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Online Discussion: Tracking new emerging diseases and the next pandemic since 2005; Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic Discussion Forum.

scenario's

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Joined: May 01 2013
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 25 2021 at 11:08pm

Tabitha111-Most people are stupid ! To say it in just four words...Our hope has to be in the non-stupid people using their brains !

Also here in NL/Europe a lot of people want "freedom" but the other side of freedom has to be responsability ! For now we can not stop people ignoring social distance, masks etc. In a pandemic this behavior will become "self-selecting"...I do not follow rules because our government tells me to do so but because I see the value of those rules...

This pandemic will learn those that need to learn-it will be a hard lesson !

On social behavior I also wonder how "social media" work out-I think it is increasing "group behavior" and groups often go for stupid. Once "the lesson is learned" social media may go in an overdrive in the other direction...

DJ

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries It has been since january 23 we did see such a high number of new cases. March 25 with over 622,000 new cases and over 10,000 new deaths. Brazil close to 100,000 new cases in just one day ! But also France reporting over 45,000 new cases in just one day. Worldwide variants are pushing up the numbers and it only just started....Social behavior can undo the gains made by vaccinations. Even the best vaccines offer 95% protection-leaving 5% "open" and if enough people push for those 5%-and variants make that 5% into 30% (or more) since vaccines turn out to offer less protection against them then variants will spread...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 gets updated several times per day and only has some main variants. By now it is very likely there will be hundreds of variants in different stages-some just starting, others still growing. But also some variants may disappear...

I think we are in for a long pandemic. The picture is different from the flu returning every flu-season. Covid-variants are much more deadly, do not get influenced by the season and are still developing/mutating creating new variants..

Of course the "good news" is each of us can do his/her job in limiting the spread by social distancing ! We can make a difference by taking a vaccination-not 100% protection but it may enable health care to do its job ! We have to make long term plans for ourselves on who we want to interact with and in what way...it is good there is internet ! If politics fail-as they do-we have to be wiser !

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910896-washington-health-officials-monitoring-23-people-for-ebola[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910896-washington-health-officials-monitoring-23-people-for-ebola DJ-Underlining the need for travel restrictions...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910546-44-ohioans-being-monitored-for-potential-ebola-exposure?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910546-44-ohioans-being-monitored-for-potential-ebola-exposure?view=stream ;Gov. Mike DeWine said in a March 23 statement explaining why he vetoed a bill that would give the legislature oversight of state health orders — such as mask mandates — and states of emergency.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910894-india-second-surge-of-covid-19-infections-quicker-than-first-wave-march-26-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910894-india-second-surge-of-covid-19-infections-quicker-than-first-wave-march-26-2021 ;Coronavirus disease cases in India are rising at a rate not seen since May last year, and the daily infections in two states have already hit record highs, indicating that the country’s second wave may be worse than the first wave despite the ongoing vaccination drive.

DJ-Very serious !!!! India has a population of 1,3 billion. As a country the largest vaccine producer and untill recent exporter...(The EU is not a country but may be the largest vaccine producer. Some factories should start production soon. Export is another issue. Just like India we-in the EU- need the vaccines we produce. Both India and the EU produced vaccines for "countries we keep poor" but that has now stopped...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910891-assessing-transmissibility-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-b-1-1-7-in-england[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910891-assessing-transmissibility-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-b-1-1-7-in-england ;Analysis of trends in SGTF and non-SGTF case numbers in local areas across England shows that the VOC has higher transmissibility than non-VOC lineages, even if the VOC has a different latent period or generation time. The SGTF data indicate a transient shift in the age composition of reported cases, with a larger share of under 20 year olds among reported VOC than non-VOC cases. Time-varying reproduction numbers for the VOC and cocirculating lineages were estimated using SGTF and genomic data. The best supported models did not indicate a substantial difference in VOC transmissibility among different age groups. There is a consensus among all analyses that the VOC has a substantial transmission advantage with a 50% to 100% higher reproduction number.

DJ-This is one of the variants spreading around the globe-a "substantial transmission advantage with a 50% to 100% higher reproduction number" translates into if"old variant R0"was 1 the UK variant R0 was in between 1,5 and 2. So NPI has to be more strict if you want to stop the spread-even with vaccinations...(vaccinated people still may spread the virus-maybe not for 100% but even 50% for now is to much !)-On a global scale if the highest daily long term cases per day were around 700,000 this UK variant-not controlled-would put that daily number of cases in between 1,000,500 and 1,400,000 (1,5 to 2X) per day...In (a.o.) Israel and the UK we did see the difference vaccinations and NPI can make...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910890-the-emerging-plasticity-of-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910890-the-emerging-plasticity-of-sars-cov-2 ;Viruses evolve as a result of mutation (misincorporations, insertions or deletions, and recombination) and natural selection for favorable traits such as more efficient viral replication, transmission, and evasion of host defenses. Newly selected traits may be linked in unpredictable ways and raise concern that virus spread and evolution could result in greater virulence (disease severity). The limited diversity of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reported during 2020, ascribed to the 3?-5? exonuclease proofreading function of nonstructural protein 14 (nsp14), led to the view that vaccines based on a single sequence of the viral spike (S) protein, which mediates host cell entry, would likely generate immune protection to all circulating variants (1). However, variants of SARS-CoV-2 with mutations in S have emerged around the world, posing potential challenges for vaccination and antibody-based therapies. The continued spread of SARS-CoV-2 creates the opportunity for accumulation of additional consequential mutations in S and throughout the viral genome.

DJ-The virus fights back...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910869-eurosurv-detection-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-p-1-in-patients-from-a-region-with-exponentially-increasing-hospitalisation-rate-february-2021-rio-grande-do-sul-southern-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910869-eurosurv-detection-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-p-1-in-patients-from-a-region-with-exponentially-increasing-hospitalisation-rate-february-2021-rio-grande-do-sul-southern-brazil ;The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 P.1 lineage coincided with a surge in hospitalisations in the North region of Brazil. In the South region’s Rio Grande do Sul state, severe COVID-19 case numbers rose 3.8 fold in February 2021. During that month, at a COVID-19 referral hospital in this state, whole-genome sequencing of a subset of cases’ specimens (n?=?27) revealed P.1 lineage SARS-CoV-2 in most (n?=?24). Findings raise concerns regarding a possible association between lineage P.1 and rapid case and hospitalisation increases.

DJ-Translation: variants can not only spread faster but also create much more severe disease (and very likely at least in part in patients that should have some immunity due to earlier infection with "old Covid")

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/910859-us-covid-19-hospitalizations-in-michigan-surge-800-in-march-among-people-40-49-years-old-march-25-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/910859-us-covid-19-hospitalizations-in-michigan-surge-800-in-march-among-people-40-49-years-old-march-25-2021 DJ Some variants pose a bigger danger for younger age groups. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910832-sci-rep-emergence-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variants-in-the-netherlands[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910832-sci-rep-emergence-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variants-in-the-netherlands ;In addition, we detected novel variants of SARS-CoV-2 almost unique to the Netherlands that form localized clusters and region-specific sub-populations indicating community spread. 

DJ-Not in Dutch news...

FluTrackers also has info on asperin and Covid, long covid etc...It would be more then welcome if we could keep the number of new (detected/tested/reported) cases under the 1 million per day in the coming months...to keep health care working. It also would be welcome if "wave 3" had an end. I notice the gap between wave 2 and 3 was only a few monts...will wave 4 come on top of wave 3 ? 

Wave 3-april/may 2021 can be deadly-we could be over 5 million Covid deaths june 1 worldwide. Pandemic daeths could be double that number...(but again I am not an expert...)

-Dr.John Campbell with another update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJV19GTSNBQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJV19GTSNBQ 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russian-army-moves-entire-railway-echelon-of-armor-to-ukraine-border[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russian-army-moves-entire-railway-echelon-of-armor-to-ukraine-border and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iranian-missile-hits-israeli-merchant-ship-at-sea[url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iranian-missile-hits-israeli-merchant-ship-at-sea 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/stuck-in-mud.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/stuck-in-mud.html 

DJ You can not start a war with the Suez canal blocked for weeks. You will not start a war when "your enemy" is waiting and prepared...able to hit you that hard you loose the war once you start it. 

Music; The Seekers-Someday One Day [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WJcW4z-foI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WJcW4z-foI 1967 Sydney Opera House still under construction. Other time...other problems...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 26 2021 at 10:31pm

DJ

Yesterday I did put a link on Michigan/US seeing a lot of new cases/variants. Later that day I did find [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/910910-cdc-investigating-possible-mink-to-human-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-in-the-united-states[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/910910-cdc-investigating-possible-mink-to-human-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-in-the-united-states ;

  • Currently, there is no evidence that mink are playing a significant role in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 to people. However, there is a possibility of mink spreading SARS-CoV-2 to people on mink farms. Mink to human spread of SARS-CoV-2 has been reported in the Netherlands, Denmark, and Poland, and new data suggest it might have occurred in the United States.

    • Investigations found that mink from a Michigan farm and a small number of people were infected with SARS-CoV-2 that contained unique mink-related mutations (changes in the virus’s genetic material). This suggests mink to human spread might have occurred.

Just like 1+1=2 still the article goes on ;With several highly competitive COVID variants already spreading across the United States (B.1.1.7, B.1.351 & P.1),the risks from any COVID spillover from mink to humans are likely low. But it is important that we monitor, and analyse new variants, since we can never know from where the `next contender' will emerge.

Not very realistic ! First claiming to find proof of mink to human transfer-THEN- "spillover likely low" after finding it did happen in NL, DK, Poland AND in Michegan itself...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910938-spain-detects-american-minks-with-coronavirus-march-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910938-spain-detects-american-minks-with-coronavirus-march-2021 (Spain did release those minks into the wild to find out later they had SARS-2 ???)

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries for friday march 26. Yesterday some news reported Brazil over 100,000 new cases. Since worldometers goes from 00.00 hrs to 00.00 hrs GMT their number was still under 100,000. 

Highest new cases Brazil, US, India, France, Poland -in total over 630,000 new cases, 11,572 deaths. Variants may be "out of control" in many places. In Europe we try to impose some stricter rules...increase vaccinations-but not very succesfull. 

Again if we could be under 5 million deaths by june 1 from Covid19 tested/reported cases it "would be nice"...The total now stands at 2,780,000 (almost)...June 1 is about 65 days from now-will we prevent another 2,2 million deaths ? 

-Flu Trackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910986-cdc-sends-scientists-to-africa-due-to-ebola-outbreaks[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910986-cdc-sends-scientists-to-africa-due-to-ebola-outbreaksScientific and technical experts have been deployed to DRC, Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia.

DJ-Outbreaks both in central AND in west Africa during a Covid19 pandemic is overstretching already limited healthcare...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/909231-guinea-covid-19-high-rate-of-contamination-treatment-centers-at-maximum-capacity[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/909231-guinea-covid-19-high-rate-of-contamination-treatment-centers-at-maximum-capacity Guinea also reporting a lot of Covid19 cases. (DJ-Both Covid19 and Ebola are RNA virusses-but chances of mixing so far is seen as almost 0..still we have seen more bizarre events-due to the high numbers...Guinea is reporting an increase-speaking of their own variant ?)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/910976-cidrap-global-covid-19-rise-adds-more-vaccine-rollout-turbulence[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/910976-cidrap-global-covid-19-rise-adds-more-vaccine-rollout-turbulence DJ Both major vaccine producers/exporters India and EU need their vaccines for themselves...Russia and China have-so far-limited production capacity. There is capacity in Mexico and Brazil a.o. but not fully active ? (US vaccines are to expensive and difficult/not practical for most countries).

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910952-kenya-president-orders-new-lockdown-to-curb-covid-19-wave-orders-closure-of-two-refugee-camps-march-26-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910952-kenya-president-orders-new-lockdown-to-curb-covid-19-wave-orders-closure-of-two-refugee-camps-march-26-2021?view=stream ;Kenyan authorities informed UNCHR on Tuesday it would take the refugees to the border with Somalia if the camps are not closed, the Daily Nation newspaper reported. The interior ministry told Reuters that the reporting was accurate. https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910950-60-higher-risk-of-death-from-coronavirus-variants-ontario-analysis-finds-sourcesDJ-With very limited testing, hardly any sequencing we do not have a good idea on what is happening in Africa...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910950-60-higher-risk-of-death-from-coronavirus-variants-ontario-analysis-finds-sources[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910950-60-higher-risk-of-death-from-coronavirus-variants-ontario-analysis-finds-sources ; The analysis is expected to show that variants substantially increase the risk of serious illness when compared to the initial strain of SARS-CoV-2, including:

60 per cent increased risk of hospitalization.
100 per cent increased risk of being admitted to an ICU.
60 per cent increased risk of death.

The data didn't differentiate between variants, though most instances in Ontario right now are thought to be the B117 variant first identified in southeast England. The Ontario figures were also pooled with data from Denmark and the U.K., two countries hit hard by B117, several sources explained, with local data falling in line with those earlier international findings...

DJ-Since variants are all over the globe-and the UK variant most likely not the worst one yet-the "outlook is not good".

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910940-poland-and-ukraine-have-record-daily-cases-sweden-cases-rise-to-highest-level-this-year-and-hungary-daily-death-hit-new-high[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910940-poland-and-ukraine-have-record-daily-cases-sweden-cases-rise-to-highest-level-this-year-and-hungary-daily-death-hit-new-high and

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910939-poland-cases-rise-to-record-levels-70-of-ventilator-beds-are-occupied[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910939-poland-cases-rise-to-record-levels-70-of-ventilator-beds-are-occupied  DJ Major health crisis-most likely already worst yet and still worsening...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910929-j-am-med-dir-assoc-assessment-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-infection-and-mortality-rates-among-nursing-homes-with-different-proportions-of-black-residents[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910929-j-am-med-dir-assoc-assessment-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-infection-and-mortality-rates-among-nursing-homes-with-different-proportions-of-black-residents ; Conclusions and implications: It is likely that attributes of place, such as resources, services, and providers, important to equitable care and health outcomes are not readily available to counties where NHs have greater proportions of Black residents. Structural bias may underlie these inequities. It is imperative that support be provided to NHs that serve greater proportions of Black residents while considering the rurality of the NH setting.DJ-Being black in the US in itself is a major problem-being old and black does increase risks...

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrOf1UQXsLI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrOf1UQXsLI Dr.John Campbell update. In some UK regions cases seem to be increasing again-even with high number of vaccinations-excluding children...

DJ The UK and Israel are interesting to watch-high number of vaccinations/natural immunity but also increase of variants most likely still spreading. In Chile high number of vaccinations did not come in time to prevent the spread of the P1 variant. 

High number of immunity (natural or by vaccine) may mean "selected virus spread"-some variants are stopped by immunity-some others may still find a way to spread. If there is no new major outbreak in Israel or the UK vaccines do a very good job !

Dr.J.C.-maybe with a UK perspective-believes "we are getting out of this pandemic due to vaccinations". With all respect-Dr.J.C. IS an experienced expert-but I (DJ) totally disagree ! 

-Most people worldwide (and this pandemic is a global problem) will not get vaccinated this year-so nothing is stopping virus/variants spread. In many cases todays income is this evenings food...no room for NPI. 

-Lots of variants are not stopped (enough) by vaccines-many variants are widespread-with new variants showing up daily

-New variants in minks, other animals is more problems on their way

-If it is "a race" variants spread faster then vaccines...Even in the US with very high number of vaccinations variants already did win the race before it started...

DJ-Again-I am NOT an expert, I hope to be wrong ! But false optimism and repeating mistakes does NOT help ! We have been in this pandemic for over a year-and again "summer will end this pandemic" , "vaccines will save us" "herd immunity" is repeated...So "the shore has to stop the ship"...our "leaders" are increasing speed in a dead end street-in my non-expert opinion...

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/china-sends-twenty-war-planes-into-taiwan-air-space-after-russia-opens-nuke-missile-hatches-on-arctic-submarines[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/china-sends-twenty-war-planes-into-taiwan-air-space-after-russia-opens-nuke-missile-hatches-on-arctic-submarines  and

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-nuclear-warning-to-united-states[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-nuclear-warning-to-united-states 

DJ-With the Suez-canal blocked at least for several days the Arctic route-north of Russia may be an alternative...it is supposed to be frozen but ice-breakers did open that route. RIC=Russia-Iran-China seem to be one major coalition. Any US agression against one of them may see action from others...In practice most of the world need Russian/Chinese vaccins...Most of the world wants Russian energy, Chinese products. Both Russia and China are "increasing their role" in Iran/MENA (Middle East-North Africa)..

The US foreign policy insanity is putting the US in isolation. 

Music; rock'n roll Status Quo Down Down 1974 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1gYJDQXPOk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1gYJDQXPOk already 47 years old...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 27 2021 at 10:10pm

DJ,

Yesterday we had 8798 new cases in NL-the highest number of cases since early january-at the end of the second wave. Still-in the news-some claim there is room for reopenings since a few million people did get vaccines...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Globally the numbers simply are bad. Brazil [url]https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/27/americas/brazil-covid-19-collapse-intl/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/27/americas/brazil-covid-19-collapse-intl/index.html is near collapse. When I look at the list of new cases the Phillippines show up at #12 [url]https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/philippines-covid-19-lockdown-restrictions-manila-14505418[/url] or https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/philippines-covid-19-lockdown-restrictions-manila-14505418 .

India, in the EU France, Poland have high numbers-variants related...When you look at new deaths Mexico shows up at #3. That country is at #22 for new cases...My general impression is governments are running out of ideas how to contain this pandemic. So "limiting economic damage" and claim things will be okay-we did vaccinate less the 10% of the population-in most countries-so "the most vulnarables" are protected...

[url]https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/covid-downward-trend-in-italys-population-continues/2189712#[/url] or https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/covid-downward-trend-in-italys-population-continues/2189712# ;

The population in Italy has declined by about 384,000 in the past year, as deaths reached their highest level due to declining birth rates and an outbreak of the coronavirus, officials reported on Friday.  

The Demographic Dynamics During the Epidemic by the Year 2020 report by the Italian National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) said that on Dec. 31, the resident population was more than 59.25 million, but it decreased 0.6%, or 383,922, compared to Dec. 31, 2019.

It said it was equivalent to the destruction of a city the size of Florence.

DJ-I think some less people on this planet in itself would be welcome...but this is not the way it should be done...

-FluTrackers often has answers on my questions-sometimes see latest activity;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/907945-deaths-surge-in-mexico-as-pandemic-extracts-a-heavy-toll?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/907945-deaths-surge-in-mexico-as-pandemic-extracts-a-heavy-toll?view=stream ;Excess deaths in Mexico for 2020 and early 2021 exceeded 417,000, more than double the current official number of fatalities from the coronavirus, the federal government reported.

On Thursday Mexico became the third country with more than 200,000 confirmed Covid-19 deaths, trailing only U.S. and Brazil, countries with much larger populations.

But the overall toll from the pandemic is assumed to be much higher because of the low level of testing that left many Covid cases undiagnosed -- Mexico’s 2.2 million cases rank 14th globally -- and overstretched health systems that curtailed treatment for other conditions...

DJ-Mexico is not the only country in this scenario [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911101-coronavirus-cases-surge-in-medell%C3%ADn-with-start-of-colombia%E2%80%99s-third-wave[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911101-coronavirus-cases-surge-in-medell%C3%ADn-with-start-of-colombia%E2%80%99s-third-wave ;Despite a population one quarter in size to Bogotá’s burgeoning eight million, Colombia’s second-largest city, Medellín, has become the new epicenter of coronavirus infection, registering per-daily case averages above 1,000.

DJ-Good article on how government had succes most of the time in keeping numbers down. Most likely Mexico, Colombia etc have a mix of UK, US, Brazil (and other) variants...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases?view=stream ; Chile begins confinement due to Covid; 97% of the population remains in total quarantine
The decision is made when Chile is on the verge of hospital collapse due to a second wave of Covid-19, this despite being one of the most advanced countries in vaccination

-

He also reads: Coronavirus: WHO affirms that the situation in Chile shows that vaccination is not a substitute for prevention

DJ-The P1 variant is spreading all over Latin America. [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-548-a-new-pandemic-record-march-27-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-548-a-new-pandemic-record-march-27-2021 DJ an alarming link; [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910907-plos-one-neutralizing-antibodies-for-sars-cov-2-in-stray-animals-from-rio-de-janeiro-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910907-plos-one-neutralizing-antibodies-for-sars-cov-2-in-stray-animals-from-rio-de-janeiro-brazil ; Few reports indicate that owned pets from households with at least one human resident that was diagnosed with COVID-19 can be infected by SARS-CoV-2. However, the exposure to SARS-CoV-2 of pets from households with no COVID-19 cases or stray animals remains less assessed. Using real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT90), we investigated the infection and previous exposure of dogs and cats to SARS-CoV-2 during the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. From June to August 2020, 96 animals were sampled, including 49 cats (40 owned and 9 stray) and 47 dogs (42 owned and 5 stray). Regarding owned pets, 75.6% (62/82) belonged to households with no COVID-19 cases. Samples included serum, and rectal and oropharyngeal swabs. All swabs were negative for SARS-CoV-2 RNA, but serum samples of a stray cat and a stray dog presented neutralizing antibodies for SARS-CoV-2, with PRNT90 titer of 80 and 40, respectively. Serological data presented here suggest that not only owned pets from households with COVID19 cases, but also stray animals are being exposed to SARS-CoV-2 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

DJ - Again variants decreased the gap between Corona virusses in animals and Covid19-it is very likely non-human hosts are part of this pandemic by now ! Also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911049-preprint-sudden-rise-in-covid-19-case-fatality-among-young-middle-aged-adults-paran%C3%A1-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911049-preprint-sudden-rise-in-covid-19-case-fatality-among-young-middle-aged-adults-paran%C3%A1-brazil  the P1 variant (as some other variants) are hitting the under 50 y/o age group. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies?view=stream DJ-I think this pandemic is man made by lack of action in the first month of spread. The world should have seen the Wuhan-China lockdown end of january 2020 as a warning-it did not ! Since then not for profit AZ/O vaccines, cheap treatments like Ivermectin (some claim to be effective) had to deal with a campain against them...what role does Big Pharma play in this pandemic ? What role does Big Pharma have in the WHO, universities, "experts"  ? Big pharma did show in the past profit was their only goal...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911066-bmc-public-health-human-mobility-and-poverty-as-key-drivers-of-covid-19-transmission-and-control[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911066-bmc-public-health-human-mobility-and-poverty-as-key-drivers-of-covid-19-transmission-and-controlPoorer regions exhibited lower and slower compliance with the restrictions. Our transmission model further indicated that individuals from impoverished areas were associated with high transmission rates. Considering a horizon of 1-3 years, we found that to reduce COVID-19 mortality, school closure has an adverse effect, while interventions focusing on the elderly are the most efficient. We also found that applying localized and temporal lockdowns during regional outbreaks reduces the overall mortality and morbidity compared to nationwide lockdowns. These trends were consistent across vast ranges of epidemiological parameters, and potential seasonal forcing.

DJ-You may not need the same action/intervention in all of the country. If people can be certain their rent is paid, they will get food, they will more likely "stay indoors" then when those basics become uncertain...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911065-int-j-equity-health-policy-disparities-in-response-to-the-first-wave-of-covid-19-between-china-and-germany[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911065-int-j-equity-health-policy-disparities-in-response-to-the-first-wave-of-covid-19-between-china-and-germany ;There are two differences between China and Germany in non-pharmaceutical interventions: China adopted the blocking strategy, and Germany adopted the first mitigation and then blocking strategy; China's goal is to eliminate the virus, and Germany's goal is to protect high-risk groups to reduce losses. At the same time, the policies implemented by the two countries have similarities: strict blockade is a key measure to control the source of infection, and improving medical response capabilities is an important way to reduce mortality.

DJ-Let me be clear-I am NOT neutral ! We should learn from China now-if we want to have some chance of surviving this worsening pandemic...vaccines are good for Big Pharma-no virus spreading is better for you !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911063-gene-sars-cov-2-variants-lacking-orf8-occurred-in-farmed-mink-and-pangolin[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911063-gene-sars-cov-2-variants-lacking-orf8-occurred-in-farmed-mink-and-pangolinWhy VOC-202012/01 is more transmissible remains unclear, but spike mutations and ORF8 inactivation stand out as candidates for research by their known phenotypic effects. Here I show that variants combining relevant spike mutations and the absence of ORF8 occurred in other SARS-CoV-2 or related viruses circulating in other host species. A truncated ORF8 (Q23stop) occurred in a SARS-CoV-2-related virus from a pangolin seized in China in 2017, also with several mutations in critical spike sites. Strikingly, I found that variants without ORF8 (E19stop) and with the N501T spike mutation circulated in farmed mink and humans from Denmark. Although with differences to VOC-202012/01, the identification of these variants highlights the danger of having reservoirs of SARS-CoV-2 and related viruses where more transmissible variants may occur and spill over to humans.

