) video ends with present pandemics...

The above video mentions also the results of pandemics. West Roman Empire collapsing, East Roman Empire being unable to expand, the rise of Islam. 

-[url]https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/16/economy/asian-economies-japan-china-intl-hnk/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/16/economy/asian-economies-japan-china-intl-hnk/index.html Asia has already more then half of the global population. In some statistics China is already the leading global economy. India would become the second global economy-in some models-by 2030. 

[url]https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/China-Close-to-Striking-Worlds-Largest-Free-Trade-Agreement-20201113-0018.html[/url] or https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/China-Close-to-Striking-Worlds-Largest-Free-Trade-Agreement-20201113-0018.html The present pandemic will even speed up Asian dominance on the global economy. 

"The West" can fight it (US) or deal with it (EU). But in history Asia becoming the dominant global player is "new". For that matter the present pandemic is speeding up an already ongoing proces. One could argue that Nixon-in 1973-with the introduction of the "petro-dollar" made the Middle East/West Asia already sort of dominant player. However under some sort of western control-most of the time. Oil-for-US weapons still did put a western country in a dominant position. The Iran-revolution in 1979-only 6 years later-showed how weak the western dominance already was...

-From April 2020 [url]https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Cubas-Interferon-Alpha-2B-Successful-in-Treating-COVID-19-20200317-0015.html[/url] or https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Cubas-Interferon-Alpha-2B-Successful-in-Treating-COVID-19-20200317-0015.html Cuba is at #165 in cases per million with 670 cpm. (In the statistics some-most African- countries even "do better" but may not be testing..)

-There are still people claiming Covid19 is a hoax. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/nurse-covid-was-a-lie-but-now-people-are-throwing-blood-clots-all-over-and-dying-suddenly[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/nurse-covid-was-a-lie-but-now-people-are-throwing-blood-clots-all-over-and-dying-suddenly yet another report of what may be a new form of Covid19 evading testing ? 

-We [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ will be over the 1,5 million Covid deaths by the end of this month. With 8765 deaths per day (nov 15) in the 7-day moving average-and still going up-and 45 days left till january 1-2021 I would not be surprised the number of deaths being over 2 million on that day...

Vaccines, better testing/contact tracing may make a difference-but on the short term we can not avoid a lot of more deaths...already close to 100.000 today serious/critical ill worldwide. Top-priority has to-and is not-keeping health care going. If that "line of defense" breakes the number of people dying from the virus will only be a smal part of people dying due to this virus-of other causes...

DJ-History is full of mistakes. [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1w-cv2CJbfI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1w-cv2CJbfI The British Army in 1945 did beat the Viet Minh/Ho Tji Min forces in Viet Nam. Ho Chi Minh tried to talk to Woodrow Wilson in 1919 over "self determination for nations" trying to free Viet Nam/Indo China from the French-but Woodrow Wilson did not want to speak to Ho Chi Minh. UK/Indian forces-with the help of the Japanese managed to "restore order" in Viet Nam in 1945-46..then the French did take over...For the UK Malaysia was of a higher priority. 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 16 2020 at 10:24pm

DJ

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#page-top[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#page-top Allthough the numbers will be a bit lower due to the weekend-of the just over 500.000 new cases over 162.000 new cases (30%+) were in the US monday nov.16. Also over 10% of all Covid deaths on that day were in the US. 

Poland and Germany keep showing up in the new cases top ten. In the total cases list Peru is at #12 with close to 940.000 cases. Peru also made the news with political chaos. [url]https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Francisco-Sagasti-Elected-New-Interim-President-of-Peru-20201116-0010.html[/url] or https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Francisco-Sagasti-Elected-New-Interim-President-of-Peru-20201116-0010.html 

-Dr.John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fiq5ymktg6w[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fiq5ymktg6w Media use the few press releases of "big pharma" to "bring the good news" on vaccines (DJ-To good to be true). A critical look...

-News of another "miracle drug"-vaccine did raise stockmarkets, hopes that we could soon start repeating our earlier mistakes. The WHO did warn-vaccines will be very limited and it will take time before there will be a realistic effect on this pandemic. [url]https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/14/icu-leader-warns-pfizer-corona-vaccine-wont-quick-fix-covid[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/14/icu-leader-warns-pfizer-corona-vaccine-wont-quick-fix-covid 

Here in NL-as in other countries-the insane idea that "competition is better then cooperation" neo-liberal market fantasies did destroy a lot of care. [url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2020/11/participation-society-plan-flops-fewer-people-get-the-help-they-need-scp/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2020/11/participation-society-plan-flops-fewer-people-get-the-help-they-need-scp/ 

In Belgium [url]https://www.brusselstimes.com/news/belgium-all-news/140893/small-beehive-why-the-coronavirus-hit-belgium-so-hard-twice-covid-19-steven-van-gucht-zaventem-charleroi-european-union-eurobubble-socioeconomic-status-population-density-marc-van-ranst-crisis-centre/[/url] or https://www.brusselstimes.com/news/belgium-all-news/140893/small-beehive-why-the-coronavirus-hit-belgium-so-hard-twice-covid-19-steven-van-gucht-zaventem-charleroi-european-union-eurobubble-socioeconomic-status-population-density-marc-van-ranst-crisis-centre/ some elderly were basicly abandoned according to Amnesty International. 

DJ-It is almost criminal to ignore the lessons we did learn in the 19th and early 20th century and that did bring us public healthcare, public housing etc. We had to deal with cholera, malaria in those days. TB killed many. Government intervention did end these problems in those days. Neo-Liberalism-the idea that all people "can create their own succes and well being" did destroy the outcome of an emancipation proces for the poor and less privilaged. 

We now-in Nl-have a system were the rich can study, buy a house, get good healthcare. The numbers of millionaires do increase while public workers are underpaid. Shell rules NL !

-On this forum in the latest news more on [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chapare_mammarenavirus[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chapare_mammarenavirus in Bolivia. 

-[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/bulletin-it-s-starting-again-food-and-supply-shortages-at-super-markets[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/bulletin-it-s-starting-again-food-and-supply-shortages-at-super-markets DJ-It is interesting to see how extreme right wing groups see this pandemic. HT claimed "Covid19 is real but the answer is even worse; communism". Dr.John Campbell yesterday had to explain m-RNA does NOT change the DNA. (You do have reverse transcription RNA that can alter the DNA but the present m-RNA vaccines do not work that way...) 

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regional_Comprehensive_Economic_Partnership[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regional_Comprehensive_Economic_Partnership DJ-It may be easy to forget but parts of the globe do not have Covid19 problems...A new group for regional economic cooperation-involving 1/3 of the globe in population and economy did form yesterday. China, Japan buying raw materials and food from Australia, New Zealand and energy producers like Malaysia and Indonesia. 

-Weather. [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 "Iota" did reach cat5. Another storm -"Kappa"-is forming could bring problems to Panama next week...(after that the Greek AlphaBet(a) only has "Lambda" and "Mu" as names...Most likely they are thinking of new names. It is very likely we will even see storms develop in december. 

