Sydney politicians,have always lambasted our Premier( who has 99%approval rating here)

They are  very lax,quite  dumb if you ask me ,

thinking they can take a measured approach to imposing a lockdown,

The virus doesn't go round infecting everyone in a "measured way"......

Feckwits.....

Take care all 😷😉

DJ,

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table global cases weekly in % +5% deaths still -5% but on its way up...

UK cases going up +68%, deaths going up +65% (cases last week 68,449-this week 114,968-deaths last week 74, this week 122 so still very limited-but in % now following the cases...)

US cases going up +5%, deaths -8%

Israel cases up +302% (!) last week 300 cases-this week 1,206 Deaths also going up 200% but in real numbers 0 deaths last week 2 this week...

My impression is vaccines limit-so far-number of deaths...But most of the world is NOT fully vaccinated...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ;

UK monday reporting 22,868 new cases, only 3 deaths (so that number is limited !).

US had 10,754 new cases-with 137 deaths

Israel 308 new cases 1 death

Weekly trends Europe cases +22%, deaths +5%, North America cases +8%, deaths +7%, Asia cases +3%, deaths -7%, South America cases -2%, deaths -12%, Africa cases +27%, deaths +29%, Oceania (Fiji, Australia etc.) cases +51%, deaths -9%...

In the worldometer statistics global deaths still under the 4 million...real number must be over 10 million..In recent history only the Spanish Flu pandemic was worse...but we may be on the way to pass that pandemic. Then global deaths was 2 to 5% of the population worldwide-with large regional differences. In official statistics Peru did see 0,5% of its population die in this pandemic.  Brazil 0,25-India sticks to the claim of 0,03%...

If 0,5% would be a realistic number of pandemic deaths on a global population of 7,8 billion that would bring it close to 40 million...If vaccines would provide 80% safety and we would manage to get 80% vaccinated then close to 400 million people still could face infection...

Australia yesterday reported 30 new cases, the day before-sunday-43...but weekend numbers ...trends +84% may say more..

Flutrackers latest posts;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24 DJ Cases do go up-but hospital cases and deaths are (still) limited...Given the UK has been in the Delta-crisis for several weeks without vaccines those numbers would have gone up much more...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918257-peru-callao-reports-1-416-cases-of-lambda-covid-19-variant-c37[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918257-peru-callao-reports-1-416-cases-of-lambda-covid-19-variant-c37 ; To date, the National Health Institute (INS) has performed genomic sequencing on 2,010 samples from patients diagnosed with COVID-19, which were collected through RT-PCR testing from January to June this year and analyzed in the genomic surveillance platform set up at the biomedicine laboratory, the Ministry of Health (Minsa) reported on Sunday.

The tests come from 24 regions across Peru, including the Constitutional Province of Callao, where the predominance of the Lambda variant (C37) has been observed in 1,416 (70.9%) of the tested cases.

DJ-With limited numbers/sequencing one would expect more Delta variant cases...NOT GOOD ! [url]https://www.news-medical.net/news/20210627/Lambda-lineage-of-SARS-CoV-2-has-potential-to-become-variant-of-concern.aspx[/url] or https://www.news-medical.net/news/20210627/Lambda-lineage-of-SARS-CoV-2-has-potential-to-become-variant-of-concern.aspx ; Researchers have described the first reported infection with the C.37 (Lambda) lineage of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Southern Brazil.

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The C.37 variant, which lies within the B.1.1.1 lineage, has already been reported as highly prevalent in Peru and has also been identified in many countries across the Americas, Europe and Oceania, says Priscila Wink from the Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre in Rio Grande do Sul and colleagues.

However, C.37 has only been reported occasionally in Brazil despite its global spread, adds the team.

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Sequencing of the resulting genomic libraries revealed that the C.37 variant is defined by a deletion (Δ3675- 3677) in open reading frame 1a (ORF1a) of SARS-CoV-2. The ORF1a gene codes for a protein that undergoes proteolytic cleavage before it goes on to make nonstructural viral proteins.

The deletion has also been identified in the Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant that emerged in the UK, the Beta (B.1.351) variant that emerged in South African, and the Gamma (P.1) variant that emerged in Brazil.

The Lambda variant also contained a novel deletion (Δ246-252) and multiple nonsynonymous mutations (G75V, T76I, L452Q, F490S, D614G, and T859N) in the gene that encodes the viral spike protein. The spike is the main surface structure the virus uses to bind to and infect host cells.

The mutations L452Q and F490S are present in the spike receptor-binding domain (RBD), which mediates the initial stage of infection by binding to the host cell receptor angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2).

The F490S mutation has previously been associated with reduced susceptibility to antibody neutralization, says Wink and colleagues.

The researchers say that in addition to these eight C.37-defining mutations, 19 mutations were also present that have already been described in other members of the lineage.

DJ-The Delta variant was supposed to "push aside" ALL other variants..if the Lambda variant keeps increasing it may be even "stronger" then the Delta variant...(see also new variants/latest news)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918249-cidrap-covid-19-outbreaks-expand-in-australia[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918249-cidrap-covid-19-outbreaks-expand-in-australia ; In quickly evolving developments over the weekend, COVID-19 cases were detected in more Australian states, with capitals of three of the country's six states now in lockdown to curb the spread.
Elsewhere, parts of Southeast Asia continue to battle fresh surges, with Indonesia reporting a new single-day high.

DJ-My impression; We do not have any idea of what variants are spreading where...sequencing is that limited we-at best-have some basic idea. Certainly in the-many-regions we keep poor testing itself is a problem. It is very likely other variants are also increasing...

DJ-If Covid19 has NOT yet jumped into other species, mice, rats, cats, dogs-eating infected bodies-it may be hard for Covid19 to jump into non-human hosts...It is "good news" that Covid19 still seems to be mainly a "human disease" if the virus spread further "human hosts" matter less for viral reproduction-it may become even deadlier...

Given how widespread the infections are-and the total stupidity of how we not deal with this pandemic-this pandemic may last for years...Yes vaccines are saving lives-but we have to Stop The Spread ! if we want to avoid new variants that evade & escape vaccine immunity !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream ; latest; We are early in this disease. Despite many studies saying one thing, or the other, the fact is we just don't know everything.

Be prudent. Do NOT depend on a vaccine or any drug to "save you". Get your control back. Even if you are fully vaccinated like I am, be careful what situations you put yourself into.

Today there is a study that the RNA vaccines may give long term protection....ok....show me the real life data around virus shedding people.....

Masks are being pushed...ok...they help....but the most common ones let air inside...so they are only sorta effective by themselves.....

There are some drugs....but again, do you really want to count on this?

So, in the end, use your common sense....assess your risk factors....pick what venues to attend...take a mask if you are uneasy....

COVID-19 is airborne. You know what to do.

Only you can protect you.

DJ-I can only agree with that view...think for yourself-you know by now how good/bad experts/politics are...(with all respect they often do the best they can...but this corona-pandemic is also testing their know-how...)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-617-series-including-1-617-2-delta-1-617-1-kappa-and-ay-1-mutation?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-617-series-including-1-617-2-delta-1-617-1-kappa-and-ay-1-mutation?view=stream last activity; 

"Delta" mutant strains are changing faster and faster. Will it cause a new wave of epidemics to appear on a large scale?
Zhang Wenhong: If such a large-scale epidemic occurs, it is possible that the type of the virus has completely changed, it is not a new coronavirus, and the original vaccine is completely ineffective. But at present, the new crown "Delta" mutant strain is not a virus type change, but has its own unique characteristics during the transmission process, so it is still under control.

DJ-Translation from Manderin/Chinese is not perfect...but the Delta variant in itself is a major problem for China-Do I notice fear for an even stronger "new" variant ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/918235-dominican-republic-pig-farmers-report-strange-disease-killing-their-animals[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/animal-diseases-of-concern-excludes-h5n1/918235-dominican-republic-pig-farmers-report-strange-disease-killing-their-animals ; The cause of the disease, which causes coagulation in the animals’ blood and “turns their intestines black,” was unknown to the farmers, who have been looking for ways to cure their animals. Still, no medicine can overcome the disease that ends up killing them.

DJ I am far from an expert-only can write my thinking...a coinfection of Covid19 and fungul infections ? I think there may be a link to the earlier African Swine Fever (ASF) outbreak in 2019-a.o. in China and SARS-2/Covid19...did ASF infected pigs see also co-infections with a corona-virus from bats ? Did that corona-virus spread to humans and become Covid 19 ? Again-I am NOT an expert...just trying to put events in a time-line...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/918233-ssi-study-denmark-s-cluster-5-mink-variant-had-increased-antibody-resistance[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/918233-ssi-study-denmark-s-cluster-5-mink-variant-had-increased-antibody-resistance ; 

While this mink crisis was averted (or, at least traded for a different crisis), SARS-CoV-2 continues to spread through farmed mink - and presumably other animal populations - around the world (see March 2021 CDC: Investigating Possible Mink-To-Human Transmission Of SARS-CoV-2 In The United States), and additional `zoonotic variants' are likely to emerge.

`Cluster 5' is no longer circulating in humans, but understanding how it evolved - and any increased threat to humans - will be critical in detecting, and containing, any future zoonotic evolution of COVID-19.

-

The new study concludes that the combination of the nail mutations in the cluster-5 virus led to a certain significantly increased degree of antibody resistance in some people after covid-19 infection.

-

Mink aren't the only possible non-human reservoir for SARS-CoV-2, and while farmed animals pose the highest risk - due mostly to high livestock densities and greater opportunities for human contact - it is also possible that the virus could establish itself in the wild (see EID Journal: SARS-CoV-2 Exposure in Escaped Mink, Utah, USA).

Companion animals, primarily dogs and cats, are also also susceptible to infection. The CDC maintains a website on what we currently know about SARS-CoV-2 in non-human hosts.

DJ-There are several risks if Covid19 gets widespread in non-human hosts; from an increase of mutations/variants to "humans becoming non-essential hosts" for viral reproduction-potentialy making Covid19 much more deadly...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/916069-china-confirmed-community-spread-of-1-617-variant-possible-delta-guangzhou-shenzhen-airport-worker-dongguan-city-guangdong-province-may-23-2021?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/916069-china-confirmed-community-spread-of-1-617-variant-possible-delta-guangzhou-shenzhen-airport-worker-dongguan-city-guangdong-province-may-23-2021?view=stream latest activity; "The way the virus spreads is magical." If children in close contact are not infected, outsiders will be infected. What is the reason? The on-site team members are also very puzzled. "The recent local outbreaks of Delta mutant strains that occurred in Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Dongguan are the first head-to-head confrontation with Delta mutant strains. At present, we are still unclear on many aspects of Delta mutant strains, and we cannot judge why this is the case." Zhang Zewu, leader of the on-site prevention and control working group, said. Sleep tightly, and set off at any time. Academician Zhong Nanshan pointed out, “The Delta strain has a high load, and the exhaled gas is very toxic and highly infectious. In the same space, the same unit, the same building, and the same building, the disease In the first four days, the people who got along with these patients were all close contacts." This posed a huge challenge to the handling of the epidemic. As of 0:00 on June 24, 4 confirmed cases (including Li's husband Xiao) were initially determined to have close contacts with 2,552 people in Dongguan, and 2,518 people with close contacts once. This is an unprecedented and huge workload. “Last year, when the epidemic was at its worst, it was not so difficult!” said Luo Dong, deputy director of the Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

DJ-Basicly China saying Delta variant is a bigger problem then the early 2020 major Wuhan-crisis...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918231-cambodia-increasing-concern-as-covid-numbers-surge[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918231-cambodia-increasing-concern-as-covid-numbers-surge ; There is increasing concern that the recent surge in COVID case numbers and deaths in Cambodia shows no sign of slowing down.

Cambodia today announced another 883 new COVID cases, continuing the recent rise in daily case figures.

In contrast, 607 recoveries were announced – meaning that the active case total went up again to 5,205, breaking the 5,000 active case barrier for the first time in a week.

DJ-No news on what variants are spreading....

-Dr. John Campbell (short) interviews with DW (Deutsche Welle=German Source) on the Delta-variant...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SCN-XZ87yzs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SCN-XZ87yzs and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SCN-XZ87yzs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SCN-XZ87yzs 

Music-again "Fool if you think it's over" , [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DY8Es9GWE0s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DY8Es9GWE0s Elkie Brooks version february 1982...

DJ,

-[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/06/bloomberg-here-is-how-we-make-the-us-look-great.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/06/bloomberg-here-is-how-we-make-the-us-look-great.html in 2019 the top 3 countries "best prepared for a pandemic" were supposed to be the US, UK and NL...based on not very clear criteria...maybe in part based on spending on healthcare...a lot of that money going to private-for profit-healthcare...Bloomberg now is claiming the country recovering the best from this (still ungoing) pandemic is the US-because they have restarted international air travel....

The total stupidity of this kind of embedded media propaganda may be one of the basic problems-communications are not "just bad"...they are lies, misleading, criminal...

When I look at how Australia is dealing with trying to limit the spread of the Delta variant and how NL is doing with much higher numbers of that Delta variant spreading  it is absurd...But of course-with much higher numbers of the Delta variant-importing over 400 cases per week-mainly from Spain and Portugal-then Australia has "our pandemic is almost over"...while Australia is just getting started...

Yes we have more vaccinations and are supposed to be in summer in NL...but the Delta variant has a R0 of 6+ without restrictions-will cause more severe disease in unvaccinated...

-The numbers...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ just some basics;

Global number of cases 390,000+/deaths 8,500 so we enter july with almost 183 million tested reported positive tests/cases...3,962,430 reported/tested deaths...Both numbers at best an indication...Again real number of deaths may between 0,2 and 0,5% of the global population...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ 7,9 billion....make it 8 billion....so 0,1%=8 million....0,2%=16 million/0,5%=40 million...

UK reporting 26,068 cases on june 30....14 deaths...If all new cases just would have "hay fever like symptoms-if any..." there would not be a problem...

Israel reporting 291 new cases-0 deaths...Both the UK and Israel are supposed to have the highest level of vaccine protection...

Australia reporting 49 cases...The Delta variant is becoming dominant in most of the world. 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table ; Israel +207% in cases-last week 505, this week 1,552. Australia +168% last week 87 this week 233. One could claim numbers are still limited. UK +68% last week 79,371 cases, this week 133,147 new cases-deaths +12 % last week 101 this week 113. 

Again if vaccination and summer would mean cases would have no are just mild symptoms cases going up would be maybe even welcome-increasing "herd immunity"...Problem is most of the world is not moving towards summer...in the tropics they do not have that kind of seasons...Also global vaccinations are far under 10%...

Season effect also means a hurricane could be moving in the Atlantic...[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/  and may reach Florida monday...

Global cases trend +2%, deaths -6%.

With many countries reporting hospital/oxygen crises the Delta (and Lambda) variant(s) are very serious...It is very easy to get infected-just passing an infected person may infect you...

-Flutrackers latest posts;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/oceania/918410-fiji-new-wave-of-infections[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/oceania/918410-fiji-new-wave-of-infections ; 

DJ-In Fiji and other small countries they need foreign help in dealing with major health crisis...Fili has a population of just over 900,000. Trend +71%...last week 1.097 cases, this week 1,878...that makes 0,2% of its population getting infected last week...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/827016-north-korea-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus-n-korean-tests-positive-for-covid-19-in-china-zero-officially-confirmed-cases-emergency-declared-in-kaesong-area[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/827016-north-korea-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus-n-korean-tests-positive-for-covid-19-in-china-zero-officially-confirmed-cases-emergency-declared-in-kaesong-area latest activity ; North Korean leader Kim Jong-un (pictured) urged officials to say that "a serious incident has occurred" in relation to the prevention and control of COVID-19. Analysts say that an unexpected problem occurred in Kaesong in July last year, more than the re-entry of a North Korean defector suspected of being infected with Corona 19.

DJ-I would love to believe there are some save countries/area's...also for any population-whatever the political regime-it would be welcome NOT to have to deal with a pandemic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/global-climate-change/918405-possibly-more-than-400-deaths-linked-to-u-s-canadian-heat-wave-june-30-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/global-climate-change/918405-possibly-more-than-400-deaths-linked-to-u-s-canadian-heat-wave-june-30-2021 ; Hundreds of deaths are being investigated in connection with this week’s record-breaking heat wave that engulfed western Canada and the U.S. Northwest, local officials say. Thousands more sought medical help and the death toll is expected to rise.

Most of the deaths were reported in British Columbia, where the chief coroner reported 486 “sudden and unexpected deaths” between Friday and Wednesday afternoon. This represents an increase of 195% over the 165 deaths that would normally occur during the same period.

... Across the border, more than 1,900 people sought medical attention in connection with the heat wave in Washington and Oregon, according to incomplete data. Authorities reported 83 deaths, including 63 in Oregon and 20 in the state of Washington.

DJ-While the US/Canada has to deal with extreme heat we just had extreme rain in Belgium/NL/Germany...Climate "change"=collapse, "global warming"=global heating...just like the pandemic-we knew the problem but did not act...Some reports claim some of the Canada extreme heat may move into the Canadian Arctic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918399-cidrap-global-covid-cases-rise-a-bit-delta-variant-in-nearly-100-nations[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918399-cidrap-global-covid-cases-rise-a-bit-delta-variant-in-nearly-100-nations ; After falling for 8 weeks in a row, the world's weekly number of COVID cases increased slightly last week, as multiple countries battle surges, including those in Africa, the World Health Organization (WHO) said yesterday in its latest situation report.

As case decline stalls, deaths continue to drop

The case rise was slight, at 2.72%. However, the number of weekly deaths continued to decline and is at its lowest point since November 2020.
In two earlier surges, Africa's cases and deaths remained relatively low compared with other parts of the world. However, the African region is now into its third wave, and both cases and deaths rose sharply last week—cases by 33% and deaths even higher, at 42%. The WHO also noted case rises in the Eastern Mediterranean and European regions.
Globally, of the five countries that reported the most cases last week, three are in the Americas: Brazil, Colombia, and Argentina. The others include India and Russia.

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Over the past week 11 more countries detected their first Delta (B1617.2) variant cases, lifting the total to 96, which the WHO said is an underestimate, since many countries have limited sequencing capacity.

"A number of these countries are attributing surges in infections and hospitalizations to this variant," it said. The WHO said that, when compared with the Alpha (B117) variant, Delta appears to be about 55% more transmissible and is expected to rapidly outcompete other variants and become dominant in the months ahead.

More global headlines

• Bangladesh enters a week-long lockdown tomorrow, which will be enforced by the military and police, according to the Associated Press, which said the country is experiencing a rapid surge in border areas that is expanding more deeply into the country.
• Another Australian state—South Australia—is battling a cluster of COVID-19 cases, which is linked to an outbreak in miners in the country's Northern Territory, according to Australia's ABC News.
• North Korea's leader Kim Jong Un lashed out at government officials for putting the country in a dangerous COVID situation, according to Reuters.
• In South Korea, a spike in cases in Seoul has delayed the easing of distancing measures in the capital area, Reuters reported.
• Indonesia today reported another single-day high for cases, with 21,807 new cases Also, government officials are finalizing measures to curb the country's accelerating outbreak, according to Reuters.
• The global total today reached 181,970,477 cases, along with 3,940,936 deaths, according to the Johns Hopkins online dashboard.