DJ-The idea that animal and human health risks are two different issues is wrong-One Health-idea should be the basis in preventing pandemics !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911033-emerg-infect-dis-detecting-rapid-spread-of-sars-cov-2-variants-france-january-26-february-16-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911033-emerg-infect-dis-detecting-rapid-spread-of-sars-cov-2-variants-france-january-26-february-16-2021 ;Variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 raise concerns regarding the control of coronavirus disease epidemics. We analyzed 40,000 specific reverse transcription PCR tests performed on positive samples during January 26-February 16, 2021 in France. We found high transmission advantage of variants and more advanced spread than anticipated.

DJ-If you put the peak of wave 1 of this pandemic april 2020, peak of wave 2 december 2020/january 2021 why wave 3 is showing up already ? If variants can start a third wave that much faster-and create new variants-what to expect of a fourth wave ? We were hardly out of wave 2 when wave 3 showed up. Will wave 4 come ON TOP (!!!!!!) of wave 3 ? Will we be at a million new cases per day somewhere in april due to wave 3/variants and see an even further sudden increase wave4/new variants on top of that ????

See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911018-sci-rep-multiwave-pandemic-dynamics-explained-how-to-tame-the-next-wave-of-infectious-diseases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911018-sci-rep-multiwave-pandemic-dynamics-explained-how-to-tame-the-next-wave-of-infectious-diseases ;Our results demonstrate that the key to control the arrival of the next wave of a pandemic is in the strolling period in between waves, i.e. when the number of infections grows linearly. Thus, limiting the virus diffusion in this period is the most effective way to prevent or delay the arrival of the next wave. In this work we establish a new guiding principle for the formulation of mid-term governmental strategies to curb pandemics and avoid recurrent waves of infections, deleterious in terms of human life loss and economic damage.

DJ-A bit of an "open door" we should have stopped this pandemic in the summer of 2020...Also comparing the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic with Covid19-pandemic "has its limits"...(a.o. in herd immunity)

Flu

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911005-sci-china-life-sci-pandemic-threat-posed-by-h3n2-avian-influenza-virus[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911005-sci-china-life-sci-pandemic-threat-posed-by-h3n2-avian-influenza-virus 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/911004-prev-vet-med-value-chain-analysis-of-yellow-broiler-industry-in-guangxi-china-to-inform-h7n9-influenza-control-strategies[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/911004-prev-vet-med-value-chain-analysis-of-yellow-broiler-industry-in-guangxi-china-to-inform-h7n9-influenza-control-strategies 

and (a.o.)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/910997-appl-microbiol-biotechnol-development-of-mouse-monoclonal-antibody-for-detecting-hemagglutinin-of-avian-influenza-a-h7n9-virus-and-preventing-virus-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/910997-appl-microbiol-biotechnol-development-of-mouse-monoclonal-antibody-for-detecting-hemagglutinin-of-avian-influenza-a-h7n9-virus-and-preventing-virus-infection 

DJ-Before Covid 19 the general idea was the next pandemic would be a form of flu...that risk is still there. Other viral diseases are now seen as also of being a major pandemic risk ! We have to reorganize the way we live to decrease those pandemic risks !

-Some other thoughts;

Bio-terrorism will be a matter of time-if it is not happening already. On purpose spreading of Covid19 in certain populations ("the poor" , "blacks",) or in countries as bio-warfare is easy and cheap. Also easy to deny...[url]https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/[/url] or https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/

It will be assumed by many outside that to describe Brazil’s pandemic as genocide is an exaggeration. Unfortunately it isn’t.

From suppressing vaccines to refusing Brazilian states and municipalities the right to implement lockdown measures, it is wrong for international media to report Bolsonaro’s Covid-19 catastrophe as mismanagement, incompetence, or “failure to act”, when it has been based on an intentional strategy.

One year ago we called Brazil’s pandemic “a tragedy foretold“. Now we call it what it is: Genocide.

The victims of this genocide are Brazil’s poorest, most vulnerable; groups his government detest.

DJ-Aging is seen as a major problem in most western countries. Care-or the lack of it-for the most vulnarables is used as an excuse for "stronger government". Still most of the millions worldwide excess deaths are over 60. The numbers of excess deaths in "countries we keep poor" since this pandemic in itself may be in the millions...

Sometimes "people are in the way" for mining, cutting trees, dams etc. Also tourism sometimes may "welcome less poverty"...(street children in Brazil being hunted as "a solution to the problem").

When I look at the past there are no limits to what people can do to eachother-certainly when one group has the illusion of "total safety" and being above any law. 

Again this pandemic is man made and getting worse ! Allthough the "embedded media" is sending the message "vaccines/Big Pharma will save us"...and claim there is "more room for economy/reopening"-giving the variants even more room to do damage...

In NL doctors using Ivermectin can get punished. "Social media" now blocking "news" not in line whit the embedded media/Big Pharma story...I would not be able to write what I do write on a lot of forums/media...(and I hope I do not endanger this forum). 

Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson had the message of "the fourth turning" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generational_theory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generational_theory ; According to the theory, historical events are associated with recurring generational personas (archetypes). Each generational persona unleashes a new era (called a turning) lasting around 20-25 years, in which a new social, political, and economic climate (mood) exists. They are part of a larger cyclical "saeculum" (a long human life, which usually spans between 80 and 100 years, although some saecula have lasted longer). The theory states that after every saeculum, a crisis recurs in American history, which is followed by a recovery (high). During this recovery, institutions and communitarian values are strong. Ultimately, succeeding generational archetypes attack and weaken institutions in the name of autonomy and individualism, which ultimately creates a tumultuous political environment that ripens conditions for another crisis.

DJ-If there is a 80 to 100 year cycle in history the end of World War 1/Spanish Flu fits in that pattern for 1918/1919. End of Napoleon fits in 1815. But lots of other major events do NOT fit in that pattern...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Shock_Doctrine[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Shock_Doctrine In the book, Klein argues that neoliberal free market policies (as advocated by the economist Milton Friedman) have risen to prominence in some developed countries because of a deliberate strategy of "shock therapy". This centers on the exploitation of national crises (disasters or upheavals) to establish controversial and questionable policies, while citizens are too distracted (emotionally and physically) to engage and develop an adequate response, and resist effectively. The book suggests that some man-made events, such as the Iraq War, were undertaken with the intention of pushing through such unpopular policies in their wake.

DJ Makes more sense to me-fits in with other ideas of "crisis = concentrations" /[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tower_of_Babel[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tower_of_Babel or [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy complex matters disintegration to their basics...is there a "peak civilization" after wich things only can get worse ? 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/22-years-ago-today-march-27-1999[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/22-years-ago-today-march-27-1999

It was twenty-two (22) years ago today, March 27, 1999 that the United States suffered the first loss of one of its F-117 "Stealth" aircraft.   

The extremely expensive plane, designed and built by Lockheed, was supposedly "almost invisible" to radar.  It was locked-on-to by a very old Soviet era anti-aircraft defense system over Yugoslavia, and shot down by a very old anti-aircraft missile.

-

We point this out because it is Lockheed that has already charged the US Taxpayer about $1.7 TRILLION for the "state-of-the-art" F-35 Stealth, and just this past week, officers within the US Air Force called the plane "junk."

According to internal US Air Force reports, the plane suffers from over eight hundred defects and failures, after over a TRILLION dollars in expenditures on that project, and pilots say the plane is a "dog" in the sky.

One wonders why Lockheed is still winning government contracts with a performance record like that cited above?

Maybe people who award the contracts are getting paid off?

We'll probably find out the hard way when the Ukraine situation which is presently developing, turns into hot war within a few days and we all get to see the true performance of the F-35.

DJ-The F35-Joint Strike Fighter is one of the most expensive form of corruption unless one sees all of defense spending as a mega corruption scandal. During the Viet Nam war targets costing a few thousend dollars were destroyed by US operations costing millions...The F35 is in use by Israel-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II (see also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II#Accidents_and_notable_incidents[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II#Accidents_and_notable_incidents NOT reporting most likely an Israeli F35 was shot down over Syria [url]https://www.quora.com/Is-it-true-that-at-least-2-of-the-F35-fighter-jets-have-been-shot-down-in-Syria[/url] or https://www.quora.com/Is-it-true-that-at-least-2-of-the-F35-fighter-jets-have-been-shot-down-in-Syria a "military" or economic secret ?)

Spending on military "defense" while not spending on preparing for the coming pandemic is one of the underlying problems. It did NOT change-we are very close to a next major war...This worsening pandemic still is NOT top-priority ! Climate collapse is NOT top priority...Greed is top priority...killing millions !

-Dr. John Campbell on viral evolution [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h9irEbq43Qc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h9irEbq43Qc some info under his video...to be honest DJ-I do not think Dr.J.C. is realistic...One of the idea's I have is "out of host viral mutations"...Virusses need a host to reproduce themselves-in reproduction mistakes are made-we call that "mutations". But can "non host virus" change due to UV, electric fields etc ? Most likely they can...so the number of mutations-and thus variants-would go up.

Music; Brainbox-Summertime [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_8AoIpeH_o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_8AoIpeH_o Dutch Rock 1978 [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/27/daylight-saving-time-clock-advances-one-hour-sunday[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/27/daylight-saving-time-clock-advances-one-hour-sunday 





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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 28 2021 at 8:13am

An area of concern is that with people masking up, etc., we have had very little flu, which sounds like a good thing, till we realize that without many flu cases, scientists cannot reach a consensus on which particular flu viruses should be in this year's jab.  If they pick the wrong ones, we could be overrun with a flu we didn't plan for, just as there is light at the end of the Covid tunnel.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 28 2021 at 3:48pm

Originally posted by ViQueen24 ViQueen24 wrote:

An area of concern is that with people masking up, etc., we have had very little flu, which sounds like a good thing, till we realize that without many flu cases, scientists cannot reach a consensus on which particular flu viruses should be in this year's jab.  If they pick the wrong ones, we could be overrun with a flu we didn't plan for, just as there is light at the end of the Covid tunnel.

Good point.....

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 28 2021 at 10:22pm

Yes...the flu is still out there...I think maybe it could be a point of interest to see if you can combine a flu vaccine with a booster covid vaccine ? Proberbly a booster Covid vaccine is one of the very limited number of things we now know for the coming months. 

DJ

I think wave 4 maybe close to coming on top of wave 3-for the rest my "imagination" is running out...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sni7e-2oGZk&t=14s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sni7e-2oGZk&t=14s Dr. John Campbell in his update uncertain on what variants may bring for the US and UK. It is expected numbers to go up-but will vaccination be enough to stop high numbers ? Dr. J.C. thinks vaccinations may see less severe cases/deaths. I (DJ) think other age groups face more problems-in part because they are not vaccinated, more social active, and the variants seem to infect younger people..

(Problems with the computer-will update later on....)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 29 2021 at 12:58am

Combining breakfast with scenario's can give greasy finger-computer problems....so part two. 

DJ

Dr.J.C. reports P1 variant still mutating. He thinks vaccines will still offer 80% protection. In Chile the variant is winning the race against top-speed vaccinations. And healthcare in Chile is also getting at breaking point. 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ In Europe the situation is getting worse-people-and often politicians-fed up with restrictions while variants are spreading and vaccines are slow...

Yesterday I did put a link to [url]https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/[/url] or https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/ In this article they claim; 1-bolsonaro wanted "pension reforms" welcomed the deaths being 70% over 60 and most of the rest poor... But also 2 US pressure not to buy Russian (or Chinese) vaccins. The governer of Sao Paulo did manage to get chinese vaccins... And 3 UK pressure to buy AZ/O vaccines...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/still-stuck-in-mud.html#comments[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/still-stuck-in-mud.html#comments had a link to [url]http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-03/28/c_139842215.htm[/url] or http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-03/28/c_139842215.htm

BEIJING, March 28 (Xinhua) -- More than 100 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines had been administered across China as of Saturday, according to a press conference held by the State Council joint prevention and control mechanism against COVID-19 on Sunday.

Data released by the National Health Commission on Sunday showed that the total number of COVID-19 vaccine jabs administered nationwide had reached 102.42 million.

Most of the western embedded media tend to or ignore non-western vaccines or relate them to "people not wanting them" "not proven effects" etc. China has become the main vaccines exporter-most to Latin America and Africa. [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-usnato-versus-russia-china-hybrid-war-finish[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-usnato-versus-russia-china-hybrid-war-finish fits also in this pattern...

DJ-Some conclusions so far;

1-This pandemic is man made due to inaction

2-Most of the people dying "cost money" so a lot of states in fact do not care

3-The idea of herd-immunity has caused the effect of the virus getting out of control

4-Big Pharma wants to "take responsibilities" (DJ=profit) 

5-The only way to reach billions fast is NOT via (slow) vaccinations but by communications/NPI

6-Vaccines most likely will increase further variants

7-Most governments/experts may know how this is working but do no longer see ways to get a grip

8-Saving the economy is destroying the economy...

How will this further develop ? To be honest-I do not know, ran out of "scenario's"...The most welcome idea would be the pandemic would stop by summer...improved weather, lotst of immunity via vaccine/natural infections would stop it...The worst scenario would be a mega mix of all kind of corona- and other virusses spreading in all kind of hosts...a sort of super-pandemic in more then one species out of control. Due to multi-species infections variants exploding...bringing society collapse...I think this scenario may be more likely then "over by summer" but I do simply not know...

For the coming two months I expect variants causing a "third wave" most likely more severe then wave 1 or 2. Vaccines will have to show how well they protect...In Chile they combine vaccines with strict NPI/lockdown...maybe that will limit the damage ? 

FluTrackers has limited news on monday, 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/911144-chemotherapy-animal-hosts-and-experimental-models-of-sars-cov-2-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/911144-chemotherapy-animal-hosts-and-experimental-models-of-sars-cov-2-infectionSequence analysis and epidemiological investigations suggest that the most likely original source of SARS-CoV-2 is a spillover from an animal reservoir, probably bats, that infected humans either directly or through intermediate animal hosts. The role of animals as reservoirs and natural hosts in SARS-CoV-2 has to be explored, and animal models for COVID-19 are needed as well to be evaluated for countermeasures against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Experimental cells, tissues, and animal models that are currently being used and developed in COVID-19 research will be presented.

DJ-Again-IF-Covid19 in some form manages to spread on a large scale into wild animals we may never be able to get this pandemic under control...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases-bodies-line-corridor-at-one-hospital[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases-bodies-line-corridor-at-one-hospital (latest activity) ; The Valparaíso region broke a new record of infections and registered 880 new confirmed cases of covid-19 . While the hospitals in the region are at maximum capacity, in Valparaíso the Carlos Van Buren Hospital confirmed that it had to enable a new space to guard the bodies of the deceased.

DJ-Hospitals running out of capacity=more people dying. With the variants spreading the health care collapse scenario is becoming reality in a lot of places soon. 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/philippines-puts-air-force-on-alert-over-200-china-militia-ships-off-coast[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/philippines-puts-air-force-on-alert-over-200-china-militia-ships-off-coast 

[url]https://southfront.org/great-success-us-backed-fighters-seize-us-made-missiles-heading-to-other-us-backed-fighters-in-syria/[/url] or https://southfront.org/great-success-us-backed-fighters-seize-us-made-missiles-heading-to-other-us-backed-fighters-in-syria/ 

and [url]https://southfront.org/children-beheaded-in-mozambique-shocking-testimonies-of-displaced-families/[/url] or https://southfront.org/children-beheaded-in-mozambique-shocking-testimonies-of-displaced-families/ 

DJ-Priority is NOT dealing with the pandemic but "who is the boss"...The US trying to still control the global energy market...using IS (Saudi funded-why nobody asks who is funding IS/alquada ?) and other proxies bringing the world close to war. 

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4f_ETlXGtI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4f_ETlXGtI the tune of a French TV series from the late 60's...

 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 29 2021 at 9:51pm

DJ,

Just some of the latest news. In new variants the Tanzania variant with 31 mutations. In that way-on 27,900 genes less then 0,999% the same as the "original" virus. Indicating [url]https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines[/url] or https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines development away also from natural/vaccine immunity...

American Airlines-great !!!!-flights in US almost at pre-pandemic levels....Politics worldwide talking of reopening, save the economy...The idiots did win ! We are going towards permanent pandemic...Yesterday I did not know what to think for the longer term...would, could vaccines save us ? "We" did make the choice that we do not want to be saved...

Can't fix stupid even if stupid kills us all...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ . New cases list see-after US, India, Brazil Turkey and Poland the Phillippines at 9 and Iran at 10. The spread of all kinds of variants now is worldwide...Canada stopping-for the time-AZ/O vaccine...

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/911244-new-york-must-offer-vaccine-to-all-prisoners-immediately-judge-rules[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/911244-new-york-must-offer-vaccine-to-all-prisoners-immediately-judge-rules DJ-With only 4% of the global population the US has 25% of all people in prison. The number of "non whites" is extreme. NOT protecting them against disease or violence is a crime.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream ; A new briefing note from a panel of science experts advising the Ontario government on COVID-19 shows a province at a tipping point.

Variants that are more deadly are circulating widely, new daily infections have reached the same number at the height of the second wave, and the number of people hospitalized is now more than 20 per cent higher than at the start of the last province-wide lockdown, states an analysis from Ontario's COVID-19 science advisory table published on Monday night.

"There is no such thing as winning this race with just vaccinations," Juni stressed. "That's impossible."...

DJ-I was hoping to see news on "tipping point" but they mean collapse....What I realy start hating is that I did see this over a month ago...vaccines can help but you need to do everything you can to avoid spread and with that variants !!! How come well paid experts, politicians, with far better education did NOT see that ???? Does university make people stupid and blind ??? Is this man-made pandemic some evil plan ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/911241-study-finds-high-levels-of-carcinogen-in-several-hand-sanitizer-brands-benzene[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/911241-study-finds-high-levels-of-carcinogen-in-several-hand-sanitizer-brands-benzene DJ-I think taking some risks to avoid other larger risks for a short term can be acceptable...but this pandemic now may last for years...and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/pollution-incl-gulf-of-mexico-oil-disaster/911235-covid-waste-discarded-face-masks-are-killing-wildlife-around-the-globe[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/pollution-incl-gulf-of-mexico-oil-disaster/911235-covid-waste-discarded-face-masks-are-killing-wildlife-around-the-globe 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911234-cidrap-who-report-jump-from-animals-most-likely-covid-19-source[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911234-cidrap-who-report-jump-from-animals-most-likely-covid-19-source DJ-Maybe the main point should be other diseases also getting close to jump on humans..."but it has to happen first so there will be evidence" . This kind of dr.j.c. "science" is stupidity in a new form ! How many times you need proof for gravity ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911233-cidrap-cdc-head-pleads-with-americans-as-covid-19-cases-rise[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911233-cidrap-cdc-head-pleads-with-americans-as-covid-19-cases-rise ;I'm going to lose the script, and I'm going to reflect on the recurring feeling I have of impending doom," said Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Rochelle Walensky, MD, MPH, today during the White House COVID-19 press briefing.

DJ-I know the feeling-should dr. Walensky step down because stupidity is making her job impossible ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/other-ngo-announcements-incl-red-cross-red-crescent/911221-open-letter-to-health-and-finance-ministers-in-the-countries-with-covid-19-oxygen-shortages[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/other-ngo-announcements-incl-red-cross-red-crescent/911221-open-letter-to-health-and-finance-ministers-in-the-countries-with-covid-19-oxygen-shortagesWith the daily oxygen need across all low- and middle-income countries estimated at 11,800,000 cubic meters per day, or 1,700,000 large cylinders,1 many health facilities are overwhelmed and running out of oxygen as the families of patients often wait for days and pay exorbitant prices for scarce oxygen supplies while their loved ones suffer.

DJ-oxygen shortages are coming to you this summer !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/911196-mysterious-disease-killing-young-california-bears-in-tahoe[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/911196-mysterious-disease-killing-young-california-bears-in-tahoe DJ-No Covid-link but what is it ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911194-us-cdc-in-less-than-a-week-span-cases-of-coronavirus-variant-double-in-florida-march-28-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911194-us-cdc-in-less-than-a-week-span-cases-of-coronavirus-variant-double-in-florida-march-28-2021 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911188-france-paris-doctors-sound-alarm-warn-of-catastrophic-overload-of-covid-19-cases-march-28-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911188-france-paris-doctors-sound-alarm-warn-of-catastrophic-overload-of-covid-19-cases-march-28-2021 

DJ-In NL a doctor did not believe the UK variant-in itself-was more deadly. It was the overload, hospitals running out of capacity that was deadly...Here in Europe so far Germany had extra IC-capacity and was willing to take (at no cost !!!) patients from other countries. With the coming wave maybe China can be of help in providing extra hospitals, doctors, medication ? In the America's Cuba may be able to offer some extra help ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911176-bmc-endocr-disord-diabetes-even-newly-defined-by-hba1c-testing-is-associated-with-an-increased-risk-of-in-hospital-death-in-adults-with-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911176-bmc-endocr-disord-diabetes-even-newly-defined-by-hba1c-testing-is-associated-with-an-increased-risk-of-in-hospital-death-in-adults-with-covid-19 DJ-Covid19 on top of other diseases can disturbe-long term-all kind of values. In that way become deadly in several months-if not a few years...slowly destroying organs inside the body. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911174-vaccine-projected-covid-19-epidemic-in-the-united-states-in-the-context-of-the-effectiveness-of-a-potential-vaccine-and-implications-for-social-distancing-and-face-mask-use[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911174-vaccine-projected-covid-19-epidemic-in-the-united-states-in-the-context-of-the-effectiveness-of-a-potential-vaccine-and-implications-for-social-distancing-and-face-mask-use ;Conclusions: The degree to which the US population can relax social distancing restrictions and face mask use will depend greatly on the effectiveness and coverage of a potential COVID-19 vaccine if future epidemics are to be prevented. Only a highly effective vaccine will enable the US population to return to life as it was before the pandemic.

DJ-I think the most realistic scenario is variants of Covid 19 evading/resistant of vaccines will become dominant. We NEED long term plans ! We NEED to stop variants !!! We NEED to prepare better for a next pandemic-maybe even on top of this one (flu H5N8 via birds into animals then to humans is a likely scenario)...Problem is we vaccinate to little and hope summer will save us...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-poCVhV5-yY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-poCVhV5-yY ;

WHO report on the start of this pandemic. Dr.J.C. seems to like cold war blagh-blagh...

US cases following the same route as Europe a few weeks earlier...

DJ-Dr.J.C. deserves respect. It is great he is trying to give some expert info to a large audience. But I do not like "hopium" ; his stories "vaccines will save us" while variants are already evading vaccines...and will develop further. His story of "booster shots" like the flu-vaccine miss the point that there is no "covid19-season" it can get active again any part of the year with new variants. New variants hit younger age groups much harder. And a pandemic is a global problem-not just a UK/US one...

Most diseases hitting humans start in other animals. It is more then likely Covid19 also did start in animals. Did China make mistakes ? Yes-very likely ! But the Wuhan lockdown was in january 2020 and the world did not react in any sane way...Sewage samples in many places indicate Covid19 may have been around maybe allready in the summer of 2019. We still do not know how the Spanish Flu exactly started-there are several ideas on that...so expecting 100% proof of how Covid19 started may be impossible. 

In my opinion top-priority has to be stopping this pandemic-but it is NOT top priority...war is. 

WAR

[url]https://southfront.org/u-s-socom-forms-task-force-to-counter-chinas-information-operations-in-indo-pacific/[/url] or https://southfront.org/u-s-socom-forms-task-force-to-counter-chinas-information-operations-in-indo-pacific/ 

[url]https://southfront.org/china-signals-possible-greater-middle-east-engagement/[/url] or https://southfront.org/china-signals-possible-greater-middle-east-engagement/ 

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finances_of_ISIL[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finances_of_ISIL Like ISI-Pakistan secret service being a main factor in Afghanistan-since the US/CIA did ask ISI to play that role in the 70's-Turkey is a main factor in IS/Syria. 

