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PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL
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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

September

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: September
    Posted: September 01 2023 at 1:51am

DJ, a pandemic is NEVER an isolated event-one has to place it against its background. 

-BRICS+ is an ongoing process ending western domination (after 500 years of western exploitation/terror). In some ways it almost could "feel" as an "invasion from space" for those not paying attention. Western media/politics try to downplay/ignore the major steps...(see also latest news NATO-BRICS+ conflict). 

Oil is a major necessity for pharma/medical industry. BRICS+ soon will be the dominant medical producer. Dealing with another wave of CoViD, H5N1 etc. will no longer be under western control. 

In the (former) U.S. biden may try to push for more war...however the US may simply have no finance for that...A nuclear war would also end the US...Sadly this may NOT stop growing risks for nuclear insanity...

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[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/temperature.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/temperature.html ;

As the image below also shows, rises of some 100 ppm in the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and of some 300 ppb in the level of methane in the atmosphere go hand in hand with a rise in temperature of some 10°C. In other words, it looks like high levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have already locked in an upcoming temperature rise of 10°C, i.e. a further rise of 10°C is already baked into the cake (ed.: see also the Global warming in the pipeline, by James Hansen et al., 2022).

Indeed, temperatures look set to go well beyond any of the peaks in the Milankovitch cycles over the past 400,000 years. If average temperatures were to rise from 1750 to 2026 by 8.1°C (details below), they would reach a level virtually unprecedented in the entire history of Earth.

DJ the article lookst at a baseline of the year 1750, temperature 13,42C/56,16F

In 2026, it could be 23.10°C (73.62°F) if temperatures were to rise by a further 8.10°C (i.e. from 2016 to 2026). A monthly peak could take the temperature up even higher, to 23.44°C (or, more than 10°C above 1750). In case the clouds tipping point got crossed, the temperature could rise by an additional 8°C, as discussed at the clouds feedback page

DJ...all that may be left is damage control...

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SARS-CoV-2: VOC first detections Wildtype - December 2019 Epsilon - September 2020 Alpha - September 2020 Delta - October 2020 Gamma - December 2020 ETA: December 2020 Omicron - November 2021 Anyone else seeing a pattern here?

DJ...so will BA.2.86 (with lots of subvariants)  become the new CoViD driver ? I will start a new item on BA.2.86 now detected worldwide...even with very limited testing...

[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/08/eurosurveillance-asymptomatic-infection.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/08/eurosurveillance-asymptomatic-infection.html ;

In early July the Italian website https://sivemp.it/ (Sindacato Italiano Veterinari Medicina Pubblica) carried a brief news story (link), which described the virus (isolated from the poultry) as HPAI H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b of a genotype (BB) recently found in northern Italian gulls, and that it carried a rarely found mammalian adaption (T271A in the PB2 protein) that may increase its zoonotic potential.


The puzzle being that this mutation - which has been found in a small percentage of mammals infected with the H5 clade 2.3.4.4b virus - has not been previously seen in infected avian species in Europe.  This raises the possibility of transmission from mammals back to poultry. 

Today the Journal Eurosurveillance has a follow up report, which includes a second round of serological testing of both humans and dogs.  While no humans tested positive, the antibody titres in the dogs continued to show strong signs of past infection. 

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It was surprising to observe that the virus characterised in this study, detected in hens, differed from all other HPAI A(H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b viruses circulating in poultry and in birds by a mutation in the PB2 protein, T271A, which is a marker of virus adaptation to mammalian species; it has previously been shown to be associated with increased polymerase activity in mammalian cells [2,10] and is present in the 2009 pandemic A(H1N1) virus [2]. It should be noted that this mutation has never been observed in H5Nx viruses of clade 2.3.4.4b collected from birds in Europe since 2020. In contrast, it has been detected in ca 7% of clade 2.3.4.4b viruses identified in mammals in Europe, including the virus responsible for the outbreak on a mink farm in Spain [15]. This molecular finding suggests that virus spread from mammals to birds cannot be excluded.

