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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

scenario's

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 25 2021 at 11:08pm

Tabitha111-Most people are stupid ! To say it in just four words...Our hope has to be in the non-stupid people using their brains !

Also here in NL/Europe a lot of people want "freedom" but the other side of freedom has to be responsability ! For now we can not stop people ignoring social distance, masks etc. In a pandemic this behavior will become "self-selecting"...I do not follow rules because our government tells me to do so but because I see the value of those rules...

This pandemic will learn those that need to learn-it will be a hard lesson !

On social behavior I also wonder how "social media" work out-I think it is increasing "group behavior" and groups often go for stupid. Once "the lesson is learned" social media may go in an overdrive in the other direction...

DJ

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries It has been since january 23 we did see such a high number of new cases. March 25 with over 622,000 new cases and over 10,000 new deaths. Brazil close to 100,000 new cases in just one day ! But also France reporting over 45,000 new cases in just one day. Worldwide variants are pushing up the numbers and it only just started....Social behavior can undo the gains made by vaccinations. Even the best vaccines offer 95% protection-leaving 5% "open" and if enough people push for those 5%-and variants make that 5% into 30% (or more) since vaccines turn out to offer less protection against them then variants will spread...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 gets updated several times per day and only has some main variants. By now it is very likely there will be hundreds of variants in different stages-some just starting, others still growing. But also some variants may disappear...

I think we are in for a long pandemic. The picture is different from the flu returning every flu-season. Covid-variants are much more deadly, do not get influenced by the season and are still developing/mutating creating new variants..

Of course the "good news" is each of us can do his/her job in limiting the spread by social distancing ! We can make a difference by taking a vaccination-not 100% protection but it may enable health care to do its job ! We have to make long term plans for ourselves on who we want to interact with and in what way...it is good there is internet ! If politics fail-as they do-we have to be wiser !

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910896-washington-health-officials-monitoring-23-people-for-ebola[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910896-washington-health-officials-monitoring-23-people-for-ebola DJ-Underlining the need for travel restrictions...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910546-44-ohioans-being-monitored-for-potential-ebola-exposure?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910546-44-ohioans-being-monitored-for-potential-ebola-exposure?view=stream ;Gov. Mike DeWine said in a March 23 statement explaining why he vetoed a bill that would give the legislature oversight of state health orders — such as mask mandates — and states of emergency.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910894-india-second-surge-of-covid-19-infections-quicker-than-first-wave-march-26-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910894-india-second-surge-of-covid-19-infections-quicker-than-first-wave-march-26-2021 ;Coronavirus disease cases in India are rising at a rate not seen since May last year, and the daily infections in two states have already hit record highs, indicating that the country’s second wave may be worse than the first wave despite the ongoing vaccination drive.

DJ-Very serious !!!! India has a population of 1,3 billion. As a country the largest vaccine producer and untill recent exporter...(The EU is not a country but may be the largest vaccine producer. Some factories should start production soon. Export is another issue. Just like India we-in the EU- need the vaccines we produce. Both India and the EU produced vaccines for "countries we keep poor" but that has now stopped...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910891-assessing-transmissibility-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-b-1-1-7-in-england[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910891-assessing-transmissibility-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-b-1-1-7-in-england ;Analysis of trends in SGTF and non-SGTF case numbers in local areas across England shows that the VOC has higher transmissibility than non-VOC lineages, even if the VOC has a different latent period or generation time. The SGTF data indicate a transient shift in the age composition of reported cases, with a larger share of under 20 year olds among reported VOC than non-VOC cases. Time-varying reproduction numbers for the VOC and cocirculating lineages were estimated using SGTF and genomic data. The best supported models did not indicate a substantial difference in VOC transmissibility among different age groups. There is a consensus among all analyses that the VOC has a substantial transmission advantage with a 50% to 100% higher reproduction number.

DJ-This is one of the variants spreading around the globe-a "substantial transmission advantage with a 50% to 100% higher reproduction number" translates into if"old variant R0"was 1 the UK variant R0 was in between 1,5 and 2. So NPI has to be more strict if you want to stop the spread-even with vaccinations...(vaccinated people still may spread the virus-maybe not for 100% but even 50% for now is to much !)-On a global scale if the highest daily long term cases per day were around 700,000 this UK variant-not controlled-would put that daily number of cases in between 1,000,500 and 1,400,000 (1,5 to 2X) per day...In (a.o.) Israel and the UK we did see the difference vaccinations and NPI can make...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910890-the-emerging-plasticity-of-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/910890-the-emerging-plasticity-of-sars-cov-2 ;Viruses evolve as a result of mutation (misincorporations, insertions or deletions, and recombination) and natural selection for favorable traits such as more efficient viral replication, transmission, and evasion of host defenses. Newly selected traits may be linked in unpredictable ways and raise concern that virus spread and evolution could result in greater virulence (disease severity). The limited diversity of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reported during 2020, ascribed to the 3?-5? exonuclease proofreading function of nonstructural protein 14 (nsp14), led to the view that vaccines based on a single sequence of the viral spike (S) protein, which mediates host cell entry, would likely generate immune protection to all circulating variants (1). However, variants of SARS-CoV-2 with mutations in S have emerged around the world, posing potential challenges for vaccination and antibody-based therapies. The continued spread of SARS-CoV-2 creates the opportunity for accumulation of additional consequential mutations in S and throughout the viral genome.

DJ-The virus fights back...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910869-eurosurv-detection-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-p-1-in-patients-from-a-region-with-exponentially-increasing-hospitalisation-rate-february-2021-rio-grande-do-sul-southern-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910869-eurosurv-detection-of-sars-cov-2-lineage-p-1-in-patients-from-a-region-with-exponentially-increasing-hospitalisation-rate-february-2021-rio-grande-do-sul-southern-brazil ;The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 P.1 lineage coincided with a surge in hospitalisations in the North region of Brazil. In the South region’s Rio Grande do Sul state, severe COVID-19 case numbers rose 3.8 fold in February 2021. During that month, at a COVID-19 referral hospital in this state, whole-genome sequencing of a subset of cases’ specimens (n?=?27) revealed P.1 lineage SARS-CoV-2 in most (n?=?24). Findings raise concerns regarding a possible association between lineage P.1 and rapid case and hospitalisation increases.

DJ-Translation: variants can not only spread faster but also create much more severe disease (and very likely at least in part in patients that should have some immunity due to earlier infection with "old Covid")

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/910859-us-covid-19-hospitalizations-in-michigan-surge-800-in-march-among-people-40-49-years-old-march-25-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/910859-us-covid-19-hospitalizations-in-michigan-surge-800-in-march-among-people-40-49-years-old-march-25-2021 DJ Some variants pose a bigger danger for younger age groups. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910832-sci-rep-emergence-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variants-in-the-netherlands[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910832-sci-rep-emergence-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variants-in-the-netherlands ;In addition, we detected novel variants of SARS-CoV-2 almost unique to the Netherlands that form localized clusters and region-specific sub-populations indicating community spread. 

DJ-Not in Dutch news...

FluTrackers also has info on asperin and Covid, long covid etc...It would be more then welcome if we could keep the number of new (detected/tested/reported) cases under the 1 million per day in the coming months...to keep health care working. It also would be welcome if "wave 3" had an end. I notice the gap between wave 2 and 3 was only a few monts...will wave 4 come on top of wave 3 ? 

Wave 3-april/may 2021 can be deadly-we could be over 5 million Covid deaths june 1 worldwide. Pandemic daeths could be double that number...(but again I am not an expert...)

-Dr.John Campbell with another update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJV19GTSNBQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJV19GTSNBQ 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russian-army-moves-entire-railway-echelon-of-armor-to-ukraine-border[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russian-army-moves-entire-railway-echelon-of-armor-to-ukraine-border and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iranian-missile-hits-israeli-merchant-ship-at-sea[url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iranian-missile-hits-israeli-merchant-ship-at-sea 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/stuck-in-mud.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/stuck-in-mud.html 

DJ You can not start a war with the Suez canal blocked for weeks. You will not start a war when "your enemy" is waiting and prepared...able to hit you that hard you loose the war once you start it. 

Music; The Seekers-Someday One Day [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WJcW4z-foI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WJcW4z-foI 1967 Sydney Opera House still under construction. Other time...other problems...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 26 2021 at 10:31pm

DJ

Yesterday I did put a link on Michigan/US seeing a lot of new cases/variants. Later that day I did find [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/910910-cdc-investigating-possible-mink-to-human-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-in-the-united-states[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/910910-cdc-investigating-possible-mink-to-human-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-in-the-united-states ;

  • Currently, there is no evidence that mink are playing a significant role in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 to people. However, there is a possibility of mink spreading SARS-CoV-2 to people on mink farms. Mink to human spread of SARS-CoV-2 has been reported in the Netherlands, Denmark, and Poland, and new data suggest it might have occurred in the United States.

    • Investigations found that mink from a Michigan farm and a small number of people were infected with SARS-CoV-2 that contained unique mink-related mutations (changes in the virus’s genetic material). This suggests mink to human spread might have occurred.

Just like 1+1=2 still the article goes on ;With several highly competitive COVID variants already spreading across the United States (B.1.1.7, B.1.351 & P.1),the risks from any COVID spillover from mink to humans are likely low. But it is important that we monitor, and analyse new variants, since we can never know from where the `next contender' will emerge.

Not very realistic ! First claiming to find proof of mink to human transfer-THEN- "spillover likely low" after finding it did happen in NL, DK, Poland AND in Michegan itself...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910938-spain-detects-american-minks-with-coronavirus-march-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910938-spain-detects-american-minks-with-coronavirus-march-2021 (Spain did release those minks into the wild to find out later they had SARS-2 ???)

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries for friday march 26. Yesterday some news reported Brazil over 100,000 new cases. Since worldometers goes from 00.00 hrs to 00.00 hrs GMT their number was still under 100,000. 

Highest new cases Brazil, US, India, France, Poland -in total over 630,000 new cases, 11,572 deaths. Variants may be "out of control" in many places. In Europe we try to impose some stricter rules...increase vaccinations-but not very succesfull. 

Again if we could be under 5 million deaths by june 1 from Covid19 tested/reported cases it "would be nice"...The total now stands at 2,780,000 (almost)...June 1 is about 65 days from now-will we prevent another 2,2 million deaths ? 

-Flu Trackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910986-cdc-sends-scientists-to-africa-due-to-ebola-outbreaks[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-forums/910986-cdc-sends-scientists-to-africa-due-to-ebola-outbreaksScientific and technical experts have been deployed to DRC, Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia.

DJ-Outbreaks both in central AND in west Africa during a Covid19 pandemic is overstretching already limited healthcare...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/909231-guinea-covid-19-high-rate-of-contamination-treatment-centers-at-maximum-capacity[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/909231-guinea-covid-19-high-rate-of-contamination-treatment-centers-at-maximum-capacity Guinea also reporting a lot of Covid19 cases. (DJ-Both Covid19 and Ebola are RNA virusses-but chances of mixing so far is seen as almost 0..still we have seen more bizarre events-due to the high numbers...Guinea is reporting an increase-speaking of their own variant ?)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/910976-cidrap-global-covid-19-rise-adds-more-vaccine-rollout-turbulence[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/910976-cidrap-global-covid-19-rise-adds-more-vaccine-rollout-turbulence DJ Both major vaccine producers/exporters India and EU need their vaccines for themselves...Russia and China have-so far-limited production capacity. There is capacity in Mexico and Brazil a.o. but not fully active ? (US vaccines are to expensive and difficult/not practical for most countries).

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910952-kenya-president-orders-new-lockdown-to-curb-covid-19-wave-orders-closure-of-two-refugee-camps-march-26-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910952-kenya-president-orders-new-lockdown-to-curb-covid-19-wave-orders-closure-of-two-refugee-camps-march-26-2021?view=stream ;Kenyan authorities informed UNCHR on Tuesday it would take the refugees to the border with Somalia if the camps are not closed, the Daily Nation newspaper reported. The interior ministry told Reuters that the reporting was accurate. https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910950-60-higher-risk-of-death-from-coronavirus-variants-ontario-analysis-finds-sourcesDJ-With very limited testing, hardly any sequencing we do not have a good idea on what is happening in Africa...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910950-60-higher-risk-of-death-from-coronavirus-variants-ontario-analysis-finds-sources[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910950-60-higher-risk-of-death-from-coronavirus-variants-ontario-analysis-finds-sources ; The analysis is expected to show that variants substantially increase the risk of serious illness when compared to the initial strain of SARS-CoV-2, including:

60 per cent increased risk of hospitalization.
100 per cent increased risk of being admitted to an ICU.
60 per cent increased risk of death.

The data didn't differentiate between variants, though most instances in Ontario right now are thought to be the B117 variant first identified in southeast England. The Ontario figures were also pooled with data from Denmark and the U.K., two countries hit hard by B117, several sources explained, with local data falling in line with those earlier international findings...

DJ-Since variants are all over the globe-and the UK variant most likely not the worst one yet-the "outlook is not good".

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910940-poland-and-ukraine-have-record-daily-cases-sweden-cases-rise-to-highest-level-this-year-and-hungary-daily-death-hit-new-high[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910940-poland-and-ukraine-have-record-daily-cases-sweden-cases-rise-to-highest-level-this-year-and-hungary-daily-death-hit-new-high and

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910939-poland-cases-rise-to-record-levels-70-of-ventilator-beds-are-occupied[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910939-poland-cases-rise-to-record-levels-70-of-ventilator-beds-are-occupied  DJ Major health crisis-most likely already worst yet and still worsening...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910929-j-am-med-dir-assoc-assessment-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-infection-and-mortality-rates-among-nursing-homes-with-different-proportions-of-black-residents[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910929-j-am-med-dir-assoc-assessment-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-infection-and-mortality-rates-among-nursing-homes-with-different-proportions-of-black-residents ; Conclusions and implications: It is likely that attributes of place, such as resources, services, and providers, important to equitable care and health outcomes are not readily available to counties where NHs have greater proportions of Black residents. Structural bias may underlie these inequities. It is imperative that support be provided to NHs that serve greater proportions of Black residents while considering the rurality of the NH setting.DJ-Being black in the US in itself is a major problem-being old and black does increase risks...

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrOf1UQXsLI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrOf1UQXsLI Dr.John Campbell update. In some UK regions cases seem to be increasing again-even with high number of vaccinations-excluding children...

DJ The UK and Israel are interesting to watch-high number of vaccinations/natural immunity but also increase of variants most likely still spreading. In Chile high number of vaccinations did not come in time to prevent the spread of the P1 variant. 

High number of immunity (natural or by vaccine) may mean "selected virus spread"-some variants are stopped by immunity-some others may still find a way to spread. If there is no new major outbreak in Israel or the UK vaccines do a very good job !

Dr.J.C.-maybe with a UK perspective-believes "we are getting out of this pandemic due to vaccinations". With all respect-Dr.J.C. IS an experienced expert-but I (DJ) totally disagree ! 

-Most people worldwide (and this pandemic is a global problem) will not get vaccinated this year-so nothing is stopping virus/variants spread. In many cases todays income is this evenings food...no room for NPI. 

-Lots of variants are not stopped (enough) by vaccines-many variants are widespread-with new variants showing up daily

-New variants in minks, other animals is more problems on their way

-If it is "a race" variants spread faster then vaccines...Even in the US with very high number of vaccinations variants already did win the race before it started...

DJ-Again-I am NOT an expert, I hope to be wrong ! But false optimism and repeating mistakes does NOT help ! We have been in this pandemic for over a year-and again "summer will end this pandemic" , "vaccines will save us" "herd immunity" is repeated...So "the shore has to stop the ship"...our "leaders" are increasing speed in a dead end street-in my non-expert opinion...

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/china-sends-twenty-war-planes-into-taiwan-air-space-after-russia-opens-nuke-missile-hatches-on-arctic-submarines[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/china-sends-twenty-war-planes-into-taiwan-air-space-after-russia-opens-nuke-missile-hatches-on-arctic-submarines  and

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-nuclear-warning-to-united-states[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-nuclear-warning-to-united-states 

DJ-With the Suez-canal blocked at least for several days the Arctic route-north of Russia may be an alternative...it is supposed to be frozen but ice-breakers did open that route. RIC=Russia-Iran-China seem to be one major coalition. Any US agression against one of them may see action from others...In practice most of the world need Russian/Chinese vaccins...Most of the world wants Russian energy, Chinese products. Both Russia and China are "increasing their role" in Iran/MENA (Middle East-North Africa)..

The US foreign policy insanity is putting the US in isolation. 

Music; rock'n roll Status Quo Down Down 1974 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1gYJDQXPOk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1gYJDQXPOk already 47 years old...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 27 2021 at 10:10pm

DJ,

Yesterday we had 8798 new cases in NL-the highest number of cases since early january-at the end of the second wave. Still-in the news-some claim there is room for reopenings since a few million people did get vaccines...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Globally the numbers simply are bad. Brazil [url]https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/27/americas/brazil-covid-19-collapse-intl/index.html[/url] or https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/27/americas/brazil-covid-19-collapse-intl/index.html is near collapse. When I look at the list of new cases the Phillippines show up at #12 [url]https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/philippines-covid-19-lockdown-restrictions-manila-14505418[/url] or https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/philippines-covid-19-lockdown-restrictions-manila-14505418 .

India, in the EU France, Poland have high numbers-variants related...When you look at new deaths Mexico shows up at #3. That country is at #22 for new cases...My general impression is governments are running out of ideas how to contain this pandemic. So "limiting economic damage" and claim things will be okay-we did vaccinate less the 10% of the population-in most countries-so "the most vulnarables" are protected...

[url]https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/covid-downward-trend-in-italys-population-continues/2189712#[/url] or https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/covid-downward-trend-in-italys-population-continues/2189712# ;

The population in Italy has declined by about 384,000 in the past year, as deaths reached their highest level due to declining birth rates and an outbreak of the coronavirus, officials reported on Friday.  

The Demographic Dynamics During the Epidemic by the Year 2020 report by the Italian National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) said that on Dec. 31, the resident population was more than 59.25 million, but it decreased 0.6%, or 383,922, compared to Dec. 31, 2019.

It said it was equivalent to the destruction of a city the size of Florence.

DJ-I think some less people on this planet in itself would be welcome...but this is not the way it should be done...

-FluTrackers often has answers on my questions-sometimes see latest activity;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/907945-deaths-surge-in-mexico-as-pandemic-extracts-a-heavy-toll?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/907945-deaths-surge-in-mexico-as-pandemic-extracts-a-heavy-toll?view=stream ;Excess deaths in Mexico for 2020 and early 2021 exceeded 417,000, more than double the current official number of fatalities from the coronavirus, the federal government reported.

On Thursday Mexico became the third country with more than 200,000 confirmed Covid-19 deaths, trailing only U.S. and Brazil, countries with much larger populations.

But the overall toll from the pandemic is assumed to be much higher because of the low level of testing that left many Covid cases undiagnosed -- Mexico’s 2.2 million cases rank 14th globally -- and overstretched health systems that curtailed treatment for other conditions...

DJ-Mexico is not the only country in this scenario [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911101-coronavirus-cases-surge-in-medell%C3%ADn-with-start-of-colombia%E2%80%99s-third-wave[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911101-coronavirus-cases-surge-in-medell%C3%ADn-with-start-of-colombia%E2%80%99s-third-wave ;Despite a population one quarter in size to Bogotá’s burgeoning eight million, Colombia’s second-largest city, Medellín, has become the new epicenter of coronavirus infection, registering per-daily case averages above 1,000.

DJ-Good article on how government had succes most of the time in keeping numbers down. Most likely Mexico, Colombia etc have a mix of UK, US, Brazil (and other) variants...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases?view=stream ; Chile begins confinement due to Covid; 97% of the population remains in total quarantine
The decision is made when Chile is on the verge of hospital collapse due to a second wave of Covid-19, this despite being one of the most advanced countries in vaccination

-

He also reads: Coronavirus: WHO affirms that the situation in Chile shows that vaccination is not a substitute for prevention

DJ-The P1 variant is spreading all over Latin America. [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-548-a-new-pandemic-record-march-27-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-548-a-new-pandemic-record-march-27-2021 DJ an alarming link; [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910907-plos-one-neutralizing-antibodies-for-sars-cov-2-in-stray-animals-from-rio-de-janeiro-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/910907-plos-one-neutralizing-antibodies-for-sars-cov-2-in-stray-animals-from-rio-de-janeiro-brazil ; Few reports indicate that owned pets from households with at least one human resident that was diagnosed with COVID-19 can be infected by SARS-CoV-2. However, the exposure to SARS-CoV-2 of pets from households with no COVID-19 cases or stray animals remains less assessed. Using real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT90), we investigated the infection and previous exposure of dogs and cats to SARS-CoV-2 during the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. From June to August 2020, 96 animals were sampled, including 49 cats (40 owned and 9 stray) and 47 dogs (42 owned and 5 stray). Regarding owned pets, 75.6% (62/82) belonged to households with no COVID-19 cases. Samples included serum, and rectal and oropharyngeal swabs. All swabs were negative for SARS-CoV-2 RNA, but serum samples of a stray cat and a stray dog presented neutralizing antibodies for SARS-CoV-2, with PRNT90 titer of 80 and 40, respectively. Serological data presented here suggest that not only owned pets from households with COVID19 cases, but also stray animals are being exposed to SARS-CoV-2 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

DJ - Again variants decreased the gap between Corona virusses in animals and Covid19-it is very likely non-human hosts are part of this pandemic by now ! Also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911049-preprint-sudden-rise-in-covid-19-case-fatality-among-young-middle-aged-adults-paran%C3%A1-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911049-preprint-sudden-rise-in-covid-19-case-fatality-among-young-middle-aged-adults-paran%C3%A1-brazil  the P1 variant (as some other variants) are hitting the under 50 y/o age group. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/901004-ivermectin-a-useful-treatment-for-covid-19-coronavirus-some-discussion-and-studies?view=stream DJ-I think this pandemic is man made by lack of action in the first month of spread. The world should have seen the Wuhan-China lockdown end of january 2020 as a warning-it did not ! Since then not for profit AZ/O vaccines, cheap treatments like Ivermectin (some claim to be effective) had to deal with a campain against them...what role does Big Pharma play in this pandemic ? What role does Big Pharma have in the WHO, universities, "experts"  ? Big pharma did show in the past profit was their only goal...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911066-bmc-public-health-human-mobility-and-poverty-as-key-drivers-of-covid-19-transmission-and-control[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911066-bmc-public-health-human-mobility-and-poverty-as-key-drivers-of-covid-19-transmission-and-controlPoorer regions exhibited lower and slower compliance with the restrictions. Our transmission model further indicated that individuals from impoverished areas were associated with high transmission rates. Considering a horizon of 1-3 years, we found that to reduce COVID-19 mortality, school closure has an adverse effect, while interventions focusing on the elderly are the most efficient. We also found that applying localized and temporal lockdowns during regional outbreaks reduces the overall mortality and morbidity compared to nationwide lockdowns. These trends were consistent across vast ranges of epidemiological parameters, and potential seasonal forcing.

DJ-You may not need the same action/intervention in all of the country. If people can be certain their rent is paid, they will get food, they will more likely "stay indoors" then when those basics become uncertain...[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911065-int-j-equity-health-policy-disparities-in-response-to-the-first-wave-of-covid-19-between-china-and-germany[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911065-int-j-equity-health-policy-disparities-in-response-to-the-first-wave-of-covid-19-between-china-and-germany ;There are two differences between China and Germany in non-pharmaceutical interventions: China adopted the blocking strategy, and Germany adopted the first mitigation and then blocking strategy; China's goal is to eliminate the virus, and Germany's goal is to protect high-risk groups to reduce losses. At the same time, the policies implemented by the two countries have similarities: strict blockade is a key measure to control the source of infection, and improving medical response capabilities is an important way to reduce mortality.

DJ-Let me be clear-I am NOT neutral ! We should learn from China now-if we want to have some chance of surviving this worsening pandemic...vaccines are good for Big Pharma-no virus spreading is better for you !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911063-gene-sars-cov-2-variants-lacking-orf8-occurred-in-farmed-mink-and-pangolin[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911063-gene-sars-cov-2-variants-lacking-orf8-occurred-in-farmed-mink-and-pangolinWhy VOC-202012/01 is more transmissible remains unclear, but spike mutations and ORF8 inactivation stand out as candidates for research by their known phenotypic effects. Here I show that variants combining relevant spike mutations and the absence of ORF8 occurred in other SARS-CoV-2 or related viruses circulating in other host species. A truncated ORF8 (Q23stop) occurred in a SARS-CoV-2-related virus from a pangolin seized in China in 2017, also with several mutations in critical spike sites. Strikingly, I found that variants without ORF8 (E19stop) and with the N501T spike mutation circulated in farmed mink and humans from Denmark. Although with differences to VOC-202012/01, the identification of these variants highlights the danger of having reservoirs of SARS-CoV-2 and related viruses where more transmissible variants may occur and spill over to humans.

DJ-The idea that animal and human health risks are two different issues is wrong-One Health-idea should be the basis in preventing pandemics !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911033-emerg-infect-dis-detecting-rapid-spread-of-sars-cov-2-variants-france-january-26-february-16-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911033-emerg-infect-dis-detecting-rapid-spread-of-sars-cov-2-variants-france-january-26-february-16-2021 ;Variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 raise concerns regarding the control of coronavirus disease epidemics. We analyzed 40,000 specific reverse transcription PCR tests performed on positive samples during January 26-February 16, 2021 in France. We found high transmission advantage of variants and more advanced spread than anticipated.

DJ-If you put the peak of wave 1 of this pandemic april 2020, peak of wave 2 december 2020/january 2021 why wave 3 is showing up already ? If variants can start a third wave that much faster-and create new variants-what to expect of a fourth wave ? We were hardly out of wave 2 when wave 3 showed up. Will wave 4 come ON TOP (!!!!!!) of wave 3 ? Will we be at a million new cases per day somewhere in april due to wave 3/variants and see an even further sudden increase wave4/new variants on top of that ????

See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911018-sci-rep-multiwave-pandemic-dynamics-explained-how-to-tame-the-next-wave-of-infectious-diseases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911018-sci-rep-multiwave-pandemic-dynamics-explained-how-to-tame-the-next-wave-of-infectious-diseases ;Our results demonstrate that the key to control the arrival of the next wave of a pandemic is in the strolling period in between waves, i.e. when the number of infections grows linearly. Thus, limiting the virus diffusion in this period is the most effective way to prevent or delay the arrival of the next wave. In this work we establish a new guiding principle for the formulation of mid-term governmental strategies to curb pandemics and avoid recurrent waves of infections, deleterious in terms of human life loss and economic damage.

DJ-A bit of an "open door" we should have stopped this pandemic in the summer of 2020...Also comparing the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic with Covid19-pandemic "has its limits"...(a.o. in herd immunity)

Flu

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911005-sci-china-life-sci-pandemic-threat-posed-by-h3n2-avian-influenza-virus[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/911005-sci-china-life-sci-pandemic-threat-posed-by-h3n2-avian-influenza-virus 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/911004-prev-vet-med-value-chain-analysis-of-yellow-broiler-industry-in-guangxi-china-to-inform-h7n9-influenza-control-strategies[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/911004-prev-vet-med-value-chain-analysis-of-yellow-broiler-industry-in-guangxi-china-to-inform-h7n9-influenza-control-strategies 

and (a.o.)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/910997-appl-microbiol-biotechnol-development-of-mouse-monoclonal-antibody-for-detecting-hemagglutinin-of-avian-influenza-a-h7n9-virus-and-preventing-virus-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h7n9-research-studies-papers-academia/910997-appl-microbiol-biotechnol-development-of-mouse-monoclonal-antibody-for-detecting-hemagglutinin-of-avian-influenza-a-h7n9-virus-and-preventing-virus-infection 

DJ-Before Covid 19 the general idea was the next pandemic would be a form of flu...that risk is still there. Other viral diseases are now seen as also of being a major pandemic risk ! We have to reorganize the way we live to decrease those pandemic risks !

-Some other thoughts;

Bio-terrorism will be a matter of time-if it is not happening already. On purpose spreading of Covid19 in certain populations ("the poor" , "blacks",) or in countries as bio-warfare is easy and cheap. Also easy to deny...[url]https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/[/url] or https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/

It will be assumed by many outside that to describe Brazil’s pandemic as genocide is an exaggeration. Unfortunately it isn’t.

From suppressing vaccines to refusing Brazilian states and municipalities the right to implement lockdown measures, it is wrong for international media to report Bolsonaro’s Covid-19 catastrophe as mismanagement, incompetence, or “failure to act”, when it has been based on an intentional strategy.

One year ago we called Brazil’s pandemic “a tragedy foretold“. Now we call it what it is: Genocide.

The victims of this genocide are Brazil’s poorest, most vulnerable; groups his government detest.

DJ-Aging is seen as a major problem in most western countries. Care-or the lack of it-for the most vulnarables is used as an excuse for "stronger government". Still most of the millions worldwide excess deaths are over 60. The numbers of excess deaths in "countries we keep poor" since this pandemic in itself may be in the millions...

Sometimes "people are in the way" for mining, cutting trees, dams etc. Also tourism sometimes may "welcome less poverty"...(street children in Brazil being hunted as "a solution to the problem").

When I look at the past there are no limits to what people can do to eachother-certainly when one group has the illusion of "total safety" and being above any law. 

Again this pandemic is man made and getting worse ! Allthough the "embedded media" is sending the message "vaccines/Big Pharma will save us"...and claim there is "more room for economy/reopening"-giving the variants even more room to do damage...

In NL doctors using Ivermectin can get punished. "Social media" now blocking "news" not in line whit the embedded media/Big Pharma story...I would not be able to write what I do write on a lot of forums/media...(and I hope I do not endanger this forum). 

Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson had the message of "the fourth turning" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generational_theory[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generational_theory ; According to the theory, historical events are associated with recurring generational personas (archetypes). Each generational persona unleashes a new era (called a turning) lasting around 20-25 years, in which a new social, political, and economic climate (mood) exists. They are part of a larger cyclical "saeculum" (a long human life, which usually spans between 80 and 100 years, although some saecula have lasted longer). The theory states that after every saeculum, a crisis recurs in American history, which is followed by a recovery (high). During this recovery, institutions and communitarian values are strong. Ultimately, succeeding generational archetypes attack and weaken institutions in the name of autonomy and individualism, which ultimately creates a tumultuous political environment that ripens conditions for another crisis.

DJ-If there is a 80 to 100 year cycle in history the end of World War 1/Spanish Flu fits in that pattern for 1918/1919. End of Napoleon fits in 1815. But lots of other major events do NOT fit in that pattern...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Shock_Doctrine[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Shock_Doctrine In the book, Klein argues that neoliberal free market policies (as advocated by the economist Milton Friedman) have risen to prominence in some developed countries because of a deliberate strategy of "shock therapy". This centers on the exploitation of national crises (disasters or upheavals) to establish controversial and questionable policies, while citizens are too distracted (emotionally and physically) to engage and develop an adequate response, and resist effectively. The book suggests that some man-made events, such as the Iraq War, were undertaken with the intention of pushing through such unpopular policies in their wake.

DJ Makes more sense to me-fits in with other ideas of "crisis = concentrations" /[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tower_of_Babel[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tower_of_Babel or [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy complex matters disintegration to their basics...is there a "peak civilization" after wich things only can get worse ? 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/22-years-ago-today-march-27-1999[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/22-years-ago-today-march-27-1999

It was twenty-two (22) years ago today, March 27, 1999 that the United States suffered the first loss of one of its F-117 "Stealth" aircraft.   

The extremely expensive plane, designed and built by Lockheed, was supposedly "almost invisible" to radar.  It was locked-on-to by a very old Soviet era anti-aircraft defense system over Yugoslavia, and shot down by a very old anti-aircraft missile.

-

We point this out because it is Lockheed that has already charged the US Taxpayer about $1.7 TRILLION for the "state-of-the-art" F-35 Stealth, and just this past week, officers within the US Air Force called the plane "junk."

According to internal US Air Force reports, the plane suffers from over eight hundred defects and failures, after over a TRILLION dollars in expenditures on that project, and pilots say the plane is a "dog" in the sky.

One wonders why Lockheed is still winning government contracts with a performance record like that cited above?

Maybe people who award the contracts are getting paid off?

We'll probably find out the hard way when the Ukraine situation which is presently developing, turns into hot war within a few days and we all get to see the true performance of the F-35.

DJ-The F35-Joint Strike Fighter is one of the most expensive form of corruption unless one sees all of defense spending as a mega corruption scandal. During the Viet Nam war targets costing a few thousend dollars were destroyed by US operations costing millions...The F35 is in use by Israel-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II (see also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II#Accidents_and_notable_incidents[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II#Accidents_and_notable_incidents NOT reporting most likely an Israeli F35 was shot down over Syria [url]https://www.quora.com/Is-it-true-that-at-least-2-of-the-F35-fighter-jets-have-been-shot-down-in-Syria[/url] or https://www.quora.com/Is-it-true-that-at-least-2-of-the-F35-fighter-jets-have-been-shot-down-in-Syria a "military" or economic secret ?)

Spending on military "defense" while not spending on preparing for the coming pandemic is one of the underlying problems. It did NOT change-we are very close to a next major war...This worsening pandemic still is NOT top-priority ! Climate collapse is NOT top priority...Greed is top priority...killing millions !

-Dr. John Campbell on viral evolution [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h9irEbq43Qc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h9irEbq43Qc some info under his video...to be honest DJ-I do not think Dr.J.C. is realistic...One of the idea's I have is "out of host viral mutations"...Virusses need a host to reproduce themselves-in reproduction mistakes are made-we call that "mutations". But can "non host virus" change due to UV, electric fields etc ? Most likely they can...so the number of mutations-and thus variants-would go up.

Music; Brainbox-Summertime [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_8AoIpeH_o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_8AoIpeH_o Dutch Rock 1978 [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/27/daylight-saving-time-clock-advances-one-hour-sunday[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/27/daylight-saving-time-clock-advances-one-hour-sunday 





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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 28 2021 at 8:13am

An area of concern is that with people masking up, etc., we have had very little flu, which sounds like a good thing, till we realize that without many flu cases, scientists cannot reach a consensus on which particular flu viruses should be in this year's jab.  If they pick the wrong ones, we could be overrun with a flu we didn't plan for, just as there is light at the end of the Covid tunnel.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 28 2021 at 3:48pm

Originally posted by ViQueen24 ViQueen24 wrote:

An area of concern is that with people masking up, etc., we have had very little flu, which sounds like a good thing, till we realize that without many flu cases, scientists cannot reach a consensus on which particular flu viruses should be in this year's jab.  If they pick the wrong ones, we could be overrun with a flu we didn't plan for, just as there is light at the end of the Covid tunnel.

Good point.....

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 28 2021 at 10:22pm

Yes...the flu is still out there...I think maybe it could be a point of interest to see if you can combine a flu vaccine with a booster covid vaccine ? Proberbly a booster Covid vaccine is one of the very limited number of things we now know for the coming months. 

DJ

I think wave 4 maybe close to coming on top of wave 3-for the rest my "imagination" is running out...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sni7e-2oGZk&t=14s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sni7e-2oGZk&t=14s Dr. John Campbell in his update uncertain on what variants may bring for the US and UK. It is expected numbers to go up-but will vaccination be enough to stop high numbers ? Dr. J.C. thinks vaccinations may see less severe cases/deaths. I (DJ) think other age groups face more problems-in part because they are not vaccinated, more social active, and the variants seem to infect younger people..

(Problems with the computer-will update later on....)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 29 2021 at 12:58am

Combining breakfast with scenario's can give greasy finger-computer problems....so part two. 

DJ

Dr.J.C. reports P1 variant still mutating. He thinks vaccines will still offer 80% protection. In Chile the variant is winning the race against top-speed vaccinations. And healthcare in Chile is also getting at breaking point. 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ In Europe the situation is getting worse-people-and often politicians-fed up with restrictions while variants are spreading and vaccines are slow...

Yesterday I did put a link to [url]https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/[/url] or https://www.brasilwire.com/genocide/ In this article they claim; 1-bolsonaro wanted "pension reforms" welcomed the deaths being 70% over 60 and most of the rest poor... But also 2 US pressure not to buy Russian (or Chinese) vaccins. The governer of Sao Paulo did manage to get chinese vaccins... And 3 UK pressure to buy AZ/O vaccines...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/still-stuck-in-mud.html#comments[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/still-stuck-in-mud.html#comments had a link to [url]http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-03/28/c_139842215.htm[/url] or http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-03/28/c_139842215.htm

BEIJING, March 28 (Xinhua) -- More than 100 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines had been administered across China as of Saturday, according to a press conference held by the State Council joint prevention and control mechanism against COVID-19 on Sunday.

Data released by the National Health Commission on Sunday showed that the total number of COVID-19 vaccine jabs administered nationwide had reached 102.42 million.

Most of the western embedded media tend to or ignore non-western vaccines or relate them to "people not wanting them" "not proven effects" etc. China has become the main vaccines exporter-most to Latin America and Africa. [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-usnato-versus-russia-china-hybrid-war-finish[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-usnato-versus-russia-china-hybrid-war-finish fits also in this pattern...

DJ-Some conclusions so far;

1-This pandemic is man made due to inaction

2-Most of the people dying "cost money" so a lot of states in fact do not care

3-The idea of herd-immunity has caused the effect of the virus getting out of control

4-Big Pharma wants to "take responsibilities" (DJ=profit) 

5-The only way to reach billions fast is NOT via (slow) vaccinations but by communications/NPI

6-Vaccines most likely will increase further variants

7-Most governments/experts may know how this is working but do no longer see ways to get a grip

8-Saving the economy is destroying the economy...

How will this further develop ? To be honest-I do not know, ran out of "scenario's"...The most welcome idea would be the pandemic would stop by summer...improved weather, lotst of immunity via vaccine/natural infections would stop it...The worst scenario would be a mega mix of all kind of corona- and other virusses spreading in all kind of hosts...a sort of super-pandemic in more then one species out of control. Due to multi-species infections variants exploding...bringing society collapse...I think this scenario may be more likely then "over by summer" but I do simply not know...

For the coming two months I expect variants causing a "third wave" most likely more severe then wave 1 or 2. Vaccines will have to show how well they protect...In Chile they combine vaccines with strict NPI/lockdown...maybe that will limit the damage ? 

FluTrackers has limited news on monday, 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/911144-chemotherapy-animal-hosts-and-experimental-models-of-sars-cov-2-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/911144-chemotherapy-animal-hosts-and-experimental-models-of-sars-cov-2-infectionSequence analysis and epidemiological investigations suggest that the most likely original source of SARS-CoV-2 is a spillover from an animal reservoir, probably bats, that infected humans either directly or through intermediate animal hosts. The role of animals as reservoirs and natural hosts in SARS-CoV-2 has to be explored, and animal models for COVID-19 are needed as well to be evaluated for countermeasures against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Experimental cells, tissues, and animal models that are currently being used and developed in COVID-19 research will be presented.

DJ-Again-IF-Covid19 in some form manages to spread on a large scale into wild animals we may never be able to get this pandemic under control...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases-bodies-line-corridor-at-one-hospital[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/910285-chile-at-the-limit-of-its-hospital-capacity-after-rebound-in-cases-bodies-line-corridor-at-one-hospital (latest activity) ; The Valparaíso region broke a new record of infections and registered 880 new confirmed cases of covid-19 . While the hospitals in the region are at maximum capacity, in Valparaíso the Carlos Van Buren Hospital confirmed that it had to enable a new space to guard the bodies of the deceased.

DJ-Hospitals running out of capacity=more people dying. With the variants spreading the health care collapse scenario is becoming reality in a lot of places soon. 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/philippines-puts-air-force-on-alert-over-200-china-militia-ships-off-coast[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/philippines-puts-air-force-on-alert-over-200-china-militia-ships-off-coast 

[url]https://southfront.org/great-success-us-backed-fighters-seize-us-made-missiles-heading-to-other-us-backed-fighters-in-syria/[/url] or https://southfront.org/great-success-us-backed-fighters-seize-us-made-missiles-heading-to-other-us-backed-fighters-in-syria/ 

and [url]https://southfront.org/children-beheaded-in-mozambique-shocking-testimonies-of-displaced-families/[/url] or https://southfront.org/children-beheaded-in-mozambique-shocking-testimonies-of-displaced-families/ 

DJ-Priority is NOT dealing with the pandemic but "who is the boss"...The US trying to still control the global energy market...using IS (Saudi funded-why nobody asks who is funding IS/alquada ?) and other proxies bringing the world close to war. 

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4f_ETlXGtI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4f_ETlXGtI the tune of a French TV series from the late 60's...

 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 29 2021 at 9:51pm

DJ,

Just some of the latest news. In new variants the Tanzania variant with 31 mutations. In that way-on 27,900 genes less then 0,999% the same as the "original" virus. Indicating [url]https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines[/url] or https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines development away also from natural/vaccine immunity...

American Airlines-great !!!!-flights in US almost at pre-pandemic levels....Politics worldwide talking of reopening, save the economy...The idiots did win ! We are going towards permanent pandemic...Yesterday I did not know what to think for the longer term...would, could vaccines save us ? "We" did make the choice that we do not want to be saved...

Can't fix stupid even if stupid kills us all...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ . New cases list see-after US, India, Brazil Turkey and Poland the Phillippines at 9 and Iran at 10. The spread of all kinds of variants now is worldwide...Canada stopping-for the time-AZ/O vaccine...

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/911244-new-york-must-offer-vaccine-to-all-prisoners-immediately-judge-rules[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/911244-new-york-must-offer-vaccine-to-all-prisoners-immediately-judge-rules DJ-With only 4% of the global population the US has 25% of all people in prison. The number of "non whites" is extreme. NOT protecting them against disease or violence is a crime.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream ; A new briefing note from a panel of science experts advising the Ontario government on COVID-19 shows a province at a tipping point.

Variants that are more deadly are circulating widely, new daily infections have reached the same number at the height of the second wave, and the number of people hospitalized is now more than 20 per cent higher than at the start of the last province-wide lockdown, states an analysis from Ontario's COVID-19 science advisory table published on Monday night.

"There is no such thing as winning this race with just vaccinations," Juni stressed. "That's impossible."...

DJ-I was hoping to see news on "tipping point" but they mean collapse....What I realy start hating is that I did see this over a month ago...vaccines can help but you need to do everything you can to avoid spread and with that variants !!! How come well paid experts, politicians, with far better education did NOT see that ???? Does university make people stupid and blind ??? Is this man-made pandemic some evil plan ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/911241-study-finds-high-levels-of-carcinogen-in-several-hand-sanitizer-brands-benzene[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/911241-study-finds-high-levels-of-carcinogen-in-several-hand-sanitizer-brands-benzene DJ-I think taking some risks to avoid other larger risks for a short term can be acceptable...but this pandemic now may last for years...and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/pollution-incl-gulf-of-mexico-oil-disaster/911235-covid-waste-discarded-face-masks-are-killing-wildlife-around-the-globe[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/pollution-incl-gulf-of-mexico-oil-disaster/911235-covid-waste-discarded-face-masks-are-killing-wildlife-around-the-globe 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911234-cidrap-who-report-jump-from-animals-most-likely-covid-19-source[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911234-cidrap-who-report-jump-from-animals-most-likely-covid-19-source DJ-Maybe the main point should be other diseases also getting close to jump on humans..."but it has to happen first so there will be evidence" . This kind of dr.j.c. "science" is stupidity in a new form ! How many times you need proof for gravity ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911233-cidrap-cdc-head-pleads-with-americans-as-covid-19-cases-rise[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911233-cidrap-cdc-head-pleads-with-americans-as-covid-19-cases-rise ;I'm going to lose the script, and I'm going to reflect on the recurring feeling I have of impending doom," said Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Rochelle Walensky, MD, MPH, today during the White House COVID-19 press briefing.