Several times the Israel/US/NATO airforce coordinated actions with IS against the Syrian Arab Army/Russia. In the pro-Assad forces there are people from Palestine, Lebanon, Afghanistan. IS is trained in Al-Tanf-US occupied zone in south Syria. There are many reports of IS activity all around the globe-with IS "officials" flying in. IS seems to be able to transfer money around the globe. Sometimes local groups in Nigeria, Mozambique, Phillipines, Indonesia, Somalia fight under the flag of IS. But in Ukraine some of the IS fighters (joining European neo-nazi's on the Kiev side) are also "imported". A main reason IS is NOT active in Turkey, Israel is that these countries are allies. 

China must be involved-at least in intel-in the Middle East since several thousend Uyghur/West China families did become jihadi's-most likely with the help of Turkey and the US. Both Russia and China face IS militant actions in parts of their countries. Since the US is also supporting groups (MEK. Balutjistan) in Iran-a main oil exporter to China-also here the US is fighting Russia and China. 

When one looks at cruelty and insanity Japan was worse then Germany in world war two. But barbarism was widespread. In Cambodia the Kmehr Rouge/Red Kmehr managed to kill 1/3 of the population in 1975-1979. In Rwanda in 1994 crazy Hutu's managed to kill up to 600,000 moderate Hutu's and Tutsi's. Of course there are Stalin, Mao also killing millions-but colonialism also did kill millions. 

Still IS manages to be in the cruelty global top. Burning POW's alive, cutting of hands and heads by the thousends-selling slaves...Financing their operations most via "donations" of Gulf States and western countries (white helmets-transporting people to be executed etc..). But drug trade, organ trade, child trade, oil trade also major sources of income. NATO is working with this ..... but claiming to fight them for several years...

It will be a matter of time before IS (etc) starts spreading Covid19 variants in bio-warfare...You can not fix stupid-stupid will kill us all !

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NUa1mvaYNtk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NUa1mvaYNtk Why did Mongolia not get in the USSR ? Short history...

Music;[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nS5_EQgbuLc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nS5_EQgbuLc Back In The USSR/CCCP The Beatles (with a bit of the Beach Boys-sound)....DJ-Russia and China are NOT western democracies-but that does not mean they are "bad". Human rights at an individual level may be worse for some "black" people in the US/Europe then for most in Russia and China. It would be good if there could be some form of "peacefull coexistence" between the US, EU, Russia, China, India...certainly in this pandemic we may need international cooperation to survive. 





We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 30 2021 at 10:38pm

DJ

It is quiet on this forum...while there is enough (bad) news...WAR [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-message-to-nato[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-message-to-nato and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/france-military-document-society-must-prepare-for-war-casualties-not-seen-since-ww2[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/france-military-document-society-must-prepare-for-war-casualties-not-seen-since-ww2 I did link worst case scenario's with increased risk of war/destabilization. (Last year-somewhere-could not find it...). Allthough [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/24-world-leaders-call-more-globalism-wake-pandemic[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/24-world-leaders-call-more-globalism-wake-pandemic there is also some pressure for international cooperation. 

When I look at the "vaccine war", Russian and Chinese vaccins have to be bad since they come from Russia and China. The not-for-profit AZ/O vaccine gives a very limited number of serious complications-proberbly just as much as most other vaccines but "the media is going for the marketing of AZ/O =bad"...In fact we now end up with even less vaccines and more variants...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ indicate a growing healthcrisis. What they also show the western approach of "herd immunity and big pharma" being a total disaster...[url]https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines[/url] or https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines ;

In a survey of 77 epidemiologists from 28 countries, carried out by The People’s Vaccine Alliance, two-thirds thought that we had a year or less before the virus mutates to the extent that the majority of first-generation vaccines are rendered ineffective and new or modified vaccines are required. Of those surveyed, almost a third gave a timeframe of nine months or less. Fewer than one in eight said they believed that mutations would never render the current vaccines ineffective.

The overwhelming majority - 88 per cent - said that persistent low vaccine coverage in many countries would make it more likely for vaccine resistant mutations to appear.

DJ-The strategy against the Covid19 pandemic fails...So again start blaming China for not working with the (China owned they also claim) WHO...China did it...or Putin did it...[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/somewhat-out-of-the-mud.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/somewhat-out-of-the-mud.html reflects my feelings-that much stupidity...

[url]https://www.containmentnu.nl/home?lang=en[/url] or https://www.containmentnu.nl/home?lang=en ;Containment Now! is a grassroots campaign to push Governments in the Netherlands, Sweden and elsewhere to adopt a suppression strategy with regard to the novel Coronavirus. The outbreak can be contained to low levels with cost-effective measures such as test-trace-isolate, masks, checks on incoming travelers, alert levels and clear government commitment.

DJ-There is no profit in lockdowns, not enough big pharma profit in testing..."Freedom" even with millions dying...

-Flu Trackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021 ;India’s confirmed infections have exceeded 60,000 daily over the past week from a low of about 10,000 in February. On Monday, the health ministry reported 68,020 new cases, the sharpest daily rise since October last year, taking the nationwide tally to more than 12 million.

Daily deaths rose by 291 on Monday, taking the total death toll due to the virus to 161,843.

The latest surge is centred in the western state of Maharashtra, which on Sunday reported 40,414 new coronavirus cases, almost two-thirds of the national total, many of them in the densely populated financial capital Mumbai.

DJ-Healthcare is breaking down. Maharashtra is seeing its own variant spreading/out of control...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911348-cuba-reports-more-than-1-000-infections-in-one-day-and-march-stands-out-as-the-pandemic%E2%80%99s-worst-month[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911348-cuba-reports-more-than-1-000-infections-in-one-day-and-march-stands-out-as-the-pandemic%E2%80%99s-worst-month ; Cuba reports more than 1,000 infections in one day and March stands out as the pandemic’s worst monthDJ-No mention of variants

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-728-the-worst-for-the-5th-consecutive-day-march-30-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-728-the-worst-for-the-5th-consecutive-day-march-30-2021 DJ The average is on its way to get over 3000 deaths+ per day....as far as I did see no indications of a slow down. With healthcare collapsing the number of "pandemic deaths" may explode. Social unrest is increasing with the army in Brazil distancing itself from bolsonaro/cia

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911305-new-microbes-new-infect-a-33-year-old-man-with-covid-19-presented-with-subacute-thyroiditis-a-rare-case-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911305-new-microbes-new-infect-a-33-year-old-man-with-covid-19-presented-with-subacute-thyroiditis-a-rare-case-report ;We report the first case of the novel coronavirus infectious disease 2019 (COVID-19) presented with subacute thyroiditis (SAT) in Ghaemshar, Mazandaran Province, Iran. In our patient, with the initiation of corticosteroid therapy, the symptoms of SAT gently disappeared with the gradual increase in thyroid-stimulation hormone (TSH) and the gradual elimination of thyrotoxicosis. This case shows that decreased TSH and persistent thyrotoxicosis may make the patient's condition worse. Managing this complication can take several weeks and can be complicated.

DJ Since the thyroid is in the throat infection of the upper respitory system can bring infection of the thyroid. Something to watch...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911266-ann-ig-insects-and-sars-cov-2-analysis-of-the-potential-role-of-vectors-in-european-countries[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911266-ann-ig-insects-and-sars-cov-2-analysis-of-the-potential-role-of-vectors-in-european-countries ;The biological transmission of viral agents through insects is very complex. While mechanical transmission is more likely to happen, biological transmission is possible via blood-sucking arthropods, but this requires a high grade of compatibility between the vector and the pathogen. If the biological and mechanical transmission of SARS-CoV-2 by blood-sucking arthropods is excluded, a mechanical transmission by urban pests could take place. This risk is very low but it could be important in isolated environmental conditions, where other means of transmission are not possible. The presence of SARS-CoV-2 in non-blood-sucking arthropods in infected buildings, like hospitals and retirement homes, should be investigated.

DJ Of course such a study also has to look at things as fleas jumping from infected minks to cats, dogs, foxes and the way these animals could effect/infect other animals-the chain. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911264-pharmacol-rep-the-association-between-the-use-of-ivermectin-and-mortality-in-patients-with-covid-19-a-meta-analysis[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911264-pharmacol-rep-the-association-between-the-use-of-ivermectin-and-mortality-in-patients-with-covid-19-a-meta-analysisConclusion: We observed a preliminary beneficial effect on mortality associated with ivermectin use in patients with COVID-19 that warrants further clinical evidence in appropriately designed large-scale randomized controlled trials.

DJ-There is no profit in Ivermectin...

-NL a few news items;

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/netherlands-blew-chance-invest-astrazeneca-vaccine-report[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/netherlands-blew-chance-invest-astrazeneca-vaccine-report and [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/covid-hospital-total-tops-2400-first-time-10-weeks-icus-treating-10000th-case[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/covid-hospital-total-tops-2400-first-time-10-weeks-icus-treating-10000th-case 

DJ-Hospitals face increasing problems with staff. "Media-for-sale"/"politicians" calling for reopening, save the economy-stupidity...

Worldwide dealing with this pandemic is not a priority at all for "our leaders"...just like climate collapse basicly they only care for themselves-with a few good politicians, journalists etc trying to make a difference. 

Music; The Mamas & Papas-You Gotta Go Where You Wanna Go...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp0a2TCHcx4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp0a2TCHcx4  1966

You gotta go where you want to go Do what you want to do With whoever you want to do it with


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 31 2021 at 9:52pm

DJ,

Since one only can solve problems if one is willing to face problems two issues;

1-This pandemic is not the global top priority war is [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sending-56th-airborne-brigade-to-crimea[/url]or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sending-56th-airborne-brigade-to-crimea 

[url]https://southfront.org/large-convoy-of-russian-pmcs-spotted-on-central-african-republic-border-with-sudan-photos/[/url] or https://southfront.org/large-convoy-of-russian-pmcs-spotted-on-central-african-republic-border-with-sudan-photos/

[url]https://southfront.org/british-sas-portuguese-troops-join-battle-against-isis-in-mozambiques-cabo-delgado-videos/[/url] or https://southfront.org/british-sas-portuguese-troops-join-battle-against-isis-in-mozambiques-cabo-delgado-videos/

DJ-Since the US goal is to be #1 a growing China-with allies-is a major problem. The US$ is linked to being able to control global energy trade. If that fails-as it is-the US is a "rich Brazil with nuclear weapons"...NATO is divided. Turkey in NATO is becoming a growing problem. But also overstretching by including non-NATO countries (Israel, Ukraine, Georgia, Saudi Arabia) in all kind of military operations is damaging NATO. Afghanistan-endless-is supposed to be a NATO operation, NATO forces in Iraq are facing growing opposition. 

A major war SHOULD be avoided ! A major war will be the end of NATO and show all kinds of cracks dividing "the west". Germany bying Russian energy via North Stream while Poland (now still run by catholic extremists) close to join Ukraine against Russia (with the Russian Orthodox church a major factor-linked with other orthodox churches, Serbia, Greece, Ukraine, Syria, Iraq, Egypt...).

The EU is already over its ears in China trade. Austria is yet another country willing to buy Sputnik-V ...This pandemic is making the cold war even hotter. Russian and Chinese vaccines are now most used worldwide...(with Russia also producing Carnivak-Cov vaccines to protect animals against corona...)

When one looks at how recent conflicts did go the basic idea was to "limit the war to one battlefield" in more then one place. Russia was talking with Turkey, Saudi Arabia-making deals while also bombing away the Turkey/KSA/NATO sponsored "rebels/terrorists"...

Russia was doing the fighting while China was doing the trade. US/NATO forces stuck in every conflict they started-situation only getting worse. From Libya, Yemen, Syria to Afghanistan western wars turn out to be a disaster damaging the west. 

Since you can not seem to fix stupid the west has decided to intensify the fighting...while the pandemic is getting worse...

2-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Brazil now close to 4000 deaths in one day, almost 90,000 new cases in just one day. In fact France, Poland-if you look at their smaller populations are even doing worse...bet at least very likely doing more testing...

Worldwide maybe 200 million people now having some protection from vaccines-on a total of 7,8 billion. Some parts of Asia, Oceania have this pandemic under control/within limits. Most countries face variants "out of control". 

[url]https://www.gavi.org/news-resources/media-room/news-releases[/url] or https://www.gavi.org/news-resources/media-room/news-releases 

[url]https://peoplesvaccine.org/faq/[/url] or https://peoplesvaccine.org/faq/ 

DJ-Vaccines offer protection. The UK, Israel for now are doing okay. NPI offers better protection, Australia, New Zealand, China show you do not need vaccines to keep this pandemic out. 

Vaccines select. They offer protection against severe disease, but they may not stop spreading variants. The general idea is that vaccines could create room for "more agressive" variants to spread. The general idea also is we need NPI/lockdowns to stop that...France, Sweden and several other countries already going for restrictions to early may...

Is there a Permanent Pandemic Genocide ? (PPG) DJ I think that if we do not increase vaccine production and a more equal spread yes there is a PPG. Soon killing millions in Latin America, Africa, South Asia. We could stop it but do not stop it...protecting Big Pharma "rights" on the tax-funded warp-speed project (etc) outcome-vaccines. 

If you see someone drowning and you just keep looking while you can do something to save a live you have to ask yourself what you are doing and why...

In Brazil bolsonaro wants to "get rid of the old and the black"..."We" want Africa "without its population"...Do we stop climate change by killing the poor ? NO-it is the rich that do by far most of the climate change...

Inaction-further inaction-in stopping this pandemic will cause more variants and other diseases getting out of control. Some basic healthcare worldwide is now beyond breaking point. We may soon get "blind" not able to detect new variants, other diseases...

Are humans self-destructive-if they are not they better show that !

Music; Golden Brown-Dave Brubeck [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Qs1J612nZs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Qs1J612nZs (fake history-well done !) A little tribute to Dave Greenfield (keyboardist with The Stranglers who died with Covid-19 last week) and Paul Desmond (saxophonist with the Dave Brubeck quartet - the anniversary of his death is at the end of this month). 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-GUjA67mdc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-GUjA67mdc The Stranglers original

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 01 2021 at 1:27am

part two

DJ

ViQueen24 "Impending doom" also now used by the CDC describes the global situation. 

FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911474-cansino-vaccine-loses-efficacy-to-50-over-5-6-months[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911474-cansino-vaccine-loses-efficacy-to-50-over-5-6-months ;China’s CanSino Biologics has said that the efficacy rate for its single-dose Covid vaccine may fall over time although it should still have a rate of 50% or more five to six months after inoculation. A second shot given to trial participants six months after their first injection could offer substantial protection, Zhu Tao, CanSinoBIO’s chief scientific officer, said in an online presentation late yesterday reported by Reuters.
The vaccine has been approved in ChinaPakistanHungary and Mexico, and CanSinoBIO is also planning a clinical trial in China for an inhaled version of the vaccine.
"A booster shot six months later led to a seven times to 10-times increase in neutralising antibody levels, so we expect in this case efficacy could reach over 90%,” Zhu said, though he cautioned more clinical trial data was needed for more precise estimates.

DJ-There still is discussion on how good vaccines protect. Indications-and the UK, Israel-are vaccination is limiting virus spread. It would be very welcome if vaccines can stop this pandemic. Others warn some variants may become resistant to (most) vaccines. A major problem being a lot of people not being vaccinated-or vaccinated but not yet immune enough-leading to variant selection. In that proces variants that evade vaccination/natural immunity survive...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911473-a-third-of-covid-patients-readmitted-to-hospital-within-four-months-of-discharge-and-one-in-eight-die-in-same-period[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911473-a-third-of-covid-patients-readmitted-to-hospital-within-four-months-of-discharge-and-one-in-eight-die-in-same-periodAfter an average follow-up time of 140 days, nearly a third of the Covid patients who had been discharged from hospital had been readmitted and about one in eight had died, rates considerably higher than seen in the control group

DJ-Are they NOT included in UK statistics ? Does the UK only count deaths within 4 weeks/28 days ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911472-in-uk-few-people-with-symptoms-request-test-or-isolate[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911472-in-uk-few-people-with-symptoms-request-test-or-isolate ; Experts involved in the study, including from Public Health England's behavioural science team, found that just 18% of those with coronavirus symptoms said they had requested a test, while 43% with symptoms in the previous seven days adhered to full self-isolation.

Men, younger people and those with young children were less likely to self-isolate, as were those from more working-class backgrounds, people experiencing greater financial hardship, and those working in key sectors.

Common reasons for not fully self-isolating included needing to go to the shops or work, for a medical need other than Covid-19, to care for a vulnerable person, to exercise or meet others, or because symptoms were only mild or got better.

DJ-In NL only about 50% of those that test positive isolate...there is no penalty for not going in isolation. Even most of our politicians do not take their own rules very serious. One reason why "the west" is not getting out of this pandemic is an unbalance between "freedom and responsibility"...(but also a lack of support-if nobody is taking care of young children how you can isolate ? If there is no money how you are going to get food ? If politicians show they themselves "rules are for fools" what can you expect ?) My impression is the more strict rule-test positive is stay at home by law-should be used more often. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911463-covid-19-india-sees-new-spike-in-cases-despite-vaccine-rollout[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911463-covid-19-india-sees-new-spike-in-cases-despite-vaccine-rollout ;In total, Indian government laboratories have done the genome sequencing of 10.787 samples of SARS-CoV2 to look for variants, and found 771...

DJ Lack of sequencing and spread of variants-mixed with extreme poverty will not end this pandemic in India/Asia. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-there-were-3-950-covid-19-deaths-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-march-31-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-there-were-3-950-covid-19-deaths-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-march-31-2021 ;There were 3,950 deaths recorded in 24 hours, a new record. March had more than double the deaths of July 2020, the second worst month of the pandemic.

DJ-What goes for India/Asia goes for Africa (with hardly any testing) and Latin America. The record number of Brazil deaths is very likely an undercounting...real numbers of pandemic related deaths double ? Healthcare is doing its best no doubt but unable to provide all the help that is needed. Growing social unrest with increase risks for civil war/chaos.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911456-record-number-of-ontario-nurses-may-leave-the-profession-after-covid-19-survey[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911456-record-number-of-ontario-nurses-may-leave-the-profession-after-covid-19-survey ; Overall, the association said it anticipates 15.6 per cent of nurses will leave the profession within a year, including those who are retiring and those who are choosing to depart early. This is higher than Ontario’s usual nurse loss rate of 4.8 per cent.

The results show that 95.7 per cent of nurses said the pandemic affected their work, with the largest percentage — 31.6 per cent — experiencing very high levels of stress...

DJ-Public jobs-from police to teacher, HCW-er see underpayment, lack of perspectives.."market jobs" pay often better with less risks. It is very sad to see politics NOT dealing with these problems-creating even bigger problems...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911452-covid-france-schools-to-close-under-third-lockdown[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911452-covid-france-schools-to-close-under-third-lockdown ;French schools will close for at least three weeks as part of new national restrictions to fight rising Covid cases, President Emmanuel Macron says. Mr Macron said that schools would move to remote learning from next week.
Lockdown measures, introduced in some areas of France earlier this month, are also being extended to other districts.
All non-essential shops are to close from Saturday and there will be a ban on travelling more than 10km (six miles) from home without good reason.
The country is facing a peak of over 5,000 people in intensive care. On Wednesday, the country's health ministry reported 59,038 new cases.

DJ-France did have strict rules-but not strict enough to get variants under control. There must be several variants spreading-most UK, some SA but also a French variant-and more ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911448-simultaneous-detection-and-mutation-surveillance-of-sars-cov-2-and-co-infections-of-multiple-respiratory-viruses-by-rapid-field-deployable-sequencing[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911448-simultaneous-detection-and-mutation-surveillance-of-sars-cov-2-and-co-infections-of-multiple-respiratory-viruses-by-rapid-field-deployable-sequencing DJ-More and better testing, sequencing. FluTrackers also has news on AZ/O -vaccine nasal spray. The present form of vaccinating in the arm is slow-a Finland study also showed a nasal spray creating better immunity. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911447-alterations-in-t-and-b-cell-function-persist-in-convalescent-covid-19-patients[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911447-alterations-in-t-and-b-cell-function-persist-in-convalescent-covid-19-patients ;

Highlights

  • 1. Lymphocytes were examined during COVID-19 and at up to 6 months of convalescence
  • 2. B cell changes seen during acute COVID-19 were largely restored in convalescence
  • 3. T cells from convalescent COVID-19 patients displayed persistent changes
  • 4. Lymphocyte signatures defined 3 convalescent patient groups; one with poorer outcome

DJ-Long term Covid and reinfections are major problems in this pandemic. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911443-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-up-5th-straight-week-deaths-follow[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911443-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-up-5th-straight-week-deaths-follow ; In its weekly snapshot of global COVID-19 activity, the World Health Organization (WHO) said yesterday that new cases rose for the fifth week in a row, an increase that now includes all six of its regions, with deaths accelerating for the second straight week.
In other developments, expert groups that continue to weigh potential side effects of the AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine said benefits still outweigh the risks, and the WHO today said that ivermectin should only be used to treat COVID-19 within clinical trials.

-

In its latest situation report, the WHO said of the more than 3.8 million cases added to the global total last week, the five countries reporting the most were Brazil, the United States, India, France, and Poland. Meanwhile, countries reporting some of the steepest rises include Bangladesh (85%), India (55%), Turkey (47%), and the Philippines (43%).
Cases rose even in some countries in the African region, where cases had declined over the previous 2 weeks. For example, Kenya's cases increased 25% and Ethiopia's new infections increased 14%.
Regarding SARS-CoV-2 variant activity, 5 more countries reported the B117 virus that was first detected in the United Kingdom, raising the total to 130. Five more countries reported the B1351 variant that was first found in South Africa, lifting the total to 80. And four more countries reported the P1 virus first identified in Brazil, bringing the number to 45.
In the Americas, officials from the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) said today at a briefing that over the past 4 weeks, the region has averaged 1 million new cases a week, signaling that transmission is very active in many places.

-

Other global headlines

  • The WHO today said evidence is inconclusive regarding ivermectin as a treatment for COVID-19, and it recommends that the drug only be used in clinical trial settings. In a statement, it said its recommendation applies to patients with any disease severity. The WHO's guideline development group looked at 16 randomized controlled trials that enrolled 2,407 patients, including both inpatients and outpatients.
  • French President Emmanuel Macron, in an address to the nation today, announced tighter COVID-19 restrictions, warning that the country must take new steps or risk losing control of the virus, according to CNN. The limited lockdown takes effect on Apr 3 and lasts at least 1 month. The steps keep curfews in place, limit domestic travel, and urge people to work from home. Nurseries and schools (primary and secondary) will close for at least 3 weeks.
  • The Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) today launched a $200 million funding call to advance the development of vaccines that broadly protect against SARS-CoV-2 and betacoronaviruses. In a statement, it said development of vaccines against variants is already underway, but more approaches are needed to stay one step ahead of them, other betacoronaviruses, and other novel coronaviruses that will emerge in the future.
  • The WHO's SAGE group said China's Sinovac and Sinopharm COVID-19 vaccines meet its efficacy requirements and that it hopes to issue recommendations on them by the end of April, according to Reuters.
  • In China, the city of Ruili—in the southwest, near the border with Myanmar—went on lockdown after a cluster of six local cases was detected, according to Reuters.

DJ-Close to 4 million new cases in just one week-with still a lot of people not being tested. Healthcare is getting more and more overstretched in almost all countries (China, Australia, New Zealand-maybe Thailand, South Korea, Israel excluded-even the UK is expecting an increase in cases...even with a lot of vaccinations.) Ivermectin is "cheap and effective" according to a lot of studies. DJ-For profit Big Pharma exploiting this man made pandemic needs serious study. What role does the Big Pharma play in the WHO/CDC etc ? In universities ? Why that many countries failed to stop this pandemic in time ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc/911441-cdc-covid-19-was-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-2020-people-of-color-hit-hardest[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc/911441-cdc-covid-19-was-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-2020-people-of-color-hit-hardest ; The age-adjusted death rate increased by 15.9% in 2020. Overall death rates were highest among non-Hispanic Black persons and non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native persons. COVID-19 was the third leading cause of death, and the COVID-19 death rate was highest among Hispanics.