-


As we've discussed previously, there are now dozens of genotypes of HPAI H5 clade 2.3.4.4b viruses circulating around the world, and many genetic variations may exist within each genotype. 
It is not totally unexpected that dogs and cats infected with one genotype might experience severe illness or death, while those infected with another might remain asymptomatic. 

And that's the rub.  We aren't dealing with a single, monolithic, HPAI H5N1 virus. We are dealing with literally scores of similar avian viruses, on multiple continents, all pursuing their own evolutionary path.

Those viruses that remain in wild birds or poultry are expected to evolve differently than those that spill over into marine mammals, mink, or peridomestic animals. 

The fact that some mammals - particularly companion animals - may be able to carry (and potentially spread) the virus without showing overt signs of illness, means that investigators will have to rely on more than cursory inspections when it comes to ruling out mammalian infections. 

DJ...so H5N1 spreading from birds into mammals-companion pets....cats, dogs !!!!-and back into birds....Lots of different types of H5N1....All alarm-bells should be ringing !!!!

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 02 2023 at 4:33am

[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/09/cdc-nowcast-ba286-update.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/09/cdc-nowcast-ba286-update.html ;

While the Internet appears to be transfixed by rampant speculation over the future impact of BA.2.86, it still doesn't show up - even as a blip - on the CDC's bi-weekly Nowcast.  

Instead, based on limited surveillance and testing (only 4 of 10 regions submitted enough data for regional analysis), EG.5 (21.5%) and FL.1.5.1 (14.5%) lead a very deep stack of roughly 30 variants currently being tracked by the CDC.

While currently in 6th place, HV.1 has shown impressive growth, doubling (from 2.5% to 5.1%) over the past 2 weeks, while most of the other variants on the list have lost ground.  Despite the hype over BA.2.86, it is EG.5FL.1.5.1, and a short list of other XBB variants that are probably responsible for the recent increase in cases. 

DJ-CDC update on BA.2.86;

Based on current information, existing tests used to detect and medications used to treat COVID-19 continue to be effective with this variant. Scientists are evaluating how previous immunity from vaccinations or past infections protect against this new variant. Tests of how well antibodies block the virus from infecting cells give us one measure of how well one part of the immune system might handle BA.2.86. Along with antibodies, other parts of the immune system have important roles in protecting people from the most severe outcomes of COVID-19. These other parts of the immune system have been less affected by viral evolution and are not predicted to have decreased activity against BA.2.86.

CDC’s current assessment is that the updated COVID-19 vaccine, which will be available in mid-September, will likely be effective at reducing severe disease and hospitalization. Immune responses generated from prior infection also help protect against severe outcomes of COVID-19. There is currently no evidence that this variant is causing more severe illness. That assessment may change as additional scientific data are developed. CDC remains committed to releasing updates on trends and observations of this variant.

UK [url]https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-of-concern-variant-risk-assessments/situational-assessment-for-sars-cov-2-variant-v-23aug-01-ba286[/url] or https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-of-concern-variant-risk-assessments/situational-assessment-for-sars-cov-2-variant-v-23aug-01-ba286 ;

Meeting and assessment 29 August 2023. The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) is aware of new data since this date and continues to assess all available information.

  1. Through the limited available global genomic surveillance, the variant is present in multiple countries on multiple continents, detected at a low prevalence amongst clinical cases or in wastewater. Although an increasing number of countries are reporting detection, there is as yet no clear signal of growth within any of these individual countries.

  2. The BA.2.86 phylogeny shows one sublineage within which most European cases are located but does not otherwise have a high degree of substructure. The time of most recent common ancestor (tMRCA) is estimated at 3 June (range 29 April, 1 July) assuming exponential growth.

  3. BA.2.86 is an outlier in terms of geographic dispersion when compared to other nodes in the SARS-CoV-2 global phylogeny in 2023 with similar tMRCA and which are still circulating. However, it is not the most extreme outlier. This analysis does not incorporate countries detecting BA.2.86 through wastewater.