Music-The Beatles, Norwegian Wood-psychedelic version [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRZqlsYg9SY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRZqlsYg9SY  1965

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 17 2020 at 1:26am

DJ-

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fiq5ymktg6w[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fiq5ymktg6w Dr.John Campbell on vaccines-often with two vaccinations three or four weeks apart that will "stop the pandemic". From his notes under the video: 

Costs,

 Sanofi and GSK Both expected to cost about £8 a dose 

AZ / Oxford £ 3 per dose Costs,  

Moderna US, government will buy, free to the public US warp speed, already put in 2.5 billion, $24.80 a shot 

Both companies making a profit Moderna, overseas charge, $32 to $37 per dose Probably about £42 per course Costs, 

Pfizer Operation Warp Speed has promised Pfizer $1.95 billion to provide 100 million doses $19.50 per dose. 

Unclear points 

Age distribution of infections

 Person to person reduction 

How long immunity will last

DJ-Some remarks. The vaccines may prevent the vaccinated person from getting ill. It will most likely decrease the risk of virus spread, maybe with 50%. But stopping the infection of doing (most) harm and stopping virus spread are two different things. 

A lot of countries did get this pandemic under control without vaccines. Dr.J.C. hopes this pandemic will be over by the end of 2021. But he is realistic in saying a lot of Non Pharma Interventions will be needed most of next year as well. Vaccines alone can not do (all of) the job. 

DJ-So "to save the economy" we did let this pandemic get out of control. And now we are paying big pharma billions to get out of this pandemic. And then what ? Start flying all over the planet again like crazy ? Well most of us were not doing that in the first place ! Only a small minority of a very rich jetset had that luxery. 

That small minority of super rich is responsible for most of this pandemic due to their travel habits and buying luxery goods "made in Italy" by Chinese.. That same small super rich is doing most of the climate change...We have to stop that-we have to stop them !!!

It is good news that most of those rich agree with a need for changes. Democracy only works when it is not every dollar, euro or yen but every vote is counting ! 

Public healthcare should be in public hands and not for profit !!!!

If we believe "vaccines will always save us" we are very very wrong !!! Climate change is escalating and there is not enough action to stop it ! [url]http://www.thebigwobble.org/2020/11/record-breaking-2020-atlantic-hurricane.html[/url] or http://www.thebigwobble.org/2020/11/record-breaking-2020-atlantic-hurricane.html 

Trump did not get reelected because he did not act to stop the pandemic. [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/how-tony-fauchi-fcked-donald-trump.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/how-tony-fauchi-fcked-donald-trump.html (Fauci did not f..k up trump-trump did that to himself !)

[url]https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/16/health/cdc-black-hispanic-native-american-coronavirus-hospitalizations/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/16/health/cdc-black-hispanic-native-american-coronavirus-hospitalizations/index.html DJ-It is "good news" there are vaccines-around the globe- being developed and maybe effective enough to end this pandemic. For most of the world only Russian and Chinese vaccines are affordable -certainly not the-for profit-US vaccines. 

But a next pandemic is just around the corner. [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/11/accelerated-global-warming-and-stadial-cooling-events-ipcc-oversights-regarding-future-climate-trends.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2020/11/accelerated-global-warming-and-stadial-cooling-events-ipcc-oversights-regarding-future-climate-trends.html We have to stop climate change if we-as humans-want to survive. 

And yes-that means drastic changes are needed ! We may need a "New World Order" to survive. If that means an end to 0.1% of the people claiming to own half the planet I (DJ) can only welcome such changes !

The new "dystopia" will see a lot of electronic surveilance to "fight the virus". Wars on drugs and terror so far made things worse, not better. Can democracy survive in this "post pandemic world" ? Maybe we should redefine "democracy". In the west democracy did erode due to extreme income inequality. The poor in the world were never represented...

DJ-I am optimistic "we" may deal with Covid19. But 'we" should recognize it as a symptom of a "sick way of living" that has to change. 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ

[url]https://www.wionews.com/science/coronavirus-mutations-appearing-in-siberia-russian-scientists-343820[/url] or https://www.wionews.com/science/coronavirus-mutations-appearing-in-siberia-russian-scientists-343820 Little new news on this-not unexpected-mutation. Statistics and "strange stories" may give further info if "official " findings stay unclear. If there is a shopping panic, people start moving in larger groups from one region, mass graves etc. such news may indicate there is a problem. The more a virus-any virus-spread the more likely there will be (small) mutations. Also other hosts-spread into other species-can be of risk. A third factor-"recombination" RNA strings "getting mixed up" most likely would create another virus...

-Yesterdays -nov 17-statistics did see a record number of deaths in one day; 10,502. [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#page-top[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#page-top . Most of them in the US. (that is 1615 out of global total of 10,502-the highest US number since august) In the top 10 for new cases Poland and Germany keep showing up. France crossed the two million cases. India has been #2 in new cases for several days. Though in statistics they are still in phase-1 with numbers decreasing in the 7 day average. 

-Peak Prosperity [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwJq4u_120U[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwJq4u_120U  (info under the video)

-Cars in line for a food bank in the US. In NL food banks have distribution points. A lot of the poor do not have (any longer) a car. But PP/CM also pointing out a lot (90%?) of government help ends up at banks.

-The 2019 list of "best prepared for a pandemic" in nov 2020 sees the US and UK in top of most deaths per million (dpm). (763/767 dpm). Thailand has 0.9 dpm ! South Korea 10 dpm. 

-(H)CQ is saving lives (PP/CM keep claiming. Dr.J.C. keeps coming up with reports (H)CQ is not doing that much. DJ-For poor countries like India, Pakistan, Bangladesh HCQ is cheap, easy to make and save to use against malaria for 70 years. Now "shortages of HCQ in some countries" is used against HCQ. Some EU countries-Greece, France have good experience with HCQ. "Agressive marketing" for ineffective expensive "medication" may be still the basic problem.) 

-Egypt study on Ivermectin and HCQ in mild and severe Covid cases. Even in severe cases HCQ (in this case without zinc-would be better to include zinc) did show effect. Ivermectin very effective. (DJ-Healthcare should be for ALL not just for a few rich !) Ivermectin was used in high doses-also would have preventative effects.

-PP/CM With Vitamin D, Selenium, Zinc-masks, early use of ivermectin and HCQ and keeping the most vulnarable safe there would not be a need for lockdowns destroying the economy. 

DJ-This pandemic is man-made due to inaction. Saving the economy by keeping international air travel going, not using effective treatments due to greedy big pharma. Several countries managed to get out of this pandemic by NPI. The main interest of "big pharma" is profit-not finding easy and cheap medical solutions...

Dr.John Campbell with another update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGypHM5ShTM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGypHM5ShTM ; Good general info-never to late to start interventions. Dr.J.C. US will have crossed the 11 million cases-DJ-just 12 hours later-the US almost 11,7 million cases...US numbers exploding...10% of test come back positive (should be under 5% WHO rules) 

-US has been in denial-modus for (very) long. In some places up to 60% of tests positive. Masks-discussion still going on...