DJ-I know the feeling-should dr. Walensky step down because stupidity is making her job impossible ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/other-ngo-announcements-incl-red-cross-red-crescent/911221-open-letter-to-health-and-finance-ministers-in-the-countries-with-covid-19-oxygen-shortages[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/other-ngo-announcements-incl-red-cross-red-crescent/911221-open-letter-to-health-and-finance-ministers-in-the-countries-with-covid-19-oxygen-shortagesWith the daily oxygen need across all low- and middle-income countries estimated at 11,800,000 cubic meters per day, or 1,700,000 large cylinders,1 many health facilities are overwhelmed and running out of oxygen as the families of patients often wait for days and pay exorbitant prices for scarce oxygen supplies while their loved ones suffer.

DJ-oxygen shortages are coming to you this summer !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/911196-mysterious-disease-killing-young-california-bears-in-tahoe[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/911196-mysterious-disease-killing-young-california-bears-in-tahoe DJ-No Covid-link but what is it ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911194-us-cdc-in-less-than-a-week-span-cases-of-coronavirus-variant-double-in-florida-march-28-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911194-us-cdc-in-less-than-a-week-span-cases-of-coronavirus-variant-double-in-florida-march-28-2021 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911188-france-paris-doctors-sound-alarm-warn-of-catastrophic-overload-of-covid-19-cases-march-28-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911188-france-paris-doctors-sound-alarm-warn-of-catastrophic-overload-of-covid-19-cases-march-28-2021 

DJ-In NL a doctor did not believe the UK variant-in itself-was more deadly. It was the overload, hospitals running out of capacity that was deadly...Here in Europe so far Germany had extra IC-capacity and was willing to take (at no cost !!!) patients from other countries. With the coming wave maybe China can be of help in providing extra hospitals, doctors, medication ? In the America's Cuba may be able to offer some extra help ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911176-bmc-endocr-disord-diabetes-even-newly-defined-by-hba1c-testing-is-associated-with-an-increased-risk-of-in-hospital-death-in-adults-with-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911176-bmc-endocr-disord-diabetes-even-newly-defined-by-hba1c-testing-is-associated-with-an-increased-risk-of-in-hospital-death-in-adults-with-covid-19 DJ-Covid19 on top of other diseases can disturbe-long term-all kind of values. In that way become deadly in several months-if not a few years...slowly destroying organs inside the body. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911174-vaccine-projected-covid-19-epidemic-in-the-united-states-in-the-context-of-the-effectiveness-of-a-potential-vaccine-and-implications-for-social-distancing-and-face-mask-use[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911174-vaccine-projected-covid-19-epidemic-in-the-united-states-in-the-context-of-the-effectiveness-of-a-potential-vaccine-and-implications-for-social-distancing-and-face-mask-use ;Conclusions: The degree to which the US population can relax social distancing restrictions and face mask use will depend greatly on the effectiveness and coverage of a potential COVID-19 vaccine if future epidemics are to be prevented. Only a highly effective vaccine will enable the US population to return to life as it was before the pandemic.

DJ-I think the most realistic scenario is variants of Covid 19 evading/resistant of vaccines will become dominant. We NEED long term plans ! We NEED to stop variants !!! We NEED to prepare better for a next pandemic-maybe even on top of this one (flu H5N8 via birds into animals then to humans is a likely scenario)...Problem is we vaccinate to little and hope summer will save us...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-poCVhV5-yY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-poCVhV5-yY ;

WHO report on the start of this pandemic. Dr.J.C. seems to like cold war blagh-blagh...

US cases following the same route as Europe a few weeks earlier...

DJ-Dr.J.C. deserves respect. It is great he is trying to give some expert info to a large audience. But I do not like "hopium" ; his stories "vaccines will save us" while variants are already evading vaccines...and will develop further. His story of "booster shots" like the flu-vaccine miss the point that there is no "covid19-season" it can get active again any part of the year with new variants. New variants hit younger age groups much harder. And a pandemic is a global problem-not just a UK/US one...

Most diseases hitting humans start in other animals. It is more then likely Covid19 also did start in animals. Did China make mistakes ? Yes-very likely ! But the Wuhan lockdown was in january 2020 and the world did not react in any sane way...Sewage samples in many places indicate Covid19 may have been around maybe allready in the summer of 2019. We still do not know how the Spanish Flu exactly started-there are several ideas on that...so expecting 100% proof of how Covid19 started may be impossible. 

In my opinion top-priority has to be stopping this pandemic-but it is NOT top priority...war is. 

WAR

[url]https://southfront.org/u-s-socom-forms-task-force-to-counter-chinas-information-operations-in-indo-pacific/[/url] or https://southfront.org/u-s-socom-forms-task-force-to-counter-chinas-information-operations-in-indo-pacific/ 

[url]https://southfront.org/china-signals-possible-greater-middle-east-engagement/[/url] or https://southfront.org/china-signals-possible-greater-middle-east-engagement/ 

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finances_of_ISIL[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finances_of_ISIL Like ISI-Pakistan secret service being a main factor in Afghanistan-since the US/CIA did ask ISI to play that role in the 70's-Turkey is a main factor in IS/Syria. 

Several times the Israel/US/NATO airforce coordinated actions with IS against the Syrian Arab Army/Russia. In the pro-Assad forces there are people from Palestine, Lebanon, Afghanistan. IS is trained in Al-Tanf-US occupied zone in south Syria. There are many reports of IS activity all around the globe-with IS "officials" flying in. IS seems to be able to transfer money around the globe. Sometimes local groups in Nigeria, Mozambique, Phillipines, Indonesia, Somalia fight under the flag of IS. But in Ukraine some of the IS fighters (joining European neo-nazi's on the Kiev side) are also "imported". A main reason IS is NOT active in Turkey, Israel is that these countries are allies. 

China must be involved-at least in intel-in the Middle East since several thousend Uyghur/West China families did become jihadi's-most likely with the help of Turkey and the US. Both Russia and China face IS militant actions in parts of their countries. Since the US is also supporting groups (MEK. Balutjistan) in Iran-a main oil exporter to China-also here the US is fighting Russia and China. 

When one looks at cruelty and insanity Japan was worse then Germany in world war two. But barbarism was widespread. In Cambodia the Kmehr Rouge/Red Kmehr managed to kill 1/3 of the population in 1975-1979. In Rwanda in 1994 crazy Hutu's managed to kill up to 600,000 moderate Hutu's and Tutsi's. Of course there are Stalin, Mao also killing millions-but colonialism also did kill millions. 

Still IS manages to be in the cruelty global top. Burning POW's alive, cutting of hands and heads by the thousends-selling slaves...Financing their operations most via "donations" of Gulf States and western countries (white helmets-transporting people to be executed etc..). But drug trade, organ trade, child trade, oil trade also major sources of income. NATO is working with this ..... but claiming to fight them for several years...

It will be a matter of time before IS (etc) starts spreading Covid19 variants in bio-warfare...You can not fix stupid-stupid will kill us all !

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NUa1mvaYNtk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NUa1mvaYNtk Why did Mongolia not get in the USSR ? Short history...

Music;[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nS5_EQgbuLc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nS5_EQgbuLc Back In The USSR/CCCP The Beatles (with a bit of the Beach Boys-sound)....DJ-Russia and China are NOT western democracies-but that does not mean they are "bad". Human rights at an individual level may be worse for some "black" people in the US/Europe then for most in Russia and China. It would be good if there could be some form of "peacefull coexistence" between the US, EU, Russia, China, India...certainly in this pandemic we may need international cooperation to survive. 





We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 30 2021 at 10:38pm

DJ

It is quiet on this forum...while there is enough (bad) news...WAR [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-message-to-nato[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sends-message-to-nato and [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/france-military-document-society-must-prepare-for-war-casualties-not-seen-since-ww2[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/france-military-document-society-must-prepare-for-war-casualties-not-seen-since-ww2 I did link worst case scenario's with increased risk of war/destabilization. (Last year-somewhere-could not find it...). Allthough [url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/24-world-leaders-call-more-globalism-wake-pandemic[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/24-world-leaders-call-more-globalism-wake-pandemic there is also some pressure for international cooperation. 

When I look at the "vaccine war", Russian and Chinese vaccins have to be bad since they come from Russia and China. The not-for-profit AZ/O vaccine gives a very limited number of serious complications-proberbly just as much as most other vaccines but "the media is going for the marketing of AZ/O =bad"...In fact we now end up with even less vaccines and more variants...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ indicate a growing healthcrisis. What they also show the western approach of "herd immunity and big pharma" being a total disaster...[url]https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines[/url] or https://reliefweb.int/report/world/two-thirds-epidemiologists-warn-mutations-could-render-current-covid-vaccines ;

In a survey of 77 epidemiologists from 28 countries, carried out by The People’s Vaccine Alliance, two-thirds thought that we had a year or less before the virus mutates to the extent that the majority of first-generation vaccines are rendered ineffective and new or modified vaccines are required. Of those surveyed, almost a third gave a timeframe of nine months or less. Fewer than one in eight said they believed that mutations would never render the current vaccines ineffective.

The overwhelming majority - 88 per cent - said that persistent low vaccine coverage in many countries would make it more likely for vaccine resistant mutations to appear.

DJ-The strategy against the Covid19 pandemic fails...So again start blaming China for not working with the (China owned they also claim) WHO...China did it...or Putin did it...[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/somewhat-out-of-the-mud.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/somewhat-out-of-the-mud.html reflects my feelings-that much stupidity...

[url]https://www.containmentnu.nl/home?lang=en[/url] or https://www.containmentnu.nl/home?lang=en ;Containment Now! is a grassroots campaign to push Governments in the Netherlands, Sweden and elsewhere to adopt a suppression strategy with regard to the novel Coronavirus. The outbreak can be contained to low levels with cost-effective measures such as test-trace-isolate, masks, checks on incoming travelers, alert levels and clear government commitment.

DJ-There is no profit in lockdowns, not enough big pharma profit in testing..."Freedom" even with millions dying...

-Flu Trackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021 ;India’s confirmed infections have exceeded 60,000 daily over the past week from a low of about 10,000 in February. On Monday, the health ministry reported 68,020 new cases, the sharpest daily rise since October last year, taking the nationwide tally to more than 12 million.

Daily deaths rose by 291 on Monday, taking the total death toll due to the virus to 161,843.

The latest surge is centred in the western state of Maharashtra, which on Sunday reported 40,414 new coronavirus cases, almost two-thirds of the national total, many of them in the densely populated financial capital Mumbai.

DJ-Healthcare is breaking down. Maharashtra is seeing its own variant spreading/out of control...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911348-cuba-reports-more-than-1-000-infections-in-one-day-and-march-stands-out-as-the-pandemic%E2%80%99s-worst-month[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911348-cuba-reports-more-than-1-000-infections-in-one-day-and-march-stands-out-as-the-pandemic%E2%80%99s-worst-month ; Cuba reports more than 1,000 infections in one day and March stands out as the pandemic’s worst monthDJ-No mention of variants

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-728-the-worst-for-the-5th-consecutive-day-march-30-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-7-day-moving-average-in-covid-19-deaths-is-2-728-the-worst-for-the-5th-consecutive-day-march-30-2021 DJ The average is on its way to get over 3000 deaths+ per day....as far as I did see no indications of a slow down. With healthcare collapsing the number of "pandemic deaths" may explode. Social unrest is increasing with the army in Brazil distancing itself from bolsonaro/cia

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911305-new-microbes-new-infect-a-33-year-old-man-with-covid-19-presented-with-subacute-thyroiditis-a-rare-case-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911305-new-microbes-new-infect-a-33-year-old-man-with-covid-19-presented-with-subacute-thyroiditis-a-rare-case-report ;We report the first case of the novel coronavirus infectious disease 2019 (COVID-19) presented with subacute thyroiditis (SAT) in Ghaemshar, Mazandaran Province, Iran. In our patient, with the initiation of corticosteroid therapy, the symptoms of SAT gently disappeared with the gradual increase in thyroid-stimulation hormone (TSH) and the gradual elimination of thyrotoxicosis. This case shows that decreased TSH and persistent thyrotoxicosis may make the patient's condition worse. Managing this complication can take several weeks and can be complicated.

DJ Since the thyroid is in the throat infection of the upper respitory system can bring infection of the thyroid. Something to watch...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911266-ann-ig-insects-and-sars-cov-2-analysis-of-the-potential-role-of-vectors-in-european-countries[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911266-ann-ig-insects-and-sars-cov-2-analysis-of-the-potential-role-of-vectors-in-european-countries ;The biological transmission of viral agents through insects is very complex. While mechanical transmission is more likely to happen, biological transmission is possible via blood-sucking arthropods, but this requires a high grade of compatibility between the vector and the pathogen. If the biological and mechanical transmission of SARS-CoV-2 by blood-sucking arthropods is excluded, a mechanical transmission by urban pests could take place. This risk is very low but it could be important in isolated environmental conditions, where other means of transmission are not possible. The presence of SARS-CoV-2 in non-blood-sucking arthropods in infected buildings, like hospitals and retirement homes, should be investigated.

DJ Of course such a study also has to look at things as fleas jumping from infected minks to cats, dogs, foxes and the way these animals could effect/infect other animals-the chain. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911264-pharmacol-rep-the-association-between-the-use-of-ivermectin-and-mortality-in-patients-with-covid-19-a-meta-analysis[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911264-pharmacol-rep-the-association-between-the-use-of-ivermectin-and-mortality-in-patients-with-covid-19-a-meta-analysisConclusion: We observed a preliminary beneficial effect on mortality associated with ivermectin use in patients with COVID-19 that warrants further clinical evidence in appropriately designed large-scale randomized controlled trials.

DJ-There is no profit in Ivermectin...

-NL a few news items;

[url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/netherlands-blew-chance-invest-astrazeneca-vaccine-report[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/netherlands-blew-chance-invest-astrazeneca-vaccine-report and [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/covid-hospital-total-tops-2400-first-time-10-weeks-icus-treating-10000th-case[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/03/30/covid-hospital-total-tops-2400-first-time-10-weeks-icus-treating-10000th-case 

DJ-Hospitals face increasing problems with staff. "Media-for-sale"/"politicians" calling for reopening, save the economy-stupidity...

Worldwide dealing with this pandemic is not a priority at all for "our leaders"...just like climate collapse basicly they only care for themselves-with a few good politicians, journalists etc trying to make a difference. 

Music; The Mamas & Papas-You Gotta Go Where You Wanna Go...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp0a2TCHcx4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp0a2TCHcx4  1966

You gotta go where you want to go Do what you want to do With whoever you want to do it with


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 31 2021 at 9:52pm

DJ,

Since one only can solve problems if one is willing to face problems two issues;

1-This pandemic is not the global top priority war is [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sending-56th-airborne-brigade-to-crimea[/url]or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sending-56th-airborne-brigade-to-crimea 

[url]https://southfront.org/large-convoy-of-russian-pmcs-spotted-on-central-african-republic-border-with-sudan-photos/[/url] or https://southfront.org/large-convoy-of-russian-pmcs-spotted-on-central-african-republic-border-with-sudan-photos/

[url]https://southfront.org/british-sas-portuguese-troops-join-battle-against-isis-in-mozambiques-cabo-delgado-videos/[/url] or https://southfront.org/british-sas-portuguese-troops-join-battle-against-isis-in-mozambiques-cabo-delgado-videos/

DJ-Since the US goal is to be #1 a growing China-with allies-is a major problem. The US$ is linked to being able to control global energy trade. If that fails-as it is-the US is a "rich Brazil with nuclear weapons"...NATO is divided. Turkey in NATO is becoming a growing problem. But also overstretching by including non-NATO countries (Israel, Ukraine, Georgia, Saudi Arabia) in all kind of military operations is damaging NATO. Afghanistan-endless-is supposed to be a NATO operation, NATO forces in Iraq are facing growing opposition. 

A major war SHOULD be avoided ! A major war will be the end of NATO and show all kinds of cracks dividing "the west". Germany bying Russian energy via North Stream while Poland (now still run by catholic extremists) close to join Ukraine against Russia (with the Russian Orthodox church a major factor-linked with other orthodox churches, Serbia, Greece, Ukraine, Syria, Iraq, Egypt...).

The EU is already over its ears in China trade. Austria is yet another country willing to buy Sputnik-V ...This pandemic is making the cold war even hotter. Russian and Chinese vaccines are now most used worldwide...(with Russia also producing Carnivak-Cov vaccines to protect animals against corona...)

When one looks at how recent conflicts did go the basic idea was to "limit the war to one battlefield" in more then one place. Russia was talking with Turkey, Saudi Arabia-making deals while also bombing away the Turkey/KSA/NATO sponsored "rebels/terrorists"...

Russia was doing the fighting while China was doing the trade. US/NATO forces stuck in every conflict they started-situation only getting worse. From Libya, Yemen, Syria to Afghanistan western wars turn out to be a disaster damaging the west. 

Since you can not seem to fix stupid the west has decided to intensify the fighting...while the pandemic is getting worse...

2-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Brazil now close to 4000 deaths in one day, almost 90,000 new cases in just one day. In fact France, Poland-if you look at their smaller populations are even doing worse...bet at least very likely doing more testing...

Worldwide maybe 200 million people now having some protection from vaccines-on a total of 7,8 billion. Some parts of Asia, Oceania have this pandemic under control/within limits. Most countries face variants "out of control". 

[url]https://www.gavi.org/news-resources/media-room/news-releases[/url] or https://www.gavi.org/news-resources/media-room/news-releases 

[url]https://peoplesvaccine.org/faq/[/url] or https://peoplesvaccine.org/faq/ 

DJ-Vaccines offer protection. The UK, Israel for now are doing okay. NPI offers better protection, Australia, New Zealand, China show you do not need vaccines to keep this pandemic out. 

Vaccines select. They offer protection against severe disease, but they may not stop spreading variants. The general idea is that vaccines could create room for "more agressive" variants to spread. The general idea also is we need NPI/lockdowns to stop that...France, Sweden and several other countries already going for restrictions to early may...

Is there a Permanent Pandemic Genocide ? (PPG) DJ I think that if we do not increase vaccine production and a more equal spread yes there is a PPG. Soon killing millions in Latin America, Africa, South Asia. We could stop it but do not stop it...protecting Big Pharma "rights" on the tax-funded warp-speed project (etc) outcome-vaccines. 

If you see someone drowning and you just keep looking while you can do something to save a live you have to ask yourself what you are doing and why...

In Brazil bolsonaro wants to "get rid of the old and the black"..."We" want Africa "without its population"...Do we stop climate change by killing the poor ? NO-it is the rich that do by far most of the climate change...

Inaction-further inaction-in stopping this pandemic will cause more variants and other diseases getting out of control. Some basic healthcare worldwide is now beyond breaking point. We may soon get "blind" not able to detect new variants, other diseases...

Are humans self-destructive-if they are not they better show that !

Music; Golden Brown-Dave Brubeck [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Qs1J612nZs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Qs1J612nZs (fake history-well done !) A little tribute to Dave Greenfield (keyboardist with The Stranglers who died with Covid-19 last week) and Paul Desmond (saxophonist with the Dave Brubeck quartet - the anniversary of his death is at the end of this month). 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-GUjA67mdc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-GUjA67mdc The Stranglers original

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 01 2021 at 1:27am

part two

DJ

ViQueen24 "Impending doom" also now used by the CDC describes the global situation. 

FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911474-cansino-vaccine-loses-efficacy-to-50-over-5-6-months[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911474-cansino-vaccine-loses-efficacy-to-50-over-5-6-months ;China’s CanSino Biologics has said that the efficacy rate for its single-dose Covid vaccine may fall over time although it should still have a rate of 50% or more five to six months after inoculation. A second shot given to trial participants six months after their first injection could offer substantial protection, Zhu Tao, CanSinoBIO’s chief scientific officer, said in an online presentation late yesterday reported by Reuters.
The vaccine has been approved in ChinaPakistanHungary and Mexico, and CanSinoBIO is also planning a clinical trial in China for an inhaled version of the vaccine.
"A booster shot six months later led to a seven times to 10-times increase in neutralising antibody levels, so we expect in this case efficacy could reach over 90%,” Zhu said, though he cautioned more clinical trial data was needed for more precise estimates.

DJ-There still is discussion on how good vaccines protect. Indications-and the UK, Israel-are vaccination is limiting virus spread. It would be very welcome if vaccines can stop this pandemic. Others warn some variants may become resistant to (most) vaccines. A major problem being a lot of people not being vaccinated-or vaccinated but not yet immune enough-leading to variant selection. In that proces variants that evade vaccination/natural immunity survive...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911473-a-third-of-covid-patients-readmitted-to-hospital-within-four-months-of-discharge-and-one-in-eight-die-in-same-period[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911473-a-third-of-covid-patients-readmitted-to-hospital-within-four-months-of-discharge-and-one-in-eight-die-in-same-periodAfter an average follow-up time of 140 days, nearly a third of the Covid patients who had been discharged from hospital had been readmitted and about one in eight had died, rates considerably higher than seen in the control group

DJ-Are they NOT included in UK statistics ? Does the UK only count deaths within 4 weeks/28 days ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911472-in-uk-few-people-with-symptoms-request-test-or-isolate[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911472-in-uk-few-people-with-symptoms-request-test-or-isolate ; Experts involved in the study, including from Public Health England's behavioural science team, found that just 18% of those with coronavirus symptoms said they had requested a test, while 43% with symptoms in the previous seven days adhered to full self-isolation.

Men, younger people and those with young children were less likely to self-isolate, as were those from more working-class backgrounds, people experiencing greater financial hardship, and those working in key sectors.

Common reasons for not fully self-isolating included needing to go to the shops or work, for a medical need other than Covid-19, to care for a vulnerable person, to exercise or meet others, or because symptoms were only mild or got better.

DJ-In NL only about 50% of those that test positive isolate...there is no penalty for not going in isolation. Even most of our politicians do not take their own rules very serious. One reason why "the west" is not getting out of this pandemic is an unbalance between "freedom and responsibility"...(but also a lack of support-if nobody is taking care of young children how you can isolate ? If there is no money how you are going to get food ? If politicians show they themselves "rules are for fools" what can you expect ?) My impression is the more strict rule-test positive is stay at home by law-should be used more often. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911463-covid-19-india-sees-new-spike-in-cases-despite-vaccine-rollout[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911463-covid-19-india-sees-new-spike-in-cases-despite-vaccine-rollout ;In total, Indian government laboratories have done the genome sequencing of 10.787 samples of SARS-CoV2 to look for variants, and found 771...

DJ Lack of sequencing and spread of variants-mixed with extreme poverty will not end this pandemic in India/Asia. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-there-were-3-950-covid-19-deaths-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-march-31-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911098-brazil-there-were-3-950-covid-19-deaths-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-march-31-2021 ;There were 3,950 deaths recorded in 24 hours, a new record. March had more than double the deaths of July 2020, the second worst month of the pandemic.

DJ-What goes for India/Asia goes for Africa (with hardly any testing) and Latin America. The record number of Brazil deaths is very likely an undercounting...real numbers of pandemic related deaths double ? Healthcare is doing its best no doubt but unable to provide all the help that is needed. Growing social unrest with increase risks for civil war/chaos.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911456-record-number-of-ontario-nurses-may-leave-the-profession-after-covid-19-survey[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911456-record-number-of-ontario-nurses-may-leave-the-profession-after-covid-19-survey ; Overall, the association said it anticipates 15.6 per cent of nurses will leave the profession within a year, including those who are retiring and those who are choosing to depart early. This is higher than Ontario’s usual nurse loss rate of 4.8 per cent.

The results show that 95.7 per cent of nurses said the pandemic affected their work, with the largest percentage — 31.6 per cent — experiencing very high levels of stress...

DJ-Public jobs-from police to teacher, HCW-er see underpayment, lack of perspectives.."market jobs" pay often better with less risks. It is very sad to see politics NOT dealing with these problems-creating even bigger problems...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911452-covid-france-schools-to-close-under-third-lockdown[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911452-covid-france-schools-to-close-under-third-lockdown ;French schools will close for at least three weeks as part of new national restrictions to fight rising Covid cases, President Emmanuel Macron says. Mr Macron said that schools would move to remote learning from next week.
Lockdown measures, introduced in some areas of France earlier this month, are also being extended to other districts.
All non-essential shops are to close from Saturday and there will be a ban on travelling more than 10km (six miles) from home without good reason.
The country is facing a peak of over 5,000 people in intensive care. On Wednesday, the country's health ministry reported 59,038 new cases.

DJ-France did have strict rules-but not strict enough to get variants under control. There must be several variants spreading-most UK, some SA but also a French variant-and more ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911448-simultaneous-detection-and-mutation-surveillance-of-sars-cov-2-and-co-infections-of-multiple-respiratory-viruses-by-rapid-field-deployable-sequencing[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911448-simultaneous-detection-and-mutation-surveillance-of-sars-cov-2-and-co-infections-of-multiple-respiratory-viruses-by-rapid-field-deployable-sequencing DJ-More and better testing, sequencing. FluTrackers also has news on AZ/O -vaccine nasal spray. The present form of vaccinating in the arm is slow-a Finland study also showed a nasal spray creating better immunity. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911447-alterations-in-t-and-b-cell-function-persist-in-convalescent-covid-19-patients[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911447-alterations-in-t-and-b-cell-function-persist-in-convalescent-covid-19-patients ;

Highlights

  • 1. Lymphocytes were examined during COVID-19 and at up to 6 months of convalescence
  • 2. B cell changes seen during acute COVID-19 were largely restored in convalescence
  • 3. T cells from convalescent COVID-19 patients displayed persistent changes
  • 4. Lymphocyte signatures defined 3 convalescent patient groups; one with poorer outcome

DJ-Long term Covid and reinfections are major problems in this pandemic. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911443-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-up-5th-straight-week-deaths-follow[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911443-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-up-5th-straight-week-deaths-follow ; In its weekly snapshot of global COVID-19 activity, the World Health Organization (WHO) said yesterday that new cases rose for the fifth week in a row, an increase that now includes all six of its regions, with deaths accelerating for the second straight week.
In other developments, expert groups that continue to weigh potential side effects of the AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine said benefits still outweigh the risks, and the WHO today said that ivermectin should only be used to treat COVID-19 within clinical trials.

-

In its latest situation report, the WHO said of the more than 3.8 million cases added to the global total last week, the five countries reporting the most were Brazil, the United States, India, France, and Poland. Meanwhile, countries reporting some of the steepest rises include Bangladesh (85%), India (55%), Turkey (47%), and the Philippines (43%).
Cases rose even in some countries in the African region, where cases had declined over the previous 2 weeks. For example, Kenya's cases increased 25% and Ethiopia's new infections increased 14%.
Regarding SARS-CoV-2 variant activity, 5 more countries reported the B117 virus that was first detected in the United Kingdom, raising the total to 130. Five more countries reported the B1351 variant that was first found in South Africa, lifting the total to 80. And four more countries reported the P1 virus first identified in Brazil, bringing the number to 45.
In the Americas, officials from the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) said today at a briefing that over the past 4 weeks, the region has averaged 1 million new cases a week, signaling that transmission is very active in many places.

-

Other global headlines

  • The WHO today said evidence is inconclusive regarding ivermectin as a treatment for COVID-19, and it recommends that the drug only be used in clinical trial settings. In a statement, it said its recommendation applies to patients with any disease severity. The WHO's guideline development group looked at 16 randomized controlled trials that enrolled 2,407 patients, including both inpatients and outpatients.
  • French President Emmanuel Macron, in an address to the nation today, announced tighter COVID-19 restrictions, warning that the country must take new steps or risk losing control of the virus, according to CNN. The limited lockdown takes effect on Apr 3 and lasts at least 1 month. The steps keep curfews in place, limit domestic travel, and urge people to work from home. Nurseries and schools (primary and secondary) will close for at least 3 weeks.
  • The Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) today launched a $200 million funding call to advance the development of vaccines that broadly protect against SARS-CoV-2 and betacoronaviruses. In a statement, it said development of vaccines against variants is already underway, but more approaches are needed to stay one step ahead of them, other betacoronaviruses, and other novel coronaviruses that will emerge in the future.
  • The WHO's SAGE group said China's Sinovac and Sinopharm COVID-19 vaccines meet its efficacy requirements and that it hopes to issue recommendations on them by the end of April, according to Reuters.
  • In China, the city of Ruili—in the southwest, near the border with Myanmar—went on lockdown after a cluster of six local cases was detected, according to Reuters.

DJ-Close to 4 million new cases in just one week-with still a lot of people not being tested. Healthcare is getting more and more overstretched in almost all countries (China, Australia, New Zealand-maybe Thailand, South Korea, Israel excluded-even the UK is expecting an increase in cases...even with a lot of vaccinations.) Ivermectin is "cheap and effective" according to a lot of studies. DJ-For profit Big Pharma exploiting this man made pandemic needs serious study. What role does the Big Pharma play in the WHO/CDC etc ? In universities ? Why that many countries failed to stop this pandemic in time ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc/911441-cdc-covid-19-was-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-2020-people-of-color-hit-hardest[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/cdc/911441-cdc-covid-19-was-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-2020-people-of-color-hit-hardest ; The age-adjusted death rate increased by 15.9% in 2020. Overall death rates were highest among non-Hispanic Black persons and non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native persons. COVID-19 was the third leading cause of death, and the COVID-19 death rate was highest among Hispanics.

DJ It is the poor that pay the price for misbehavior of a rich elite. Most of climate change is linked to how a few rich keep flying, spoiling energy...this pandemic is also related to rich flying around the globe-spreading the virus. Not willing to pay taxes that enable basic global healthcare but rather spend their money on goods "Made In Italy" by Chinese...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911437-russia-registers-world-s-first-covid-19-vaccine-for-animals[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911437-russia-registers-world-s-first-covid-19-vaccine-for-animalsThe World Health Organization has expressed concern over the transmission of the virus between humans and animals. Moscow's regulator said the vaccine would be able to protect vulnerable species and thwart viral mutations.

... Clinical trials of the Russian animal vaccine began in October last year and involved dogs, cats, Arctic foxes, mink, foxes and other animals.

DJ-Russia will use the vaccine in service dogs at (air)ports...but the vaccine may also help to slow down spread in animals not under human control. If variants spread in mice maybe via water that get a vaccine spread can be stopped ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911435-as-variant-b-1-427-b-1-429-spreads-in-california-nevada-and-arizona-hhs-stops-direct-ordering-of-the-monoclonal-bamlanivimab[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911435-as-variant-b-1-427-b-1-429-spreads-in-california-nevada-and-arizona-hhs-stops-direct-ordering-of-the-monoclonal-bamlanivimab ;The USG is evaluating recommendations for use of bamlanivimab in regions where the SARS-CoV2 mutation L452R found in B.1.429/B.1.427 lineages (a.k.a. 20C/CAL.20C) is circulating in high numbers given concerns that the clinical activity of bamlanivimab is impacted by this variant. ASPR will limit distribution to these regions of the country by stopping direct ordering for bamlanivimab while evaluations are ongoing.

Currently, this action will only affect the states of California, Arizona, and Nevada. The other two authorized products, bamlanivimab/etesevimab and casirivimab/imdevimab, do not appear to be affected and will continue to be available for direct ordering in these states.”

DJ-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bamlanivimab/etesevimab[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bamlanivimab/etesevimab ;Bamlanivimab/etesevimab is a combination of two monoclonal antibodiesbamlanivimab and etesevimab, administered together via intravenous infusion as a treatment for COVID‑19.[1][2][3] Both types of antibody target the surface spike protein of SARS‑CoV‑2

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911424-cdc-updated-covid-variant-map-growth-trends-by-state[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/911424-cdc-updated-covid-variant-map-growth-trends-by-state ;All of these number are substantial undercounts and should be viewed as representing trends, not actual conditions on the ground.

DJ-Sequencing is a global problem. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream (latest activity) ; Ontario logs 2,333 new COVID-19 cases and 15 more deaths; ICU occupancy hits all-time high

-

The seven-day rolling average is now 2,316, compared to 1,676 seven days ago.

DJ-More and more countries reporting this wave hitting harder then earlier waves. On top of that duration is taking its toll-economic, HCW-ers at breaking point, mental health etc...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911349-india-the-latest-covid-19-surge-is-centered-in-the-western-state-of-maharashtra-march-29-2021?view=stream ;
New, more infectious variants are thought to be behind a rapid, six-fold escalation in cases since mid-February
...
In India’s northern state of Punjab, also badly affected by the resurgence, the UK variant - which is up to 70 per cent more contagious – was found in 81 per cent of 401 samples collected between January 1 and March 10.

There is also concern about a more transmissible domestic strain, after the Indian Government said it had found 771 variants of concern, including one “double mutant” strain which has infected over 200 people in Maharashtra.

DJ-Is this pandemic "out of control" on a global scale ? Due to over-expectations on vaccines, speed of vaccinations and (newer) variants ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911410-japan-sees-fourth-wave-after-easing-restrictions[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911410-japan-sees-fourth-wave-after-easing-restrictionsThe resurgence is most pronounced where the order was lifted in early February, which implies the unsettling possibility that in the greater Tokyo metropolitan area — where the declaration was ended weeks later on March 22 — a delayed uptick is quickly approaching. 

DJ-"Olympic faillure of politics"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911411-turkey-tightens-restrictions-after-rise-in-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911411-turkey-tightens-restrictions-after-rise-in-cases ;ANKARA — Turkey is re-introducing weekend lockdowns in most provinces and will impose restrictions over the Muslim holy month of Ramadan following a sharp increase in COVID-19 cases.
Infections in Turkey have soared less than a month after authorities divided the 81 provinces into four color-coded categories and relaxed restrictions in some provinces under a “controlled normalization” effort.
The number of infections hit a record on Tuesday, with the Health Ministry confirming 37,303 new cases in the past 24 hours. 

DJ-No idea what mega-mix of variants are spreading there...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east/h5n1-tracking-ac/algeria-ad/906577-algeria-has-registered-a-hotbed-of-bird-flu-h5n8?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east/h5n1-tracking-ac/algeria-ad/906577-algeria-has-registered-a-hotbed-of-bird-flu-h5n8?view=stream DJ-Not if but when it will spread to other species...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FD54-7qc88[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FD54-7qc88 

DJ-We know a lot of how diseases start and spread. Finding samples of "early Covid19 virus outside China" raises questions. I do not believe there is a simple answer on how this pandemic did get started (or even where)... A political-cold war-agenda is not helping. In my view the Wuhan lockdown end of january 2020 was ingored by the west as a warning sign. Can this SARS-2 have escaped from a Wuhan-lab ? Maybe ! But top priority has to be getting this pandemic under control ! In my view this pandemic is man-made due to inaction on a global scale. 

Is it important that there is more study on "how it started"? Yes-but only if that study is meant to find the truth-not as a propaganda war. There was a big gap between the closest bat-coronavirus and SARS-2 virus. Can that gap get closed via recombination in a human or other species? 

There have been some other studies on "gain of function" on how fast, in what many steps-a virus in other species can become a serious pandemic risk. We know of several other virusses not that far away from "jumping species" ...maybe we have only been lucky so far...what we do see as "normal" in many ways being very abnormal-is diseases spreading the long term "normal"? 

See also [url]https://www.rt.com/op-ed/519735-us-china-covid-origin/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/op-ed/519735-us-china-covid-origin/ 

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 

DJ-Gets updated daily...

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/false-assertions-misleading-quotes-fake-sources-how-the-nyt-writes-anti-china-screeds.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/03/false-assertions-misleading-quotes-fake-sources-how-the-nyt-writes-anti-china-screeds.html 

DJ-China is in many ways already the leading global power. The US needs to stop that or face to be sidelined. In my opinion the best US answer should be in diplomacy. Still the US keeps making the same mistake by "sending in the army" while talking would do much better...In many ways (with the UK out of the EU) the EU is finding its own way-no longer following the US. Our €/Euro is competing with the US $ in many ways. 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 01 2021 at 9:20am

Yes, Josh, I noticed that.  Not a coincidence?  I can't explain it, but about a month or so ago, for a a couple weeks I was feeling this sense of impending doom and anxiety for the future.  I hoped it was a personal future, and not a collective future, and so took some measures in my private life to get some additional training vis-à-vis a future job.  Now, with the experts even expressing deep pessimism, I am rethinking the source of my prescience.

I am the DZ Queen, and I approve this message.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 01 2021 at 10:26pm

ViQueen24...we are facing a "pandemic monster"...It does not have a green skin or red eyes, does not breathe flames...The monster looks almost human...it is the action-or lack of it-making him/her that monster...

DJ

-This man-made pandemic could and should be over in 30 days ! An almost global lockdown could reduce the R0 for virus/variants far below 1. Global vaccinations could save most lives...it is a matter of choice. The choice for NOT stopping this pandemic makes it a genocide !

By "economy first" we are creating a "Permanent Pandemic Genocide" and that is totally unacceptable-one of the worst crimes in history because we know what we are doing ! We know what choices we make-and who pays the price ! 

The numbers-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ . Yesterday we did make a choice it was okay to see another 11,688 deaths, another over 700,000 new cases. It seems to be okay to see those new cases becoming new deaths in a few weeks...We know how to stop it but "the economy"...

And so the P1 variant goes on killing in Latin America, the P3 variant in SE Asia, the UK variant in most of Europe...New infections creating new variants...out of control because we do not want to control it...It is "okay" if some rich countries can protect their rich..let the rest get infected and die...

-FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911573-this-is-your-brain-on-pandemic-what-chronic-stress-is-doing-to-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911573-this-is-your-brain-on-pandemic-what-chronic-stress-is-doing-to-us ;Back in the 1980s, there was a public service announcement on TV that you may remember — or may have seen on YouTube.

A guy in a kitchen held up an egg and said, "This is your brain." Then he cracked the egg into a hot frying pan, and said, "This is your brain on drugs."
One year into this pandemic, your brain might be feeling a bit like that egg: Fried. "Everything is so much harder," said Stephanie Johnson, a client relationship executive at Sun Life who lives in Toronto. "I don't have the motivation that I used to have. I don't have the efficiency that I used to have."

"Defeated" is how Vas Smountas, a freelance graphic designer, describes it. Also living in Toronto, she describes herself these days as "tired, defeated, foggy, unmotivated." And research suggests those feelings are not uncommon right now, as the chronic stress of the pandemic has both affected our brains — and robbed us of normal, healthy ways to cope...

DJ-I did not see humans as the "best thing of creation"...we show to be self-destructive-this man-made pandemic is just another form of self-destruction. We are "the crazy animal"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911572-some-of-america-s-wealthiest-hospital-systems-ended-up-even-richer-thanks-to-federal-bailouts[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911572-some-of-america-s-wealthiest-hospital-systems-ended-up-even-richer-thanks-to-federal-bailouts  DJ-How much money can you "make" by investing in the military industrial complex and big pharma ? Is money not always going the wrong way ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/childhood-diseases/measles/911511-race-to-produce-covid-vaccine-may-cause-measles-jabs-shortage[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/childhood-diseases/measles/911511-race-to-produce-covid-vaccine-may-cause-measles-jabs-shortage ;Critical topics relating to immunization globally were discussed during a regular meeting last week by the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts, known as SAGE. Recommendations were made regarding the status of Ebola vaccines, as well as an oral polio vaccine, and COVID-19 vaccines undergoing evaluation. During this review, SAGE Chair Alejandro Cravioto said the experts raised concerns regarding the situation of vaccinations against measles and rubella.

“We are deeply worried that this had been stalled because of the COVID situation and we fear that if this is not properly looked at by each one of the countries that has not been able to vaccinate the children so far, we will be having problems with outbreaks of, especially measles. That is something that worries everybody and that we saw happening in 2019 in the very clearest way,” Cravioto said. Measles surged worldwide in 2019, reaching the highest number since 1996. Nearly 900,000 measles cases were reported, claiming more than 207,000 child lives, most in developing countries.

Director of the WHO’s Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals Kate O’Brien said she does not expect shortages of measles vaccine right now. However, she warned that could change because of the intense pressure to increase the manufacturing capacity of COVID-19 vaccine...

DJ At least it is good there are this kind of discussions...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/crimean-congo-fever/911527-pakistan-2021-crimean-congo-fever[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-a-thru-h/crimean-congo-fever/911527-pakistan-2021-crimean-congo-fever ;A 25-year-old youngster Safdar, resident of Sarjani Town Karachi, was brought to Jinnah Hospital on suspicion of Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic fever, commonly referred to as Congo fever, on Wednesday, Dunya News reported.

According to Executive Director of Jinnah Hospital Dr Simi Jamali, the blood samples of the affected person were sent to laboratory for test and found positive for the disease. This is the second case of Congo virus this year in Karachi...

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean%E2%80%93Congo_hemorrhagic_fever[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean%E2%80%93Congo_hemorrhagic_fever ;

The CCHF virus is typically spread by tick bites or contact with livestock carrying the disease.[1] Groups that are at high risk of infection are farmers and those who work in slaughterhouses.[1] The virus can also spread between people via body fluids.[1] Diagnosis is by detecting antibodies, the virus's RNA, or the virus itself.[1] It is a type of viral hemorrhagic fever.[1]

Prevention involves avoiding tick bites.[1]vaccine is not commercially available.[1] Treatment is typically with supportive care.[1] The medication ribavirin may also help.[1]

It occurs in Africa, the Balkans, the Middle East, and Asia.[1] Often it occurs in outbreaks.[1] In 2013 Iran, Russia, Turkey, and Uzbekistan documented more than fifty cases.[2] The risk of death among those affected is between 10 and 40%.[1] It was first detected in the 1940s.[4]

DJ-You do not want such a disease in a mega-city like Karachi over 15 million people in the urban region..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911551-msphere-stability-of-sars-cov-2-spike-g614-variant-surpasses-that-of-the-d614-variant-after-cold-storage[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911551-msphere-stability-of-sars-cov-2-spike-g614-variant-surpasses-that-of-the-d614-variant-after-cold-storage ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) carrying the D614G mutation on the spike protein is the predominant circulating variant and is associated with enhanced infectivity. However, whether this dominant variant can potentially spread through the cold chain and whether the spike protein affects virus stability after cold storage remain unclear. To compare the infectivity of two SARS-CoV-2 variants, namely, SARS-CoV-2 variants with spike protein with the D614 mutation (S-D614) and G614 mutation (S-G614), after different periods of refrigeration (4°C) and freezing (-20°C). We also determined the integrity of the viral RNA and the ability of the spike protein to bind angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) after storage at these conditions. The results showed that SARS-CoV-2 was more stable and infectious after storage at -20°C than at 4°C.

-

IMPORTANCE It has been observed that variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are more stable and infectious after storage at -20°C than at 4°C. 

DJ-Fits in whit some claims from China...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911526-sci-rep-ivermectin-reduces-in-vivo-coronavirus-infection-in-a-mouse-experimental-model[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/911526-sci-rep-ivermectin-reduces-in-vivo-coronavirus-infection-in-a-mouse-experimental-model ;

DJ-Bad news for big pharma share holders...so ignore it-there is much more money in new vaccines for new variants...pandemic as a money-machine !

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/west-using-polish-navy-and-submarines-to-intentionally-damage-russia-s-nordstream-2-pipeline-construction[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/west-using-polish-navy-and-submarines-to-intentionally-damage-russia-s-nordstream-2-pipeline-construction DJ-Is the UK or US destroying the German-Russian energy link ? [url]https://southfront.org/naval-provocations-unidentified-submarine-emerged-near-nord-stream-2-pipeline/[/url] or https://southfront.org/naval-provocations-unidentified-submarine-emerged-near-nord-stream-2-pipeline/ 

DJ Both Russia and China do know what a major war looks like-they both lost tens of millions in world war two. They both know civil war and the horror it brings...For the US wars are always thousends of miles away and bringing profit for some.