DJ-Again if Delta only had hay fever like symptoms there would not be a problem...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918397-cidrap-covid-19-scan-covid-19-icu-deaths-sars-cov-2-in-wildlife[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918397-cidrap-covid-19-scan-covid-19-icu-deaths-sars-cov-2-in-wildlife ; A new meta-analysis of 58 studies shows obese men are not at increased risk of death from COVID-19 when admitted to intensive care units (ICUs), but those with a history of smoking, diabetes, or kidney disease were at increased risk.
The study, published yesterday in Anaesthesia, contradicts other published findings that have linked male sex and obesity to worse COVID-19 outcomes.

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Inoculation with SARS-CoV-2 resulted in viral shedding in deer mice, bushy-tailed woodrats, and striped skunks but not cottontail rabbits, fox squirrels, Wyoming ground squirrels, black-tailed prairie dogs, house mice, or raccoons, according to an Emerging Infectious Diseases study yesterday.
The researchers chose these animals based on their peridomestic status in the United States. In other words, because these wild animals are often in close contact with humans, they may present future danger if SARS-CoV-2 is able to infect them, evolve, and then cross back to humans.
While protein analyses of amino acid residues of molecules such as the animals' spike protein may suggest potential SARS-CoV-2 infection, the researchers say that specific species susceptibility is difficult to predict, especially in diverse groups such as rodents.

DJ-Just like the Delta variant brings more of some other symptoms, vaccinations in older age groups mean more younger people may show up in hospital-also patterns of gender/age/health of those that die will change over time. 

Spread of Covid19 via non-human hosts can not be taken serious enough...We have to go for 200% to avoid getting Covid19 in "wild animals" if we at least want to keep some illusions on controlling this pandemic ! 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/918391-more-than-80-teens-and-staffers-at-an-illinois-summer-camp-got-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/918391-more-than-80-teens-and-staffers-at-an-illinois-summer-camp-got-covid-19 and [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/918390-nearly-2-000-scots-attended-euro-2020-events-with-covid-health-agency-says[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/ideas-on-how-to-protect-yourself-from-new-coronavirus-2019-ncov/social-distancing-what-does-that-mean/918390-nearly-2-000-scots-attended-euro-2020-events-with-covid-health-agency-says DJ-Do we want to deal with a pandemic or not ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24 ;DJ-Both deaths and hospital cases going up-in limited numbers...Again since most of the serious cases are in the 50y/o+ age group-and most of that age group has been vaccinated-most of the serious cases will be in vaccinated...The total number of hospital cases/deaths though is much lower then during earlier waves...so vaccines may make a difference !

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e3lx6Scwfhg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e3lx6Scwfhg ; We show that intravenous but not intramuscular injection of ChAdOx1 nCov-19 triggers platelet-adenovirus aggregate formation and platelet activation. After intravenous injection, these aggregates are phagocytosed by macrophages in the spleen This is followed by a pronounced B-cell response with the emergence of circulating antibodies binding to platelets. 

DJ-Mistakes during vaccination may cause (most of the) vaccination problems-NOT the vaccine ! 

-Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vH6v9JS26xc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vH6v9JS26xc Paul McCartney & Wings-Another Day....1971.

DJ-Another try to make sense of how rhe world is (NOT) dealing with this pandemic...

-Numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table For Europe cases +40%....deaths +8%....Delta variant basicly exploding...so there are talks that fully vaccinated can travel between Germany and the UK...For NL cases have been increasing for four days in a row. Since "reopening-freedom" is just a week old both politics and experts claim "some increases were expected"...for some magical reasons increase in cases in NL would not mean increase of hospital cases/deaths-while in the UK-with more vaccinations and local restrictions-both hospital cases and deaths are increasing...

The Dutch CDC has made "models" and on that basis "damage is expected to be limited"...As far as I know all of those "models" were not a major succes...Political reasons may sink us deeper into the swamp-after wich our right wing PM rutte blames the public for creating this crisis...and people vote for him for his "leadership"....

This pandemic story IS a political story by now. Right wing extremists, trump, bolsonaro, modi, bojo, netanyahu, and here in NL rutte do not see a major government role in containing a pandemic. "Market economy" can solve any crisis as a sort of religion...If the R0 gets above 1, hospitals get in crisis, they go for some restrictions...to lift them when the worst is over...and see cases going up again-with new variants....

Numbers; UK cases going up in weekly trends 74 % ! Last week just under 90,000 cases, this week over 155,000....UK deaths +12% last week 110-this week 123...no doubt most of them in unvaccinated or older age vaccinated with healthissues...The bigger problem is variants getting able to deal/escape immunity....but that "does not make cents or votes"....

Australia still in limited numbers-last week 109 positive cases, this week 263 so up 141%. No deaths !

Finland has a high "Euro 2020" increase-+159% last week 565, this week 1,461 cases. Deaths +100% last week 2, this week 4...

Israel +99%, last week 869 cases, this week 1,733-deaths -100% this week 0, last week 1...

New Zealand increase of 55%, last week 11, this week 17 cases...

Indonesia +42%, last week 109,601 cases, this week 156,071-Deaths +36% last week 2,328-this week 3,163 crisis

South Africa +25% last week 99,316-this week 123,921 cases-deaths +45% last week 1,180-this week 1,711

USA cases +11% last week 89,309 this week 99,018, deaths still decreasing -21% last week 2,172-this week 1,722

NL Cases -2% last week 4,625 this week 4,545, deaths -12% last week 17 this week 15...

General picture-vaccines may limit damage but even in UK, Israel cases going up-with high level of vaccinations...It may keep severe cases, deaths limited for now...Global increase of cases +6% deaths still decreasing -3%...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ July 2 did see a global increase of 437,500+ cases, 8,495 deaths...Brazil over 65,000 new cases, 1,879 deaths at #1, India 47,250+ cases/797 deaths at #2 and at #3 Colombia 28,000+ new cases, 586 deaths...Russia reported 679 deaths, Argentina 610 deaths so for deaths Colombia at #5...

Worldometer global (tested & reported) deaths at 3,979,868. India now over the 400,000 reported deaths...Peru at 5,770 deaths per million-translating to 0,577% of the Peru population died in/from this pandemic...Some countries around 0,3% of their population did die in this pandemic...if 0,2% global population dying so far in this pandemic would be realistic (and putting the global population at 8 billion) you would get at 16 million people dying so far in this pandemic-4 times the reported/tested cases...may still be an underestimate...

[url]https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/[/url] or https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/ The Lambda variant is exploding in South America...Chile sequencing 840 cases, US 619, Peru 239, Germany 99, Mexico 89...Argentina 87, Ecuador 57, Spain 51, Israel 25, Colombia 19...Comparing that view with the Delta variant for those countries (Brazil only 16 Delta and 4 Lambda variant cases);

Chile reported just 1 Delta variant, US did see 6,281 Delta cases, Peru 2 Delta variant cases, Germany had 2,046 Delta cases, Mexico 244, Argentina 1, Ecuador 0, Spain 723, Israel 113, Colombia 0....

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant ; In mid-June 2021, 90.6% of new COVID-19 cases in Arequipa and 78.1% of new cases in Cusco were the Lambda variant according to the Peruvian Ministry of Health

DJ The wiki page also with statistics per july 1....As a non-expert trying to make sense the Lambda variant (still not a variant of concern  but VOI of "interest"...) is setting of all kind of alarms ! May be increasing even outside South America against the Delta variant ! While the Delta variant is allready a night mare !!!! [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table To put numbers in perspective South Americ cases -17%, deaths -10%...Peru cases -15%, deaths -4%, Colombia cases +0,2% deaths -4%, Argentina cases +5%, deaths -9%...Ecuador cases +14% deaths -5%...so the Lanbda-"picture" is unclear...

-Flutrackers latest posts;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918559-cidrap-covid-19-surges-accelerate-in-southeast-asia[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918559-cidrap-covid-19-surges-accelerate-in-southeast-asia ; Health officials in Indonesia and Thailand reported record daily highs for new COVID-19 infections, much of it driven by the Delta (B1617.2) variant, as the leader of the World Health Organization (WHO) today said countries have two options for pushing back: public health measures and sharing tools such as medical supplies, oxygen, and vaccine.
At a briefing today, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, said no country is out of the woods yet with COVID-19 and that the Delta variant is dangerous and continue to evolve.
He called on world leaders to vaccinate at least 10% of their populations by the end of September, which would protect health workers and those most at risk, tamping down the pandemic's acute phase.
"There is now some sharing of vaccines happening but it's still only a trickle, which is being outpaced by variants," Tedros said. "In those countries whose hospitals are filling up, they need vaccines and other health tools right now."

Southeast Asia cases surge

Global health officials have feared an explosive outbreak in Indonesia, the world's fourth most populous country. And today the country's cases yesterday soared to new record levels, with nearly 25,000 reported.

DJ-Indonesia is #4 for population with 276 million+ Pakistan #5 at 225 million+ (China, India, US=top 3).

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24 DJ; UK week trends hospital cases +16,5% 1,825 =+259 last week. UK deaths also up 11,8% 123 last week, 110 deaths the week before...So-yes limited numbers still...but simply NOT GOOD !!!!

Variants spreading high speed in a population that is partly vaccinated is asking for vaccine escape !!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918555-cidrap-dog-cat-owners-with-covid-19-often-pass-it-to-pets[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/918555-cidrap-dog-cat-owners-with-covid-19-often-pass-it-to-pets DJ Both studies, NL and Canada, have been discussed before on this forum. Covid in pets is-in my opinion-a risk. But spread into other animals in/around the house, mice, rats, squirrels, raccoons may be a bigger risk.

Also in live stock (pigs !) very unwelcome and of major risk...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/918548-ca-delta-variant-cases-rising-in-l-a-county[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/918548-ca-delta-variant-cases-rising-in-l-a-county ; Los Angeles County’s top public health official expressed growing alarm about increasing circulation of the highly contagious Delta variant of the coronavirus, particularly as the region grapples with an uptick in new infections.

While the situation in the nation’s most populous county is nowhere near as dire as over the fall and winter, Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer said the increases seen recently are nevertheless concerning — and are at the heart of this week’s recommendation that even residents vaccinated for COVID-19 should resume wearing face coverings in public indoor settings as a precaution.

“We have enough risk and enough unvaccinated people for Delta to pose a threat to our recovery,” she told reporters Thursday. “And masking up now could help prevent a resurgence in transmission.”

DJ-Major urban area's may be like a canary in a coalmine warning for new variant-problems...Spread starts in cities then spreads to rural area's...maybe the first variants came from rural area's and "became big" in the cities..

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918545-south-korea-s-covid-19-cases-spike-as-delta-variant-spreads[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918545-south-korea-s-covid-19-cases-spike-as-delta-variant-spreads ; SEOUL – South Korea’s daily count of coronavirus cases topped 800 on Thursday, the highest in nearly six months, due to new cluster infections and the spread of the highly contagious delta variant, officials said on Friday.

The Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency (KDCA) reported 826 cases, up from 762 a day before and the highest since Jan. 7 when the country was grappling with a third wave of COVID-19.

Almost 81% of the 765 locally transmitted cases came from the capital Seoul and its surrounding regions, KCDA data showed.

The government had said it would relax social distancing measures starting this month as daily new cases hovered around 500 and the vaccination drive accelerated.

But days before the limits on movement were to be eased, case numbers shot up and authorities in Seoul and surrounding areas extended restrictions for another week to July 7...

DJ Seoul [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seoul_Capital_Area[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seoul_Capital_Area ;The Seoul Capital Area (SCA), Sudogwon (Korean: 수도권; Hanja: 首都圈; RR: Sudogwon; MR: Sudokwŏn, [sudoɡwʌn]) or Gyeonggi region (Korean: 경기 지방; Hanja: 京畿地方; RR: Gyeonggi Jibang; MR: Kyŏnggi Jibang) is the metropolitan area of Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggi Province, located in north-west South Korea. Its population of 25 million (as of 2017)^[1] ranked as the fifth largest metropolitan area in the world.

See also [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_cities[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_cities Tokyo #1-37,4 million-Olympics later this month...Japan cases +3%, deaths -27% "The Olympic Committee welcomes the Delta-variant".....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918537-morocco-warns-new-lockdown-restrictions-amid-increasing-covid-19-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918537-morocco-warns-new-lockdown-restrictions-amid-increasing-covid-19-cases 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/917614-namibia-oxygen-shortage-in-hospitals-as-covid-surges[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/africa-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/917614-namibia-oxygen-shortage-in-hospitals-as-covid-surges 

DJ-STOP THE SPREAD !!!!!!

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/5-bizarre-new-plagues-have-made-headlines-us-within-last-30-days[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/5-bizarre-new-plagues-have-made-headlines-us-within-last-30-days 

- Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGllOW3zo1k[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGllOW3zo1k A look at statistics...South Africa/Suid Afrika as an English speaking country....[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Afrikaans[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Afrikaans is spoken by in between 15 and 23 million people in southern "Afrika"....

Lots of info/links under the video...a main point is an Office of National Statistics study on risk of reinfections...DJ-To be honest I think using-only-statistics for that goal/study is misleading. Manaus-Brazil had high natural immunity but did see high level of variant infections...

In my opinion Dr. J.C. is not taking an easy way-defending Ivermectin shows courage ! But I have a different view on what vaccines/reinfections can do/mean...We need to get the R0 almost at 0 if we want to get out of this pandemic...The other choice would be to accept a high level of disease, hope for some sort of natural immunity...Now we are in the middle of these two choices and that is making matters even worse...

-Music; Torn between two lovers (vaccine and NPI...) [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xFB1yytGLRA[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xFB1yytGLRA Mary McGregor 1976...

KiwiMum-Good to know NZ border control is effective...other countries should have learned from border controls by now...

DJ-

-In NL "experts", "politicians", "embedded press" are wondering why cases are going up ...Could it be increase of testing ? "Normal testing" is going down still-but also showing an increase of positive cases...We also have spent hundreds of millions on "testing for entry" (you could run a few hospitals on that but why should you...partytime !)...those tests are going up-also more positives...

How can this be ? "think...think...."  ...."We have to study this....".....

The Delta variant-if there are no restrictions may have an R0 between 6 and 8 in unvaccinated...Here in NL we did vaccinate fully 1/3 of the population...in combination with natural immunity that ...of course...would stop such a virulent Delta variant...is the illusion of the EPEP...."experts-politicians-embedded press"...This "clique" has been promoting reopening for the last few months-even when the Delta variant was already spreading...

But-at least-in NL hospital cases are going down...young people "do not get ill....hay fever like symptoms..."

DJ-I am almost exploding out of anger ! "We" are dealing with this pandemic like "we" are dealing with climate change...denial of a problem and then put zillions of tax money to big companies that may have started the problem...

-Numbers; 

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table Yeah we did it again ! NL cases +14% last week 4,491-this week 5,118 ..Deaths +7% last week 15-this week 16...so limited numbers...no reason for restrictions...NL is going for a top 10 position...in trends by % now "only" at #86...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ daily increase-yesterday +1.125 (other number is 1.146) at #45...

"We" can get over the 10.000 cases per day ! Maybe even get to #1 in cases...of course "hay fever/cold like symptoms"...young people...no problem...no restrictions...

DJ-I love my country-but I hate stupidity...and by now NL is getting close to world champion in acting stupid...Since reopening is just a week old-politics will blame the people..."we did not follow the rules"...

Other countries doing sometimes much worse...weekly trends cases +3%, deaths -5% (yesterday was -6%...we will be in the + within a week..).

UK cases +67% last week 97,131-this week 162,292...deaths -1% last week 119, this week 118. Yesterday UK reported 24,885 new cases and 18 deaths. 

US cases +7% last week 89,494-this week 95,748...deaths -23% last week 2,121, this week 1,635. Yesterday US reported 7,978 new cases and 96 deaths.

Israel cases +84% last week 993-this week 1,825...deaths -100% last week 1 this week 0...Israel reported 277 new positive test cases yesterday-no deaths...

NL may have what less vaccinations, Israel, UK, US proberbly still in top 5 for vaccinations-yet cases going up. And [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24?view=stream latest activity..UK hospital cases also keep going up...+24,2%. Last week 1,573 UK hospital admissions, this week +380 to 1,953-daily average now at 358. 

Latest numbers had a decrease of weekly deaths by 0,8% last week 119-this week 118-daily deaths now for UK at 18. 

Positive UK tests trend is +66,9%...

You do not get into hospital for "cold/hay fever like symptoms"....A lot of very ill persons may not seek help...

In trends 104 countries now reporting an increase in cases (with limited testing in many countries). Deaths are going up in % in 69 countries-with another 60 countries at 0%..UK first with -1% at # 129...Again global deaths very likely in the + before next sunday...

-Flutrackers latest posts;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918616-china-the-guangzhou-institute-of-respiratory-health-announced-on-the-throat-swab-robot-can-meet-the-needs-of-large-scale-nucleic-acid-collection-june-2-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918616-china-the-guangzhou-institute-of-respiratory-health-announced-on-the-throat-swab-robot-can-meet-the-needs-of-large-scale-nucleic-acid-collection-june-2-2021 ; Throat swabs are currently the most important sampling method for diagnosing new coronavirus infections. During the operation of the throat swab, medical staff must be in close contact with the patient. The patient's coughing and hard breathing can produce a large amount of droplets or aerosols, which has a higher risk of cross-infection. Moreover, in the process of collecting throat swabs, due to differences in the level of medical staff and irregularities in the collection of throat swabs, the quality of the swabs varies and false negatives are prone to occur.

During the new crown pneumonia epidemic last year, the research and development of the first-generation intelligent throat swab sampling robot system jointly initiated by the team of Zhong Nanshan, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, and the Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, was completed. This year, we will continue to launch the second-generation intelligent throat swab robot "Lingcai No. 2". According to the Guangzhou Respiratory Health Research Institute, the second-generation robot has passed the actual combat test and can meet the needs of large-scale collection.

DJ-You may get better quality samples, protect HCWers...but "chewing gum" samples (sometimes used for children) may have more future then "a robot sticking things in your nose and mouth"...They are also testing all kinds of electronic gear-"smart watch like" to look for (very) early indications for infection. In combination with (more detailed) sewage sampling, smart camera's (noticing differences in behavior, temperature etc.) "high tech" could become "normal" for (totalitarian) pandemic prevention...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/oceania/918410-fiji-new-wave-of-infections?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/oceania/918410-fiji-new-wave-of-infections?view=stream latest; Delta Variant. Dead on arrival is new Fiji Covid-19 trend https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/...covid-19-trend

Health Secretary James Fong said there was concern at people with severe disease who arrive at a medical facility in the later stages of their illness.

"And we are also sadly seeing people with severe disease die at home or on the way to hospital before our medical teams have a chance to administer what could potentially be life-saving treatment."

DJ; "DOA=Dead On Arrival" may be the outcome of problem denial. If the mainstream communication is "hay fever like symptoms" why seek care ? It will go away ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918610-long-term-care-visitors-limited-in-yukon-as-territory-reports-31-more-covid-19-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/canada/canada-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918610-long-term-care-visitors-limited-in-yukon-as-territory-reports-31-more-covid-19-cases ; There have been 31 more cases of COVID-19 in Yukon over the past two days, and health officials are now reducing the number of visitors to long-term care homes in the territory as a precaution.

In a statement on Friday, health officials said seventeen of the new cases are in Whitehorse, five are in rural communities, six are still pending confirmation and three are out-of-territory residents who are currently in Yukon.