-Canada cases increasing-even in the north. 

-India, cases increasing. AstraZeneca/Oxford will be produced by the Serum Institute of India, also Sputnik-V from Russia will be avalable. Very limited testing. (And PP/CM-HCQ widely used). 

DJ-Another source of info [url]http://www.chinadailyhk.com/article/149596[/url] or http://www.chinadailyhk.com/article/149596 from China. 

In NL yesterday a boy (15-19 y/o) was among the Covid19 deaths..

Weather

-[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 DJ-With "Iota" bringing a lot of destruction in central America two other "disturbances" in the Atlantic side..

-WAR

[url]https://www.rt.com/usa/506978-trump-iran-crushing-attack/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/usa/506978-trump-iran-crushing-attack/ With trump still not accepting the US election outcome. In Israel netanyahu sticking to power to avoid prison-the world is in a political crisis. These two man can start world war 3 out of frustration...An attack on Iran by US-Saudi &Co-Israel (USI) is unacceptable for Russia-Iran-China (RIC). Russia does see Iran as a link south to the Indian Ocean. China does see Iran as a link west to Europe and Africa. For them an attack on Iran is an attack on them. 

Music; Maria Creusa-Voce Abusou with English translation [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOxchB9hdIE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOxchB9hdIE and a good video 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 18 2020 at 10:59pm

DJ

-Another look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#page-top[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#page-top . Yesterday-november 18-had a record number of Covid19-deaths-almost 11.000. There is an almost exponential upward trend...In cases we did not see recordnumbers-just over 611.000 new cases. November 13 had over 666.000 cases-but also here the 7-day trend is upward. In both numbers reporting may be an issue. 

Here in NL due to technical problems over a 1000 new cases were not reported. Deaths being reported may have died much earlier...still the trends are not good. Vaccinations can not change that-for now. 

Of the new cases about 25% came from the US, also about 20% of the reported deaths were from the US. India, Brazil also show an upward trend. In Europe at most places new cases tend to decrease-but deaths still have to peak. 

Yesterday Norway had a child-in the Bergen region-as one of the deaths. The day before NL had a teenage boy dying...both had other healthissues as well. Still it would be good if there was more global data on age distribution. 

The "new mutation" with European similarities reported in Siberia/Russia I (DJ) think could refer to a fur-farming related mutation ? Even if countries do all they can some of those mink (etc) related mutations may have escaped. Covid in mink (etc) has been reported in many countries (US, Spain etc) Denmark and NL have decided to stop fur-farming because of the bio-risks. 

Still there are no studies showing there is a new mutation widespread infecting people. The problem is that those studies will come when the problem already did explode...

-Dr. John Campbell on long term immunity "looking good" [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gFeJ2BqCFY0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gFeJ2BqCFY0 DJ-We may be in a "race"; NPI has to stop the virus but since the virus is widespread NPI will only have limited effect, unless you go for draconian measures-governments needing to be reelected will not act that way fast (enough). Vaccines then have to do the job-but with virusses being this widespread-most in humans but very likely already also in some other species (you can kill a lot of mink-maybe you have to kill them all ?) mutations will happen. 

In a bad scenario vaccines may lose effectivity against new "variations". Dealing with this pandemic has to be TOP priority and it is not. In the US there is a very serious political crisis. A lot of countries are "under reporting". A/pre-symptomatic spread is still a major problem-testing all of the population is only done in a few countries. 

Dr.J.C.  (in my-DJ-words);

-Moderna and Pfizer in their press release claim their vaccines provide B-cell (anti bodies) and T-cell immunity. Looking at SARS-1 and MERS there (T-cell)  immunity is long lasting. (DJ but both SARS-1 and MERS did not get that widespread. SARS-2 became a pandemic because there are some differences...) Not peer-reviewed study shows you will have long term immunity after infection as welll (still there are increasing reports on reinfections) !

-Anti-body treatment may help prevent getting very ill after infection. (But not all people being infected get the same immuno response. In some severe cases there are lots of antibodies-in other severe cases only very limited. Immunity is complex.) 

-To be able to say something about long term immunity you need at least 6 months between infection and study. In this study most cases from NY and California. (DJ-But the study has to look at long term immunity of the virus as it was in spring 2020..)

-Having immune response does not rule out reinfection. About 10% may get reinfected-and immune reaction will take 3 to 5 days. That immune reaction will also limt virus-spread and give less illness. Only 25 cases of reinfections have been found based on testing-but since testing was and is limited (and given the 10% of now over 56 million infected cases) more cases of reinfection did happen. 

-Since SARS1(2003-8000 cases) and MERS (2012) are also Beta-Coronavirusses those who had that are immune for SARS-2.

-UK PM Boris Johnson still goes in isolation even after having an earlier infection. He most likely will not develop severe illness but does not want to take any risks at all of virus spread...

DJ-Another video of Dr.John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Kb1exHnDcQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Kb1exHnDcQ Vaccines looking good...(DJ-Only Pfizer and Moderna info available...is very limited.)

DJ-I know people are getting very tired of this virus/pandemic-so am I. But I believe in honest communication not false hope. Yes-I think vaccines may make a difference in 2021-but then maybe 6 to 8 months from now. Till that time we do need to slow down virus spread to the maximum ! 

Although the risk for mutations is supposed to be very limited-the more wider the virus can spread the bigger the risks get. You should not compare this SARS-2 outbreak to much with the very limited and short term SARS-1 and MERS outbreaks. We will not be able to deal with all of the SARS-2 cases all around the globe. 

If you look at the statistics from France-over 28.000 new cases nov-18-with NPI for several days-SARS-2/Covid19 is a very major problem and it will remain so for at least several months-maybe even get worse. 

We are still on our way to 1,5 million Covid deaths by december 1-maybe even over 2 million deaths by january 1-2021. Making this pandemic-started just this year to be a pandemic-one of the worst in recent history...

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/joe-bidens-foreign-policy-team.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/joe-bidens-foreign-policy-team.html DJ-If you are optimistic trump getting US forces out of Afghanistan would mean there is less chance of the US/Saudi&Co/Israel (USI) attacking Iran....If you are realistic the war with Iran will be fought with missiles, air strikes...trump is taking US troops out of vulnarable positions. 

Biden may go for war with Russia, trying to get better relations with China....Russia-Iran-China (and most of the world) are fed up with US endless wars to enrich the military-industrial US complex. For the EU dealing with China means dealing with Russia for transport routes. We-in the EU-want our energy from a wide spread number of sources-some of them in Russia or Iran. 

Economic growth will be found in Asia not in the US. The US may try to keep the EU from the Asian market to give the US a larger part. For that matter the EU and US are competitors not allies. 

New frontlines showed up [url]https://southfront.org/clashes-in-western-sahara-continue-as-polisario-front-says-theres-no-hope-for-peace/[/url] or https://southfront.org/clashes-in-western-sahara-continue-as-polisario-front-says-theres-no-hope-for-peace/ and [url]https://southfront.org/tigray-rebels-refuse-to-surrender-despite-advances-by-federal-government-forces-map-update/[/url] or https://southfront.org/tigray-rebels-refuse-to-surrender-despite-advances-by-federal-government-forces-map-update/ .