DJ It is the poor that pay the price for misbehavior of a rich elite. Most of climate change is linked to how a few rich keep flying, spoiling energy...this pandemic is also related to rich flying around the globe-spreading the virus. Not willing to pay taxes that enable basic global healthcare but rather spend their money on goods "Made In Italy" by Chinese...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911437-russia-registers-world-s-first-covid-19-vaccine-for-animals[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911437-russia-registers-world-s-first-covid-19-vaccine-for-animalsThe World Health Organization has expressed concern over the transmission of the virus between humans and animals. Moscow's regulator said the vaccine would be able to protect vulnerable species and thwart viral mutations.

... Clinical trials of the Russian animal vaccine began in October last year and involved dogs, cats, Arctic foxes, mink, foxes and other animals.

DJ-Russia will use the vaccine in service dogs at (air)ports...but the vaccine may also help to slow down spread in animals not under human control. If variants spread in mice maybe via water that get a vaccine spread can be stopped ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911435-as-variant-b-1-427-b-1-429-spreads-in-california-nevada-and-arizona-hhs-stops-direct-ordering-of-the-monoclonal-bamlanivimab[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911435-as-variant-b-1-427-b-1-429-spreads-in-california-nevada-and-arizona-hhs-stops-direct-ordering-of-the-monoclonal-bamlanivimab ;The USG is evaluating recommendations for use of bamlanivimab in regions where the SARS-CoV2 mutation L452R found in B.1.429/B.1.427 lineages (a.k.a. 20C/CAL.20C) is circulating in high numbers given concerns that the clinical activity of bamlanivimab is impacted by this variant. ASPR will limit distribution to these regions of the country by stopping direct ordering for bamlanivimab while evaluations are ongoing.

Currently, this action will only affect the states of California, Arizona, and Nevada. The other two authorized products, bamlanivimab/etesevimab and casirivimab/imdevimab, do not appear to be affected and will continue to be available for direct ordering in these states.”

DJ-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bamlanivimab/etesevimab[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bamlanivimab/etesevimab ;Bamlanivimab/etesevimab is a combination of two monoclonal antibodiesbamlanivimab and etesevimab, administered together via intravenous infusion as a treatment for COVID‑19.[1][2][3] Both types of antibody target the surface spike protein of SARS‑CoV‑2

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911424-cdc-updated-covid-variant-map-growth-trends-by-state[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911424-cdc-updated-covid-variant-map-growth-trends-by-state ;All of these number are substantial undercounts and should be viewed as representing trends, not actual conditions on the ground.

DJ-Sequencing is a global problem. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream (latest activity) ; Ontario logs 2,333 new COVID-19 cases and 15 more deaths; ICU occupancy hits all-time high

-

The seven-day rolling average is now 2,316, compared to 1,676 seven days ago.

DJ-More and more countries reporting this wave hitting harder then earlier waves. On top of that duration is taking its toll-economic, HCW-ers at breaking point, mental health etc...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021?view=stream ;
New, more infectious variants are thought to be behind a rapid, six-fold escalation in cases since mid-February
...
In India’s northern state of Punjab, also badly affected by the resurgence, the UK variant - which is up to 70 per cent more contagious – was found in 81 per cent of 401 samples collected between January 1 and March 10.

There is also concern about a more transmissible domestic strain, after the Indian Government said it had found 771 variants of concern, including one “double mutant” strain which has infected over 200 people in Maharashtra.

DJ-Is this pandemic "out of control" on a global scale ? Due to over-expectations on vaccines, speed of vaccinations and (newer) variants ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911410-japan-sees-fourth-wave-after-easing-restrictions[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911410-japan-sees-fourth-wave-after-easing-restrictionsThe resurgence is most pronounced where the order was lifted in early February, which implies the unsettling possibility that in the greater Tokyo metropolitan area — where the declaration was ended weeks later on March 22 — a delayed uptick is quickly approaching. 

DJ-"Olympic faillure of politics"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911411-turkey-tightens-restrictions-after-rise-in-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911411-turkey-tightens-restrictions-after-rise-in-cases ;ANKARA — Turkey is re-introducing weekend lockdowns in most provinces and will impose restrictions over the Muslim holy month of Ramadan following a sharp increase in COVID-19 cases.
Infections in Turkey have soared less than a month after authorities divided the 81 provinces into four color-coded categories and relaxed restrictions in some provinces under a “controlled normalization” effort.
The number of infections hit a record on Tuesday, with the Health Ministry confirming 37,303 new cases in the past 24 hours. 

DJ-No idea what mega-mix of variants are spreading there...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east/h5n1-tracking-ac/algeria-ad/906577-algeria-has-registered-a-hotbed-of-bird-flu-h5n8?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east/h5n1-tracking-ac/algeria-ad/906577-algeria-has-registered-a-hotbed-of-bird-flu-h5n8?view=stream DJ-Not if but when it will spread to other species...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FD54-7qc88[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FD54-7qc88 

DJ-We know a lot of how diseases start and spread. Finding samples of "early Covid19 virus outside China" raises questions. I do not believe there is a simple answer on how this pandemic did get started (or even where)... A political-cold war-agenda is not helping. In my view the Wuhan lockdown end of january 2020 was ingored by the west as a warning sign. Can this SARS-2 have escaped from a Wuhan-lab ? Maybe ! But top priority has to be getting this pandemic under control ! In my view this pandemic is man-made due to inaction on a global scale. 

Is it important that there is more study on "how it started"? Yes-but only if that study is meant to find the truth-not as a propaganda war. There was a big gap between the closest bat-coronavirus and SARS-2 virus. Can that gap get closed via recombination in a human or other species? 

There have been some other studies on "gain of function" on how fast, in what many steps-a virus in other species can become a serious pandemic risk. We know of several other virusses not that far away from "jumping species" ...maybe we have only been lucky so far...what we do see as "normal" in many ways being very abnormal-is diseases spreading the long term "normal"? 

See also [url]https://www.rt.com/op-ed/519735-us-china-covid-origin/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/op-ed/519735-us-china-covid-origin/ 

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 

DJ-Gets updated daily...

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/false-assertions-misleading-quotes-fake-sources-how-the-nyt-writes-anti-china-screeds.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/false-assertions-misleading-quotes-fake-sources-how-the-nyt-writes-anti-china-screeds.html 

DJ-China is in many ways already the leading global power. The US needs to stop that or face to be sidelined. In my opinion the best US answer should be in diplomacy. Still the US keeps making the same mistake by "sending in the army" while talking would do much better...In many ways (with the UK out of the EU) the EU is finding its own way-no longer following the US. Our €/Euro is competing with the US $ in many ways. 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 01 2021 at 9:20am

Yes, Josh, I noticed that.  Not a coincidence?  I can't explain it, but about a month or so ago, for a a couple weeks I was feeling this sense of impending doom and anxiety for the future.  I hoped it was a personal future, and not a collective future, and so took some measures in my private life to get some additional training vis-à-vis a future job.  Now, with the experts even expressing deep pessimism, I am rethinking the source of my prescience.

I am the DZ Queen, and I approve this message.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 01 2021 at 10:26pm

ViQueen24...we are facing a "pandemic monster"...It does not have a green skin or red eyes, does not breathe flames...The monster looks almost human...it is the action-or lack of it-making him/her that monster...

DJ

-This man-made pandemic could and should be over in 30 days ! An almost global lockdown could reduce the R0 for virus/variants far below 1. Global vaccinations could save most lives...it is a matter of choice. The choice for NOT stopping this pandemic makes it a genocide !

By "economy first" we are creating a "Permanent Pandemic Genocide" and that is totally unacceptable-one of the worst crimes in history because we know what we are doing ! We know what choices we make-and who pays the price ! 

The numbers-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ . Yesterday we did make a choice it was okay to see another 11,688 deaths, another over 700,000 new cases. It seems to be okay to see those new cases becoming new deaths in a few weeks...We know how to stop it but "the economy"...

And so the P1 variant goes on killing in Latin America, the P3 variant in SE Asia, the UK variant in most of Europe...New infections creating new variants...out of control because we do not want to control it...It is "okay" if some rich countries can protect their rich..let the rest get infected and die...

-FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911573-this-is-your-brain-on-pandemic-what-chronic-stress-is-doing-to-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911573-this-is-your-brain-on-pandemic-what-chronic-stress-is-doing-to-us ;Back in the 1980s, there was a public service announcement on TV that you may remember — or may have seen on YouTube.

A guy in a kitchen held up an egg and said, "This is your brain." Then he cracked the egg into a hot frying pan, and said, "This is your brain on drugs."
One year into this pandemic, your brain might be feeling a bit like that egg: Fried. "Everything is so much harder," said Stephanie Johnson, a client relationship executive at Sun Life who lives in Toronto. "I don't have the motivation that I used to have. I don't have the efficiency that I used to have."

"Defeated" is how Vas Smountas, a freelance graphic designer, describes it. Also living in Toronto, she describes herself these days as "tired, defeated, foggy, unmotivated." And research suggests those feelings are not uncommon right now, as the chronic stress of the pandemic has both affected our brains — and robbed us of normal, healthy ways to cope...

DJ-I did not see humans as the "best thing of creation"...we show to be self-destructive-this man-made pandemic is just another form of self-destruction. We are "the crazy animal"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911572-some-of-america-s-wealthiest-hospital-systems-ended-up-even-richer-thanks-to-federal-bailouts[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911572-some-of-america-s-wealthiest-hospital-systems-ended-up-even-richer-thanks-to-federal-bailouts  DJ-How much money can you "make" by investing in the military industrial complex and big pharma ? Is money not always going the wrong way ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/childhood-diseases/measles/911511-race-to-produce-covid-vaccine-may-cause-measles-jabs-shortage[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/childhood-diseases/measles/911511-race-to-produce-covid-vaccine-may-cause-measles-jabs-shortage ;Critical topics relating to immunization globally were discussed during a regular meeting last week by the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts, known as SAGE. Recommendations were made regarding the status of Ebola vaccines, as well as an oral polio vaccine, and COVID-19 vaccines undergoing evaluation. During this review, SAGE Chair Alejandro Cravioto said the experts raised concerns regarding the situation of vaccinations against measles and rubella.

“We are deeply worried that this had been stalled because of the COVID situation and we fear that if this is not properly looked at by each one of the countries that has not been able to vaccinate the children so far, we will be having problems with outbreaks of, especially measles. That is something that worries everybody and that we saw happening in 2019 in the very clearest way,” Cravioto said. Measles surged worldwide in 2019, reaching the highest number since 1996. Nearly 900,000 measles cases were reported, claiming more than 207,000 child lives, most in developing countries.

Director of the WHO’s Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals Kate O’Brien said she does not expect shortages of measles vaccine right now. However, she warned that could change because of the intense pressure to increase the manufacturing capacity of COVID-19 vaccine...

DJ At least it is good there are this kind of discussions...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/crimean-congo-fever/911527-pakistan-2021-crimean-congo-fever[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/crimean-congo-fever/911527-pakistan-2021-crimean-congo-fever ;A 25-year-old youngster Safdar, resident of Sarjani Town Karachi, was brought to Jinnah Hospital on suspicion of Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic fever, commonly referred to as Congo fever, on Wednesday, Dunya News reported.

According to Executive Director of Jinnah Hospital Dr Simi Jamali, the blood samples of the affected person were sent to laboratory for test and found positive for the disease. This is the second case of Congo virus this year in Karachi...

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean%E2%80%93Congo_hemorrhagic_fever[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean%E2%80%93Congo_hemorrhagic_fever ;

The CCHF virus is typically spread by tick bites or contact with livestock carrying the disease.[1] Groups that are at high risk of infection are farmers and those who work in slaughterhouses.[1] The virus can also spread between people via body fluids.[1] Diagnosis is by detecting antibodies, the virus's RNA, or the virus itself.[1] It is a type of viral hemorrhagic fever.[1]

Prevention involves avoiding tick bites.[1]vaccine is not commercially available.[1] Treatment is typically with supportive care.[1] The medication ribavirin may also help.[1]

It occurs in Africa, the Balkans, the Middle East, and Asia.[1] Often it occurs in outbreaks.[1] In 2013 Iran, Russia, Turkey, and Uzbekistan documented more than fifty cases.[2] The risk of death among those affected is between 10 and 40%.[1] It was first detected in the 1940s.[4]

DJ-You do not want such a disease in a mega-city like Karachi over 15 million people in the urban region..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911551-msphere-stability-of-sars-cov-2-spike-g614-variant-surpasses-that-of-the-d614-variant-after-cold-storage[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911551-msphere-stability-of-sars-cov-2-spike-g614-variant-surpasses-that-of-the-d614-variant-after-cold-storage ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) carrying the D614G mutation on the spike protein is the predominant circulating variant and is associated with enhanced infectivity. However, whether this dominant variant can potentially spread through the cold chain and whether the spike protein affects virus stability after cold storage remain unclear. To compare the infectivity of two SARS-CoV-2 variants, namely, SARS-CoV-2 variants with spike protein with the D614 mutation (S-D614) and G614 mutation (S-G614), after different periods of refrigeration (4°C) and freezing (-20°C). We also determined the integrity of the viral RNA and the ability of the spike protein to bind angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) after storage at these conditions. The results showed that SARS-CoV-2 was more stable and infectious after storage at -20°C than at 4°C.

-

IMPORTANCE It has been observed that variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are more stable and infectious after storage at -20°C than at 4°C. 

DJ-Fits in whit some claims from China...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911526-sci-rep-ivermectin-reduces-in-vivo-coronavirus-infection-in-a-mouse-experimental-model[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911526-sci-rep-ivermectin-reduces-in-vivo-coronavirus-infection-in-a-mouse-experimental-model ;

DJ-Bad news for big pharma share holders...so ignore it-there is much more money in new vaccines for new variants...pandemic as a money-machine !

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/west-using-polish-navy-and-submarines-to-intentionally-damage-russia-s-nordstream-2-pipeline-construction[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/west-using-polish-navy-and-submarines-to-intentionally-damage-russia-s-nordstream-2-pipeline-construction DJ-Is the UK or US destroying the German-Russian energy link ? [url]https://southfront.org/naval-provocations-unidentified-submarine-emerged-near-nord-stream-2-pipeline/[/url] or https://southfront.org/naval-provocations-unidentified-submarine-emerged-near-nord-stream-2-pipeline/ 

DJ Both Russia and China do know what a major war looks like-they both lost tens of millions in world war two. They both know civil war and the horror it brings...For the US wars are always thousends of miles away and bringing profit for some.

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/america-is-back-collides-with-a-multipolar-reality.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/america-is-back-collides-with-a-multipolar-reality.html 

Music-STOP In The Name Of Love [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aax5EDQMOq4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aax5EDQMOq4 The Supremes 1965


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 02 2021 at 10:51pm

DJ-I did just write a piece on NL in crisis in "latest news". "Our" PM is NOT a dictator, there is NOT YET a public uprising against politics failing to deal with this pandemic. But the Dutch political crisis may be similar to other crises in many countries. This pandemic worsening problems that were already there...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ these days will not reflect what is happening. Easter/good friday may see a lot of new cases. Still a top 5 of "new cases" is interesting;

At 1 now is India with almost 90,000 new cases. The US and Brazil almost end up with the same numbers-70,000. At #4 France and #5 Turkey...wonder what variants do cause the over 40,000 new cases there...

FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/911660-fossil-fuel-companies-took-billions-in-u-s-coronavirus-relief-funds-but-still-cut-nearly-60-000-jobs[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/911660-fossil-fuel-companies-took-billions-in-u-s-coronavirus-relief-funds-but-still-cut-nearly-60-000-jobs ; DJ-This shows exactly the political crisis I try to describe for NL...Those billions should NOT go to those companies ! How come politics keep sending "zillions" of tax payer money-WE have to pay for that !!!- to the very rich ? Answer-politics is made by the very rich ! 

The very rich own fossil fuel companies, military industrial, banks, big pharma-never waste a "good crisis". "To save the economy from the pandemic" WE end up even more poor, the rich even get more rich...and we are supposed to thank them because we survived a pandemic they did cause....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911657-concerns-about-sars-cov-2-evolution-should-not-hold-back-efforts-to-expand-vaccination[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911657-concerns-about-sars-cov-2-evolution-should-not-hold-back-efforts-to-expand-vaccination ; When vaccines are in limited supply, expanding the number of people who receive some vaccine, such as by halving doses or increasing the interval between doses, can reduce disease and mortality compared with concentrating available vaccine doses in a subset of the population. A corollary of such dose-sparing strategies is that the vaccinated individuals may have less protective immunity. Concerns have been raised that expanding the fraction of the population with partial immunity to SARS-CoV-2 could increase selection for vaccine-escape variants, ultimately undermining vaccine effectiveness. We argue that, although this is possible, preliminary evidence instead suggests such strategies should slow the rate of viral escape from vaccine or naturally induced immunity. As long as vaccination provides some protection against escape variants, the corresponding reduction in prevalence and incidence should reduce the rate at which new variants are generated and the speed of adaptation. Because there is little evidence of efficient immune selection of SARS-CoV-2 during typical infections, these population-level effects are likely to dominate vaccine-induced evolution.

DJ-Could we at least slow down restarting international airtravel ? Keep some NPI to stop spreading variants ? Vaccinations may increase asymptomatic spread ! The UK statistics on infected people needing more care after a few months recovery should be alarming ! We have been putting economy #1 for most of this pandemic and only made matters worse !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911628-nature-daily-briefing-evidence-that-cats-but-not-dogs-can-be-infected-with-the-coronavirus[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911628-nature-daily-briefing-evidence-that-cats-but-not-dogs-can-be-infected-with-the-coronavirus 

and 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911613-am-j-primatol-variation-in-predicted-covid-19-risk-among-lemurs-and-lorises[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911613-am-j-primatol-variation-in-predicted-covid-19-risk-among-lemurs-and-lorises 

DJ-Some animals may become a major reservoir for Covid19 variants. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911614-j-med-virol-unilateral-sub-macular-hemorrhage-novel-presentation-of-covid-19-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911614-j-med-virol-unilateral-sub-macular-hemorrhage-novel-presentation-of-covid-19-infection DJ-How covid19 may cause some problems in the eyes. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/immunity-aa/911603-clin-microbiol-infect-sars-cov-2-escape-mutants-and-protective-immunity-from-natural-infections-or-immunizations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/immunity-aa/911603-clin-microbiol-infect-sars-cov-2-escape-mutants-and-protective-immunity-from-natural-infections-or-immunizations ;Although coronaviruses have lower mutation rates than other respiratory RNA viruses, the scale of the pandemic has brought the importance of viral evolution for coronaviruses to centre stage. Three recently detected SARS-CoV-2 lineages (B.1.1.7, B.1.351, and P.1), have been scrutinized because they are unusually divergent and each possesses a unique constellation of mutations of potential biological importance, several of which are in the gene coding for the Spike protein. We briefly summarize the current knowledge on these variants, and their possible implications.

DJ-Maybe coronavirus in itself has a lower mutation rate-the problem is in the number of hosts getting infected...

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2  DJ Trying to follow variants...but there must be more variants and more widespread. Dealing with this pandemic is not top-priority making it a genocide....

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r00Hwu96i1k&t=65s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r00Hwu96i1k&t=65s Dr.John Campbell on the SA variant in Europe...(DJ-I am starting to dislike Dr.J.C. for his cold war blagh blagh/vaccine promotion-still he has good info....)

WAR 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/happening-now-heavy-artillery-fire-hits-luhansk[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/happening-now-heavy-artillery-fire-hits-luhansk and 

[url]https://southfront.org/kiev-scrambles-to-justify-the-incoming-storm/[/url] or https://southfront.org/kiev-scrambles-to-justify-the-incoming-storm/ 

DJ Ukraine/NATO shelling targets in East Ukraine to provoke action and then claim "Russian agression". One of the many western/US goals is to stop North/Turkstream Russian energy deals with the EU. Also "uniting Europe behind the US" and against China...

Music; Classical Gas-Mason Williams 1968 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3NE6X4IQNA4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3NE6X4IQNA4 

(Another interesting video [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hvpNG1FBXss[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hvpNG1FBXss on connecting Finland with the Baltics/EU via a tunnel-and the many aspects...Can China invest in such a tunnel ? )




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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 03 2021 at 10:17pm

DJ

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Easter[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Easter is named after the German godess [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C4%92ostre[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C4%92ostre . Basicly celebrating spring like [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yule[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yule celebrates days getting longer. 

[url]https://news.sky.com/story/police-shut-down-good-friday-church-service-and-threaten-worshippers-with-fines-12264608[/url] or https://news.sky.com/story/police-shut-down-good-friday-church-service-and-threaten-worshippers-with-fines-12264608 When the police has to come in to a church and end a chuchservice that is drastic. They only do that with permission from higher level...

If we want to stop this pandemic there is also a limit to religious activities...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (with some countries not reporting) show an alarming high number of new cases in India-almost 93,000 ! The Phillipines, Poland, Brazil, Italy-all very catholic-still make it to the top 10. Most likely easter will see new cases. Soon it will be ramadan-most likely increasing cases in other countries...

The mixing of variants creating new variants, spreading into animals, must be happening now-will be in the news over a few weeks. Also new cases up means increased deaths after 3 to 5 weeks. Some "media" reporting decrease of cases-not mentioning decrease of testing/reporting as the main reason...

-FluTrackers, reporting on lockdowns in France, Italy etc...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911676-am-j-blood-res-the-association-of-abo-blood-type-with-the-risk-and-severity-of-covid-19-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911676-am-j-blood-res-the-association-of-abo-blood-type-with-the-risk-and-severity-of-covid-19-infection ;Conclusion: We did not find an increased susceptibility of any blood type to COVID-19 infection, nor was there an increased risk of severe COVID-19 infection in any ABO blood types.

DJ-Should not be surprising...still good they did the investigation

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911671-emerg-infect-dis-genetic-evidence-and-host-immune-response-in-persons-reinfected-with-sars-cov-2-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911671-emerg-infect-dis-genetic-evidence-and-host-immune-response-in-persons-reinfected-with-sars-cov-2-brazil ; The dynamics underlying severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection remain poorly understood. We identified a small cluster of patients in Brazil who experienced 2 episodes of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in March and late May 2020. In the first episode, patients manifested an enhanced innate response compared with healthy persons, but neutralizing humoral immunity was not fully achieved. The second episode was associated with different SARS-CoV-2 strains, higher viral loads, and clinical symptoms. Our finding that persons with mild COVID-19 may have controlled SARS-CoV-2 replication without developing detectable humoral immunity suggests that reinfection is more frequent than supposed, but this hypothesis is not well documented.

DJ-Mild Covid does not provide enough immunity to protect against reinfection. Is going for one vaccination in people who did test positive for Covid19 earlier provide the best protection ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911663-eurosurv-prior-infection-by-seasonal-coronaviruses-as-assessed-by-serology-does-not-prevent-sars-cov-2-infection-and-disease-in-children-france-april-to-june-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911663-eurosurv-prior-infection-by-seasonal-coronaviruses-as-assessed-by-serology-does-not-prevent-sars-cov-2-infection-and-disease-in-children-france-april-to-june-2020 ; Children have a low rate of COVID-19 and secondary severe multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS) but present a high prevalence of symptomatic seasonal coronavirus infections.

Aim
We tested if prior infections by seasonal coronaviruses (HCoV) NL63, HKU1, 229E or OC43 as assessed by serology, provide cross-protective immunity against SARS-CoV-2 infection.

-

Conclusion
Prior infection by seasonal coronaviruses, as assessed by serology, does not interfere with SARS-CoV-2 infection and related MIS in children.

DJ-Proberbly not the end of this discussion-we may see studies on large groups-why did Covid19 strike harder in some groups ? From vitamin D to social behavior...a big puzzle.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911662-eurosurv-linked-transmission-chains-of-imported-sars-cov-2-variant-b-1-351-across-mainland-france-january-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911662-eurosurv-linked-transmission-chains-of-imported-sars-cov-2-variant-b-1-351-across-mainland-france-january-2021 ; Two cases of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection with the B.1.351 variant were reported in France in mid-January, 2021. These cases attended a gathering in Mozambique in mid-December 2020. Investigations led to the identification of five imported cases responsible for 14 transmission chains and a total 36 cases. Epidemiological characteristics seemed comparable to those described before the emergence of the South African variant B.1.351. The lack of tertiary transmission outside of the personal sphere suggests that distancing and barrier measures were effective.

DJ-With the old variant up to 60% a/pre symptomatic spread finding out how variants spread is important. Do they spread even more a/presymptomatic ? 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EinK845Twgs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EinK845Twgs 

DJ-Of course Dr.J.C. "may forget to mention" the UK already did have the UK variant. I do think UK vaccination-one shot-strategy- does offer more protection to more people. But it is hard to get good conclusions since most other countries only now deal with the UK variant-and that variant was a major problem in the UK end of 2020. 