This brings the active case count to 146.

For two weeks, starting July 2, the number of people allowed to visit loved ones in long-term care has dropped from six to two per resident... 

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yukon[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yukon ; Yukon^[7] (/ˈjuːkɒn/ (listen); French: [jykɔ̃]; formerly called Yukon Territory and referred to by some as the Yukon) is the smallest and westernmost of Canada's three territories. It also is the least populated province or territory in Canada, with a population of 35,874 people as of the 2016 Census. Whitehorse, the territorial capital, is the largest settlement in any of the three territories.

Bordering Alaska-but very remote...

DJ-After the "summer will save us" 2020 mantra the promoted message for this year was supposed to be "vaccines (Big Pharma) will save us". And yes-in countries where there have been lots of vaccinations deaths are going down for now...

In "climate change" the message also is "the system is okay...we have to go "green"...So big car industry, fossil fuel companies go "green"...rich get even richer, poor more poor...

The "way out of this pandemic" -the totalitarian scenario is;

-Blame the victim-the system is OK..."the party is always right" 

-Increased "prevention surveilance" 24/7 "smart watch control", to housenumber precise sewage sampling...big data-is there a link between what you eat and pandemics ? 

-"Test society"-you want to go in "public space" you need testing (of course done by a private company...)

-If you still get ill it is YOUR mistake ! The system is okay...YOU did something wrong...

So "we" keep flying around the globe, eat meat, "break the rules with cocaine"...An international jet-set-only a very small group in power..."democrazy" in stead of democracy...For me democracy means all have access to basic healthcare, education, housing, jobs...Not the "divide and rule" game...Not extreme inequality-but within borders or worldwide...

Ecocide, genocide have become the "new normal" to keep a small rich elite in power...calling this insanity "democracy" is a total misunderstanding of what democracy should mean...

 -[url]https://www.youtube.com/c/Campbellteaching[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/c/Campbellteaching Dr. John Campbell-channel on YouTube...I respect him for being an expert, his will to spent hours per day in communicating, his courage to defend Ivermectin...

I disagree with him on what vaccines may mean-but-again-I am NOT an expert ! 

The Delta variant is exploding all around the globe..maybe South America may see the [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant exploding..next in line after the Delta-variant ? Or will they "mix" ? 

Will H5/H7 bird flu start spreading in humans ? Or [url]http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2021/07/a-temperature-rise-of-more-than-18-degrees-celsius-by-2026.html[/url] or http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2021/07/a-temperature-rise-of-more-than-18-degrees-celsius-by-2026.html is climate collapse going exponential ? Do we find an excuse to start yet another war "to stop agression"...

I wish I could be more optimistic...Enjoy the here and now ! The "there and then" may be tomorrows worry...

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CduA0TULnow[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CduA0TULnow   Oops...!

I Did it again...Britney Spears...(DJ-More serious-her music is not my taste-but her legal position makes you question further US basic laws...) In this pandemic "we" (=EPEP, "Experts, Politics, Embedded Press") keep saying "oops we did it again"-sinking ever deeper in a pandemic swamp. 

DJ; 

"Since the vaccination goes in the upper arm delta-muscle the new variant is named Delta-variant and is spread by vaccinated people"...This kind of pure-100%-insanity is spread by some groups of idiots...I do not know who is funding them or why...

Biggest problem is a lot of people may believe this total crap...since the alternative is "BoJo"...reopening England (not the UK !) while Delta variants are exploding and [url]https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-confirms-vaccine-less-effective-against-delta-variant-eyes-third-dose/[/url] or https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-confirms-vaccine-less-effective-against-delta-variant-eyes-third-dose/ as expected leaky vaccine protection is decreasing...

Here in NL we now have had several mass-spread events in the "party world"...very essential for the economy...[url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/05/daily-coronavirus-tally-tops-1500-enschede-nightclub-linked-180-cases[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/05/daily-coronavirus-tally-tops-1500-enschede-nightclub-linked-180-cases . "Our" "government" "thinks" it is a good idea to leave public health to the population during a pandemic...Dumping responsibilities and then blame others when things go wrong has been a strategy for years of "our" PM/clown mark(et) rutte...(D.Trump with glasses and a smile...). 

But "since they show leadership" the bunch of idiots leading us into a major healthcrisis, after creating a housing crisis, increasing poverty, a tax scandal..still get most of the votes...In NL elections did become a popularity contest...

-Insanity in numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table ;

Europe in general ; cases going up 43% (last week 348,163-this week 497,753) deaths +5% (last week 6,052-this week 6,336). 

BoJo has been very succesfull in increasing UK cases +54%, deaths +5% UK #13 in Europe. NL made it almost to the top 10 at 11..cases going up 59% (with serious undercounting-due to delay in reporting test results...) deaths going up 14%...

At #12 Portugal-bars have to close at 3.30 hrs so young people from all over the world party further at the beach...getting drunk on planes returning them to their home countries...cases going up 57%, deaths +72%..."but young people do not get very ill"...

Spain, Malta, Greece, Spain are doing much worse even...but holidays are essential...Luxemburg, Denmark, Finland may be "welcoming" tourists/variants from "sunshine countries"...

NL medical workers are trying to limit damage in Suriname-a former part of the NL Kingdom...in a black scenario in the 6 hospitals that South American country has Dutch and Suriname HCW-ers are "working till they drop" to save people in their 20's, 30's...with not enough room at ICU you know the outcome for those that needed ICU but can not get there...

I did see several stories of young children under 4 y/o on ICU in NL..."only the old and fat die" is another piece of .... myth...We may be moving towards a "global India-scenario" ...Again-more and more this pandemic is becoming a political problem. We have to get rid of populist leaders that promote "freedom without responsibility", that work for Big Pharma, banks, fossil fuel companies, car/aircraft lobbies...NOT for you...destroying the planet for greed...

US cases in latest trends going down -9%, deaths -30%...variants are increasing in the US...July 4 may proof itself to have been a mass spreading event...Global cases +3%, deaths -5% with 108 countries reporting an increase in cases. For deaths now 76 countries reporting increases...with underreporting as a norm.

I have to repeat it-STOP THE SPREAD !!!! We are on a highway to a resistent variant able to infect people over and over again...with vaccines getting useless...

-Flutrackers (limited) latest posts;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream latest activity; "Israel’s Health Ministry released data on Monday showing that the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID vaccine appears to largely prevent hospitalization and serious cases, but is significantly less effective against preventing the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus."

DJ  Again-the major news is the downward TREND ! Leaky vaccines at best buy time (and gets Big Pharma zillions of $/€)..it does make "cents" but limited sense..unless as part of a global strategy...Since "politics has fallen into the hands of populists forget about any serious strategy..." Maybe a strategy "killing the poor" genocide-agenda ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-617-series-including-1-617-2-delta-1-617-1-kappa-and-ay-1-mutation-delta-plus?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/914732-covid-19-variant-1-617-series-including-1-617-2-delta-1-617-1-kappa-and-ay-1-mutation-delta-plus?view=stream latest activity; Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Minister of Health Nitzan Horowitz attend a press conference at a Maccabi vaccination center in Holon on June 29, 2021.

Israel’s Health Ministry released data on Monday showing that the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID vaccine appears to largely prevent hospitalization and serious cases, but is significantly less effective against preventing the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus.

According to the ministry, the Pfizer vaccine’s effectiveness in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 has dropped by some 30 percent to 64%, given the spread of the Delta variant. The data shows that during May, when the strain was less prevalent, the vaccine was 94.3% effective.

The Delta variant, which is believed to be twice as contagious as the original strain of COVID-19, is thought to be responsible for 90% of new cases in Israel over the past two weeks.

DJ-Was this already at a press conference on june 29-became "news" july 5 ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/918791-nyc-covid-19-cases-spike-on-staten-island-amid-vaccine-resistance[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/918791-nyc-covid-19-cases-spike-on-staten-island-amid-vaccine-resistance ; NEW YORK - Dr. Theodore Strange, the chair of medicine at Staten Island University Hospital, is grasping a new reality he hoped he wouldn't have to face: a major spike in the COVID-19 positivity rate right now on Staten Island.

"Vaccines are safe, vaccines are effective. And on this weekend that we are celebrating freedom and independence, if we are going to become free and independent of this pandemic, please go get the vaccine," Strange said.

He said the COVID-19 uptick is in some neighborhoods along the south shore: Great Kills, Tottenville, Prince's Bay.

The current positivity rate in the 10309 ZIP code on a seven-day average is 5.86%, which is the highest in the city. The second highest rate is in the 10308 ZIP code, the Great Kills area, with 5.03%. Rob Marshall lives in the area and hasn't gotten vaccinated.

"I don't trust the vaccine for one plus I had COVID a few months ago so I still have the antibodies for it," Marshall said.

DJ-Resistent is vaccines do not work, hesitance is people believing vaccines do not work...related but different ! (Same level as 100% increase is not the same as 100X..but 2x...). Terrible communications...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918783-venezuela-applies-cuban-vaccines-while-who-calls-for-caution[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/south-america-aa/south-america-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918783-venezuela-applies-cuban-vaccines-while-who-calls-for-caution DJ If vaccines work they work ! Political agenda's made matters worse ! 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24 latest-UK hospital cases +24,2%...1,953 this week-+380 UK daily average now 358 people getting into hospital. UK deaths +4,9%...128 this week, 119 last week -so far limited to 9 per day...BoJo wants to lift last England restrictions per july 19-against medical advice...DJ-With decrease in vaccine protection less NPI and possibly even more infections variants (Delta+) one should ask for BoJo/conservative party mental health status.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918777-malaysia-reports-highest-daily-number-of-covid-19-patients-in-icu-today[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/asia-ad/asia-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918777-malaysia-reports-highest-daily-number-of-covid-19-patients-in-icu-today ; KUALA LUMPUR, July 5 — The Ministry of Health added 923 Covid-19 patients in the public healthcare system’s near-maxed out intensive care units (ICU) today, the highest recorded in a single day to date.

Today is the second day in a row MOH has registered ICU cases over 910. Yesterday, the ministry said 917 patients had required intensive care.

Today’s number of patients requiring ventilators were also at a staggering rate of 433, the ministry revealed in a tweet this evening.

This comes as daily Covid-19 cases rose to 6,387 from a slightly lower figure yesterday, Health director-general Tan Sri Dr Noor Hisham Abdullah announced today.

July has seen no days of cases dipping below 6,000 to date despite public health authorities having imposed a month-long lockdown...

DJ-Western embedded "media" paint a picture as if the pandemic almost was history...Lots of poorer countries (Malaysia is oil exporting-not that poor at all !) still have vaccinations/vaccines problems...ICU/Oxygen shortages...This pandemic is getting worse..not better !

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_W8tWkT2BC0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_W8tWkT2BC0 on vitamin D and hospital risk; Conclusions 

Vitamin D deficiency is associated with higher risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation. 

Widespread measurement of serum 25(OH)D and treating any unmasked insufficiency or deficiency through testing may reduce this risk 

We have clearly demonstrated that vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency exponentially increase the risk of the disease by a factor of 2.3 to 3.6, even after adjustments for age and sex. 

Vitamin D is anti-inflammatory, and it has been shown to modulate the immune system 

With its effect on macrophage function and innate immunity, vitamin D may alter the disease manifestations of COVID-19 

Vitamin D supplementation should be an important consideration for deficient populations at risk

DJ Since vitamins, Ivermectin "does not make cents" it is not promoted...eventhough it is effective. Dr.J.C. again showing great courage by this vitamin D story...

He may not want to go into the present England BoJo insanity-lifting restrictions while variant cases are exploding...From the comments;

It's no wonder that there is so much distrust in the official agenda when this type of info is available in the public domain, but seemingly ignored by those with a vested interest in the pandemic. People don't know what to believe when the "establishment" speaks.

-

Vitamin D + Ivermectin... that is a prophylactic combination that needs to be further researched, and be considered a go-to strategy for home care.

Since I think there are some basic points in it now showing up [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cjMZvpmuaKY&t=16s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cjMZvpmuaKY&t=16s Peak Prosperity/Chris Martenson talking with Dr. Geert van den Bossche on leaky vaccines;

Dr Geert Vanden Bossche has two things; a very long career in industry vaccine development and a theory that these vaccines — as configured and rolled-out — represent a gigantic mistake.  One that will cause immense harm in the future.  Is he right?  Is he wrong?  We don’t know, but his ideas deserve to be heartily debated and discussed, not censored and shut down. 

DJ-I googled "has bojo gone mad ?" and yes [url]https://unitedinbrittany.com/topic/has-boris-gone-mad/[/url] or https://unitedinbrittany.com/topic/has-boris-gone-mad/ I am not the only one with that question ! From the link;

Many of you know that I do not get myself involved in political discussions but was just open mouthed hearing that Boris is soon to be lifting the wearing of masks whilst the daily number of covid cases is 27000 ( yes I did say 27000 ) !!

No masks and letting as many people meet up indoors without them just sounds like the kiss of death to sooooo many people to me. As for packing people into concerts or sports matches without masks, where is the sense in that !!!!

To put this in perspective, Macron was waiting to see if the daily doses dropped below 7000 before considering dropping out of lockdown !!

I know that the vaccine is doing a great job, but surely this is going to be responsible for a lot more people dying and suffering !!

I have found Bojo to be a complete imbecile all the way through this but really he is going from strength to strength in his levels of idiocy and disrespect so that he can rebuild the economy. I think so anyway !

I have not heard about Scotland,but both Ireland and Wales have said that they will not be backing away from the current precautions for the time being I am happy to say .

Sorry for this post and I shall return to love and light immediately.

Love and light to all

Jamie xx

DJ-So maybe the answer should be BoJo was mad all the time-it is just showing more...A comment-basicly we have the same problem in NL; 

The scruffy numpty is only focused on popularity.

everything he says is based on what he thinks or his Cummingsfolk or Mrs tell him will increase his popularity and all the thick B/S buying morons in Enhland will hail him as the saviour.

In a few weeks time they will be back to square minus more than one!

More will die but he will claim to be the one who tried!

-Music-Still Crazy After All These Years...[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ifb9pMolZAQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ifb9pMolZAQ a good simple cover by Josh Turner (other hotel guests asked if things are okay...) 

EdwinSm-translating that to "real numbers"-0,5% of global population of 8 billion is 40 million...

When you look at Spanish Flu numbers-lowest 20 million-highest in between 50 and 100 million-what was 2 to 5% of the 1918/19 global population-one could diversify several numbers; virus-tested deaths, excess deaths, pandemic deaths...

For this pandemic the "virus tested deaths" did go over the 4 million. "Pandemic deaths" would be those who died but would be alive if there was no pandemic...basicly for medical reasons. Excess deaths would include an even larger number...

It took all of 2020 to get to 2 million deaths, only around half of 2021 to get to 4 million tested/reported official deaths...with new variants and decreasing-leaky-vaccines, insane leaders/in many countries not enough NPI or vaccines to even limit the damage can we double the 4 million to 8 million by early 2022 ? 

Tourism, Sports (Euro 2020, Olympics-TourdeFrance other sponsor activities) Airtravel "the economy" is "being saved"...

At best half choices create the worst kind of scenario's...

In the past pandemics/illness did kill up to 90% of the "Indians" when Spain moved into the Americaś 1500-1650. Some plagues in some regions killing the 100%...Of course today also a lot of combination of factors; climate collapse, wars, logistic problems, will mix with this pandemic. 

It may be very welcome if the present pandemic-at the end-"only" killed just 1% of the global population...But the "trends" are in the wrong direction. Variants keep showing up and can spread. If Covid19 is not yet widespread in non-human hosts it soon may be...

I do not want to be pessimistic-but realistic. Wishfull thinking, "summer will save us" is making matters worse. 

Basicly "Stop The Spread" makes most sense to me...reorganizing global society to "stop the spread" still is a major job-you need food/water-so you need an economy...

We-as humans-made so much progress-we may be able to find/fight ourselves out of this crisis...

DJ,

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7CQH4Kme9mQ[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7CQH4Kme9mQ ZOE/Prof.Dr (I believe) Tim Spector on UK numbers-"Will "freedom" condemn 1000/day to long covid?"...Yesterday another expert Dr. John Campbell reacted also on Bojo/UK "reopening" the UK per july 19...They both seem to think it is an acceptable idea...we "have to accept Covid to be around"...

I totally disagree-reading comments below the video's-from other non-experts-I am not alone in this. 

-Long Covid described as having symptoms for 12 weeks+ would "only" hurt 2% of cases-expected to get for the UK to 50,000 per day july 19. But may go to 200,000 per day in august-so translating into 4,000 long covid cases per day for the UK by then...

DJ-Lots of long covid cases last MUCH longer then 12 weeks ! Quite a lot of them over a year ! If you look at ME/CFS, Lyme disease, chronic Q-fever it may be a life long burden. So in my opinion NO ! NO WAY ! You can NOT get 1,000+ people PER DAY put in life long health issues !!!!! IT IS INSANE !!!

-Going for "natural herd immunity" by "returning to freedom" increasing cases to tens of thousends for the UK-PER DAY-WILL increase hospital cases/deaths ! Most of the suffering is in poor area's...long covid patients "hardly are a problem because they hardly get the care they need" ! "Freedom" (for holidays, party's, festivals ?) is NOT worth such a high price !

Some compare the two million people killed in global traffic per year-"we" accept that. So why not "accept" Covid ? DJ-I think 2 million people killed in global traffic shows how much power fossil fuel/car makers lobbies have in politics ! Air polution killing (tens of) millions more...totally unacceptable ! Another form of "normal insanity" !

-Dr. Tim Spector ends his video with the increase of the Lambda/Peru variant. How you are able to stop further/new variants when you go for this form of "freedom" *without any responsibility) ? Basicly you put the door open to all kind of variants, further spread-most likely also in non human hosts...and for what ? 

-Is there an alternative ? YES-there is ! Reform society ! Decrease global travel, meat/animal virus production ! What is wrong with that ? Most people do not need to see their co-workers every working day in person ! Small scale local partying can be fun ! 

It is not "black or white" but "fifty shades of gray" ! 

"Saving the economy", "freedom" in BoJo/UK governments idea is giving in-again-to fossil fuel industry, air/car-industry, entertainment bussines...big companies. Putting-again-the price at the poorer side of society-allready dealing with climate collapse, bad housing, less healthcare, education etc...

Ignoring more severe cases in children infected with new variants "see they can go to school" is NOT in the interest of those children ! 

Other governments will be watching UK developments...may-for now-think twice in following that road. The UK has a high percentage (70% of all of its population ?) fully vaccinated-and yet cases explode ! 

The Israeli numbers on less protection by vaccines have not showed up yet in UK studies-maybe because there are no studies on it ? Indications are that vaccine protection may not be as good as one may have hoped for. May have decreased after some months-and by then new variants may get their chance. 

Going for "natural immunity" in a high level vaccinated population is begging for resistent variants...

DJ-My conclusion-BoJo Go ! It is time the UK gets a government that is willing to deal with public health in interest of the UK population-not in the interest of big industry ! 

This pandemic-again-underlines the major problem may not be the pandemic but a ruling class making choises for a rich elite against public interests ! This pandemic could and should have been avoided by stopping international air travel january 2020-most western countries did at that time know there was a problem in China...but those western countries went for airline "protection" opening the door for this pandemic !