Countries like Egypt now are near war with Turkey (frontline in Libya) and Ethiopia. Algeria/Morocco may be getting close to war over Western Sahara. (The US recognized Moroccan claims on that area for a Moroccan "peace deal" with Israel...If you look at a map you will see Western Sahara would be a good link for Algeria with the Atlantic. )

Music; Wings 1976-Silly Love Song [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wh15LOppcWQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wh15LOppcWQ 



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 19 2020 at 7:34am

DJ-Conflicting reports on mink-infections in Denmark; 

[url]https://cphpost.dk/?p=120531[/url] or https://cphpost.dk/?p=120531

Coronavirus infection rise among mink workers

Authorities coy regarding whether or not workers have been infected with the mutated form of the virus

In the last week, more than 200 cases of coronavirus have been reported across six mink fur sites in the west of Denmark, according to a Twitter post by Styrelsen for Patientsikkerhed.

“Infection detection is working quickly to break chains of infection,” the agency wrote.

However, it did not state whether or not those infected had the ‘Cluster 5’ mutation – fears of which sparked the mink cull in Denmark to begin with.

Industry figures sceptical 
Many of those within the now decimated Danish mink industry have treated the news with caution. At the Sydvestjysk Pelscenter in Varde, chair Sven Pedersen confirmed that a number of employees had tested positive.

“Eighty have tested positive, but among them there are people who have never been tested. I know of at least one person where this is the case.”

He believes the test results are not to be taken too seriously, and a number of re-tests are being carried out among employees at the site.

Or [url]https://www.thelocal.dk/20201119/danish-corona-mink-mutation-most-likely-eradicated[/url] or https://www.thelocal.dk/20201119/danish-corona-mink-mutation-most-likely-eradicated ;A mutated version of the new coronavirus detected in Danish minks that raised concerns about the effectiveness of a future vaccine has likely been eradicated, Denmark's health ministry said Thursday.

DJ-The cluster5 mutation did show up in Dutch and Danish minks separately-indicating minks can mutate the (human) Covid19 very easy into a more risky form making vaccination harder....

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/astrazeneca-vaccine-elicits-strong-immune-response-older-adults-russian-covid-cases[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/astrazeneca-vaccine-elicits-strong-immune-response-older-adults-russian-covid-cases 

and 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/vaccines-too-little-too-late[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/vaccines-too-little-too-late 

WAR

[url]https://southfront.org/stir-the-pot-one-last-time-trumps-potential-order-of-farewell-strike-on-iran/[/url] or https://southfront.org/stir-the-pot-one-last-time-trumps-potential-order-of-farewell-strike-on-iran/; 

The report alleged that US President Donald Trump convened his top advisers to ask if he had options to strike Iranian nuclear sites during his final weeks in office.

His advisers allegedly warned that this could lead to a larger conflict in his last weeks in office.

The meeting with top advisers took place on November 12th, a day after the UN nuclear watchdog said Iran had stockpiled more than 12 times more enriched uranium than the 2015 nuclear deal allows, the Times reported, citing four current and former US officials, all of them unnamed.

The report from the International Atomic Energy Agency concluded that Iran now had a stockpile of more than 2,442 kilograms, or over 5,385 pounds, of low-enriched uranium. That is enough to produce about two nuclear weapons, according to an analysis of the report by the Institute for Science and International Security.

Among those present at the meeting were Vice President Mike Pence; Secretary of State Mike Pompeo; acting defense secretary Christopher C. Miller; and Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the report said.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo arrived in Israel on November 18th and he is expected to meet Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Benny Gantz, Foreign Minister Gabi Ashkenazi and Mossad chief Yossi Cohen.

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-just-activated-formerly-banned-high-tech-uranium-centrifuges-same-site-trump[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-just-activated-formerly-banned-high-tech-uranium-centrifuges-same-site-trump 

Trump had asked previously for options on bombarding Iran's most prominent nuclear facility, called Natanz:

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trumps-nuclear-dollar-option-yet-be-deployed-against-china[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trumps-nuclear-dollar-option-yet-be-deployed-against-china

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 19 2020 at 10:29pm

DJ

-Another look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ; Nov-19 had almost 650.000 new cases-only nov-13 did see an even higher number. Over 192.000 of those cases are from the US (between 1/3 and 1/4 -almost 1/3 of all new cases). In (tested positive for Covid19 and reported) deaths 10,758 is a record number...the US had 2065 of those deaths.....1 in 5. 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/#europe-usa-cases[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/#europe-usa-cases Europe is not doing that much better-"Europe" is not very clear defined in this graph-but if you correct it for population my impression is the US is doing far worse...

-Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VymMqiyukk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VymMqiyukk

-On vaccines PP/CM (in my-DJ-opinion) is correct not to base a story on a Pfizer or Moderna press release. There are still many questions on safety, can the virus evade/mutate away from the vaccine ? What is wrong with vitamin D (Ivermectin)-boosting immunity ? Cheap, low risk and low cost steps to be able to deal with any kind of infection.

-Where does Covid19 come from, patient zero. PP/CM is certain (almost) it came from a lab. 

DJ-It may have come from a lab or not-first question has to be how do we contain it ? We-most countries-failed to get this outbreak under control...

WAR

Trump's top-priority seems to be to fight the outcome of the elections. Second priority seems to be war ? 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-just-activated-formerly-banned-high-tech-uranium-centrifuges-same-site-trump[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-just-activated-formerly-banned-high-tech-uranium-centrifuges-same-site-trump is crossing a red line for Netanyahu and so for trump ? 

[url]https://southfront.org/stir-the-pot-one-last-time-trumps-potential-order-of-farewell-strike-on-iran/[/url] or https://southfront.org/stir-the-pot-one-last-time-trumps-potential-order-of-farewell-strike-on-iran/ DJ-trump taking revanche on the US voters that did not vote for him by letting the pandemic get out of control ? With that biden finds himself in an impossible position when he gets the next-oldest-US president. Will the US be in a major war by then ? Making bidens position even more impossible ? 

[url]https://www.debka.com/israeli-jets-hit-8-iranian-targets-between-the-golan-and-damascus/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/israeli-jets-hit-8-iranian-targets-between-the-golan-and-damascus/ Israel claims "there were bombs on the Golan heights border fences" so lets bomb again Iranian targets in Syria. Or are the testing air defenses destroying certain targets in preparation for a larger attack ? 