There has also been a study on how "good vaccines" protect against virus spread. The head of the Dutch CDC had a remark on a weak spot there-the study was done in a (HCW-ers) population were ALL were vaccinated ! 

In general it is very welcome that vaccines DO offer good protection against severe disease. But why the endless discussion on the not for profit AstraZeneca/Oxford vaccine ? It is cheap and effective, safe !!!! (Just like Ivermectin) Does greed play a role ? False competition by Pfizer and Moderna-both very expensive vaccines ? 

The outcome is more room for Sputnik-V, SinoVac etc...I do not know if Pfizer, Moderna will be happy with that ?  Because

WAR is priority #1...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/former-us-official-terrorist-group-in-syria-is-an-asset-to-us-strategy.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/former-us-official-terrorist-group-in-syria-is-an-asset-to-us-strategy.html  DJ-A "good terrorist" follows US orders...(DJ-The 9-11 2001 attacks on the US are "burned into my memory"-"normal people like me murdered by crazy people in the name of an insane religion"...but I also remember the last moments of a small farmer in Nicaragua murdered by the contra's with CIA-knives...I can not forger "who financed hitler" IBM providing the "administration machines"for the holocaust...Is "evil" another word for "greed" ? How much evil is in this pandemic ? And how much "evil" is in each one of us ? We are all imperfect humans-most of us doing the best they can to be of meaning...)

[url]https://www.debka.com/ex-crown-prince-of-jordan-detained-over-alleged-coup-bid-against-the-king/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/ex-crown-prince-of-jordan-detained-over-alleged-coup-bid-against-the-king/

The foiled coup and arrests are an earthquake for the Arab world and bring to the fore the ancient rift between the Saudi royal house and the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, whose legitimacy the House of Saudi has historically challenged.

Jordan’s powerful intelligence agency, which has a pervasive influence in the kingdom’s public life, has played a bigger public role since the introduction of emergency laws at the outset of the coronavirus pandemic last year, which civic groups say violate civil and political rights.

DJ-Both "kings" of Jordan and Saudi Arabia claim to have some "divine genetics"...People should know their limits and responsibilities...do not follow leaders with eyes closed. See also [url]https://southfront.org/coup-detat-prevented-in-jordan-royal-family-members-reportedly-arrested/[/url] or https://southfront.org/coup-detat-prevented-in-jordan-royal-family-members-reportedly-arrested/ (DJ-Saudi Arabia is "owned" by its "royals"...No doubt they "would welcome" getting more grip on Jordan-that manages to stay out of regional wars the best they can. Yes-there are NATO forces in Jordan fighting Iran and Russia in Syria...(claiming to fight IS-but NATO is working with IS)..The outcome of yet another failed coup (like the one in Turkey) could be Jordan seeking "protection" from the providers of info-Russia ? A Saudi coup attempt in Jordan IS a US coup attempt in Jordan !)

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bbc-broadcast-simulates-nuclear-war-between-nato-russia-from-january-2018-mentions-syria-and-ukraine-as-basis-for-start-of-the-war[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bbc-broadcast-simulates-nuclear-war-between-nato-russia-from-january-2018-mentions-syria-and-ukraine-as-basis-for-start-of-the-war DJ-A modern war has much more drones-both for intel (the camera filming live enemy trenches) and fighting. Turkey has been testing their (and Israeli ?) drones in the recent-short-Armenia-Azarbaijan war. Turkey will be a main player in the Ukraine...maybe "hidden" as a NATO "partner" "advising" Ukraine/Kiev forces. (DJ-A bit of world war two scenario with "bad russia" attacking/invading Europe...) 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-army-drone-drops-bomb-on-five-year-old-child-dead[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-army-drone-drops-bomb-on-five-year-old-child-dead DJ-Both propaganda and truth. Ukraine will go on killing Russians to provoke a Russian reaction-and then get NATO help against "Russian agression"... The US idea behind it is to stop the EU from doing deals with Russia and China-getting Europe under US control...WE-in the EU-are the US target ! [url]https://southfront.org/artillery-fire-drone-attacks-child-killed-did-war-in-ukraine-begin-videos-map-update/[/url] or https://southfront.org/artillery-fire-drone-attacks-child-killed-did-war-in-ukraine-begin-videos-map-update/ 

DJ-In september Angela Merkel will be replaced by a member of the CSU in Germany-more right wing nationalistic...and possibly more anti-US...(I did read some US..... that Merkel was anti-US...of course the NSA hacking her phone did not help but if some in the US think Merkel is anti-US you "aint seen nothing yet"-most Germans "welcome" US forces getting out of Germany ! For most Europeans it is clear the refugee-crisis was the outcome of US wars...)

The US restarting the war in Ukraine may backfire...most of western Europe is already fed up with US endless wars and arrogance ! The idea that D.C. can tell us in the EU NOT to buy energy from Russia or Iran, goods from China-or vaccines from both, has become insulting ! 

Music-If You Could Read My Mind-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fT_J-LNqVvw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fT_J-LNqVvw Gordon Lightfoot


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 03 2021 at 10:51pm

I notice on Worldometers that the seven day trends for both cases and deaths are rising, with the death curve lagging a bit behind.  it does look as things will get worse worldwide.  


Any thoughts on the political stability in Eastern Europe?  They seem to be getting hammered very,very hard. 

My daughter and her husband just moved from England to the Czech Republic for his job - the move was delayed almost three months due to covid restrictions and Brexit complications.  The move could have taken even longer if my daughter did not have an EU passport (her man got in as a "spouse of an EU-citizen").

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DJ-EdwinSm, a look at a few Eastern European countries;

-Poland-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/poland/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/poland/ looking at daily new cases they are in the middle of the worst part of this pandemic since last month. The november 23 over 37,000 new cases may be an outcome of corrections. Since march 25 daily cases hardly go under 35,000 new cases per day on a population of 37,8 million. 

Like many countries Poland is divided in many ways. Its government has been for the last years catholic extremist-mostly backed by the more rural area's-anti EU. The opposition is much less/not catholic-pro EU and much more urban. 

In this video [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eGEX_LTqhQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eGEX_LTqhQ "Why does Belgium exist" a basic answer is NOT given. The UK, France, Germany-and even NL could not agree on who could have what part of Belgium...In history Poland often got divided by Germany and Russia. Even Sweden did drop by in the past...After world war 1 in the chaos Polish nationalists were fighting even close to Kiev-Ukraine...(with Bolsheviks, Ukraine nationalists, other groups). Allthough religion is a point of difference Poland and Ukraine have close relations and a shared anti-Russian sentiment. They both hate Russians almost as much as Koreans are united in their hate against Japan...

[url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709486,Poland-reports-28073-new-coronavirus-cases-571-more-deaths[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709486,Poland-reports-28073-new-coronavirus-cases-571-more-deaths ; DJ-The UK variant was imported from the UK after Brexit forced a lot of EU citizen out of the UK. 

[url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709299,Stay-at-home-over-Easter-PM-urges-Poles[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709299,Stay-at-home-over-Easter-PM-urges-Poles and [url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709176,Polish-police-step-up-road-patrols-over-Easter[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709176,Polish-police-step-up-road-patrols-over-Easter 

DJ-Family meetings at easter, christmas did raise the spread of virus/variants...

[url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7785/Artykul/2709013,US-military-raises-threat-level-for-Ukraine-as-Russia-builds-up-forces-report[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7785/Artykul/2709013,US-military-raises-threat-level-for-Ukraine-as-Russia-builds-up-forces-report DJ-Ukraine is (officially) not in NATO. A lot of the NATO weapons for the Ukraine war go via Poland.  Also in Poland there are "militant right wing armed militia traininggroups" very anti-Russian-possibly some of them fighting in Ukraine. 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/501.V2_variant#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/501.V2_variant#Statistics Poland has 8 SA variant cases reported. And [url] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics 0 P1 variant cases-since the borders with Germany (etc) are wide open and a lot of Polish workers still may go to their family from western Europe other variants are likely to spread. 

-Ukraine [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/ukraine/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/ukraine/ this third wave is hitting Ukraine much harder then previous waves. In many ways Ukraine is bankrupt. One source of income was energy transport from Russia to the EU. [url]https://www.unian.info/society/cossack-mace-2021-military-from-five-nato-states-to-take-part-in-ukrainian-british-drills-11376019.html[/url] or https://www.unian.info/society/cossack-mace-2021-military-from-five-nato-states-to-take-part-in-ukrainian-british-drills-11376019.html (US, UK, Poland, Romania are mentioned-Turkey is also involved in the war with Russia.) 

[url]https://www.unian.info/kyiv/covid-19-in-kyiv-mayor-reports-over-1-100-new-cases-46-fatalities-news-kyiv-11374909.html[/url] or https://www.unian.info/kyiv/covid-19-in-kyiv-mayor-reports-over-1-100-new-cases-46-fatalities-news-kyiv-11374909.html ;"As of today, the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the city is 164,605."

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyiv[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyiv on a population of around 3 million over 5% did test positive. [url]https://covid.unian.info/covid-19-in-ukraine-daily-high-beats-record-second-day-in-row-with-over-20-000-cases-reported-april-3-11375704.html[/url] or https://covid.unian.info/covid-19-in-ukraine-daily-high-beats-record-second-day-in-row-with-over-20-000-cases-reported-april-3-11375704.html DJ- I remember reading an Ukraine blog over a flu-outbreak also getting out of hand years ago...the official numbers only indicate how bad the real situation is. There are no reports of the SA or P1 variant in Ukraine (Dr.J.C. would see that as "good news". But testing is "limited" 19% of the population did get tested...Since this country is run by a corrupt criminal elite it is very likely "useless people and Russians" have limited chance of survival...

-Czechia [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/czech-republic/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/czech-republic/ is getting out of a third wave...In many ways earlier waves did hit harder. 

[url]https://praguemorning.cz/dpp-will-start-sampling-for-covid-on-public-transport-surfaces/[/url] or https://praguemorning.cz/dpp-will-start-sampling-for-covid-on-public-transport-surfaces/ 

[url]https://www.expats.cz/czech-news/article/czech-weekend-news-in-brief-top-stories-for-april-4-2021[/url] or https://www.expats.cz/czech-news/article/czech-weekend-news-in-brief-top-stories-for-april-4-2021 News on vaccination problems sound familiar. The 10,7 million population did see over 13 million tests...[url]https://english.radio.cz/[/url] or https://english.radio.cz/ ; Czech republic to get 80,000 vaccines from Austria, Hungary and Slovenia ...good news, friendly country...

-Turkey [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/turkey/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/turkey/ statistics are alarming ! [url]https://www.dailysabah.com/life/health/turkeys-nasal-spray-vaccine-works-against-covid-19s-uk-variant[/url] or https://www.dailysabah.com/life/health/turkeys-nasal-spray-vaccine-works-against-covid-19s-uk-variant It is very likely several variants are spreading in Turkey. Statistics show 5 P1 cases, 112 SA cases...but Iran could have their own variant-possibly spreading into Turkey. [url]http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-02/16/c_139746609.htm[/url] or http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-02/16/c_139746609.htm 

DJ-My impression is that some East European countries (Ukraine-but maybe even Poland, Romania) may be not doing much better then Latin America, South Asia. They report more testing/cases then Africa-but that does not mean the situation is much better...Some other "Central European countries" Austria, Hungary, Slovakia, Czechia are as good as-or maybe even better then some western European countries. A lot of them go for "the vaccines they can get" and are increasing vaccinations after a slow start. 

Problem for Poland, Romania, Ukraine, Turkey is they have a lot of their work force in western Europe-now often running out of a job. People living in "the West" sending money to family are an important aspect of income for these countries-so the pandemic may hit them even harder. A lack of tourism may even give an extra problem for Greece, Turkey...



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DJ

In latest news some discussion on readmitting  1 in 3 people in the UK after "recovery". Within four monts a lot of them need hospitalcare again-1 in 8 die...The rest of the world soon will see this as a reality-lots of long Covid-cases...

The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ a top 5 for new cases has India at #1 with over 100,000 new cases in just one day...France-in lockdown-over 60,000 new cases, followed by Turkey with over 40,000 new cases...US and Brazil are #4 and #5-most likely less testing reporting due to easter...

Here in NL some "experts" believe "our third wave" may be less extreme-because lower numbers...forgetting lower testing means lower number of new cases...Here we also have a discussion on reopening of terraces to avoid overcrowded parks...the sense of urgency to deal with the virus is missing even more. Vaccinations remain problematic, chaotic-with the AZ/O vaccine stopped-more or less-for no good reason ... The Dutch/German border is shut [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/04/travelers-netherlands-germany-must-show-negative-covid-test-border[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/04/travelers-netherlands-germany-must-show-negative-covid-test-border unless recent testing and a very good reason to cross the border..

[url]https://www.rt.com/usa/520109-biden-covid19-fourth-wave/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/usa/520109-biden-covid19-fourth-wave/ ;

White House health advisor Michael Osterholm has admitted a “message” problem on Covid-19 and what activities vaccinated people can now do, while also raising concerns about a “fourth wave.”

Confronted about public confusion over whether air travel is safe or mask-wearing is still required for those who have been vaccinated against the virus, Osterholm, who is on the White House Covid-19 advisory board, warned that vaccinations are not complete protection

-

Though he claimed a “bright future” could be ahead as soon as this summer as far as Covid-19 restrictions being lifted, Osterholm also warned of Covid variants creating a “new pandemic” and a “fourth wave” of surging cases, though he says vaccines have been successfully combating variants at the moment.

“I believe that, in some ways, we're almost in a new pandemic,” he told Fox News. “The only good news is that the current vaccines are effective against this particular variant B.1.1.7.” he said, noting the variant could be more prevalent in spreading among children.

DJ-Even the UK variant(=B.1.1.7.) sometimes had the "EEK" mutation making vaccines less effective. 

-FluTracker;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911739-china-reports-highest-daily-covid-19-cases-in-more-than-2-months-reported-numbers-still-tiny-32-new-total-cases-for-april-5-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911739-china-reports-highest-daily-covid-19-cases-in-more-than-2-months-reported-numbers-still-tiny-32-new-total-cases-for-april-5-2021 ; BEIJING: China reported its biggest daily jump in new COVID-19 cases in more than two months, as a city on the border with Myanmar in southwestern Yunnan province accounted for all new local cases.

DJ-It is one of my biggest fears; those countries that managed to keep damage limited could still run into serious problems. China did start vaccinating its population-high speed. Proberbly hundreds of millions already vaccinated in the "easy area's" (Cities and surroundings). The more remote area's may be more problematic. See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/892912-china-border-areas-in-the-wartime-state-of-epidemic-prevention-in-yunnan-province-after-2-people-from-myanmar-are-positive-for-covid-19-coronavirus-september-15-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/892912-china-border-areas-in-the-wartime-state-of-epidemic-prevention-in-yunnan-province-after-2-people-from-myanmar-are-positive-for-covid-19-coronavirus-september-15-2020 latest..Gong Yunzun, Party chief of Ruili, said at a press briefing on Saturday that the viruses from 14 COVID-19 cases reported in the city are very similar in their gene sequencing results, suggesting that they came from the same transmission source.

Gong said the viruses belong to the same group as those reported by Myanmar, adding that the virus gene sequencing results of 10 of the cases are exactly the same. No virus mutation has been found.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-tracking-guinea/907086-guinea-ebola-outbreak-2021-22-cases-including-12-deaths?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-tracking-guinea/907086-guinea-ebola-outbreak-2021-22-cases-including-12-deaths?view=stream latest activity-a village banned health care underlining the urgent need for good communications..

Flutrackers also mentions H5N8, H5N1 cases (a.o.) in India, H5N6 recently in Vietnam, Cholera in Nigeria, Measles in Afghanistan...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911720-covid-19-hospitalizations-icu-admissions-and-deaths-associated-with-the-new-variants-of-concern[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911720-covid-19-hospitalizations-icu-admissions-and-deaths-associated-with-the-new-variants-of-concern ; New variants of concern (VOCs) now account for 67% of all Ontario SARS-CoV-2 infections. Compared with early variants of SARS-CoV-2, VOCs are associated with a 63% increased risk of hospitalization, a 103% increased risk of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and a 56% increased risk of death due to COVID-19.

-

The number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 is now 21% higher than at the start of the province-wide lockdown, while ICU occupancy is 28% higher (Figure 1). The percentage of COVID-19 patients in ICUs who are younger than 60 years is about 50% higher now than it was prior to the start of the province-wide lockdown.

Because the increased risk of COVID-19 hospitalization, ICU admission and death with VOCs is most pronounced 14 to 28 days after diagnosis, there will be significant delays until the full burden to the health care system becomes apparent.

DJ-These statistics explain why wave three is this much harder...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911719-troubling-eek-variant-found-in-most-tokyo-hospital-covid-cases-nhk[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911719-troubling-eek-variant-found-in-most-tokyo-hospital-covid-cases-nhk ;TOKYO (Reuters) - Around 70% of coronavirus patients tested at a Tokyo hospital last month carried a mutation known for reducing vaccine protection, Japanese public broadcaster NHK said on Sunday.

The E484K mutation, nicknamed “Eek” by some scientists, was found in 10 of 14 people who tested positive for the virus at Tokyo Medical and Dental University Medical Hospital in March, the report said.

DJ-The "EEK mutation" is also in the SA, P1 and P3 variant-out of control...

-DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#E484K[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#E484K keeps showing up all over the globe...also in India. Most vaccines offer-at best- less protection against this mutation. What further to expect has to do with many factors. The most important one is human behavior-and that does not look promissing...

As long as Covid19-variants find hosts it will reproduce and mutate-create newer variants. Since vaccinations go much to slow variants get all the time to "develop" around vaccine immuntity. A vaccine-resistent variant is seen as very likely by most experts. Since coronavirusses in animals are believed to be "good"in recombination (maybe that is how this pandemic started jumping from bats-via another host-to humans) it is impossible to predict what variants we soon may see... The Tanzania variant with 31 mutations may give a hint...It is very likely that the more mutations a new variant has the less likely immunity (via infection or vaccine) will be effective...

Still dealing with this pandemic is NOT top priority but 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/british-newspaper-headline-world-war-in-four-weeks-diplomat-too-a-war-with-russia-is-being-worked-out[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/british-newspaper-headline-world-war-in-four-weeks-diplomat-too-a-war-with-russia-is-being-worked-out referring to [url]https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/14540392/russian-troops-tanks-ukraine-war-2-2/[/url] or https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/14540392/russian-troops-tanks-ukraine-war-2-2/ 

DJ-I hate "fear-porn"...but one has to face problems to solve them. The US is very likely to plan to stop EurAsia integration. Wars in the Middle East and Ukraine are "designed" for that goal. I think it is very likely the Pentagon is planning a major conflict between NATO and Russia in the Ukraine and Syria. Of course the US story is "Russian agression". Why NATO has to be in the Ukraine, Afghanistan in their opinion is "normal"...

One could discuss what dies first in case of war; truth or plans...Since in the US most of decisionmakers have "their own view of history" and "reality" the idea of a war with Russia already is based on an illusion. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-iran-announces-nato-killer-missile[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-iran-announces-nato-killer-missile If (after the NAzi's and NApoleon) NATO "wants to liberate Russian oil and gas" the US will face Russia, Iran, China (etc). 

Last year we did see Greece, France, Italy close to conflict with Turkey...Most of Europe want Russian energy and China trade. Here in Europe we would like to see the Iran-deal work and know it was the US that did destroy that deal...

[url]https://southfront.org/on-high-alert-jordanian-warplane-spotted-along-syrian-border-video/[/url] or https://southfront.org/on-high-alert-jordanian-warplane-spotted-along-syrian-border-video/ Since KSA/US most likely was behind the Jordan coup-attempt and you can not leave the air force out of a coup "we may have to see how things develop"...Both the US and KSA "would welcome" Jordan more active against Assad/Iran..Did Russia warn the government for the KSA/US plans (like they did in Turkey ?) [url]https://www.rt.com/news/520099-jordan-palace-plot-confirmed/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/news/520099-jordan-palace-plot-confirmed/ 

DJ-One of the big questions is how Turkey/Russia relations will develop. It is very likely Erdogan and Putin discussed Ukraine several times. Turkey did increase its influence in the Ukraine-a.o. with new weapons (Drones used in the war with Armenia). Both Turkey and Ukraine have "a problem"with the EU. Russia did set up an alternative [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurasian_Economic_Union[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurasian_Economic_Union . China may be willing to invest...

I would not be surprised if both Turkey and Ukraine turned their back to the west and joined some EurAsian-plan (with also-via Russia-a role for India). 

Music; Black (almost) psychedelic rock ! The Chambers Brothers- Time Has Come Today [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIqwzQ7g-Cc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIqwzQ7g-Cc 1967 [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chambers_Brothers[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chambers_Brothers 

 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 05 2021 at 10:29pm

DJ.

-A look at the numbers-most of all it gives an indication on testing/reporting during easter [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ . New cases list has India on top with again close to a 100,000 new cases. In the top 10 Turkey at #3, Iran at #5-all UK variant ? How widespread are other variants in that region ? How good/bad is sequencing ? At #6 Argentina-most likely P1 and UK variant ? #7 France, #8 Italy-both reporting-at easter-just over 10,000 new cases-most of them will be the UK variant. Canada is at #9 and Colombia at #10 in the new cases top 10.

This pandemic is far from over ! In the total cases UK is at #6 with 2762 new cases. Israel at #27 with 356 new cases. For now vaccines show they can reduce number of new cases-and that is good and very welcome news ! Both countries try to keep new variants out. No need to test vaccine gained herd immunity ! 

The bad news is of course vaccinations in many parts of the globe remain problematic. The Astra Zeneca-non profit-vaccine is linked with a very small chance of trombosis. Since the idea is vaccines may cause such a reaction in otherwise healthy people they stop using the vaccine for many...in that way increasing risks of Covid19/SARS-2 infection...

[url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2021/04/articles/animals/cats/critiquing-early-covid-19-posts-the-good-bad-and-ugly/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2021/04/articles/animals/cats/critiquing-early-covid-19-posts-the-good-bad-and-ugly/ ;

DJ-Good retrospective story !

-FluTrackers; (168 links I will do my best-but the number of articles reflect not only a short stop due to easter but also major new developments-proberbly NOT good !)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911886-iran-media-report-health-ministry-announces-the-loss-of-control-of-covid-19-after-the-spread-of-the-new-strain-april-5-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911886-iran-media-report-health-ministry-announces-the-loss-of-control-of-covid-19-after-the-spread-of-the-new-strain-april-5-2021 ;According to IRNA, the Iranian official said: "Today we lost the initiative in controlling the Corona pandemic in the country, our conditions have become very difficult and it is not known when we will be able to control this stubborn and unruly virus again."

He added, "We are facing the worst waves of Corona ... before the celebrations of the beginning of the new year, no one listened to us in order to control movement and travel between cities, and today we face a very serious problem."

Iran had announced that a fourth wave of the Coronavirus pandemic had begun to spread in the western and central regions of the country as a result of large-scale travel and celebrations during the Iranian New Year holiday.

DJ-There have been stories about an Iranian variant. According to researchers at University College London, the Pangolin variant of the virus is about 100x as infectious as the currently circulating human ones, so a much more dangerous version.is possible. ( https://www.newscientist.com/article...-can-they-get/ ).
Hopefully Iran is not seeing early signs of such an emergence.

I notice in the Iran stories the mention of hearthdisease linked to Covid...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911923-cidrap-india-and-other-covid-hot-spots-set-more-daily-case-records[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911923-cidrap-india-and-other-covid-hot-spots-set-more-daily-case-records ; Over the weekend, new daily infections in India crossed 100,000 cases for the first time, with cases soaring higher in other places, such as the Philippines and Ukraine.
Meanwhile, upticks in activity have other countries worrying about the start of fourth surges.

-

In Bangladesh, on India's eastern border, the country began a weeklong national lockdown following a sharp rise in cases. A recent situation report from the World Health Organization said Bangladesh's cases were up 85% compared to the previous week.