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/america-is-back-collides-with-a-multipolar-reality.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/america-is-back-collides-with-a-multipolar-reality.html 

Music-STOP In The Name Of Love [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aax5EDQMOq4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aax5EDQMOq4 The Supremes 1965


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 02 2021 at 10:51pm

DJ-I did just write a piece on NL in crisis in "latest news". "Our" PM is NOT a dictator, there is NOT YET a public uprising against politics failing to deal with this pandemic. But the Dutch political crisis may be similar to other crises in many countries. This pandemic worsening problems that were already there...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ these days will not reflect what is happening. Easter/good friday may see a lot of new cases. Still a top 5 of "new cases" is interesting;

At 1 now is India with almost 90,000 new cases. The US and Brazil almost end up with the same numbers-70,000. At #4 France and #5 Turkey...wonder what variants do cause the over 40,000 new cases there...

FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/911660-fossil-fuel-companies-took-billions-in-u-s-coronavirus-relief-funds-but-still-cut-nearly-60-000-jobs[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/911660-fossil-fuel-companies-took-billions-in-u-s-coronavirus-relief-funds-but-still-cut-nearly-60-000-jobs ; DJ-This shows exactly the political crisis I try to describe for NL...Those billions should NOT go to those companies ! How come politics keep sending "zillions" of tax payer money-WE have to pay for that !!!- to the very rich ? Answer-politics is made by the very rich ! 

The very rich own fossil fuel companies, military industrial, banks, big pharma-never waste a "good crisis". "To save the economy from the pandemic" WE end up even more poor, the rich even get more rich...and we are supposed to thank them because we survived a pandemic they did cause....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911657-concerns-about-sars-cov-2-evolution-should-not-hold-back-efforts-to-expand-vaccination[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911657-concerns-about-sars-cov-2-evolution-should-not-hold-back-efforts-to-expand-vaccination ; When vaccines are in limited supply, expanding the number of people who receive some vaccine, such as by halving doses or increasing the interval between doses, can reduce disease and mortality compared with concentrating available vaccine doses in a subset of the population. A corollary of such dose-sparing strategies is that the vaccinated individuals may have less protective immunity. Concerns have been raised that expanding the fraction of the population with partial immunity to SARS-CoV-2 could increase selection for vaccine-escape variants, ultimately undermining vaccine effectiveness. We argue that, although this is possible, preliminary evidence instead suggests such strategies should slow the rate of viral escape from vaccine or naturally induced immunity. As long as vaccination provides some protection against escape variants, the corresponding reduction in prevalence and incidence should reduce the rate at which new variants are generated and the speed of adaptation. Because there is little evidence of efficient immune selection of SARS-CoV-2 during typical infections, these population-level effects are likely to dominate vaccine-induced evolution.

DJ-Could we at least slow down restarting international airtravel ? Keep some NPI to stop spreading variants ? Vaccinations may increase asymptomatic spread ! The UK statistics on infected people needing more care after a few months recovery should be alarming ! We have been putting economy #1 for most of this pandemic and only made matters worse !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911628-nature-daily-briefing-evidence-that-cats-but-not-dogs-can-be-infected-with-the-coronavirus[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911628-nature-daily-briefing-evidence-that-cats-but-not-dogs-can-be-infected-with-the-coronavirus 

and 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911613-am-j-primatol-variation-in-predicted-covid-19-risk-among-lemurs-and-lorises[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911613-am-j-primatol-variation-in-predicted-covid-19-risk-among-lemurs-and-lorises 

DJ-Some animals may become a major reservoir for Covid19 variants. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911614-j-med-virol-unilateral-sub-macular-hemorrhage-novel-presentation-of-covid-19-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911614-j-med-virol-unilateral-sub-macular-hemorrhage-novel-presentation-of-covid-19-infection DJ-How covid19 may cause some problems in the eyes. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/immunity-aa/911603-clin-microbiol-infect-sars-cov-2-escape-mutants-and-protective-immunity-from-natural-infections-or-immunizations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/immunity-aa/911603-clin-microbiol-infect-sars-cov-2-escape-mutants-and-protective-immunity-from-natural-infections-or-immunizations ;Although coronaviruses have lower mutation rates than other respiratory RNA viruses, the scale of the pandemic has brought the importance of viral evolution for coronaviruses to centre stage. Three recently detected SARS-CoV-2 lineages (B.1.1.7, B.1.351, and P.1), have been scrutinized because they are unusually divergent and each possesses a unique constellation of mutations of potential biological importance, several of which are in the gene coding for the Spike protein. We briefly summarize the current knowledge on these variants, and their possible implications.

DJ-Maybe coronavirus in itself has a lower mutation rate-the problem is in the number of hosts getting infected...

-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2  DJ Trying to follow variants...but there must be more variants and more widespread. Dealing with this pandemic is not top-priority making it a genocide....

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r00Hwu96i1k&t=65s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r00Hwu96i1k&t=65s Dr.John Campbell on the SA variant in Europe...(DJ-I am starting to dislike Dr.J.C. for his cold war blagh blagh/vaccine promotion-still he has good info....)

WAR 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/happening-now-heavy-artillery-fire-hits-luhansk[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/happening-now-heavy-artillery-fire-hits-luhansk and 

[url]https://southfront.org/kiev-scrambles-to-justify-the-incoming-storm/[/url] or https://southfront.org/kiev-scrambles-to-justify-the-incoming-storm/ 

DJ Ukraine/NATO shelling targets in East Ukraine to provoke action and then claim "Russian agression". One of the many western/US goals is to stop North/Turkstream Russian energy deals with the EU. Also "uniting Europe behind the US" and against China...

Music; Classical Gas-Mason Williams 1968 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3NE6X4IQNA4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3NE6X4IQNA4 

(Another interesting video [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hvpNG1FBXss[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hvpNG1FBXss on connecting Finland with the Baltics/EU via a tunnel-and the many aspects...Can China invest in such a tunnel ? )




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DJ

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Easter[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Easter is named after the German godess [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C4%92ostre[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C4%92ostre . Basicly celebrating spring like [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yule[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yule celebrates days getting longer. 

[url]https://news.sky.com/story/police-shut-down-good-friday-church-service-and-threaten-worshippers-with-fines-12264608[/url] or https://news.sky.com/story/police-shut-down-good-friday-church-service-and-threaten-worshippers-with-fines-12264608 When the police has to come in to a church and end a chuchservice that is drastic. They only do that with permission from higher level...

If we want to stop this pandemic there is also a limit to religious activities...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (with some countries not reporting) show an alarming high number of new cases in India-almost 93,000 ! The Phillipines, Poland, Brazil, Italy-all very catholic-still make it to the top 10. Most likely easter will see new cases. Soon it will be ramadan-most likely increasing cases in other countries...

The mixing of variants creating new variants, spreading into animals, must be happening now-will be in the news over a few weeks. Also new cases up means increased deaths after 3 to 5 weeks. Some "media" reporting decrease of cases-not mentioning decrease of testing/reporting as the main reason...

-FluTrackers, reporting on lockdowns in France, Italy etc...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911676-am-j-blood-res-the-association-of-abo-blood-type-with-the-risk-and-severity-of-covid-19-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/911676-am-j-blood-res-the-association-of-abo-blood-type-with-the-risk-and-severity-of-covid-19-infection ;Conclusion: We did not find an increased susceptibility of any blood type to COVID-19 infection, nor was there an increased risk of severe COVID-19 infection in any ABO blood types.

DJ-Should not be surprising...still good they did the investigation

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911671-emerg-infect-dis-genetic-evidence-and-host-immune-response-in-persons-reinfected-with-sars-cov-2-brazil[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911671-emerg-infect-dis-genetic-evidence-and-host-immune-response-in-persons-reinfected-with-sars-cov-2-brazil ; The dynamics underlying severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection remain poorly understood. We identified a small cluster of patients in Brazil who experienced 2 episodes of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in March and late May 2020. In the first episode, patients manifested an enhanced innate response compared with healthy persons, but neutralizing humoral immunity was not fully achieved. The second episode was associated with different SARS-CoV-2 strains, higher viral loads, and clinical symptoms. Our finding that persons with mild COVID-19 may have controlled SARS-CoV-2 replication without developing detectable humoral immunity suggests that reinfection is more frequent than supposed, but this hypothesis is not well documented.

DJ-Mild Covid does not provide enough immunity to protect against reinfection. Is going for one vaccination in people who did test positive for Covid19 earlier provide the best protection ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911663-eurosurv-prior-infection-by-seasonal-coronaviruses-as-assessed-by-serology-does-not-prevent-sars-cov-2-infection-and-disease-in-children-france-april-to-june-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911663-eurosurv-prior-infection-by-seasonal-coronaviruses-as-assessed-by-serology-does-not-prevent-sars-cov-2-infection-and-disease-in-children-france-april-to-june-2020 ; Children have a low rate of COVID-19 and secondary severe multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS) but present a high prevalence of symptomatic seasonal coronavirus infections.

Aim
We tested if prior infections by seasonal coronaviruses (HCoV) NL63, HKU1, 229E or OC43 as assessed by serology, provide cross-protective immunity against SARS-CoV-2 infection.

-

Conclusion
Prior infection by seasonal coronaviruses, as assessed by serology, does not interfere with SARS-CoV-2 infection and related MIS in children.

DJ-Proberbly not the end of this discussion-we may see studies on large groups-why did Covid19 strike harder in some groups ? From vitamin D to social behavior...a big puzzle.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911662-eurosurv-linked-transmission-chains-of-imported-sars-cov-2-variant-b-1-351-across-mainland-france-january-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911662-eurosurv-linked-transmission-chains-of-imported-sars-cov-2-variant-b-1-351-across-mainland-france-january-2021 ; Two cases of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection with the B.1.351 variant were reported in France in mid-January, 2021. These cases attended a gathering in Mozambique in mid-December 2020. Investigations led to the identification of five imported cases responsible for 14 transmission chains and a total 36 cases. Epidemiological characteristics seemed comparable to those described before the emergence of the South African variant B.1.351. The lack of tertiary transmission outside of the personal sphere suggests that distancing and barrier measures were effective.

DJ-With the old variant up to 60% a/pre symptomatic spread finding out how variants spread is important. Do they spread even more a/presymptomatic ? 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EinK845Twgs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EinK845Twgs 

DJ-Of course Dr.J.C. "may forget to mention" the UK already did have the UK variant. I do think UK vaccination-one shot-strategy- does offer more protection to more people. But it is hard to get good conclusions since most other countries only now deal with the UK variant-and that variant was a major problem in the UK end of 2020. 

There has also been a study on how "good vaccines" protect against virus spread. The head of the Dutch CDC had a remark on a weak spot there-the study was done in a (HCW-ers) population were ALL were vaccinated ! 

In general it is very welcome that vaccines DO offer good protection against severe disease. But why the endless discussion on the not for profit AstraZeneca/Oxford vaccine ? It is cheap and effective, safe !!!! (Just like Ivermectin) Does greed play a role ? False competition by Pfizer and Moderna-both very expensive vaccines ? 

The outcome is more room for Sputnik-V, SinoVac etc...I do not know if Pfizer, Moderna will be happy with that ?  Because

WAR is priority #1...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/former-us-official-terrorist-group-in-syria-is-an-asset-to-us-strategy.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/former-us-official-terrorist-group-in-syria-is-an-asset-to-us-strategy.html  DJ-A "good terrorist" follows US orders...(DJ-The 9-11 2001 attacks on the US are "burned into my memory"-"normal people like me murdered by crazy people in the name of an insane religion"...but I also remember the last moments of a small farmer in Nicaragua murdered by the contra's with CIA-knives...I can not forger "who financed hitler" IBM providing the "administration machines"for the holocaust...Is "evil" another word for "greed" ? How much evil is in this pandemic ? And how much "evil" is in each one of us ? We are all imperfect humans-most of us doing the best they can to be of meaning...)

[url]https://www.debka.com/ex-crown-prince-of-jordan-detained-over-alleged-coup-bid-against-the-king/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/ex-crown-prince-of-jordan-detained-over-alleged-coup-bid-against-the-king/

The foiled coup and arrests are an earthquake for the Arab world and bring to the fore the ancient rift between the Saudi royal house and the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, whose legitimacy the House of Saudi has historically challenged.

Jordan’s powerful intelligence agency, which has a pervasive influence in the kingdom’s public life, has played a bigger public role since the introduction of emergency laws at the outset of the coronavirus pandemic last year, which civic groups say violate civil and political rights.

DJ-Both "kings" of Jordan and Saudi Arabia claim to have some "divine genetics"...People should know their limits and responsibilities...do not follow leaders with eyes closed. See also [url]https://southfront.org/coup-detat-prevented-in-jordan-royal-family-members-reportedly-arrested/[/url] or https://southfront.org/coup-detat-prevented-in-jordan-royal-family-members-reportedly-arrested/ (DJ-Saudi Arabia is "owned" by its "royals"...No doubt they "would welcome" getting more grip on Jordan-that manages to stay out of regional wars the best they can. Yes-there are NATO forces in Jordan fighting Iran and Russia in Syria...(claiming to fight IS-but NATO is working with IS)..The outcome of yet another failed coup (like the one in Turkey) could be Jordan seeking "protection" from the providers of info-Russia ? A Saudi coup attempt in Jordan IS a US coup attempt in Jordan !)

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bbc-broadcast-simulates-nuclear-war-between-nato-russia-from-january-2018-mentions-syria-and-ukraine-as-basis-for-start-of-the-war[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bbc-broadcast-simulates-nuclear-war-between-nato-russia-from-january-2018-mentions-syria-and-ukraine-as-basis-for-start-of-the-war DJ-A modern war has much more drones-both for intel (the camera filming live enemy trenches) and fighting. Turkey has been testing their (and Israeli ?) drones in the recent-short-Armenia-Azarbaijan war. Turkey will be a main player in the Ukraine...maybe "hidden" as a NATO "partner" "advising" Ukraine/Kiev forces. (DJ-A bit of world war two scenario with "bad russia" attacking/invading Europe...) 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-army-drone-drops-bomb-on-five-year-old-child-dead[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-army-drone-drops-bomb-on-five-year-old-child-dead DJ-Both propaganda and truth. Ukraine will go on killing Russians to provoke a Russian reaction-and then get NATO help against "Russian agression"... The US idea behind it is to stop the EU from doing deals with Russia and China-getting Europe under US control...WE-in the EU-are the US target ! [url]https://southfront.org/artillery-fire-drone-attacks-child-killed-did-war-in-ukraine-begin-videos-map-update/[/url] or https://southfront.org/artillery-fire-drone-attacks-child-killed-did-war-in-ukraine-begin-videos-map-update/ 

DJ-In september Angela Merkel will be replaced by a member of the CSU in Germany-more right wing nationalistic...and possibly more anti-US...(I did read some US..... that Merkel was anti-US...of course the NSA hacking her phone did not help but if some in the US think Merkel is anti-US you "aint seen nothing yet"-most Germans "welcome" US forces getting out of Germany ! For most Europeans it is clear the refugee-crisis was the outcome of US wars...)

The US restarting the war in Ukraine may backfire...most of western Europe is already fed up with US endless wars and arrogance ! The idea that D.C. can tell us in the EU NOT to buy energy from Russia or Iran, goods from China-or vaccines from both, has become insulting ! 

Music-If You Could Read My Mind-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fT_J-LNqVvw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fT_J-LNqVvw Gordon Lightfoot


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 03 2021 at 10:51pm

I notice on Worldometers that the seven day trends for both cases and deaths are rising, with the death curve lagging a bit behind.  it does look as things will get worse worldwide.  


Any thoughts on the political stability in Eastern Europe?  They seem to be getting hammered very,very hard. 

My daughter and her husband just moved from England to the Czech Republic for his job - the move was delayed almost three months due to covid restrictions and Brexit complications.  The move could have taken even longer if my daughter did not have an EU passport (her man got in as a "spouse of an EU-citizen").

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DJ-EdwinSm, a look at a few Eastern European countries;

-Poland-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/poland/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/poland/ looking at daily new cases they are in the middle of the worst part of this pandemic since last month. The november 23 over 37,000 new cases may be an outcome of corrections. Since march 25 daily cases hardly go under 35,000 new cases per day on a population of 37,8 million. 

Like many countries Poland is divided in many ways. Its government has been for the last years catholic extremist-mostly backed by the more rural area's-anti EU. The opposition is much less/not catholic-pro EU and much more urban. 

In this video [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eGEX_LTqhQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eGEX_LTqhQ "Why does Belgium exist" a basic answer is NOT given. The UK, France, Germany-and even NL could not agree on who could have what part of Belgium...In history Poland often got divided by Germany and Russia. Even Sweden did drop by in the past...After world war 1 in the chaos Polish nationalists were fighting even close to Kiev-Ukraine...(with Bolsheviks, Ukraine nationalists, other groups). Allthough religion is a point of difference Poland and Ukraine have close relations and a shared anti-Russian sentiment. They both hate Russians almost as much as Koreans are united in their hate against Japan...

[url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709486,Poland-reports-28073-new-coronavirus-cases-571-more-deaths[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709486,Poland-reports-28073-new-coronavirus-cases-571-more-deaths ; DJ-The UK variant was imported from the UK after Brexit forced a lot of EU citizen out of the UK. 

[url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709299,Stay-at-home-over-Easter-PM-urges-Poles[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709299,Stay-at-home-over-Easter-PM-urges-Poles and [url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709176,Polish-police-step-up-road-patrols-over-Easter[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7784/Artykul/2709176,Polish-police-step-up-road-patrols-over-Easter 

DJ-Family meetings at easter, christmas did raise the spread of virus/variants...

[url]https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7785/Artykul/2709013,US-military-raises-threat-level-for-Ukraine-as-Russia-builds-up-forces-report[/url] or https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7785/Artykul/2709013,US-military-raises-threat-level-for-Ukraine-as-Russia-builds-up-forces-report DJ-Ukraine is (officially) not in NATO. A lot of the NATO weapons for the Ukraine war go via Poland.  Also in Poland there are "militant right wing armed militia traininggroups" very anti-Russian-possibly some of them fighting in Ukraine. 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/501.V2_variant#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/501.V2_variant#Statistics Poland has 8 SA variant cases reported. And [url] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics 0 P1 variant cases-since the borders with Germany (etc) are wide open and a lot of Polish workers still may go to their family from western Europe other variants are likely to spread. 

-Ukraine [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/ukraine/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/ukraine/ this third wave is hitting Ukraine much harder then previous waves. In many ways Ukraine is bankrupt. One source of income was energy transport from Russia to the EU. [url]https://www.unian.info/society/cossack-mace-2021-military-from-five-nato-states-to-take-part-in-ukrainian-british-drills-11376019.html[/url] or https://www.unian.info/society/cossack-mace-2021-military-from-five-nato-states-to-take-part-in-ukrainian-british-drills-11376019.html (US, UK, Poland, Romania are mentioned-Turkey is also involved in the war with Russia.) 

[url]https://www.unian.info/kyiv/covid-19-in-kyiv-mayor-reports-over-1-100-new-cases-46-fatalities-news-kyiv-11374909.html[/url] or https://www.unian.info/kyiv/covid-19-in-kyiv-mayor-reports-over-1-100-new-cases-46-fatalities-news-kyiv-11374909.html ;"As of today, the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the city is 164,605."

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyiv[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyiv on a population of around 3 million over 5% did test positive. [url]https://covid.unian.info/covid-19-in-ukraine-daily-high-beats-record-second-day-in-row-with-over-20-000-cases-reported-april-3-11375704.html[/url] or https://covid.unian.info/covid-19-in-ukraine-daily-high-beats-record-second-day-in-row-with-over-20-000-cases-reported-april-3-11375704.html DJ- I remember reading an Ukraine blog over a flu-outbreak also getting out of hand years ago...the official numbers only indicate how bad the real situation is. There are no reports of the SA or P1 variant in Ukraine (Dr.J.C. would see that as "good news". But testing is "limited" 19% of the population did get tested...Since this country is run by a corrupt criminal elite it is very likely "useless people and Russians" have limited chance of survival...

-Czechia [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/czech-republic/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/czech-republic/ is getting out of a third wave...In many ways earlier waves did hit harder. 

[url]https://praguemorning.cz/dpp-will-start-sampling-for-covid-on-public-transport-surfaces/[/url] or https://praguemorning.cz/dpp-will-start-sampling-for-covid-on-public-transport-surfaces/ 

[url]https://www.expats.cz/czech-news/article/czech-weekend-news-in-brief-top-stories-for-april-4-2021[/url] or https://www.expats.cz/czech-news/article/czech-weekend-news-in-brief-top-stories-for-april-4-2021 News on vaccination problems sound familiar. The 10,7 million population did see over 13 million tests...[url]https://english.radio.cz/[/url] or https://english.radio.cz/ ; Czech republic to get 80,000 vaccines from Austria, Hungary and Slovenia ...good news, friendly country...

-Turkey [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/turkey/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/turkey/ statistics are alarming ! [url]https://www.dailysabah.com/life/health/turkeys-nasal-spray-vaccine-works-against-covid-19s-uk-variant[/url] or https://www.dailysabah.com/life/health/turkeys-nasal-spray-vaccine-works-against-covid-19s-uk-variant It is very likely several variants are spreading in Turkey. Statistics show 5 P1 cases, 112 SA cases...but Iran could have their own variant-possibly spreading into Turkey. [url]http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-02/16/c_139746609.htm[/url] or http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-02/16/c_139746609.htm 

DJ-My impression is that some East European countries (Ukraine-but maybe even Poland, Romania) may be not doing much better then Latin America, South Asia. They report more testing/cases then Africa-but that does not mean the situation is much better...Some other "Central European countries" Austria, Hungary, Slovakia, Czechia are as good as-or maybe even better then some western European countries. A lot of them go for "the vaccines they can get" and are increasing vaccinations after a slow start. 

Problem for Poland, Romania, Ukraine, Turkey is they have a lot of their work force in western Europe-now often running out of a job. People living in "the West" sending money to family are an important aspect of income for these countries-so the pandemic may hit them even harder. A lack of tourism may even give an extra problem for Greece, Turkey...



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DJ

In latest news some discussion on readmitting  1 in 3 people in the UK after "recovery". Within four monts a lot of them need hospitalcare again-1 in 8 die...The rest of the world soon will see this as a reality-lots of long Covid-cases...

The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ a top 5 for new cases has India at #1 with over 100,000 new cases in just one day...France-in lockdown-over 60,000 new cases, followed by Turkey with over 40,000 new cases...US and Brazil are #4 and #5-most likely less testing reporting due to easter...

Here in NL some "experts" believe "our third wave" may be less extreme-because lower numbers...forgetting lower testing means lower number of new cases...Here we also have a discussion on reopening of terraces to avoid overcrowded parks...the sense of urgency to deal with the virus is missing even more. Vaccinations remain problematic, chaotic-with the AZ/O vaccine stopped-more or less-for no good reason ... The Dutch/German border is shut [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/04/travelers-netherlands-germany-must-show-negative-covid-test-border[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/04/travelers-netherlands-germany-must-show-negative-covid-test-border unless recent testing and a very good reason to cross the border..

[url]https://www.rt.com/usa/520109-biden-covid19-fourth-wave/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/usa/520109-biden-covid19-fourth-wave/ ;

White House health advisor Michael Osterholm has admitted a “message” problem on Covid-19 and what activities vaccinated people can now do, while also raising concerns about a “fourth wave.”

Confronted about public confusion over whether air travel is safe or mask-wearing is still required for those who have been vaccinated against the virus, Osterholm, who is on the White House Covid-19 advisory board, warned that vaccinations are not complete protection

-

Though he claimed a “bright future” could be ahead as soon as this summer as far as Covid-19 restrictions being lifted, Osterholm also warned of Covid variants creating a “new pandemic” and a “fourth wave” of surging cases, though he says vaccines have been successfully combating variants at the moment.

“I believe that, in some ways, we're almost in a new pandemic,” he told Fox News. “The only good news is that the current vaccines are effective against this particular variant B.1.1.7.” he said, noting the variant could be more prevalent in spreading among children.

DJ-Even the UK variant(=B.1.1.7.) sometimes had the "EEK" mutation making vaccines less effective. 

-FluTracker;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911739-china-reports-highest-daily-covid-19-cases-in-more-than-2-months-reported-numbers-still-tiny-32-new-total-cases-for-april-5-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911739-china-reports-highest-daily-covid-19-cases-in-more-than-2-months-reported-numbers-still-tiny-32-new-total-cases-for-april-5-2021 ; BEIJING: China reported its biggest daily jump in new COVID-19 cases in more than two months, as a city on the border with Myanmar in southwestern Yunnan province accounted for all new local cases.

DJ-It is one of my biggest fears; those countries that managed to keep damage limited could still run into serious problems. China did start vaccinating its population-high speed. Proberbly hundreds of millions already vaccinated in the "easy area's" (Cities and surroundings). The more remote area's may be more problematic. See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/892912-china-border-areas-in-the-wartime-state-of-epidemic-prevention-in-yunnan-province-after-2-people-from-myanmar-are-positive-for-covid-19-coronavirus-september-15-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/892912-china-border-areas-in-the-wartime-state-of-epidemic-prevention-in-yunnan-province-after-2-people-from-myanmar-are-positive-for-covid-19-coronavirus-september-15-2020 latest..Gong Yunzun, Party chief of Ruili, said at a press briefing on Saturday that the viruses from 14 COVID-19 cases reported in the city are very similar in their gene sequencing results, suggesting that they came from the same transmission source.

Gong said the viruses belong to the same group as those reported by Myanmar, adding that the virus gene sequencing results of 10 of the cases are exactly the same. No virus mutation has been found.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-tracking-guinea/907086-guinea-ebola-outbreak-2021-22-cases-including-12-deaths?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/ebola-tracking-guinea/907086-guinea-ebola-outbreak-2021-22-cases-including-12-deaths?view=stream latest activity-a village banned health care underlining the urgent need for good communications..

Flutrackers also mentions H5N8, H5N1 cases (a.o.) in India, H5N6 recently in Vietnam, Cholera in Nigeria, Measles in Afghanistan...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911720-covid-19-hospitalizations-icu-admissions-and-deaths-associated-with-the-new-variants-of-concern[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911720-covid-19-hospitalizations-icu-admissions-and-deaths-associated-with-the-new-variants-of-concern ; New variants of concern (VOCs) now account for 67% of all Ontario SARS-CoV-2 infections. Compared with early variants of SARS-CoV-2, VOCs are associated with a 63% increased risk of hospitalization, a 103% increased risk of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and a 56% increased risk of death due to COVID-19.

-

The number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 is now 21% higher than at the start of the province-wide lockdown, while ICU occupancy is 28% higher (Figure 1). The percentage of COVID-19 patients in ICUs who are younger than 60 years is about 50% higher now than it was prior to the start of the province-wide lockdown.

Because the increased risk of COVID-19 hospitalization, ICU admission and death with VOCs is most pronounced 14 to 28 days after diagnosis, there will be significant delays until the full burden to the health care system becomes apparent.

DJ-These statistics explain why wave three is this much harder...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911719-troubling-eek-variant-found-in-most-tokyo-hospital-covid-cases-nhk[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911719-troubling-eek-variant-found-in-most-tokyo-hospital-covid-cases-nhk ;TOKYO (Reuters) - Around 70% of coronavirus patients tested at a Tokyo hospital last month carried a mutation known for reducing vaccine protection, Japanese public broadcaster NHK said on Sunday.

The E484K mutation, nicknamed “Eek” by some scientists, was found in 10 of 14 people who tested positive for the virus at Tokyo Medical and Dental University Medical Hospital in March, the report said.

DJ-The "EEK mutation" is also in the SA, P1 and P3 variant-out of control...

-DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#E484K[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#E484K keeps showing up all over the globe...also in India. Most vaccines offer-at best- less protection against this mutation. What further to expect has to do with many factors. The most important one is human behavior-and that does not look promissing...

As long as Covid19-variants find hosts it will reproduce and mutate-create newer variants. Since vaccinations go much to slow variants get all the time to "develop" around vaccine immuntity. A vaccine-resistent variant is seen as very likely by most experts. Since coronavirusses in animals are believed to be "good"in recombination (maybe that is how this pandemic started jumping from bats-via another host-to humans) it is impossible to predict what variants we soon may see... The Tanzania variant with 31 mutations may give a hint...It is very likely that the more mutations a new variant has the less likely immunity (via infection or vaccine) will be effective...

Still dealing with this pandemic is NOT top priority but 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/british-newspaper-headline-world-war-in-four-weeks-diplomat-too-a-war-with-russia-is-being-worked-out[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/british-newspaper-headline-world-war-in-four-weeks-diplomat-too-a-war-with-russia-is-being-worked-out referring to [url]https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/14540392/russian-troops-tanks-ukraine-war-2-2/[/url] or https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/14540392/russian-troops-tanks-ukraine-war-2-2/ 

DJ-I hate "fear-porn"...but one has to face problems to solve them. The US is very likely to plan to stop EurAsia integration. Wars in the Middle East and Ukraine are "designed" for that goal. I think it is very likely the Pentagon is planning a major conflict between NATO and Russia in the Ukraine and Syria. Of course the US story is "Russian agression". Why NATO has to be in the Ukraine, Afghanistan in their opinion is "normal"...

One could discuss what dies first in case of war; truth or plans...Since in the US most of decisionmakers have "their own view of history" and "reality" the idea of a war with Russia already is based on an illusion. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-iran-announces-nato-killer-missile[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-iran-announces-nato-killer-missile If (after the NAzi's and NApoleon) NATO "wants to liberate Russian oil and gas" the US will face Russia, Iran, China (etc). 

Last year we did see Greece, France, Italy close to conflict with Turkey...Most of Europe want Russian energy and China trade. Here in Europe we would like to see the Iran-deal work and know it was the US that did destroy that deal...

[url]https://southfront.org/on-high-alert-jordanian-warplane-spotted-along-syrian-border-video/[/url] or https://southfront.org/on-high-alert-jordanian-warplane-spotted-along-syrian-border-video/ Since KSA/US most likely was behind the Jordan coup-attempt and you can not leave the air force out of a coup "we may have to see how things develop"...Both the US and KSA "would welcome" Jordan more active against Assad/Iran..Did Russia warn the government for the KSA/US plans (like they did in Turkey ?) [url]https://www.rt.com/news/520099-jordan-palace-plot-confirmed/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/news/520099-jordan-palace-plot-confirmed/ 

DJ-One of the big questions is how Turkey/Russia relations will develop. It is very likely Erdogan and Putin discussed Ukraine several times. Turkey did increase its influence in the Ukraine-a.o. with new weapons (Drones used in the war with Armenia). Both Turkey and Ukraine have "a problem"with the EU. Russia did set up an alternative [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurasian_Economic_Union[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurasian_Economic_Union . China may be willing to invest...

I would not be surprised if both Turkey and Ukraine turned their back to the west and joined some EurAsian-plan (with also-via Russia-a role for India). 

Music; Black (almost) psychedelic rock ! The Chambers Brothers- Time Has Come Today [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIqwzQ7g-Cc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIqwzQ7g-Cc 1967 [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chambers_Brothers[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chambers_Brothers 

 


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 05 2021 at 10:29pm

DJ.

-A look at the numbers-most of all it gives an indication on testing/reporting during easter [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ . New cases list has India on top with again close to a 100,000 new cases. In the top 10 Turkey at #3, Iran at #5-all UK variant ? How widespread are other variants in that region ? How good/bad is sequencing ? At #6 Argentina-most likely P1 and UK variant ? #7 France, #8 Italy-both reporting-at easter-just over 10,000 new cases-most of them will be the UK variant. Canada is at #9 and Colombia at #10 in the new cases top 10.

This pandemic is far from over ! In the total cases UK is at #6 with 2762 new cases. Israel at #27 with 356 new cases. For now vaccines show they can reduce number of new cases-and that is good and very welcome news ! Both countries try to keep new variants out. No need to test vaccine gained herd immunity ! 

The bad news is of course vaccinations in many parts of the globe remain problematic. The Astra Zeneca-non profit-vaccine is linked with a very small chance of trombosis. Since the idea is vaccines may cause such a reaction in otherwise healthy people they stop using the vaccine for many...in that way increasing risks of Covid19/SARS-2 infection...

[url]https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2021/04/articles/animals/cats/critiquing-early-covid-19-posts-the-good-bad-and-ugly/[/url] or https://www.wormsandgermsblog.com/2021/04/articles/animals/cats/critiquing-early-covid-19-posts-the-good-bad-and-ugly/ ;

DJ-Good retrospective story !

-FluTrackers; (168 links I will do my best-but the number of articles reflect not only a short stop due to easter but also major new developments-proberbly NOT good !)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911886-iran-media-report-health-ministry-announces-the-loss-of-control-of-covid-19-after-the-spread-of-the-new-strain-april-5-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911886-iran-media-report-health-ministry-announces-the-loss-of-control-of-covid-19-after-the-spread-of-the-new-strain-april-5-2021 ;According to IRNA, the Iranian official said: "Today we lost the initiative in controlling the Corona pandemic in the country, our conditions have become very difficult and it is not known when we will be able to control this stubborn and unruly virus again."

He added, "We are facing the worst waves of Corona ... before the celebrations of the beginning of the new year, no one listened to us in order to control movement and travel between cities, and today we face a very serious problem."

Iran had announced that a fourth wave of the Coronavirus pandemic had begun to spread in the western and central regions of the country as a result of large-scale travel and celebrations during the Iranian New Year holiday.

DJ-There have been stories about an Iranian variant. According to researchers at University College London, the Pangolin variant of the virus is about 100x as infectious as the currently circulating human ones, so a much more dangerous version.is possible. ( https://www.newscientist.com/article...-can-they-get/ ).
Hopefully Iran is not seeing early signs of such an emergence.

I notice in the Iran stories the mention of hearthdisease linked to Covid...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911923-cidrap-india-and-other-covid-hot-spots-set-more-daily-case-records[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911923-cidrap-india-and-other-covid-hot-spots-set-more-daily-case-records ; Over the weekend, new daily infections in India crossed 100,000 cases for the first time, with cases soaring higher in other places, such as the Philippines and Ukraine.
Meanwhile, upticks in activity have other countries worrying about the start of fourth surges.

-

In Bangladesh, on India's eastern border, the country began a weeklong national lockdown following a sharp rise in cases. A recent situation report from the World Health Organization said Bangladesh's cases were up 85% compared to the previous week.

Countries brace for the start of new surges

Experts in Japan are worried that they may be seeing the start of a fourth wave, due to more transmissible variants, with the Tokyo Summer Olympics just 109 days away, according to Reuters.
In Osaka, the country's current epicenter, record high cases triggered a 1-month lockdown.
South Korea has reported more than 500 cases for the fifth day in a row, prompting a warning from the health minister that the nation may be facing a fourth wave, according to CNN.
In the Middle East, Iran's health ministry said today that the country has entered its fourth wave, with activity widespread and moving eastward from the midwestern parts of the country to the east, according to the CNN.
So far, 88 cities are "red zone" areas, and the health ministry said it had been expecting cases to rise following people's return from holiday gatherings, including the Persian New Year, which began on Mar 21.

DJ-Since India has a population of almost 1,4 billion, Bangla Desh 166 million, Phillippines 111 million, Mexico 130 million Covid variants out of control there-on top of Brazil with a population of 214 million will see millions of new cases/deaths...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911922-cidrap-studies-detail-large-covid-outbreaks-at-us-prisons-jails[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/911922-cidrap-studies-detail-large-covid-outbreaks-at-us-prisons-jails ; A related study led by Cook County Health researchers and published late last week in The American Journal of Infection Control, described a nearly 1,000-person COVID-19 outbreak in a Chicago-area jail from Mar 1 to Apr 30, 2020.
Over that time, 628 detainees (50%) and 279 staff tested positive for coronavirus. Of the inmates, 76.3% had symptoms at testing.
"Less than 2 months after the first COVID-19 case was identified in [Cook County Jail], almost 1,000 detained persons and staff had been infected with SARS-CoV-2," the authors said. "This represents an [attack rate] of nearly 13% among detained persons and occurred despite early adoption of containment and mitigation practices." Attack rate is the chance that a person infected with COVID-19 will spread the virus to another person.
But after all programs and visitations were stopped on Mar 9, cells were converted to single occupancy units on Mar 26, staff were screened for fever and symptoms on Mar 28, and universal face coverings were mandated for personnel on Apr 2 and for inmates on Apr 13, cases began falling at the same time as those in the surrounding community rose.

DJ-Yet another reason the US has to "rethink" its "justice" (or lack of it) system with 25% of all world wide prisoners in US jails ! The human rights situation in the US is shocking and unacceptable !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/911914-epidemiologic-evidence-for-airborne-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-during-church-singing-australia-2020-cdc[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/911914-epidemiologic-evidence-for-airborne-transmission-of-sars-cov-2-during-church-singing-australia-2020-cdc ;

An outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection occurred among church attendees after an infectious chorister sang at multiple services. We detected 12 secondary case-patients. Video recordings of the services showed that case-patients were seated in the same section, >15 m from the primary case-patient, without close physical contact, suggesting airborne transmission.
DJ-Goes further than singing in church but also tells about sports, dance events etc...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911913-ranking-the-risk-of-animal-to-human-spillover-for-newly-discovered-viruses-pnas[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/911913-ranking-the-risk-of-animal-to-human-spillover-for-newly-discovered-viruses-pnasWe then developed a risk ranking framework and interactive web tool, SpillOver, that estimates a risk score for wildlife-origin viruses, creating a comparative risk assessment of viruses with uncharacterized zoonotic spillover potential alongside those already known to be zoonotic. Using data from testing 509,721 samples from 74,635 animals as part of a virus discovery project and public records of virus detections around the world, we ranked the spillover potential of 887 wildlife viruses. Validating the risk assessment, the top 12 were known zoonotic viruses, including SARS-CoV-2. Several newly detected wildlife viruses ranked higher than known zoonotic viruses. 

DJ-"One health" what happens in (other) animals can reach us...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911880-us-massachusetts-new-covid-19-variant-spikes-to-58-cases-after-cape-cod-outbreaks-april-4-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911880-us-massachusetts-new-covid-19-variant-spikes-to-58-cases-after-cape-cod-outbreaks-april-4-2021 ;Massachusetts has reported more cases of the new P.1 COVID-19 variant — which has been associated with increased transmissibility and possible re-infection — than anywhere else in the U.S., and local researchers said the spike is concerning.

The bulk of those cases, they added, are linked to a cluster on Cape Cod.

Of the 58 known positive cases of the P.1 variant in Mass., according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 50 have been identified in Barnstable County.

DJ The P1-Brazil variant spreading in the US is very bad news ! Sequencing capacity is not easy to increase to what is needed, but maybe it can get "stretched to the maximum". If you know you have to look for a specific variant (like the P1) more search can be done to at least find P1 cases and slow down that spread !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911821-medicina-kaunas-sars-cov-2-detection-in-fecal-sample-from-a-patient-with-typical-findings-of-covid-19-pneumonia-on-ct-but-negative-to-multiple-sars-cov-2-rt-pcr-tests-on-oropharyngeal-and-nasopharyngeal-swab-samples[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911821-medicina-kaunas-sars-cov-2-detection-in-fecal-sample-from-a-patient-with-typical-findings-of-covid-19-pneumonia-on-ct-but-negative-to-multiple-sars-cov-2-rt-pcr-tests-on-oropharyngeal-and-nasopharyngeal-swab-samples ;Herein, we report the case of a 43-years-old man with a strong clinical suspicion of COVID-19, who resulted in being negative to multiple severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RT-PCR tests performed on different oropharyngeal and nasopharyngeal swabs, despite serology having confirmed the presence of SARS-CoV-2 IgM. The patient underwent a chest computed tomography (CT) that showed typical imaging findings of COVID-19 pneumonia. The presence of viral SARS-CoV-2 was confirmed only by performing a SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test on stool. Performing of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test on fecal samples can be a rapid and useful approach to confirm COVID-19 diagnosis in cases where there is an apparent discrepancy between COVID-19 clinical symptoms coupled with chest CT and SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR tests' results on samples from the upper respiratory tract.

DJ-Sounds like the Finland test-evading variant. It is very likely some new variants may escape/evade PCR testing-maybe get a chance to spread further undetected. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911814-vaccines-basel-soluble-spike-dna-vaccine-provides-long-term-protective-immunity-against-sars-cov-2-in-mice-and-nonhuman-primates[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/911814-vaccines-basel-soluble-spike-dna-vaccine-provides-long-term-protective-immunity-against-sars-cov-2-in-mice-and-nonhuman-primates 

DJ Vaccinating large groups of animals may need new ways to spread the vaccine. Maybe we can learn of easier ways to increase protection in large human population. Can you spread the vaccine via a spray and send large groups trough a "spray zone" ? (They are testing nasal sprays as way of vaccination). We have to increase the speed of vaccination !!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911804-diagnostics-basel-a-s-imple-a-ffordable-r-apid-s-tabilized-co-lorimetric-v-ersatile-rt-lamp-assay-to-detect-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/laboratory-and-imaging-features/911804-diagnostics-basel-a-s-imple-a-ffordable-r-apid-s-tabilized-co-lorimetric-v-ersatile-rt-lamp-assay-to-detect-sars-cov-2The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has forced all countries worldwide to rapidly develop and implement widespread testing to control and manage the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). reverse-transcription (RT)-qPCR is the gold standard molecular diagnostic method for COVID-19, mostly in automated testing platforms. These systems are accurate and effective, but also costly, time-consuming, high-technological, infrastructure-dependent, and currently suffer from commercial reagent supply shortages. The reverse-transcription loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RT-LAMP) can be used as an alternative testing method. Here, we present a novel versatile (real-time and colorimetric) RT-LAMP for the simple (one-step), affordable (~1.7 €/sample), and rapid detection of SARS-CoV-2 targeting both ORF1ab and N genes of the novel virus genome. We demonstrate the assay on RT-qPCR-positive clinical samples, obtaining most positive results under 25 min. In addition, a novel 30-min one-step drying protocol has been developed to stabilize the RT-LAMP reaction mixtures, allowing them to be stored at room temperature functionally for up to two months, as predicted by the Q10. This Dry-RT-LAMP methodology is suitable for potentially ready-to-use COVID-19 diagnosis. After further testing and validation, it could be easily applied both in developed and in low-income countries yielding rapid and reliable results.

DJ-Even after mass vaccination-maybe in new ways not as good at individual level-but at least "high speed"!!! good, rapid, testing will be needed. The earlier detected the better disease may be controlled...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/preparedness-ab/911799-int-j-environ-res-public-health-disasters-without-borders-the-coronavirus-pandemic-global-climate-change-and-the-ascendancy-of-gradual-onset-disasters[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/preparedness-ab/911799-int-j-environ-res-public-health-disasters-without-borders-the-coronavirus-pandemic-global-climate-change-and-the-ascendancy-of-gradual-onset-disasters 

DJ-Proberbly the worst disasters are "slow disasters"like pandemics, climate change. But the defenition of "disaster" may need to change so we can prepare better for these much worse-slow disasters !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/other-coronavirus/911793-viruses-limited-genetic-diversity-detected-in-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-related-coronavirus-variants-circulating-in-dromedary-camels-in-jordan[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/other-coronavirus/911793-viruses-limited-genetic-diversity-detected-in-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-related-coronavirus-variants-circulating-in-dromedary-camels-in-jordan ;  Full genome sequence data from camel-derived MERS-CoV variants show diverse lineages circulating in domestic camels with frequent recombination. More than 90% of the available full MERS-CoV genome sequences derived from camels are from just two countries, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and United Arab Emirates (UAE). In this study, we employ a novel method to amplify and sequence the partial MERS-CoV genome with high sensitivity from nasal swabs of infected camels. We recovered more than 99% of the MERS-CoV genome from field-collected samples with greater than 500 TCID50 equivalent per nasal swab from camel herds sampled in Jordan in May 2016. Our subsequent analyses of 14 camel-derived MERS-CoV genomes show a striking lack of genetic diversity circulating in Jordan camels relative to MERS-CoV genome sequences derived from large camel markets in KSA and UAE. The low genetic diversity detected in Jordan camels during our study is consistent with a lack of endemic circulation in these camel herds and reflective of data from MERS outbreaks in humans dominated by nosocomial transmission following a single introduction as reported during the 2015 MERS outbreak in South Korea. Our data suggest transmission of MERS-CoV among two camel herds in Jordan in 2016 following a single introduction event.