[url]https://southfront.org/israeli-wings-over-syria/[/url] or https://southfront.org/israeli-wings-over-syria/ 

[url]https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/israel-will-not-allow-iran-to-gain-a-foothold-in-syria-netanyahu/[/url] or https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/israel-will-not-allow-iran-to-gain-a-foothold-in-syria-netanyahu/ 

[url]https://www.rt.com/news/507221-iran-warship-revealed-irgc/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/news/507221-iran-warship-revealed-irgc/ 

DJ The real US targets are Russia and China [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/how-not-to-challenge-china.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/how-not-to-challenge-china.html 

Another frontline [url]https://southfront.org/government-forces-brace-for-heated-battle-with-isis-in-mozambican-mueda-town/[/url] or https://southfront.org/government-forces-brace-for-heated-battle-with-isis-in-mozambican-mueda-town/  (During "Apartheid"in South Africa both South Africa and the CIA supported a.o. REsistance NAcional MOzambique/RENAMO-a sort of "contra's" killing small farmers/civilians...IS is a US creation-now being used to get some grip on international oil trade.  

[url]https://afghanistaninquiry.defence.gov.au/sites/default/files/2020-11/IGADF-Afghanistan-Inquiry-Public-Release-Version.pdf[/url] or https://afghanistaninquiry.defence.gov.au/sites/default/files/2020-11/IGADF-Afghanistan-Inquiry-Public-Release-Version.pdf DJ-NATO has become the North Atlantic Terrorist Organization. 

Not only Australian special forces  (SF) murdered civilians in Afghanistan. US forces did the same thing-I remember a video of US SF passing a van and shooting-killing-the driver "for fun". SF standing at dead Afghan bodies for the picture-proud as if it was a trophy...(was that Danish SF ?) .

Also in a.o. Iraq NATO/US forces were involved in serious war crimes. Of course western forces being in those countries in itself is a war crime. 

Climate collapse;

Just have a think [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1ChxLmpbz4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1ChxLmpbz4 

The summer of 2020 saw record breaking heatwaves across the Arctic region resulting in the lowest ever recorded October sea ice levels. Those persistently warm temperatures also caused the thawing of permafrost and sediment on the seabed allowing the release of very high concentrations of methane - in some cases up to 400 times normal levels. So, have we now reached the long anticipated tipping point?

Music-Moody Blues-How can we hang on to a dream [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_mqAlJz_vk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_mqAlJz_vk 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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DJ-For me this "scenario's" has become a sort of "war diary"-a way to deal with the largest health crisis maybe since world war two-and far from over. Because this is on the internet I keep most personal things out...it is sad to see so much disagreement even on if this pandemic is real...

-The nov 20 numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Over 11.000 deaths reported-a sad record. The US had over 2000 of those deaths-not a record-in spring on several days the US did see higher numbers. For the new cases however the US did see a new record number-over 201.000 new cases in just one day. The global number of new cases is just under 660.000-close to record high numbers...

When you take all European (=not EU) numbers together Europe also did see over 260.000 new cases in just one day but on a much larger population. 

Asia had 15.6 million cases, Europe now has a total of 15.2 million cases, North America close to 14.4 million cases, South America just over 10.6 million cases. The number of deaths going up even faster then the number of cases-there has been a drop in cases till just a few days ago in large parts of Europe. Now in general all countries report again increases. World wide health care is moving towards another crisis. 

-Four German scenario's for the coming months [url]https://innovationorigins.com/impacts-of-german-measures-against-corona-mapped-out-in-4-scenarios-until-june-2021/[/url] or https://innovationorigins.com/impacts-of-german-measures-against-corona-mapped-out-in-4-scenarios-until-june-2021/ 

-[url]https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/20/pfizer-criticized-giving-covid-vaccine-patent-eu-pay-eu1550-per-dose[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/20/pfizer-criticized-giving-covid-vaccine-patent-eu-pay-eu1550-per-dose DJ-Since this is an international emergency those big pharma companies should be under state supervision. This is not the time to make profits,,,

-Maybe polution related [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/more-than-500-infected-with-strange-new-disease-in-senegal[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/more-than-500-infected-with-strange-new-disease-in-senegal 

-Dr. John Campbell-update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aYbO7c0Kgyw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aYbO7c0Kgyw 

WAR

-[url]https://southfront.org/russian-egyptian-joint-drills-to-take-place-in-black-sea-for-the-first-time-in-history-video/[/url] or https://southfront.org/russian-egyptian-joint-drills-to-take-place-in-black-sea-for-the-first-time-in-history-video/ DJ-Russia and Egypt are on the same side in Libya. Both want to limit Turkey in the Middle East. General Sisi used to be backed by Saudi Arabia but now may find Russia can offer more. [url]https://southfront.org/tigrays-forces-reportedly-bombed-nearby-regions-city-vow-to-keep-fighting-even-if-capital-falls/[/url] or https://southfront.org/tigrays-forces-reportedly-bombed-nearby-regions-city-vow-to-keep-fighting-even-if-capital-falls/ DJ-In a conflict over a dam in Ethipia-near the border with Sudan in the Nile-river Egypt may find Russia can be of "good use". That dam is part of the booming low income industry in Ethiopia. A.o. China did export jobs to Ethipia. If that dam could have a regional function-and there are guarantees on water supply for Egypt that conflict can stay limited. 

There are other new conflicts in Africa. Morocco with Polisario (and possibly Algeria) over Western Sahara. In Mozambique IS is showing up in the north. (Both conflicts have a US link. In return for "peace with Israel" the US accepted Moroccan claims on Western Sahara. In Mozambique IS is active in an oil/gas region. IS is paid by Saudi Arabia & Co. Indirect the US/CIA are at the controls. )

War worsens any pandemic. Most likely the US and Israel are "working on plans"for "action"against Iran. [url]https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/11/19/638941/Iran-United-States-military-conflict-region-Israel-nuclear[/url] or https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/11/19/638941/Iran-United-States-military-conflict-region-Israel-nuclear ;A military advisor to Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei warns that an act of military aggression by the US against Iran that could lead to an even limited conflict is likely to set off a full-scale war that would afflict other parts of the region too.

DJ-The US "situation" is bizarre. Trump not willing to accept he did not win the elections ("he became second", "almost won" may make it more acceptable-he did not "lose" , not a "loser" just second...) . US instability will increase global instability...

Enough...music ! [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNEEVsZt8vI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNEEVsZt8vI Tous les garcons et les filles - Francoise Hardy 1962

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 21 2020 at 10:29pm

DJ

-During the weekend there is less testing and reporting of new cases/deaths (nov21) [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ still the numbers are high. Close to 582.000 new cases and almost 9000 deaths...We will cross the 60 million tested cases coming week. The 1,5 million deaths by dec-1 is as good as certain. If one expresses the significance of a pandemic by the number of deaths this pandemic is on its way to become one of the larger "fast" pandemics-most likely killing over 2 million in just a year. The US has a major problem but also a lot of European countries do not very good. 

In the cases per million the US is at #12. Belgium and Luxembourg do worse. In deaths per million the US is at #10 several European/EU countries do worse...(But this is not a race or game...)

-Indirect healthissues [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/panic-attack-and-night-terror-searches-erupt-across-us-amid-pandemic[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/panic-attack-and-night-terror-searches-erupt-across-us-amid-pandemic on mental health.