Countries brace for the start of new surges

Experts in Japan are worried that they may be seeing the start of a fourth wave, due to more transmissible variants, with the Tokyo Summer Olympics just 109 days away, according to Reuters.
In Osaka, the country's current epicenter, record high cases triggered a 1-month lockdown.
South Korea has reported more than 500 cases for the fifth day in a row, prompting a warning from the health minister that the nation may be facing a fourth wave, according to CNN.
In the Middle East, Iran's health ministry said today that the country has entered its fourth wave, with activity widespread and moving eastward from the midwestern parts of the country to the east, according to the CNN.
So far, 88 cities are "red zone" areas, and the health ministry said it had been expecting cases to rise following people's return from holiday gatherings, including the Persian New Year, which began on Mar 21.

DJ-Since India has a population of almost 1,4 billion, Bangla Desh 166 million, Phillippines 111 million, Mexico 130 million Covid variants out of control there-on top of Brazil with a population of 214 million will see millions of new cases/deaths...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911922-cidrap-studies-detail-large-covid-outbreaks-at-us-prisons-jails[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911922-cidrap-studies-detail-large-covid-outbreaks-at-us-prisons-jails ; A related study led by Cook County Health researchers and published late last week in The American Journal of Infection Control, described a nearly 1,000-person COVID-19 outbreak in a Chicago-area jail from Mar 1 to Apr 30, 2020.
Over that time, 628 detainees (50%) and 279 staff tested positive for coronavirus. Of the inmates, 76.3% had symptoms at testing.
"Less than 2 months after the first COVID-19 case was identified in [Cook County Jail], almost 1,000 detained persons and staff had been infected with SARS-CoV-2," the authors said. "This represents an [attack rate] of nearly 13% among detained persons and occurred despite early adoption of containment and mitigation practices." Attack rate is the chance that a person infected with COVID-19 will spread the virus to another person.
But after all programs and visitations were stopped on Mar 9, cells were converted to single occupancy units on Mar 26, staff were screened for fever and symptoms on Mar 28, and universal face coverings were mandated for personnel on Apr 2 and for inmates on Apr 13, cases began falling at the same time as those in the surrounding community rose.

DJ-Yet another reason the US has to "rethink" its "justice" (or lack of it) system with 25% of all world wide prisoners in US jails ! The human rights situation in the US is shocking and unacceptable !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/911914-epidemiologic-evidence-for-airborne-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-during-church-singing-australia-2020-cdc[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/911914-epidemiologic-evidence-for-airborne-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-during-church-singing-australia-2020-cdc ;

An outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection occurred among church attendees after an infectious chorister sang at multiple services. We detected 12 secondary case-patients. Video recordings of the services showed that case-patients were seated in the same section, >15 m from the primary case-patient, without close physical contact, suggesting airborne transmission.
DJ-Goes further than singing in church but also tells about sports, dance events etc...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911913-ranking-the-risk-of-animal-to-human-spillover-for-newly-discovered-viruses-pnas[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911913-ranking-the-risk-of-animal-to-human-spillover-for-newly-discovered-viruses-pnasWe then developed a risk ranking framework and interactive web tool, SpillOver, that estimates a risk score for wildlife-origin viruses, creating a comparative risk assessment of viruses with uncharacterized zoonotic spillover potential alongside those already known to be zoonotic. Using data from testing 509,721 samples from 74,635 animals as part of a virus discovery project and public records of virus detections around the world, we ranked the spillover potential of 887 wildlife viruses. Validating the risk assessment, the top 12 were known zoonotic viruses, including SARS-CoV-2. Several newly detected wildlife viruses ranked higher than known zoonotic viruses. 

DJ-"One health" what happens in (other) animals can reach us...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911880-us-massachusetts-new-covid-19-variant-spikes-to-58-cases-after-cape-cod-outbreaks-april-4-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911880-us-massachusetts-new-covid-19-variant-spikes-to-58-cases-after-cape-cod-outbreaks-april-4-2021 ;Massachusetts has reported more cases of the new P.1 COVID-19 variant — which has been associated with increased transmissibility and possible re-infection — than anywhere else in the U.S., and local researchers said the spike is concerning.

The bulk of those cases, they added, are linked to a cluster on Cape Cod.

Of the 58 known positive cases of the P.1 variant in Mass., according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 50 have been identified in Barnstable County.

DJ The P1-Brazil variant spreading in the US is very bad news ! Sequencing capacity is not easy to increase to what is needed, but maybe it can get "stretched to the maximum". If you know you have to look for a specific variant (like the P1) more search can be done to at least find P1 cases and slow down that spread !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911821-medicina-kaunas-sars-cov-2-detection-in-fecal-sample-from-a-patient-with-typical-findings-of-covid-19-pneumonia-on-ct-but-negative-to-multiple-sars-cov-2-rt-pcr-tests-on-oropharyngeal-and-nasopharyngeal-swab-samples[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911821-medicina-kaunas-sars-cov-2-detection-in-fecal-sample-from-a-patient-with-typical-findings-of-covid-19-pneumonia-on-ct-but-negative-to-multiple-sars-cov-2-rt-pcr-tests-on-oropharyngeal-and-nasopharyngeal-swab-samples ;Herein, we report the case of a 43-years-old man with a strong clinical suspicion of COVID-19, who resulted in being negative to multiple severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RT-PCR tests performed on different oropharyngeal and nasopharyngeal swabs, despite serology having confirmed the presence of SARS-CoV-2 IgM. The patient underwent a chest computed tomography (CT) that showed typical imaging findings of COVID-19 pneumonia. The presence of viral SARS-CoV-2 was confirmed only by performing a SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test on stool. Performing of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test on fecal samples can be a rapid and useful approach to confirm COVID-19 diagnosis in cases where there is an apparent discrepancy between COVID-19 clinical symptoms coupled with chest CT and SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR tests' results on samples from the upper respiratory tract.

DJ-Sounds like the Finland test-evading variant. It is very likely some new variants may escape/evade PCR testing-maybe get a chance to spread further undetected. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911814-vaccines-basel-soluble-spike-dna-vaccine-provides-long-term-protective-immunity-against-sars-cov-2-in-mice-and-nonhuman-primates[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911814-vaccines-basel-soluble-spike-dna-vaccine-provides-long-term-protective-immunity-against-sars-cov-2-in-mice-and-nonhuman-primates 

DJ Vaccinating large groups of animals may need new ways to spread the vaccine. Maybe we can learn of easier ways to increase protection in large human population. Can you spread the vaccine via a spray and send large groups trough a "spray zone" ? (They are testing nasal sprays as way of vaccination). We have to increase the speed of vaccination !!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911804-diagnostics-basel-a-s-imple-a-ffordable-r-apid-s-tabilized-co-lorimetric-v-ersatile-rt-lamp-assay-to-detect-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911804-diagnostics-basel-a-s-imple-a-ffordable-r-apid-s-tabilized-co-lorimetric-v-ersatile-rt-lamp-assay-to-detect-sars-cov-2The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has forced all countries worldwide to rapidly develop and implement widespread testing to control and manage the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). reverse-transcription (RT)-qPCR is the gold standard molecular diagnostic method for COVID-19, mostly in automated testing platforms. These systems are accurate and effective, but also costly, time-consuming, high-technological, infrastructure-dependent, and currently suffer from commercial reagent supply shortages. The reverse-transcription loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RT-LAMP) can be used as an alternative testing method. Here, we present a novel versatile (real-time and colorimetric) RT-LAMP for the simple (one-step), affordable (~1.7 €/sample), and rapid detection of SARS-CoV-2 targeting both ORF1ab and N genes of the novel virus genome. We demonstrate the assay on RT-qPCR-positive clinical samples, obtaining most positive results under 25 min. In addition, a novel 30-min one-step drying protocol has been developed to stabilize the RT-LAMP reaction mixtures, allowing them to be stored at room temperature functionally for up to two months, as predicted by the Q10. This Dry-RT-LAMP methodology is suitable for potentially ready-to-use COVID-19 diagnosis. After further testing and validation, it could be easily applied both in developed and in low-income countries yielding rapid and reliable results.

DJ-Even after mass vaccination-maybe in new ways not as good at individual level-but at least "high speed"!!! good, rapid, testing will be needed. The earlier detected the better disease may be controlled...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/preparedness-ab/911799-int-j-environ-res-public-health-disasters-without-borders-the-coronavirus-pandemic-global-climate-change-and-the-ascendancy-of-gradual-onset-disasters[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/preparedness-ab/911799-int-j-environ-res-public-health-disasters-without-borders-the-coronavirus-pandemic-global-climate-change-and-the-ascendancy-of-gradual-onset-disasters 

DJ-Proberbly the worst disasters are "slow disasters"like pandemics, climate change. But the defenition of "disaster" may need to change so we can prepare better for these much worse-slow disasters !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/other-coronavirus/911793-viruses-limited-genetic-diversity-detected-in-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-related-coronavirus-variants-circulating-in-dromedary-camels-in-jordan[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/other-coronavirus/911793-viruses-limited-genetic-diversity-detected-in-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-related-coronavirus-variants-circulating-in-dromedary-camels-in-jordan ;  Full genome sequence data from camel-derived MERS-CoV variants show diverse lineages circulating in domestic camels with frequent recombination. More than 90% of the available full MERS-CoV genome sequences derived from camels are from just two countries, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and United Arab Emirates (UAE). In this study, we employ a novel method to amplify and sequence the partial MERS-CoV genome with high sensitivity from nasal swabs of infected camels. We recovered more than 99% of the MERS-CoV genome from field-collected samples with greater than 500 TCID50 equivalent per nasal swab from camel herds sampled in Jordan in May 2016. Our subsequent analyses of 14 camel-derived MERS-CoV genomes show a striking lack of genetic diversity circulating in Jordan camels relative to MERS-CoV genome sequences derived from large camel markets in KSA and UAE. The low genetic diversity detected in Jordan camels during our study is consistent with a lack of endemic circulation in these camel herds and reflective of data from MERS outbreaks in humans dominated by nosocomial transmission following a single introduction as reported during the 2015 MERS outbreak in South Korea. Our data suggest transmission of MERS-CoV among two camel herds in Jordan in 2016 following a single introduction event.

DJ-You do not want MERS somehow mixing with SARS-2 or MERS getting into other species (horses, cows)...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911791-viruses-sars-cov-2-survival-on-surfaces-and-the-effect-of-uv-c-light[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911791-viruses-sars-cov-2-survival-on-surfaces-and-the-effect-of-uv-c-light ;The aim of this study was to establish the persistence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) on inanimate surfaces such as plastic, stainless steel, and glass during UV-C irradiation which is a physical means commonly utilized in sanitization procedures. The viral inactivation rate, virus half-life, and percentage of titer reduction after UV-C irradiation were assessed. Infectivity was maintained on plastic and glass until 120 h and on stainless steel until 72 h. The virus half-life was 5.3, 4.4, and 4.2 h on plastic, stainless steel, and glass, respectively. In all cases, titer decay was >99% after drop drying. UV-C irradiation efficiently reduced virus titer (99.99%), with doses ranging from 10.25 to 23.71 mJ/cm2. Plastic and stainless steel needed higher doses to achieve target reduction. The total inactivation of SARS-CoV-2 on glass was obtained with the lower dose applied. SARS-CoV-2 survival can be long lasting on inanimate surfaces. It is worth recommending efficient disinfection protocols as a measure of prevention of viral spread. UV-C can provide rapid, efficient and sustainable sanitization procedures of different materials and surfaces. The dosages and mode of irradiation are important parameters to consider in their implementation as an important means to fight the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

DJ-Of course UV-C sanitization only works when the "UV-C machine" is working and working in a correct manner. Proberbly using hand sanitizer in combination with UV-C (and masks, social distance) can make a work space safer...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911781-vaccines-basel-phylogenomic-evidence-of-reinfection-and-persistence-of-sars-cov-2-first-report-from-colombia[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911781-vaccines-basel-phylogenomic-evidence-of-reinfection-and-persistence-of-sars-cov-2-first-report-from-colombia ;The continuing evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and the emergence of novel variants have raised concerns about possible reinfection events and potential changes in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission dynamics. Utilizing Oxford Nanopore technologies, we sequenced paired samples of three patients with positive RT-PCR results in a 1-2-month window period, and subsequent phylogenetics and genetic polymorphism analysis of these genomes was performed. Herein, we report, for the first time, genomic evidence of one case of reinfection in Colombia, exhibiting different SARS-CoV-2 lineage classifications between samples (B.1 and B.1.1.269). Furthermore, we report two cases of possible viral persistence, highlighting the importance of deepening our understanding on the evolutionary intra-host traits of this virus throughout different timeframes of disease progression. These results emphasize the relevance of genomic surveillance as a tool for understanding SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics, and how this may translate effectively to future control and mitigations efforts, such as the national vaccination program.

DJ-My translation-small changes in the virus may make vaccines offering less protection.

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mtJg-l5OUI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mtJg-l5OUI 

DJ-I have some problems with this doctor. 1-He is NOT neutral. Of course he is not neutral-no problem with that but do not make such a claim. "Everything is an opinion" may be a but much to the other side...we all have our background. 

And 2-"follow the evidence" means there has to be evidence. In a crisis you have to learn from earlier crises. So look for different kind of "evidence" ...In Dr.J.C. way of thinking you keep running behind the facts "science-based"...Another thing I am not fond of is vaccine/big pharma stories-the countries that did the best so far during this pandemic did so via NPI/lockdowns NOT vaccines !

Still he is a very experienced doctor spending a lot of time trying to inform a large public via his YouTube channel-doing his best and often also with good info !

-WAR seems prority #1 in the world;

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-officially-opens-its-air-space-to-nato-aircraft[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-officially-opens-its-air-space-to-nato-aircraft 

[url]https://southfront.org/war-between-russia-and-ukraine-is-inevitable-opinion/[/url] or https://southfront.org/war-between-russia-and-ukraine-is-inevitable-opinion/ 

Both Hal Turner and Southfront have (strong) opinions-but they do NOT claim to be neutral ! 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_alleged_Jordanian_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat_attempt[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_alleged_Jordanian_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat_attempt ;

Journalist Smadar Perry with Yediot Aharonot alleged that the plotters were backed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman and Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan based on information received from a very high-ranking source in Jordan.[9]

Roy Shaposhnik, an Israeli businessman and friend of Hamzeh, said that he had offered use of a private jet to Hamzah's wife and children to allow them to flee Jordan to his home in Europe. Ammon, a Jordanian media site linked to Jordanian intelligence, said that Shaposhnik was formerly part of Mossad, which Shaposhnik denied.[10][11]

Ex-Prime Minister Jawad Anani claimed Israel was the foreign country involved in the plot.[12]

DJ-I think the US is preparing to fight Russia on two fronts-Syria and Ukraine. The coup attempt in Jordan may have been an attempt to pull Jordan into a war with Syria. If both Israel and Saudi Arabia are involved-given the recent history-the CIA/US is involved...

The idea of "increasing conflicts" with Russia is stopping Europe doing deals with Russia. Also creating a gap stopping China's New Silk Road plans...The US strategy again will not only fail but backfire-pushing the EU, Jordan, Turkey further away from the US. 

Planning to increase these wars-as the US is doing-is beyond criminal during a pandemic !

Music; I Want To Get Away-Lenny Kravitz [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EvuL5jyCHOw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EvuL5jyCHOw 



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 06 2021 at 9:58pm

DJ,

-Is this [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ "the new normal" ?A permanent race between vaccines and variants with some peaks but the virus always around ? India with over 115,000 new cases in one day ? Brazil with over 4000 reported Covid deaths in one day (and reopening) ? 

Here in NL the government is claiming cases going down-while hospitals are preparing for the highest peak of cases...In the easter-weekend, in combination with schoolhollidays, there was less testing so reported cases going down. After easter, when schools reopen cases will go up again...I would not say our governments communications strategy did fail-that would suggest a strategy ....

Worldwide "the new normal" very likely to be very chaotic. Since there was no coordination in vaccines international-variants get all the time to develop around the virus...But even 50% protection against severe disease, virus transfer, is very, very welcome...

But with variants spreading in unprotected populations-with NPI/lockdown not as long term protection, this pandemic is getting worse-not better ! Less then 10% of the global population has vaccine protection. 

Israel-if remaining isolated (wich they are not) could have "vaccinated" itself out of this pandemic. China, Australia, New Zealand managed to keep the virus out...

-Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/912018-co-infection-of-chickens-with-h9n2-and-h7n9-avian-influenza-viruses-leads-to-emergence-of-reassortant-h9n9-virus-with-increased-fitness-for-poultry-and-enhanced-zoonotic-potential-biorxiv-preprint[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/912018-co-infection-of-chickens-with-h9n2-and-h7n9-avian-influenza-viruses-leads-to-emergence-of-reassortant-h9n9-virus-with-increased-fitness-for-poultry-and-enhanced-zoonotic-potential-biorxiv-preprintAn H7N9 low pathogenicity avian influenza virus (LPAIV) emerged through genetic reassortment between H9N2 and other LPAIVs circulating in birds in China. This virus causes inapparent clinical disease in chickens, but zoonotic transmission results in severe and fatal disease in humans. We evaluated the consequences of reassortment between the H7N9 and the contemporary H9N2 viruses of G1 lineage that are enzootic in poultry across the Indian sub-continent and the Middle East. Co-infection of chickens with these viruses resulted in emergence of novel reassortant H9N9 viruses carrying genes derived from both H9N2 and H7N9 viruses. These reassortant H9N9 viruses showed significantly increased replication fitness, enhanced pathogenicity in chicken embryos and the potential to transmit via contact among ferrets. Our study highlights that the co-circulation of H7N9 and H9N2 viruses could represent a threat for the generation of novel reassortant viruses with greater virulence in poultry and an increased zoonotic potential.

DJ-There were some questions on how double variant infections work out-some "experts" claiming only one virus getting into the cell...In other diseases and animals coinfections are not abnormal. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912027-south-korea-reported-highest-daily-covid-19-case-count-since-january-8-688-cases-april-7-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912027-south-korea-reported-highest-daily-covid-19-case-count-since-january-8-688-cases-april-7-2021 ;The new cases bring the country's total infections to 106,898, with 1,756 deaths, with the latest surge centred around clusters in kindergartens, saunas, bars and churches. More than 63 per cent of new cases were found in Seoul and neighbouring regions, including Gyeonggi province, KDCA data showed.

more...https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news...onths-14571828

DJ Would be nice to find out more on what variants are spreading..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021 

DJ-With evangelical churches going to court and winning variants-most P1-had a chance to spread further during easter. Also bolsenaro is reopening to save the economy...So the outlook for Brazil/Latin America is bad ! Terrible ! Horror !

Hospitals are overstretched/breaking point-if hospitals stop functioning the things will get even worse...(but less cases being reported...so it will look like Africa-no cases reported is no pandemic...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912022-cidrap-new-findings-in-covid-related-kids-syndrome-kawasaki-disease[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912022-cidrap-new-findings-in-covid-related-kids-syndrome-kawasaki-disease ;In the largest known cohort of MIS-C patients and their distributions across the United States, the cumulative incidence was 2.1 per 100,000 people 21 and younger and varied by state, from 0.2 to 6.3 per 100,000. The death rate was 1.4%.
Of the 1,733 MIS-C patients, 90.4% had involvement of at least four organ systems, 54% had low blood pressure or shock, 58.2% required intensive care, and 31.0% had abnormal heart function. Pericardial effusion (fluid buildup in the sac around the heart) occurred in 23.4%, myocarditis (inflammation of the heart muscle) in 17.3%, and coronary artery dilatation or aneurysm (ballooning of a vessel wall) in 16.5%.

-

"These findings suggest that transmission by contact or droplets is not a major route for KD development in Japan and support the findings of previous epidemiological studies indicating that KD may be associated with airborne disease in most cases. More extensive studies are warranted for further understanding of this intriguing disease," the authors wrote.

DJ-A lot of info on two studies. But also still many questions.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912021-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-climb-for-6th-straight-week[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912021-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-climb-for-6th-straight-week ;  The World Health Organization (WHO) said 4 million new cases were reported last week, with deaths on the rise for the third week in a row.
The five countries reporting the highest case numbers shifted last week, with India reporting the most, followed by Brazil, the United States, Turkey, and France.
The part of the world that felt the biggest case increase was the WHO's South-East Asia region, which includes India, followed by the Western Pacific region, which includes the Philippines, another current COVID-19 hot spot.
Countries reporting some of the steepest illness rises last week include Bangladesh (67%), Argentina (46%), Turkey (43%), Japan (43%), Iran (38%), India (38%), and the Philippines (27%).
In the European region, cases leveled out after rising for 5 consecutive weeks. Africa's cases and deaths declined last week, though new cases rose 10% in Ethiopia compared to the previous week.

DJ-One question is do some variants push away other variants. In Brazil P2 was pushed away by P1. (Could one design a virus that does little harm but pushes away other variants that do a lot of harm-biowar against a pandemic ???)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912007-arxiv-unexpected-novel-merbecovirus-discoveries-in-agricultural-sequencing-datasets-from-wuhan-china[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912007-arxiv-unexpected-novel-merbecovirus-discoveries-in-agricultural-sequencing-datasets-from-wuhan-chinaIn this study we document the unexpected discovery of multiple coronaviruses and a BSL-3 pathogen in agricultural cotton and rice sequencing datasets. In particular, we have identified a novel HKU5-related Merbecovirus in a cotton dataset sequenced by the Huazhong Agricultural University in 2017.

We have also found an infectious clone sequence containing a novel HKU4-related Merbecovirus related to MERS coronavirus in a rice dataset sequenced by the Huazhong Agricultural University in early 2020. Another HKU5-related Merbecovirus, as well as Japanese encephalitis virus, were identified in a cotton dataset sequenced by the Huazhong Agricultural University in 2018. An HKU3-related Betacoronavirus was found in a Mus musculus sequencing dataset from the Wuhan Institute of Virology in 2017. Finally, a SARS-WIV1-like Betacoronavirus was found in a rice dataset sequenced by the Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University in 2017.

Using the contaminating reads we have extracted from the above datasets, we were able to assemble complete genomes of two novel coronaviruses which we disclose herein. In light of our findings, we raise concerns about biosafety protocol breaches, as indicated by our discovery of multiple dangerous human pathogens in agricultural sequencing laboratories in Wuhan and Fouzou City, China.

DJ-coronavirusses, MERS in Chinese rice ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911944-fully-vaccinated-since-january-minnesota-nurse-stuck-in-mexico-after-testing-positive-for-covid-unvaccinated-companions-all-tested-negative-and-free-to-re-enter-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911944-fully-vaccinated-since-january-minnesota-nurse-stuck-in-mexico-after-testing-positive-for-covid-unvaccinated-companions-all-tested-negative-and-free-to-re-enter-us ;Symptoms sound mild and she did not think she had COVID in spite of her nursing background. If CDC did not require testing before entry to the US, nobody would have known she was infected unless someone vulnerable was sickened and it got traced back.

and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911943-246-vaccinated-residents-diagnosed-with-covid-3-dead-michigan-reports[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911943-246-vaccinated-residents-diagnosed-with-covid-3-dead-michigan-reports ; As many as 246 Michigan residents considered fully vaccinated against COVID-19 were later diagnosed with the virus, and three have died, state officials confirmed Monday.

The cases were reported between Jan. 1 and March 31, and the 246 had a positive test 14 or more days after the last dose in the vaccine series, said Lynn Sutfin, a spokeswoman for the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, in an email.

"Some of these individuals may ultimately be excluded from this list due to continuing to test positive from a recent infection prior to being fully vaccinated," she said.

"These cases are undergoing further review to determine if they meet other CDC criteria for determination of potential breakthrough, including the absence of a positive antigen or PCR test less than 45 days prior to the post-vaccination positive test. In general, these persons have been more likely to be asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic compared with vaccinated persons.".

DJ-Vaccines do not offer 100% protection. In older people immunity after vaccination may take three weeks...so maybe the virus was faster then the vaccine...still not good news ! See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911946-or-lawmakers-to-oha-release-covid-vaccine-%E2%80%98breakthrough%E2%80%99-case-count[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911946-or-lawmakers-to-oha-release-covid-vaccine-%E2%80%98breakthrough%E2%80%99-case-count ; PORTLAND, Ore. (KOIN) — How many “breakthrough” COVID cases are there in Oregon, that is, vaccinated people who contract the coronavirus?
Oregon lawmakers are asking why the Oregon Health Authority is not revealing certain information and now 2 Portland state legislators have a bill that would make OHA answer that question and others...