The Delta variant in India was very clear-and yet again airtravel kept on going...NOT in your interest !

We need politicians working for "the people" not the 0,1% !

Music; Cliff Richard-Power To All Our Friends !-1973 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KAOwf78KKmY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KAOwf78KKmY  

Dutch Josh wrote: It is not "black or white" but "fifty shades of gray" !

Did you put that in to see if anyone read your post?????????

I think it is time to remake society.  I believe nature and Gaia have been trying to tell us that, at first by whispering, but now their calls are becoming more strident.  And mankind, for all its virtues, has many flaws.  Perhaps the most glaring is the ability to willfully blind and deafen himself.

And to suck at playing the long game.

Denial is the first phase in how people deal with a crisis...mourning the fifth phase...

That is so true, but how do you get to mourning if you won't move out of denial?

Good song/video, Josh, I appreciate you sharing that!

DJ,

-The NL situation to start with. We had reopening june 26...yesterday we learned the R0 at that time-june 24-must have allready been at 1,37...So the increase of cases in the last week of +386% (!!!) fits in in the triangle; "virus-hosts-spread"...

Several studies put the R0 of the Delta variant between 6 and 8-if there are no limits...We may have been seeing such kind of R0 in the 14-25 year old age group here in NL...because allmost all of the increases have been in that age group. 

Deaths went down last week in NL 40%...When you look at the UK-much better vaccinated-deaths up +43%...also hospital/ICU cases are allready in crisis in the UK. We-here in NL-will be in the UK scenario before the end of this month. 

It looks like in NL, like in the UK, "government" is going for "natural herd immunity". It would be good for the economy they claim/dream...

The reasons why we did NOT go for "natural herd immunity" early 2020 did not change that much. Then-and now-going for herd immunity would result in a healthcare crash...extreme high mortality. 

Vaccinations make some difference but simply not enough both in level of protection and in time. Israel, Scotland report decrease of protection from Pfizer..

We do see how a "herd immunity strategy" works out in Brazil. Between 60,000 and 90,000 cases per day for months, over a 1,000 daily deaths per day-with a lot of unreported, untested cases/deaths to cover up the real genocide. 

A choice for "natural herd immunity" is criminal. Any government has a duty to do its best to protect its citizens against dangers...

Allready we see poor, non western background minorities are hit much harder. "Let the virus do its thing" will make matters much worse...

With restrictions/NPI and vaccinations we allready see an explosion of variants...if you drop the restrictions (and only vaccinate the rich-next step ?) mortality and chaos will explode. 

-The numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ ;

UK july 9 at #4 in new cases with 35,707 new cases. US allready at #5-cases still limited but will go up/explode 27,237 cases..NL is doing all it can to get in the top 10 with 6,926 cases still at #18...

Top 3 Brazil 57,713 cases (realitively low daily number) at #1, India #2 with 42,648 reported/tested cases...both countries under reporting cases for political reasons. At #3 Indonesia with 38,124 cases...limited testing. Indonesia had a different vaccination choice-vaccinating first the most social active...vaccination is still very limited. Since most of the Indonesians live on Java-very densely populated-that vaccination strategy may have given some time. Time used to increase vaccinations-but vaccines are a problem in Indonesia...

Deaths same top 3 #1 Brazil 1,433 deaths, #2 India 1,206, #3 Indonesia 873 deaths. At #4 for deaths is Russia with 726 deaths and serious problems in vaccinations. At #5 Colombia 576 deaths...Lambda variant ? At #6 South Africa 374 deaths-mix of variants.

The US, Mexico, Argentina and Bangladesh make the rest of the top 10 for deaths...most of those deaths proberbly NOT from the Delta variant..the "Delta deaths" increase may be a few weeks from now. UK at #31 in this "deadlist"...

Also a look at deaths per million...Brazil claiming 2,484 deaths per million of population (=0,25%). India dares to claim 292 deaths per million (=0,03%)...Indonesia has testing issues, did limit cases for most of the time now has 234 deaths per million (0,02%).

Global average is 517,6 deaths per million (=0,05%)...but due to lack of reporting/testing the real number may be 10x higher ? 

In the Deaths per million list Peru at #1...5,799 per million=0,6% of its population died from Covid in this pandemic so far. At #2 is Hungary with 3,114, #3 is Bosnia and Herzegovina 2,962 both 0,3% of their population did die from Covid in these statistics so far... 

The US is reporting 1,881 deaths per million (=0,2%). New Jersey at 2,983 deaths per million, Hawaii 367 deaths per million...

DJ-My impression is Covid19 is more deadly in urban area's...higher level of cases...better hospitals may not be enough to deal with the peaks of cases...Rural area's may-not allways-see lower number of cases...but also lower testing, lower care...So-for example in India-when there is a large scale outbreak in rural areaś lots of people die without proper testing...not showing up in (any) statistics...In lots of "poor" countries civil administration-births, deaths, marriages is "limited/not there" so even excess deaths will not be counting those deaths...

Variant numbers-only of limited use for indications;

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Delta_variant#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Delta_variant#Statistics  91 countries reporting over 108,000 cases depending on what list you use...UK over 108,000 per july 8/GISAID-list, US 7,227 but limited sequencing (if this number would be 5% of any real number the US also would allready be over 100,000 Delta variant cases..). 

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant#Statistics only has july 1 numbers...29 countries 2,184 detections...Chile 840, US 608, UK just 7...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Kappa_variant#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Kappa_variant#Statistics  july 7/GISAID US 295 cases, UK 517, Canada 266, Ireland 169, Australia 110, Germany 104...

It is more than likely other, newer, variants are allready spreading just not showing up enough in statistics...It could take more then a month to find out such new variants started increasing. Sequencing takes 10/14 days...then putting together data, collecting data from several countries/organizations...We will be running behind the facts...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variants_of_SARS-CoV-2 The Delta+ variant is seen as a "Variant Of Concern" in India, but only as a "Variant of Interest" by the WHO...could already be an undercurrent...India reporting now a decrease of cases -8% could still see an increase of some variants...

End of part 1...long update, worsening pandemic...

DJ,

-When a government seems unable to think/take responsibility for itself-hides behind "experts" that say what they think "politics" would like to hear you get an "NL-scenario"...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table . 

My Netherlands now at #9 in highest growth by % per week; +510% last week 5,118 cases, this week 31,229...Deaths still decreasing -44%, last week 16 this week 9...[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ , NL not yet in the top 10 for highest new cases-#11, yesterday 10,283 ([url]https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/10/10345-netherlands-reports-new-coronavirus-cases-since-christmas[/url] or https://nltimes.nl/2021/07/10/10345-netherlands-reports-new-coronavirus-cases-since-christmas Dutch numbers 10,345 but there may be some corrections...)...The 11th highest number of cases per day for NL in this pandemic. 

Here in NL government reopened when the Delta variant was getting dominant...Maybe it may be realistic that in some cities over 50% of 20-24 y/o by now is infected...cases also going up in other age groups. 

Of course symptoms are "not just hay fever like"....For the 15-24 y/o 1-in-80 may see long-covid-in 10,000 cases that means 125 long covid cases...per day ! In the over 40 y/o it could be even 1 in 5...20% ! So "government may find another definition or deny the problem"....

The Dutch CDC-RIVM used unrealistic models for their advice to reopen...Believing it would become "average night outs for limited groups" in stead of expecting lots of young people going out after long term closure of disco's/clubs...Testing-for-entry, costs 1 billion €-was a joke...people did send eachother apps over their smartphones if there was any control at all...

The government end of june suggested "they did beat the pandemic" in a popularity race...while all numbers indicated Delta variant cases were exploding...

Still import of cases from Spain, Portugal is going on...our incompetent government will not stop it. Other European states will stop it by closing their borders with NL...

Testing may decrease since bars/clubs now have to close ad midnight...advice was 22 hrs but even there "our" government fails...Young people may party at home, in parks...no restrictions there...but also no "test-for-entry" testing...so the virus may spread even further...

Only when lots of people get very ill this madness will be stopped. Government has lost any control via communications... Due to spending cuts on police there is not enough police to "get a grip"...They are also very frustrated, demotivated and underpaid...

Also public health is at breaking point. Allready the Delta variant may be spreading in HCW-ers...

"Our" right wing extremist "government" hates everything "public"...from police, public healthcare, public housing to public transport...A public role for government was the outcome of 19th century problems in healthcare, housing, transport...somehow this "government" did not learn that lesson.

At the end of this month here in NL hospital cases, deaths will go up...maybe even explode...

-Other countries show what the outlook is. 

The UK still reporting an increase of +31% (161,560 cases last week, 211,009 this week). Deaths going up +63% last week 118, this week 192...The UK is one of the most vaccinated countries ! Yesterday-july 10-reporting 32,367 new cases, 34 new deaths...

Israel +73% in cases, last week 1,825-this week 3,163...Deaths +700% with 0 deaths last week-7 deaths this week...Yesterday 432 new cases, 1 death...

US cases +23%, deaths still -9%. Canada not seeing much of the Delta variant-better close borders ! cases -7%, deaths -40%.

Worldwide cases +12%, deaths now +1%...France +63% in cases, Germany +31% in cases-deaths still decreasing-do have restrictions. 

The Delta variant may bring the worst so far in this pandemic...

-A short mention of other events, banking/economic crises, food crises, climate crises, cyber wars, organized crime gaining power because government-political parties may get funded by them...even in western countries...

A government needs to govern...not "just" to manage...dump costs at local governments and then decrease tax for their rich (in part criminal) sponsors...

We are sinking deeper into the swamp...

-Flutrackers latest posts;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/919121-ivermectin-in-long-covid-patients-a-retrospective-study[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/919121-ivermectin-in-long-covid-patients-a-retrospective-study ; We are summarising the outcomes in 856 patients previously admitted at a Public Hospital in the Province of Buenos Aires, due to moderate/severe COVID infection, who surmounted the infection and could be released later on. We selected those whose symptoms, and mainly, the duration of them- could be attributed to long convalescence (“long haulers”). In them, a simple post-COVID treatment with ivermectin (IVM) was applied, thus provoking a faster reduction of manifestations.

DJ-Ivermectin does not make "cents"....so no studies on it will be good enough for Big Pharma-FDA/CDC etc cooperation "working for public interest and shareholders"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919120-hungarian-capital-offers-tests-amid-vaccine-efficacy-worries-many-fully-vaccinated-people-reported-tests-at-private-labs-indicated-that-they-hadn-t-developed-antibodies-against-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919120-hungarian-capital-offers-tests-amid-vaccine-efficacy-worries-many-fully-vaccinated-people-reported-tests-at-private-labs-indicated-that-they-hadn-t-developed-antibodies-against-covid-19 ; Hungary's capital city is offering free antibody testing to its elderly residents in a bid to ratchet up pressure on the government over concerns that certain vaccines don't provide adequate protection against the coronavirus.

The offer of 20,000 free tests, available for Budapest residents over 60, came after many fully vaccinated people reported that tests they had undergone at private laboratories indicated that they hadn't developed antibodies to defend against COVID-19.

Budapest Deputy Mayor Ambrus Kiss said those reports came primarily from people who received China's Sinopharm vaccine, convincing city leaders that there was “a genuine problem." He said the government should consider offering third doses to those with inadequate immune response.

“If there is such a loss of confidence in certain vaccines, then the government needs to order a third dose and free up the capacities for giving them,” Kiss told The Associated Press, adding that the tests are available to anyone over 60 regardless of which vaccine they received...

DJ-AstraZeneca was 10% effective against the Beta/SA variant, Pfizer itself claims a booster vaccine is needed against the Delta variant...Israel and Scotland see decreasing protection from vaccines against the Delta variant...with the Delta variant now exploding in partly vaccinated countries it will further mutate/develop towards vaccine escape...(from ALL present vaccines very likely...since several countries used several vaccines-and Delta variant is exploding in all those countries).

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24 latest UK cases up +30%, deaths +62,7%, hospital cases +56,6%...in one of the most vaccinated countries worldwide...BoJo's plan to reopen is criminal...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/other-aa/919006-co-possible-plague-death-reported-in-la-plata-county-confirmed[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/emerging-diseases-other-health-threats-alphabetical-i-thru-z/other-aa/919006-co-possible-plague-death-reported-in-la-plata-county-confirmed ; A La Plata County resident is suspected of having died from the plague, San Juan Basin Public Health reported Thursday. If confirmed, it would be the first plague death in Colorado since 2015.

Only one other case of plague, identified in El Paso County, has been reported in 2021.

-

State health officials have confirmed that plague was responsible for the death of a Durango-area child.

The 10-year-old girl was a member of a local 4H group, the Weaselskin 4H Club, confirmed one of the club’s leaders, Mike Latham. The club and the girl’s family declined to comment further.

A statement released Friday evening from the Colorado Department of Health and Environment said the investigation of the case to determine how and when the girl contracted plague is continuing...

DJ The Plague may be "under control" in many area's but is not gone...the present pandemic could open the door for other illnesses...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919083-71-fully-vaccinated-virginians-have-been-hospitalized-for-covid-19-and-17-have-died[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919083-71-fully-vaccinated-virginians-have-been-hospitalized-for-covid-19-and-17-have-died ; RICHMOND, Va. -- According to new data from the Virginia Department of Health, 1,063 fully-vaccinated Virginians have tested positive for COVID-19. That's less than one percent of all COVID-19 case numbers.
The VDH dashboard also shows 71 fully-vaccinated Virginians have been hospitalized for COVID-19, and 17 have died.
"It is highly unusual, and when it occurs, it is surprising," explained Rebekah Butterfield, epidemiologist with the Richmond Henrico Health District. "Every time that that occurs, a few cases that we've had, we do make note of it and look into the patient's medical history to see if there are other, you know, underlying reasons for that.”...

DJ-If vaccine protection is 95% still 5% may not have protection...The claimed protection is based on earlier studies..in practice during a pandemic with variants mutating protection will erode, decrease...STOP THE SPREAD= also slowing down vaccine-escape...

But reopening because a certain % has been vaccinated while variants explode is giving away all the gains one did get from vaccinations...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_DDqsqhrfE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_DDqsqhrfE on the UK debate on July 19 "Freedom Day" Bojo=mad insanity (DJ- I am NOT neutral..."objective" etc...I do not believe people ever are...so be just open about that !).  The Lancet published a letter from 122 scientists warning against "reopening" in the middle of a Delta variant explosion...

Instead Delay complete re-opening until everyone, including adolescents, have been offered vaccination and uptake is high 

Mitigation measures, especially adequate ventilation CO2 monitors and air filtration devices 

Spacing in schools With Universal mask wearing in indoor spaces, even for those vaccinated 

This will ensure that everyone is protected and make it much less likely that we will need further restrictions or lockdowns in the autumn.

DJ-BoJo&Co could at least act as if they did take this pandemic serious...To many governments around the globe did not stop travel in time...over and over again..so the virus and variants could spread around the globe. The Delta variant did "fly for free" with infected persons...if there was no flight it would not get in that area/country...

It is "not just a cold/flu/hay fever like" -it is killing millions of people, causing long lasting/life long health issues for millions more...

Yes-you do need an economy to keep health care going but reorganize that economy so it does not kill millions ! 

DJ-If the UK government reopens-killing hundreds of thousend "to save the economy" there is an International Criminal Court...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYTyi2pFXxk&t=346s[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYTyi2pFXxk&t=346s For the 122 scientists press conference/debate...(not only interesting for the UK...)

Music; Down Town (but not now !) -Petula Clark [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zx06XNfDvk0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zx06XNfDvk0 1964...

DJ,

Last week 1 in 183 Amsterdam citizens tested positive for Covid. In Groningen-north of NL-it was even 1 in 108...both cities house a lot of students and bars, clubs etc. mixed with Delta variant cases exploded. 

Still [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ NL dropped to #16 in new cases list yesterday-reflecting sunday testing. Our government did everything possible to get us in the top 10 again. "We" reopened end of june while the Delta variant-"only hay fever like symptoms" was increasing. 

So sorry UK in the most stupid government competition BoJo became #2...the Dutch government is even more unwise...Still the UK did get at #2 in highest number of reported cases ! Almost 35,000 new cases ! A good basis for reopening for BoJo & Co...maybe someone should tell them the idea was to try to slow down the pandemic...

Indonesia-with over 40,000 new cases at #1. Proberbly most on Java-one of the most populated islands in the world...With limited vaccines the Indonesia government was-at first-succesfull in vaccinating the most social active. Police, healthcare, drivers....vaccination strategy may make a difference ! 

Yesterday global number of new cases 390,000+/deaths 6,440...proberbly the last day with such "low" numbers for some time. It will get worse both in cases (and because of high number of cases) in deaths then we have seen so far in this pandemic. We could even go over 1 million new cases per day some days...April 29 did see 903,000+ new cases-most related to the UK variant...January 20 did see 17,569 global deaths-also linked to the UK variant..1,823 of those deaths in the UK at that time. 

The Delta-variant is 2x worse...vaccinations worldwide are very limited. New variants may also be increasing...

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table global trends cases +13%, deaths +2%...For the UK cases up +29%, deaths +56%...again-BoJo & Co the idea is to reduce those numbers...they represent real people, real suffering, real horrors....Most countries are increasing restrictions and vaccinations...NL cases +581% but deaths -44%. The Dutch "government" is doing all it can to bring the deaths also over the +100%...

This pandemic may have been "political" all the time. Right wing parties fighting for the 0,1% claiming to own "everythingh" making this democracy a "democrazy"....Putting private interests for public interests, money for people...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plague_of_Justinian[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plague_of_Justinian may be interesting to compare...how much damage did it bring ? What was the relation with wars...economy...Just like today the Roman Empire was ruled by an elite fighting for self interest...

Comparing the present pandemic with the 1918/19 Spanish Flu-"mild" pandemic-"only" killing 2-5% of the global population may give a false perspective. Present 2021 health care is NOT made for massive numbers of people in need of specialized care...it is mostly made for "planned care" -with planned room for incidents. The Delta/other variants may show present healthcare of "very limited use" when tens of thousends per million in the population may need a hospital bed or ICU....

The basic idea that infectious diseases "can no longer harm us" is very, very wrong ! From antibiotics getting useless to all kind of viral diseases the trend has been clear for decades...but politics did not want to see it !

-Flutrackers latest posts;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919216-lethal-pneumonia-cases-in-mojiang-miners-2012-and-the-mineshaft-could-provide-important-clues-to-the-origin-of-sars-cov-2[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919216-lethal-pneumonia-cases-in-mojiang-miners-2012-and-the-mineshaft-could-provide-important-clues-to-the-origin-of-sars-cov-2 ; With the COVID-19 pandemic reaching its worst heights, people are interested in the origin of SARS-CoV-2. This study started with two important questions: first, were there any similar atypical pneumonia outbreaks, even on a smaller level, reported between SARS in 2004 and COVID-19 in 2019/20 in China. Second, examining the beta-coronavirus most closely related to date with SARS-CoV-2 at the genome sequence level, strain RaTG13 (CoV4991), which was sampled from a horseshoe bat in Yunnan province, we asked where exactly did it come from.

 It was found that RaTG13/CoV4991 was collected from Tongguan mineshaft in Mojiang, Yunnan, China, in 2013. Surprisingly, the same mineshaft was also associated with a severe pneumonia-like illness in miners in 2012 killing three of the six miners. A Master's thesis (in the Chinese language) was found on the cnki.net website which described in detail the severe illness in miners. The thesis concluded that a SARS-like CoV originating from Chinese horseshoe bats (Rhinolophus) was the predicted causative agent. 