DJ-You do not want MERS somehow mixing with SARS-2 or MERS getting into other species (horses, cows)...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911791-viruses-sars-cov-2-survival-on-surfaces-and-the-effect-of-uv-c-light[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911791-viruses-sars-cov-2-survival-on-surfaces-and-the-effect-of-uv-c-light ;The aim of this study was to establish the persistence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) on inanimate surfaces such as plastic, stainless steel, and glass during UV-C irradiation which is a physical means commonly utilized in sanitization procedures. The viral inactivation rate, virus half-life, and percentage of titer reduction after UV-C irradiation were assessed. Infectivity was maintained on plastic and glass until 120 h and on stainless steel until 72 h. The virus half-life was 5.3, 4.4, and 4.2 h on plastic, stainless steel, and glass, respectively. In all cases, titer decay was >99% after drop drying. UV-C irradiation efficiently reduced virus titer (99.99%), with doses ranging from 10.25 to 23.71 mJ/cm2. Plastic and stainless steel needed higher doses to achieve target reduction. The total inactivation of SARS-CoV-2 on glass was obtained with the lower dose applied. SARS-CoV-2 survival can be long lasting on inanimate surfaces. It is worth recommending efficient disinfection protocols as a measure of prevention of viral spread. UV-C can provide rapid, efficient and sustainable sanitization procedures of different materials and surfaces. The dosages and mode of irradiation are important parameters to consider in their implementation as an important means to fight the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

DJ-Of course UV-C sanitization only works when the "UV-C machine" is working and working in a correct manner. Proberbly using hand sanitizer in combination with UV-C (and masks, social distance) can make a work space safer...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911781-vaccines-basel-phylogenomic-evidence-of-reinfection-and-persistence-of-sars-cov-2-first-report-from-colombia[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911781-vaccines-basel-phylogenomic-evidence-of-reinfection-and-persistence-of-sars-cov-2-first-report-from-colombia ;The continuing evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and the emergence of novel variants have raised concerns about possible reinfection events and potential changes in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission dynamics. Utilizing Oxford Nanopore technologies, we sequenced paired samples of three patients with positive RT-PCR results in a 1-2-month window period, and subsequent phylogenetics and genetic polymorphism analysis of these genomes was performed. Herein, we report, for the first time, genomic evidence of one case of reinfection in Colombia, exhibiting different SARS-CoV-2 lineage classifications between samples (B.1 and B.1.1.269). Furthermore, we report two cases of possible viral persistence, highlighting the importance of deepening our understanding on the evolutionary intra-host traits of this virus throughout different timeframes of disease progression. These results emphasize the relevance of genomic surveillance as a tool for understanding SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics, and how this may translate effectively to future control and mitigations efforts, such as the national vaccination program.

DJ-My translation-small changes in the virus may make vaccines offering less protection.

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mtJg-l5OUI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mtJg-l5OUI 

DJ-I have some problems with this doctor. 1-He is NOT neutral. Of course he is not neutral-no problem with that but do not make such a claim. "Everything is an opinion" may be a but much to the other side...we all have our background. 

And 2-"follow the evidence" means there has to be evidence. In a crisis you have to learn from earlier crises. So look for different kind of "evidence" ...In Dr.J.C. way of thinking you keep running behind the facts "science-based"...Another thing I am not fond of is vaccine/big pharma stories-the countries that did the best so far during this pandemic did so via NPI/lockdowns NOT vaccines !

Still he is a very experienced doctor spending a lot of time trying to inform a large public via his YouTube channel-doing his best and often also with good info !

-WAR seems prority #1 in the world;

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-officially-opens-its-air-space-to-nato-aircraft[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-officially-opens-its-air-space-to-nato-aircraft 

[url]https://southfront.org/war-between-russia-and-ukraine-is-inevitable-opinion/[/url] or https://southfront.org/war-between-russia-and-ukraine-is-inevitable-opinion/ 

Both Hal Turner and Southfront have (strong) opinions-but they do NOT claim to be neutral ! 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_alleged_Jordanian_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat_attempt[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_alleged_Jordanian_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat_attempt ;

Journalist Smadar Perry with Yediot Aharonot alleged that the plotters were backed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman and Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan based on information received from a very high-ranking source in Jordan.[9]

Roy Shaposhnik, an Israeli businessman and friend of Hamzeh, said that he had offered use of a private jet to Hamzah's wife and children to allow them to flee Jordan to his home in Europe. Ammon, a Jordanian media site linked to Jordanian intelligence, said that Shaposhnik was formerly part of Mossad, which Shaposhnik denied.[10][11]

Ex-Prime Minister Jawad Anani claimed Israel was the foreign country involved in the plot.[12]

DJ-I think the US is preparing to fight Russia on two fronts-Syria and Ukraine. The coup attempt in Jordan may have been an attempt to pull Jordan into a war with Syria. If both Israel and Saudi Arabia are involved-given the recent history-the CIA/US is involved...

The idea of "increasing conflicts" with Russia is stopping Europe doing deals with Russia. Also creating a gap stopping China's New Silk Road plans...The US strategy again will not only fail but backfire-pushing the EU, Jordan, Turkey further away from the US. 

Planning to increase these wars-as the US is doing-is beyond criminal during a pandemic !

Music; I Want To Get Away-Lenny Kravitz [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EvuL5jyCHOw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EvuL5jyCHOw 



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 06 2021 at 9:58pm

DJ,

-Is this [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ "the new normal" ?A permanent race between vaccines and variants with some peaks but the virus always around ? India with over 115,000 new cases in one day ? Brazil with over 4000 reported Covid deaths in one day (and reopening) ? 

Here in NL the government is claiming cases going down-while hospitals are preparing for the highest peak of cases...In the easter-weekend, in combination with schoolhollidays, there was less testing so reported cases going down. After easter, when schools reopen cases will go up again...I would not say our governments communications strategy did fail-that would suggest a strategy ....

Worldwide "the new normal" very likely to be very chaotic. Since there was no coordination in vaccines international-variants get all the time to develop around the virus...But even 50% protection against severe disease, virus transfer, is very, very welcome...

But with variants spreading in unprotected populations-with NPI/lockdown not as long term protection, this pandemic is getting worse-not better ! Less then 10% of the global population has vaccine protection. 

Israel-if remaining isolated (wich they are not) could have "vaccinated" itself out of this pandemic. China, Australia, New Zealand managed to keep the virus out...

-Flutrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/912018-co-infection-of-chickens-with-h9n2-and-h7n9-avian-influenza-viruses-leads-to-emergence-of-reassortant-h9n9-virus-with-increased-fitness-for-poultry-and-enhanced-zoonotic-potential-biorxiv-preprint[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/surveillance-and-epidemic-control/912018-co-infection-of-chickens-with-h9n2-and-h7n9-avian-influenza-viruses-leads-to-emergence-of-reassortant-h9n9-virus-with-increased-fitness-for-poultry-and-enhanced-zoonotic-potential-biorxiv-preprintAn H7N9 low pathogenicity avian influenza virus (LPAIV) emerged through genetic reassortment between H9N2 and other LPAIVs circulating in birds in China. This virus causes inapparent clinical disease in chickens, but zoonotic transmission results in severe and fatal disease in humans. We evaluated the consequences of reassortment between the H7N9 and the contemporary H9N2 viruses of G1 lineage that are enzootic in poultry across the Indian sub-continent and the Middle East. Co-infection of chickens with these viruses resulted in emergence of novel reassortant H9N9 viruses carrying genes derived from both H9N2 and H7N9 viruses. These reassortant H9N9 viruses showed significantly increased replication fitness, enhanced pathogenicity in chicken embryos and the potential to transmit via contact among ferrets. Our study highlights that the co-circulation of H7N9 and H9N2 viruses could represent a threat for the generation of novel reassortant viruses with greater virulence in poultry and an increased zoonotic potential.

DJ-There were some questions on how double variant infections work out-some "experts" claiming only one virus getting into the cell...In other diseases and animals coinfections are not abnormal. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912027-south-korea-reported-highest-daily-covid-19-case-count-since-january-8-688-cases-april-7-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912027-south-korea-reported-highest-daily-covid-19-case-count-since-january-8-688-cases-april-7-2021 ;The new cases bring the country's total infections to 106,898, with 1,756 deaths, with the latest surge centred around clusters in kindergartens, saunas, bars and churches. More than 63 per cent of new cases were found in Seoul and neighbouring regions, including Gyeonggi province, KDCA data showed.

more...https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news...onths-14571828

DJ Would be nice to find out more on what variants are spreading..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021 

DJ-With evangelical churches going to court and winning variants-most P1-had a chance to spread further during easter. Also bolsenaro is reopening to save the economy...So the outlook for Brazil/Latin America is bad ! Terrible ! Horror !

Hospitals are overstretched/breaking point-if hospitals stop functioning the things will get even worse...(but less cases being reported...so it will look like Africa-no cases reported is no pandemic...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912022-cidrap-new-findings-in-covid-related-kids-syndrome-kawasaki-disease[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912022-cidrap-new-findings-in-covid-related-kids-syndrome-kawasaki-disease ;In the largest known cohort of MIS-C patients and their distributions across the United States, the cumulative incidence was 2.1 per 100,000 people 21 and younger and varied by state, from 0.2 to 6.3 per 100,000. The death rate was 1.4%.
Of the 1,733 MIS-C patients, 90.4% had involvement of at least four organ systems, 54% had low blood pressure or shock, 58.2% required intensive care, and 31.0% had abnormal heart function. Pericardial effusion (fluid buildup in the sac around the heart) occurred in 23.4%, myocarditis (inflammation of the heart muscle) in 17.3%, and coronary artery dilatation or aneurysm (ballooning of a vessel wall) in 16.5%.

-

"These findings suggest that transmission by contact or droplets is not a major route for KD development in Japan and support the findings of previous epidemiological studies indicating that KD may be associated with airborne disease in most cases. More extensive studies are warranted for further understanding of this intriguing disease," the authors wrote.

DJ-A lot of info on two studies. But also still many questions.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912021-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-climb-for-6th-straight-week[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912021-cidrap-global-covid-19-cases-climb-for-6th-straight-week ;  The World Health Organization (WHO) said 4 million new cases were reported last week, with deaths on the rise for the third week in a row.
The five countries reporting the highest case numbers shifted last week, with India reporting the most, followed by Brazil, the United States, Turkey, and France.
The part of the world that felt the biggest case increase was the WHO's South-East Asia region, which includes India, followed by the Western Pacific region, which includes the Philippines, another current COVID-19 hot spot.
Countries reporting some of the steepest illness rises last week include Bangladesh (67%), Argentina (46%), Turkey (43%), Japan (43%), Iran (38%), India (38%), and the Philippines (27%).
In the European region, cases leveled out after rising for 5 consecutive weeks. Africa's cases and deaths declined last week, though new cases rose 10% in Ethiopia compared to the previous week.

DJ-One question is do some variants push away other variants. In Brazil P2 was pushed away by P1. (Could one design a virus that does little harm but pushes away other variants that do a lot of harm-biowar against a pandemic ???)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912007-arxiv-unexpected-novel-merbecovirus-discoveries-in-agricultural-sequencing-datasets-from-wuhan-china[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912007-arxiv-unexpected-novel-merbecovirus-discoveries-in-agricultural-sequencing-datasets-from-wuhan-chinaIn this study we document the unexpected discovery of multiple coronaviruses and a BSL-3 pathogen in agricultural cotton and rice sequencing datasets. In particular, we have identified a novel HKU5-related Merbecovirus in a cotton dataset sequenced by the Huazhong Agricultural University in 2017.

We have also found an infectious clone sequence containing a novel HKU4-related Merbecovirus related to MERS coronavirus in a rice dataset sequenced by the Huazhong Agricultural University in early 2020. Another HKU5-related Merbecovirus, as well as Japanese encephalitis virus, were identified in a cotton dataset sequenced by the Huazhong Agricultural University in 2018. An HKU3-related Betacoronavirus was found in a Mus musculus sequencing dataset from the Wuhan Institute of Virology in 2017. Finally, a SARS-WIV1-like Betacoronavirus was found in a rice dataset sequenced by the Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University in 2017.

Using the contaminating reads we have extracted from the above datasets, we were able to assemble complete genomes of two novel coronaviruses which we disclose herein. In light of our findings, we raise concerns about biosafety protocol breaches, as indicated by our discovery of multiple dangerous human pathogens in agricultural sequencing laboratories in Wuhan and Fouzou City, China.

DJ-coronavirusses, MERS in Chinese rice ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911944-fully-vaccinated-since-january-minnesota-nurse-stuck-in-mexico-after-testing-positive-for-covid-unvaccinated-companions-all-tested-negative-and-free-to-re-enter-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911944-fully-vaccinated-since-january-minnesota-nurse-stuck-in-mexico-after-testing-positive-for-covid-unvaccinated-companions-all-tested-negative-and-free-to-re-enter-us ;Symptoms sound mild and she did not think she had COVID in spite of her nursing background. If CDC did not require testing before entry to the US, nobody would have known she was infected unless someone vulnerable was sickened and it got traced back.

and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911943-246-vaccinated-residents-diagnosed-with-covid-3-dead-michigan-reports[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/north-america-ab/north-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911943-246-vaccinated-residents-diagnosed-with-covid-3-dead-michigan-reports ; As many as 246 Michigan residents considered fully vaccinated against COVID-19 were later diagnosed with the virus, and three have died, state officials confirmed Monday.

The cases were reported between Jan. 1 and March 31, and the 246 had a positive test 14 or more days after the last dose in the vaccine series, said Lynn Sutfin, a spokeswoman for the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, in an email.

"Some of these individuals may ultimately be excluded from this list due to continuing to test positive from a recent infection prior to being fully vaccinated," she said.

"These cases are undergoing further review to determine if they meet other CDC criteria for determination of potential breakthrough, including the absence of a positive antigen or PCR test less than 45 days prior to the post-vaccination positive test. In general, these persons have been more likely to be asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic compared with vaccinated persons.".

DJ-Vaccines do not offer 100% protection. In older people immunity after vaccination may take three weeks...so maybe the virus was faster then the vaccine...still not good news ! See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911946-or-lawmakers-to-oha-release-covid-vaccine-%E2%80%98breakthrough%E2%80%99-case-count[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/911946-or-lawmakers-to-oha-release-covid-vaccine-%E2%80%98breakthrough%E2%80%99-case-count ; PORTLAND, Ore. (KOIN) — How many “breakthrough” COVID cases are there in Oregon, that is, vaccinated people who contract the coronavirus?
Oregon lawmakers are asking why the Oregon Health Authority is not revealing certain information and now 2 Portland state legislators have a bill that would make OHA answer that question and others...

DJ-It would be good to be as open as possible. Vaccines never give 100% protection-at best 99,999%...Also immunization in the elderly goes slower-can take an extra week, or even longer...offer less protection.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911980-open-life-sci-domestication-of-wild-animals-may-provide-a-springboard-for-rapid-variation-of-coronavirus[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911980-open-life-sci-domestication-of-wild-animals-may-provide-a-springboard-for-rapid-variation-of-coronavirus ; Coronaviruses have spread widely among humans and other animals, but not all coronaviruses carried by specific animals can directly infect other kinds of animals. Viruses from most animal hosts need an intermediate host before they can spread widely among humans. Under natural conditions, coronaviruses do not rapidly change from infecting wild animals as intermediate hosts and to spreading widely among humans. The intermediate host might be the animals captured or bred for the purpose of cross-breeding with domesticated species for improvement of the breed. These animals differ from wild animals at the environmental and genetic levels. It is an important direction to study the semi-wild animals domesticated by humans in search for intermediate hosts of viruses widely spread among humans.

DJ-By now we should have learned that there are much more virusses in other animals-and please keep those virusses there !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911976-front-artif-intell-toward-the-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-and-vaccination-on-the-covid-19-pandemic-with-time-dependent-seir-model[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911976-front-artif-intell-toward-the-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions-and-vaccination-on-the-covid-19-pandemic-with-time-dependent-seir-model ;To mathematically describe the dynamic of the COVID-19 pandemic, we propose a time-dependent SEIR model considering the incubation period. Furthermore, we take immunity, reinfection, and vaccination into account and propose the SEVIS model. Unlike the classic SIR based models with constant parameters, our dynamic models not only predicts the number of cases, but also monitors the trajectories of changing parameters, such as transmission rate, recovery rate, and the basic reproduction number. Tracking these parameters, we observe the significant decrease in the transmission rate in the U.S. after the authority announced a series of orders aiming to prevent the spread of the virus, such as closing non-essential businesses and lockdown restrictions. Months later, as restrictions being gradually lifted, we notice a new surge of infection emerges as the transmission rates show increasing trends in some states. Using our epidemiology models, people can track, timely monitor, and predict the COVID-19 pandemic with precision. To illustrate and validate our model, we use the national level data (the U.S.) and the state level data (New York and North Dakota), and the resulting relative prediction errors for the infected group and recovered group are mostly lower than 0.5%. We also simulate the long-term development of the pandemic based on our proposed models to explore when the crisis will end under certain conditions.

DJ-It may be hard to make a 100% perfect model for human behavior...but these models can predict what mix of vaccines and NPI may be needed. Stopping this pandemic worldwide in one step is SF...But maybe it can be controlled in several steps.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911968-int-j-environ-health-res-incubation-period-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-new-implications-for-intervention-and-control[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/911968-int-j-environ-health-res-incubation-period-of-coronavirus-disease-2019-new-implications-for-intervention-and-controlThe results show that the incubation period of COVID-19 approximately conforms to the Gamma distribution with a mean value of 7.8 (95%CI:7.4-8.5) days and a median value of 7.0 (95%CI:6.7-7.3) days. The incubation period was positively correlated with age and negatively correlated with disease severity. Female cases presented a slightly higher incubation period than that of males. The proportion of infected persons who developed symptoms within 14 days was 91.6%. These results are of great significance to the prevention and control of the COVID-19 pandemic.

DJ-Still also a lot of a-symptomatic spread. But knowing most symptoms can be related to a point of infection 7-9 days earlier is important. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912030-travel-med-infect-dis-concerns-about-influenza-h5n8-outbreaks-in-humans-and-birds-facing-the-next-airborne-pandemic[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912030-travel-med-infect-dis-concerns-about-influenza-h5n8-outbreaks-in-humans-and-birds-facing-the-next-airborne-pandemic DJ-The birds do the transport so with people following NPI travel restrictions an "airborne bird" disease is a big problem. 

-Dr.John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6NQujwh3X0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6NQujwh3X0 might have some extra info...

DJ-In general the global pandemic is getting worse. Due to less testing/reporting during easter-with possibly more spread-the numbers/statistics may start to give a realistic picture next week. 

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/emergency-meeting-called-for-ukraine-peace-talks-ukraine-pulls-out-us-asks-russia-about-intention-for-vast-forces-russia-replies-no-more-info-for-you[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/emergency-meeting-called-for-ukraine-peace-talks-ukraine-pulls-out-us-asks-russia-about-intention-for-vast-forces-russia-replies-no-more-info-for-you 

[url]https://southfront.org/washington-sends-military-transport-aircraft-to-ukraine-but-cannot-explain-why/[/url] or https://southfront.org/washington-sends-military-transport-aircraft-to-ukraine-but-cannot-explain-why/ 

DJ-It is very likely the US government want war with Russia in Syria and Ukraine. [url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/will-there-be-a-global-resistance-economy.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/will-there-be-a-global-resistance-economy.html 

In the Russian (and Iran, China etc. etc. ) view there is no point in discussing with the insane. As always the EU is divided but countries like Germany, France, Italy, Greece, Turkey are not very likely to join the US in yet another war...This pandemic needs priority !

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6KGuTr9TI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6KGuTr9TI Send In The Clowns-Judy Collins 1975 (so 46 years old...)



 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ

-The nice thing of history is that there are so many lessons in it...my favorite lesson is "we never had it this good".  I think in general it still is true. But all things have a price-and we all know who has to pay that price...

Life expectancy is decreasing in many countries. In general more for men than for women-and so far in most places the decrease is in months. But some countries already it is in years... Spain life expectency dropped in 2020 by 1,6 years. (Or something like that...it is not about the exact number).

Also more deaths and less births mean population reduction in an increasing number of countries.  Italy did see a decrease of over 300,000 in 2020. In NL the pandemic did cause over 20,000 deaths in 2020 while the official number was over 11,000-so making up a balance shows a lot of undercounting. "Pandemic deaths"would have to include both Covid deaths AND non-Covid deaths of people that would be alive today if there was no pandemic...

The number of pandemic-non Covid deaths-with the number of Covid deaths will explode...I did see at this forum Roni, Techno also wondering why we "keep making the same mistakes"...It is very depressing "you can't fix stupid" because "stupid will kill us all"...

I do think vaccines still protect against Covid19 and most of its variants. US reports on people vaccinated and later on testing positive so far-as far as I know-are either in the 5% or so left over from 95% protection. For variants the level of protection may be (much) less. Or sometimes people already were infected before/during/shortly after vaccination. In the elderly the immune system takes more time-up to three weeks-and may offer less protection. So-YES-NPI should still be in place ! (And NO the public/politics does NOT want to hear that-so they learn in a hard way !!!) 

I will end this "pandemic-breakfast writing" with more on WAR...maybe look for climate chaos news-just had a few days winter here-did the Arctic get our spring ? 

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ DJ-One of the reasons why France is not in the top ten of new cases is because they did not report new cases...so today they will correct that...I guess. Mexico also still has to correct its total number of deaths (+80,000 I believe it was ? )

India reporting another record number of new cases-over 126,000 in just one day. Since it takes a few weeks of "development" most people most likely will recover. I believe the statistics now think 1 in 3 will suffer from "long Covid"-but those numbers are related to the older variant. Given the large numbers and decreasing hospital capacity (HCW-ers also getting infected) a growing percentage of the 126,000+ may not survive another month. 

Brazil reporting 3733 deaths..I expect more countries soon will be in that kind-or higher-deaths statistics. My impression is an upward trend in the US-but due to "good friday/easter" statistics are disrupted. To get a realistic view you have to look at week trends-not daily numbers...

-FluTrackers (frontline news)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-7-cases-confirmed-april-6-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-7-cases-confirmed-april-6-2021 ;“A total of 83 human samples were received and 64 (87.7 per cent) samples were tested. Of the tested samples, seven (10.9 per cent) were positive for Flu A, six 85.7 per cent were subtype A/H5 while one 14.3 per cent was unsub-typable,” he explained.

H5N1 spreading in humans is BAD NEWS !!!!! Unclear if all-likely-H5N1 human cases did get infected from birds or from eachother. Nigeria needs foreign aid in sequencing to (still) confirm H5N1 human cases-as far as I understand. See latest news...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912149-covid-19-in-canada-level-4-very-high-level-of-covid-19-in-canada[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912149-covid-19-in-canada-level-4-very-high-level-of-covid-19-in-canada

  • Because of the current situation in Canada even fully vaccinated travelers may be at risk for getting and spreading COVID-19 variants and should avoid all travel to Canada

...

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices...navirus-canada

DJ-There are limits to the protection vaccines can offer...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912136-ontario-enacts-provincial-emergency-and-stay-at-home-order-april-7-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912136-ontario-enacts-provincial-emergency-and-stay-at-home-order-april-7-2021 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/who-oms/912143-the-world-needs-a-post-pandemic-health-treaty-with-teeth[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/national-international-government-ngo-preparation-response/who-oms/912143-the-world-needs-a-post-pandemic-health-treaty-with-teeth ;The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed the devastating and deadly shortcomings of current global health cooperation and governance, leading 25 world leaders to callfor a powerful upgrade: a pandemic treaty. The International Health Regulations (IHR) is the world’s current global health treaty, but from the beginning of the pandemic the regulations failed.

DJ-Do we need another treaty or do we need treaties that work ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912134-bomet-produces-free-oxygen-hospital-doubles-capacity-9-000-litres-per-hour[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912134-bomet-produces-free-oxygen-hospital-doubles-capacity-9-000-litres-per-hour ;In Summary

• Oxygen plant at Longisa County Hospital has increased production to 9,000 litres per hour from 4,000 litres.

• Excess will be available at no cost to facilities in neighbouring counties.

Beyond handling the county's needs, the new plant will supply oxygen to neighbouring counties at no cost, Governor Hillary Barchok said.
The oxygen plant at Longisa County Hospital has increased its production to 9,000 liters per hour from 4,000 litres.

Longisa Hospital and Tenwek Mission Hospital are the only institutions in the region producing oxygen.

DJ-Kenya-indicating a healthcrisis

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912026-brazil-covid-19-there-were-4-211-deaths-from-the-disease-recorded-in-24-hours-a-new-record-april-6-2021?view=stream (latest update); RIO DE JANEIRO (Reuters) - Brazil has recorded its first confirmed case of the highly contagious coronavirus variant discovered in South Africa, a fresh danger sign for a country already ravaged by the world’s highest daily death toll fueled by a widespread local variant.

Last week, scientists at the Butantan biomedical institute said the case, identified in a woman in Sao Paulo state, might be a new local variant. Further analysis confirmed it as the first known local case of the variant widely circulating in South Africa and elsewhere.

Scientists fear a showdown between the South African variant and the already rampant Brazilian variant, known as P.1, both of which are more contagious and possibly more deadly than the original version of the coronavirus and have led to accelerated COVID-19 surges.

DJ-A race between variants...it would be very welcome if a mild variant could push away the more damaging variants...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912128-cidrap-b117-now-most-common-covid-19-variant-in-the-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912128-cidrap-b117-now-most-common-covid-19-variant-in-the-us ; Young adults, kids in youth sports, and people associated with daycare centers are among the new cases, Walensky said. These populations are not likely to have been vaccinated yet, but may be taking more risks as states loosen restrictions.

-

An Associated Press analysis of Johns Hopkins data shows that only five states — New York, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey — accounted for 44% of the nation's new COVID-19 infections in the latest available 7-day period.

DJ A few days ago also mention of a P1-Brazil variant cluster in Massachusits...I think the only realistic expectation for the US is another variant-driven wave with vaccines giving limited protection. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912123-cidrap-covid-19-tied-to-spikes-in-out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrests[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912123-cidrap-covid-19-tied-to-spikes-in-out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrests ;In the observational study, published today in the Lancet's EClinicalMedicine, emergency services medical directors in 50 large cities in the United States, Italy, the United Kingdom, France, Australia, and New Zealand reported tallies of monthly OCHAs among adults in their respective jurisdictions from January to June 2020 and compared them with numbers from the same periods in 2018 and 2019.
They authors of the study found that, among all 50 cities, OHCA cases rose, on average, 59% in April 2020, with cases climbing from a monthly mean of 144 cases in 2018 and 2019 to 231 in 2020. In 34 of 50 US states, OHCAs spiked over 20% that month compared with April 2018 and 2019, mirroring COVID-19 community prevalence. Another 13 states saw 1.5 times the number of OHCAs during that time, while three US coronavirus hot spots experienced greater than 100% OHCA spikes—including New York City, where OHCAs ballooned to 2.5 times the baseline.
"What this is is one more reason why you don't want to get this virus," senior author Michael Osterholm, PhD, MPH, director of the University of Minnesota's Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, the publisher of CIDRAP News, said in an interview.

DJ-Iran reported also a sharp increase of hearthproblems linked to a new wave of Covid-variant infections. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912094-nature-daily-briefing-why-germany-s-coronavirus-death-rate-is-so-low[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912094-nature-daily-briefing-why-germany-s-coronavirus-death-rate-is-so-low DJ In short Angela Merkel ? 

-Dr. John Campbell discussing with Dr. Tess Lawrie on Ivermectin [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2ju5v4TAaQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2ju5v4TAaQ DJ-If Ivermectin is as effective as some claim why is it not used much more often ? Profit ? 

-WAR 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-deploys-additional-truck-launched-nuclear-missiles[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-deploys-additional-truck-launched-nuclear-missiles 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-syria-fires-upon-attacking-israeli-jet-over-lebanon[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/breaking-news-syria-fires-upon-attacking-israeli-jet-over-lebanon 

[url]https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/ukraine-april-2021.14798/page-4[/url] or https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/ukraine-april-2021.14798/page-4 

[url]https://southfront.org/resistance-fighters-blew-up-five-us-supply-convoys-all-over-iraq/[/url] or https://southfront.org/resistance-fighters-blew-up-five-us-supply-convoys-all-over-iraq/ 

[url]https://twitter.com/IntelCrab[/url] or https://twitter.com/IntelCrab 

DJ-The international situation is getting worse by the hour. IF NATO joins Ukraine in attacking Crimea/Eastern Ukraine of course Russia will react...Syria shooting at an Israeli plane firing missiles from Lebanon at targets in Syria will be seen by the west-insane as Syrian agression...Israel also attacked an Iranian ship-according the embedded western media in retaliation for Iran attacks-forgetting to mention those Iran actions were reaction on Israeli actions...(getting tar on Israeli beaches). 

Basicly Russia-Iran-China and many other countries are fed up by US agression. This may mean war from the South China Sea, the Arctic, Eastern Europe, Middle East...even Colombia/Venezuela is not ruled out...

Preparations are made, troops, weapons ready for use, an excuse is not that hard to find...I again hope to be very, very wrong !

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-2MenrnR2U[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-2MenrnR2U Fool To Cry-Rolling Stones

Is there a maximum length to these posts ? Am I disrupting this site ? Stay safe !



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carbon20 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 07 2021 at 11:04pm

Guardian: NCDC confirms bird flu outbreak in 7 states.

https://guardian.ng/news/ncdc-confirms-bird-flu-outbreak-in-7-states/

Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.🖖

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 08 2021 at 9:41pm

DJ

-A look at [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ shows highest total numbers for wave 3 so far. Top 5 in new cases; India -almost 132,000 new cases, at #2 Brazil 89,000, US-#3 80,000 #4 Turkey 56,000 and at #5 Poland (!!!!!) almost 28,000 new cases-Poland also reporting many deaths close to a 1000...

The top 5 make about 385,000 new cases out of a total of just over 739,000 global new cases. Deaths also high with 13,854...Brazil reporting 4190 deaths- around 7500 deaths in top 5 countries-so over 50%. Mexico there is at #5-Turkey not in top 10 even...for "new deaths"...

-FluTrackers; quick scan

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912257-over-one-million-people-reporting-long-covid-in-the-uk[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912257-over-one-million-people-reporting-long-covid-in-the-ukAccording to the latest ONS figures, over one million people were estimated to be suffering from Long Covid in the UK in the four weeks ending 6 March. Long Covid is defined as "symptoms persisting more than four weeks after the first suspected coronavirus episode that are not explained by something else". As this chart shows, while 420 thousand say that this does not restrict them in their daily activities, 674 thousand are experiencing some degree of problems in this regard.

DJ-The UK total cases show 4,370,000 cases-so 1 in 4 dealing with long Covid See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912239-cidrap-health-workers-report-long-covid-after-just-mild-illness[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912239-cidrap-health-workers-report-long-covid-after-just-mild-illness Sweden

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912255-sars-cov-2-spike-e484k-mutation-reduces-antibody-neutralisation[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912255-sars-cov-2-spike-e484k-mutation-reduces-antibody-neutralisationIt is concerning that emerging variants of SARS-CoV-2 can evade neutralising antibodies induced by previous infection or vaccination through mutations in the spike protein, including the receptor-binding domain (RBD). The asparagine (N) to tyrosine (Y) substitution at position 501 (N501Y), present in variants of concern belonging to the B.1.1.7, B.1.351, and P.1 lineages, does not seem to affect in-vitro neutralisation of human convalescent or post-vaccination sera. However, additional substitutions, such as E484K present in B.1.351 and P.1 lineages, might allow evasion from neutralising antibodies.

DJ-The rest of the story from Science Direct -allthough tax funded-is behind a paywall...why ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912249-cidrap-covid-19-surges-intensify-in-global-hot-spots[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912249-cidrap-covid-19-surges-intensify-in-global-hot-spots ; Though much of the attention surrounding recent surges has focused on Brazil, other countries in South America are reporting record activity. Argentina yesterday reported 22,039 cases, above the daily new case record it set the previous say, according to Reuters.

-

In Uruguay, Argentina's neighbor to the east, officials reported nearly 4,000 new cases—a single-day high—yesterday, and the country's president, Luis Lacalle Pou, extended the current COVID measures until Apr 30, according to CNN. Uruguay's intensive care unit occupancy is at 74%.
Peru yesterday reported a record daily high for deaths, with health ministry officials revealing this week that the P1 SARS-CoV-2 variant has been detected in all parts of the country, especially in areas bordering Brazil and in Lima, according to CNN.
In other regions of the world, India reported a record 126,198 cases yesterday, with nearly 60,000 from the hot spot, Maharashtra state. In Europe, Turkey yesterday reported a record 54,740 cases, and in the Middle East, Iran reported more than 22,000 cases over the last day, a record high, in an outbreak described as explosive and occurring in the wake of Persian New Year celebrations.

DJ-Article also mentions AZ/O vaccine not being used for some age groups in many countries. Bizarre ! The risks for complications are less then 1 in 100,000 ! Could the "non-profit" part be the problem ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-6-h5-cases-confirmed-by-ncdc-rpt-april-6-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/912108-nigeria-media-head-of-ncdc-quoted-as-saying-h5n1-reported-in-humans-6-h5-cases-confirmed-by-ncdc-rpt-april-6-2021?view=stream ; The concern I have isn't so much that there are 7 human cases (which is sizeable but not record-breaking), it is that those 7 human cases have been detected against the background of a pandemic where HPAI would be difficult to detect since it is clinically similar to COVID.

DJ-A lot of "unclear info" on what is going on-the doctors strike-due to salaries not being paid may be ended...a lot of ????(X999)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912236-hospitals-running-out-of-key-drug-for-covid-19-patients[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912236-hospitals-running-out-of-key-drug-for-covid-19-patientsOntario physicians have been urged to ration one of only two drugs known to reduce mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients, a harbinger of what lies ahead for other provinces if the third wave keeps rising and Canada cannot secure more of the medication.

A shortage of the anti-inflammatory drug tocilizumab is just one of the challenges Canadian hospitals face as faster-spreading and more dangerous variants overtake older versions of the coronavirus. British Columbia, Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Ontario all have more COVID-19 patients in their intensive care units than at any other time during the pandemic.

DJ-Canada-not a country we keep poor...!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/912233-poland-2021-bird-flu-in-poultry[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/912233-poland-2021-bird-flu-in-poultry ;Avian flu attacked Wielkopolska at the beginning of the year, but it is currently wreaking the greatest havoc in the Kalisz County. The hosts in this region, along with veterinary services, have been fighting the H5N1 virus since the beginning of March. Outbreaks were detected in 44 farms and poultry farms. Avian flu mainly decimates duck and turkey farms. In total, there are over 50 outbreaks in the entire Wielkopolska region.

DJ-In Russia and Nigeria bird flu did reach humans-and was reported. It most likely did cross species border in (many) other places. Since symptoms may look like Covid spread can go on-with people testing negative for Covid (if tested)...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/niger/909059-niger-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-backyard-birds-and-farm[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/niger/909059-niger-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-backyard-birds-and-farm and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-russia/912228-russia-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n5-in-wild-birds-oie-april-7-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/europe-h5n8-tracking/h5n8-tracking-russia/912228-russia-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n5-in-wild-birds-oie-april-7-2021 

DJ- "Bird Flu" is spreading and the virus is developing in a way it may jump to mammals. Since these type of virusses are "double airborne"; spread by birds but the virus itself also airborne-it most likely will become "a serious problem (soon) ".

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912226-uk-the-flap-over-ucl-prediction-of-%60herd-immunity-by-april-9th[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912226-uk-the-flap-over-ucl-prediction-of-%60herd-immunity-by-april-9th ;

  • We'd have to find that acquired immunity (either from vaccination of natural infection) was both robust, and long-lasting.
  • That acquired immunity provided cross-protection against current, and conceivably future, COVID variants.
  • And that the much discussed `herd immunity' threshold of 73.4% is indeed the magic number.

DJ-The UK should do all it can (for the coming year(s) to keep variants out-maybe the can escape from another wave...would be welcome good news..This pandemic is over when it is over-most experts think the Corona-virus is here to stay. So we have to keep both eyes on it, need booster vaccines etc...See also:

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912224-ecdc-technical-rpt-reinfection-with-sars-cov-2-surveillance-case-definition[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912224-ecdc-technical-rpt-reinfection-with-sars-cov-2-surveillance-case-definition ;

A year ago, in COVID-19: From Here To Immunitywe looked at the growing concerns that COVID-19 might not be a one-and-done infection like measles or chickenpox - and instead be more akin to influenza - which not only mutates over time but often leaves behind less than permanent immunity.


Infections with hCoV (human coronaviruses) were already known to be recurrent, and studies on MERS-CoV survivors had shown waning antibody levels (see EID Journal: Antibody Response & Disease Severity In HCW MERS Survivors), particularly among those with mild illness.

And less than a year earlier, in 2019's C.I.D.: Influenza A Reinfection in Sequential Human Challenge, we'd seen the surprising results of an NIH influenza challenge study suggesting reinfection with exactly the same strain of influenza A was not only possible, it might even be common.

-

Reinfections, we were assured, were rare and the SARS-CoV-2 virus was remarkably stable. While hundreds of mutations had been identified, none were considered significant, or likely to impact transmission, virulence, or immune escape.

-

As we've discussed often, verifying reinfection with SARS-CoV-2 is often difficult or impossible due to a lack of genomic testing, and in some cases, even RT-PCR testing results. There has been no uniform case definition to help identify COVID reinfections, and often no requirement to report suspected or confirmed reinfections.


In an attempt to provide some uniformity, and guidelines, for EU/EEA nations to recognize and report reinfections, the ECDC has today released a 10-page technical report with case definitions and testing requirements.

DJ The idea of "herd immunity" basicly may be much to optimistic-something we should have learned by now...We did not even define "reinfection", sequencing/testing was/is a problem-and still "some experts" claim "limited risk of reinfection" while most cases by now could be (variant) reinfections...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/912179-drug-dev-ind-pharm-mapping-the-technological-landscape-of-sars-mers-and-sars-cov-2-vaccines[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/912179-drug-dev-ind-pharm-mapping-the-technological-landscape-of-sars-mers-and-sars-cov-2-vaccines ;The last two decades have seen the emergence of several viral outbreaks. Some of them are the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), and severe acute respiratory syndrome 2 (SARS-CoV2) - the cause of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Ever, vaccines for emergency use have been authorized for the control and prevention of COVID-19. Currently, there is an urgent need to develop a vaccine for prophylaxis of COVID-19 and for other future epidemics.

DJ-Corona virus infections are NOT new-almost 90 years ago first detected/expected in chickens...We may have ignored the risks...

-[url]https://innovationorigins.com/corona-in-europe-the-one-strength-of-the-swedish-approach/[/url] or https://innovationorigins.com/corona-in-europe-the-one-strength-of-the-swedish-approach/ 

Overview of how Europe is doing with NPI and vaccines...not very good...Also vaccination top 10 with Israel at #1.

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEg523BilxI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEg523BilxI Dr. John Campbell-vaccine safety update (DJ-as far as now is known risk of complications limited to less to 1 in 100.000...AZ/O was used in most of UK vaccinations and prevented a lot of deaths and new cases...)

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/us-iran-conflict-in-iraq-put-on-pause.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/us-iran-conflict-in-iraq-put-on-pause.html US forces in Iraq renamed "advisors/trainers"...

[url]https://twitter.com/IntelCrab[/url] or https://twitter.com/IntelCrab 

DJ-In several area's there are so many troops, bombs, etc. it will go wrong. The US goal is to stop Russia-Iran-China (etc.) with many other smaller countries being a problem (Israel, Turkey). Dealing with this pandemic still is not priority number 1. 

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLFAhSRy8Zk[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLFAhSRy8Zk Boz Scaggs-What Can I Say 1976

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 09 2021 at 9:52pm

DJ,

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ The global number of new cases is moving to the peak of the second wave-very likely to go over it. Yesterday-april 9-did see almost 786,000 new cases. January 8-2021 had over 845,000 new cases. 

The new cases number for India keeps going up close 145,000 new cases. Brazil had 89,000 (rested, reported) cases, the US over 85,000. 

Here in NL the number of people spreading the virus was estimated by the Dutch CDC to be over 160,000 =close to 1% of the population. Highest number in a year. Hospitals are increasing/stretching IC capacity to 1550 beds-but staff is a major problem. Most HCW-ers still did not get vaccinated, 20% now on sick-leave. Exhaustion is a main problem.

Our "government" did promise all kind of reopenings eventhough the numbers indicated there was no room for it...So now the hope is "better weather will bring numbers down"....In Germany Angela Merkel is pushing for national laws to get a grip on memberstates reopening while cases are going up...

In general; the duration of this healthcrisis is seeing increasing problems in HCW-ers AND increasing problems with NPI. The older age groups are protected by vaccines so most hospitals now face younger age groups with Covid19-75% 50-65 y/o. 

The worldwide outlook is NOT GOOD !!!! Variants may evade natural/vaccine immunity. In many countries healthcare is "under extreme pressure". Oxygen, some medications, staff may become a major problem.  

-FluTrackers (often "latest activity"!)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912340-cidrap-reports-detail-high-covid-19-burden-in-native-americans[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912340-cidrap-reports-detail-high-covid-19-burden-in-native-americansDuring the pandemic, Native Americans have had 2.2 times greater COVID-19 case incidence and almost quadruple the death rate of White people in Montana, according to a study today in Morbidity & Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR).

DJ-In many ways this pandemic underlines social problems. The poor are hit much harder while they did not cause the problem (just like as in climate "change").

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912335-cidrap-news-scan-h5-flu-infections-in-nigeria-h5n6-avian-flu-case-in-laos-polio-in-3-countries[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912335-cidrap-news-scan-h5-flu-infections-in-nigeria-h5n6-avian-flu-case-in-laos-polio-in-3-countries ; Nasal swab testing of poultry workers and handlers in recent highly pathogenic H5N1 avian flu outbreak settings in Nigeria turned up seven positive results in humans, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) said in its weekly communicable disease threat report.

-

Laos has reported its first human H5N6 avian flu case, the first known infection to occur outside of China.

DJ-Some form(s) of H5 "birdflu" seems to be close to jump to other species. Since the symptoms look like Covid19 and the "bird-flu" is "double airborne" (both spread by birds and aerosols) it is a growing risk. This can become a pandemic ON TOP of a pandemic. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912333-florida-governor-sues-the-cdc-to-get-cruises-sailing-immediately[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912333-florida-governor-sues-the-cdc-to-get-cruises-sailing-immediately ;Making good on an earlier threat, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) said Thursday that the state has filed a lawsuit against the federal government demanding that cruises be allowed to resume from the United States immediately.