DJ-It would be good to be as open as possible. Vaccines never give 100% protection-at best 99,999%...Also immunization in the elderly goes slower-can take an extra week, or even longer...offer less protection.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911980-open-life-sci-domestication-of-wild-animals-may-provide-a-springboard-for-rapid-variation-of-coronavirus[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911980-open-life-sci-domestication-of-wild-animals-may-provide-a-springboard-for-rapid-variation-of-coronavirus ; Coronaviruses have spread widely among humans and other animals, but not all coronaviruses carried by specific animals can directly infect other kinds of animals. Viruses from most animal hosts need an intermediate host before they can spread widely among humans. Under natural conditions, coronaviruses do not rapidly change from infecting wild animals as intermediate hosts and to spreading widely among humans. The intermediate host might be the animals captured or bred for the purpose of cross-breeding with domesticated species for improvement of the breed. These animals differ from wild animals at the environmental and genetic levels. It is an important direction to study the semi-wild animals domesticated by humans in search for intermediate hosts of viruses widely spread among humans.

DJ-By now we should have learned that there are much more virusses in other animals-and please keep those virusses there !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911976-front-artif-intell-toward-the-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-and-vaccination-on-the-covid-19-pandemic-with-time-dependent-seir-model[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911976-front-artif-intell-toward-the-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-and-vaccination-on-the-covid-19-pandemic-with-time-dependent-seir-model ;To mathematically describe the dynamic of the COVID-19 pandemic, we propose a time-dependent SEIR model considering the incubation period. Furthermore, we take immunity, reinfection, and vaccination into account and propose the SEVIS model. Unlike the classic SIR based models with constant parameters, our dynamic models not only predicts the number of cases, but also monitors the trajectories of changing parameters, such as transmission rate, recovery rate, and the basic reproduction number. Tracking these parameters, we observe the significant decrease in the transmission rate in the U.S. after the authority announced a series of orders aiming to prevent the spread of the virus, such as closing non-essential businesses and lockdown restrictions. Months later, as restrictions being gradually lifted, we notice a new surge of infection emerges as the transmission rates show increasing trends in some states. Using our epidemiology models, people can track, timely monitor, and predict the COVID-19 pandemic with precision. To illustrate and validate our model, we use the national level data (the U.S.) and the state level data (New York and North Dakota), and the resulting relative prediction errors for the infected group and recovered group are mostly lower than 0.5%. We also simulate the long-term development of the pandemic based on our proposed models to explore when the crisis will end under certain conditions.

DJ-It may be hard to make a 100% perfect model for human behavior...but these models can predict what mix of vaccines and NPI may be needed. Stopping this pandemic worldwide in one step is SF...But maybe it can be controlled in several steps.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911968-int-j-environ-health-res-incubation-period-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-new-implications-for-intervention-and-control[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911968-int-j-environ-health-res-incubation-period-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-new-implications-for-intervention-and-controlThe results show that the incubation period of COVID-19 approximately conforms to the Gamma distribution with a mean value of 7.8 (95%CI:7.4-8.5) days and a median value of 7.0 (95%CI:6.7-7.3) days. The incubation period was positively correlated with age and negatively correlated with disease severity. Female cases presented a slightly higher incubation period than that of males. The proportion of infected persons who developed symptoms within 14 days was 91.6%. These results are of great significance to the prevention and control of the COVID-19 pandemic.

DJ-Still also a lot of a-symptomatic spread. But knowing most symptoms can be related to a point of infection 7-9 days earlier is important. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912030-travel-med-infect-dis-concerns-about-influenza-h5n8-outbreaks-in-humans-and-birds-facing-the-next-airborne-pandemic[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912030-travel-med-infect-dis-concerns-about-influenza-h5n8-outbreaks-in-humans-and-birds-facing-the-next-airborne-pandemic DJ-The birds do the transport so with people following NPI travel restrictions an "airborne bird" disease is a big problem. 

-Dr.John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6NQujwh3X0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6NQujwh3X0 might have some extra info...

DJ-In general the global pandemic is getting worse. Due to less testing/reporting during easter-with possibly more spread-the numbers/statistics may start to give a realistic picture next week. 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/emergency-meeting-called-for-ukraine-peace-talks-ukraine-pulls-out-us-asks-russia-about-intention-for-vast-forces-russia-replies-no-more-info-for-you[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/emergency-meeting-called-for-ukraine-peace-talks-ukraine-pulls-out-us-asks-russia-about-intention-for-vast-forces-russia-replies-no-more-info-for-you 

[url]https://southfront.org/washington-sends-military-transport-aircraft-to-ukraine-but-cannot-explain-why/[/url] or https://southfront.org/washington-sends-military-transport-aircraft-to-ukraine-but-cannot-explain-why/ 

DJ-It is very likely the US government want war with Russia in Syria and Ukraine. [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/will-there-be-a-global-resistance-economy.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/will-there-be-a-global-resistance-economy.html 

In the Russian (and Iran, China etc. etc. ) view there is no point in discussing with the insane. As always the EU is divided but countries like Germany, France, Italy, Greece, Turkey are not very likely to join the US in yet another war...This pandemic needs priority !

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6KGuTr9TI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6KGuTr9TI Send In The Clowns-Judy Collins 1975 (so 46 years old...)



 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ

-The nice thing of history is that there are so many lessons in it...my favorite lesson is "we never had it this good".  I think in general it still is true. But all things have a price-and we all know who has to pay that price...

Life expectancy is decreasing in many countries. In general more for men than for women-and so far in most places the decrease is in months. But some countries already it is in years... Spain life expectency dropped in 2020 by 1,6 years. (Or something like that...it is not about the exact number).

Also more deaths and less births mean population reduction in an increasing number of countries.  Italy did see a decrease of over 300,000 in 2020. In NL the pandemic did cause over 20,000 deaths in 2020 while the official number was over 11,000-so making up a balance shows a lot of undercounting. "Pandemic deaths"would have to include both Covid deaths AND non-Covid deaths of people that would be alive today if there was no pandemic...

The number of pandemic-non Covid deaths-with the number of Covid deaths will explode...I did see at this forum Roni, Techno also wondering why we "keep making the same mistakes"...It is very depressing "you can't fix stupid" because "stupid will kill us all"...

I do think vaccines still protect against Covid19 and most of its variants. US reports on people vaccinated and later on testing positive so far-as far as I know-are either in the 5% or so left over from 95% protection. For variants the level of protection may be (much) less. Or sometimes people already were infected before/during/shortly after vaccination. In the elderly the immune system takes more time-up to three weeks-and may offer less protection. So-YES-NPI should still be in place ! (And NO the public/politics does NOT want to hear that-so they learn in a hard way !!!) 

I will end this "pandemic-breakfast writing" with more on WAR...maybe look for climate chaos news-just had a few days winter here-did the Arctic get our spring ? 

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ DJ-One of the reasons why France is not in the top ten of new cases is because they did not report new cases...so today they will correct that...I guess. Mexico also still has to correct its total number of deaths (+80,000 I believe it was ? )

India reporting another record number of new cases-over 126,000 in just one day. Since it takes a few weeks of "development" most people most likely will recover. I believe the statistics now think 1 in 3 will suffer from "long Covid"-but those numbers are related to the older variant. Given the large numbers and decreasing hospital capacity (HCW-ers also getting infected) a growing percentage of the 126,000+ may not survive another month. 

Brazil reporting 3733 deaths..I expect more countries soon will be in that kind-or higher-deaths statistics. My impression is an upward trend in the US-but due to "good friday/easter" statistics are disrupted. To get a realistic view you have to look at week trends-not daily numbers...

-FluTrackers (frontline news)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-7-cases-confirmed-april-6-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-7-cases-confirmed-april-6-2021 ;“A total of 83 human samples were received and 64 (87.7 per cent) samples were tested. Of the tested samples, seven (10.9 per cent) were positive for Flu A, six 85.7 per cent were subtype A/H5 while one 14.3 per cent was unsub-typable,” he explained.

H5N1 spreading in humans is BAD NEWS !!!!! Unclear if all-likely-H5N1 human cases did get infected from birds or from eachother. Nigeria needs foreign aid in sequencing to (still) confirm H5N1 human cases-as far as I understand. See latest news...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912149-covid-19-in-canada-level-4-very-high-level-of-covid-19-in-canada[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912149-covid-19-in-canada-level-4-very-high-level-of-covid-19-in-canada

  • Because of the current situation in Canada even fully vaccinated travelers may be at risk for getting and spreading COVID-19 variants and should avoid all travel to Canada

...

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices...navirus-canada

DJ-There are limits to the protection vaccines can offer...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912136-ontario-enacts-provincial-emergency-and-stay-at-home-order-april-7-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912136-ontario-enacts-provincial-emergency-and-stay-at-home-order-april-7-2021 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/who-oms/912143-the-world-needs-a-post-pandemic-health-treaty-with-teeth[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/who-oms/912143-the-world-needs-a-post-pandemic-health-treaty-with-teeth ;The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed the devastating and deadly shortcomings of current global health cooperation and governance, leading 25 world leaders to callfor a powerful upgrade: a pandemic treaty. The International Health Regulations (IHR) is the world’s current global health treaty, but from the beginning of the pandemic the regulations failed.

DJ-Do we need another treaty or do we need treaties that work ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912134-bomet-produces-free-oxygen-hospital-doubles-capacity-9-000-litres-per-hour[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912134-bomet-produces-free-oxygen-hospital-doubles-capacity-9-000-litres-per-hour ;In Summary

• Oxygen plant at Longisa County Hospital has increased production to 9,000 litres per hour from 4,000 litres.

• Excess will be available at no cost to facilities in neighbouring counties.

Beyond handling the county's needs, the new plant will supply oxygen to neighbouring counties at no cost, Governor Hillary Barchok said.
The oxygen plant at Longisa County Hospital has increased its production to 9,000 liters per hour from 4,000 litres.

Longisa Hospital and Tenwek Mission Hospital are the only institutions in the region producing oxygen.

DJ-Kenya-indicating a healthcrisis

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021?view=stream (latest update); RIO DE JANEIRO (Reuters) - Brazil has recorded its first confirmed case of the highly contagious coronavirus variant discovered in South Africa, a fresh danger sign for a country already ravaged by the world’s highest daily death toll fueled by a widespread local variant.

Last week, scientists at the Butantan biomedical institute said the case, identified in a woman in Sao Paulo state, might be a new local variant. Further analysis confirmed it as the first known local case of the variant widely circulating in South Africa and elsewhere.

Scientists fear a showdown between the South African variant and the already rampant Brazilian variant, known as P.1, both of which are more contagious and possibly more deadly than the original version of the coronavirus and have led to accelerated COVID-19 surges.

DJ-A race between variants...it would be very welcome if a mild variant could push away the more damaging variants...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912128-cidrap-b117-now-most-common-covid-19-variant-in-the-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912128-cidrap-b117-now-most-common-covid-19-variant-in-the-us ; Young adults, kids in youth sports, and people associated with daycare centers are among the new cases, Walensky said. These populations are not likely to have been vaccinated yet, but may be taking more risks as states loosen restrictions.

-

An Associated Press analysis of Johns Hopkins data shows that only five states — New York, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey — accounted for 44% of the nation's new COVID-19 infections in the latest available 7-day period.

DJ A few days ago also mention of a P1-Brazil variant cluster in Massachusits...I think the only realistic expectation for the US is another variant-driven wave with vaccines giving limited protection. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912123-cidrap-covid-19-tied-to-spikes-in-out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrests[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912123-cidrap-covid-19-tied-to-spikes-in-out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrests ;In the observational study, published today in the Lancet's EClinicalMedicine, emergency services medical directors in 50 large cities in the United States, Italy, the United Kingdom, France, Australia, and New Zealand reported tallies of monthly OCHAs among adults in their respective jurisdictions from January to June 2020 and compared them with numbers from the same periods in 2018 and 2019.
They authors of the study found that, among all 50 cities, OHCA cases rose, on average, 59% in April 2020, with cases climbing from a monthly mean of 144 cases in 2018 and 2019 to 231 in 2020. In 34 of 50 US states, OHCAs spiked over 20% that month compared with April 2018 and 2019, mirroring COVID-19 community prevalence. Another 13 states saw 1.5 times the number of OHCAs during that time, while three US coronavirus hot spots experienced greater than 100% OHCA spikes—including New York City, where OHCAs ballooned to 2.5 times the baseline.
"What this is is one more reason why you don't want to get this virus," senior author Michael Osterholm, PhD, MPH, director of the University of Minnesota's Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, the publisher of CIDRAP News, said in an interview.

DJ-Iran reported also a sharp increase of hearthproblems linked to a new wave of Covid-variant infections. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912094-nature-daily-briefing-why-germany-s-coronavirus-death-rate-is-so-low[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912094-nature-daily-briefing-why-germany-s-coronavirus-death-rate-is-so-low DJ In short Angela Merkel ? 

-Dr. John Campbell discussing with Dr. Tess Lawrie on Ivermectin [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2ju5v4TAaQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2ju5v4TAaQ DJ-If Ivermectin is as effective as some claim why is it not used much more often ? Profit ? 

-WAR 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-deploys-additional-truck-launched-nuclear-missiles[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-deploys-additional-truck-launched-nuclear-missiles 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-syria-fires-upon-attacking-israeli-jet-over-lebanon[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-syria-fires-upon-attacking-israeli-jet-over-lebanon 

[url]https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/ukraine-april-2021.14798/page-4[/url] or https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/ukraine-april-2021.14798/page-4 

[url]https://southfront.org/resistance-fighters-blew-up-five-us-supply-convoys-all-over-iraq/[/url] or https://southfront.org/resistance-fighters-blew-up-five-us-supply-convoys-all-over-iraq/ 

[url]https://twitter.com/IntelCrab[/url] or https://twitter.com/IntelCrab 

DJ-The international situation is getting worse by the hour. IF NATO joins Ukraine in attacking Crimea/Eastern Ukraine of course Russia will react...Syria shooting at an Israeli plane firing missiles from Lebanon at targets in Syria will be seen by the west-insane as Syrian agression...Israel also attacked an Iranian ship-according the embedded western media in retaliation for Iran attacks-forgetting to mention those Iran actions were reaction on Israeli actions...(getting tar on Israeli beaches). 

Basicly Russia-Iran-China and many other countries are fed up by US agression. This may mean war from the South China Sea, the Arctic, Eastern Europe, Middle East...even Colombia/Venezuela is not ruled out...

Preparations are made, troops, weapons ready for use, an excuse is not that hard to find...I again hope to be very, very wrong !

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-2MenrnR2U[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-2MenrnR2U Fool To Cry-Rolling Stones

Is there a maximum length to these posts ? Am I disrupting this site ? Stay safe !



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 07 2021 at 11:04pm

Guardian: NCDC confirms bird flu outbreak in 7 states.

https://guardian.ng/news/ncdc-confirms-bird-flu-outbreak-in-7-states/

Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.đź––

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 08 2021 at 9:41pm

DJ

-A look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ shows highest total numbers for wave 3 so far. Top 5 in new cases; India -almost 132,000 new cases, at #2 Brazil 89,000, US-#3 80,000 #4 Turkey 56,000 and at #5 Poland (!!!!!) almost 28,000 new cases-Poland also reporting many deaths close to a 1000...

The top 5 make about 385,000 new cases out of a total of just over 739,000 global new cases. Deaths also high with 13,854...Brazil reporting 4190 deaths- around 7500 deaths in top 5 countries-so over 50%. Mexico there is at #5-Turkey not in top 10 even...for "new deaths"...

-FluTrackers; quick scan

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912257-over-one-million-people-reporting-long-covid-in-the-uk[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912257-over-one-million-people-reporting-long-covid-in-the-ukAccording to the latest ONS figures, over one million people were estimated to be suffering from Long Covid in the UK in the four weeks ending 6 March. Long Covid is defined as "symptoms persisting more than four weeks after the first suspected coronavirus episode that are not explained by something else". As this chart shows, while 420 thousand say that this does not restrict them in their daily activities, 674 thousand are experiencing some degree of problems in this regard.

DJ-The UK total cases show 4,370,000 cases-so 1 in 4 dealing with long Covid See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912239-cidrap-health-workers-report-long-covid-after-just-mild-illness[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912239-cidrap-health-workers-report-long-covid-after-just-mild-illness Sweden

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912255-sars-cov-2-spike-e484k-mutation-reduces-antibody-neutralisation[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912255-sars-cov-2-spike-e484k-mutation-reduces-antibody-neutralisationIt is concerning that emerging variants of SARS-CoV-2 can evade neutralising antibodies induced by previous infection or vaccination through mutations in the spike protein, including the receptor-binding domain (RBD). The asparagine (N) to tyrosine (Y) substitution at position 501 (N501Y), present in variants of concern belonging to the B.1.1.7, B.1.351, and P.1 lineages, does not seem to affect in-vitro neutralisation of human convalescent or post-vaccination sera. However, additional substitutions, such as E484K present in B.1.351 and P.1 lineages, might allow evasion from neutralising antibodies.

DJ-The rest of the story from Science Direct -allthough tax funded-is behind a paywall...why ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912249-cidrap-covid-19-surges-intensify-in-global-hot-spots[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912249-cidrap-covid-19-surges-intensify-in-global-hot-spots ; Though much of the attention surrounding recent surges has focused on Brazil, other countries in South America are reporting record activity. Argentina yesterday reported 22,039 cases, above the daily new case record it set the previous say, according to Reuters.

-

In Uruguay, Argentina's neighbor to the east, officials reported nearly 4,000 new cases—a single-day high—yesterday, and the country's president, Luis Lacalle Pou, extended the current COVID measures until Apr 30, according to CNN. Uruguay's intensive care unit occupancy is at 74%.
Peru yesterday reported a record daily high for deaths, with health ministry officials revealing this week that the P1 SARS-CoV-2 variant has been detected in all parts of the country, especially in areas bordering Brazil and in Lima, according to CNN.
In other regions of the world, India reported a record 126,198 cases yesterday, with nearly 60,000 from the hot spot, Maharashtra state. In Europe, Turkey yesterday reported a record 54,740 cases, and in the Middle East, Iran reported more than 22,000 cases over the last day, a record high, in an outbreak described as explosive and occurring in the wake of Persian New Year celebrations.

DJ-Article also mentions AZ/O vaccine not being used for some age groups in many countries. Bizarre ! The risks for complications are less then 1 in 100,000 ! Could the "non-profit" part be the problem ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-6-h5-cases-confirmed-by-ncdc-rpt-april-6-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-6-h5-cases-confirmed-by-ncdc-rpt-april-6-2021?view=stream ; The concern I have isn't so much that there are 7 human cases (which is sizeable but not record-breaking), it is that those 7 human cases have been detected against the background of a pandemic where HPAI would be difficult to detect since it is clinically similar to COVID.

DJ-A lot of "unclear info" on what is going on-the doctors strike-due to salaries not being paid may be ended...a lot of ????(X999)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912236-hospitals-running-out-of-key-drug-for-covid-19-patients[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912236-hospitals-running-out-of-key-drug-for-covid-19-patientsOntario physicians have been urged to ration one of only two drugs known to reduce mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients, a harbinger of what lies ahead for other provinces if the third wave keeps rising and Canada cannot secure more of the medication.

A shortage of the anti-inflammatory drug tocilizumab is just one of the challenges Canadian hospitals face as faster-spreading and more dangerous variants overtake older versions of the coronavirus. British Columbia, Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Ontario all have more COVID-19 patients in their intensive care units than at any other time during the pandemic.

DJ-Canada-not a country we keep poor...!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/912233-poland-2021-bird-flu-in-poultry[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/912233-poland-2021-bird-flu-in-poultry ;Avian flu attacked Wielkopolska at the beginning of the year, but it is currently wreaking the greatest havoc in the Kalisz County. The hosts in this region, along with veterinary services, have been fighting the H5N1 virus since the beginning of March. Outbreaks were detected in 44 farms and poultry farms. Avian flu mainly decimates duck and turkey farms. In total, there are over 50 outbreaks in the entire Wielkopolska region.

DJ-In Russia and Nigeria bird flu did reach humans-and was reported. It most likely did cross species border in (many) other places. Since symptoms may look like Covid spread can go on-with people testing negative for Covid (if tested)...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/niger/909059-niger-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-backyard-birds-and-farm[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/niger/909059-niger-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-backyard-birds-and-farm and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-russia/912228-russia-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n5-in-wild-birds-oie-april-7-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-russia/912228-russia-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n5-in-wild-birds-oie-april-7-2021 

DJ- "Bird Flu" is spreading and the virus is developing in a way it may jump to mammals. Since these type of virusses are "double airborne"; spread by birds but the virus itself also airborne-it most likely will become "a serious problem (soon) ".

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912226-uk-the-flap-over-ucl-prediction-of-%60herd-immunity-by-april-9th[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912226-uk-the-flap-over-ucl-prediction-of-%60herd-immunity-by-april-9th ;

  • We'd have to find that acquired immunity (either from vaccination of natural infection) was both robust, and long-lasting.
  • That acquired immunity provided cross-protection against current, and conceivably future, COVID variants.
  • And that the much discussed `herd immunity' threshold of 73.4% is indeed the magic number.

DJ-The UK should do all it can (for the coming year(s) to keep variants out-maybe the can escape from another wave...would be welcome good news..This pandemic is over when it is over-most experts think the Corona-virus is here to stay. So we have to keep both eyes on it, need booster vaccines etc...See also:

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912224-ecdc-technical-rpt-reinfection-with-sars-cov-2-surveillance-case-definition[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912224-ecdc-technical-rpt-reinfection-with-sars-cov-2-surveillance-case-definition ;

A year ago, in COVID-19: From Here To Immunitywe looked at the growing concerns that COVID-19 might not be a one-and-done infection like measles or chickenpox - and instead be more akin to influenza - which not only mutates over time but often leaves behind less than permanent immunity.


Infections with hCoV (human coronaviruses) were already known to be recurrent, and studies on MERS-CoV survivors had shown waning antibody levels (see EID Journal: Antibody Response & Disease Severity In HCW MERS Survivors), particularly among those with mild illness.

And less than a year earlier, in 2019's C.I.D.: Influenza A Reinfection in Sequential Human Challenge, we'd seen the surprising results of an NIH influenza challenge study suggesting reinfection with exactly the same strain of influenza A was not only possible, it might even be common.

-

Reinfections, we were assured, were rare and the SARS-CoV-2 virus was remarkably stable. While hundreds of mutations had been identified, none were considered significant, or likely to impact transmission, virulence, or immune escape.

-

As we've discussed often, verifying reinfection with SARS-CoV-2 is often difficult or impossible due to a lack of genomic testing, and in some cases, even RT-PCR testing results. There has been no uniform case definition to help identify COVID reinfections, and often no requirement to report suspected or confirmed reinfections.


In an attempt to provide some uniformity, and guidelines, for EU/EEA nations to recognize and report reinfections, the ECDC has today released a 10-page technical report with case definitions and testing requirements.

DJ The idea of "herd immunity" basicly may be much to optimistic-something we should have learned by now...We did not even define "reinfection", sequencing/testing was/is a problem-and still "some experts" claim "limited risk of reinfection" while most cases by now could be (variant) reinfections...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/912179-drug-dev-ind-pharm-mapping-the-technological-landscape-of-sars-mers-and-sars-cov-2-vaccines[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/912179-drug-dev-ind-pharm-mapping-the-technological-landscape-of-sars-mers-and-sars-cov-2-vaccines ;The last two decades have seen the emergence of several viral outbreaks. Some of them are the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), and severe acute respiratory syndrome 2 (SARS-CoV2) - the cause of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Ever, vaccines for emergency use have been authorized for the control and prevention of COVID-19. Currently, there is an urgent need to develop a vaccine for prophylaxis of COVID-19 and for other future epidemics.

DJ-Corona virus infections are NOT new-almost 90 years ago first detected/expected in chickens...We may have ignored the risks...

-[url]https://innovationorigins.com/corona-in-europe-the-one-strength-of-the-swedish-approach/[/url] or https://innovationorigins.com/corona-in-europe-the-one-strength-of-the-swedish-approach/ 

Overview of how Europe is doing with NPI and vaccines...not very good...Also vaccination top 10 with Israel at #1.

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEg523BilxI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEg523BilxI Dr. John Campbell-vaccine safety update (DJ-as far as now is known risk of complications limited to less to 1 in 100.000...AZ/O was used in most of UK vaccinations and prevented a lot of deaths and new cases...)

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/us-iran-conflict-in-iraq-put-on-pause.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/us-iran-conflict-in-iraq-put-on-pause.html US forces in Iraq renamed "advisors/trainers"...