The cases were remotely monitored by a prominent pulmonologist in China. Retrospective analysis of the pneumonia cases shows striking similarities with COVID-19. Bilateral pneumonia, vascular complications like pulmonary thromboembolism, and secondary infections are the main similarities. 

The treatment regimes were similar to the current treatments for COVID-19. We propose that the Mojiang mineshaft miners' illness could provide important clues to the origin of SARS-CoV-2. These cases should be studied by various academicians, researchers, and medical professionals as many important questions are raised in this context.

DJ-Could it be Covid19/SARS-2 has been smoldering small scale-mostly in bats-since 2012 ? see also [url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/919217-pla-coronavirus-researcher-who-died-under-suspicious-circumstances-linked-to-us-university-where-lab-rats-died-of-sars-cov-2-like-virus-beginning-in-november-2019[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/919217-pla-coronavirus-researcher-who-died-under-suspicious-circumstances-linked-to-us-university-where-lab-rats-died-of-sars-cov-2-like-virus-beginning-in-november-2019 ; However, the report revealed that the patent, filed by the PLA’s Institute of Military Medicine, was lodged just five weeks after China acknowledged human-to-human transmission of the novel virus.
Professor Nikolai Petrovsky from Flinders University told the paper: “This is something we have never seen achieved before, raising the question of whether this work may have started much ­earlier”.

DJ Who did know what when ? Intel-agencies did fail if they missed to large scale developments at the end of 2019 in China. (DJ-I see some similarities with 9-11-2001...planes flying into buildings in the US...pilots training for that...how could it be missed ?)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919213-china-across-the-country-many-local-officials-are-implementing-travel-and-other-restrictions-for-people-who-are-not-covid-19-vaccinated-july-11-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919213-china-across-the-country-many-local-officials-are-implementing-travel-and-other-restrictions-for-people-who-are-not-covid-19-vaccinated-july-11-2021 ; From the 25th, in principle, people who have not received the new crown vaccine (except for contraindications) are not allowed to enter medical institutions Inpatient departments, nursing homes, schools (kindergartens, nurseries, off-campus training institutions), libraries, museums, prisons and other key places.

DJ China may be in more problems with the Delta variant. Reporting an increase of 70% of cases, last week 116, this week 197 may not-yet-be all of the story. It would be welcome if China could report on Chinese vaccins and reinfections.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919212-florida-orange-county-orlando-area-officials-recommend-everyone-wears-a-mask-when-in-crowded-indoor-locations-even-if-vaccinated-july-12-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919212-florida-orange-county-orlando-area-officials-recommend-everyone-wears-a-mask-when-in-crowded-indoor-locations-even-if-vaccinated-july-12-2021 ; Orange County leaders are once again recommending everyone to wear a mask when in crowded, indoor locations regardless of whether they are vaccinated. This guidance comes as Orange County’s positivity rate has jumped higher in the past two weeks.

According to Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, the county’s 14-day rolling positivity rate now sits at 7.78%.

“Two weeks ago on June 28, it was 4.28%. We are now considered by the CDC the high-risk category for community transmission, that quite frankly is not good news for our county,” Demings said.

DJ-Vaccines NEVER promissed 100% protection against severe disease.

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919206-cidrap-delta-covid-19-surges-worsen-who-challenges-push-for-vaccine-booster-doses[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919206-cidrap-delta-covid-19-surges-worsen-who-challenges-push-for-vaccine-booster-doses ; The head of the World Health Organization (WHO) today warned that the pandemic is worsening with the Delta (1617.2) variant spreading at a scorching pace, and chided countries and drug companies for pushing for third vaccine booster doses when many countries don't have enough to protect their health workers and other vulnerable groups.
Meanwhile, in promising vaccine supply developments, the WHO said it has licensed two more AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine manufacturing sites—one in Japan and the other in Australia. Also, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, announced today that it has signed purchase agreements with China-based Sinopharm and Sinovac, which will make 110 million doses available to the COVAX program.

Delta surge exposes vaccine inequities

At a briefing today, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, said global COVID-19 cases rose for the fourth week in a row, with deaths now rising, following a 10-week decline. "The Delta variant is ripping around the world at a scorching pace, driving a new spike in cases and death," he said, noting that the variant has now been detected in 104 countries and will likely soon become the world's dominant strain.
In countries with high vaccination coverage, Delta spread is impacting unprotected people and putting pressure on health systems. But the situation is particularly bad in low vaccine-coverage countries, where the variant is driving catastrophic waves with high numbers of cases and deaths.
He likened the spread to a forest fire that the world needs to battle together to extinguish, with health workers on the frontlines and older people and at-risk groups the most vulnerable to the flames. "The priority now must be to vaccinate those who have received no doses and protection."
Tedros said current data show vaccination offers long lasting immunity against severe disease and death, and he urged Moderna and Pfizer to—instead of focusing on boosters for high coverage countries—go all out to channel vaccine supply to COVAX.
"Tens of millions of vaccine dose donations are starting to come through, but we need more and we need them faster," he said.

DJ-Discussion on vaccinating 12-17 y/o age group, booster vaccines does not mean more vaccines are needed in countries we keep poor. We have to go both directions-increase vaccine levels in "rich" countries and start large scale vaccination campains in poor countries. DJ-But we also have to STOP THE SPREAD !!!! 

More global headlines

• Indonesia's surge continued to worsen, with daily cases passing 40,000 for the first time and reaching a new record level. Social media reports from the country say about 450 people have died while in isolation due to difficulty finding treatment. The United States yesterday announced that it is sending 3 million doses of Moderna vaccine to Indonesia through the COVAX program.
• In other Asian hot spots, Vietnam reported a new single-day high for cases yesterday, 1,953, with Ho Chi Minh City as the country's epicenter. Thailand today said it will use AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine as the second dose for those who received an initial Sinovac dose, the first country to do so and amid questions about long-term protection of two Sinovac doses, according to Reuters. Elsewhere, cases are surging in Myanmar, which reported record cases and deaths and shortages of oxygen supplies.
• Other countries reporting new record highs include Bangladesh, as well as Cuba, where the government's handling of the pandemic partly fueled unprecedented public protests over the weekend.
• In Europe, cases in the Netherlands have risen to its highest of year and the country's prime minister apologized for the nation reopening too quickly, and in the United Kingdom, government officials said today that England will move to its final stage of easing restrictions on Jul 19, even though its current surge isn't expected peak before the middle of August, according to the BBC. Officials said vaccination coverage would protect health systems from becoming overwhelmed and that some guidance will remain, such as wearing face coverings in some public places.
• A report today from three United Nations organizations said world hunger spiked dramatically in 2020, likely due to the impacts of the pandemic. Africa was the hardest hit part of the world, and the groups estimated that as many as 811 million people were undernourished last year. They said critical efforts are needed to fulfill an earlier pledge to end world hunger by 2030.
• The global total today climbed to 186,782,156 cases, with at least 4,030,857 deaths, according to the New York Times.

There is a pandemic triangle "disease-spread-hosts" and we have to get grip on all three of them ! In my view corona-virus diseases are very hard to control so you have to get numbers/spread closer to R0 0,1 the 1...and then accept local outbreaks to be managed by vaccines/NPI, contact tracing etc...Only if vaccinations/treatments (Ivermectin ?) could reduce serious/severe disease to flu-like levels there may be room for large scale reopenings. 

If we want to stop the next pandemic we have to stop jumping up and down the planet "for fun", restrict travel, restrict mass events...we do not have that luxery !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/898806-milan-cancer-institute-the-coronavirus-in-italy-since-september-2019[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/898806-milan-cancer-institute-the-coronavirus-in-italy-since-september-2019 latest; Lab rats dying of mysterious COVID-19-like illness starting in 11/2019 in Pittsburgh, PA.
"presence of the SARS-CoV-1/2 Nucleocapsid antigen in the lung epithelial cells and renaltubular epithelial cells in COVID-19-like diseased rats"

-

MILAN—In the quest to understand how the Covid-19 pandemic began, one persistent mystery is an Italian woman who researchers say they can no longer find.

Members of a World Health Organization-led team studying the origins of the virus want to investigate the case of a 25-year-old Milan resident who in November 2019 visited a hospital with a sore throat and skin lesions: symptoms of a disease that wouldn’t be discovered in the city of Wuhan in China for another month. She left behind a skin sample, smaller than a dime, that in two tests conducted more than six months later yielded traces of the Covid-19 virus, according to research published in January by the British Journal of Dermatology.

Additional studies of the woman’s case, scientists say, could help determine how long the virus was circulating in China and elsewhere before a cluster of cases erupted at Wuhan’s Huanan seafood market in December 2019. The Covid-19-positive skin sample, sitting in wax in a researcher’s office in Milan, is an example of the scattered clues about the pandemic’s early days that the WHO-led investigation is pursuing outside of China, where the pandemic began.

“You cannot ignore it,” said Dutch virologist Marion Koopmans, a member of the WHO-led team, referring to the Italian case in an April interview. She said the case offered enough evidence to merit broader investigation into whether the virus had spread to Italy by November 2019.

The problem, researchers say, is that none of them know who or where she is. Milan’s Policlinico hospital and the University of Milan, which oversaw her case, said they don’t have her details. Raffaele Gianotti, the dermatologist who treated her, died in March, days before the WHO-led team asked for more research into his patient. Covid-19 didn’t cause his death, said his wife, Roberta Massobrio.

DJ-I think one has to be open-minded. For now the idea is SARS-2/Covid 19 pandemic started in Wuhan-China...but we may be wrong in that ? If bats could have more often CoViD-possible spreading to other hosts 9then bats) the pandemic could have maybe started on more then one place...could some of the variant be related to non-human hosts-maybe at several places ? 

Tunnel vision is NOT science ! Blaming China without knowing the facts does not help anyone !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919199-cidrap-news-scan-flu-vaccine-and-covid-19-one-dose-covid-vaccine-protection-in-elderly[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919199-cidrap-news-scan-flu-vaccine-and-covid-19-one-dose-covid-vaccine-protection-in-elderly ; People who received the flu vaccine prior to having COVID-19 had less risk of sepsis, stroke, deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and disease requiring emergency or intensive care, according to a study presented at the European Congress of Clinical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases (ECCMID) this year.

-

A single dose of an mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine reduced SARS-CoV-2 infection risk by about two-thirds in the elderly, according to a Clinical Infectious Diseases study late last week.

DJ-We may go to long term planning on how to deal with corona-virus diseases/variants, a next pandemic...Reopening now, ignoring the risks, is making matters much, much worse ! The NL and UK government are acting against basic human rights. Protecting the public is a government duty ! Flu vaccines may "alarm" the immune system...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/australia-2019-ncov/919195-sydney-may-extend-covid-lockdown-amid-delta-outbreak[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/australia-2019-ncov/919195-sydney-may-extend-covid-lockdown-amid-delta-outbreak  ; The prospect of an extended lockdown looms over Sydney as Australian health officials reported yet another record daily rise in COVID-19 cases for the year, fuelled by the highly infectious Delta variant.

On Monday, the state of New South Wales, where Sydney is located, reported 112 new locally transmitted cases, almost all in Sydney, despite the country’s biggest city entering its third week of lockdown.

Case numbers have been at record levels for at least three days.

State Premier Gladys Berejiklian said most of Monday’s cases were family members or close friends of already infected people, and pleaded with residents to comply with lockdown rules, which were tightened over the weekend.

Sydney residents are not to leave their homes unless for food purchasing, clinical therapy or everyday workouts...

DJ Both China and Australia show how hard it is to get limited Delta variant outbreaks under control. 

-Citizens TV-short; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CL3kAtRfKU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CL3kAtRfKU Dr. Helen Salisburry on herd immunity. Going for herd immunity by infection when you can go for herd immunity by vaccination is criminal. 

From the comments; Straight out of the Tyrant Playbook. Mass deaths actually maintain fear, which history shows pushes the populus straight into the arms of fascist leaders. 

Boris Johnson is NOT a clown. He is a fascist in a clown suit. Wake up!

-

The 85% figure is the minimum level by which you need to reduce transmission to stop the number of infected people growing for the level of infectiousness of the Delta variant.  The government estimates are that current vaccines reduce transmission by 50%, so even if you vaccinate 100% of the population you only reduce transmission by 50%.  Surely herd immunity by only vaccine is impossible, although vaccines will give us far higher protection against symptomatic disease, hospitalisation and death.

DJ Vaccines and NPI can limit deaths and suffering. They are possible, affordable, doable-reopening to get "natural herd immunity" with the Delta variant exploding will result in new variants, immune escape-a much worse, longer lasting, pandemic. 

Brazil has a fascist dictator going for that strategy-resulting in genocide. Both NL and the UK deserve better ! Maybe a national strike to protect the workers is needed ? Trade unions-where are you ? 

I think Dr. John Campbell is making up his mind on how to react...

Music-More then a feeling-Boston-[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4QK8RxCAwo[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4QK8RxCAwo  comment ; 

Stay safe !

KiwiMum-You put my view in five sentences ! I take sometimes up 100X that room ! Very good !

DJ,

[url]https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/uk-politician-admits-on-live-television-that-the-more-covid-vaccines-people-have-had-the-more-likely-they-are-to-get-and-transmit-covid[/url] or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/uk-politician-admits-on-live-television-that-the-more-covid-vaccines-people-have-had-the-more-likely-they-are-to-get-and-transmit-covid Hal Turner has been writing a lot of non-sense on this pandemic. But a basic question should be do vaccines make dealing with this pandemic-long term-better ? 

And that depends on how you deal with the crisis during/after large scale vaccination but with the virus/variants still around. 

In my opinion vaccines-in a longer term strategy-buy time. For the short term they do reduce serious symptoms a lot. 

But opening up, giving up all restrictions-while the variants are still around is foolish ! Vaccines protect much less against infections...but those infections spread now more without symptoms. The pandemic gets under the radar...

Mutations do NOT stop ! So new variants do NOT stop ! Meaning this pandemic does NOT stop !!!!!

STOP THE SPREAD !!!!!!

You have a fire triangle; fuel-oxygen-temperature, if temperature gets high enough and with oxygen around fuel starts burning (fast oxydation...). 

In a pandemic triangel ; 

1 Disease (virus or otherwise)-

2 Hosts (human/non human-goes also for plants/food production !)-

3 Spread( the disease has to get into the host)-

The idea was vaccinations would break the link-stop getting the disease into the host-it does NOT !!!!! ("leaky vaccines"/non sterile vaccinations [url]https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32582220/[/url] or https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32582220/ "infection permissive immunity").

Why did "we" go for vaccines ? Profit, money, greed ! Big Pharma maffia in control of "science" and by buying both "science" and "politics" governments went this way !!

We could and should have stopped the spread early 2020-an investigation on why "we" did not may be more usefull then a study on "lab escape"..."We"keep repeating the mistake. The UK did import large scale the Delta variant from India in april/may...It was allowed to spread all over the globe almost...

The other side of freedom is responsibility !!!!!

There is absolutely NO USE in stopping a pandemic when you keep spreading the virus-variants !!!! All of the vaccination is wasted if you do not stop the disease...(and again vaccination does NOT stop the virus !!!!). 

-Another basic problem is understanding pandemics. 

The political elite does not accept the idea of a climate crisis. Science can proof what they want. Politics claim to see the urgency...and then global warming further increases due to lack of any usefull actions...

The basic idea was "infectious diseases" and 21st century "do not mix"; small scale problem...allthough science has been making clear for decades another pandemic was around the corner. Anti-biotics getting more and more powerless against resistent bacteria...

Under-estimating the damage a pandemic can do is a red line all of this major health crisis. Wishfull thinking is more dominant then facts !

"Summer will save us", "vaccines will save us" -Teddy bears will save us...are we dealing with adults here ? 

This pandemic is out of control due to bad politics ! Looking for excuses, blaming others is the major strategy..if it is not China itself Chinese vaccines are to blame...Sputnik-5 /anti Russia propaganda...it does not solve the healthcrisis !

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/07/us-launches-another-attempt-to-regime-change-cuba.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/07/us-launches-another-attempt-to-regime-change-cuba.html Western embedded "media" using pictures of a pro-government demonstration as "proof" of anti-government demonstrations in Cuba...

This pandemic shows how bankrupt and empty "the west" did get...democrazy in stead of democracy...

Vaccinations can be part of a plan but not ALL of the plan to deal with pandemics. A PAN-demic is a GLOBAL problem...the "west" is basicly saying people in Africa, South Asia, Latin America can die...

The health crisis is going further into the swamp...

What really concerns me about the experimental vaccines is that they enable asymptomatic cases to walk amongst us. A far better "vaccine" would have been one that makes clear to everyone at a glance exactly who has Covid. If only some bright spark could have created one that turned people green when they had Covid, then we'd be able to knock the disease on the head by giving that person a wide berth. But making them asymptomatic is madness.

DJ, 

I do not "like wars" but life is full of problems, challenges and dealing with that is "life"...(but I know what you mean ViQueen24...only "war on drugs" "war on terror" made matters worse-not better !).I did read a NL story on the Delta variant-7 questions....Yes-if the virus kills the host it can no longer spread....DJ-But basically the more hosts a virus can find the better it may survive...Coronavirusses have the nasty habbit of being in all kind of animals...

Virusses can even spread in plants, fish...they need a host for reproduction in the cells. Otherwise ("fantasy overdrive") "they could stick together and create a "whole new" sort of species"....

Yes-virusses do-at some point- often get "milder". But the reason for that is the virus survives that way...A [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flashover[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flashover  ; A flashover is the near-simultaneous ignition of most of the directly exposed combustible material in an enclosed area. When certain organic materials are heated, they undergo thermal decomposition and release flammable gases. Flashover occurs when the majority of the exposed surfaces in a space are heated to their autoignition temperature and emit flammable gases (see also flash point). Flashover normally occurs at 500 °C (932 °F) or 590 °C (1,100 °F) for ordinary combustibles and an incident heat flux at floor level of 20 kilowatts per square metre (2.5 hp/sq ft).

in a pandemic-in my idea-would see Covid19 showing up in lots of species, lots of forms/variants....

In such a-horror-scenario we would be lost..."dead on our feet"....Again STOP THE SPREAD !!!!

The potential risks are NOT recognized/realized by a lot of experts...In 1945 US nuclear testing there was-with some scientists-the idea a nuclear explosion could ignite oxygen in the air...basiccally "ignite the world". That idea/risk may have stopped a lot of scientist for going into that field...

"Can we destroy this planet"? Yes we can ! This pandemic is getting much worse...

-Numbers [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ and [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table ;

Global cases july 14 almost 555,000, with 8,715 deaths reported. Trends cases up +15%, deaths +3%...

The UK yesterday reported 42,302 cases, 49 deaths-trends cases +28%, deaths +42% (last week 161, this week 229...so "still limited")...the trend NOT mentioned is immune escape...

Another question always asked with new variants; "Does it bring more severe disease ?"-well if cases explode the result will be more severe cases, deaths because there are limits to healthcare...Hospitals worldwide so far did the impossible-at great costs, loss of life of many HCW-ers-to deal with the outbreaks...