DJ Can't fix stupid-stupid will kill us all...But also national governments have to get realistic-do they realy want to restart international airtravel, cruises, mass events ? Did they learn nothing from this pandemic at all ? (You may have a bit stupid, a lot stupid and super-stupid ! Are politicians going for 100% stupid ?)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/united-states-2019-ncov/906307-pandemic-started-in-us-before-2020-we-just-didn-t-know-it[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/united-states-2019-ncov/906307-pandemic-started-in-us-before-2020-we-just-didn-t-know-it ;Considering how coronavirus variant B117 (501Y) can go undetected, it is plausible that COVID-19 origins go back several months into 2019 (in the United States) and even farther in other parts of the world. Studying frozen blood samples may help answer the question of just how long.

According to the WSJ, organizations including the American Red Cross and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are testing old blood specimens for the presence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2. They also seek collections from Wuhan before Dec. 2019, as well as other parts of China...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/origin-...es-11617874200

According to UT NEWS: A new study suggests coronavirus variant B117 (501Y) went undetected in 15 countries for months before it was discovered. This variant was unknowingly spreading for months in the United States by October 2020, according to a new study from researchers with The University of Texas at Austin COVID Modeling Consortium...
https://news.utexas.edu/2021/04/01/u...its-discovery/

DJ-By now there is enough evidence to claim the pandemic did show up in several places in 2019-from blood samples, sewage samples etc. There have also been a lot of stories of a "strong cold" autumn 2019 in many places...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912329-france-advises-vaccine-mixing-for-some-amid-clotting-fears[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912329-france-advises-vaccine-mixing-for-some-amid-clotting-fears ; French health officials said Friday that people under 55 who received a first dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine should get other vaccines for their second shot because of an extremely rare risk of a blood clotting disorder.

Germany is expected to recommend a similar booster dose strategy for people under age 60. The World Health Organization says it's too early to know whether to recommend such vaccine mixing, however, and the European Medicines Agency hasn't advised putting any age restrictions on the use of the AstraZeneca vaccine.

French authorities said the British-Swedish pharmaceutical company's vaccine remains central to its vaccination plan strategy, and they urged older populations to keep taking it as France's hospitals battle another surge in COVID-19 patients...

DJ-All vaccines did show some-very limited-problems, maybe not even caused by the vaccine itself. If we want to decrease vaccines are we willing to increase NPI/lockdowns ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912322-america-may-be-close-to-hitting-a-vaccine-wall[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912322-america-may-be-close-to-hitting-a-vaccine-wall ;There are growing signs that parts of the country may be close to meeting demand for the coronavirus vaccine — well before the U.S. has reached herd immunity.

Why it matters: For the last few months, the primary focus of the U.S. has been getting shots to everyone who wants them, as quickly as possible. Soon, that focus will abruptly shift to convincing holdouts to get vaccinated.

State of play: Red states in the South are administering the lowest portion of the vaccine doses that they receive from the federal government — a sign of low demand, slow public health systems, or both.

The most vaccine-reluctant Americans are white Republicans, polling has found.

DJ-In a second phase of vaccinations one could give people a choice in vaccines-to at least increase the number of vaccinations...

Again-if vaccines become a problem (even for bad reasons) what is the alternative...?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912319-echr-rules-obligatory-vaccination-may-be-necessary[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912319-echr-rules-obligatory-vaccination-may-be-necessary ;The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) in Strasbourg ruled on Thursday that compulsory vaccinations would not contravene human rights law — and may be necessary in democratic societies.

The ruling came following the evaluation of a complaint brought to the court by Czech families regarding compulsory jabs for children.

"The measures could be regarded as being 'necessary in a democratic society,'" the court judgment read.

DJ-You have to try to avoid enforcing vaccines on people. Convincing them is better..It is not a police job to pick unvaccinated people from the street, it is not a doctors job to vaccinate healthy people to vaccinate them against their will. Good communications can make a lot of difference !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912318-indian-states-report-vaccine-shortages-amid-record-covid-surge[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912318-indian-states-report-vaccine-shortages-amid-record-covid-surgeAmid the record surge, many Indian states have reported running out of vaccines even as Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government continues to insist there is enough stock. India is the largest producer of vaccines and is known as the “pharmacy of the world”.

India started its vaccination programme in January but has been able to administer only 90 million shots in a population of more than 1.3 billion people, with most of them accounting for the first dose of a two-dose regime...

DJ-India will be exporting less vaccines...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912308-brazil-poses-global-health-threat-as-its-hospitals-buckle-under-covid-19-experts-warn[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912308-brazil-poses-global-health-threat-as-its-hospitals-buckle-under-covid-19-experts-warn ;Dr. Hallal, an associate professor of epidemiology at Federal University in Pelotas, said calling the country a threat to the world isn't overstating the problem. He said waiting lists for ICUs are a sign the country's health-care system has collapsed.

"We are obviously a threat to ourselves because the virus is out of control and we break records every single day. But we are also a threat to global public health because we are pretty much a factory of variants," he said in an interview with CBC News...

DJ-Brazil is not the only "factory of variants"...it is very likely many countries already have become variant-producing countries...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-cases-rising-and-at-the-tipping-point?view=stream ;Last Updated Friday, April 9, 2021 10:27AM EDT

TORONTO -- Ontario health officials reported more than 4,000 new cases of COVID-19 for the first time in months, marking the second highest number of cases reported in a single day since the pandemic started.

DJ-I was hoping Canada would be doing better...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/influenza-in-animals-excl-h5n1/898209-germany-current-avian-influenza-cases-2020-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/influenza-in-animals-excl-h5n1/898209-germany-current-avian-influenza-cases-2020-2021?view=stream ;Type H5N8 bird flu was confirmed in a farm in the Ludwigslust-Parchim area in the eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, said the Ludwigslust-Parchim local government authority.

DJ-H5 types of birdflu in fact are already a pandemic in (wild) birds...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912300-j-laryngol-otol-post-coronavirus-disease-mucormycosis-a-deadly-addition-to-the-pandemic-spectrum[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912300-j-laryngol-otol-post-coronavirus-disease-mucormycosis-a-deadly-addition-to-the-pandemic-spectrum DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mucormycosis[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mucormycosis =Mucormycosis is any fungal infection caused by fungi in the order Mucorales.[2]:328 Generally, species in the Mucor, Rhizopus, Absidia, and Cunninghamella genera are most often implicated

One could wait for such complications to show up...

-I did not see a new Dr.John Campbell video, his Ivermectin story still on YouTube. Peak Prosperity on YouTube is still investments, [url]https://www.peakprosperity.com/were-in-uncharted-territory/[/url] or https://www.peakprosperity.com/were-in-uncharted-territory/ ;

Looking at the accelerating expansion of debt issuance, the red-hot run-up in the financial markets, and the economic uncertainty caused by the ongoing pandemic — Bethany concludes we’re at a precarious never-been-here-before moment in history, aka “uncharted territory”. And she sees good probability another major crisis may be around the corner.

She also sees a familiar dangerous lack of imagination in those both running and cheerleading the current system. Similar to the ‘rock stars’ at Enron, no one seems able to entertain the idea that things could get out of hand much faster than folks are prepared for.

DJ-The economic side of this pandemic is "open"...Since the pandemic is that widespread ALL have an interest to keep the global economy running...And it is very complicated with lots of uncertainties. When I look at my country the economic damage is limited. People still need to buy food, drinks, houses. There are major shifts on their way-many cities did have to many shops-turning them into houses-we may need another million houses till 2030-may be a solution. 

Working from home means less busy roads-so sometimes investments can wait while governments need to spend more on hospitals and healthcare...

On the long run there may be a lot of people dealing with "chronic Covid/complications" and you have to see how they may be able to make a living..

Again-less money in international travel-in my (DJ) opinion-is more then welcome in dealing with this pandemic. If our -NL-economy would decrease 10% we still would be at the level of the end of last century... For other countries it is a major problem...

But inequality was already a major issue before this pandemic started. 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pbfabuyJacc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pbfabuyJacc Peak Prosperity;

Investigative journalist Bethany McLean is an expert on crisis. She has written New York Times best-selling books on the collapse of Enron ('The Smartest Guys In The Room') as well as the mortgage industry and Wall Street abuses that led to the 2008 Great Financial Crisis ('All The Devils Are Here' and 'Shaky Ground'). So when she says she’s deeply worried about today’s macro environment, we’d better take notice. Looking at the accelerating expansion of debt issuance, the red-hot run-up in the financial markets, and the economic uncertainty caused by the ongoing pandemic -- Bethany concludes we're at a precarious never-been-here-before moment in history, aka "uncharted territory". And she sees good probability another major crisis may be around the corner.

DJ Hyperinflation is a real risk-you can not "solve all problems by printing money" -putting that fiat-money in stocks and claim"the economy is booming" ....Many countries-not only the US-are facing social crises. Those crises are not only related to "color of skin" but also age is a factor. The old already have a hous, job, family-the young have a very hard time getting there...

Also it is much to early to start talking about "post pandemic" ; the US is a few weeks behind Europe and will face an increase of variant cases. With 1/3 of its populatin vaccinated-and maybe some remaining natural immunity-the US certainly is NOT out of this pandemic ! The worst may still be in the future-some just do not want to see it...

DJ-I do not like it, I hate this pandemic ! This could and should have been prevented ! But it is still here-not likely to go away soon...so we better find answers !

WAR

Yesterday Hal Turner reported Ukraine would NOT start an offensive against Crimea/Eastern Ukraine. But that story is gone...I did also not see any confirmation. So [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sets-up-army-field-hospital-near-ukraine-moves-iskander-missiles-and-amphibious-landing-craft-from-caspian-sea-to-ukraine-coast[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-sets-up-army-field-hospital-near-ukraine-moves-iskander-missiles-and-amphibious-landing-craft-from-caspian-sea-to-ukraine-coast this is his story still. 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/why-the-us-might-want-war-in-ukraine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/why-the-us-might-want-war-in-ukraine.html 

[url]https://southfront.org/death-or-ukraine-us-delegation-in-donbass-frontlines-under-nazi-flags/[/url] or https://southfront.org/death-or-ukraine-us-delegation-in-donbass-frontlines-under-nazi-flags/ 

DJ-The nazi-flag keeps coming back...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azov_Battalion[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azov_Battalion and the nazi-link is not just Russian propaganda...Also IS/jihadi's fighting for the Kiev regime has been confirmed by others..

An "Ukraine" offensive needs good weather...HT reported 20,000 US, 17,000 other NATO troops in frontline positions. The US goal for war in Ukraine is clear-stop EurAsian integration. But I (DJ) doubt if France, Germany, Italy, Turkey will join this US/NATO "plan/insanity". Germany is not only investing billions in NorthStream-2 importing Russian gas, they also may buy Sputnik-V vaccines...

The Kiev regime knows that if they start an offensive the major war will be in the Ukraine. There are better alternatives for that...EU-China or Turkish investments ... If the US needs another war they may seek to start another war in the Middle East via their IS allies...also trying to stop EurAsian integration...

In fact the US is fighting the EU....(and we do not like that !!!)

Music ; Julian Lennon -Salt Water 1991 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGQiqq9N1jo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGQiqq9N1jo good lyrics...Music sounds like Beatles...


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 10 2021 at 9:44pm

DJ (I put "DJ" to show I give my opinion based on links I try to include...I am NOT neutral; I do NOT want to be neutral !)

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ show still very serious problems in many countries. In the top 10 for new cases India with over 152,000 new (tested/reported) cases is in very serious problems. Since India is/was the main exporter for vaccines-that now stopped-the world will feel India is suffering. Hospital capacity may become overstretched-could become worse-in numbers-then Brazil-#2-with almost 70,000 new cases reported.

At #3 is the US-most likely several variant also spreading-basicly out of control. The over 66,000 new cases would be even higher if vaccinations did not already provide some protection. 

Turkey, France, Poland, Iran, Argentina, Germany and Italy make the top 10. Ukraine is at #11 with limited testing, a bankrupt state, and semi permanent war...

In the media I did see claims of variants in Marocco, Iran that turn out to be the UK variant. So far the latest new major variants are P3 from the Phillipines and the India-Maharashtra/Mumbai variant. Maharashtra as a state inside India has a population of over 112 million (in 2011...old data). [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 (India variant=[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.617[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Lineage_B.1.617 )

It is very likely more variants are spreading, some evading PCR testing...Given also H5 "bird flu" in humans may be increasing test-evading Covid and "bird flu" could be spreading undetected for a long time in many area's.

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912427-change-to-case-reporting-in-england[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912427-change-to-case-reporting-in-england ; The way cases are reported has changed. Cases that have been identified through a positive rapid lateral flow test will be removed for people who took Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) tests within 3 days that were all negative. Cases of this type that were previously reported were removed from the cumulative total, reducing the total by 8,010. Newly reported numbers of cases for the UK and England were unaffected by the removal of these. Historical published date totals have not been changed.

DJ-Case defenition is a problem in itself...The UK rule of "death within 28 days of diagnosis" for Covid19 leaves a lot of Covid19 UK deaths out of the statistics...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912423-gisaid-tracking-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912423-gisaid-tracking-variants DJ-links to [url]https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/[/url] or https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/ showing 5 variants-latest update...Proberbly there will be a "variant radar" somewhere...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912422-icus-across-canada-see-near-record-of-covid-19-patients-as-new-variant-cases-multiply[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912422-icus-across-canada-see-near-record-of-covid-19-patients-as-new-variant-cases-multiply ;Canada’s chief public health officer says the number of new COVID-19 cases linked to variants of concern has doubled over the past week, with B.1.1.7, first identified in the U.K., “essentially replacing” pre-existing versions of the virus.

Dr. Theresa Tam said the predominance of these strains is fuelling a rapid COVID-19 resurgence that is sending more patients to hospital with severe illness, including young people, and threatens to push intensive care units to their limits. ...

DJ-In Canada-like in the EU-vaccination is problematic. Proberbly Canada is showing where the US would be without vaccines...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world ; Much like the terrorist attacks of 11 September 2001, the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to produce some changes that will be felt for years to come and change the way we live, work, and govern domestically and internationally. How great these will be, however, is very much in question.

DJ-Variants-another wave of Covid19-may make an even more grim picture...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912354-scientists-challenge-health-officials-on-vaccinating-people-who-already-had-covid[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912354-scientists-challenge-health-officials-on-vaccinating-people-who-already-had-covid ;Award-winning scientist and Congressman Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) called out the CDC when he found that vaccine studies showed no benefit to people who had coronavirus and that getting vaccinated didn’t change their odds of getting reinfected.

The CDC claimed “the COVID vaccine would save your life or save you from suffering, even if you’ve already had the virus and recovered, which has not been demonstrated in either the Pfizer or Moderna trials,” Massie said in an interview with Full Measure.

Massie contacted officials at the CDC about the misinformation. They acknowledged it was false, but instead of correcting it, tried to rephrase their mistake. Massie and other scientists said the new wording still wrongly implies vaccines work in people who previously had COVID.

DJ-A "good story" showing how complacated the discussion on vaccines is...(I do not have the knowledge to judge...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912389-int-j-endocrinol-subacute-thyroiditis-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-searching-for-a-clinical-association-with-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912389-int-j-endocrinol-subacute-thyroiditis-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-searching-for-a-clinical-association-with-sars-cov-2 ;Purpose: To search for a clinical potential link between subacute thyroiditis (SAT) and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in a series of patients diagnosed with SAT during the COVID-19 pandemic, by retrospective evaluation of (1) clinical symptoms and (2) contact tracing.
Methods: SAT patients diagnosed from March to December 2020 were enrolled. The presence of typical clinical presentation of SARS-CoV-2, diagnostic tests for SARS-CoV-2, and contact with other individuals proven to be positive for SARS-CoV-2 were searched.
Results: Ten SAT cases were included. Fever was recorded in four patients. Cough, dyspnea, and headache were rarely reported. No patient had diagnosis of pneumonia. Two patients had moderate to severe fatigue after SAT. One patient experienced loss of smell and taste and had persistent fatigue over the following five months. No patient had positive SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic tests. At contact-tracing evaluation, only one patient had a contact with people who were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2.
Conclusions: Patients diagnosed with SAT during COVID-19 pandemic rarely experienced SARS-CoV-2-related symptomatology. The contact tracing did not show close contact with SARS-CoV-2 individuals in 9/10 cases.

DJ-There have been several reports on thyroid problems related to Covid19. Since it is close to the upper respitory system it may get infected?  

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912387-one-health-outlook-assessing-the-risks-of-sars-cov-2-in-wildlife[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912387-one-health-outlook-assessing-the-risks-of-sars-cov-2-in-wildlife ;Since the onset of the pandemic, there have been many instances of human-to-animal transmission involving companion, farmed and zoo animals, and limited evidence for spread into free-living wildlife. The establishment of reservoirs of infection in wild animals would create significant challenges to infection control in humans and could pose a threat to the welfare and conservation status of wildlife. We discuss the potential for exposure, onward transmission and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 in an initial selection of wild mammals (bats, canids, felids, mustelids, great apes, rodents and cervids). Dynamic risk assessment and targeted surveillance are important tools for the early detection of infection in wildlife, and here we describe a framework for collating and synthesising emerging information to inform targeted surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 in wildlife. Surveillance efforts should be integrated with information from public and veterinary health initiatives to provide insights into the potential role of wild mammals in the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2.

DJ-Covid19 in non-human hosts could see new variants-possibly even greater risk for humans...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912373-mil-med-prolonged-sars-cov-2-viral-culture-detected-in-a-mild-covid-19-infection[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/912373-mil-med-prolonged-sars-cov-2-viral-culture-detected-in-a-mild-covid-19-infection ;We describe a case of prolonged shedding of live Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus, 2 in the setting of a mild novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection in a healthy young adult male. The patient did not require hospitalization or any supplemental oxygen. The viral cultures remained positive 15 days from symptom onset. The extended duration of positive viral culture with his concurrent mild symptomatology is at odds with current CDC and DOD isolation policies for positive COVID-19 patients. This case is important as health agencies around the world grapple with how to advise patients and create protocols for isolation precautions after positive COVID-19 results.

DJ-Mild symptoms but virus spread for 15 days...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912355-emerg-infect-dis-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-a-h5n8-virus-in-swans-china-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/h5n8-studies-academia/912355-emerg-infect-dis-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-a-h5n8-virus-in-swans-china-2020 ;In October 2020, highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N8) viruses were detected in 2 dead swans in Inner Mongolia, China. Genetic analysis showed that the H5N8 isolates belong to clade 2.3.4.4b and that the isolates cluster with the H5N8 viruses isolated in Eurasia in the fall of 2020.

DJ-Both H5 and H7 "bird flu" may be close to jumping to humans (and other hosts)-already a pandemic in (wild)birds.

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GHVgCkAVeVM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GHVgCkAVeVM 

"Off sick for a couple of days" -He has been making video's almost daily-so that must be a burden. Takes a DIY-test for Covid-showing no high viral load-most likely just a cold...He hopes to be back Monday. He did get Pfizer vaccine february 18. 

Covid-symptom tracker app-questions. "Unusual hair-loss";-) ! Hope he will get better soon-take enough rest...

WAR-Is still global priority #1...even with this variant pandemic at risk of getting out of control...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/turkey-stabs-russia-in-the-face[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/turkey-stabs-russia-in-the-face 

DJ-Turkey is "balancing" between Ukraine and Russia. Yes-it claims Crimea is part of Ukraine and not stopping US navy entering the Black Sea...Yes-it is selling drones to Ukraine, very likely Turkish advisors-that were in the Armenia/Azarbaijan recent war-now in Ukraine...Yes-Turkey may be still transporting IS "western backed terrorists" to Ukraine-but Turkey has been doing so for years...

Turkey working with Russia on Turkstream oil/gas from Russia via Turkey to the EU. Turkey also buying S400, developing S500 air defense missiles with Russia...In Syria Russia and Turkey-more or less cooperate...While Russia is bombing pro-Turkish fighters in Idlib...

[url]https://southfront.org/zelensky-goes-to-turkey-as-erdogan-calls-moscow/[/url] or https://southfront.org/zelensky-goes-to-turkey-as-erdogan-calls-moscow/ 

DJ Erdogan knows how to "balance and survive". He may be in a position to stop Zelensky/Ukraine from "restarting" a war. In many ways there may be a "TIP" group-Turkey-Iran-Pakistan finding their own way. Possibly both Afghanistan and Ukraine may get included. As a "sub-group" the may coordinate a role between China and the EU-avoiding India and Russia. (While Iran is able to make its own deals with India...)

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/after-the-bear-showed-its-teeth-the-ukraine-filed-for-peace.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/after-the-bear-showed-its-teeth-the-ukraine-filed-for-peace.html 

DJ-The US would love to be able to stop EurAsian integration...maybe one of the reasons Merkel called Putin (she also wants Sputnik-V). We-in the EU-do not want more US wars....Proberbly that is what the US was told during recent "good talks" with France and Germany...

It would be very welcome if the US did use more diplomacy...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g7pNp-yUSs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g7pNp-yUSs The Duran-april 3 good background info-"The West"not going to war for Ukraine...

Music; Rod Stewart I Don't Want To Talk About It [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcP8xLmTKmw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcP8xLmTKmw 1989 version

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 11 2021 at 9:55pm

DJ

I want to keep this scenario-daily update short but also include main developments...also provide links if possible (I admit I also have a lot of imagination...A lot of "news" is not "news" ....)

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for India are shocking. Sunday april 11 did see almost 170,000 new cases reported for India (for the period 00.00 hrs UTC to 00.00 hrs UTC-other sites use other timezones resulting in some differences in numbers). Since most of those new cases are variant linked-with often-in practice more severe disease-if only 10% would need hospital in 2 weeks that would mean 17,000 new hospital cases on their way for just one day...but maybe 50% is more realistic=85,000 hospital cases...India on its way to hospital crisis). 

Worldometers has the total global number of deaths still at 2,950,000, other sites did put that number over 3 million. In january this year we had a few days with over 17,000 Covid deaths reported. So far the highest number of global deaths in this "wave" was april 8 with over 13,500 deaths...

When you look at wave 2 one could claim it started somewhere in november 2020 (first indications for UK variant). So it did take two months + to reach its peak. In november at a certain moment around 9000 deaths per day-double that number almost january. If that pattern repeats itself and the first week(s) of wave 3 would be between 10,000 and 15,000 deaths in two or three months-so this summer-the global number peak would be between 20,000 and 30,000 ? 

Some differences are in november the UK variant did increase the numbers-we now have to deal with several variants-in several regions and still spreading. Vaccinations may make some difference. A major problems is hospitals running out of staff, materials...Also NPI/lockdowns have "eroded"...

A look at new cases list, Turkey #2 after India with over 50,000 (most UK variant) cases. NL-"the Brazil of Europe" at #15 with over 8,000 new cases...(more in latest news...)

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912462-china-cdc-director-says-domestic-covid-19-vaccines-have-low-efficacy-may-mix-them-april-11-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912462-china-cdc-director-says-domestic-covid-19-vaccines-have-low-efficacy-may-mix-them-april-11-2021 ; In a rare admission of the weakness of coronavirus vaccines developed in China, the country's top disease control official says their effectiveness is low and the government is considering mixing them to get a boost.

DJ-It is a good question how China came to that conclusion. Was it based on experiences in other countries ? Chile did use lots of Chinese vaccines but the P1 variant still was and is a major problem. China did vaccinate over a hundred million people recently-but most (reported) new cases are at border checks, and those numbers or very low. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/912460-evidence-for-increased-breakthrough-rates-of-sars-cov-2-variants-of-concern-in-bnt162b2-mrna-vaccinated-individuals[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/912460-evidence-for-increased-breakthrough-rates-of-sars-cov-2-variants-of-concern-in-bnt162b2-mrna-vaccinated-individuals ; The BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine has demonstrated high protection levels, yet apprehension exists that several variants of concerns (VOCs) can surmount the immune defenses generated by the vaccines. Neutralization assays have revealed some reduction in neutralization of VOCs B.1.1.7 and B.1.351, but the relevance of these assays in real life remains unclear. Here, we performed a case-control study that examined whether BNT162b2 vaccinees with documented SARS-CoV-2 infection were more likely to become infected with B.1.1.7 or B.1.351 compared with unvaccinated individuals. Vaccinees infected at least a week after the second dose were disproportionally infected with B.1.351 (odds ratio of 8:1). Those infected between two weeks after the first dose and one week after the second dose, were disproportionally infected by B.1.1.7 (odds ratio of 26:10), suggesting reduced vaccine effectiveness against both VOCs under different dosage/timing conditions. Nevertheless, the B.1.351 incidence in Israel to-date remains low and vaccine effectiveness remains high against B.1.1.7, among those fully vaccinated. These results overall suggest that vaccine breakthrough infection is more frequent with both VOCs, yet a combination of mass-vaccination with two doses coupled with non-pharmaceutical interventions control and contain their spread...

DJ-[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_vaccine#Efficacy[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_vaccine#Efficacy The Pfizer (=bnt162b2-mRNA vaccine) does offer good protection as one variant is spreading, but that may decrease if more variants of concern (VOC) are around...Problem is most countries will face several VOC's. See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912451-israeli-data-shows-south-african-variant-able-to-%E2%80%98break-through%E2%80%99-pfizer-vaccine[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912451-israeli-data-shows-south-african-variant-able-to-%E2%80%98break-through%E2%80%99-pfizer-vaccine ; Israeli data shows South African variant able to ‘break through’ Pfizer vaccine
Strain is more effective than original COVID and the British variant at bypassing the shot, Israeli scientists find, in first-of-its-kind, real-world study
By Nathan Jeffay 10 April 2021, 8:08 pm 5

-

A team from Tel Aviv University and the Clalit healthcare organization sequenced the swabs of 150 Israelis who tested positive for COVID-19 despite having been vaccinated.

In their study, the prevalence of the South African strain among vaccinated individuals who were infected despite their inoculation was eight times higher than its prevalence in the unvaccinated infected population. Though the number of such infections among the vaccinated was relatively small, the findings indicated that this variant was far more successful in getting through vaccinated individuals’ defenses than other strains.

“Based on patterns in the general population, we would have expected just one case of the South African variant, but we saw eight,” Prof. Adi Stern, who headed the research, told The Times of Israel. “Obviously, this result didn’t make me happy.” ....

DJ-Bad news...Israel used Pfizer for almost all of the vaccinations. If the SA variant manages to evade that vaccination it may start spreading in vaccinated people...

-[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912455-53-of-canadians-on-the-brink-of-insolvency-mnp-survey[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912455-53-of-canadians-on-the-brink-of-insolvency-mnp-survey ;A new survey by MNP Ltd. has found that 53 per cent of respondents said they are $200 or less away from not being able to meet all of their monthly bills and debt obligations. The number is alarming as it marks a five-year high in the agency's consumer debt index and marks a 10-point jump from a December survey.

This number includes the 30 per cent who said they are already insolvent, with no money left over at the end of the month.

DJ-The duration of this pandemic is an extra burden. A total lack of realism in both experts and politicians made matters much worse. The idea of herd immunity, later on NPI/lockdowns with repeated reopenings to early is very destructive...And it is not over yet. Governments have to do much better ! See also; [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-record-number-of-cases?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/902890-ontario-2021-covid-cases-record-number-of-cases?view=stream (latest activity) ; Last Updated Sunday, April 11, 2021 10:51AM EDT

TORONTO -- Ontario health officials are reporting more than 4,400 new cases of COVID-19, marking the highest number of infections ever reported in a single day since the pandemic started.

The province confirmed 4,456 new cases of the novel coronavirus on Sunday, surpassing the previous record high case total on Friday of 4,227 new infections.

DJ-Ontario is the hardest hit part of Canada. It looks like cases did not yet peak...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912450-global-food-prices-continue-to-surge-hitting-7-year-highs-un-says[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912450-global-food-prices-continue-to-surge-hitting-7-year-highs-un-saysA new report by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations shows that global food commodity prices rose in March, marking their tenth consecutive monthly increase.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in the international prices of commonly-traded food commodities, averaged 118.5 points in March, 2.1% higher than in February and reaching its highest level since June 2014.

According to the FAO, the March increase was led by the vegetable oil price index, which rose 8% from the previous month to hit a nearly 10-year high, “with soy oil prices rising sharply due in part to the prospects of firm demand from the biodiesel sector.” ...

DJ Winter is taking its time in NW Europe-will effect harvest, foodprices further. Biofuel-basicly burning "food for transport" is insane...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/906069-nigeria-avian-flu-h5n1-in-poultry-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/nigeria/906069-nigeria-avian-flu-h5n1-in-poultry-2021Reliable information from the ministry indicated that as of 9th April, the ministry has depopulated about 329,556 birds across the 62 farms.

DJ-It is not "if" but "when" H5 or H7 "bird flu" start spreading in humans...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world?view=stream (latest activity); 

9/11 was used to excuse searching most US citizens as if they were criminals prior to boarding planes. That hasn't changed and does not bode well for the future along with the enormous transfer of wealth from the many to the few that has happened over the past year, so the grimness seems realistic.



Elevating the Role of Nonstate Actors. Nonstate
actors, ranging from the Gates Foundation
to private companies, have been crucial to
vaccine research or retrofitting equipment to
mass produce medical supplies and personal
protective equipment. Nonstate networks will
complement national and intergovernmental
action in future health crises, including early
warning, treatment, facilitation of data-sharing,
and vaccine development.

Naomi Wolf: We’ve Reached ‘Step Ten’ of the 10 Steps to Fascism

DJ-"The privatize everything insanity" is a main reason why "governments" do not (want to) control this pandemic/bussiness oppertunity...PPG Permanent Pandemic Genocide is making big profits for the few...

-Dr. John Campbell did not make a new video-he is ill, cold-hopes to make a video today. MedCrem [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhTidqt5tAE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhTidqt5tAE ;Dr. Victoria Male explains what antibody dependent enhancement (ADE) is and how the coronavirus vaccine clinical trials were designed to monitor for it. 

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement ; Antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE), sometimes less precisely called immune enhancement or disease enhancement, is a phenomenon in which binding of a virus to suboptimal antibodies enhances its entry into host cells, followed by its replication.

-

Usually the process of phagocytosis is accompanied by the virus degradation, however, if the virus is not neutralized (either due to low affinity binding or targeting to a non-neutralizing epitope), antibody binding might result in a virus escape and therefore, enhanced infection. Thus, phagocytosis can cause viral replication, with the subsequent death of immune cells. The virus “deceives” the process of phagocytosis of immune cells and uses the host's antibodies as a Trojan horse.

-

The viruses that can cause ADE frequently share some common features such as antigenic diversity, abilities to replicate and establish persistence in immune cells.[1] ADE can occur during the development of a primary or secondary viral infection, as well as after vaccination with a subsequent virus challenge.[1][7][8] It has been observed mainly with positive-strand RNA viruses. Among them are Flaviviruses such as Dengue virus,[9] Yellow fever virusZika virus,[10][11] Coronaviruses, including alpha- and betacoronaviruses,[12] Orthomyxoviruses such as influenza,[13] Retroviruses such as HIV,[14][15][16] and Orthopneumoviruses such as RSV.

DJ The MedCram story "ADE" not very likely...but when vaccine development started it was a major risk to consider...My own ideas are NOT science based-but I have my doubts looking at the variants now spreading that were not there when vaccine development started. 

Conclusions; 1-Pfizer and other vaccines may not offer "the best protection" against some new variants-but better "good" if "perfect"is not available...

2-This "third wave" may be far from its peak-driven by several variants in several regions-often facing more variants...

3-The duration of this pandemic is making economic inequality extreme...a lot of people close to bankruptcy some making billions...

4-Growing wide spread social unrest may be a matter of time...

WAR (still global top-priority even with an out of control pandemic !)

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/u-s-and-nato-backing-literal-nazis-in-ukraine[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/u-s-and-nato-backing-literal-nazis-in-ukraine ;

A major question is who is running Ukraine and who is running the US/NATO ? The CIA with its nazi/IS friends ? In many conflicts getting "all of the fighters" under control is a major problem. Both in the US and Ukraine some are pushing for major war with Russia. 

[url]https://www.debka.com/mivzak/iran-admits-natanz-nuclear-site-was-sabotaged/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/mivzak/iran-admits-natanz-nuclear-site-was-sabotaged/ ; Iran’s Atomic Energy chief, Ali Akbar Salehi, called the power blackout at the underground enrichment center in Natanz on Sunday morning as an act of “nuclear terrorism.” In a state TV interview, he stopped short of assigning blame or explaining what exactly happened at the facility. A civilian nuclear program spokesman Behrouz Kamalyandi said earlier that power was cut across the Natanz center, which is comprised of above ground workshops and underground halls where the start of advanced centrifuges work to accelerate uranium was inaugurated by President Hassan Rouhani just this Saturday.

DJ-Cyber attacks on "nuclear facilities" has a major-nuclear accident-risk. Cyber attacks, electronic warfare (EW) may further disrupt global healthcare. IC is high tech-a combination with EW/cyber attacks across the globe is "very unwelcome"...

[url]https://southfront.org/turkey-to-fulfill-egypts-demands-withdraw-mercenaries-from-libya-within-five-months-report/[/url] or https://southfront.org/turkey-to-fulfill-egypts-demands-withdraw-mercenaries-from-libya-within-five-months-report/

While Turkey is taking serious steps against the Muslim Brotherhood to assure Egypt, it is yet to act truthfully in Libya. Around 6,000 Turkish-backed Syrian militants are still in the north African country.

Turkey’s alleged plan to withdraw from Libya within five months may be nothing but an empty promise. Just a few days ago, Ankara sent a new batch of Syrian militants to the country.

DJ The story is that the Erdogan family is making billions by stealing oil. Mercenaries/jihadi's/"western backed freedom fighters/terrorists" get well paid-since there is so much oil  (etc) to steal in Libya, Iraq, Syria, Azarbaijan...and Ukraine...

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l01wa2ChX64[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l01wa2ChX64  Russia is sending-at least that was the idea-a feminist with refugee background-to the Eurovision Song Contest this may in Rotterdam-NL...Lyrics under the video...home violence is a major problem in Russia as in most other places-but discussing it is an even bigger problem...With this pandemic violence against women and children did increase...so in that way it is a "pandemic song"...








We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 12 2021 at 8:38am

Naomi Wolf is a harridan.  If these measures she is complaining about are still in place after the pandemic is over, then she can complete step 10 and push the panic button.  How much does her book sell for?  Follow the money!

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 12 2021 at 9:35am

Living proof that 'a great education' does not always mean 'a great mind'.

How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_End_of_America:_Letter_of_Warning_to_a_Young_Patriot[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_End_of_America:_Letter_of_Warning_to_a_Young_Patriot ;

The End of America: Letter of Warning to a Young Patriot is a 2007 non-fiction book by Naomi Wolf, published by Chelsea Green Publishing of White River Junction, Vermont. Wolf argues that events of the early 2000s paralleled steps taken in the early years of the twentieth century's worst dictatorships and called Americans to take action to restore their constitutional values before they suffer the same fate.[1] The book illustrates what Wolf depicts as ten steps in the transition of open societies into closed regimes.

-

Wolf outlines ten steps that "closing societies" — such as Hitler's GermanyMussolini's Italy, and Stalin's Russia — have historically followed. These steps, Wolf claims, are being observed in America now.

The steps are:

  1. 1-Invoke a terrifying internal and external enemy.
  2. 2-Create secret prisons where torture takes place.
  3. 3-Develop a thug caste or paramilitary force not answerable to citizens.
  4. 4-Set up an internal surveillance system.
  5. 5-Infiltrate and harass citizens' groups.
  6. 6-Engage in arbitrary detention and release.
  7. 7-Target key individuals.
  8. 8-Control the press.
  9. 9-Cast criticism as espionage and dissent as treason.
  10. 10-Subvert the rule of law.[3]

DJ - After "drugs" and "terror" we now are "at war with the pandemic"...Democracies are vulnarable...

ViQueen24, I had to look for the translation of "harridan"...;-) ! (learned a new word today !!!)

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 12 2021 at 9:53pm

DJ

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hnSRBrzy3uY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hnSRBrzy3uY Good to see Dr. John Campbell is back. He did catch-somehow-a rhinovirus, did get a cold. He also wonders why rhinovirusses do spread this much...

I do disagree with him-but he is the expert, I am not ! Main point maybe of his video news-wise..the CDC still underreporting on spread of variants in the US. Most new cases there are the UK variant. P1 is second-with still airtraffic between Brazil and the US....

Some states see cases going up, others not yet...But with over 1/3 of the US population it is-for now-likely deaths will not go up as fast as new cases. Vaccinations mean less severe disease...so hospitals may be able to offer better care for those that do catch the virus and need hospital. 

DJ-I see FluTrackers more as "frontline news", Dr. J.C. as a "good news"reassuring presentation. Communication is a very important aspect of dealing with any crisis. "Social media" are out of government control-but they are now a very major part of communications-and with that crisis management...

My choice is to try to be realistic. No "good news" if there is to much bad news-but trying to find a balance...In general I think experts underestimated this virus early 2020. On that basis government did make wrong choices..that is how the "train went of the track". 

Somehow both experts and politicians find it hard to admit they got it wrong in the beginning-so they continu on the "wrong road". Basicly "herd immunity" seems to be the idea-now via vaccinations...

-[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ the numbers.

"The 7-day average trendline is almost vertical" for new cases. Maybe worldwide vaccinations may make a difference for the number of deaths...

India is-for now-the main factor in rising cases. The april 12 numbers reflect testing/reporting from sunday april 11. Sundays usual see less cases tested/reported. So a global number of almost 590,000 new cases, 8761 new deaths is high. 

In that new cases-list #1 is India, but Turkey is now at #3, Iran #5-both due to the UK variant-out of control. Phillipines at #10-the P3 variant. Canada at #11...

Worldometers has the total number of deaths still under 3 million-but most likely will be over the 3 million by the end of the week. Maybe Mexico number of deaths has been corrected in some lists...I believe the correction is 80,000 deaths...

-FluTrackers-I would like to find out more on H5N1 in humans in Nigeria and the "mega-mix variant" in Brazil a.o.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/pollution-incl-gulf-of-mexico-oil-disaster/912575-airborne-plastic-pollution-%E2%80%98spiralling-around-the-globe%E2%80%99-study-finds[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/pollution-incl-gulf-of-mexico-oil-disaster/912575-airborne-plastic-pollution-%E2%80%98spiralling-around-the-globe%E2%80%99-study-findsThe researchers said human pollution has led to a global plastic cycle, akin to natural processes such as the carbon cycle, with plastic moving through the atmosphere, oceans and land. The result is the “plastification” of the planet, said one scientist.

The analysis calls plastic pollution one of the most pressing environmental issues of the 21st century. It indicates that the billions of tonnes of plastic discarded into the oceans and land and being broken down into tiny pieces are being thrown back into the air by road traffic and winds over seas and farmland.

DJ-All kind of polution (radio-active, electronic, noise etc) will increase pandemic burden. Increased levels of stress in species make them more vulnarable. In combination with "climate change"(=collapse) we are destroying "our" planet, the future of next generations...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/912418-us-intelligence-report-paints-a-grim-picture-of-a-post-covid-19-world?view=stream DJ-Interesting discussion/report putting this pandemic in a wider perspective...

Are we going towards a "Permanent Pandemic" ? Vaccine-regulated healthcare ? Who does decide on what ? If vaccines are the difference between life and death what choices are "we" making ? 

My (DJ) idea is we need a much wider discussion on "our future". But "we"leave that to "the experts/politics" ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912569-cidrap-who-growing-covid-19-surge-hits-critical-point[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912569-cidrap-who-growing-covid-19-surge-hits-critical-point ; Top officials from the World Health Organization (WHO) said today that COVID-19 cases have climbed for the seventh week in a row, warning that masks, distancing, and other measures are needed to give vaccines a chance to reduce transmission.
At a briefing today, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, said last week marked the fourth highest COVID total in a single week, despite the fact that 780 million doses of vaccine have been given across the globe. "Make no mistake, vaccines are a vital and powerful tool," Tedros said. "But they are not the only tool."

Exponential global case growth

Maria Van Kerkhove, PhD, the WHO's technical lead for COVID warned that the pandemic has reached a critical point, with cases growing exponentially. Cases were up 9% last week, with a 5% increase in deaths. "This isn't the situation we want to be in at this point in the pandemic," Van Kerkhove said.
Officials said the decline earlier this year serves as proof that the virus and variants can be stopped, but confusion, complacency, and inconsistently applied public health measures are driving transmission.

-

At today's WHO briefing, Tedros said several countries in Asia and the Middle East have seen large increases in cases.
India's second-surge cases continue to soar higher, with the country reporting a new single-day high today of 168,912 new cases, according to Reuters. Indian officials say the full reopening of the economy earlier this year, mass religious festivals, and political rallies are fueling the outbreak.
The Kumbh Mela pilgrimage is currently underway in the northern city of Hardiwar, where about 5 million people are expected to bathe in the Ganges River as part of a spiritual ritual.
In a related development, Indian officials yesterday banned the export of the antiviral drug remdesivir and the raw materials to make it, to help meet the country's own needs during its surge, according to Reuters. Officials recently cut back on international shipments of AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine made at India's Serum Institute to help meet the country's own needs. Currently, less than 4% of the country's population is estimated to be vaccinated.
In other hot spot developments, cases in Iran—the worst hit country in the Middle East—climbed higher, with more than 21,000 cases reported over the last day, along with 258 deaths, the highest since last December.
In Europe, Turkey's daily total topped 50,000 again yesterday, and cases have jumped fivefold since early March, according to government officials, who said loosened measures and the spread of variants are contributing to the rise. The Turkish government is poised to tighten restrictions again.

DJ-When I look at the cases trendline "going vertical" in worldometers that indicates exponential growth of this pandemic. Most of "the news" in many countries only look at national, regional or "western" numbers...that gives a false-much to optimistic-picture. 

I would love to be out of this pandemic, I love eating in my favorite Chinese restaurant...go for short trips...But we have to get out of this "pandemic swamp" first-worldwide we are sinking deeper "in the mud"...And to make clear where we are-the mud is far above  our knees, may be at our chest...

Thailand did very good-but in Bangkok cases are going up fast...other countries now "safe" only need one virus transmission to be in serious problems. Vaccines help-but the variants are moving away-high speed-from vaccine protection !!!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-melissa-hein-forum-for-psychological-research-and-development/912546-iu-school-of-medicine-researchers-develop-blood-test-for-depression-bipolar-disorder[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-melissa-hein-forum-for-psychological-research-and-development/912546-iu-school-of-medicine-researchers-develop-blood-test-for-depression-bipolar-disorderWhile current diagnosis and treatment approaches are largely trial and error, a breakthrough study by Indiana University School of Medicine researchers sheds new light on the biological basis of mood disorders, and offers a promising blood test aimed at a precision medicine approach to treatment.

DJ-There is a mental health issues "pandemic"-in part getting worse by the Covid pandemic. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912544-cdc-head-warns-against-surging-covid-vaccines-to-michigan-says-shutdown-needed[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912544-cdc-head-warns-against-surging-covid-vaccines-to-michigan-says-shutdown-needed ; A top Centers for Disease Control and Prevention official says surging vaccines to Michigan would not help the hard-hit state control the latest COVID-19 wave that has strained its hospitals and is raising concerns nationwide because vaccines take two to six weeks to confer protection.

CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky told reporters during a White House coronavirus briefing Monday that the answer in a crisis situation such as Michigan is facing is to go back to virus control basics.

"Really what we need to do in those situations is shut things down," Walensky said. "I think if we tried to vaccinate our way out of what is happening in Michigan, we would be disappointed that it took so long for the vaccine to work, to actually have an impact."