  4. The group considered hypotheses of a mass gathering event seeding multiple countries, an ongoing outbreak in a country without surveillance, or widespread community transmission undetected by surveillance. All 3 possibilities were still considered plausible, though widespread high-level community transmission is not best supported by the phylogeny.

  5. No conclusions can be drawn about the fitness of the variant based on this data, and a full range of options – from less fit than other circulating variants, to a large jump in fitness – are still possible, given the available data.

  6. There is no laboratory data available. Two samples are in culture in the UK and we are also in contact with international partners. Neutralisation and other phenotypic data is still likely to be one to 2 weeks away at minimum in the UK.

  7. The extant UKHSA variant of concern definition requires us to demonstrate (or confidently predict) a detrimental change in biological properties, as well as a growth rate compatible with displacement or maintenance. 

  8. At present there are a wide range of possibilities for the fitness and growth of the variant and there remains uncertainty about the impact of the mutations present. 

  9. BA.2.86 does not, therefore, meet this definition of a variant of concern. 

  10. The Variant Technical Group discussed whether the current surveillance context required an updated approach to designating and acting on variants. However, any such updated definition of a variant of concern would include a higher level of confidence on positive growth than is available at present for BA.2.86.

DJ;








U.S: Covid in wastewater at highest level since February 2023 https://biobot.io/data/

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Replying to 
Up and up and up… …a bit like what we’re seeing with the Scottish wastewater surveillance figures (which are currently at their highest point in over a year!). Shame we don’t have wastewater surveillance for the rest of the U.K. anymore. πŸ˜‘

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Prof. Christina Pagel

@chrischirp
·
THREAD: England Covid update TLDR: modest August wave with flatlining hospital admissions, but expect a bigger wave later this autumn 1/12

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However, Zoe symptom tracker app estimating significant increases recently.  Very hard to know how reliable Zoe trends are, given far fewer people reporting, but it's worth bearing in mind. So what could happen next? 3/12

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BA.2.86 ("Pirola") is an Omicron variant, but as different to current Omicron strains as Omicron was to Delta - this means it might well evade existing immunity a LOT better and is why it's being closely watched around the world 5/12

We're not in same situation as Omicron, as in Dec 2021 most people hadn't had Covid yet and were on 2 vax doses. That is *not* the case now - most people on 3 doses & at least one infection. That gives us broader immunity. However.......

Many of us 18 months out from last jab & a while out from last infection so I suspect there could be a lot of infections, but hopefully more limited severe disease and more limited new Long Covid. A big or biggish new wave in autumn/winter never a good thing though. 9/12

DJ, ventilation, masks, limiting contacts does limit risks. 

Federico Gueli πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³

@siamosolocani
·
What i am seeing thx to the huge tracking workload by NKrMnZr  with FLip and EG.5.1 family is unprecedented. We count more 60 independent emergence of this combo on EG.5.1 backbone. Lets say 80% of them are artifact, to say: still something unprecedented. And mainly from China

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I totally agree! I just noticed yesterday how many different Flip branches there are under EG.5.1 and how well they are all tracked by NKrMnZr on GitHub πŸ‘πŸ™, after 2 of such samples from the Netherlands showed up.

DJ...BA.2.86 may be getting a lot of attention-lots of other variants (also) could be of risk. A "bad" recombination could result in a much higher risk of CoViD. Such a recombination/mutation can show up in non-human hosts....Another risk could be in time between infection and first symptoms getting wider...What looks mild may result in much higher long term illness...

The total lack of testing-sequencing-reporting is making this -potential- major crisis an even larger risk. 