[url]https://twitter.com/IntelCrab[/url] or https://twitter.com/IntelCrab 

DJ-In several area's there are so many troops, bombs, etc. it will go wrong. The US goal is to stop Russia-Iran-China (etc.) with many other smaller countries being a problem (Israel, Turkey). Dealing with this pandemic still is not priority number 1. 

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLFAhSRy8Zk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLFAhSRy8Zk Boz Scaggs-What Can I Say 1976

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 09 2021 at 9:52pm

DJ,

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ The global number of new cases is moving to the peak of the second wave-very likely to go over it. Yesterday-april 9-did see almost 786,000 new cases. January 8-2021 had over 845,000 new cases. 

The new cases number for India keeps going up close 145,000 new cases. Brazil had 89,000 (rested, reported) cases, the US over 85,000. 

Here in NL the number of people spreading the virus was estimated by the Dutch CDC to be over 160,000 =close to 1% of the population. Highest number in a year. Hospitals are increasing/stretching IC capacity to 1550 beds-but staff is a major problem. Most HCW-ers still did not get vaccinated, 20% now on sick-leave. Exhaustion is a main problem.

Our "government" did promise all kind of reopenings eventhough the numbers indicated there was no room for it...So now the hope is "better weather will bring numbers down"....In Germany Angela Merkel is pushing for national laws to get a grip on memberstates reopening while cases are going up...

In general; the duration of this healthcrisis is seeing increasing problems in HCW-ers AND increasing problems with NPI. The older age groups are protected by vaccines so most hospitals now face younger age groups with Covid19-75% 50-65 y/o. 

The worldwide outlook is NOT GOOD !!!! Variants may evade natural/vaccine immunity. In many countries healthcare is "under extreme pressure". Oxygen, some medications, staff may become a major problem.  

-FluTrackers (often "latest activity"!)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912340-cidrap-reports-detail-high-covid-19-burden-in-native-americans[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912340-cidrap-reports-detail-high-covid-19-burden-in-native-americansDuring the pandemic, Native Americans have had 2.2 times greater COVID-19 case incidence and almost quadruple the death rate of White people in Montana, according to a study today in Morbidity & Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR).

DJ-In many ways this pandemic underlines social problems. The poor are hit much harder while they did not cause the problem (just like as in climate "change").

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912335-cidrap-news-scan-h5-flu-infections-in-nigeria-h5n6-avian-flu-case-in-laos-polio-in-3-countries[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912335-cidrap-news-scan-h5-flu-infections-in-nigeria-h5n6-avian-flu-case-in-laos-polio-in-3-countries ; Nasal swab testing of poultry workers and handlers in recent highly pathogenic H5N1 avian flu outbreak settings in Nigeria turned up seven positive results in humans, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) said in its weekly communicable disease threat report.

-

Laos has reported its first human H5N6 avian flu case, the first known infection to occur outside of China.

DJ-Some form(s) of H5 "birdflu" seems to be close to jump to other species. Since the symptoms look like Covid19 and the "bird-flu" is "double airborne" (both spread by birds and aerosols) it is a growing risk. This can become a pandemic ON TOP of a pandemic. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912333-florida-governor-sues-the-cdc-to-get-cruises-sailing-immediately[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912333-florida-governor-sues-the-cdc-to-get-cruises-sailing-immediately ;Making good on an earlier threat, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) said Thursday that the state has filed a lawsuit against the federal government demanding that cruises be allowed to resume from the United States immediately.

DJ Can't fix stupid-stupid will kill us all...But also national governments have to get realistic-do they realy want to restart international airtravel, cruises, mass events ? Did they learn nothing from this pandemic at all ? (You may have a bit stupid, a lot stupid and super-stupid ! Are politicians going for 100% stupid ?)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/united-states-2019-ncov/906307-pandemic-started-in-us-before-2020-we-just-didn-t-know-it[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/united-states-2019-ncov/906307-pandemic-started-in-us-before-2020-we-just-didn-t-know-it ;Considering how coronavirus variant B117 (501Y) can go undetected, it is plausible that COVID-19 origins go back several months into 2019 (in the United States) and even farther in other parts of the world. Studying frozen blood samples may help answer the question of just how long.

According to the WSJ, organizations including the American Red Cross and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are testing old blood specimens for the presence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2. They also seek collections from Wuhan before Dec. 2019, as well as other parts of China...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/origin-...es-11617874200

According to UT NEWS: A new study suggests coronavirus variant B117 (501Y) went undetected in 15 countries for months before it was discovered. This variant was unknowingly spreading for months in the United States by October 2020, according to a new study from researchers with The University of Texas at Austin COVID Modeling Consortium...
https://news.utexas.edu/2021/04/01/u...its-discovery/

DJ-By now there is enough evidence to claim the pandemic did show up in several places in 2019-from blood samples, sewage samples etc. There have also been a lot of stories of a "strong cold" autumn 2019 in many places...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912329-france-advises-vaccine-mixing-for-some-amid-clotting-fears[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912329-france-advises-vaccine-mixing-for-some-amid-clotting-fears ; French health officials said Friday that people under 55 who received a first dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine should get other vaccines for their second shot because of an extremely rare risk of a blood clotting disorder.

Germany is expected to recommend a similar booster dose strategy for people under age 60. The World Health Organization says it's too early to know whether to recommend such vaccine mixing, however, and the European Medicines Agency hasn't advised putting any age restrictions on the use of the AstraZeneca vaccine.

French authorities said the British-Swedish pharmaceutical company's vaccine remains central to its vaccination plan strategy, and they urged older populations to keep taking it as France's hospitals battle another surge in COVID-19 patients...

DJ-All vaccines did show some-very limited-problems, maybe not even caused by the vaccine itself. If we want to decrease vaccines are we willing to increase NPI/lockdowns ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912322-america-may-be-close-to-hitting-a-vaccine-wall[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912322-america-may-be-close-to-hitting-a-vaccine-wall ;There are growing signs that parts of the country may be close to meeting demand for the coronavirus vaccine — well before the U.S. has reached herd immunity.

Why it matters: For the last few months, the primary focus of the U.S. has been getting shots to everyone who wants them, as quickly as possible. Soon, that focus will abruptly shift to convincing holdouts to get vaccinated.

State of play: Red states in the South are administering the lowest portion of the vaccine doses that they receive from the federal government — a sign of low demand, slow public health systems, or both.

The most vaccine-reluctant Americans are white Republicans, polling has found.

DJ-In a second phase of vaccinations one could give people a choice in vaccines-to at least increase the number of vaccinations...

Again-if vaccines become a problem (even for bad reasons) what is the alternative...?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912319-echr-rules-obligatory-vaccination-may-be-necessary[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912319-echr-rules-obligatory-vaccination-may-be-necessary ;The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) in Strasbourg ruled on Thursday that compulsory vaccinations would not contravene human rights law — and may be necessary in democratic societies.

The ruling came following the evaluation of a complaint brought to the court by Czech families regarding compulsory jabs for children.

"The measures could be regarded as being 'necessary in a democratic society,'" the court judgment read.

DJ-You have to try to avoid enforcing vaccines on people. Convincing them is better..It is not a police job to pick unvaccinated people from the street, it is not a doctors job to vaccinate healthy people to vaccinate them against their will. Good communications can make a lot of difference !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912318-indian-states-report-vaccine-shortages-amid-record-covid-surge[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912318-indian-states-report-vaccine-shortages-amid-record-covid-surgeAmid the record surge, many Indian states have reported running out of vaccines even as Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government continues to insist there is enough stock. India is the largest producer of vaccines and is known as the “pharmacy of the world”.

India started its vaccination programme in January but has been able to administer only 90 million shots in a population of more than 1.3 billion people, with most of them accounting for the first dose of a two-dose regime...

DJ-India will be exporting less vaccines...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912308-brazil-poses-global-health-threat-as-its-hospitals-buckle-under-covid-19-experts-warn[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912308-brazil-poses-global-health-threat-as-its-hospitals-buckle-under-covid-19-experts-warn ;Dr. Hallal, an associate professor of epidemiology at Federal University in Pelotas, said calling the country a threat to the world isn't overstating the problem. He said waiting lists for ICUs are a sign the country's health-care system has collapsed.

"We are obviously a threat to ourselves because the virus is out of control and we break records every single day. But we are also a threat to global public health because we are pretty much a factory of variants," he said in an interview with CBC News...

DJ-Brazil is not the only "factory of variants"...it is very likely many countries already have become variant-producing countries...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream ;Last Updated Friday, April 9, 2021 10:27AM EDT

TORONTO -- Ontario health officials reported more than 4,000 new cases of COVID-19 for the first time in months, marking the second highest number of cases reported in a single day since the pandemic started.

DJ-I was hoping Canada would be doing better...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/influenza-in-animals-excl-h5n1/898209-germany-current-avian-influenza-cases-2020-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/influenza-in-animals-excl-h5n1/898209-germany-current-avian-influenza-cases-2020-2021?view=stream ;Type H5N8 bird flu was confirmed in a farm in the Ludwigslust-Parchim area in the eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, said the Ludwigslust-Parchim local government authority.

DJ-H5 types of birdflu in fact are already a pandemic in (wild) birds...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912300-j-laryngol-otol-post-coronavirus-disease-mucormycosis-a-deadly-addition-to-the-pandemic-spectrum[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912300-j-laryngol-otol-post-coronavirus-disease-mucormycosis-a-deadly-addition-to-the-pandemic-spectrum DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mucormycosis[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mucormycosis =Mucormycosis is any fungal infection caused by fungi in the order Mucorales.[2]:328 Generally, species in the Mucor, Rhizopus, Absidia, and Cunninghamella genera are most often implicated

One could wait for such complications to show up...

-I did not see a new Dr.John Campbell video, his Ivermectin story still on YouTube. Peak Prosperity on YouTube is still investments, [url]https://www.peakprosperity.com/were-in-uncharted-territory/[/url] or https://www.peakprosperity.com/were-in-uncharted-territory/ ;

Looking at the accelerating expansion of debt issuance, the red-hot run-up in the financial markets, and the economic uncertainty caused by the ongoing pandemic — Bethany concludes we’re at a precarious never-been-here-before moment in history, aka “uncharted territory”. And she sees good probability another major crisis may be around the corner.

She also sees a familiar dangerous lack of imagination in those both running and cheerleading the current system. Similar to the ‘rock stars’ at Enron, no one seems able to entertain the idea that things could get out of hand much faster than folks are prepared for.

DJ-The economic side of this pandemic is "open"...Since the pandemic is that widespread ALL have an interest to keep the global economy running...And it is very complicated with lots of uncertainties. When I look at my country the economic damage is limited. People still need to buy food, drinks, houses. There are major shifts on their way-many cities did have to many shops-turning them into houses-we may need another million houses till 2030-may be a solution. 

Working from home means less busy roads-so sometimes investments can wait while governments need to spend more on hospitals and healthcare...

On the long run there may be a lot of people dealing with "chronic Covid/complications" and you have to see how they may be able to make a living..

Again-less money in international travel-in my (DJ) opinion-is more then welcome in dealing with this pandemic. If our -NL-economy would decrease 10% we still would be at the level of the end of last century... For other countries it is a major problem...

But inequality was already a major issue before this pandemic started. 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pbfabuyJacc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pbfabuyJacc Peak Prosperity;

Investigative journalist Bethany McLean is an expert on crisis. She has written New York Times best-selling books on the collapse of Enron ('The Smartest Guys In The Room') as well as the mortgage industry and Wall Street abuses that led to the 2008 Great Financial Crisis ('All The Devils Are Here' and 'Shaky Ground'). So when she says she’s deeply worried about today’s macro environment, we’d better take notice. Looking at the accelerating expansion of debt issuance, the red-hot run-up in the financial markets, and the economic uncertainty caused by the ongoing pandemic -- Bethany concludes we're at a precarious never-been-here-before moment in history, aka "uncharted territory". And she sees good probability another major crisis may be around the corner.

DJ Hyperinflation is a real risk-you can not "solve all problems by printing money" -putting that fiat-money in stocks and claim"the economy is booming" ....Many countries-not only the US-are facing social crises. Those crises are not only related to "color of skin" but also age is a factor. The old already have a hous, job, family-the young have a very hard time getting there...

Also it is much to early to start talking about "post pandemic" ; the US is a few weeks behind Europe and will face an increase of variant cases. With 1/3 of its populatin vaccinated-and maybe some remaining natural immunity-the US certainly is NOT out of this pandemic ! The worst may still be in the future-some just do not want to see it...

DJ-I do not like it, I hate this pandemic ! This could and should have been prevented ! But it is still here-not likely to go away soon...so we better find answers !

WAR

Yesterday Hal Turner reported Ukraine would NOT start an offensive against Crimea/Eastern Ukraine. But that story is gone...I did also not see any confirmation. So [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sets-up-army-field-hospital-near-ukraine-moves-iskander-missiles-and-amphibious-landing-craft-from-caspian-sea-to-ukraine-coast[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sets-up-army-field-hospital-near-ukraine-moves-iskander-missiles-and-amphibious-landing-craft-from-caspian-sea-to-ukraine-coast this is his story still. 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/why-the-us-might-want-war-in-ukraine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/why-the-us-might-want-war-in-ukraine.html 

[url]https://southfront.org/death-or-ukraine-us-delegation-in-donbass-frontlines-under-nazi-flags/[/url] or https://southfront.org/death-or-ukraine-us-delegation-in-donbass-frontlines-under-nazi-flags/ 

DJ-The nazi-flag keeps coming back...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azov_Battalion[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azov_Battalion and the nazi-link is not just Russian propaganda...Also IS/jihadi's fighting for the Kiev regime has been confirmed by others..

An "Ukraine" offensive needs good weather...HT reported 20,000 US, 17,000 other NATO troops in frontline positions. The US goal for war in Ukraine is clear-stop EurAsian integration. But I (DJ) doubt if France, Germany, Italy, Turkey will join this US/NATO "plan/insanity". Germany is not only investing billions in NorthStream-2 importing Russian gas, they also may buy Sputnik-V vaccines...

The Kiev regime knows that if they start an offensive the major war will be in the Ukraine. There are better alternatives for that...EU-China or Turkish investments ... If the US needs another war they may seek to start another war in the Middle East via their IS allies...also trying to stop EurAsian integration...

In fact the US is fighting the EU....(and we do not like that !!!)

Music ; Julian Lennon -Salt Water 1991 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGQiqq9N1jo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGQiqq9N1jo good lyrics...Music sounds like Beatles...


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 hours 43 minutes ago at 9:44pm

DJ (I put "DJ" to show I give my opinion based on links I try to include...I am NOT neutral; I do NOT want to be neutral !)

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ show still very serious problems in many countries. In the top 10 for new cases India with over 152,000 new (tested/reported) cases is in very serious problems. Since India is/was the main exporter for vaccines-that now stopped-the world will feel India is suffering. Hospital capacity may become overstretched-could become worse-in numbers-then Brazil-#2-with almost 70,000 new cases reported.

At #3 is the US-most likely several variant also spreading-basicly out of control. The over 66,000 new cases would be even higher if vaccinations did not already provide some protection. 

Turkey, France, Poland, Iran, Argentina, Germany and Italy make the top 10. Ukraine is at #11 with limited testing, a bankrupt state, and semi permanent war...

In the media I did see claims of variants in Marocco, Iran that turn out to be the UK variant. So far the latest new major variants are P3 from the Phillipines and the India-Maharashtra/Mumbai variant. Maharashtra as a state inside India has a population of over 112 million (in 2011...old data). [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 (India variant=[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.617[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.617 )

It is very likely more variants are spreading, some evading PCR testing...Given also H5 "bird flu" in humans may be increasing test-evading Covid and "bird flu" could be spreading undetected for a long time in many area's.

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912427-change-to-case-reporting-in-england[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912427-change-to-case-reporting-in-england ; The way cases are reported has changed. Cases that have been identified through a positive rapid lateral flow test will be removed for people who took Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) tests within 3 days that were all negative. Cases of this type that were previously reported were removed from the cumulative total, reducing the total by 8,010. Newly reported numbers of cases for the UK and England were unaffected by the removal of these. Historical published date totals have not been changed.

DJ-Case defenition is a problem in itself...The UK rule of "death within 28 days of diagnosis" for Covid19 leaves a lot of Covid19 UK deaths out of the statistics...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912423-gisaid-tracking-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912423-gisaid-tracking-variants DJ-links to [url]https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/[/url] or https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/ showing 5 variants-latest update...Proberbly there will be a "variant radar" somewhere...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912422-icus-across-canada-see-near-record-of-covid-19-patients-as-new-variant-cases-multiply[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912422-icus-across-canada-see-near-record-of-covid-19-patients-as-new-variant-cases-multiply ;Canada’s chief public health officer says the number of new COVID-19 cases linked to variants of concern has doubled over the past week, with B.1.1.7, first identified in the U.K., “essentially replacing” pre-existing versions of the virus.

Dr. Theresa Tam said the predominance of these strains is fuelling a rapid COVID-19 resurgence that is sending more patients to hospital with severe illness, including young people, and threatens to push intensive care units to their limits. ...

DJ-In Canada-like in the EU-vaccination is problematic. Proberbly Canada is showing where the US would be without vaccines...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world ; Much like the terrorist attacks of 11 September 2001, the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to produce some changes that will be felt for years to come and change the way we live, work, and govern domestically and internationally. How great these will be, however, is very much in question.

DJ-Variants-another wave of Covid19-may make an even more grim picture...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912354-scientists-challenge-health-officials-on-vaccinating-people-who-already-had-covid[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912354-scientists-challenge-health-officials-on-vaccinating-people-who-already-had-covid ;Award-winning scientist and Congressman Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) called out the CDC when he found that vaccine studies showed no benefit to people who had coronavirus and that getting vaccinated didn’t change their odds of getting reinfected.

The CDC claimed “the COVID vaccine would save your life or save you from suffering, even if you’ve already had the virus and recovered, which has not been demonstrated in either the Pfizer or Moderna trials,” Massie said in an interview with Full Measure.

Massie contacted officials at the CDC about the misinformation. They acknowledged it was false, but instead of correcting it, tried to rephrase their mistake. Massie and other scientists said the new wording still wrongly implies vaccines work in people who previously had COVID.

DJ-A "good story" showing how complacated the discussion on vaccines is...(I do not have the knowledge to judge...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912389-int-j-endocrinol-subacute-thyroiditis-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-searching-for-a-clinical-association-with-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912389-int-j-endocrinol-subacute-thyroiditis-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-searching-for-a-clinical-association-with-sars-cov-2 ;Purpose: To search for a clinical potential link between subacute thyroiditis (SAT) and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in a series of patients diagnosed with SAT during the COVID-19 pandemic, by retrospective evaluation of (1) clinical symptoms and (2) contact tracing.
Methods: SAT patients diagnosed from March to December 2020 were enrolled. The presence of typical clinical presentation of SARS-CoV-2, diagnostic tests for SARS-CoV-2, and contact with other individuals proven to be positive for SARS-CoV-2 were searched.
Results: Ten SAT cases were included. Fever was recorded in four patients. Cough, dyspnea, and headache were rarely reported. No patient had diagnosis of pneumonia. Two patients had moderate to severe fatigue after SAT. One patient experienced loss of smell and taste and had persistent fatigue over the following five months. No patient had positive SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic tests. At contact-tracing evaluation, only one patient had a contact with people who were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2.
Conclusions: Patients diagnosed with SAT during COVID-19 pandemic rarely experienced SARS-CoV-2-related symptomatology. The contact tracing did not show close contact with SARS-CoV-2 individuals in 9/10 cases.

DJ-There have been several reports on thyroid problems related to Covid19. Since it is close to the upper respitory system it may get infected?  

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912387-one-health-outlook-assessing-the-risks-of-sars-cov-2-in-wildlife[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912387-one-health-outlook-assessing-the-risks-of-sars-cov-2-in-wildlife ;Since the onset of the pandemic, there have been many instances of human-to-animal transmission involving companion, farmed and zoo animals, and limited evidence for spread into free-living wildlife. The establishment of reservoirs of infection in wild animals would create significant challenges to infection control in humans and could pose a threat to the welfare and conservation status of wildlife. We discuss the potential for exposure, onward transmission and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 in an initial selection of wild mammals (bats, canids, felids, mustelids, great apes, rodents and cervids). Dynamic risk assessment and targeted surveillance are important tools for the early detection of infection in wildlife, and here we describe a framework for collating and synthesising emerging information to inform targeted surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 in wildlife. Surveillance efforts should be integrated with information from public and veterinary health initiatives to provide insights into the potential role of wild mammals in the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2.

DJ-Covid19 in non-human hosts could see new variants-possibly even greater risk for humans...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912373-mil-med-prolonged-sars-cov-2-viral-culture-detected-in-a-mild-covid-19-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912373-mil-med-prolonged-sars-cov-2-viral-culture-detected-in-a-mild-covid-19-infection ;We describe a case of prolonged shedding of live Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus, 2 in the setting of a mild novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection in a healthy young adult male. The patient did not require hospitalization or any supplemental oxygen. The viral cultures remained positive 15 days from symptom onset. The extended duration of positive viral culture with his concurrent mild symptomatology is at odds with current CDC and DOD isolation policies for positive COVID-19 patients. This case is important as health agencies around the world grapple with how to advise patients and create protocols for isolation precautions after positive COVID-19 results.

DJ-Mild symptoms but virus spread for 15 days...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912355-emerg-infect-dis-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-a-h5n8-virus-in-swans-china-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912355-emerg-infect-dis-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-a-h5n8-virus-in-swans-china-2020 ;In October 2020, highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N8) viruses were detected in 2 dead swans in Inner Mongolia, China. Genetic analysis showed that the H5N8 isolates belong to clade 2.3.4.4b and that the isolates cluster with the H5N8 viruses isolated in Eurasia in the fall of 2020.

DJ-Both H5 and H7 "bird flu" may be close to jumping to humans (and other hosts)-already a pandemic in (wild)birds.

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GHVgCkAVeVM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GHVgCkAVeVM 

"Off sick for a couple of days" -He has been making video's almost daily-so that must be a burden. Takes a DIY-test for Covid-showing no high viral load-most likely just a cold...He hopes to be back Monday. He did get Pfizer vaccine february 18. 

Covid-symptom tracker app-questions. "Unusual hair-loss";-) ! Hope he will get better soon-take enough rest...

WAR-Is still global priority #1...even with this variant pandemic at risk of getting out of control...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/turkey-stabs-russia-in-the-face[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/turkey-stabs-russia-in-the-face 

DJ-Turkey is "balancing" between Ukraine and Russia. Yes-it claims Crimea is part of Ukraine and not stopping US navy entering the Black Sea...Yes-it is selling drones to Ukraine, very likely Turkish advisors-that were in the Armenia/Azarbaijan recent war-now in Ukraine...Yes-Turkey may be still transporting IS "western backed terrorists" to Ukraine-but Turkey has been doing so for years...

Turkey working with Russia on Turkstream oil/gas from Russia via Turkey to the EU. Turkey also buying S400, developing S500 air defense missiles with Russia...In Syria Russia and Turkey-more or less cooperate...While Russia is bombing pro-Turkish fighters in Idlib...

[url]https://southfront.org/zelensky-goes-to-turkey-as-erdogan-calls-moscow/[/url] or https://southfront.org/zelensky-goes-to-turkey-as-erdogan-calls-moscow/ 

DJ Erdogan knows how to "balance and survive". He may be in a position to stop Zelensky/Ukraine from "restarting" a war. In many ways there may be a "TIP" group-Turkey-Iran-Pakistan finding their own way. Possibly both Afghanistan and Ukraine may get included. As a "sub-group" the may coordinate a role between China and the EU-avoiding India and Russia. (While Iran is able to make its own deals with India...)

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/after-the-bear-showed-its-teeth-the-ukraine-filed-for-peace.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/after-the-bear-showed-its-teeth-the-ukraine-filed-for-peace.html 

DJ-The US would love to be able to stop EurAsian integration...maybe one of the reasons Merkel called Putin (she also wants Sputnik-V). We-in the EU-do not want more US wars....Proberbly that is what the US was told during recent "good talks" with France and Germany...

It would be very welcome if the US did use more diplomacy...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g7pNp-yUSs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g7pNp-yUSs The Duran-april 3 good background info-"The West"not going to war for Ukraine...

Music; Rod Stewart I Don't Want To Talk About It [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcP8xLmTKmw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcP8xLmTKmw 1989 version

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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