DJ-When I look at the Dutch situation-other countries may be in the same position-20% of HCW-ers now on sickleave...A part of them may be waiting for test results, short term issues. A lot of them are dealing with (mental) exhaustion, depression, PTSD, burn-out...and be unable to work in healthcare for months or longer...

Governments do not make healthcare high priority-it is not "the best job" so influx of young people in healthcare is decreasing. This pandemic also shows HCW-ers is a high risk job (like many other community jobs as teachers, police etc). 

There is not only a crisis in new cases demanding (hospital)care-there is also a crisis in what care becomes available...Not a lot of people can or will work 12 hrs shifts, high risk, see patients die...fighting day in day out...while the "outside world" is demanding reopenings...

There will be a breaking point at wich a lot of HCW-ers may stop "going for the 200%" even if they love their jobs...Duration of this healthcrisis is also destroying health care...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/china-2019-ncov/-2019-ncov-who-chp-wpro-ecdc-oie-fao-moa-reports-and-updates/912539-who-says-covid-pandemic-is-growing-%E2%80%98exponentially%E2%80%99-at-more-than-4-4-million-new-cases-a-week[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/china-2019-ncov/-2019-ncov-who-chp-wpro-ecdc-oie-fao-moa-reports-and-updates/912539-who-says-covid-pandemic-is-growing-%E2%80%98exponentially%E2%80%99-at-more-than-4-4-million-new-cases-a-weekThe World Health Organization said Monday the trajectory of the coronavirus pandemic is now “growing exponentially,” with more than 4.4 million new Covid-19 cases reported over the last week.

Maria Van Kerkhove, the agency’s technical lead for Covid-19, said “we’re in a critical point of the pandemic,” as some countries ease restrictions even as new cases per week are more than eight times higher than a year ago.

“This is not the situation we want to be in 16 months into a pandemic where we have proven control measures. It is the time right now where everyone has to take stock and have a reality check of what we need to be doing,” she said during a press briefing. “Vaccines and vaccinations are coming online, but they aren’t here yet in every part of the world.”...

DJ-Again communications are a major problem !!!! Yes vaccines help-but they do need two/three weeks to offer protection !!! And you need to vaccinate "a lot of people" to get this pandemic under control ! 

The WHO, CDC are doing their job now-it would have been nice if they did that job a year ago...still it is upon us to listen !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912533-india-covid-19-virus-out-of-control-in-sundargarh-rourkela-becomes-new-hotspot-april-12-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912533-india-covid-19-virus-out-of-control-in-sundargarh-rourkela-becomes-new-hotspot-april-12-2021The daily test positivity rate (TPR) of Sundargarh has jumped from about 4.8 per cent last week to a whopping 17 per cent. The surge in infections has emerged as a challenge for the administration which is struggling with acute shortage of beds and vaccine scarcity.

The daily testing too remains way low.

DJ-Even if India is a large country, some regions may be hit less hard-variants are spreading in the 1,400 million India population !!!!

India is the main vaccine producer-now stopping its exports...A next step in a pandemic is chaos...

The picture I get from "latest news" on FluTrackers is totally different then the picture Dr.John Campbell is presenting. I think FluTracker gives a much more realistic-very alarming-view of the global situation. 

A pandemic is a global problem. "We" are not safe if "they" are not safe !!! With healthcare at breaking point in Latin America, India, the Middle-East, Eastern Europe and-most likely Africa "we"are fooling ourselves that "we" are safe because "we" did get vaccines...

Vaccines at best may buy us time...it is already clear vaccines offer less protection against some variants now already widespread. Newer variants are on their way...

I did not see news on the Brazil mix of UK/SA/P1 variant or H5N1 in humans..but wave 4 of this pandemic may come ON TOP of wave 3 due to newer variants and vaccines may only offer limited protection. H5/H7 "bird flu" is showing in Russia, Nigeria it is getting more close to jumping into other hosts...Since birds are the main vector/transporter present measures may not stop that pssibly next pandemic-also coming on top of the present Covid19 pandemic...

There is every reason to push all the alarm buttons for a global healthcrisis... but

WAR is priority #1...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-russia-issues-directives-to-cities-on-urgent-burial-of-war-dead[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/bulletin-russia-issues-directives-to-cities-on-urgent-burial-of-war-dead 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/troops-from-poland-and-belarus-clash-along-border[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/troops-from-poland-and-belarus-clash-along-border 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-if-us-fires-cruise-missiles-from-black-sea-u-s-navy-ships-could-be-destroyed[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-if-us-fires-cruise-missiles-from-black-sea-u-s-navy-ships-could-be-destroyed 

DJ-Hal Turner is "not the best source"of info...but I think in general the story of "some in the US/Ukraine" pushing for war is correct. 

The US want to stop EurAsian integration-at ALL costs...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/cnn-ukrainian-trains-with-heavy-weapons-going-east-are-russian-aggression.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/cnn-ukrainian-trains-with-heavy-weapons-going-east-are-russian-aggression.html 

DJ CNN reporting "Russian agression" but showing Ukraine tanks being transported is showing how bad embedded main stream "media" has become...advertising infotainment...stupid will kill us all...

Music-Dusty Springfield- I Close My Eyes [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfBn5IJgP0o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfBn5IJgP0o 1968 [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dusty_Springfield_discography[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dusty_Springfield_discography 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 13 2021 at 9:49pm

DJ,

-The numbers [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Notable_variants[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2#Notable_variants ; The list has now 11 (ELEVEN !!!!) notable variants and is far from complete...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Of the over 735,000 new cases over 185,000 come from India...That country has been seeing these kind of extreme numbers-with a lot of under reporting, limited testing-for several days. The scenario for India may be even worse then that of Brazil...That country is #2 in the new cases with over 80,000 new cases. 

Turkey at #4, almost 60,000 new cases, France #5 close to 40,000 new cases-both countries with a lot of NPI/restrictions for months still seeing high numbers. 

My (DJ) impression is that countries around the globe are doing everything they can to keep some variants out/limited. In NL the Dutch CDC reported an increase of the P1 (Brazil)  variant from 0,5% of all cases in early march to 1,5% early april. While the SA variant may be stopped from spreading by the dominant UK variant-the P1 variant is increasing. If not under control could become the dominant variant (in NL and elsewhere) by summer...

With both testing and sequencing major problems in many countries-and some news on "newer variants" there is growing concern this pandemic is still getting worse...That does not stop some governments from presenting "plans for reopenings" (because we are not yet in the "black scenario" - we can still increase ICU-beds...).  Bad communications/stupid media present a picture that "vaccines/vaccinations will save us"...In Michegan/US the CDC was very realistic that when the R0 is above 1 vaccinations do not help in the short term-they are not usuable for "crisis management"-if the R0 is the problem you need Non Pharma Intervention=lockdown, stop spreading the virus/variants...

Here in NL the number of people spreading the virus/variants is (Dutch CDC-RIVM) expected to be around 160,000 that is close to 1% of the Dutch population-at the same level it was during april 2020-first wave (and the highest number since then). With a R0 of 0,97 but the P1 variant increasing we are "far from save"...

On the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1 ;

Lineage P.1, also known as 20J/501Y.V3Variant of Concern 202101/02 (VOC-202101/02)[2] or colloquially known as the Brazil(ian) variant[3][4][5] is one of the variants of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19.[6] This variant of SARS-CoV-2 has been named lineage P.1 and has 17 amino acid changes, ten of which are in its spike protein, including these three designated to be of particular concern: N501YE484K and K417T.[5][7] This variant of SARS-CoV-2 was first detected by the National Institute of Infectious Diseases (NIID), Japan, on 6 January 2021 in four people who had arrived in Tokyo having visited Amazonas, Brazil, four days earlier.[5][8] It was subsequently declared to be in circulation in Brazil.[5]

It caused widespread infection in early 2021 in the city of Manaus, although the city had already experienced widespread infection in May 2020[9] with a study[10] indicating high seroprevalence of antibodies for SARS-CoV-2.[11] Early studies, not yet peer-reviewed, indicated as of March 2021 that P.1 infections can produce nearly 10 times more viral load than in other COVID-19-infected persons and showed 1.4–2.2 times higher transmissibility; were more successful infecting younger humans with no gender differential; can be 10–80% more lethal; are capable of evading 25–61% of immunity from previous coronavirus diseases, leading to the possibility of reinfection. At least some vaccines were found to be significantly less effective than against other variants. P.1 has also been called 'B.1.1.28.1',[12] although strictly only three sublevels are permitted in the PANGO Lineage system of nomenclature, hence the designation 'P.1

DJ-Since in many countries younger age groups are A-not/less vaccinated and B-more social active the spread of the P1 variant is an alarming proces. [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_P.1#Statistics A lot of cases may go undetected-the spread is much wider but these statistics may give an indication of where P1 has been detected so far...With vaccines being less effective P1 can spread-via younger age groups-into older vaccinated population. It may become the next dominant global variant-after the UK variant-this summer. Unless we are able to stop it...In the P1 statistics Canada has already 1218 P1 cases reported, the US 453, Germany 62, UK 36, Belgium 267. NL 95...a lot of new P1 cases do not have any link with (recent) travel to Latin America...Brazil would only have 777 P1 cases in these statistics-indicating poor sequencing/testing...

-FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912647-joint-statement-by-cdc-fda-recommending-a-%60pause-on-j-j-vaccine-administration-over-blood-clot-concerns[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912647-joint-statement-by-cdc-fda-recommending-a-%60pause-on-j-j-vaccine-administration-over-blood-clot-concerns ; Although the incidence of these adverse reactions have been exceedingly low, they are concerning enough that the CDC and FDA are urging (but not mandating) a pause in administering the J&J vaccine while they investigate the problem.

DJ-In a press meeting yesterday the Dutch health minister stated AZ/O vaccine did give (clotting)problems in 1 on 25,000 cases in people under 60 y/o. The risks of going on with the vaccination could be larger then the risk of getting Covid19...so they stopped to "check the numbers"...Janssen is now also stopping its vaccine in the EU. So two out of four vaccines-as a "line of defense" are now out of action. Pfizer may be able to increase production-but no vaccine is 100% risk free ! 

With this pandemic getting out of control there may be little room for stopping mass vaccinations. If you stop vaccines you should increase NPI-but lots of countries seem to be unable to do so...result will be P1 spreading further faster...hospitals even closer to limits...see also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911219-immunization-committee-to-recommend-provinces-stop-giving-astrazeneca-vaccine-to-those-under-55-sources[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/911219-immunization-committee-to-recommend-provinces-stop-giving-astrazeneca-vaccine-to-those-under-55-sources DJ-In NL the 60+ still get vaccinated-and the AZ/O vaccines are needed for that age group. Lowering the limit to 55 would in NL mean including several hundreds of thousend people more (age between 55 and 60).

 [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/south-africa/778266-south-africa-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n8-in-birds[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/h5n1-tracking-aa/south-africa/778266-south-africa-outbreaks-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n8-in-birds ; The Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development has confirmed the outbreak of avian influenza on a commercial farm in Ekurhuleni, Gauteng. In a statement, the department said about 300 birds had died from the virus on the commercial chicken-layer farm. "The samples from this farm that were sent to the laboratory tested positive for the H5 strain of avian influenza. It must be said that this farm was also part of the H5N8 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in 2017," reads the statement.(latest activity)

DJ-We may be moving towards AND wave 4 (P1) coming almost on top of wave 3 (UK variant) AND H5/H7 bird flu spreading in "other hosts"...All the reason to make global public health global #1 priority...but we do not...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-h5n1-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-h5n2-h10n8-outbreak-tracking/912645-china-reports-h5n6-avian-flu-in-wild-birds-in-liaoning[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-h5n1-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-h5n2-h10n8-outbreak-tracking/912645-china-reports-h5n6-avian-flu-in-wild-birds-in-liaoning 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912669-cidrap-vaccine-probes-covid-19-surges-shuffle-vaccine-rollout-in-some-nations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912669-cidrap-vaccine-probes-covid-19-surges-shuffle-vaccine-rollout-in-some-nationsVaccine safety signals and case surges continue to impact country COVID-19 policies, with Australia signaling that it will sidestep the adenovirus vector vaccines and India fast-tracking some foreign vaccines to boost immunization amid climbing illness totals.
Meanwhile, spikes continue in hot spots such as Iran and Japan, as the global death totals nears 3 million.

DJ-The real number of "pandemic (related) deaths may be close to 6 million...A lot of other then Covid care did-again-stop. Socio-economic damage is extreme-but still has to show up in many places...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912660-as-whistler-launches-vaccination-push-experts-say-b-c-has-a-covid-19-data-problem[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912660-as-whistler-launches-vaccination-push-experts-say-b-c-has-a-covid-19-data-problem ;How did things in the picturesque mountain community of Whistler — one of North America’s premiere ski destinations — get so bad?

On Monday, facing the highest recorded rate of COVID-19 in British Columbia, the community began a push to vaccinate all residents and workers 18 and older.

The two-week effort to stamp out the latest, variant-fuelled outbreak there underscores what has been a struggle throughout the pandemic to keep the coronavirus at bay.

“Overall, the takeaway from Whistler is that resorts are great places for outbreaks and for distributing variants across the province and beyond,” says Jens von Bergmann, a data analyst and consultant in Vancouver.

Von Bergmann drew a comparison between Whistler and Ischgl, a ski resort in Austria cited for helping to spread the original COVID-19 strain across Europe.

“Public health gambled on this not happening at Whistler, and they lost that bet to the detriment of all of B.C. and beyond. And just like in Ischgl, public health did not act fast and decisively once variant spread was detected in Whistler, but waited until there was irrefutable evidence that it became a problem.”

Experts say there are likely a variety of factors at play for what has gone wrong in Whistler.

Part of it could be political, reflecting a desire to keep one of the community’s world-renowned skiing destinations open as long as possible. Another could be “wishful thinking” and “minimizing” the spread of COVID-19 variants in British Columbia.

Since the start of the year through to April 5, there have been 1,505 COVID-19 cases in Whistler — the majority involving people between the ages of 20 and 39, according to Vancouver Coastal Health, the regional health authority that serves Whistler.

Variant cases appear to be a significant contributor to the spike in numbers.

-

Observers point to a paucity of publicly available information about how the pandemic has played out in Canada’s westernmost province — the kind of information that can guide decision making during a health crisis and is readily available in Ontario.

“Unfortunately, B.C. has generally stood out as a jurisdiction that is particularly poor at data transparency. As one of the largest provinces, we’d expect them to be more sufficiently resourced to be able to provide those data,” said Jean-Paul Soucy, a University of Toronto PhD student in epidemiology and co-founder of the COVID-19 Canada Open Data Working Group...

DJ-This story paints a global picture; wishfull thinking-unbased by the facts, witholding real data-"saving the economy" while destroying it..."Stupid will kill us all"!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912641-j-emerg-med-online-ahead-of-print-multisystem-inflammatory-syndrome-in-an-adult[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912641-j-emerg-med-online-ahead-of-print-multisystem-inflammatory-syndrome-in-an-adult ;Background: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children is a phenomenon that has emerged during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. There are, however, few reported cases of a similar disease in adults.
Case report: We describe a 25-year-old man who presented with prolonged fever and conjunctivitis and was found to have a post-COVID inflammatory syndrome. His symptoms improved with colchicine, steroids, and a truncated course of intravenous immunoglobulin. WHY SHOULD AN EMERGENCY PHYSICIAN BE AWARE OF THIS?: Post-COVID inflammatory syndrome has the potential to lead to dangerous complications. In addition, the identification of occult COVID infections could have public health implications.

DJ-This virus has many unwelcome surprises. We have to face problems to solve problems...

FluTrackers has lots more info on many (Covid related often) issues-the above is just a "short"selection. I did not find more info on spread of H5 bird flu in Nigeria, or new variants (mega-mix Belo Horizonte/Brazil, Tanzania-31 mutations..) 

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATmL_2Jqh-I[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATmL_2Jqh-I ;

DJ Under his video on treatments Dr.J.C. has ; Front Line Covid-19 Critical Care (FLCCC) Alliance Called for the rapid introduction of ivermectin to stem the tide of infections Prophylactic treatment can be given with two doses of 0.2mg/kg, 48 hours apart, once a month. For early out-patient treatment, a daily dose of 0.2mg/kg for a maximum of five days is recommended 

In the UK, the best way forward would be for the MHRA to authorise use of ivermectin for prophylaxis and treatment of Covid-19 on the basis of the published evidence to date. 

Next, the drug could be made available through community pharmacies either using a PGD or by making ivermectin a P medicine Ivermectin would then help to save lives and reduce suffering until the majority of the population can be vaccinated 

Failure to use a cheap, safe drug that reduces the severity and duration of infection as well as the risks of death and transmission seems incomprehensible

DJ-Months ago Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson was calling for Ivermectin to be used in this pandemic. The main reason why it is NOT used has to be that it does not bring in enough profit...I can not think of any other reason...

Greed is killing us ! [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_calf#As_adoration_of_wealth[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_calf#As_adoration_of_wealth DJ-I am NOT a christian but do think the bible may reflect human weaknesses/behavior..We keep making the same mistakes-seems to be in our DNA or so...

WAR is priority #1 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iran-blows-up-mossad-base-in-iraq[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/iran-blows-up-mossad-base-in-iraq DJ-In reaction to Israels attack on Iran oil export and nuclear activities Iran of course reacts...Ukraine started provocations against pro-Russian groups-but the "embedded media" reports "Russian agression"...

DJ-In western history there is no link between nazi's and NATO...In the early thirties "communism" was seen as a major problem. So many countries did prefer hitler above stalin...Many governments in a lot of countries had a view on humanity not that different then that of hitler/nazi-ism...Hitler did get a lot of western sponsors during his election campain. 

The main reason why the UK ended up fighting hitler was the "balance of power in Europe"idea-Germany should not be the dominant power. But Dachau-the first concentration camp "housed" socialists, communists, trade union leaders...a lot of western countries/elite "loved it"! Colonialism had a difference between "citizen" and "subject"...people in colonies were "subjects"without voting rights, freedom of travel...treated as "sub humans" in many ways. 

During world war two there were a lot of indirect contact between the western allies and Germany. They often both see the Soviet Union as a bigger risk. A lot of western companies did find ways to keep their factories in Germany working-from IBM, GM to Coca Cola...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Unthinkable[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Unthinkable and other plans did not become reality because a lot of communists in western Europe had fought fascism. In NL the communist party did get 12% of the votes...in several countries communists (most likely with some help of the Soviet Union) did try to "get more power" during civil wars/unrest (Greece, Italy..)

The "cold war" between the US and Russia may have started in the 19th century with the US moving west, Russia moving east. Russia selling Alaska to the US in 1860...(there were not many Russians there at that time-almost all of them returned to Russia. Some Russian names stayed..). If Russia had known about the gold-that started the 1890 goldrush-Russia would not have sold Alaska...

In general the #1 nation/country wants to stay #1...(now the US, earlier the UK, NL, France, Spain etc...) country #2 (now China) wants to get #1....The #1 always ends up in lots of wars....

Music; Billy Joel-James [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HXjtlDjdP4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HXjtlDjdP4 1976




We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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India: Hundreds test positive for Covid at Kumbh Mela. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-56742231 

A great chance to spread the coronavirus:

Quote More than three million Hindu devotees bathed in the Ganges river on Tuesday to mark one of the most auspicious days of the two-month-long festival.

Millions are expected to repeat the ritual on Wednesday.


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Article on Ivermectin I found.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(20)30464-8/fulltext


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RESEARCH PAPER| VOLUME 32, 100720, FEBRUARY 01, 2021

The effect of early treatment with ivermectin on viral load, symptoms and humoral response in patients with non-severe COVID-19: A pilot, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial

Carlos Chaccour

Aina Casellas

Andrés Blanco-Di Matteo

Iñigo Pineda

Alejandro Fernandez-Montero

Paula Ruiz-Castillo

et al.

Show all authors

 Open AccessPublished:January 19, 2021DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100720

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Abstract

Background

Ivermectin inhibits the replication of SARS-CoV-2 in vitro at concentrations not readily achievable with currently approved doses. There is limited evidence to support its clinical use in COVID-19 patients. We conducted a Pilot, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy of a single dose of ivermectin reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 when administered early after disease onset.

Methods

Consecutive patients with non-severe COVID-19 and no risk factors for complicated disease attending the emergency room of the Clínica Universidad de Navarra between July 31, 2020 and September 11, 2020 were enrolled. All enrollments occurred within 72 h of onset of fever or cough. Patients were randomized 1:1 to receive ivermectin, 400 mcg/kg, single dose (n = 12) or placebo (n = 12). The primary outcome measure was the proportion of patients with detectable SARS-CoV-2 RNA by PCR from nasopharyngeal swab at day 7 post-treatment. The primary outcome was supported by determination of the viral load and infectivity of each sample. The differences between ivermectin and placebo were calculated using Fisher's exact test and presented as a relative risk ratio. This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04390022.

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Findings

All patients recruited completed the trial (median age, 26 [IQR 19–36 in the ivermectin and 21–44 in the controls] years; 12 [50%] women; 100% had symptoms at recruitment, 70% reported headache, 62% reported fever, 50% reported general malaise and 25% reported cough). At day 7, there was no difference in the proportion of PCR positive patients (RR 0·92, 95% CI: 0·77–1·09, p = 1·0). The ivermectin group had non-statistically significant lower viral loads at day 4 (p = 0·24 for gene E; p = 0·18 for gene N) and day 7 (p = 0·16 for gene E; p = 0·18 for gene N) post treatment as well as lower IgG titers at day 21 post treatment (p = 0·24). Patients in the ivermectin group recovered earlier from hyposmia/anosmia (76 vs 158 patient-days; p < 0.001).

Interpretation

Among patients with non-severe COVID-19 and no risk factors for severe disease receiving a single 400 mcg/kg dose of ivermectin within 72 h of fever or cough onset there was no difference in the proportion of PCR positives. There was however a marked reduction of self-reported anosmia/hyposmia, a reduction of cough and a tendency to lower viral loads and lower IgG titers which warrants assessment in larger trials.

Funding

ISGlobal, Barcelona Institute for Global Health and Clínica Universidad de Navarra.

Keywords

Ivermectin

SARS-CoV-2

COVID-19

Anosmia

Hyposmia

1. Introduction

As of December 21, 2020, there have been over 70 million cases and 1·6 million COVID-19 deaths worldwide [[1]]. Although the threshold is difficult to predict accurately [[2]], the spread of SARS-CoV-2 is unlikely to stop before at least 50% of the population has gained immunity, either by vaccination or recovering from a naturally-acquired infection [[3]]. There are now promising vaccines candidates advancing to emergency regulatory approval [[4]], but there is a projected delay in global access to the level required for population impact on the trajectory of the pandemic. While efforts are ongoing to develop treatment options, relatively less attention has been devoted to evaluating drug-based transmission blocking or transmission reduction strategies. These strategies would consist in administering a drug with the aim of reducing onward transmission by those infected and could serve to reduce the burden on health system and gain time until vaccines are fully tested and scaled-up.

Ivermectin is a widely used antiparasitic drug with known partial efficacy against several single-strain RNA viruses [5, 6, 7]. Caly et al. reported in vitro inhibition of SARS-CoV-2 replication using micromolar concentrations of ivermectin [[8]]. These findings, together with early observational evidence and ecological evidence, prompted several Latin-American countries to include ivermectin as part of the national policy for COVID-19 treatment [[9]].

As of December 21, 2020, there are 45 studies evaluating the efficacy of ivermectin to treat or prevent COVID-19 registered in clinicaltrials.gov, and 74 trials registered in WHO´s International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (https://apps.who.int/trialsearch/) of which at least 14 are already completed. Although some observational and case control studies as well as emerging small randomized clinical trials suggest a potential utility [10, 11, 12, 13]. Yet, there is still a dearth of robust, randomized controlled trials to appropriately inform policy decisions.

This trial was designed as a pilot to evaluate whether the maximum approved dose of ivermectin in Europe could have an impact on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 when administered early after disease onset.

2. Methods

This was a pilot, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single-center, parallel-arm, superiority, randomized clinical trial that compared a single dose of ivermectin with placebo in patients with non-severe COVID-19 and no risk factors. The trial protocol was published [[14]], the last version of the protocol and statistical analysis plan are available as supplementary files. The protocol was approved by the Spanish national ethics committee for drug research (Hospital Puerta de Hierro Majadahonda) and by the Spanish Agency of Medicines and Medical Devices. All procedures were conducted in compliance with the latest revision of the Helsinki Declaration and Good Clinical Practice. All patients provided verbal informed consent at enrollment followed by written consent once their isolation was lifted in accordance to the EMA recommendations: “Guidance on the Management of Clinical Trials during the COVID-19 (Coronavirus) pandemic Version 2 (27/03/2020)” [[15]]. This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04390022. This study was funded by ISGlobal and the Clínica Universidad de Navarra. The funding sources had no role on the design, analysis or decision to publish the results of this study.

2.1 Patients

Consecutive outpatients attending the Emergency Room of the Clínica Universidad de Navarra (Pamplona, Spain) with symptoms compatible with COVID-19, no more than 72 h of fever or cough and a positive PCR for SARS-CoV-2 were enrolled. Patients with positive IgG against SARS-CoV-2, comorbidities considered risk factors for severe disease or COVID-19 pneumonia at baseline were excluded (detailed eligibility criteria are provided in the protocol -Supplementary file-).

2.2 Study design and oversight

The trial was conducted in the Pamplona metropolitan area (Navarra, Spain). Patients were enrolled between July 31, 2020 and September 11, 2020 and randomized in a 1:1 ratio to ivermectin (400 mcg/kg) single oral dose or placebo. The randomization sequence was computer-generated by the trial statistician using blocks of four to ensure balance. Allocation was made by the attending investigator using opaque envelopes. The placebo tablets did not match ivermectin in appearance, therefore, in order for the clinical trial team to remain blinded, treatment was administered under direct supervision by a non-participant nurse that picked up the opaque bottles directly from the pharmacy and administered the content behind closed doors. The clinical trial team had no contact with the investigational products. There was slow recruitment due to a sharp reduction in local transmission for 10 weeks after the lockdown of March-April 2020, the protocol was amended on September 2nd to extend the inclusion criteria from 48 to a maximum of 72 h of cough or fever.

The main objective was to determine the efficacy of a single dose of ivermectin, administered to low risk, non-severe COVID-19 patients in the first 72 h after fever or cough onset to reduce onward transmission.

2.3 Clinical, laboratory and virological monitoring

Assessments on enrollment and at days 4, 7, 14, 21 and 28 post treatment included: general symptoms report, physical examination (including respiratory rate, blood oxygen saturation and chest auscultation) and adverse events. All patients were asked to complete a daily online diary of symptoms from day 1 to 28 post treatment. On enrollment, as well as on days 7 and 14 blood samples were obtained to assess full blood count, C reactive protein, procalcitonin, ferritin, creatinine phosphokinase, lactic dehydrogenase, troponin T, D dimer, IL-6, and renal function.

A nasopharyngeal swab for SARS-CoV-2 PCR was taken at enrollment and on days 4, 7, 14 and 21 post treatment. For consistency, these samples were collected by three clinicians using the same technique. All samples were processed by PCR for genes N and E of SARS-CoV-2 (Real Time PCR SARS-CoV-2, Vircell SLU, Granada, Spain). For every sample, the viral load was calculated using standard reference curve (EDX Sars-Cov-2, Exact Diagnostics LLC, Fort Worth Texas). Additionally, all samples from day 4 post treatment were cultured in Vero cells for 7 days, after which the cytopathic effect was assessed and PCR conducted on the harvested cell-free supernatant. If the PCR from the supernatant was positive at day 4, the procedure was repeated on the samples of that patient for day 7. A semi-quantitative serology for IgG against SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19 VIRCLIA IgG monotest, Vircell SLU, Granada, Spain) was done on samples from all patients on day 21 post-treatment.

2.4 Outcome measures

The primary outcome measure was the proportion of patients with detectable SARS-CoV-2 RNA by PCR from nasopharyngeal swab at day 7 post-treatment.

Relevant pre-specified secondary outcomes included viral load at days 4, 7, 14 and 21 post treatment; proportion of patients with symptoms (particularly fever and cough) at days 4, 7, 14 and 21 post-treatment as well as proportion of patients progressing to severe disease or death during the trial; proportion of patients with seroconversion at day 21 post-treatment and proportion of drug-related adverse events.

2.5 Sample size justification

In COVID-19, viral load peaks right before or at symptom onset [[16],[17]] and most secondary cases occur prior to day five after symptoms [[18]]. This pilot was designed to assess the use of ivermectin to reduce transmission. With the objective to reduce onward transmission, a robust effect size in the proportion of PCR positives at day seven after treatment would be needed to have a public health impact. A reduction of at least 50% in the proportion of positives was considered of potential value.

The sample size was based in the comparison of two proportions and calculated to have 80% power at a 5% significance level to detect a 50% reduction (100 vs 50%) in the proportion of participants with positive PCR at day 7 post-treatment. The 100% PCR positivity figure at day 7 is based on the experience with COVID-19 outpatients at the Clínica Universidad de Navarra during the first wave of March-May 2020. The infectivity outcome was supported by assessing changes in viral load and infectivity in cell cultures.

2.6 Statistical analysis

Descriptive analyses used frequency and percentage (based on the non-missing sample size) for qualitative variables and median, interquartile range and n (non-missing sample size) for quantitative variables.

For the primary objective, the proportion of participants with positive PCR at day seven post treatment was calculated. Proportions were compared between study arms using Fisher's exact test and presented as a relative risk ratio (RR) with their corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). In the analysis of the symptoms reported by patients (symptom diary), missing data was carried over from the last data available. Significance was set at 0.05. The analysis was carried out using Stata (StataCorp. 2019. Stata Statistical Software: Release 16. College Station, TX: StataCorp LLC).

Boxplots and bar plots were produced for the description of quantitative and qualitative variables, respectively. For figure readability, viral load values were log-transformed. Graphs were produced in R version 4.0.2 (R Core Team, R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing, 2020) with the package ggplot2 (H. Wickham, ggplot2: Elegant Graphics for Data Analysis, Springer-Verlag New York, 2016.).

Viral load data were synchronized prior to analysis by accounting for days since onset of any symptoms and, since the day of infection was not known, an average incubation time of 5 days was assumed [[19]]. Peak viral load (Cmax) and time to peak viral load (Tmax) were determined directly from the profiles. Area under the viral load curve was calculated using the trapezoidal rule from assumed time of infection to last sample (AUCobs). Duration of time above a cycle threshold (Ct) of 35 was derived directly from profiles or linearly extrapolated profiles if the last recorded Ct value was not below the threshold.

2.7 Post hoc analyses

The median viral load at all sampling times and median IgG titers between study groups were compared using a Wilcoxon rank-sum test.

The effect of study arm on the presence of symptoms was estimated using mixed effect logistic regression models with subject as a random intercept. These models are adjusted by day of follow up (as symptoms are expected to disappear over time) and duration of symptoms before enrolment (as a proxy of disease onset). To assess the potential effect of study arm on symptom progression, the interaction between study arm and day of follow up was also included in the models. Three models were studied for those outcomes for which differences between treatments were observed: any symptom, anosmia or hyposmia, and cough. Additionally, the observed effect of ivermectin on anosmia/hyposmia was assessed in a sub-analysis by sex.

The adipose weight of participants in the ivermectin group was calculated with the method described by Gomez-Ambrosi et al. [[20]]. This information was used to estimate the ivermectin dose per adipose-weight received and plotted against the last day of reported anosmia/hyposmia.

3. Results

3.1 Patient characteristics

Of 94 patients assessed, 50 did not meet eligibility criteria, 20 declined to participate and 24 were randomized. All randomized patients received the corresponding study product and completed 28 days of follow-up (Fig. 1). The baseline characteristics of patients in both groups are presented in Table 1.

Fig. 1

Fig. 1Enrollment and patient flow. a One presented with pneumonia in the ER and one had a compatible X-ray during screening. b Formally screened based on epidemiological and clinical suspicion but had a negative PCR.

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Table 1Baseline characteristics of patients by group.

Ivermectin (n = 12)    Placebo (n = 12)

Age, median (IQR)[range] (years)    26 (19–36) [18–54]    26 (21–44) [18–54]

Sex, No. (%)        

Female    5 (42%)    7 (58%)

Male    7 (58%)    5 (42%)

Body mass index, median (IQR) [range] kg/m2    23·5 (19·6–27·8) [18·6–29· 9]    22·9 (21·0–24·8) [19·3–29·9]

Symptoms

Any, No. (%)    12 (100%)    12 (100%)

Fever, No. (%)    7 (58%)    9 (75%)

Cough, No. (%)    4 (33%)    2 (17%)

Headache, No. (%)    7 (58%)    10 (83%)

Myalgia/general malaise, No. (%)    8 (67%)    6 (50%)

Earliest start of any symptoma, median, (IQR) [range]    24 (24–48) [18–120]    48 (36–48) [24–72]

Earliest start of fevera*, No, median. (IQR) [range]    24 (12–24) [12–24], n = 7    24 (24–48) [4–48], n = 9

Earliest start of cougha, No, median. (IQR) [range]    24 (16–36) [8–48], n = 4    10 (8–12) [8–12], n = 2

Vital signs

Systolic Blood pressure, median. (IQR), mmHg    114 (113–117)    129 (116–134)b

Diastolic blood pressure, median. (IQR), mmHg    76 (72–80)    79 (77–85)

Heart rate, median (IQR), bpm    83 (77–99)    90 (81–100)

Respiratory rate, median (IQR), bpm    14 (12–17)    14 (12–15)

Temperature, median (IQR), °C    36·8 (36·4–37·0)    36·9 (36·5–37·0)

Oxygen saturation, median (IQR),%    97 (96–98)    98 (97–100)

Viral load

Gene E, No. (IQR), copies/ml    1·7·107 (5·9·106- 3·9·108)    2·7·107 (8·3·105- 4·2·108)

Gene N, No. (IQR), copies/ml    3·7·108 (1·8·107- 9·3·109)    3·3·108 (5·8·107- 6·7·109)

Inflammatory markers

CRP, median (IQR), mg/dL [normal value]    0·3 (0·2–0·8) [<0·5]    0·3 (0·2–0·6) [<0·5]

Ferritin, median (IQR), mg/dL [normal value]    165·0 (95·8 - 241·3) [30–400]    156·1 (103·1–223·0) [30–400]

IL-6, median (IQR), pg/mL [normal value]    6·5 (5·1 - 9·6) [<7]    4·5 (3·0–6·5) [<7]

D-Dimer, median (IQR), ng/mL [normal value]    295 (270–420) [150–500]    280 (270–315) [150–500]

Full blood count

Red blood cells, median (IQR), 1012/L    5·05 (4·62–5·55)    5·07 (4·67– 5·45)

Hemoglobin, median (IQR), g/dL    15·3 (13·8–16·0)    15·2 (13·7–15·8)

Platelets, median (IQR), 109/L    194 (167–216)    205 (179–247)

White blood cells, median (IQR), 109/L    4·7 (4·3–6·3)    4·4 (3·7–5·9)

Neutrophils, median (IQR),%    52·4 (45·6–65·1)    53·4 (43·9–62·2)

Lymphocytes, median (IQR),%    29·5 (18·5- 7·9)    28·7 (20·8–39·9)

a Hours before dosing

b The slightly higher median systolic blood pressure in the placebo group at baseline was not seen in subsequent study visits and was judged as non-clinically significant, see table S3 for the evolution of all vital signs throughout the study, *Reported or measured fever. IQR: interquartile range

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There was a higher proportion of females in the placebo group (58 vs 42%). Demographics and baseline disease characteristics of participants in both groups are presented in Table 1. Overall, 66% of the patients presented with perceived or objective fever, 25% presented with cough, 70% presented with headache and 58% presented with myalgia or general malaise with no remarkable differences between groups. The median earliest start of any symptom before treatment was 24 h for the ivermectin group (interquartile range, 24–48 h) and 48 h for the placebo group (interquartile range, 36–48 h). At baseline, there were no differences in vital signs, inflammatory markers or full blood count between the groups (Table 1).

3.2 Primary endpoint

There was no difference in the proportion of PCR positive patients at day 7 post treatment, 12/12 (100%) patients had a positive PCR for gene N in both groups. For gene E, 11/12 (91%) in the ivermectin and 12/12 (100%) in the placebo group had a positive PCR (RR 0·92, 95% CI: 0·77–1 0·09, p = 1·0).

3.3 Viral load

Genes E and N had comparable results at all time points. Patients in both study groups had similar viral load before treatment with median and interquartile range for genes E and N in the same orders of magnitude (Fig. 2 and Table S1). Although there was a consistent overlap in interquartile ranges and full ranges at all points, the median viral load for both genes was lower at days 4 and 7 post treatment in the ivermectin group with differences increasing from 3-fold lower at day 4 (p = 0·24 for gene E; p = 0·18 for gene N) to around 18-fold lower at day 7 (p = 0·16 for gene E; p = 0·18 for gene N) (Fig. 2 and Table S1). A similar tendency remained for the viral load at days 14 and 21, with values from patients in the ivermectin group consistently lower for at least one of the genes, the difference was not statistically significant at any single point (Fig. 2 and Table S1). The values of cycle thresholds had a very similar behavior (Figure S1). Summary statistics for viral kinetics are provided in Table S2.

Fig. 2

Fig. 2Viral load evolution by study arm. Viral load values were log-transformed. The boxes show the interquartile range. Dots represent each individual value.

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3.4 Viral culture

At day 4 post-treatment, 7/12 samples in the ivermectin and 5/12 samples in the placebo group effectively replicated Vero cell culture; the median Ct values of replicating samples were 23·3 and 23·8 for genes N and E respectively, while the median Ct values of non-replicating samples were 27·6 and 27·9 for genes N and E respectively. By day 7 post treatment only 1/6 in the ivermectin (one previously positive sample was lost) and 1/5 in the placebo group replicated in the cell culture; the median Ct values of replicating samples were 25·1 and 26·0 for genes N and E respectively, while the median Ct values of non-replicating samples were 30·8 and 32·0 for genes N and E respectively.

3.5 Symptoms

There was good compliance with the daily online questionnaire with 282 patient-days reports (84%) and 295 patient-days reports (88%) in the ivermectin and placebo group respectively (Fig. S2).

Patients in the ivermectin group reported fewer patient-days of any symptoms than those in the placebo group (171 vs 255 patient-days). This difference is mostly driven by two symptoms, anosmia/hyposmia and cough. Patients in the ivermectin group reported 50% less anosmia/hyposmia than those in the placebo group (76 vs 158 patient-days of anosmia/hyposmia). The ivermectin group also reported 30% less cough (68 vs 97 patient-days of cough) (Fig. 3).

Fig. 3

Fig. 3Daily proportion of any self-reported symptoms, self-reported cough and self-reported anosmia/hyposmia by study arm. Each graph represents the daily proportion of individuals (n/N) who suffered from each symptom in the corresponding study arm for a 28 day follow up. Missing answers were replaced by the value in the immediately preceding day.

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There were no major differences between ivermectin and placebo in the reported patient-days of fever (12 vs 12), general malaise (51 vs 61), headache (34 vs 38), or nasal congestion (91 vs 97). With much lower magnitudes, the ivermectin group reported 3.5-fold more patient-days of gastrointestinal symptoms (21 vs 6) and 5-fold less shortness of breath (3 vs 15) (Fig. S3).

No patient from either group progressed to severe disease.

3.6 Serology

All patients in both groups seroconverted by day 21 post treatment. Patients in the ivermectin group had a lower median of IgG titers (Index 4·7, interquartile range [3·5–8·9]) than those in the placebo group (Index 7·5, interquartile range [4·2–9·3]) (p = 0·24 by Wilcoxon rank-sum test) (Fig. 4).

Fig. 4

Fig. 4IgG titers by study arm. The boxes show the interquartile range. Dots represent each individual value (p = 0·24, Wilcoxon rank-sum test).

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3.7 Safety

All patients completed the follow up period of 28 days. There were 15 adverse events (7 in the ivermectin and 8 in the placebo group) experienced by 10 patients (5 in the ivermectin and 5 in the placebo group). There were no severe adverse events.

The online diary of symptoms included questions about ivermectin-specific adverse events. There were no differences in the reported patient-days between the ivermectin and the placebo group for confusion (1 vs 0), drowsiness (0 vs 0), or pruritus (0 vs 3). Patients in the ivermectin group reported more patient-days of dizziness (7 vs 1) and blurred vision (24 vs 1), with this last value driven by a single patient in the ivermectin group reporting blurred vision on days 2—28, further evaluation suggested previously undiagnosed presbyopia (Fig. S4).

There were no major differences in the evolution of vital signs (Table S3), inflammatory markers (C reactive protein, procalcitonin, ferritin and IL-6) and rest of laboratory parameters of patients in each group (Table S4).

3.8 Post hoc analyses

Given that the main objective of the trial was to explore a reduction in onward transmission of the virus and that the viral cultures of samples from day 7 showed replicative virus only in samples with Ct values below 30, Kaplan-Meier curves were drawn and survival analysis conducted with log-rank test using a survival threshold of Ct ≥ 30. This analysis shows a statistically-significant difference for gene E (p = 0·035, Log-rank test) and borderline significance for gene N (p = 0·055, Log-rank test). The curves are presented in Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Fig. 5Kaplan-Meier curves for viral load. A survival threshold of Ct ≥ 30 was used. Log-Rank test yielded significance for the difference in gene E (p = 0·0358) and borderline significance for the difference in gene N (p = 0·0550).

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In the logistic regression model, a lower chance of presenting any symptoms was observed in the ivermectin arm (OR: 0·04 [95% CI: 0·00, 0·75] p = 0·032). In both arms, presence of any symptoms tended to diminish over time (OR (95% CI): 0·80 (0·74, 0·86) and 0·81 (0·77, 0·85), for placebo and ivermectin respectively). This downward trend was similar in both study groups (p = 0·687). With regards to the presence of cough, we did not find differences between study groups (p = 0·575) nor in the existing trend to diminish over time (p = 0·373). However, differences were observed for the presence of anosmia/hyposmia: for patients in the placebo group, there was no trend in time in the presence of anosmia (OR (95%CI): 0·99 (0·95, 1·02) p = 0·459). Conversely, patients in the ivermectin group showed a significant decrease (OR (95%CI): 0·90 (0·85, 0 0·94) p < 0·001) (Fig. S5).

The overall effect of ivermectin on anosmia/hyposmia was mainly driven by male patients (20 vs 76 patient-days of anosmia/hyposmia in the ivermectin and placebo groups respectively) in sharp contrast with female patients (56 vs 81 patient-days of anosmia/hyposmia in the ivermectin and placebo groups respectively) (Fig. S6). A sensitivity analysis to assess if sex had any impact on the logistic regression models was performed. Adding this variable to the models did not change the coefficients presented above.

The participants had an adipose weight ranging from 14% to 39% of their body weight. This resulted in ivermectin doses per adipose kilo ranging from 1028 mcg/adipose-kg to 2963 mcg/adipose-kg, even if the actual doses per full body weight were achieved in the relative narrow range of 399–427 mcg/kg (Table 2). The ivermectin doses per adipose-kg were plotted against the duration of anosmia/hyposmia and the last day of reported anosmia/hyposmia with no evident pattern, a regression was not attempted given the scarcity of data (Fig. S7).

Table 2Body composition and dose of ivermectin-treated participants.