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 03 2023 at 1:21am

DJ, Again-I am NOT any kind of expert-just try to get an opinion based on info...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-surge-in-okinawa-again-is-a-reflection-of-what-is-in-store-for-the-rest-of-the-world-non-stop-infections-and-reinfections-till-you-eventually[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/covid-19-surge-in-okinawa-again-is-a-reflection-of-what-is-in-store-for-the-rest-of-the-world-non-stop-infections-and-reinfections-till-you-eventually die....This story claims CoViD developing into a "slow killer" with at the start no/mild symptoms but the virus taking its time to spread and stay in its hosts...See also;

Japan, Okinawa: Covid cases rise for the second consecutive week. As of the 27th August, there were 144  hospitalized patients (5 in critical condition). There were 110 inpatients in the 597 beds reserved for coronavirus at key medical  institutions. https://ryukyushimpo.jp/news/entry-177
Spain: Experts 'baffled' by surge in Covid cases. Sales of antigen tests have skyrocketed during the week of August 21 to 27th. https://mundodeportivo.com/actualidad/202
Spain: Collapse in the outpatient clinics of Barbanza, Galicia, due to the confluence of diseases. Medics attending to 70 patients a day.

and [url]https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data may indicate immunity after vaccination and/or infection is running out. 

UK: Largest Covid wave since March 2023?








New Jersey: One in four care homes reported a Covid outbreak in the last week. 158 nursing homes have outbreaks, with 1,861 cases and 15 deaths among residents and staff.

In my view CoViD is much worse than both the flu or a cold...Flu-types result in immunity after infection. The reason why the Spanish Flu timeline may run from 1917 to 1923 is in the time it did take to spread from Europe/US to the rest of the world...(India and Java may have seen over 1 million flu-deaths each...but there was no good civil administration in the colonies). 

[url]https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/[/url] or https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/ still lower than pandemic years for excess deaths.

Apparently asking this question of the principal data scientist at  (who criticised me for quoting “irrelevant” wastewater data which has *just* been published) is enough to get me blocked. πŸ€” It’s a real shame because I’d genuinely LOVE to know what other data we can use.

It looks like lots of "leaders" still want to go for "pandemic=over" bla-bla...just like they claim the climate collapse is under control or NATO is winning its neo-colonial war against BRICS...

[url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/09/uk-hsa-situational-assessment-for-sars.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/09/uk-hsa-situational-assessment-for-sars.html ;

Now that 90% of the world's nations are no longer reporting COVID hospitalizations and deaths (see No News Is . . . Now Commonplace), and with the WHO moving to monthly (not weekly) epidemiological reports, we find ourselves facing an uncertain fall - and an emerging BA.2.86 variant - with far less real-time data than we'd like. 

The decision to declare `victory' over the pandemic, and `move on' by treating COVID as if it was equivalent to the `flu', was motivated by widespread (and understandable) pandemic fatigue, economic concerns, and political necessities. 

Of course, for it to work, the SARS-CoV-2 virus would have to cooperate.  While it's true we've seen far fewer hospitalizations and deaths over the past 6 months, Long COVID continues to plague, and sometimes permanently disable, millions of those infected.

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And as the SARS-COV-2 virus evolves and mutates, the number of pharmacological treatment options continue to dwindle (see ECDC: SARS-CoV-2 Variant Mutations Conferring Reduced Susceptibility to Antiviral Drugs and Monoclonal Antibodies), and vaccines become less effective. 

While a `milder' Omicron lineage has reigned for the better part of two years, the SARS-CoV-2 virus continues to evolve, as it circulates in both human and non-human hosts (deer, mink, rodents, etc.).

The emergence of a dominant post-Omicron lineage at some point may not be inevitable, but given the mutability of the virus, it is a pretty good bet.   

Whether that is happening right now is up for debate. BA.2.86 represents the biggest antigenic leap we've seen with COVID since Omicron burst onto the scene in the fall of 2021, but our collective switch to a politically expedient `Don't test, don't tell' strategy deprives us of badly needed data. 

Right now, we don't know how well this variant is transmitting, the extent of its spread, or much of anything at all about its severity (or lack, thereof).  BA.2.86 could turn out to be a flash in the pan, unable to compete with more transmissible XBB variants. 

Conversely, BA.2.86 might be a contender. Or possibly a springboard for one of its descendants.  Even it doesn't currently have the `right stuff' to conquer the world, it demonstrates that big leaps in COVID's evolution are still possible. 

DJ...if you do not even monitor a high risk disease how one can control it in time ? 

Profits "economy"  again being put above global public health...The rich need to get even more rich now...even if it will kill us all soon...

Beyond crazy...humans are self destructive !