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/21/dozens-children-suffered-indirectly-first-corona-wave[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2020/11/21/dozens-children-suffered-indirectly-first-corona-wave Children in need did not see a doctor in time in spring.

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2020/11/economic-impact-of-coronavirus-will-hit-next-year-experts-say/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2020/11/economic-impact-of-coronavirus-will-hit-next-year-experts-say/ The economic damage will show up in 2021-debts increasing/exploding=increased risk for hyper inflation. 

[url]https://www.rt.com/russia/507431-putin-g20-pandemic-great-depression/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/russia/507431-putin-g20-pandemic-great-depression/

Putin warned that, “despite some positive signals, the main risk is still the so-called stagnant mass unemployment with a subsequent increase in poverty and social disorder.”

“The coronavirus epidemic, the global lockdown and the freezing of economic activity launched a systemic economic crisis, which the modern world has not known since the Great Depression,” he added.

In NL the 70th mink farm did see Covid cases-so all the minks will get killed. We had 128 mink farms-58 of them did not see infections. Over 20 of those have stopped mink farming-did "harvest" their last furs. Some 35 remain and are under supervision. After the "fur-harvest" they also will close. There has been no news on mink related covid cases in humans-but maybe they do not want to get to much attention for such cases-we at the end will learn more in some studies.

[url]https://sputniknews.com/asia/202011211081236900-chinas-bat-woman-virologist-says-new-tests-prove-coronavirus-did-not-originate-in-wuhan-lab/[/url] or https://sputniknews.com/asia/202011211081236900-chinas-bat-woman-virologist-says-new-tests-prove-coronavirus-did-not-originate-in-wuhan-lab/ 

WAR

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-directs-military-allies-be-high-alert-trumps-final-weeks-office[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-directs-military-allies-be-high-alert-trumps-final-weeks-office 

US directing B52's to [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Minhad_Air_Base[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Minhad_Air_Base in the UAE. Not that far from Iran. [url]https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-deploys-heavy-bombers-to-middle-east-amid-tensions-with-iran/[/url] or https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/us-deploys-heavy-bombers-to-middle-east-amid-tensions-with-iran/ 

(DJ-A storm 03A is moving that direction [url]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/[/url] or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/)

A reason for war is not that hard to find in the Middle East North Africa (MENA) region [url]https://www.debka.com/mivzak/us-envoy-cautions-iran-after-iraqi-militia-rocket-attack-on-baghdad-embassy/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/mivzak/us-envoy-cautions-iran-after-iraqi-militia-rocket-attack-on-baghdad-embassy/ Some "western states" believe Iran is behind the Yemen war, all Iraq protests against US forces in that country and even claim Sunni al qaeida leaders stay in Shia-Iran. The US put the Iran Revolutionar Guards elite forces on a terrorist list-claim Iran is "behind terrorism" while we do know how IS and al quaida get funded-the Sunni Arab Gulf states spent billions (of oil $) on that kind of jihadism. But they are supposed to be "pro-west" and pro-petro-$...

Other news 

BPEarthWatch un solar activity-increase of sunspots=increase of earthquakes ? [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YoGz5YyKR8A[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YoGz5YyKR8A 

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4ZipKdI1sY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4ZipKdI1sY The Seekers-1967-The Carnival Is Over

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 22 2020 at 11:00pm

DJ

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ sunday (nov 22) numbers-and often monday have a weekend effect. Still 489.000+ new cases worldwide of wich more than 1/4 were in the US. In the cases per million the US is at #12-still. For the dpm the US is at #10. 

Is the US doing worse then most European/EU countries ? I think they are. Dr. John Campbell also looking at the numbers [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWFFREep6tQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWFFREep6tQ in another weekend update. Excess deaths in the US has been high since the Covid19 pandemic started in the US. By now another 80.000 extra deaths-on top of the reported/tested 263.000 Covid deaths. But [url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ is showing Europe is not doing that much better in general. Maybe "we" can better deal with peaks-get the R0 <1 faster ? Maybe Finland-due to its relative isolation-is doing the best of all EU members. Germany as the largest EU country (population almost 84 million) is doing better then most European countries. 

Germany has 11, 111 cases per million and 171 deaths per million

US has 37,944 cases per million and 792 deaths per million

UK has 22,227 cases per million and 809 deaths per million

Belgium has 47,969 cases per million and 1337 deaths per million (on a population of 11,6 million-and their case definition is much "wider" then most countries-including a lot of susspected cases. The difference between excess deaths and reported cases will be much smaller-maybe Belgium does not play with the numbers...)

DJ We are in a "vaccine race" that is unhealthy. Canada has clear there will be no normal christmas/new year. I think that is wise. Even if numbers would decrease and vaccination starts there is no room for extra virus spread. With only two US-for profit-mRNA vaccines-for now on the market. (Russia may not yet produce enough Sputnik-V even if countries are willing to go for that). Astra-Zeneca/Oxford vaccine had a delay-but may be a better-cheaper-alternative worldwide. (At costprice-no profit)

Some background on the US crisis;

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/one-chart-predicts-our-future[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/one-chart-predicts-our-future DJ-Politics is getting more and more out of contact with the people they claim to represent-not only in the US. 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/pennsylvania-judge-throws-out-trump-campaign-lawsuit[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/pennsylvania-judge-throws-out-trump-campaign-lawsuit What if the US supreme court states Trump did win the 2020 election ? (Even-again-with the popular votes majority for the democrats)

In NL there is growing concern on the role young people play in keeping the virus spread going. They themselves do not get (very) ill most of the time but may be a major factor in keeping the R0 higher then needed. 

Yet another update from Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdAPgglDJAU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdAPgglDJAU (he is very productive-good info !)

Analysis of Measles-Mumps-Rubella (MMR) Titers of Recovered COVID-19 Patients (DJ-MMR vaccine may offer some protection against Covid19)

[url]https://www.debka.com/mivzak/more-covid-cases-worldwide-in-4-weeks-than-its-first-six-months/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/mivzak/more-covid-cases-worldwide-in-4-weeks-than-its-first-six-months/ ;

More coronavirus cases have been reported worldwide in the past four weeks than in the first six months of the pandemic, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus disclosed in a news briefing on Friday. Hospitals and intensive care units were filling up or full across Europe and the United States, as the confirmed infection figure climbs to 57 million with 1.3 million dead.

Also revealed was that the number of coronavirus cases in Europe has overtaken the United States as infection surges with the onset of winter. Europe has so far recorded more than 15 million cases, while the United States is on the brink of 12 million. (DJ-Since "Europe" or EU has a (much) larger population you have to put numbers in context). 

WAR

-Iran [url]https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/11/19/638941/Iran-United-States-military-conflict-region-Israel-nuclear[/url] or https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/11/19/638941/Iran-United-States-military-conflict-region-Israel-nuclear 

[url]https://www.debka.com/us-posts-b-52-bombers-to-mid-east-ahead-of-troop-drawdown/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/us-posts-b-52-bombers-to-mid-east-ahead-of-troop-drawdown/ ;  The bombers are to be integrated with at least four other national defense elements.