Participant ID    Age    Sex    Weight    Height    BMI    Adipose weigh    Adipose weight*    3-mg tablets received    Total dose    Dose/kg    Dose adipose/kg

years    M/F    kg    m    kg/m2    %    kg    tablets    mg    mcg/kg    mcg/kg

SAINT-5    24    Male    65·1    1·77    20·8    0·14    9·11    9    27    415    2963

SAINT-17    22    Male    72·7    1·79    22·7    0·17    12·43    10    30    413    2413

SAINT-18    18    Female    57·0    1·75    18·6    0·21    11·97    8    24    421    2005

SAINT-19    18    Female    45·1    1·55    18·8    0·21    9·61    6    18    399    1874

SAINT-3    33    Male    71·0    1·70    24·6    0·21    15·48    10    30    423    1938

SAINT-21    18    Female    50·1    1·60    19·6    0·22    11·47    7    21    419    1830

SAINT-16    20    Female    49·2    1·59    19·5    0·23    11·37    7    21    427    1848

SAINT-9    28    Male    89·9    1·79    28·1    0·26    23·82    12    36    400    1511

SAINT-11    47    Male    85·8    1·77    27·4    0·27    23·77    12    36    420    1515

SAINT-20    29    Male    92·2    1·79    28·8    0·27    25·54    13    39    423    1527

SAINT-8    39    Male    93·6    1·77    29·9    0·30    28·27    13    39    417    1380

SAINT-13    57    Female    66·0    1·57    26·6    0·39    26·27    9    27    409    1028

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4. Discussion

In spite of its partial antiviral properties, ivermectin received limited early attention in Europe or the US as a potential drug to be repurposed against COVID-19. This was largely based on one pharmacokinetic model stressing the inability of currently approved oral doses to reach lung tissue levels at the antiviral concentrations described by Caly et al., [[21]] even if other, peer-reviewed models predict up to 10-fold accumulation of ivermectin in target tissue [[22]]. There are additional reasons to avoid direct inferences from the results of in vitro experiments or pharmacokinetic models, these include the potential role of ivermectin metabolites, the potential immunomodulatory role of the drug, and questions about the virus/cell ratios and appropriateness of the Vero cellular lines used in the cultures [[23]].

This pilot study was designed to assess the question of whether further investments in the potential repurposing of ivermectin were warranted. As such, we aimed at generating evidence on viral kinetics, antibody response and clinical efficacy in a cohort of patients at low risk of severe disease. Without a clearly defined mechanism of action, a sole signal in any of said parameters would not suffice to justify further efforts. This pilot shows a tendency to lower viral loads in the ivermectin group, a tendency to lower IgG titers that may reflect milder disease and clinical benefit in cardinal symptoms of COVID-19 associated with tissue damage: anosmia/hyposmia and cough. These results are in line with emerging evidence from trials in Bangladesh [[10],[11]] and Argentina [[12]] showing a faster viral clearance in treated participants, as well as with recent data from a SARS-CoV-2 hamster model from Institute Pasteur which also showed a marked sex dichotomy in the effect of ivermectin on anosmia/hyposmia [[24]].

Pending confirmation of these results, this pilot sheds some light on the potential mechanism of action of ivermectin against COVID-19. Note the trial was not powered to detect modest differences in viral load, yet a small effect is suggested when viral load was ascertained directly by PCR and indirectly using IgG titers as markers of disease severity [[25],[26]]. Also, in this pilot ivermectin has not shortened the duration of symptoms associated with systemic inflammation such as fever or malaise, nor has it had a measurable impact on systemic inflammatory markers.

Given these findings, consideration could be given to alternative mechanisms of action different from a direct antiviral effect. One alternative explanation might be a positive allosteric modulation of the nicotinic acetylcholine receptor caused by ivermectin and leading to a downregulation of the ACE-2 receptor and viral entry into the cells of the respiratory epithelium and olfactory bulb [[27]].

Another mechanism through which ivermectin might influence the reversal of anosmia is by inhibiting the activation of pro-inflammatory pathways in the olfactory epithelium. Inflammation of the olfactory mucosa is thought to play a key role in the development of anosmia in SARS-CoV-2 infection [[28]].

Ivermectin is known to downregulate the expression of several pro-inflammatory genes, including those of IL-8, TNF-α, and cathelicidin LL-37 [[29]]. This effect is thought to partially explain the efficacy of ivermectin in the treatment of rosacea [[29],[30]]. The effect on LL-37 might be particularly important, as this molecule directly influences several pro and anti-inflammatory pathways, including the stimulation of IL-18 and IL-1β production, and has a chemotactic effect for neutrophils and eosinophils [[31]]. This effect might be mediated by inhibiting the entrance of the vitamin D receptor (VDR) into the nucleus [[32]]. Ivermectin inhibits importins of the α/β family, which play a key role in the ligand-independent transportation of the VDR, a crucial step in the vitamin d-mediated expression of the hCAMP18 gene, which encodes the LL-37 precursor [33, 34, 35]. It is possible that the inhibition of importins may thus contribute to the immune regulatory effect of ivermectin, and its influence on other vitamin d-mediated pathways, supporting further studies in this area.

Albeit requiring confirmation, these results raise several important questions. If the mechanism of action of ivermectin against COVID-19 is related to a nicotinic effect, then inhibitory concentrations for this receptor (which are in the nanomolar range) could be achievable in the lung tissue for a short period of time with oral dosing and for considerably longer periods with nebulized therapy [[36]]. If the mechanism is immunomodulatory, then the appropriate dose and regimen should be tailored accordingly. Before considering higher or multiple dose schemes, there is also need to better understand the potential role of ivermectin´s metabolites in any observed effect. Finally, given the tendency to lower IgG titers in the ivermectin group, there is need to evaluate the potential relationship between ivermectin treatment, disease severity, inflammation, viral dynamics and antibody titers; [[37],[38]] particular attention should be paid to the long-term humoral and cellular immune responses against SARS-CoV-2 in ivermectin treated patients.

This pilot points towards a potential use of ivermectin in COVID-19 which warrants further exploration under larger trials, with clinical outcomes in patients with risk factors or more severe disease. This is of particular importance for settings with limited resources given ivermectin´s low price, broad availability and scalability of manufacturing processes.

This pilot has several key limitations that warrant careful interpretation of the results. Firstly, it was designed to explore a potential signal for the use of ivermectin in COVID-19, not to provide definitive evidence on the subject, hence its small sample size. Second this pilot was restricted to subjects with non-severe disease and no risk factors in whom the treatment was provided in the first 48 h of fever or cough, this should be taken into consideration for the design of any confirmatory studies to be conducted. Additionally, the quantification of the viral load presented is intrinsically limited by heterogeneity in the samples, even if all were obtained by the same clinicians, standardization against a human epithelial cell gene would be required to ensure the viral loads are truly comparable [[39]].

The positive signal found in this pilot warrants the conduction of larger trials using ivermectin for the early treatment of COVID-19. Such trials should include patients with risk factors for severe disease as well as patients with pneumonia. The potential for a mechanism of action different to direct antiviral effect also opens the door for pre-exposure prophylaxis in high-risk groups.

Author contributions

Carlos Chaccour and Aina Casellas had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.

Conceptualization: CCh, NRR, MFA

Data curation: CCh, AC, JB

Formal analysis: AC, CCh, FH, VS

Funding acquisition: CCh, NRR

Investigation: CCh, AB, IP, AFM, PRC, MAR, MRM, CJI, FC, MG, EL, JCG, JRY, JLD, GR, BS, MFA

Methodology: CCh, AC, FC, CD, GM, FH, GR, BS, MFA

Supervision: CCh, BS, GR, MFA

Writing - original draft: CCh, AC

Writing - review & editing: all authors contributed, reviewed and approved the last draft.

Funding

Idipharma SL (Noain, Spain) contributed with in kind placebo tablets. This study was supported by ISGlobal and the University of Navarra. CCh, PRC, MAR, FH and NRR received salary support from Unitaid through the BOHEMIA grant to ISGlobal. ISGlobal acknowledges support from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the “Centro de Excelencia Severo Ochoa 2019–2023”; Program (CEX2018–000,806-S), and support from the Generalitat de Catalunya through the CERCA Program.

Data availability

Upon publication, all data supporting the results will be archived in a public repository accessible at http://diposit.ub.edu/dspace/handle/2445/101776

Declaration of Competing Interest

JLDP reports speaker fees from Pfizer and MSD as well as research grants from Novartis, outside the scope of the submitted work. No other competing interests were disclosed

Acknowledgments

We thank the patients who participated in this study and the nursing staff of the emergency room and technicians of the microbiology lab of the Clínica and the Biobank, Universidad de Navarra for their dedication to this study.

Appendix. Supplementary materials

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Article Info

Publication History

Published: January 19, 2021

Accepted: December 28, 2020

Received in revised form: December 28, 2020

Received: December 1, 2020

Identification

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100720


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Figures

Fig. 1

Fig. 1Enrollment and patient flow. a One presented with pneumonia in the ER and one had a compatible X-ray during screening. b Formally screened based on epidemiological and clinical suspicion but had a negative PCR.

Fig. 2

Fig. 2Viral load evolution by study arm. Viral load values were log-transformed. The boxes show the interquartile range. Dots represent each individual value.

Fig. 3

Fig. 3Daily proportion of any self-reported symptoms, self-reported cough and self-reported anosmia/hyposmia by study arm. Each graph represents the daily proportion of individuals (n/N) who suffered from each symptom in the corresponding study arm for a 28 day follow up. Missing answers were replaced by the value in the immediately preceding day.

Fig. 4

Fig. 4IgG titers by study arm. The boxes show the interquartile range. Dots represent each individual value (p = 0·24, Wilcoxon rank-sum test).

Fig. 5

Fig. 5Kaplan-Meier curves for viral load. A survival threshold of Ct ≥ 30 was used. Log-Rank test yielded significance for the difference in gene E (p = 0·0358) and borderline significance for the difference in gene N (p = 0·0550).

Tables

Table 1Baseline characteristics of patients by group.

Table 2Body composition and dose of ivermectin-treated participants.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 14 2021 at 10:42pm

Thanks for the Ivermectin study (I will study it later on...but at first view it goes with other studies showing Ivermectin-cheap, easy, low risk, CAN be of use in this worsening pandemic. Big question is why it is not used-the only answer that makes any sense for me is profit...and that is totally unacceptable !)

DJ

The numbers-here in NL "politics" was hoping ICU could increase to 1700 beds nationwide. That was a problem-it now turns out even 1550 beds (as during wave 1) is impossible-maybe 1450 beds for all of NL 17,5 million people. Staff is the problem-with 20% of HCW-ers on sickl leave-often exhausted...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ now over 800,000 new cases on just one day...13,532 "new"deaths. (Due to "technical problems" NL reported a lower number-just as a reminder the reported numbers are lower then the real number.)

India had almost 200,000 new cases, US close to 80,000, Brazil almost 76,000, Turkey over 62,000, France still more then 43,000...These numbers point to a global healthcrisis-hospitals can not deal with these kind of numbers...

In "new deaths" Brazil reporting 3.462 deaths, India 1.037, USA 915, Poland 803, Mexico 592. The cycle is-increase in positive tests, within a few weeks increase in hospital cases and after that another few weeks increase in deaths. Since hospitals are already far overstretched the "cycle" may get shorter. The time between positive testing/cases going up and death may no longer be around 4 weeks but get under 3...

We are getting in an ugly phase of this pandemic. 

FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912792-uk-scientists-begin-trial-of-instant-immunity-antibody-drug-treatment-for-covid-19-developed-by-astrazeneca[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912792-uk-scientists-begin-trial-of-instant-immunity-antibody-drug-treatment-for-covid-19-developed-by-astrazenecaScientists in the UK have begun trials of innovative antibody drug treatments that they hope could provide instant protection against COVID-19.

The University College London Hospitals NHS Trust (UCLH) said that the researchers in the Storm Chase study believe a Long Acting AntiBody (LAAB) known as AZD7442, developed by AstraZeneca, may offer immediate and long-term protection to people who have been recently exposed to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus and prevent them developing COVID-19.
...

We will be recruiting people who are older or in long-term care, and who have conditions such as cancer and HIV which may affect the ability of their immune system to respond to a vaccine.

We want to reassure anyone for whom a vaccine may not work that we can offer an alternative which is just as protective, said Dr Nicky Longley, UCLH infectious diseases consultant leading the Provent study...

DJ-Some very welcome good news...(allthough the story was from december 26...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912790-doctors-in-government-hospitals-in-delhi-said-that-they-are-seeing-younger-patients-%E2%80%93-some-even-as-young-as-10-months-%E2%80%93-and-several-of-them-are-being-brought-in-varying-stages-of-consciousness[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912790-doctors-in-government-hospitals-in-delhi-said-that-they-are-seeing-younger-patients-%E2%80%93-some-even-as-young-as-10-months-%E2%80%93-and-several-of-them-are-being-brought-in-varying-stages-of-consciousnessIn the current Covid-19 surge, diarrhoea, vomiting, high grade fever and rapid deterioration of Oxygen level are some of the symptoms being observed in patients diagnosed with the disease in the national capital as compared to the previous wave.
...

“The current strain in Corona Virus is affecting young adults and children. Children as young as eight months and less than 10 years are being brought to the hospital. Several of them are brought in an altered sensorium state (varying levels of consciousness). Youngsters have more than 104° F and severe body ache. This is most likely the new strain. The patients who are coming in now have restlessness, breathlessness, diarrhoea, vomiting, dehydration, high grade fever and rapid deterioration of Oxygen level. By morning if the Oxygen levels were fine, by evening they reach danger levels. Earlier, it was not so,” said Dr Suresh Kumar, Medical Superintendent of Lok Nayak Jai Prakash Narayan Hospital in central Delhi...

DJ-Most cases proberbly never reach any hospital or doctor...

(work in progress) - will continu in part 2...


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 15 2021 at 2:26am

DJ-part 2

The picture I am getting from countries like Brazil, India is a "sort of double pandemic" with UK and other (P1, Maharashtra-or "I" India variant spreading. The UK variant may be stopping the SA variant-but "working together" with P1 or I/India variant(s)...So if one variant "does not get you" another variant "may get you". 

Vaccines could slow down the "old" and UK variant-but seem to be less effective against other variants. Again underlining the need to STOP SPREADING THE VIRUS !!!!!!! (Why is this so hard to get ???)

I go on with FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912766-uruguay-facing-world-record-covid-19-infection-rate[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912766-uruguay-facing-world-record-covid-19-infection-rate ; Uruguay has reported a 24-hour record coronavirus death toll, as it has gone from one of the least-affected countries to registering the most new daily cases per capita in the world.

Government data released late Monday showed a record 71 deaths in the previous 24 hours, bringing the toll to 1,533 in the country of 3.4 million inhabitants.

Some 1,300 of the deaths—nearly 90 percent—have been registered since January this year, a third so far in April alone.

Long held up as an example in the fight against COVID-19, Uruguay has never had a curfew or lockdown, despite calls from some health experts, and businesses, bars and restaurants remain open.

Over the past week, COVID-19 deaths have averaged above 50 per day...

DJ-If you do nothing to stop the virus spreading infection rate will be high...certainly with

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912764-brazil-s-p1-coronavirus-variant-mutating-may-become-more-dangerous-study[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912764-brazil-s-p1-coronavirus-variant-mutating-may-become-more-dangerous-study ;Brazil’s P1 coronavirus variant, behind a deadly COVID-19 surge in the Latin American country that has raised international alarm, is mutating in ways that could make it better able to evade antibodies, according to scientists studying the virus.

Research conducted by the public health institute Fiocruz into the variants circulating in Brazil found mutations in the spike region of the virus that is used to enter and infect cells.

Those changes, the scientists said, could make the virus more resistant to vaccines - which target the spike protein - with potentially grave implications for the severity of the outbreak in Latin America’s most populous nation.

“We believe it’s another escape mechanism the virus is creating to evade the response of antibodies,” said Felipe Naveca, one of the authors of the study and part of Fiocruz in the Amazon city of Manaus, where the P1 variant is believed to have originated.

DJ-The P1 variant is-for now-slowly spreading around the globe. Problem in exponential growth is-"slow start-BOOM"! Start may be 0,25%-0,5%-1%-2% but that gets 4%,8%,16% of the cases...becoming 32%, 64% then almost all of the cases...Mutations may be "good" or "bad"news...with high numbers the "bad" mutations manage to spread further. Vaccines may stop the "good mutations" from spreading...Again I am NOT an expert...but how P1 can NOT become the dominant Corona-virus this summer-evading vaccine/natural immunity I do not see...

We very likely will not be out of "wave 3" (most UK variant) patients in hospital-crisis when wave 4 (P1 and others ?) could "hit"us...This means healthcare in a long term crisis. We should prepare for that now. How ?

-Preparing extra hospital capacity in tents, hotels etc

-Training people available for basic medical jobs. (Maybe cutting up ICU-work in small parts so training/teaching "the production proces" can be done by several people replacing one ICU trained HCW-er...in part it will become "learning at the job"...)

-Improve communications/coordination...For most places this is NOT the time for reopening but preparing for a disaster that is on its way. We may not be able to stop "the tsunami" but we may be able to survive it...

-Get realistic !!! "Old normal" traveling around the globe, mass meetings etc. is not very realistic ! This pandemic is a "hard job". Our job is to try to survive this-not to ignore the very major dangers it brings...could we please start at least something from history ???

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912756-ontario-is-adding-hundreds-of-icu-beds-but-does-it-have-the-resources-to-support-them[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912756-ontario-is-adding-hundreds-of-icu-beds-but-does-it-have-the-resources-to-support-them"We are creating capacity and we are making sure that every Ontarian who needs an intensive care bed will get one."

But medical staff who work in ICU units say each new bed requires a host of resources — including specialized trained staff — that simply aren't available quickly...

DJ  Staff is the problem-and it will only get worse ! So prepare for that ! HCW-ers have been working till "they dropped"...There are limits...beds is the easy part !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/hungary/912755-hungary-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-turkeys-on-farm-n%C3%A1dudvar-oie-april-13-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/hungary/912755-hungary-1-new-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-h5n1-in-turkeys-on-farm-n%C3%A1dudvar-oie-april-13-2021 DJ-Just one of many, many reports on H5/H7 spreading-a potential risk for spreading in "other hosts"...we should (also) prepare for that ! See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/vietnam/vietnam-h5n6/903534-vietnam-2021-h5n6-in-poultry[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/vietnam/vietnam-h5n6/903534-vietnam-2021-h5n6-in-poultry and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/germany/912747-germany-hundreds-of-wild-geese-fall-dead-from-the-sky[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe/h5n1-tracking/germany/912747-germany-hundreds-of-wild-geese-fall-dead-from-the-sky ; Around one million farm animals have been killed in Lower Saxony because of the H5N1 virus. Bird flu is also spreading among wild animals, as is evident in the East Frisian Rheiderland.

Farmers report to NDR Lower Saxony that they find dead birds in their fields every day. Since shortly before Easter, hundreds of wild birds have fallen from the sky or simply fell over. Even if an analysis by the Friedrich Loeffler Institute, which is responsible for animal diseases, is still pending, "it cannot be anything other than bird flu," says district spokesman Jens Gerdes.

Carcasses can contaminate forage for cows

"First they empty our fields, then we have to dispose of them," says farmer Rolf Dreesmann from Nendorp. The situation is an additional burden for farmers. If the carcasses stayed where they were and ended up in the green feed, the cows could die. The municipalities have therefore set up containers in which the animals can be disposed of.
Experts fear bird deaths like in Schleswig-Holstein

According to the Friedrich Loeffler Institute, the virus could spread further. Birds of prey, seagulls and curlews are particularly endangered. The threat of bird death is similar to that in the Wadden Sea of Schleswig-Holstein. There have been 16,000 dead wild birds there since November.

DJ-Not "if" but "when"....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912752-cdc-u-s-variant-update-b-1-1-7-dominates-while-p-1-climbs-past-b-1-351[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/912752-cdc-u-s-variant-update-b-1-1-7-dominates-while-p-1-climbs-past-b-1-351

Also making big moves are the B.1.526 variant detected in New York (.5% to 9.2%), and the P.1 variant from Brazil, which a month ago represented only .1% of detected variants (1/4th of the South African B.1.351 variant), and is now 1.4% (double the prevalence of the SA variant).


Exhibiting a less linear ascent, B.1.427 and P.2 have both receded slightly in the last two weeks, although both have increased over their standings of February.

Since we are seeing choppy results among some of the less dominant variants - which may be due to variability in testing and reporting - we'll need to follow these trends for weeks to come to know which variants are truly fading, and which are gaining.


For now, however, P.1 appears to be getting more traction than B.1.531, which had established an early lead among the second tier of variant threats. Likewise, B.1.526 continues to make solid gains.

DJ-It is very hard to do the sequencing. The report indicates the number of variants-as a trend-march 27. Vaccines may offer some protection against severe illness  but we need ALL the NPI-long term-to get this pandemic (at least partly) under control !!!

We are sinking deeper and deeper into the swamp. Vaccines can NOT end this pandemic on their own!!! We have to stop the spread ! Let me be very, very clear; if we do not stop this pandemic this pandemic will stop us !

History shows us what pandemics can bring in damage & deaths. Yes-this is 2021-a major difference is we spread the virus high speed-making matters worse ! We now have a larger number of hosts then ever before-mixing it with high speed virusspread should get us very, very worried !!! This pandemic CAN END our civilization ! 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/912719-how-weimar-germany-got-hyperinflation-%E2%80%94-and-how-america-could-too[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/912719-how-weimar-germany-got-hyperinflation-%E2%80%94-and-how-america-could-too ; The Weimar Germany period is a recurring historical topic. It seems to pop up every few years.

But when historians and columnists refer to Weimar Germany, they are usually focused on the years of 1930-33, when Germany experienced crushing deflation (as did most of the world, after the Crash of 1929, the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs, and the Great Depression) and the Nazis prepared to seize power.

In thinking about hyperinflation, we are interested in events from a full decade earlier, as the peak years of Weimar Germany hyperinflation were 1921-23...

DJ We live in "fiat money"times...China-joined by Russia, Iran etc. are "getting out of US$". In many ways there is already a war going on. Most of the value of the US$ came from linking it to global energy trade-that had US$ as a basis since the early 70's in a US-Saudi deal. Before that gold was backing currency value for a long time...China may choose to "dump the US$" if the US is not willing to give in to some Chinese demands. The EU is a major trading partner for China-it is in Chinese interest-for now-to keep the € alive...With the US being now the main global exporter for "energy" and China the main consumer lower US$ may be in the interests for both the US and China. (If the US could become the main provider of energy to China-replacing Russia, Iran the US has a better trading position...problem is shale-oil-fracking it-is expensive...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/912725-a-long-history-of-dismissing-women%E2%80%99s-experiences-in-medicine-plays-out-in-clinical-trials[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/912725-a-long-history-of-dismissing-women%E2%80%99s-experiences-in-medicine-plays-out-in-clinical-trials ; Vaccine trials include tens of thousands of people in phase 3 to ensure that even rare side effects are more likely to be detected. But once the vaccine is authorized and millions of people have begun receiving it, sometimes researchers learn about other even rarer side effects not captured in the trials. But scientists could also miss a side effect if they simply don’t ask about it — or don’t record it when participants report it.

That may be why it’s taken months after the vaccines were authorized by the FDA to explore whether changes in menstruation might be a temporary side effect of the Covid-19 vaccines. It took two feminist scientists and a large social media platform to even get the possibility on people’s radar...

DJ-A lot of "safety" is tested on young-strong-healthy men-to get the "best" (but not very realistic) outcomes...Energy fields, medication etc. may have other effects in children, women, older age groups...

This is just a selection of FluTrackers...info overload...indicating major health crisis. In Rwanda malaria medication may no longer be effective-malaria could have become resistent for the most used medication...

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIfzd_lJDhU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIfzd_lJDhU Dr. John Campbell global update-lots of info/links under his video. DJ;

Adeno-virus vector based vaccins can cause side effect-so far most found in women. (That did get more vaccinated because there are more female HCW-ers...). Janssen vaccin did see 6 six-cases-on 6 million vaccinations in women 18-48 y/o. AZ/O vaccin is also adeno-virus vaccin, but also Sputnik-V, some Chinese vaccines...

Turkey-Ramadan started-but cases are "out of control" most UK variant. 

Sputnik-V vaccin to be produced in India (in large numbers-does that see less side effects ? Or less reporting ?). Serbia, Iran, Italy also going to produce Sputnik-V (there were talks with a.o. Germany, France-would not be surprised if also some Latin America countries start producing Sputnik-V; Venezuela, Mexico, Cuba-but also Indonesia may be interested...maybe AstraZeneca and Russia join their knowledge ?

DJ-I try to keep an eye on developments in the UK and Israel-both with-so far-a high level of vaccine protection...

WAR is the global top-priority...even with this pandemic getting worse and worse...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/neoconservatives-demand-more-meddling-in-afghanistan.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/neoconservatives-demand-more-meddling-in-afghanistan.html 

DJ-NATO pulling out of Afghanistan is "replacing them" with IS/CIA ? The US goal is to stop EarAsian integration...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-pacific-fleet-returns-to-vladivostok-missiles-supplies-being-loaded[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/russia-pacific-fleet-returns-to-vladivostok-missiles-supplies-being-loaded 

There were some reports of attacks on US positions in Iraq [url]https://southfront.org/separate-attacks-target-turkish-and-u-s-positions-in-erbil/[/url] or https://southfront.org/separate-attacks-target-turkish-and-u-s-positions-in-erbil/

On April 14th, a drone dropped explosives near U.S. forces stationed at Erbil airport in northern Iraq.

DJ-Intelcrab reported two explosions-the other one on a Turkish base nearby.

[url]https://southfront.org/iraqi-sources-reveal-new-details-about-alleged-attack-on-erbil-mossad-center/[/url] or https://southfront.org/iraqi-sources-reveal-new-details-about-alleged-attack-on-erbil-mossad-center/ ; Ten Israeli intelligence officers were killed or injured in the alleged attack on an information and operation center of the Mossad in Iraq’s Erbil, Iraqi sources reported on April 14.

-

Citing sources familiar with the alleged operation, the telegram channel identified three of the slain Israeli officers as Manhanen Naom, Ekifa Ame and Beriz Jacob.

-

The reports of Erbil raid may be nothing more than a propaganda stunt. Such media tactics were used before by Iran’s supporters on social media.

DJ No doubt Israel will react on the "attack that was not there on a bases that was not there"...See also [url]https://www.debka.com/natanz-blast-wrecked-more-than-half-of-its-enrichment-plan-debkafile-exclusive/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/natanz-blast-wrecked-more-than-half-of-its-enrichment-plan-debkafile-exclusive/ 

[url]https://southfront.org/gunmen-attacked-sdf-prison-in-al-hasakah-while-us-was-redeploying-isis-members/[/url] or https://southfront.org/gunmen-attacked-sdf-prison-in-al-hasakah-while-us-was-redeploying-isis-members/ 

DJ-Will the US use these IS fighters in Syria, Yemen, Afghanistan or other "operations" ? 

Music; In the year 2525 Zager and Evans [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yesyhQkYrQM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yesyhQkYrQM ...just loking a bit further ahead-nice video !


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 15 2021 at 8:08am

Ivermectin is definitely not expensive, and doesn't have much of a downside.  Trouble is, so far it hasn't been proven to have much of an upside either.  Researchers here in Pittsburgh are high on the Regeneron cocktail, and are doing lots of trials in that direction with the expectation of an announcement within a few months.

Fracking is not terribly tenable, not just because of $, most of which are spent getting rid of the polluted wastewater afterward, but because of illness and damage to environment, including everything from water table pollution to earthquakes attributable to fracking.  Another area in which my hometown is featured, because we are one of the cities in the forefront of this topic, and I have joined in on protests against fracking.

Meh, so far can't get too worried about 1/1,000,000 chance of blood clots in a life-saving vaccine when birth- control pills give you a 1/1,000  chance of forming a blood clot, and smoking even more than that.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 15 2021 at 12:52pm

DJ

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ India reporting 216,850 new cases, Turkey 61,400...(numbers may increase further...)

WAR

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/three-recent-failures-in-bidens-foreign-policy-planing-.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/three-recent-failures-in-bidens-foreign-policy-planing-.html

[url]https://southfront.org/military-situation-in-donetsk-peoples-republic-on-april-15-2021-map-update/[/url] or https://southfront.org/military-situation-in-donetsk-peoples-republic-on-april-15-2021-map-update/ 

[url]https://www.rt.com/russia/521101-biden-putin-policy-rethink/[/url] or https://www.rt.com/russia/521101-biden-putin-policy-rethink/ 

[url]https://thesaker.is/the-latest-us-moves-against-russia-open-thread-11/[/url] or https://thesaker.is/the-latest-us-moves-against-russia-open-thread-11/

Then there is this: the US has informed the Turkish authorities that they will not send two USN ships into the Black Sea.  This is politically a good sign, but in military terms, this is what the US should be doing if they were preparing for war.  Why?  Because any USN ship in the Black Sea at the moment of the initiation of a conflict would be sunk withing minutes: not only do the Russians have formidable missiles – Bal and Bastion – they had SIX advanced diesel-electric submarines of the 636.3 class ready to “greet” them.  Keep in mind that engaging submarines without air cover is another form of collective suicide.

So, the phone call was a deception and the US is still going down the road towards war with Russia.

In my professional opinion, what I see is a joint preparation by the Ukronazis and the USA (along with the UK and Poland) to attack the Donbass and force a conflict upon Russia.

Considering the extreme nature of these developments, I am reopening an open thread.

DJ; I consider the present situation as very critical. 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/putin-rejects-biden-meeting-russia-paints-invasion-stripes-on-military-vehicles-reports-of-nuclear-munitions-being-moved-into-crimea[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/putin-rejects-biden-meeting-russia-paints-invasion-stripes-on-military-vehicles-reports-of-nuclear-munitions-being-moved-into-crimea DJ-Including short interview with Tulsi Gabbard, one of the limited politicians I tend to trust somewhat...

The "invasion-stripes" may be part of an exercise...[url]https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/forums/military-events.6/[/url] or https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/forums/military-events.6/ 

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gEX7Xxfr-qc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gEX7Xxfr-qc Give peace a chance !

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Give_Peace_a_Chance[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Give_Peace_a_Chance ;

The song was written during Lennon and Ono's "Bed-In" honeymoon in Montreal.[3] When asked by a reporter what he was trying to achieve by staying in bed, Lennon answered spontaneously "Just give peace a chance". He went on to say this several times during the Bed-In.[3] Lennon asked his press officer, Derek Taylor to find a recording engineer. On 1 June 1969, in Room 1742 at the Queen Elizabeth Hotel in Montreal, André Perry, owner of a local recording studio in Montreal, arrived and used a simple setup of four microphones and a four-track tape recorder he brought with him.[4][5]

The recording session was attended by dozens of journalists and various celebrities, including Timothy Leary, Rabbi Abraham Feinberg, Joseph Schwartz, Rosemary Woodruff Leary, Petula ClarkDick GregoryAllen GinsbergRoger ScottMurray the K and Derek Taylor, many of whom are mentioned in the lyrics. Lennon played acoustic guitar and was joined by Tommy Smothers of the Smothers Brothers, also on acoustic guitar.


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 15 2021 at 8:58pm

DJ

WAR seems to be priority #1-even with a pandemic going out of control..."can 't fix stupid"...

Let me be clear-I am not neutral. The story US republicans want war with China, US democrats war with Russia is-again-underlined by biden... Stationing of some kind of weapons in Ukraine by the US, including Ukraine, Georgia, into NATO etc. are acts of agression. 

The US has to stop its agressive moves to stop EurAsian integration. My impression is most of western Europe NATO members will NOT support US agression against Russia or Iran. 

Further US agressive actions will further widen the gap between the EU and the US.

Further escalation in the Ukraine will bring escalation on other frontlines. Russia, Turkey, Syria and Iran could join forces to "deal with Kurdish dreams" and US illegal presence in these countries. China has had enough of US provocations. 

I hope Merkel, Macron, can talk some sense into the US "government"...The present escalation in Ukraine is the outcome of US foreign policy insanity...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ and [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table 

Worldometers did make a trend-part. Weekly case increase in % for the US is 8%, global average is 19%. Australia had an increase of 38%...sounds bad but in "real numbers" 63 cases became 87 cases...so still very low !

India did see an increase of 63%-in real numbers over 500,000...Namibia 66%-very likely SA/UK variants-in real numbers from 680 to 1130 cases but on a population of under 2,6 million that is a lot...

In absolute numbers we will go over the 3 million (reported/tested) Covid deaths worldwide. The real number may be double-or worse. 

India reported 216,850 new cases, 1183 deaths...Brazil had over 80,000, US almost 75,000, Turkey 61,400, France still to close to 40,000 new cases. The global number of new cases 837,577, new deaths 13,858. Both numbers are not-yet-record high but still increasing. 

With vaccinations becoming more of a problem, NPI hard to communicate, variants spreading faster and Ramadan , other religious events on their way we will soon get over the 1 million cases per day. Soon may be in around 20,000 deaths per day...

Vaccinations may make some difference in some countries. But not enough to stop this worsening pandemic. 

A look at trends for some "good" countries;

UK did see a decrease of 7% , Israel decrease of 40%, Finland decrease 12%, Cuba decrease of 5%. A mix of vaccinations and NPI can make a major difference. 

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india ;VijayRaghavan’s remarks represent the first time a top government official has said that the variant, since designated the code B.1.617, is a cause for concern after government officials said last month that it was too early to believe the mutation was driving the surge or causing repeat infections.

“It’s reasonable to say that the variant (the “double mutation” variant) is of concern because it has been found in a significant number of people. And it’s not just because it’s been found in a certain number of people but we know that these particular mutations have (also) got physiological effects on our context,” he said, while adding that Indian scientists are carrying out further tests to determine exact biological consequences.

DJ-Dicussion on how bad the Indian/Maharashtra variant is. Some claiming only more infectious, others also bringing more severe disease. It is clear however that the reported already extreme numbers are only the top of the mountain...I would not be surprised if the daily number of new infections (showing up) in India would be between 500,000 and 1 million-per day ! Large religious festivities (claiming their belief protects them) have been superspreading events. 

Since the Mohdi-government is one of Hindu-extremists stopping these kind of events is hard. (Will Mohdi blame Pakistan or China for their out of control pandemic ? Very likely...easier then admitting their own faillure...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912889-cidrap-study-covid-much-more-likely-than-vaccines-to-cause-blood-clots[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912889-cidrap-study-covid-much-more-likely-than-vaccines-to-cause-blood-clots 

DJ-It is good there is info on possible risks for the vaccines. Still using those vaccines would save much more lives then not using them...there is no risk free vaccine. The alternative is NPI-lockdowns etc. but "we" did make a choice not to use it (enough)  to "save the economy"...

So basicly: Vaccines are not 100% save and NPI is hurting the economy...can't fix stupid...How does politics think to end this pandemic ? Summer has to save us ? Herd immunity-insanity with only more, more dangerous variants ???

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912888-cidrap-india-brazil-grapple-with-massive-covid-19-surges[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912888-cidrap-india-brazil-grapple-with-massive-covid-19-surges ; India's cases topped 200,000 today with some of its major cities announcing new restrictions, as Brazil's outbreak continues to overwhelm many of the country's hospitals, a situation Doctors Without Borders said today is a humanitarian catastrophe.

-

More measures, limited oxygen in India

Surges in India and Brazil are fueling a steady rise in global cases, given that they are among the world's most populous countries: India the second, and Brazil as the sixth.
India reported a record single-day high of 200,739 cases, and the burden of cases has pushed the country's oxygen production to full capacity over the last 2 days, with the health ministry announcing that it now needs to import 50,000 metric tons, according to Reuters. Media reports describe patients waiting for hospital beds to open up and even patients on oxygen being placed two to a bed.
Mumbai, India's financial capital, began a lockdown last night, and officials today announced a weekend curfew for Delhi, the country's capital region, according to CNN.
The new wave of lockdowns is raising fears in India again of a mass exodus from cities, heightening the risk of people carrying the virus to more rural areas that aren't equipped to handle the virus, according to the New York Times.

-

"Brazilian authorities’ refusal to adopt evidence-based public health measures has sent far too many to an early grave," Christou said. "This has put Brazil in a permanent state of mourning and led to the near collapse of Brazil's health system."
MSF said last week, intensive care units (ICUs) were at capacity in 21 of 27 states, and hospitals across the country are struggling with shortages of oxygen for treatment and sedatives needed for intubation. It also said the country has a critical need for rapid antigen tests to quickly confirm infections in an effort to limit spread.

-

In a related development, scientists from Brazil's Fiocruz Institute warned that the P1 SARS-CoV-2 variant, which is currently fueling the country's massive outbreak, is evolving in ways that would make it more able to evade antibodies, according to Reuters. Researchers said the changes are similar to the B1351 variant, first seen in South Africa, which has already been shown to evade some vaccines.

-

In Asia, two countries known for controlling the spread of the virus—Thailand and Cambodia—are experiencing rising cases, with Thailand anticipating ramped-up restrictions and Cambodia announcing a lockdown for Phnom Penh.

DJ-Yes there are "rays of hope" but "hopism" is not helpfull ! There are limits to (hospital)care...Many countries may already be over capacity limits. The reported number of new cases only a segment of reality...Also testing has its limits...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912874-cidrap-covid-19-scan-p1-variant-spread-dogs-sniffing-out-covid[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/912874-cidrap-covid-19-scan-p1-variant-spread-dogs-sniffing-out-covid ; The P1 SARS-CoV-2 variant, which was first identified in Brazil, may be more than twice as transmissible as non-P.1 lineages, and it may lower protective immunity from non-P1 variants 21% to 46%, according to a study published yesterday in Science.

-

Phylogenetic analysis showed that P1 and another lineage, P2, were descendants of lineage B1128, and that P1 probably diverged around Nov 15 after a period of faster molecular evolution. This was 3 to 4 weeks before Manaus, home to 2.2 million people, saw a COVID resurgence.
Within about 7 weeks from late 2020 to early 2021, the fraction of samples classified as P1 increased from 0% to 87%.
The P1 variant is characterized by 17 mutations, including a trio in the spike protein, which is associated with the virus' entry into the human cell. After combining genomic and mortality data, the researchers estimate that P1 may be 1.7- to 2.4-fold more transmissible than non-P1 variants, and by Feb 7, the estimated reproduction number was 0.5 for P1 and 0.1 for non-P1 lineages. P1 may also be able to evade 21% to 46% of protective immunity from previous infection with non-P1 lineages, according to the researchers.
Data from all COVID-19 samples during P1's emergence suggest the variant produces higher viral loads (with 1.43 to 1.91 lower cycle threshold values). Similarly, while mortality rates appear to be 1.2 to 1.9 times higher in association with P1's dominance, the researchers do not know how much this is because of the city's overburdened healthcare system.
"Studies to evaluate real-world vaccine efficacy in response to P.1 are urgently needed," the researchers write, adding that P1 is in more than 36 countries. "We note that neutralisation titers represent only one component of the elicited response to vaccines, and that minimal reduction of neutralisation titers relative to earlier circulating strains is not uncommon."

-

Nine dogs were able to sniff out COVID-positive urine and saliva samples in a proof-of-concept study published yesterday in PLOS One, but the researchers note that a lack of sample diversity made it difficult to tell how generalizable the training was.

DJ-Given the widespread of the P1 variant-still in low numbers-and the UK variant able to stop the SA variant but NOT the P1 variant it is very likely the P1 variant will be the basis fot wave #4 in this pandemic. Statistics indicate P1 infections may be going exponential already-may be a major problem next month...may. So very likely come on top of wave 3...

It is nice dogs can smell infection-but maybe it is not that perfect otherwise we would see much more "dog-testing"...If Ivermectin was as effective as soom claim why does it not show in India, Brazil etc...? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912873-former-heads-of-state-and-nobel-laureates-call-on-president-biden-to-waive-intellectual-property-rules-for-covid-vaccines[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912873-former-heads-of-state-and-nobel-laureates-call-on-president-biden-to-waive-intellectual-property-rules-for-covid-vaccines ; More than 170 former heads of state and government and Nobel laureates, called on President Biden to support a waiver of intellectual property rules for COVID-19 vaccines and pursue a people’s vaccine to end the pandemic in an open letter sent today. Signatories include former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom Gordon Brown, former President of Ireland Mary Robinson, former President of France François Holland, former Prime Minister of New Zealand Helen Clark, former President of Brazil Fernando Henrique Cardoso, and former President of Malawi Joyce Banda, all Members of Club de Madrid, together with over 60 other former heads of state and government that span every continent. Nobel Laureates Professor Joseph Stiglitz, Professor Elizabeth H. Blackburn and Professor Muhammad Yunus are also part of the call to Biden.

The letter was sent to the White House as U.S. health authorities advised a pause in the use of the Johnson & Johnson Covid-19 vaccine. A waiver of intellectual property rules would allow for a scale up in manufacturing in the U.S. and around the world, overcoming artificial supply constraints. ...

DJ-If vaccination is meant as a way out of this pandemic then go for maximum production of vaccines....See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912870-pfizer-ceo-says-third-covid-vaccine-dose-likely-needed-within-12-months[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/912870-pfizer-ceo-says-third-covid-vaccine-dose-likely-needed-within-12-months 

-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WuyAtvwP2H4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WuyAtvwP2H4 Dr.John Campbell

Some of the info under his video; There is suspicion as to whether accidental injection of the vaccine into a blood vessel could play a role Intravascular administration may lead to a systemic inflammatory reaction leading to blood clots

-

Aspiration is recommended for all approved covid-19 vaccines 

-

Vaccination personnel should ensure that they are injected correctly into a muscle and not into the bloodstream

DJ-Aspiration or [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suction_(medicine)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suction_(medicine) ; In surgery suction can be used to remove blood from the area being operated on to allow surgeons to view and work on the area.

DJ-Is the very rare problem in vaccinations due to getting the injection not enough into the muscle but damaging a (small) blood vessel ? (But why then it is less reported in older people. There have been limited reports on other vaccines then AZ/O  and J&J/Janssen. ) As far as I can see the way out of this pandemic has to be a combination of NPI and vaccines...

WAR

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tcS4TUAVg04[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tcS4TUAVg04 The Duran; EurAsia plan entrusted to three clowns-a US, EU and Ukraine clown...(BoJo is clown #4...)

DJ-There may come a point Russia has had enough. Further expension of NATO into former Soviet republics (Ukraine, Georgia) and putting US weapons unabling a Russian response to a first US strike OR further Ukraine attacks on Russian civilians in Eastern Ukraine could start a Russian intervention. 

DJ-The Duran-and others-point out Russia has no interest in "taking over Ukraine". Maybe China could be interested getting "more grip" on Ukraine...So replacing the present (lack of) "government" in Kiev by a regime "welcoming Chinese investments" may be welcome for Russia, Iran, Turkey-and maybe even the EU...

I do not doubt Russia has been discussing "the Ukraine problem" with Turkey, Iran, China...For China Ukraine may have similarities with Taiwan...

[url]https://southfront.org/turkish-service-members-spotted-in-ukraines-mariupol/[/url] or https://southfront.org/turkish-service-members-spotted-in-ukraines-mariupol/ DJ-If you did follow Erdogan-he is going for "Turkish interests/energy needs" (and his own pockets...Erdogan needs Putin (a.o. Turkstream Russian energy, Russian tourism...also Russian weapons). It could be Kiev did get Turkish military in doing a Russian job...

[url]https://southfront.org/iraqi-resistance-attacks-six-us-supply-convoys-with-ieds-video-photos/[/url] or https://southfront.org/iraqi-resistance-attacks-six-us-supply-convoys-with-ieds-video-photos/ DJ-There was a "suggestion" Iran may try to "slow down" pro-Iran groups pushing US forces out of Iraq (and Syria...). The idea would be Iran was "hoping for a return of the US to the Iran-deal"...