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 05 2023 at 6:22am







New data from our lab  on the Neutralization Escape of BA.2.86, FL.1.5.1, EG.5.1, and XBC.1.6. We had a well-defined cohort of 66 participants, with people who did and did not receive bivalent mRNA vaccines. A thread🧡.

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Barouch Lab

@BarouchLab
·
New data from the Barouch Lab on BA.2.86. 1. NAb responses to BA.2.86 were lower than to BA.2 but were comparable or higher than to current circulating variants. 2. NAb titers to all variants including BA.2.86 increased following XBB infection

-(NAb=Neutralizing Antibodies= immunity reaction/protection) There is a lot of discussion on new variants-and immunity. BA.2.86 "is still developing" ...

JWeiland

@JPWeiland
·
Replying to @JPWeiland
Based on the data alone (suggested reduced infectivity AND only modest immune escape) one would think it wouldn't spread at all, and die out. But we're finding it popping up everywhere and growing.   Something isn't adding up, but I'm not sure what it is.

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Israel: BA.2.86 at 16% of cases in one hospital. "Samson Assuta Ashdod University Hospital announced on Monday that  BA.2.86 accounted for over 16% of cases in Israel as of Sunday night based on Health Ministry data."

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-claims-that-ba-2-86-variant-found-in-waste-samples-from-5-locations-in-near-bangkok-urgent-validation-needed-from-thailand-medical-authoritie[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-claims-that-ba-2-86-variant-found-in-waste-samples-from-5-locations-in-near-bangkok-urgent-validation-needed-from-thailand-medical-authoritie   DJ..If there was still effective immunity one would not expect to see BA.2.86 cases this widespread...

Spain: Covid cases up by 70% in one week. The incidence rate of Covid-19 in Primary Care in Spain is 130.2 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. It has increased by 69.53 percent compared to the previous week, when there were 76.8 cases

and

Italy: Covid cases up 28% in one week. The regions that have recorded the greatest increase in new cases are Lombardy and Veneto, both with more than two thousand weekly infections, followed by  Lazio and Campania.

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BA.2.86 may already be causing "significant community transmission" in Britain.

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Replying to 
That's about a 24-folder underestimate. We are closer to 5.6 million cases per week in the U.S.

DJ, 

I totally agree! I just noticed yesterday how many different Flip branches there are under EG.5.1 and how well they are all tracked by NKrMnZr on GitHub πŸ‘πŸ™, after 2 of such samples from the Netherlands showed up.

there are more variants than BA.2.86...and -again- much higher risks may be in variants that result in symptoms later on...

People with COVID-19

From ZOE Health Study reports

1,185,587

People are currently predicted to have symptomatic COVID in the UK

Updated 5 September, 5:00am

DJ, self reporting of symptoms, waste water data, on top of very limited testing give an indication...And the indication points to moving towards another major crisis...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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[url]https://www.estofex.org/[/url] or https://www.estofex.org/ ;

Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 06 Sep 2023 06:00 to Thu 07 Sep 2023 06:00 UTC
Issued: Tue 05 Sep 2023 18:53
Forecaster: GROENEMEIJER

A level 2 was issued across parts of Greece for exceptionally heavy rainfall, and to a lesser extent for tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued across an area surrounding the level 2 area for the same hazards, and for large hail across the southwestern Aegean Sea and the Peloponnese.

A level 1 was issued around the Caucasus mountains for large hail and heavy precipitation.

A level 1 was issued for Southwest England and western Brittany for large hail and locally heavy precipitation.

DJ, Parts of Greece may have had over 1 meter, up to 3-4 feet of rain within 48 hours...[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/083846.shtml?cone#contents[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/083846.shtml?cone#contents "Lee" could become a US/Canada problem end of next week...as a major hurricane...

Weather disasters are the outcome of exponential climate collapse...Lots of scientists did warn...only to be ignored by "politics"...Empty words do not solve problems...so we should prepare for even more crazy weather only getting more bizarre...we are on that train...