It may be time to go on a strike...politics is causing those new outbreaks, did cause this pandemic...is NOT stopping it, still in denial, still going for vaccines that may be of use for the short term but a major risk on the longer term...

Global healthcare is run by big pharma for profit-NOT for public health...and politics simply does not want to see that...

Can we get over 8 million deaths per 1-1-2022 ? More and more likely...unless we further "change/manipulate statistics"...

In NL testing may have decreased, vaccinations may be decreasing-due to higher demand and burocrazy/burocracy..."Expets"claimed the over 10,000 cases in NL saturday would be the peak-cases would drop...of course they do not ! Yesterday we did get an even higher number (10,200+ saturday, 10,400 wednesday...the highest number per day was 13,000+). 

The UK has been seeing increases of cases for weeks-so why in NL cases would go down with less restrictions and vaccinations ? Because "clubs" have to close at midnight ? Please ! Can we get rid of these kind of crap "experts "! 

The Delta variant now is spreading in more age groups-the spread started at bars/clubs but does not stop because there are (small) limits to clubs, outdoor festivals, putting Ibiza on a risk list...AFTER the spread started ! 

Since these "experts" just like a lot of "politicians/leaders" did cause this problem they have become part of the problem...

The present power elite that is responsible for climate "change" will never, ever be able to see the changes needed to get out of the crisis. They are part of the problem ! A lot of elite did START this pandemic due to inaction and stupidity or evil...they will NOT stop this pandemic ! 

On tuesday Dr.J.C.  had a video explaining the UK government view on reopening per july 19...Dr.J.C. translated it to going for herd immunity...(and I do not know why he was not much more critical...I wonder if he is a member/supporter of BoJo ? Sometimes people claim to be "neutral and objective" show to have their own agenda...I am NOT neutral or objective ! I think governments have a major role to play in our society...to balance "capitalism" with (defending) public interests. Public/private imbalance may-in my opinion-be one of the roots of the present crisis...). Going for herd immunity means spreading the virus-with the goal of ending the pandemic. 

In "other animals" we do know that strategy-for corona virusses- does NOT work ! We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein

The Israel numbers; 797 new cases, 2 deaths "all still limited"-only "still" is simply NOT good enough ! Cases up 52% last week (and an error in the deaths statistics...)...

NL-Cases up 411% last week 11,480-this week 58,646...deaths -33% 15 last week-10 this week...thanks to the NL government acting stupid-but also thank you Dutch voters for voting on this bunch of @#$%*( ! Well done ! Of course NL cases/deaths will not be better then UK statistics with less vaccinations/restrictions in NL...

[url]https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/[/url] or https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/ Lambda variant-US 703 (+35 last 4 weeks), Germany 100, (+1) Spain 56 (+5) Comparing it with [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant#Statistics based on GISAID july 13-only change US there had 608 Lambda variant cases-suggesting an increase of 95...more likely an error in writing...

Variant statistics are "not the best"....

-Flutrackers latest posts; 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/919383-china-officials-deny-off-campus-elementary-and-middle-school-training-sessions-are-suspended-in-yulin-city-shaanxi-province-july-14-2021[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/919383-china-officials-deny-off-campus-elementary-and-middle-school-training-sessions-are-suspended-in-yulin-city-shaanxi-province-july-14-2021 ; On July 14, it was reported by the media that all counties and districts of Yulin city were shutting down the out-of-school training institutions for subjects in the compulsory education stage .

-

A reporter from Huashang Daily-Ersanli inquired on the official website of the Yulin Education Bureau and found no relevant documents or announcements. "This news is untrue, and we have not issued a similar announcement. The person interviewed by the media is not in charge of our work and is not familiar with this work."

DJ All indications are China is dealing with major Delta-outbreaks...communication is still a problem. China can and should do better in communication ! A lot of countries in Asia see major outbreaks...it is only logic China has the same problems. Denial makes "the global public" "question" if China has things "to hide" . China likes to claim to be at #102 for total cases-"only" 92,119 cases-yesterday +24 and 4,636 deaths in all of this pandemic...trends cases +0,6% last week 169 new cases-this week 170-0 deaths...

I would love to believe those numbers...But why Cuba, Vietnam, Serbia are doing so much worse while there are a lot of similarities ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919379-%E2%80%98people-are-going-to-die-needlessly%E2%80%99-msdh-releases-new-guidelines-in-response-to-spike-in-delta-variant-infections[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919379-%E2%80%98people-are-going-to-die-needlessly%E2%80%99-msdh-releases-new-guidelines-in-response-to-spike-in-delta-variant-infections ; 

The rapid rise of Delta variant cases and virus outbreaks combined with the state’s low vaccination rate led the Mississippi Department of Health to release a slew of new COVID-related guidelines on Friday.

The new recommendations, which will stay in place through July 26, are:

• All Mississippi residents ages 65 and older, as well as anyone with a chronic underlying medical condition, should avoid all indoor mass gatherings regardless of their vaccination status.
• All unvaccinated Mississippians wear a mask when indoors in public settings.
• All Mississippians 12 years of age and older get vaccinated.

... While MSDH has made these new recommendations, they are just that. Mississippi has had next to no COVID-related restrictions at the state level since Gov. Tate Reeves repealed most of them in March.

DJ-Increase of infections with limited increase of vaccine protection should translate to more NPI/restrictions...if you want to control an outbreak...why Australia is doing that but US,UK, NL "best prepared for a pandemic in 2019 arrogance" keep failing here...Related;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919378-tennessee-abandons-vaccine-outreach-to-minors-%E2%80%94-not-just-for-covid-19[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919378-tennessee-abandons-vaccine-outreach-to-minors-%E2%80%94-not-just-for-covid-19 ; The Tennessee Department of Health will halt all adolescent vaccine outreach – not just for coronavirus, but all diseases – amid pressure from Republican state lawmakers, according to an internal report and agency emails obtained by the Tennessean. If the health department must issue any information about vaccines, staff are instructed to strip the agency logo off the documents.

The health department will also stop all COVID-19 vaccine events on school property, despite holding at least one such event this month. The decisions to end vaccine outreach and school events come directly from Health Commissioner Dr. Lisa Piercey, the internal report states.

... Staff were also told not to do any "pre-planning" for flu shots events at schools. Any information released about back-to-school vaccinations should come from the Tennessee Department of Education, not the Tennessee Department of Health, Jones wrote.

"Any kinds of informational sheets or other materials that we make available for dissemination should have the TDH logo removed," Jones wrote.

... Normally, the health department regularly advocates for vaccinating kids against many diseases without controversy.

For example, in 2019 the department published at least 15 tweets that either explicitly recommended minors be vaccinated or featured a child in a pro-vaccine image or video. The agency's outreach campaign recommended vaccination against flu, measles, mumps, rubella and human papillomavirus, or HPV, among others.
...

DJ-What is your favorite part of history ? Dark ages or stone-age ? There is no use in fighting a disease when the basics of that disease is in some "politicians" in power...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919374-cidrap-global-covid-19-deaths-on-the-rise-again[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919374-cidrap-global-covid-19-deaths-on-the-rise-again ; In its weekly pandemic snapshot yesterday, the World Health Organization (WHO) said COVID-19 deaths are increasing again after falling for 9 weeks, with the sharpest upticks in Africa and Southeast Asia.
Deaths are often a lagging COVID-19 marker, and global illnesses last week jumped 10% over the previous week, marking the fourth consecutive weekly rise. With no end in sight to the world's latest COVID-19 surge, several countries from diverse regions today reported new daily highs for cases.

Delta in more than 100 countries

Cases rose in all world regions except for the Americas, the WHO said in its situation report. Much of the increase is led by the more transmissible Delta (1617.2) variant, which was detected in 15 more countries last week, lifting the total to 111.
The five countries that reported the most cases last week include Brazil, India, Indonesia, the United Kingdom, and Colombia. Some of the nations that reported the steepest rises last week include Zimbabwe (up 72%), Tunisia (47%), Indonesia (44%), the United States (38%), Iran (38%), Bangladesh (35%), the United Kingdom (30%), Iraq (29%), Malaysia (24%), and Japan (22%).

DJ Is it not yet time to ask questions on the strategy ? This pandemic is not new ? If it was a baby it could be walking by now....Why do "we" repeat mistakes ? Why this pandemic is still not under control ? Why are many of the power-elite that did not stop this pandemic early 2020 still in power ? 

New daily highs in several countries

Just days after topping 40,000 daily cases, Indonesia's surge continued to accelerate, jumping to 54,517 cases. The country's health minister said the Delta variant has been found in 11 areas outside the more urban Java island, stoking concerns about health capacities in the less populated areas, according to Reuters.

Other Asian countries reporting new record daily highs include Myanmar, Malaysia, and Vietnam. Also, South Korea's cases reached a new record high, as health officials expanded distancing measures from the Seoul area to most parts of the country, according to Reuters.

In Japan, the city of Tokyo, where the Olympics begin in about a week, reported a new daily high of 1,149 cases, passing the peak of its fourth wave, according to Asahi Shimbun, a newspaper based in Japan.

Elsewhere, Iraq reported a new daily record high of 9,635 cases, and Russia today reported a record 786 deaths, along with 23,827 more cases.

More global headlines

• In Singapore, the detection of a COVID-19 case on a cruise prompted 3,000 passengers and crew members to be confined to their rooms before the ship docked today, allowing people to begin leaving, according to Reuters. The person who tested positive is a close contact of someone on land who contracted the virus.
• The WHO's emergency committee on COVID-19 is meeting today for the eighth time to discuss the latest developments. The group meets every 3 months, or more often as needed. They are likely to say the situation still warrants a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC) and may tweak some of their health recommendations.
• The European Medicines Agency and the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control today weighed in on the use of vaccines, emphasizing the importance of completing recommended dose sources as countries face rising Delta variant surges. Regarding "mix and match" strategies, the groups said there are not enough data to make a clear recommendation, though early signals from a few countries suggest a satisfactory immune response and no safety concerns. They also said it's too early to confirm if and when booster doses may be needed.
• The global total today rose to 187,802,240 cases, along with at least 4,048,653 deaths, according to the New York Times tracker.

DJ Vaccinations for measles, polio etc dropped by over 23 million last year, dealing with malaria, ebola, the plague is a major problem due to Covid19. The power-elite words do NOT match their (in)action(s)...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24?view=stream latest; "Limited increases" proberbly most "hay fever like issues" was killing +42,2% Covid cases in the UK, hospital admissions up 53,2%...cases +27,4% ...BoJo&Co think getting +100,000 new cases per day will end this pandemic...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919364-cidrap-covid-19-scan-bacterial-infections-with-covid-19-remote-vs-in-person-high-school[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919364-cidrap-covid-19-scan-bacterial-infections-with-covid-19-remote-vs-in-person-high-school ; Half of 399 hospitalized COVID-19 patients developed bacterial infections 48 or more hours after hospitalization, according to a PLOS One study yesterday. The bacterial superinfections were associated most strongly with lung disease, encephalopathy, mechanical ventilation, hospital stay of 8 or more days, and steroid treatment.

DJ Coinfections make Covid deadlier...of course some would love to discuss dying from Covid versus dying with Covid...the deaths do no longer take part in that kind of discussions...In many countries also fungul co-infections showed up...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919345-israeli-study-of-breakthrough-infections-following-full-bnt-pfizer-vaccination-40-immunocompromised[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919345-israeli-study-of-breakthrough-infections-following-full-bnt-pfizer-vaccination-40-immunocompromised ; Severe forms of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) linked to high mortality rates might arise in a minority of fully-vaccinated individuals with many co-occurring medical conditions, finds a recent study by Israeli researchers published in the journal Clinical Microbiology and Infection.

In Phase III clinical trials, two mRNA COVID-19 vaccines (Pfizer/BioNTech's BNT162b2 and Moderna's mRNA-1273) were shown to be 94-95% effective in preventing symptomatic forms of the disease. Moreover, similar efficacy was observed in different age groups, as well as in those older than 75 and those with comorbidities...

DJ-The "vaccine-religion"...I did not post links to countries making vaccination mandatory-for HCW-ers or the general public...I also did not put links to news on increases of cases/restrictions because it is almost global...The "news" is NOT in "claims of 95% protection" but in the explosion of cases...very likely also via the vaccinated....

One of the reasons why I keep doing this scenario's is the lousy way MSM is dealing with it...[url]https://twitter.com/DrEricDing[/url] or https://twitter.com/DrEricDing and a lot of others are doing so much better...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/919340-mbio-sex-differences-in-lung-imaging-and-sars-cov-2-antibody-responses-in-a-covid-19-golden-syrian-hamster-model[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/919340-mbio-sex-differences-in-lung-imaging-and-sars-cov-2-antibody-responses-in-a-covid-19-golden-syrian-hamster-model ; In the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), more severe outcomes are reported in males than in females, including hospitalizations and deaths. Animal models can provide an opportunity to mechanistically interrogate causes of sex differences in the pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2. Adult male and female golden Syrian hamsters (8 to 10 weeks of age) were inoculated intranasally with 10⁵ 50% tissue culture infective dose (TCID₅₀) of SARS-CoV-2/USA-WA1/2020 and euthanized at several time points during the acute (i.e., virus actively replicating) and recovery (i.e., after the infectious virus has been cleared) phases of infection. There was no mortality, but infected male hamsters experienced greater morbidity, losing a greater percentage of body mass, developed more extensive pneumonia as noted on chest computed tomography, and recovered more slowly than females. Treatment of male hamsters with estradiol did not alter pulmonary damage. Virus titers in respiratory tissues, including nasal turbinates, trachea, and lungs, and pulmonary cytokine concentrations, including interferon-β (IFN-β) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), were comparable between the sexes. 

However, during the recovery phase of infection, females mounted 2-fold greater IgM, IgG, and IgA responses against the receptor-binding domain of the spike protein (S-RBD) in both plasma and respiratory tissues. Female hamsters also had significantly greater IgG antibodies against whole-inactivated SARS-CoV-2 and mutant S-RBDs as well as virus-neutralizing antibodies in plasma. The development of an animal model to study COVID-19 sex differences will allow for a greater mechanistic understanding of the SARS-CoV-2-associated sex differences seen in the human population. 

IMPORTANCE Men experience more severe outcomes from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) than women. Golden Syrian hamsters were used to explore sex differences in the pathogenesis of a human isolate of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). After inoculation, male hamsters experienced greater sickness, developed more severe lung pathology, and recovered more slowly than females. Sex differences in disease could not be reversed by estradiol treatment in males and were not explained by either virus replication kinetics or the concentrations of inflammatory cytokines in the lungs. 

During the recovery period, antiviral antibody responses in the respiratory tract and plasma, including to newly emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants, were greater in female than in male hamsters. Greater lung pathology during the acute phase combined with lower antiviral antibody responses during the recovery phase of infection in males than in females illustrate the utility of golden Syrian hamsters as a model to explore sex differences in the pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2 and vaccine-induced immunity and protection.

DJ Immune response may also be a factor in long-covid (and auto-immune diseases related to viral infections). ME-CVS is 90% female...like many auto-immune diseases...Men may die, woman survive but with chronic illness...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/919339-j-med-case-rep-recurrent-covid-19-infection-in-a-health-care-worker-a-case-report[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/-2019-ncov-studies-research-academia/epidemiology/919339-j-med-case-rep-recurrent-covid-19-infection-in-a-health-care-worker-a-case-report ; Background: Recurrent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection is an emerging problem and may prove to be one of the greatest problems in controlling the pandemic in the future. Recurrent infections can be due to reactivation of dormant severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) or reinfection with similar or different strains of SARS-CoV-2.
Case presentation: Here we present an interesting case of a health care worker working as a laboratory assistant at a COVID-19 laboratory who developed recurrent COVID-19 infection. He did not develop an immune response after the first episode of COVID-19; however, immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies were detected after the second episode.

Conclusions: Through this case, we discuss the concept of reactivation and reinfection in the post-COVID period. We suggest that standard guidelines should be established to check for viral shedding and immune response among cured cases of COVID-19 after discharge via serial real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing and IgG antibody detection. Further, strict hygiene practices should be stressed to these patients with possibility of COVID-19 recurrence.

DJ Vaccines does NOT offer the same immune protection in all. Older people have less immune-response. Vaccines may buy us time...but could buy us illusions...

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbylLcO5_uU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbylLcO5_uU ;

DJ-Limited info under the video...FluTrackers may be a (much) better/critical source of info....Still worth watching..lots of info in the video...Cyprus doing much worse even then the UK, NL/Spain cases exploding....US hospital cases going up while vaccinations in the US are going down...(DJ-With the Lambda-variant increasing in California and the CDC not including yet that variant in the statics it may become a problem...42(+?) US states now did see Lambda variant cases according to Dr.Been).

Dr.J.C. wants to be "realistic". Ivermectin may work-but most countries in the west will not use it...He may have his ideas about UK reopening, mandatory vaccinations...but his video's are NOT about him, or his ideas...that is a choice. Misunderstanding that "road of realism" is easy... 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwUSC6rid4A[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwUSC6rid4A ; ZOE/ Prof.Tim Spector

New COVID cases plateau ahead for UK freedom day

DJ realy ? I did watch the video-some good tips to still stick to restrictions...but comments may be more realistic then the "expert"; 

and 

Important Data: Delta Variant Not So Bad

DJ realy ? 

Is youtube becoming a new MSM ? Maybe I need to watch all of the video's..not just go for the covers...

DJ-When lots of experts are telling a different story then what you think is realistic it is time to take the extra look. I am NOT an expert ! I hope to be completely wrong ! Wrong in 8 million official covid deaths per 1-1-2022 ! Wrong in the UK opening strategy will mean disaster ! I would love this pandemic to be over ! 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WVt7N5UEQkM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WVt7N5UEQkM Dr.Been on the Lambda variant...

Limited time-lots of "info" I may decide to invest less time in YouTube...

Other news-flooding in parts of western Europe...rain and riots in South Africa (and Haiti ?)...

Music [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3eOuK_-c34[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3eOuK_-c34 Let the music play-Barry White 1976 (?)

KiwiMum wrote: What really concerns me about the experimental vaccines is that they enable asymptomatic cases to walk amongst us. A far better "vaccine" would have been one that makes clear to everyone at a glance exactly who has Covid. If only some bright spark could have created one that turned people green when they had Covid, then we'd be able to knock the disease on the head by giving that person a wide berth. But making them asymptomatic is madness.

The proponents of vaccination have done a poor job of explaining what the vaccines are meant to do.

1. Vaccines don't guarantee immunity, but provide us with a means to reduce morbidity (death) and mortality (seriousness of the disease).   
2. Vaccination success is helped by keeping in place the proven procedures of masking, hand-washing, social distancing and case isolation with aggressive testing. 
3. Although they may use different technologies (mRNA, attenuated virus etc.), thus far nearly all of the vaccines seem to do a decent job of reducing morbidity and mortality.  The Chinese vaccines however seem to be failing at this.  

We are also struggling to deal with a rapidly-mutating RNA virus (SARS-CoV2), and I am impressed that the initial vaccines are as successful as they have been. 

We are all tired of fighting this pandemic, but I request that you all consider wearing masks in high-risk settings (big-box stores, concert & sports venues etc.), practice social distancing as before, and remain vigilant with your own health.  Even those of us fully vaccinated may yet catch this damn thing and pass it along to others.  Be Safe, C

CRS,DrPH-I think communications in this pandemic are one of very many things going wrong...You can think of a chain-reaction; experts underestimating-giving politics wrong info-then politics go to the MSM...after that you have a "social media mess" that should not have come as a surprise...Social media did show to be a major factor in lots of events (protests, disasters...). 