DJ-trump seeking advice on how to attack Iran may be leaked or fake. Still it is making Iran-and other countries-nervous. B52 bombers-as part of a larger plan-near Iran gets close to a decleration of war. Certainly if any attacks on US forces in Iraq or Syria are seen as Iran attacks....Israel keeps attacking Iran forces legally in Syria (at least with Assad's permission). 

-China [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/very-serious-military-provocation-between-u-s-and-china[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/very-serious-military-provocation-between-u-s-and-china and [url]https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/china-incursion-into-taiwan-air-space-2020.14439/page-2[/url] or https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/china-incursion-into-taiwan-air-space-2020.14439/page-2 

[url]https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4049035[/url] or https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4049035

US Marine Raiders arrive in Taiwan to train troops in assault and infiltration missions

DJ-Bejing has a red line [url]https://twitter.com/Global_Mil_Info/status/1330596443271401473?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1330596443271401473%7Ctwgr%5E&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fcommunity.defconwarningsystem.com%2Fthreads%2Fchina-incursion-into-taiwan-air-space-2020.14439%2Fpage-2[/url] ;

According to multiple outlets in Taiwan, U.S. Navy Rear Admiral Studeman, director of intelligence of the US Indo-Pacific Command, arrived at Taipei International Airport on a special charter flight at 7 PM (local time).

may be pushing it. The "[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-China_policy[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-China_policy was the outcome of Nixon visiting China in the early 70's. 

In reaction [url]https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/india-china-october.14395/[/url] or https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/india-china-october.14395/ there are reports of a Chinese build up of forces north of Indian positions. 

related [url]https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/11/19/638948/Asia-Pacific-nations-multilateral-free-trade-deal-excludes-protectionist-USA[/url] or https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/11/19/638948/Asia-Pacific-nations-multilateral-free-trade-deal-excludes-protectionist-USA and

[url]https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/08/04/631096/Comprehensive-Strategic-Partnership-between-Iran-China-unsettles-foes-[/url] or https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2020/08/04/631096/Comprehensive-Strategic-Partnership-between-Iran-China-unsettles-foes- 

DJ-Iran is the link to the Indian Ocean for Russia, the link to Europe/Africa for China. Iran is much to important for both Russia and China to accept ANY risks !!!! Russia-Iran-China (RIC) in many ways should be seen as "one block". A US/Saudi/Israel (USI) attack on Iran may open the door for "maximum support" from Russia and China. (Russia may shoot down missiles intended for Iran from Russia - they could destroy the bases from where the attacks come from. 

Trump keeps blaming China for Covid19/the pandemic-does he now want to "punish China"?

Music-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8kAU3B9Pi_U[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8kAU3B9Pi_U Like a Rhinestone Cowboy-Glenn Campbell

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 23 2020 at 12:53am

[url]https://www.astrazeneca.com/media-centre/press-releases/2020/azd1222hlr.html[/url] or https://www.astrazeneca.com/media-centre/press-releases/2020/azd1222hlr.html ;

Positive high-level results from an interim analysis of clinical trials of AZD1222 in the UK and Brazil showed the vaccine was highly effective in preventing COVID-19, the primary endpoint, and no hospitalisations or severe cases of the disease were reported in participants receiving the vaccine. There were a total of 131 COVID-19 cases in the interim analysis.

One dosing regimen (n=2,741) showed vaccine efficacy of 90% when AZD1222 was given as a half dose, followed by a full dose at least one month apart, and another dosing regimen (n=8,895) showed 62% efficacy when given as two full doses at least one month apart. The combined analysis from both dosing regimens (n=11,636) resulted in an average efficacy of 70%. All results were statistically significant (p<=0.0001). More data will continue to accumulate and additional analysis will be conducted, refining the efficacy reading and establishing the duration of protection.

DJ; low cost-no profit-realistic story on dosages....sounds good. Dr.J.C. story on MMR infection/vaccine providing some protection against (severe) Covid19 also sounds good-but some questions-did high hit regions have less MMR  Measles-Mumps-Rubella (MMR) infections in the past ? 

WAR 

[url]https://www.debka.com/mivzak/netanyahu-flies-secretly-to-saudi-arabi-meets-crown-prince-and-pompeo/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/mivzak/netanyahu-flies-secretly-to-saudi-arabi-meets-crown-prince-and-pompeo/Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu flew on the quiet to western Saudi Arabia Sunday night for a meeting with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Along with the prime minister was Mossad chief Yossi Cohen. Flight-tracking website picked up the flight.

DJ-It looks like "something major" is in the planning...(with B52's a.o. in the UAE-not far from Iran) 

This monday morning-local time; [url]https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/ansarallah-forces-launch-powerful-attack-on-saudi-oil-station-along-red-sea-coast/[/url] or https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/ansarallah-forces-launch-powerful-attack-on-saudi-oil-station-along-red-sea-coast/ ; The Ansarallah Movement announced on the early hours of Monday, the bombing of an oil distribution station in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

-

If true, however, this would be the deepest attack launched by the Ansrallah Movement since they targeted the Saudi capital, Riyadh.

DJ-Most likely the USI-coalition (US-Saudi&Co-IS supporters and Israel) will blame Iran. [url]https://theduran.com/giant-american-bombers-to-the-middle-east-will-confrontation-with-iran-break-out/[/url] or https://theduran.com/giant-american-bombers-to-the-middle-east-will-confrontation-with-iran-break-out/ 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSuLlXgBzvM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSuLlXgBzvM Jeddah is on the Saudi west -Red Sea-coast 100's of km away from Yemen...

First images from northern Jeddah [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSb_0IQvJjM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSb_0IQvJjM 

[url]https://www.debka.com/mivzak/at-least-14-pro-iranian-fighters-killed-in-air-strike-at-deir-ez-zour/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/mivzak/at-least-14-pro-iranian-fighters-killed-in-air-strike-at-deir-ez-zour/ Israel killing pro-Iran forces just two days ago...

[url]https://www.debka.com/netanyahu-flies-to-saudi-desert-city-to-meet-crown-prince-and-pompeo/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/netanyahu-flies-to-saudi-desert-city-to-meet-crown-prince-and-pompeo/

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 23 2020 at 7:00am

DJ

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/it-will-never-be-licensed-us-analyst-warns-astrazeneca-vaccine-efficacy-embellished[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/it-will-never-be-licensed-us-analyst-warns-astrazeneca-vaccine-efficacy-embellished Astra-Zeneca under US sanctions ???? ; 

Porges believes that this product will never be licensed in the US due to the design of the company's trials, which don't appear to match the FDA's minimum criteria, and the occurrence of severe safety events that resulted in the extended clinical hold on enrollment in the US (remember when the US put the AZ-Oxford trial recruitment on hold for a month).

The findings, according to Porges, confound his original thesis that "all spike protein vaccines are created equal", which is manifestly not the case now. This raises questions about other adenovirus-vector vaccines, including the Johnson & Johnson's vaccine.