DJ-1-There is a war between Israel and Iran. Decreasing US troops in Iraq and Syria is hurting Israel in that region. (Israel has been working with the Kurds for a long time..) 2-Russia is another player, so is Turkey...Turkey wants US support for the Kurds to end...[url]https://www.debka.com/first-drone-strike-on-us-base-in-iraq-as-iranian-proxies-up-attacks-on-us-israeli-targets/[/url] or https://www.debka.com/first-drone-strike-on-us-base-in-iraq-as-iranian-proxies-up-attacks-on-us-israeli-targets/ 

DJ-At this moment there is NO/ZERO basis for Putin to have any kind of talks with biden...The US does not seem to have any idea on what they are doing...Russia-Iran-China  (RIC)are increasing their global influence. DJ-In my opinion RIC has become the dominant global "force"...The US does still not have any clear plan...By supporting "thugs" like bolsonaro in Brazil , MbS in Saudi Arabia etc. US is damaging its foreign relations. 

Putting sanctions on EU members because the US want to tell us where to buy our energy, products, how EU relations with Russia, Iran, China should look like "may have reached limits"...We-in the EU- were hoping that trump would be replaced by someone with at least some brains...if biden has brains he better show it soon !

Alexander Mercouris talking some sense [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kjfEu5Z1f2s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kjfEu5Z1f2s 

DJ-War for now is risk #1 for human survival, this pandemic #2, Climate collapse #3...all three risks are gone to the extreme...Maybe time to do the opposite of what "our leaders" are telling us to do if that leads us here...

(I put a lot of "DJ" to underline I am giving my opinion...I am NOT an expert, and refuse to be "neutral" ...)

Music; Chris Rea-Fool If You Think It's Over [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YSui9_IBgao[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YSui9_IBgao Just Begun...





We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2021 at 9:33am

I think it's fair to say that most of us in the States don't want war with anyone, especially right now during a pandemic.  It would be sheer lunacy.  Yet you can't let foreign powers interfere in your elections...

Good song!

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2021 at 9:41pm

ViQueen24, thanks for your reaction. In nature the alpha-male is allways in a fight. Basicly that is how he becomes alpha-male-winning the fight. In human history the "leading nation", the #1, can not be in the #1 position without a fight...

Without nuclear weapons the damage of these fights-wars-can remain limited. Still wars are horror. The dark side of (in)humanity we only must hate...and be aware of. 

More then a 100 years ago the Russian Czar was behind a conference "to end all wars"-one of the excuses for world war 1 some 20 years later...a war "to end all wars"...[url]https://www.peacepalacelibrary.nl/library-special/tsar-nicholas-ii-peace-and-international-jurisdiction/[/url] or https://www.peacepalacelibrary.nl/library-special/tsar-nicholas-ii-peace-and-international-jurisdiction/ It was H.G. Wells that used the "War to end all wars" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_war_to_end_war[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_war_to_end_war in 1914.  The 1898 book "War of the worlds" was one of his books-there "earthly pathogens" kill the Martian war-machine after they did beat humanity...

 WAR 

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-president-makes-nuclear-threat-against-russian-crimea-will-be-an-exclusion-zone-like-chernobyl-a-dead-area-worse-than-chernobyl[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/ukraine-president-makes-nuclear-threat-against-russian-crimea-will-be-an-exclusion-zone-like-chernobyl-a-dead-area-worse-than-chernobyl

When Ambassador John Sullivan arrived at Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Thursday, April 15, he was told "The United States has six days to cease all NATO activity inside Ukraine.  Otherwise Russia will attack Ukraine and stop the NATO activity itself."

Sullivan was so taken aback, and so shaken, he exited the Foreign Ministry via a side door rather than the main entrance and was whisked away by his limo without making any comments to gathered media outlets.

DJ-Russia putting an ultimatum ending coming wednesday. ALL NATO forces must get out of Ukraine. 

Hal Turner may not always be the best of sources. The story itself sounds credible. If you point a gun at me and I beat you who did start the fight ? In 1989-with peacefull German reunion-the "West" made a promis NATO would not move east...It did break that promis. De facto NATO now "over its ears" in Ukraine...

In many ways this crisis resembles the Cuba missile crisis of october 1962. Then the Soviet Union did stop transporting missiles towards Cuba-with the US taking away missiles from Turkey...Now the US is possibly creating the oppertunity of putting those kind of missiles in Ukraine...

In many ways it is very likely the US want to create a crisis-NOT a war ! The US goal is stopping EurAsian integration...

Russia-is the "R" in RIC-also Iran, China are part of that group. Russia is preparing with Iran and China a "reaction" to put "limits" on US dominance...part of the plan is to widen the gap between the EU and US...

-This pandemic should be priority number one...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table ;

-We did get over the 3 million reported/tested Covid deaths...the real number of pandemic deaths may be double..

-In countries like India, Brazil ICU/Hospitals are running out of capacity-other countries are getting in the same position. 

-The april 15 number of 845,223 cases is just under the record number of wave 2-january 8 with 845,424 cases. But all indications are numbers in this wave will still increase. 

A global major war in combination with an out of control pandemic is the worst kind of scenario...

-FluTrackers

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913029-india-covid-19-in-uttar-pradesh-in-lucknow-a-desperate-search-for-a-hospital-bed-april-17-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913029-india-covid-19-in-uttar-pradesh-in-lucknow-a-desperate-search-for-a-hospital-bed-april-17-2021 ; Crematoriums, graveyards spill over, beds falling short in Lucknow

-

There have been complaints about the unavailability of oxygen and hospital beds, black marketing of drugs like remdesivir and fabiflu, and about private labs refusing RT-PCR tests.

DJ-At this point most with symptoms will stop looking for a hospital..just die where they are...This is what a pandemic looks like ! This we could and should have stopped !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913014-ontario-2021-covid-cases-new-record-4-800[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913014-ontario-2021-covid-cases-new-record-4-800TORONTO -- Ontario has logged more than 4,800 new COVID-19 cases for the first time in the pandemic, breaking a record for the most daily infections for a second day in a row.

DJ Also including a time-line from january-opening schools to the present crisis...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913027-louisiana-america-s-top-state-for-overdose-death-increase-during-covid-cdc-says[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913027-louisiana-america-s-top-state-for-overdose-death-increase-during-covid-cdc-says DJ-The socio-economic burden is not spread equal-some get crushed...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913020-cidrap-who-global-covid-cases-approach-earlier-peak[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913020-cidrap-who-global-covid-cases-approach-earlier-peakThe World Health Organization's (WHO's) top official said today that cases and deaths have doubled over the past 2 months and are at worrying rates, even in countries that had avoided earlier surges.
In India, currently one of the world's worst hot spots, cases reached a record high for the eighth day in a row, as the country's health officials looked for ways to increase vaccine production.

DJ-The P1-and likely some other variants-will not be stopped by vaccines...We have to stop spreading the virus !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913019-cidrap-white-house-turns-its-attention-to-covid-19-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913019-cidrap-white-house-turns-its-attention-to-covid-19-variantsToday, the US government announced a new initiative in the next phase of fighting the pandemic: investing $1.7 billion in genomic sequencing efforts that will help identify COVID-19 variants.
"Our ability to spot variants as they emerge and spread is vital, particularly as we aim to get ahead of dangerous variants before they emerge, as they are in the Midwest right now," Andy Slavitt, a senior White House pandemic adviser, said today during a COVID-19 briefing.

DJ-Why increasing sequencing did take over a year ????

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913018-cidrap-malaria-study-finds-evidence-of-artemisinin-resistance-in-rwanda[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913018-cidrap-malaria-study-finds-evidence-of-artemisinin-resistance-in-rwandaNew research by scientists in Africa and the United States has found evidence of the emergence of artemisinin-resistant malaria in Rwanda.
In a study published this week in the Lancet Infectious Diseases, a team including researchers from The Rwanda Biomedical Centre, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the US Agency for International Development found that an artemisinin combination therapy (ACT) used in Rwanda for treatment of malaria caused by the Plasmodium falciparum parasite remains highly effective. Efficacy rates from a therapeutic study conducted among children at three sites in Rwanda were above 90%.
But the study also found evidence of delayed parasite clearance, which can be a sign of partial resistance to the artemisinin component of ACT, and identified mutations in P falciparum genes that have been associated with delayed parasite clearance and artemisinin resistance. It's the first documented evidence of partial artemisinin resistance in Africa.

DJ-Malaria is spreading due to "climate change" (=climate collapse...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912998-b-1-617-lineage-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912998-b-1-617-lineage-reportFirst identified in India
VARIANT OF INTEREST
Concerns surrounding new strains of SARS-CoV-2 (hCoV-19), the virus behind the COVID-19 pandemic, have been developing. This report outlines the prevalence of the B.1.617 lineage in the world, how it is changing over time, and how its prevalence varies across different locations.

As of 16 April 2021 408 sequences in the B.1.617 lineage have been detected since the lineage was identified:
B1.617 found
location California, United States
Total 6
cumulative 
prevalence < 0.5%

DJ B1.617 is the India-variant...now 6 cases in California US ???? (see also new variants...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912996-the-sars-cov-2-spike-variant-d614g-favors-an-open-conformational-state[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912996-the-sars-cov-2-spike-variant-d614g-favors-an-open-conformational-stateThe COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic underwent a rapid transition with the emergence of a dominant viral variant (from the “D-form” to the “G-form”) that carried an amino acid substitution D614G in its “Spike” protein. The G-form is more infectious in vitro and is associated with increased viral loads in the upper airways. To gain insight into the molecular-level underpinnings of these characteristics, we used microsecond all-atom simulations. We show that changes in the protein energetics favor a higher population of infection-capable states in the G-form through release of asymmetry present in the D-form inter-protomer interactions. Thus, the increased infectivity of the G-form is likely due to a higher rate of profitable binding encounters with the host receptor. It is also predicted to be more neutralization sensitive owing to enhanced exposure of the receptor binding domain, a key target region for neutralizing antibodies. These results are critical for vaccine design.

DJ-The D614G mutation is the oldest known Covid19 mutation in this pandemic-I believe may be 1 year ago first detected...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912993-shortage-of-intubation-drugs-threatens-brazil-health-sector[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912993-shortage-of-intubation-drugs-threatens-brazil-health-sector ; Reports are emerging of Brazilian health workers forced to intubate patients without the aid of sedatives, after weeks of warnings that hospitals and state governments risked running out of critical medicines.

One doctor at the Albert Schweitzer municipal hospital in Rio de Janeiro told the Associated Press that for days health workers diluted sedatives to make their stock last longer. Once it ran out, nurses and doctors had to begin using neuromuscular blockers and tying patients to their beds, the doctor said.

“You relax the muscles and do the procedure easily, but we don’t have sedation,” said the doctor, who agreed to discuss the sensitive situation only if not quoted by name. “Some try to talk, resist. They’re conscious.”

DJ-Intubation is putting a tube into the mouth towards the lungs to get oxygen in...If a patient is conscious during that proces it is horror...

Maybe I write part two later on-technical problems...(Do these pieces get to long for this site to handle ?)

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ViQueen24 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2021 at 10:53pm

I hear you, Josh.  I think if anyone can negotiate the very intricate way through the Russia dilemma, it's Biden.

I am the DZ Queen, and I approve this message.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 16 2021 at 11:34pm

ViQueen24-I do not share your trust in biden-but I hope I am wrong in that...

part two;

I did write a piece in new variants on the P1, P3 and India variants spreading-ready for wave 4-while wave 3 had not yet peaked...

FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912992-latvia-1-new-outbreak-of-sars-cov-2-in-mink-on-farm-lecava-oie-april-16-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912992-latvia-1-new-outbreak-of-sars-cov-2-in-mink-on-farm-lecava-oie-april-16-2021 ;The disease was found in the framework of monitoring programme – weekly sample of dead mink showed positive result. For the confirmation 10 additional samples (dead mink) were taken and the presence of SARS-CoV-2 virus was confirmed in nine dead minks. the farm with around 64,000 breeding minks (all females) within a certain period of pregnancy. No clinical signs of COVID-19 observed in animals.

DJ So if the minks are infected, have no symptoms (being dead the ultimate symptom...) Covid19 can spread..what are you waiting for ? Does it have to spread in other hosts ? Do we not have already more then enough variants ? https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912981-next-generation-covid-19-vaccines-are-supposed-to-be-better-some-experts-worry-they-could-be-worse[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/912981-next-generation-covid-19-vaccines-are-supposed-to-be-better-some-experts-worry-they-could-be-worse ;In the case of Covid, some scientists are concerned that the immune system’s reaction to the vaccines being deployed now could leave an indelible imprint, and that next-generation products, updated in response to emerging variants of the SARS-CoV-2, won’t confer as much protection.

Michael Worobey, who was been involved in groundbreaking research on imprinting with influenza, said he worries the responses to first-generation Covid-19 vaccines will prove to be “a high-water mark” for people’s immune responses to these inoculations...

DJ-Vaccines are "plan B"-we have to stop spreading the virus !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/912761-india-%E2%80%98a-tsunami-of-cases%E2%80%99-desperation-as-covid-second-wave-batters-india?view=stream ;(latest activity)You can not trust any numbers now. It is probable that China's total case count is underreported, which affects their cfr, and there may be many uncounted COVID-19 deaths from natural causes in India. We will not know for a couple of years.

DJ-The "India variant"has been found over 800 times in India-most do lack of sequencing...For me it is unclear if the UK variant is the main factor-where in India ? In Maharashtra/Mumbai the India variant is dominant ? Does one variant stop the other variant spreading ?

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912899-vitamin-d-deficiency-and-air-pollution-exacerbate-covid-19-through-suppression-of-antiviral-peptide-ll37[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/912899-vitamin-d-deficiency-and-air-pollution-exacerbate-covid-19-through-suppression-of-antiviral-peptide-ll37 ;Conclusion: Vitamin D plays an important role reducing the impact of viral lung disease processes. VDD is an acknowledged public health threat that warrants population-wide action to reduce COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. While vitamin D influences transcription of many immune related genes, the weakened antimicrobial response of those with VDD against SARS-CoV-2 may be in part due to reduced LL37. Action is needed to address COVID-19 associated risks of air pollution from industry, transportation, domestic sources and from primary and second hand tobacco smoke.

DJ-The "old normal" was making us sick...we should not return to the cause of the problem...In fact we also will not be able to do so...!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912955-clin-pediatr-phila-a-case-series-of-sars-cov-2-rt-pcr-positive-hospitalized-infants-60-days-of-age-or-younger-from-2-new-york-city-pediatric-emergency-departments[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/912955-clin-pediatr-phila-a-case-series-of-sars-cov-2-rt-pcr-positive-hospitalized-infants-60-days-of-age-or-younger-from-2-new-york-city-pediatric-emergency-departments ;The emergence of novel coronavirus disease-2019 poses an unprecedented challenge to pediatricians. While the majority of children experience mild disease, initial case reports on young infants are conflicting. We present a case series of 8 hospitalized infants 60 days of age or younger with coronavirus disease-2019. A quarter of these patients had coinfections (viral or bacterial). None of these infants had severe disease. Continued vigilance in testing this vulnerable group of infants is warranted.

DJ-SARS-2 in babies...sad !

-Dr.John Campbell-Friday Update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_jFYrpAkQwA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_jFYrpAkQwA 

DJ-Of course one of the main problems in India is NPI/lockdowns may be very hard to do if you hardly have a roof over your head...In mega cities, full of slumps..

WAR

[url]https://southfront.org/nato-activities-in-ukraine-and-near-its-borders-russian-mfa-briefing/[/url] or https://southfront.org/nato-activities-in-ukraine-and-near-its-borders-russian-mfa-briefing/ ;

By the way, Ukraine is not included in NATO’s zone of responsibility. These provocative actions are fueling military revenge-seeking moods, as NATO builds up its military potential near this restless region.

The double standards of US-led NATO are not something new. They are also manifested in other matters, including counter-terrorism operations, rather than just in the context of Ukraine.

DJ-Russia is putting a red line...

[url]https://southfront.org/russia-begins-construction-of-over-the-horizon-voronezh-radar-station-in-crimea/[/url] or https://southfront.org/russia-begins-construction-of-over-the-horizon-voronezh-radar-station-in-crimea/ 

[url]https://www.dw.com/en/russian-top-diplomat-says-moscow-expects-iran-nuclear-deal-to-be-saved/a-57178188[/url] or https://www.dw.com/en/russian-top-diplomat-says-moscow-expects-iran-nuclear-deal-to-be-saved/a-57178188 

Music; Dune-Who Wants To Live Forever...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHedI5Ky8z0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHedI5Ky8z0 (DJ-I like the Queen version as well-but they both have their own qualities...)

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 18 2021 at 1:35am

DJ,

The basic idea by "our political leaders"was infectious diseases was something from the past-no need to invest in pandemic preparations... Still in a "study" from 2019 the US was supposed #1, UK #2 and NL #3 in being prepared for a pandemic...My impression is most of the "strategy" is based on wishfull thinking; It will go away, summer will save us..now vaccines are supposed to "save us"..."Our leaders" do not understand the problem so they can not come with an answer...

-The numbers for saturday april 17 [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ underline a growing global pandemic crisis. 

India over 260,000 new cases-several days now over 200,000 cases per day-numbers keep going up. Still most India cases will be missed due to lack of testing...Hospitals will run out of capacity soon in many places so the number of deaths (now 1495) will go up...

Brazil keeps hogh numbers bot in cases 65,792 and deaths 2865-also lot of under reporting. Hospitals out of capacity..

US reporting 63,581 new cases and 738 new deaths...In India the UK and Maharashtra/India variant do most of the damage, in Brazil it is the P1 causing a crisis. In the US the UK variant is causing most of the problem but P1 is a growing problem...The Indian variant most likely is also spreading in the US. 

A lot of other countries are in very serious problems-worldwide. Several variants seem to be increasing spreading...The UK,  P1 variant seem to do most of the damage now. The India and P1 variants seem to be spreading. How widespread the P3 variant is is unclear. Testing and sequencing remain a problem.

Given the large numbers of hosts infected new variants must be starting now. The UK variant may be 33% more infectious then the "old variant", the P1 variant is believed to be 49% more infectious..It is very likely another variant could show itself to be even more infectious. For that matter we could learn from corona virus in animals. 

Vaccines are not very usefull when you are IN a crisis. Vaccines do offer improved protection also-most likely-against variants but take two to three weeks before they do offer that protection. NPI-stop spreading the virus-try to get the R0 as close to 0 in as many places as possible is the way out...

Global cooperation is needed to get the right vaccines-in large enough numbers-to the right places, populations. If vaccines are NOT used wisely variants may develop vaccine escape. 

-FluTrackers;

[url] https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/further-communications/913004-reports-of-censorship-during-pandemic[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/further-communications/913004-reports-of-censorship-during-pandemic DJ-If you can not control a crisis then control the news on that crisis. With embedded "media" it is not that hard...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/913132-uk-billionaires-see-personal-wealth-grow-by-%C2%A325bn-during-pandemic-lockdown[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/economics-at-flutrackers/economics-in-the-pandemic/913132-uk-billionaires-see-personal-wealth-grow-by-%C2%A325bn-during-pandemic-lockdown ;As one study showed that unemployment could be on track to exceed 4m -a higher rate than at any point since the wake of the Great Depression in 1938 - new analysis shows 45 of the richest in the UK have seen their Covid-19 pandemic wealth snowballing by 20%...

DJ Inequality was already a very major global problem before this pandemic. This pandemic-"never waste a good crisis" further increased the imballance. 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913096-microbiol-resour-announc-genome-sequences-of-five-sars-cov-2-variants-from-mumbai-india-obtained-by-nanopore-sequencing[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913096-microbiol-resour-announc-genome-sequences-of-five-sars-cov-2-variants-from-mumbai-india-obtained-by-nanopore-sequencingGenomic variant analysis determined 8 to 22 mutations, and the variants belong to lineages previously associated with Indian variants.

and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913095-microbiol-resour-announc-genome-sequences-of-three-sars-cov-2-orf7a-deletion-variants-obtained-from-patients-in-hong-kong[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/913095-microbiol-resour-announc-genome-sequences-of-three-sars-cov-2-orf7a-deletion-variants-obtained-from-patients-in-hong-kong ;We report the genome sequences of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) strains from the clinical samples of three coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients in Hong Kong. All the genome sequences showed a 370-nucleotide deletion resulting in the complete loss of ORF7a.

DJ-It is very likely different forms of different variants may be spreading. The P1 variant was reported to still show mutations-making it more infectious. Virusses react on vaccinations. Host that did get vaccinated may stop spreading most variants-but the variants that "break through" vaccination could go on spreading also in vaccinated hosts (human or other..). 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913067-j-hepatol-autoimmune-hepatitis-developing-after-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19-vaccine-causality-or-casualty[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913067-j-hepatol-autoimmune-hepatitis-developing-after-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19-vaccine-causality-or-casualty DJ-Statistics is part of testing on vaccine safety. If there would show up-in statistics-an increase of (a specific form of) hepatitas-further study has to find if there is a link to a (specific) vaccine, group of population etc...

-Dr. John Campbell update [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dr7AO2NvalI[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dr7AO2NvalI -lots of info/links under his video. 

DJ-As should be expected US is seeing "thousends" of people that did get vaccinated still getting Covid 19. With at best 95% protection against the "old variant" (and incubation period maybe sometimes several weeks-people may get infected-then vaccinated-and get symptoms two weeks after vaccination...Since most of the spread is a/pre symptomatic the incubation period has a high margin of error. Certainly with many variants the spread for incubation will increase..

Also Dr.J.C. mentions the "double mutation" India variant...In january the spread was very low-in april in Maharashtra 60% of the cases were the India-variant. 

WAR

A few links; 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/bidens-russia-china-tactic-wage-war-and-ask-for-cooperation-will-fail.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/bidens-russia-china-tactic-wage-war-and-ask-for-cooperation-will-fail.html 

[url]https://thesaker.is/so-who-wants-a-hot-war/[/url] or https://thesaker.is/so-who-wants-a-hot-war/ 

[url]https://thesaker.is/iran-russia-set-to-sign-comprehensive-strategic-agreement-al-mayadeen-tv-report/[/url] or https://thesaker.is/iran-russia-set-to-sign-comprehensive-strategic-agreement-al-mayadeen-tv-report/ 

DJ-My impression is the US/UK want to create a "major crisis" to stop EurAsian integration. Some problems;

1-NATO now split in three groups; A The US/UK, Baltic States, Poland and a few others going for a hard confrontation with Russia. B Germany, France and several others still talking with Russia, China-from NordStream (1+2) to Sputnik-V vaccines, Iran-deal, EU-China trade, Russian energy...C Turkey going for "its own/Erdogans goal" still a NATO member...

The US-followed by most of Europe-with some reservations-so far-did pick guido as president for Venezuela, Navalny for Russia, bolsonaro for Brazil etc...and call that "democracy"...The basic US idea is that if you can not do trade with the US "you" are isolated...so from Venezuela, Bolivia, Yemen, Syria, Iran, Russia, Belarus, China, North Korea, etc. etc. etc. are "isolated because they can not do trade with the US"...This is a form of US insanity...

2-Russia-Iran-China are more and more coordinating their plans, economy etc. The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) EurAsian Economic Union etc are tools for international cooperation. In fact most of the global population live now in a memberstate of the SCO...The G7-representing "the west" is more and more getting marginalized...

3-[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-readying-gold-backed-yuan[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-readying-gold-backed-yuan Western currencies are fiat based, Russia, China have gold, oil etc as a backing for their currencies. They are working on a new global payment ystem-excluding the US. Dumping the US$-most likely not only for energy trade but for ALL trade...

Will there be a war ? My impression is not. The US/UK goal is to create a crisis to stop EurAsian integration...but Northstream-2 is almost finished, rail-links between China and Europe (Duisburg in Germany, Tilburg in NL a.o.) are already in operation. For the EU trade with China, Russia is to important to stop...If the alternative is "forced to buy" expensive US/Canada energy and goods it is clear most of the EU does not want that...

The US and UK (with a few others) will increase tensions-maybe try to provoke Russian or Chinese reactions (and call that "agression-like I point a gun at your head=normal, you hit me when I point that gun=agression...). They do not have ANY chance of winning a war..

A US/UK made crisis will further break up NATO-already in many ways a divided organization...It will further destroy EU with US/UK relations...Turkey is another issue. Erdogan NEEDS Russia for his survival-has to stay within (Russian) limits...or face the consequences. 

The outcome of US/UK stupidity is RIC (Russia-Iran-China) getting stronger, increased de-dollarization of global trade, the EU more going its own way to find a balance between the US/UK, Russia/China, Middle East...

Music; Edwin Starr- WAR-(What is it good for)...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztZI2aLQ9Sw[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztZI2aLQ9Sw  (Lyrics in and under the video !)


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 18 2021 at 9:58pm

DJ

In scenario's my "news & views" on this pandemic etc. I am NOT neutral or objective-I think nobody is...

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#main_table India over 275,000 new cases...the numbers keep going up...If 10% of them would need ICU those 10% have little chance...The total global number for sunday-april 18-was just over 700,000. On sunday often less weekend numbers or reported...But the India-number pushes up to total number...

Turkey, US, Brazil, France make the top 5. In the coming week I do expect daily new cases could go over 1 million, deaths may go over 20,000 per day. 

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913164-brazil-media-rpt-of-amib-survey-in-march-only-7-of-patients-with-covid-in-icus-were-over-80-years-old-april-17-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913164-brazil-media-rpt-of-amib-survey-in-march-only-7-of-patients-with-covid-in-icus-were-over-80-years-old-april-17-2021

According to three experts heard by G1 , in the current scenario of the pandemic in Brazil, it is correct to say that we no longer have risk groups for the disease, but risky behavior.

"In terms of illness, there is no longer a risk group. Today we see a greater number of people under 60, 50 years old, being hospitalized. This happens a lot because of the greater exposure, either for work, or in meetings. ", explains Raquel Stucchi, an infectologist at Unicamp and a consultant to the Brazilian Society of Infectious Diseases (SBI).

DJ Most of the Brazil cases very likely linked to the P1 variant-that variant is spreading around the globe. Very likely the India and P3 variant also may be less selective for age...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913123-bmj-letter-the-covid-19-elimination-debate-needs-correct-data-2020[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/913123-bmj-letter-the-covid-19-elimination-debate-needs-correct-data-2020 ;Accurate assessment of the chance of death following exposure to covid-19 is important, since this statistic has been used by governments to direct lockdowns in an effort to mitigate these deaths. In correspondence to the BMJ, professors Baker and Wilson, both proponents of New Zealand’s lockdown, have criticised our assertion that the infection fatality proportion (IFP) of covid-19 is similar to seasonal influenza.[1] They claim that the IFP for influenza is 0.039%, about six times lower than the IFP for covid-19 we cited, a corrected median value of 0.23%.

DJ-There is a lot of asymptomatic spread. Over 2020 maybe some calculations can be made-but that may not be of much use in 2021 with variants pushing Infection Fatality Proportion up. Also with the present numbers most people that die die because of hospitals running out of capacity...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/other-aa/913155-us-west-prepares-for-possible-1st-water-shortage-declaration[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/other-aa/913155-us-west-prepares-for-possible-1st-water-shortage-declarationThe man-made lakes that store water supplying millions of people in the U.S. West and Mexico are projected to shrink to historic lows in the coming months, dropping to levels that could trigger the federal government's first-ever official shortage declaration and prompt cuts in Arizona and Nevada.

DJ-Three major issues are a major risk for mankind; war, pandemics, climate collapse

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913148-india-capital-new-delhi-delhi-hospital-almost-out-of-oxygen-police-rush-with-20-cylinders-april-18-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913148-india-capital-new-delhi-delhi-hospital-almost-out-of-oxygen-police-rush-with-20-cylinders-april-18-2021 ;The hospital, which had oxygen to last just one hour, sought help from the police, following which it was supplied with 20 cylinders on Sunday afternoon.

DJ What we did see in Brazil (a.o.) now also showing up in India...See also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913029-india-covid-19-in-uttar-pradesh-in-lucknow-a-desperate-search-for-a-hospital-bed-april-17-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913029-india-covid-19-in-uttar-pradesh-in-lucknow-a-desperate-search-for-a-hospital-bed-april-17-2021?view=stream ;

DJ "Explosive spread"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913144-india-railways-to-run-%E2%80%98oxygen-express%E2%80%99-to-meet-high-demand-amid-surge-in-covid-19-cases-april-18-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/india/india-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/913144-india-railways-to-run-%E2%80%98oxygen-express%E2%80%99-to-meet-high-demand-amid-surge-in-covid-19-cases-april-18-2021 ;In order to meet the oxygen demand across the country, the Railways will run ‘Oxygen Express’ to transport liquid medical oxygen and oxygen cylinders to different places, the national transporter said Sunday. Empty tankers will start their journey from Kalamboli and Boisar railway stations in and near Mumbai on Monday to load liquid medical oxygen at Vizag, Jamshedpur, Rourkela and Bokaro, officials said.

-

The Union Health Ministry Sunday said that the daily positivity rate of Covid-19 in India has doubled from 8 per cent to 16.69 per cent in last 12 days.

DJ-Exponential growth

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/rift-valley-fever/911701-madagascar-outbreaks-of-rift-valley-fever-in-animals-oie-april-2-2021[/url] orhttps://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/rift-valley-fever/911701-madagascar-outbreaks-of-rift-valley-fever-in-animals-oie-april-2-2021 ;The first outbreak of the disease Rift Valley dates back to Madagascar in 1979. Being a cyclical viral disease, RVF was subsequently struck the Big Island on three occasions: 1990-1991, 2007-2008 and 2008-2009.

Currently, this disease which strikes cattle and small ruminants and can be transmitted to humans, seems to be making a comeback. [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rift_Valley_fever[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rift_Valley_feverRift Valley fever (RVF) is a viral disease of humans and livestock that can cause mild to severe symptoms. The mild symptoms may include: fevermuscle pains, and headaches which often last for up to a week. The severe symptoms may include: loss of sight beginning three weeks after the infection, infections of the brain causing severe headaches and confusion, and bleeding together with liver problems which may occur within the first few days. Those who have bleeding have a chance of death as high as 50%.

Madagascar is an island so that may limit further spread.

DJ-Hal Turner denies this pandemic. [url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/study-published-at-nih-gov-face-masks-worthless-no-covid-protection[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/study-published-at-nih-gov-face-masks-worthless-no-covid-protection ; According to the current knowledge, the virus SARS-CoV-2 has a diameter of 60 nm to 140 nm [nanometers (billionth of a meter)] [16], [17], while medical and non-medical facemasks’ thread diameter ranges from 55 µm to 440 µm [micrometers (one millionth of a meter), which is more than 1000 times larger [25]. Due to the difference in sizes between SARS-CoV-2 diameter and facemasks thread diameter (the virus is 1000 times smaller), SARS-CoV-2 can easily pass through any facemask

DJ-HT is referring to a Stanford study. I do not know what to think of it...I will keep using my mask...I think the mask is part of a "defense strategy". The mask itself certainly not 100%-but with social distancing, avoiding crowds, ventilation it may help...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5FpMpYJ2AAU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5FpMpYJ2AAU Sunday update. Some points from under his video (see also new variants/latest news-P1, P3, India variant spreading in younger age groups-in part due to older age being vaccinated):

90,000 pregnant women have been vaccinated, mainly with mRNA vaccines including Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna, without any safety concerns being raised.

0.58% of Brazil's 345,287 Covid deaths to date have been of 0-9 year olds More than 2,000 children

DJ-Also discussing Chile-high degree of vaccination (most Chinese) still also many cases (most P1)

DJ-My impression is that variants make this pandemic a lot worse. Again-it would be nice if the number of deaths on june 1 would be under 5 million tested/reported. (The real number of deaths worldwide due to this pandemic may already be over 5 million now...)

WAR

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/after-assassination-disrupted-belarus-to-merge-with-russia-doubles-border-area-with-nato-exposes-all-of-ukraine-to-invasion[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/after-assassination-disrupted-belarus-to-merge-with-russia-doubles-border-area-with-nato-exposes-all-of-ukraine-to-invasion HT writes Ukraine is the excuse, not the reason...When you look at a map you will see how close Ukraine eastern border is to Moscow. Pulling Ukraine, Georgia-former Soviet states into NATO is unwise. It pictures NATO as agressors moving east breaking promisses made with the German reunification in 1989-NATO would NOT move east...

Zero Hedge had some good articles as well;

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukrainian-envoy-nato-or-nuclear-weapons[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukrainian-envoy-nato-or-nuclear-weapons 

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/unclear-if-over-18000-contractors-will-ever-leave-afghanistan-pentagon[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/unclear-if-over-18000-contractors-will-ever-leave-afghanistan-pentagon 

DJ-Again the US/UK goal is to stop EurAsian integration-they need a crisis. Most likely Russia/Putin will NOT give them that crisis...Since Russia is far from isolated increased NATO pressure east (after NApoleon, NAzi's now NAto is repeating history-this time to liberate Russian energy via the US $...) may be answered by increasing pressure in the South China Sea, Middle East...(a-symetrical is what that is called I believe...but Electronic/Cyber warfare may also be used..)

Russia-Iran-China are defending their borders-it is the US that is seeking to cross those borders far away from the US...that does not put the US in a strong position

Music ; Angel of the morning - Merilee Rush 1968 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24rYz9QAvdQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24rYz9QAvdQ 



We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: April 19 2021 at 9:09pm

DJ,

“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.” â€• Albert Einstein

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ as always on monday reflect less testing/reporting on sunday. Allthough that is a known fact some idiotic governments use lower numbers on monday to "push for reopenings" to "save the economy"....Here in NL "our" "government" did see "hopefull signs" when reported number of cases went down during good friday/easter....

If a group of people keep repeating the same mistakes over and over maybe it is a job for a psychiatrist..."repeating mistakes" may be renamed "recurring patterns"...to create a working base...

I find it hard to accept "can't fix stupid" because "stupid will kill us all"...

I would love to believe India, Brazil, Turkey did peak-numbers will go down...but it is not realistic...

-FluTrackers;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913223-covid-19-neuropathology-at-columbia-university-irving-medical-center-new-york-presbyterian-hospital%C2%A0[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/pathological-findings/913223-covid-19-neuropathology-at-columbia-university-irving-medical-center-new-york-presbyterian-hospital%C2%A0Our findings indicate that the levels of detectable virus in COVID-19 brains are very low and do not correlate with the histopathological alterations.

These findings suggest that microglial activation, microglial nodules and neuronophagia, observed in the majority of brains, do not result from direct viral infection of brain parenchyma, but rather likely from systemic inflammation, perhaps with synergistic contribution from hypoxia/ischemia. Further studies are needed to define whether these pathologies, if present in patients who survive COVID-19, might contribute to chronic neurological problems.

DJ-So SARS-2/Covid19 itself does not cause inflamation in the brain-damage there is indirect-result of disease elsewhere in the body. Could be part of the long Covid story.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913220-cidrap-global-covid-pace-hits-new-high-as-deaths-top-3-million[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913220-cidrap-global-covid-pace-hits-new-high-as-deaths-top-3-million ; With 5.2 million COVID-19 cases reported last week, the world set a new weekly high, with activity rising for the eighth week in a row, the head of the World Health Organization (WHO) said today.
Much of the rise came from a worsening surge in India, the world's second most populous country.

-

At a WHO briefing today, Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, said deaths rose for a fifth straight week and passed 3 million. "Big numbers can make us numb. But each one of these deaths is a tragedy for families, communities, and nations," he said.
Another trend is that illnesses and hospitalizations in people ages 25 to 59 are rising, possibly from more transmissible variants and increased social mixing, Tedros said.

-

Greta Thunberg, a Swedish teen known for her climate and environmental activism today announced that the Greta Thunberg Foundation will donate $120,000 to the WHO Foundation to support the purchase of vaccines for COVAX, the WHO-led program to ensure vaccine equity.
At the WHO's briefing today, the 18-year-old Thunberg said that, similar to climate change, vaccine inequity is a global problem and requires a global solution.
When asked if teens in developed countries should pass up vaccination to make a statement about vaccine equity, she urged them to accept immunization when offered and noted that her message about vaccine equity is mainly targeted to national leaders who have the tools and means to support more equitable rollout across the world.

-

India's latest COVID-19 surge continues to worsen, and yesterday the country reported more than 273,000 cases, with officials announcing a 6-day lockdown for New Delhi, the capital, according to Reuters. The city of more than 20 million people now has fewer than 100 intensive care unit beds available.
President Narendra Modi is facing criticism from the public over allowing crowds to gather at political rallies and for allowing a large Hindu religious gathering to take place, with the sharp spike in cases leading to overwhelmed health systems and oxygen shortages.

-

In neighboring Pakistan, hospitalizations are surging, triggering oxygen shortages,

DJ-Countries with large populations create a different picture then just reporting on some western countries. Pakistan may be getting close to crisis level as well...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913217-cidrap-covid-19-scan-covid-19-spread-in-schools-covid-vaccine-blood-cancers[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/913217-cidrap-covid-19-scan-covid-19-spread-in-schools-covid-vaccine-blood-cancersA study in an Atlanta school district revealed that the highest secondary COVID-19 attack rates were in indoor, high-contact sports settings (23.8%), staff meetings or lunches (18.2%), and elementary school classrooms (9.5%), and that staff were more susceptible to COVID-19 than students were.

DJ-New variants show more infections in younger age groups. In part due older age groups in many countries being vaccinated (and less social active). In part proberbly also because higher viral loads-from these variants-mean more disease. Half steps, bad policies, keep worsening this pandemic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913210-us-asian-small-clawed-otters-at-georgia-aquarium-test-positive-for-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/913210-us-asian-small-clawed-otters-at-georgia-aquarium-test-positive-for-sars-cov-2The Asian small-clawed otters at Georgia Aquarium have tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. They began exhibiting mild respiratory symptoms including sneezing, runny noses, mild lethargy, and coughing. While the Asian small-clawed otters are geriatric, they are already improving and expected to make a full recovery. They are off exhibit and being cared for behind-the-scenes by the Aquarium’s expert animal health and animal care teams.

DJ-There are many ways Covid19 can get new variants. Infection in non-human hosts is one of them..In animals there are different (corona) virusses then in humans. Recombination/mutations there may cause further spread of SARS-2/Covid19 in animals-jumping back to humans...Most infections in animals could be a/mild symptomatic-spread undetected...(and is very likely already happening...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/913196-sci-rep-highlighting-the-compound-risk-of-covid-19-and-environmental-pollutants-using-geospatial-technology[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/913196-sci-rep-highlighting-the-compound-risk-of-covid-19-and-environmental-pollutants-using-geospatial-technology ;Due to the pandemic, most countries affected have therefore imposed periods of full or partial lockdowns to restrict community transmission. This has had the welcome but unexpected side effect that existing levels of atmospheric pollutants, particularly in cities, have temporarily declined. As found by several authors, air quality can inherently exacerbate the risks linked to respiratory diseases, including COVID-19. In this study, we explore patterns of air pollution for ten of the most affected countries in the world, in the context of the 2020 development of the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that the concentrations of some of the principal atmospheric pollutants were temporarily reduced during the extensive lockdowns in the spring. Secondly, we show that the seasonality of the atmospheric pollutants is not significantly affected by these temporary changes, indicating that observed variations in COVID-19 conditions are likely to be linked to air quality. On this background, we confirm that air pollution may be a good predictor for the local and national severity of COVID-19 infections.

DJ-There is a link between climate collapse and increase of pandemics. Also-as in this study-bad air quality=more severe disease from Covid19...

Yesterday I also had a link to Hal Turner-presenting a Stanford University study on masks. There the claim was holes in the masks were that large virus parts that small the virus would simply ignore the mask...DJ-I have been thinking about that. I have to admit I did not read all of the study...(If a day had 48 hours I may be able to read a bit more...) Humidity is a factor. Maybe that Stanford study was looking at dry virus parts-while in practice virus parts are included in larger droplets...

Masks do seem to offer protection in hospital settings. Otherwise the number of HCW-ers in ICU/hospital dealing with Covid patients must be much higher...Also masks are part of a chain-social distancing, ventilation, washing hands/surfaces...all are part of a strategy to decrease virus spread. Masks in itself may be not 100% -but in a larger plan did show (statistics) to offer (at least) some protection...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gGhTWrpQlo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gGhTWrpQlo Monday update.

DJ-Info under his video; UK-PM "BoJo" not going to India. Around 80 cases of India variant now in the UK. Air travel to India not stopped because the "India variant is a variant under investigation VUI not a variant of concern".....

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lineage_B.1.617

The B.1.617 genome has at least 15 mutations with two specific mutations in the spike protein which define it:[5]

  • E484Q
  • L425R

The two mutations taken separately are not unique to this variant, but the occurrence of both of them in the same variant is unique to the genomes identified in India.[3]

There is also a third significant defining mutation:

  • P614R

DJ-The India variant did get its own page..in some reports it is claimed this variant is already found in 20 countries. The statistics on the wikipedia just mentions India 162 case, UK 103 cases, US 6 cases-but is major under reporting. Israel did report some cases a few days ago. It is very likely other countries (western Europe, Pakistan, Sri Lanka) may also have cases...

Dr.J.C. also mentions increase of US cases-DJ Vaccinations may offer protection. But most countries are far away from herd immunity. I do expect that the only way to keep this pandemic under control is keeping the virus out ! The UK may still see another outbreak...Israel has to keep its borders closed, just like New Zealand, Australia, China...

DJ-The general trend is that this pandemic is getting worse due to P1 and the India-variant spreading. Unclear how widespread the P3 variant is (started in the Phillippines...very likely to spread to Indonesia, Vietnam...region). The UK variant may slow down the SA variant...

WAR seems to be still top priority...

But [url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/19/abn-amro-settles-dutch-money-laundering-case-eu480-million[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/04/19/abn-amro-settles-dutch-money-laundering-case-eu480-million money laundering is also high on the list. Earlier ING-bank from NL had to pay 775 million € fine-basicly for being a "criminal bank". NL is a tax haven...companies pay billions of $/€ tax in NL to evade tens/hundreds of millions tax in other countries...White collar crime is rulling/ruining this country...

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/meeting-to-arrange-a-summit-fails[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/meeting-to-arrange-a-summit-fails ; DJ France and Germany could not start talks between Russia and Ukraine...

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/why-the-anti-russian-policies-are-likey-to-stay.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/04/why-the-anti-russian-policies-are-likey-to-stay.html 

DJ-What point is there for Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, Venezuela etc. to have talks with the US ? If the US is only able to show arrogance, stupidity and insults...It would be nice if those countries could avoid western agression...

[url]https://southfront.org/ukraine-american-bomb-in-europe/[/url] or https://southfront.org/ukraine-american-bomb-in-europe/ 

After NApoleon, NAzi's now NAto "needs" to go east. There is discussion on including Ukraine, Georgia into NATO. But als-in fact-Israel and Gulf States are in many ways included in the military structure of NATO...The US is sponsoring IS to fight Russia, China...EurAsian integration...Afghanistan is seeing a NATO-exit replaced by PMC's western paid mercenaries...(and one can discuss if that is better or the taliban fundamentalists...I think peace is at least better then war...Under soviet influence women could study in Afghanistan. Islam extremism was introduced to create a Vietnam for the Soviet Union-causing the 1979-89 Soviet intervention...Both Russia and the UK (from India) tried to get a grip on Afghanistan in the 19th century-and found out it was "very hard"...)

The way I see it "wisdom has to come from the east"...but there may be limits. I hope that when the US (re)starts yet another war (after Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Yemen etc.) that war will remain limited...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wia7H6EBWkM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wia7H6EBWkM Alexander Mercouris putting things in perspective. DJ-One has to include China in the Ukraine story..

Music; Moon River, Audrey Hepburn [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2g4mPCbkhJE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2g4mPCbkhJE DJ-Audrey Hepburn spent her youth in Arnhem during the war...




We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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