Common wisdom-you know there are some increased risks-may need some extra steps...And not all face the same risks...when you have the luxery of working your own time, from your own place you are in much less a risk then making 60 hrs a week in a supermarket, as a teacher or HCW-er...

I think ALL of the more serious experts agree on masks, social distance, hygiene etc. You do not need a "government" to think (or not) of that...

Problem of course is when rules are NOT mandatory a lot of people go for what they see as "freedom"..A lot of people (including a lot of the media) seem to be ill-informed...repeating old news...

In NL lifting of restrictions by many was seen as "the pandemic is over"-government/experts did not (re)act in time to control that idea...so that is how we end up with an explosion of cases in NL...

And YES-the info is very complex...100% more is not 100 times more...etc. 

ME163; Guy McPherson [url]https://guymcpherson.com/means-of-extinction-the-sea-the-sun-and-surprises/[/url] or https://guymcpherson.com/means-of-extinction-the-sea-the-sun-and-surprises/ "damned if you do and damned if you don't" on climate change...

I do not think we have to stop trying to get this pandemic under some sort of control-if only just to buy time, get people at least some vaccine-protection. 

Pandemics can result in social collapse-like what we now see in South Africa...first line of "defense" is hospital/healthcare...

If cases explode that first line may be broken bringing the second line at risk; logistics, security...

If that line breaks down the third line-energy, government may get at risk...

You end up at [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state ;

A failed state is a political body that has disintegrated to a point where basic conditions and responsibilities of a sovereign government no longer function properly (see also fragile state and state collapse). A state can also fail if the government loses its legitimacy even if it is performing its functions properly. For a stable state it is necessary for the government to enjoy both effectiveness and legitimacy. Likewise, when a nation weakens and its standard of living declines, it introduces the possibility of total governmental collapse. The Fund for Peace characterizes a failed state as having the following characteristics:

• Loss of control of its territory, or of the monopoly on the legitimate use of physical force
• Erosion of legitimate authority to make collective decisions
• Inability to provide public services
• Inability to interact with other states as a full member of the international community

Common characteristics of a failing state include a central government so weak or ineffective that it has an inability to raise taxes or other support, and has little practical control over much of its territory and hence there is a non-provision of public services. When this happens, widespread corruption and criminality, the intervention of state and non-state actors, the appearance of refugees and the involuntary movement of populations, sharp economic decline, and military intervention from both within and without the state in question can occur.^[1]

Metrics have been developed to describe the level of governance of states. The precise level of government control required to avoid being considered a failed state varies considerably amongst authorities.^[2] Furthermore, the declaration that a state has "failed" is generally controversial and, when made authoritatively, may carry significant geopolitical consequences.

DJ This pandemic-no doubt-is making weak states much weaker...We allready did see an increase of failed states...resulting in lots of refugees (but also (re)introduction of slave-trade etc.). 

Can a "modern country" get to failed state status ? Well maybe the Soviet Union did in 1990 ? I think a combination of factors could push even a modern state high speed into a failed state-status...and it is the combination of factors (income extreme inequality, resulting in much higher illness deaths for some, while others make money out of this pandemic...food/fuel crises, housing crisis...but also long lasting political crisis-where most of the public want elections but the President/P.M. does not want to go...-can cause a failed state). 

So No no "catch 22" ...[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dilemma[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dilemma  going for trying to get this pandemic in my view still is the better choice-made by most countries...

part 2, 

DJ-My idea with "scenario's" was to get a realistic picture on this pandemic. I prefer "scenario's" above "models"...in my idea scenario's may be more related, interact, with realtime realty. Models may start at a certain moment in time and calculate, extrapolete on basis of some ideas and numbers...while reality may allready show a (far) different picture...

Forecasting and "now-casting" in extreme weather events may show the same difference in thinking. Based on "models" there would not be 250 mm/25 cm rain in some parts of Germany/Belgium-well we did have that amount of rain in a hilly area. Water going to the lowest point...could go up 3 metres in just 3 minutes...(handicapped people in a basement had NO chance of survival). 

If we would have that amount of rain over the west of NL, Paris, Berlin, London it still would have been a disaster...

In the UK "real time monitoring" is making more and more experts alarming against UK reopening. The "models" as a base for the july 19 "reopening of England" turn out to be (totally) wrong ! 

-Young people get (much) more ill then expected-often with long term complications

-Hospitals simply often allready now are at their limits

-Number of severe cases, deaths allready is much higher then expected in "models"...

UK reopening at that basis is insane !

-Flutrackers latest posts for a wider, global view;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919517-microbiol-resour-announc-coding-complete-genome-sequences-of-11-sars-cov-2-b-1-1-7-and-b-1-351-variants-from-metro-manila-philippines[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919517-microbiol-resour-announc-coding-complete-genome-sequences-of-11-sars-cov-2-b-1-1-7-and-b-1-351-variants-from-metro-manila-philippines ; Here, we report the complete genome sequences of 11 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants from the Philippines. Lineage analysis showed 3 B.1.1.7 and 8 B.1.351 sequences. One B.1.1.7 sequence contained two additional mutations, F318N and V320F, with V320F located in the receptor binding domain of the S1 subunit.

DJ Some small mutations may have major outcomes. Variants start with minor mutations...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919518-microbiol-resour-announc-genome-sequences-of-15-sars-cov-2-sublineage-b-1-617-2-strains-in-bangladesh[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919518-microbiol-resour-announc-genome-sequences-of-15-sars-cov-2-sublineage-b-1-617-2-strains-in-bangladesh ; We report the coding-complete genome sequences of 15 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) sublineage B.1.617.2 strains that were obtained from Bangladeshi individuals with a history of recent travel to India and from the Bangladeshi community. Genomic data were generated by Nanopore sequencing using the amplicon sequencing approach developed by the ARTIC Network.

DJ "Wishfull thinking" is "there is a limit to variations...so there is a limit in variants"...this NONSENSE ends with "we proberbly will not see more new variants" . An expert-scientist making such claim should be ashamed ! This is NOT science ! Experts have to give GOOD advice to politics, not fantasy stories on "what they hope may be"...

It is this sort of garbage that make politics decide to reopen-so far resulting in new variants...If I had "advisor-experts" like this I would be dead by now...Get rid of them-send them back to university so they may realize the difference between science-facts and fantasy/wishfull thinking !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/919522-emerg-microbes-infect-identification-of-a-novel-lineage-bat-sars-related-coronaviruses-that-use-bat-ace2-receptor[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/919522-emerg-microbes-infect-identification-of-a-novel-lineage-bat-sars-related-coronaviruses-that-use-bat-ace2-receptor ; Severe respiratory disease coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been the most devastating disease COVID-19 in the century. One of the unsolved scientific questions of SARS-CoV-2 is the animal origin of this virus. Bats and pangolins are recognized as the most probable reservoir hosts that harbor highly similar SARS-CoV-2 related viruses (SARSr-CoV-2). 

This study identified a novel lineage of SARSr-CoVs, including RaTG15 and seven other viruses, from bats at the same location where we found RaTG13 in 2015. Although RaTG15 and the related viruses share 97.2% amino acid sequence identities with SARS-CoV-2 in the conserved ORF1b region, it only shows less than 77.6% nucleotide identity to all known SARSr-CoVs at the genome level, thus forming a distinct lineage in the Sarbecovirus phylogenetic tree. We found that the RaTG15 receptor-binding domain (RBD) can bind to ACE2 from Rhinolophus affinis, Malayan pangolin, and use it as an entry receptor, except for ACE2 from humans. 

However, it contains a short deletion and has different key residues responsible for ACE2 binding. In addition, we showed that none of the known viruses in bat SARSr-CoV-2 lineage discovered uses human ACE2 as efficiently as the pangolin-derived SARSr-CoV-2 or some viruses in the SARSr-CoV-1 lineage. Therefore, further systematic and longitudinal studies in bats are needed to prevent future spillover events caused by SARSr-CoVs or to understand the origin of SARS-CoV-2 better.

DJ Again I am NOT an expert ! But could some new variants allready have "relations" with non-human hosts ? Denmark minks-cluster 5 may have played a limited role...Can there be more corona-virus diseases be in bats "only a few steps/"in-between-hosts" away" from another (SARS-3 ???) pandemic on top of SARS-2 ? 

Again-widespread non-human hosts for Covid19/SARS-2 may be a nightmare/horror scenario...it can make this pandemic far worse !

Not realizing these very serious risks, still ignoring past pandemics, is one of the many mistakes in this pandemic ! This pandemic can get much worse ! Wake up !!!

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/919508-plos-pathog-intranasal-gene-therapy-to-prevent-infection-by-sars-cov-2-variants[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/919508-plos-pathog-intranasal-gene-therapy-to-prevent-infection-by-sars-cov-2-variants ; SARS-CoV-2 variants have emerged with enhanced pathogenicity and transmissibility, and escape from pre-existing immunity, suggesting first-generation vaccines and monoclonal antibodies may now be less effective.   DJ Please read this again !!!!!

Here we present an approach for preventing clinical sequelae and the spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants. First, we affinity matured an angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) decoy protein, achieving 1000-fold binding improvements that extend across a wide range of SARS-CoV-2 variants and distantly related, ACE2-dependent coronaviruses. 

Next, we demonstrated the expression of this decoy in proximal airway when delivered via intranasal administration of an AAV vector. 

This intervention significantly diminished clinical and pathologic consequences of SARS-CoV-2 challenge in a mouse model and achieved therapeutic levels of decoy expression at the surface of proximal airways when delivered intranasally to nonhuman primates. Importantly, this long-lasting, passive protection approach is applicable in vulnerable populations such as the elderly and immune-compromised that do not respond well to traditional vaccination.

This approach could be useful in combating COVID-19 surges caused by SARS-CoV-2 variants and should be considered as a countermeasure to future pandemics caused by one of the many pre-emergent, ACE2-dependent CoVs that are poised for zoonosis.

DJ Again !!!!! SARS-CoV-2 variants have emerged with enhanced pathogenicity and transmissibility, and escape from pre-existing immunity, suggesting first-generation vaccines and monoclonal antibodies may now be less effective. Vaccines did buy us time. We wasted that time on reopenings, party-time, vacations...stupidity !!!!

Is there any real strategy in dealing with this pandemic ? Or is this all a big profit/Big Pharma "economic model" ? 

We are getting close of resistent variants able to reinfect hosts over and over again with a SARS-2 severe disease-not just "hay fever/cold"symptoms but with exploding number of deaths, long term illness...

ACE-2 blocking may be a strategy to decrease risk of infection. Ivermectin may have some aspects of it (???) Vaccines are NOT ending this pandemic !!! If you do not realize that yet based on UK, Israel numbers look again !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/919507-plos-pathog-sars-cov-2-infection-in-the-syrian-hamster-model-causes-inflammation-as-well-as-type-i-interferon-dysregulation-in-both-respiratory-and-non-respiratory-tissues-including-the-heart-and-kidney[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/viral-mechanism/919507-plos-pathog-sars-cov-2-infection-in-the-syrian-hamster-model-causes-inflammation-as-well-as-type-i-interferon-dysregulation-in-both-respiratory-and-non-respiratory-tissues-including-the-heart-and-kidney ; COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) caused by SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) infection is a disease affecting several organ systems. A model that captures all clinical symptoms of COVID-19 as well as long-haulers disease is needed. 

We investigated the host responses associated with infection in several major organ systems including the respiratory tract, the heart, and the kidneys after SARS-CoV-2 infection in Syrian hamsters. 

We found significant increases in inflammatory cytokines (IL-6, IL-1beta, and TNF) and type II interferons whereas type I interferons were inhibited. Examination of extrapulmonary tissue indicated inflammation in the kidney, liver, and heart which also lacked type I interferon upregulation. Histologically, the heart had evidence of myocarditis and microthrombi while the kidney had tubular inflammation. 

These results give insight into the multiorgan disease experienced by people with COVID-19 and possibly the prolonged disease in people with post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC).

DJ It is quite likely mice, hamsters, rats-at least some of the species-just like minks could get/spread Covid19 (maybe even without showing symptoms !). I think there could be a relation with African Swine Fever (ASF)-being a major-escalating-problem a.o. in China. Did pigs get asymptomatic Covid19 like disease on top of [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_swine_fever_virus[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_swine_fever_virus ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/919504-j-pharm-pharm-sci-evaluation-of-ivermectin-as-a-potential-treatment-for-mild-to-moderate-covid-19-a-double-blind-randomized-placebo-controlled-trial-in-eastern-india[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/treatments/919504-j-pharm-pharm-sci-evaluation-of-ivermectin-as-a-potential-treatment-for-mild-to-moderate-covid-19-a-double-blind-randomized-placebo-controlled-trial-in-eastern-india ; Results: About one-fourth (23.6%) of the patients in the intervention arm and one-third (31.6%) in the placebo arm were tested reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RTPCR) negative for SARS-CoV-2 on 6th day. Although this difference was found to be statistically insignificant [rate ratio (RR): 0.8; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.4-1.4; p=0.348]. All patients in the ivermectin group were successfully discharged. In comparison the same for the placebo group was observed to be 93%. This difference was found to be statistically significant (RR: 1.1; 95% CI; 1.0-1.2; p=0.045).
Conclusions: Inclusion of ivermectin in treatment regimen of mild to moderate COVID-19 patients could not be said with certainty based on our study results as it had shown only marginal benefit in successful discharge from the hospital with no other observed benefits.

DJ Ivermectin may not always showe the same results, dosages seem to matter...I think vitamin D, boosting "natural" immunity, prevention, ivermectin, vaccines ALL can play a role in getting out of this pandemic. 

The set goal has to be getting OUT of this crisis !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/919497-spike-antibody-waning-after-second-dose-of-bnt162b2-or-chadox1[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/vaccines-aa/919497-spike-antibody-waning-after-second-dose-of-bnt162b2-or-chadox1 ; Vaccines based on the spike glycoprotein of SARS-CoV-2 are being rolled out globally to control transmission and limit morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19. Current evidence indicates strong immunogenicity and high short-term efficacy for BNT162b2 (Pfizer–BioNTech) and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Oxford–AstraZeneca).^1, 2, 3 

Both vaccines are delivered through a prime-boost strategy, and many countries, including the UK, have used dose intervals longer than 3–4 weeks, expecting to maximise first-dose coverage and immunogenicity. With continued high global incidence, and potential for more transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants, data on longer-term vaccine efficacy and antibody dynamics in infection-naive individuals are essential for clarifying the need for further booster doses.

To identify early indications of waning antibody levels to the spike protein (S-antibody) after complete two-dose vaccination, we did a cross-sectional analysis of fully vaccinated adults (aged ≥18 years) who submitted capillary blood samples for Virus Watch, a longitudinal community cohort study in England and Wales.⁴ 

The study received ethical approval from the Hampstead NHS Health Research Authority Ethics Committee (20/HRA/2320). Sera were tested using Elecsys Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S and N electro-chemiluminescent immunoassays (Roche Diagnostics, Basel, Switzerland); the S assay targets total antibodies to the S1 subunit of the spike protein (range 0·4–25 000 units per mL [U/mL]), whereas the N assay targets total antibodies to the full-length nucleocapsid protein, which we took as a proxy for previous SARS-CoV-2 infection (specificity 99·8% [99·3–100]).⁵ Serological results were linked with demographic and clinical information collected at enrolment and with weekly self-reported vaccination status.

Further referring to ; [url]https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S0140-6736%2821%2901642-1[/url] or https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S0140-6736%2821%2901642-1 ; In the context of recent advice in support of booster vaccinations from the UK’s Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation,13 and given the potentially rapid S-antibody decline suggested by these data, heterologous regimens, which preliminary data suggest elicit stronger antibody and T-cell responses,14,15 might provide more durable immunity and greater protection against emerging variants. 

However, the ultimate effect of different dose intervals and various heterologous combinations on clinical outcomes remain important unanswered questions.

DJ-Translation; Vaccines may NOT be the solution for now. Better vaccines may be needed-but costly...(my words-DJ)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919490-potential-benefits-of-expanded-covid-19-surveillance-in-the-us[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919490-potential-benefits-of-expanded-covid-19-surveillance-in-the-us ;

When public health officials assert that a new vaccine, drug, or policy is “safe,” the public needs to have full confidence in that assertion. This trust is boosted when the public knows that health officials tried hard to find flaws in their proposed strategies and “pressure tested” their assumptions. Public health strategies should be evaluated long after programs have been deployed to ensure that anticipated consequences occur as planned and unanticipated ones are detected early. This is the rationale used when the US Food and Drug Administration grants Emergency Use Authorization and requires postmarketing surveillance for adverse events before full product approval.

By June 2021, public health agencies (especially the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [CDC]¹) had gathered substantial data relevant to the COVID-19 response. There are, however, some key epidemiologic blind spots. This Viewpoint proposes several important areas of surveillance expansion.

DJ Trust, communications are essential for ANY government action during a pandemic. People may be willing to get vaccinated when the trust the government to provide help/care if those vaccines are not that perfect. If they still get ill...Just "claiming vaccines will save you" is bad communications !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/919488-long-covid-has-more-than-200-symptoms-study-finds[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/919488-long-covid-has-more-than-200-symptoms-study-finds ; The largest ever international study of people with long Covid has identified more than 200 symptoms and prompted researchers to call for a national screening programme.

The study found the myriad symptoms of long Covid – from brain fog and hallucinations to tremors and tinnitus – spanned 10 of the body’s organ systems, and a third of the symptoms continued to affect patients for at least six months.

... The study, published in the Lancet’s journal EClinicalMedicine, surveyed 3,762 people with confirmed or suspected long Covid from 56 countries. It identified 203 symptoms, of which 66 were tracked for seven months.

The most common symptoms were fatigue, post-exertional malaise (where people’s health worsens after physical or mental exertion) and brain fog. Other effects included visual hallucinations, tremors, itchy skin, changes to the menstrual cycle, sexual dysfunction, heart palpitations, bladder control issues, shingles, memory loss, blurred vision, diarrhoeaand tinnitus.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/...ms-study-finds

DJ-It is much easier for statistics to give numbers on tests, deaths, hospital/ICU admissions then on long term health issues much more complex...We have been in this pandemic since early 2020. If organ damage may be hidden a lot of long term effects may still have to show up ! Can we expect an increase-the coming years-of lung, hearth disease, etc...I think we can...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919476-cidrap-surgeon-general-warns-of-covid-19-misinformation[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919476-cidrap-surgeon-general-warns-of-covid-19-misinformation ; Today US Surgeon General Vivek Murthy, MD, spoke at the White House about his newly issued surgeon general's advisory—the first of the Biden administration—about misinformation concerning COVID-19.
"During the pandemic, misinformation has led people not to wear masks in high-risk settings, turn down proven treatments, or get vaccinated," Murthy said. "This led to avoidable illnesses and death."
While health misinformation is not new, Murthy said the speed and scale with which misinformation is spreading, especially on social media, is alarming and a risk to American lives.
"If you're not sure, don't share," Murthy said, referring to Facebook and Instagram posts not verified by medical experts. "We expect more from our technology companies; we are asking them to operate with greater transparency and accountability. We're asking them to monitor misinformation more closely."