DJ-All we know of both Moderna and Pfizer-both US m-RNA vaccines-is what we know from the press releases...

WAR

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/white-house-planning-unprecedented-trade-alliance-retaliate-against-china[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/white-house-planning-unprecedented-trade-alliance-retaliate-against-china In reaction to the China trade deal with East Asia/Australia and New Zealand. 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/netanyahu-flew-saudi-arabia-met-crown-prince-secret-meeting[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/netanyahu-flew-saudi-arabia-met-crown-prince-secret-meeting ;

Saudi Arabia and Israel want to see the United States use its military might to defeat, not just contain, the threat from Iran. They both actively push for an all-encompassing and hard-to-get U.S.-Iran deal that conflates the U.S. priorities of halting Iran's nuclear program and attacks on U.S. interests with countering Iran's broader geopolitical expansion across the region.

Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the United States all want Washington to remain actively invested in the fight against terrorism in the Middle East. 

So is the rush by the Trump administration to normalize relations with the Israeli-Gulf States a sign that war with Iran is on the horizon? 

DJ-Hal Turner-behind paywall; "Final Big Meeting Before "It" happens". 

Bibi, MBS and Porky Pompous met secretly in Saudi.
Run for cover.

from [url]https://www.facebook.com/pepe.escobar.77377[/url] or https://www.facebook.com/pepe.escobar.77377 

DJ-Most likely Russia-Iran-China are now preparing to prevent a major conflict or to get control over where to start the conflict if they can not escape from it...they may put "everything" in action-including Electronic Warfare (EW), early warning etc. 

The Houthi/Yemen [url]https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/yemen-houthi-rebel-group-attacks-saudi-aramco-facility/2052648#[/url] or https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/yemen-houthi-rebel-group-attacks-saudi-aramco-facility/2052648# could trigger a "serious escalation".

[url]http://thesaker.is/truce-with-us-occupiers-is-now-over-iraqs-sheikh-al-khazali/[/url] or http://thesaker.is/truce-with-us-occupiers-is-now-over-iraqs-sheikh-al-khazali/ Most of the Iraqi's would like to see US/NATO forces to leave...blaming Iran for that does not help...

[url]https://ejmagnier.com/2020/11/17/trump-is-not-preparing-a-new-war-in-the-middle-east/[/url] or https://ejmagnier.com/2020/11/17/trump-is-not-preparing-a-new-war-in-the-middle-east/

DJ-Without World War I the Spanish Flu most likely would have been far more limited. It was the military on the move-a population that suffered from food shortages-that made this to the largest pandemic in recent history. 

Starting a major war while we are in the middle of a pandemic is insane...(Starting a war because "you do not like" Russia, Iran, China is also insane in itself. Allies like Saudi Arabia, UAE sponsor IS and Al Quaida-have nothing to do with democracy...This war will not "make america great again" more likely be the end of the USA...) 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 23 2020 at 9:51pm

DJ

-A look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ learns we will pass the 60 million tested & reported cases worldwide today. The trend is over a million new cases per 2 days...vaccines will not change that.

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/pandemic-freedom.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/11/pandemic-freedom.html "Dealing with a pandemic goes against freedom"....

Dr.John Campbell had an interview with DW (Deutsche Welle=German Source) [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_3bRvsjvy0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_3bRvsjvy0 . Monday seems to be the day to present a Covid19 vaccine. Pfizer and Moderna did so last two weeks-yesterday AstraZeneca/Oxford came with their results in (adeno-monkey-virus based) vaccine. Major facts-low costs (no profit) <3€ per dose (=about 10% of what Moderna vaccine would cost), no deep freeze transport need-a fridge will do. Another aspect the AstraZeneca vaccine will get produced at 20 places worldwide (UK, Sweden, Latin America, India etc.) it will be two dosages-so far most effective if given first a half dose-a month later a full dose. (Dr.J.C. wonders if two times a half dosage also would work...)

DJ-Vaccines are good news. Even if some strategies (mRNA, Adeno-virus etc) would not do a perfect job you may be able to fall back to alternatives. For the pandemic - maybe that pandemic may be over summer 2021 ? Before jumping to any claims that the pandemic is over "now" one should realize cases are increasing fast. For the US some expect over 200.000 new cases per day..

For now this pandemic is far from over-we still may see the worst in health care breaking down, number of deaths and suffering exploding. NPI are very important NOW !!!! (Or we could run out of staff able to deal with large scale vaccinations-may be the biggest vaccination "job" ever.)

Dr. John Campbell also has a video on vitamin D [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7H2c0Zm6PFw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7H2c0Zm6PFw Fits in with the damage control scenario that may be the best we have so far. 

-[url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2020/11/articles/animals/birds/covid-in-animals-review-part-8-birds/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2020/11/articles/animals/birds/covid-in-animals-review-part-8-birds/ and [url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2020/11/articles/animals/other-animals/covid-in-animals-review-part-9-bats/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2020/11/articles/animals/other-animals/covid-in-animals-review-part-9-bats/ 

Spread of Covid19 in other species remain a very major risk. 

-[url]https://sputniknews.com/business/202011241081256652-norwegian-billionaire-predicts-historic-wave-of-bankruptcies-in-2021/[/url] or https://sputniknews.com/business/202011241081256652-norwegian-billionaire-predicts-historic-wave-of-bankruptcies-in-2021/ The economic consequences of this pandemic will show in 21...

WAR

Latest stories; [url]http://thesaker.is/nasrallah-we-celebrate-trumps-defeat-without-illusions-about-biden-and-we-stay-ready-for-war/[/url] or http://thesaker.is/nasrallah-we-celebrate-trumps-defeat-without-illusions-about-biden-and-we-stay-ready-for-war/ 

[url]http://thesaker.is/chinas-reaction-to-a-us-unannounced-visit-to-taiwan-presstv-interview/[/url] or http://thesaker.is/chinas-reaction-to-a-us-unannounced-visit-to-taiwan-presstv-interview/ 

DJ-In my opinion we are "very close" to major escalation. With trump, netanyahu, erdogan still around there is a risk of "action without thinking". A very likely scenario is Israel attacking nuclear sites in Iran and then expecting the US to deal with Iran's reaction. 

Even a first massive strike will not unable Iran to give a strong reaction. It would be very welcome if Biden would show a little more brains and started talking with Russia-Iran-China. (Most of) Europe is fed up with US endless wars without any perspective. 

A lack of support for a major war against Iran may have been an important reason why this war did not yet start. The Saudi's-with a lot of help (a.o. from US, UK) can not even manage the Yemen war. The US/NATO did not get the results the wanted in Afghanistan and Iraq. Israel thinks twice before starting any major operations in the south of Lebanon or the Gaza-strip. 

What did change is that trump did not get reelected and he may leave Biden with a load of problems...(Covid19, escalation of wars/conflicts..)

Music; Elis Regina-Aguas de Marco-Brasil [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FI1b9RK10JI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FI1b9RK10JI (or this version with Tom Jobim-1974 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1tOV7y94DY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1tOV7y94DY "the sun is in the music" !)


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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