DJ Problem is a lot of misinformation did come from governments and experts....

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919468-u-s-covid-19-cases-more-than-double-in-two-weeks-as-delta-variant-spreads-fast-and-who-warns-%E2%80%98pandemic-nowhere-near-finished%E2%80%99[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919468-u-s-covid-19-cases-more-than-double-in-two-weeks-as-delta-variant-spreads-fast-and-who-warns-%E2%80%98pandemic-nowhere-near-finished%E2%80%99 ; WHO sees ‘strong likelihood’ of new and possibly more dangerous variants of concern ‘that may be even more challenging to control’

The number of new cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. has more than doubled in the last two weeks, as the delta variant continues to race across the nation, infecting both vaccinated and unvaccinated people, who account for more than 99% of recent fatalities.

The average case tally on Wednesday was 26,513, according to a New York Times tracker, up 111% from two weeks ago. Hospitalizations have climbed 22% and deaths are up 5% in the same time frame, albeit they remain at far lower levels than at the peak of the crisis in the spring of 2020. Overall, 47 states are showing new cases up 10% from a week ago, according to Johns Hopkins University data.

Experts are increasingly describing two Americas, divided between the vaccinated and unvaccinated, with the latter group putting themselves and others at risk of infection as the vaccine program grinds to a halt...

DJ-You have more infectious variants, a lot of unvaccinated (enough) hosts, a lot of mobility = explosion of cases ! STOP THE SPREAD ! Why there are still no travel restrictions, even cruises restarted ! Why no mandatory masks ? What are you waiting for ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919459-risk-of-%E2%80%98catastrophic%E2%80%99-coronavirus-surge-in-middle-east-who[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/middle-east-aa/middle-east-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/919459-risk-of-%E2%80%98catastrophic%E2%80%99-coronavirus-surge-in-middle-east-who ; A surge of coronavirus cases in several Middle Eastern countries could have dire consequences, aggravated by the spread of the Delta variant and low vaccine availability, the World Health Organization said on Wednesday.

After a decline in cases and deaths for eight weeks, the agency said there had been significant increases in cases in Libya, Iran, Iraq and Tunisia, with sharp rises expected in Lebanon and Morocco.

Next week countries across the region will mark the Muslim Eid al-Adha holiday, which traditionally includes religious and social gatherings where infections could spread.

“WHO is concerned that the current COVID-19 upsurge may continue to peak in the coming weeks, with catastrophic consequences,” the agency’s regional office said in a statement.

A lack of adherence to public health and social measures and “increasing complacency by communities”, as well as low vaccination rates and the spread of new variants, were to blame, WHO said.

The agency highlighted Tunisia as the country with the highest coronavirus mortality rate per capita in the region and in Africa, and noted daily cases had almost doubled in Iran during the four weeks into early July...

DJ Of course wars also worsen pandemics a lot ! Afghanistan, Yemen, parts of Syria, Iraq, Libya may face "very high number" of "depopulation". In the 30-year war 1618-1648 parts of Germany did see an decrease of population up to 80%...why would that not happen today-at least in some area's ? 

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919537-genomics-inform-comparative-study-nonsynonymous-and-synonymous-substitution-of-sars-cov-2-sars-cov-and-mers-cov-genome[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/welcome-to-the-scientific-library/genetics-aa/919537-genomics-inform-comparative-study-nonsynonymous-and-synonymous-substitution-of-sars-cov-2-sars-cov-and-mers-cov-genome ; The direction of evolution can estimate based on the variation among nonsynonymous to synonymous substitution. 

The simulative study investigated the nucleotide sequence of closely related strains of respiratory syndrome viruses, codon-by-codon with maximum likelihood analysis, z selection, and the divergence time. 

The simulated results, dN/dS > 1 signify that an entire substitution model tends towards the hypothesis's positive evolution. 

The effect of transition/transversion proportion, Z-test of selection, and the evolution associated with these respiratory syndromes, are also analyzed. Z-test of selection for neutral and positive evolution indicates lower to positive values of dN-dS (0.012, 0.019) due to multiple substitutions in a short span.

 Modified Nei-Gojobori (P) statistical technique results also favor multiple substitutions with the transition/transversion rate from 1 to 7. 

The divergence time analysis also supports the result of dN/dS and imparts substantiating proof of evolution.

 Results conclude that a positive evolution model, higher dN-dS, and transition/transversion ratio significantly analyzes the evolution trend of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus.

DJ Are they trying to hide the conclusion SARS-2 could develop towards MERS in some aspects ? When experts use these kind of words they are hiding findings for the general public-I think ????

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jv3Q74CLU1c[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jv3Q74CLU1c ; info under (and in) the video. I understand the approach of Dr.J.C. -it is NOT about his opinions and ideas-it has to be on the facts. 

Of course my view is selecting the facts you do on basis of what you believe are facts that matter...Dr.J.C. may reach people that would not listen to him if he was more open on his idea's...His story (under the video) on the UK health crisis is very clear...

Music; [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYELAu9hqdU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYELAu9hqdU 

Music for the funeral of Queen Mary-Purcell-1695-lyrics;

Man that is born of a woman hath but a short time to live, and is full of misery. 

He cometh up, and is cut down like a flow'r. 

He flee'th as it were a shadow, and ne'er continueth in one stay. 

In the midst of life we are in death: of whom may we seek for succour, but of thee, O Lord, who for our sins art justly displeased? 

Yet, O Lord God most holy, O Lord most mighty, O holy and most merciful Saviour, deliver us not into the bitter pains of eternal death.

DJ This pandemic is getting much worse high speed ! [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variant_of_concern[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variant_of_concern Is Delta a VOC or allready a worse variant of high consequence ?

ViQueen24, The Belgian motto is "cést l'union que fait la force" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unity_makes_strength[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unity_makes_strength Belgium has SIX governments, each language region (Dutch, French, German,) has its own government, Brussel/Bruxelles-the capital-once Flemish/Dutch now mostly Wallon/French has its own capital, there is a "Federal Government" and then there is a sixth government I have not yet discovered...

Disagreements seems to be humans always end up with...even in crises...

In this pandemic maybe the question did become "vaccine immunity" or "natural immunity" to reach "herd/group protection"....or is that idea itself a mistake ? Can you deal with a global pandemic at a national level or how much international cooperation is needed/realistic ? 

DJ-This pandemic is getting out of control due to the Delta variant most. With Los Angelos/California/US "Lambda" cases going up ????

[url]https://twitter.com/DrEricDing[/url] or https://twitter.com/DrEricDing has good-up to date-info...

-Numbers; [url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table global cases going up +16%, deaths +1%...last week did bring almost 3,5 million new cases-(3,446,439) the week before close to 3 million (2,976,425) and  deaths going up last week 54,085 to 54,885...both with a lot of under reporting....

UK cases +36, deaths +57%...NL cases +211% deaths +22% (by now-still limited numbers-9 last week, 11 this week). Both UK and NL are "opening up" to get "herd immunity...The US numbers cases +67%, deaths +21% are not that different from UK or NL...

US,UK, NL were supposed to be "best prepared" for a pandemic in 2019...I expect them soon to be disaster zones....

[url]https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/url] or https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Indonesia now at #1 for new cases, #2 for new deaths, Brazil #1 for deaths, #3 for cases...UK at #2 for new cases with-for now-limited number of deaths...

US at #4 for new cases, #8 for deaths...Russia #7 for new cases, #3 for new deaths...

[url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant#Statistics[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Lambda_variant#Statistics  and [url]https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/[/url] or https://www.gisaid.org/hcov19-variants/ ;

US has 705 Lambda variant cases in both lists (wiki july 15)...Spain 76-wiki/80 Gisaid...Germany 101-wiki but 96 in latest Gisaid numbers...so not very clear....[url]https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/varianten[/url] or https://coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/varianten often Lambda is not even mentioned in statistics...

Kappa, Delta+ and other possible variants may be an undercurrent...but with so little-and old-numbers it may be hard to tell. Delta variant is exploding world wide. Yesterday 562,500+ new cases/8,653 deaths will tend to go up the coming weeks...

There is growing concern on the UK BoJo&Co insanity to "drop all restrictions" . In NL that insanity did bring the R0 allready to 2,91...restaurants are open, no masks in supermarkets, no limits at visitors at home after bars close at midnight...Of course hospitals/ICU's expect another increase...In NL care centers did see an increase of Covid-cases from 20 facilities last week to 35 this week ! 

Vaccinations in older people offer much less, shorter, protection. So Delta variant cases that started in the young and unvaccinated are now spreading (in NL) in all age groups...Reopening, increased spread, will result in more immune escape variants...a worsening of the pandemic !

STOP THE SPREAD !!!!!!

-Flutrackers latest;

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/europe-aj/europe-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918022-uk-covid-19-variant-delta-trend-june-24?view=stream latest; DJ Only number going down is the number of tests -1,8%...cases +34,9%, deaths +57,4% (within 28 days after positive testing-so excluding lots of longer lasting cases..the 28 days/4 weeks rule is producing false info !), hospital cases +43,4%...

Dr.John Campbell may see something positive in these numbers, I do not !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918846-china-new-local-covid-19-cases-reported-in-ruili-city-level-iii-response-implemented-yunnan-province-july-4-2021-widespread-border-testing?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/china-other-health-threats/china-covid-19-sept-13-2020-may-31-2021/918846-china-new-local-covid-19-cases-reported-in-ruili-city-level-iii-response-implemented-yunnan-province-july-4-2021-widespread-border-testing?view=stream latest; 7 Yue 16 Ri 0-24 , the 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps new confirmed cases reported 30 cases, of which foreign imported cases 28 cases (Yunnan 11 cases, Hunan 5 cases, Fujian 4 cases, Shanghai 3 cases of Zhejiang 2 cases, Shaanxi 2 cases, Guangdong 1 case), indigenous cases 2 cases (all in Yunnan); no new deaths; no new suspected cases.

DJ-China claiming most new cases stopped at border/airport checks-only very limited local community spread...again would be very good if China is able to control the Delta spread ! Other countries may welcome to learn from that strategy ! Australia still +156% for new cases..still limited numbers-I only hope Australia will be able to bring cases down to 0 soon...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/africa-all-other-diseases/919570-nigeria-7-dead-in-enugu-market-cause-undetermined-as-yet[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa/africa-all-other-diseases/919570-nigeria-7-dead-in-enugu-market-cause-undetermined-as-yet DJ-Cholera outbreak...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919581-cidrap-european-officials-say-delta-driving-deteriorating-covid-19-situation[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/local-regional-communities-and-organizations/cidrap/919581-cidrap-european-officials-say-delta-driving-deteriorating-covid-19-situation ; Cases rising in 20 European countries

The report covers EU member countries, plus ones that are part of the European Economic Area. The report doesn't not include the United Kingdom, where COVID-19 activity is surging and is at its highest level since January.
Cases are on the rise in 20 countries, with people ages 15 to 24 the hardest hit group and more limited impact on those older than 65.

So far, the impact on health systems has been minimal in most countries. Hospitalization rates—one of the severity indicators—are stable, though levels are rising in three countries: Cyprus, Portugal, and Finland. Overall, the region's intensive care unit (ICU) levels are decreasing, but two countries—Cyprus and Portugal—are reporting rises.

The Delta variant predominance in the countries covered in the report ranges from 0.7% to 87.3%, averaging 39.1% for the region.
In the UK, Delta variant cases rose 17% last week, accounting for 99% of sequenced cases, Public Health England said today in its regular weekly update.

Jenny Harries, MD, chief executive of the UK's Health Security Agency, said case rates are still high and rising, but the trend still doesn't seem to be driving a rise in hospitalizations and deaths. "This is testament to the continued success of the vaccination programme in reducing the incidence of severe disease."

DJ Bad info on last week situation...running behind the facts...hospital cases goin up in many countries, deaths increasing...Sequencing and R0 numbers often are two weeks old info...now-casting, screening new cases, is needed NOT old info !

• In a new report today, the World Health Organization (WHO) confirmed that HIV infection increases the risk of severe and critical COVID-19 illness. The report, based on clinical data from 37 countries, reveals that 23.1% of people who are living with HIV and were hospitalized with COVID-19 died.

DJ HIV+ is a widespread (not only African) problem...so global cases exploding will bring a lot more severe cases/deaths in HIV+ patients...(but also young age groups 0-20 y/o are at much higher risks..."experts" still ignoring Indonesia and other statistics, calling for more study, are killing people !)

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919566-dr-scott-gottlieb-says-u-s-is-%E2%80%98vastly-underestimating%E2%80%99-level-of-covid-delta-spread[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919566-dr-scott-gottlieb-says-u-s-is-%E2%80%98vastly-underestimating%E2%80%99-level-of-covid-delta-spread ; “I think we’re vastly underestimating the level of delta spread right now,” Dr. Scott Gottlieb told CNBC on Friday.
The former FDA chief said vaccinated people who may become infected likely aren’t seeking out testing due to mild symptoms.
“There’s no clear evidence that this is more pathogenic, that it’s causing more serious infections. It’s clearly more virulent, it’s clearly far more contagious,” he said...

DJ-Vaccinated people may have a false sense of security. A-symptomatic spread will further increase. Vaccines are "believed" to be 75% effective against virus spread...but that percantage may erode with further mutations...Israel cases +57%, deaths +67%...just like the UK, Israel should have a high level of natural and vaccine protection...

More ad random testing-to see how many (vaccinated) people may have/spread the virus-without symptoms-is needed urgently !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919565-151-dead-563-hospitalized-in-illinois-breakthrough-covid-cases[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/united-states-ab/united-states-covid-19-sars-cov-2-september-13-2020-may-31-2021/919565-151-dead-563-hospitalized-in-illinois-breakthrough-covid-cases ;

A total of 151 people have died and more than 500 have been hospitalized in Illinois due to COVID-19 in "breakthrough" cases after they were fully vaccinated, according to state health officials.

According to data updated Wednesday by the Illinois Department of Public Health, 151 people in Illinois have died due to COVID-19 or complications after being fully vaccinated. That figure equates to 2.2% of COVID-19 deaths in the state since Jan. 1, officials said.

At least 563 fully vaccinated people have been hospitalized in Illinois, IDPH said. The state only reports breakthrough infections among those who have been hospitalized or died, following guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, IDPH said...

DJ Vaccines do not offer 100% protection-so some "breaktrough" cases should be expected...but are those cases, symptoms increasing ? It is expected vaccines may offer less protection. The body may reduce part of immunity in months...also a high level of variant spread in vaccinated may result in mutations that make variants better in evading immunity.  That proces is happening and needs monitoring !

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/919564-notice-to-governments-we-know-you-all-read-us-do-not-infringe-on-the-universal-declaration-of-human-rights-link-here[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/health-humanitarian-issues/919564-notice-to-governments-we-know-you-all-read-us-do-not-infringe-on-the-universal-declaration-of-human-rights-link-here ; Article 3  Everyone has the right to life, liberty and the security of person.

DJ How do translate "security of person" if you do not all you can to stop a pandemic ? If you expose a population in summer because "winter may be worse" ? If you expose young people to a virus-resulting in long covid-because "most of them will only get mild symptoms"...

[url]https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream[/url] or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/892756-discussion-thread-vi-covid-19-new-coronavirus?view=stream latest; Using mathematical models, the Institut Pasteur is trying to predict the future of the epidemic. Their latest results concern the Delta variant and their projections are rather pessimistic 

-

Reduce variant circulation

The Institut Pasteur group has not predicted the future with certainty, these projections are based on uncertain assumptions and incomplete data. For example, the authors explain that the mathematical model “does not take into account the reduction in efficacy 2 observed in first-time recipients of Delta. This could lead to overly optimistic projections when a large proportion of French people are first vaccinated and the loss of efficacy of vaccines against the Delta variant has not been taken into account. If the Delta variant turns out to be more severe than the others, that could also darken the projections, but there is no evidence to support this to date.

Reducing the circulation of the virus appears to be the key to controlling the epidemic in the coming months. If the virus continues to circulate at the same rate or accelerates, hospitals could be overwhelmed as early as August. The number of daily and intensive care admissions would exceed that of the first wave of March 2020 , and that from next September.

" Even relatively small reductions in the transmission rate this summer (in the order of 10 to 25%) would significantly reduce the size of the peak in hospitalizations and delay the onset of this peak to a time when the the hospital would be in a better position to absorb an influx of patients, ”noted scientists from the Institut Pasteur. To achieve this goal, vaccination, isolation of positive cases and respect for barrier gestures remain our best weapons.

DJ -  STOP THE SPREAD !!!

-Dr. John Campbell [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pCdTHgRSs3o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pCdTHgRSs3o 

He has a lot of knowledge on health, a lot of experience in education...I do think he is over-optimistic on vaccines. Dr.J.C. "switches his claims" -saying he predicted developments earlier while he may have predicted the opposite. He still claims vaccination will save the UK from a high number of hospital cases/deaths...Defending that view with a.o. statistics from Israel...

The way I see it you could see those kind of statistics also the other way...concluding the opposite of Dr. J.C. claims...

I question Dr.J.C. "political neutrality" bringing up conservative MP's in his video's as experts...defending BoJo&Co choices...

Let me be clear-I never claimed I was "neutral"...I do not believe in "neutral and objective" ...we all have our background. 

[url]https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC2FZVXZkfDencs6KsYVpe_g[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC2FZVXZkfDencs6KsYVpe_g Citizens TV is very critical of BoJo&Co UK reopening...The never ending pandemic is the outcome of bad politics ! 

There is limited use of going on with small scale protection-isolating, masks etc...if "governments" start opening the doors to get "natural immunity" . Most countries do NOT make that choice ! They did see the Brazil disaster-with high number of deaths...the US under Biden did see vaccinations getting started (development of those vaccines started under trump...). 

My view-Vaccines can help-but only for some time and in combination with NPI...This pandemic has been going for almost 18 months-keeps getting worse after each reopening..we need a better strategy-not repeating mistakes...

Music; Rod Stewart - Maggie May - 1971 [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pj2EQRLm7Vc[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pj2EQRLm7Vc

CRS,DrPH, thank you for asking, 

High river water will reach my area tomorrow evening. Most likely it will stay some 2 metres below levels we do see from time to time in winter. 

Risks for NL, Germany, Belgium ;

-High water level 24/36 hours-duration can weaken dykes & dams

-Unexpected events-tributary water flows causing main rivers to rise further...

For that matter the border area makes matters more complex. Water protection in part is a national issue-allthough a lot of info/data is shared and all three countries have very good relations...

Language may complicate matters more-floods are in French speaking part of Belgium, Dutch NL/ German speaking Germany...so some of the communications may end up in English I think...

Another risk may be related to the borders...if a dyke/dam breaks in Germany the water could move into NL or Belgium (ot the other way round...)...Also (rail)road links may still get damaged the coming days. 

A major NL-German rail/road/gas-transport line follows the Rhine...also shipping is effected. So logistics may see some influences. But other (rail)roads can take extra transports...it may take a bit more time...

Since the "real time" R0 in NL may be above 3 (!!!!!) by now (most in the cities) the pandemic in this area will get worse. 

The official number of deaths in Germany/Belgium is over 150. With many more missing it is very likely to end up at 500+...in best prepared countries with fast help...Thousends of houses lost, infrastructure damage in the tens of billions...

And not over yet...