MERS: Three cases, two deaths in Saudi Arabia. From  13 September 2022 to 12 August 2023, three lab-confirmed cases of MERS-CoV, including two deaths, were reported to WHO by the Ministry of Health of the  Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

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Italy: H5N1 in pet cats and dogs "Here we report a case of influenza A(H5N1) infection in a domestic cat  and five dogs living on a rural backyard poultry farm where an HPAI H5N1  outbreak was notified."

See also ; [url]https://www.poultrymed.com/templates/showpage.asp?DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=178&FID=5008&IID=86395[/url] or https://www.poultrymed.com/templates/showpage.asp?DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=178&FID=5008&IID=86395 ;

The virus that was identified in hens on the same farm, potentially responsible for transmitting the virus to the pet carnivores, belonged to the BB genotype. This genotype emerged in Europe in May 2022 due to reassortment events involving gull-adapted H13 subtype viruses. The PA, NP, and NS genes were acquired from these subtype viruses. Genotype BB was initially identified in Italy in January 2023 and has since spread widely among black-headed gulls in northern Italy. This spread led to mass mortality events around Lake Garda in the same geographical area where the affected farm is located.
Interestingly, the virus characterized in this study, which was detected in hens, differed from all other HPAI A(H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b viruses circulating in poultry and birds. It exhibited a mutation in the PB2 protein, specifically T271A. This mutation is a marker of the virus's adaptation to mammalian species and has previously been associated with increased polymerase activity in mammalian cells. Notably, it is also present in the 2009 pandemic A(H1N1) virus.
Despite the infection, the pets described in this report showed no symptoms, raising concerns about the possibility of subclinical infections with zoonotic viruses in animals that are in close contact with humans.

DJ-A-symptomatic spread of H5N1 in company animals with the virus better able to spread/infect also humans....








New data from our lab  on the Neutralization Escape of BA.2.86, FL.1.5.1, EG.5.1, and XBC.1.6. We had a well-defined cohort of 66 participants, with people who did and did not receive bivalent mRNA vaccines. A thread🧡.

-So...like climate change or NATO wars main stream propaganda/corrupt politics go for "we did beat the virus" while we are moving towards a total collapse...

-Economic; BRICS+ controls global energy...NATO de facto is at war with BRICS...

-Health care can not deal with several pandemics at the same time...CoViD, H5N1 no doubt lots of others Idengue/malaria)

-Political...present "leaders" did lead us towards this total crisis...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/ba-2-86-news-total-of-36-ba-2-86-sequences-now-found-in-the-united-kingdom-ba-2-86-spawns-new-sub-lineage-ba-2-86-1-with-orf1a-k1973r-mutation[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/ba-2-86-news-total-of-36-ba-2-86-sequences-now-found-in-the-united-kingdom-ba-2-86-spawns-new-sub-lineage-ba-2-86-1-with-orf1a-k1973r-mutation 

How cynical can one get ? Do "politics/governments" decrease testing/reporting to hide their total failure and crime ? Will we get even more censorship (outsourced to "social" media) ?

Will we see an escalation of wars because the alternative would show how bad western political emptyness is doing ? 

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I would love to believe better times will come...but HOW ???? Politics did run away from the problems they created...kicking evermore cans down the road...and there is an end to that !

I do no longer know what is worse, nuclear all out war or the mix of pandemics, climate collapse and social system break down...The only "good" thing of avoiding nuclear war could be maybe some survivors may be able to build a better world...Climate collapse, pandemics know no borders...BRICS+ will see very major problems as well...

The economic damage both climate and pandemic disasters will bring will be unpayable...we have to rethink the economy to make some (young people) survive...

For now we are agressively denying the scale and number of problems...For the "west" it is like a billionaire ending up homeless...down on the street...

People may be unable to catch the massive scale of problems knocking on our door NOW !!!...Reminds me of tsunami-waves much higher then expected...destroying cities...

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Heat waves able to kill millions of people with hours...

Diseases -very likely slow killers- with simply NO healthcare capacity left...

Food/water crises in major cities with millions of people in very serious problems...

Internet/power collapse...for a growing number of people for a growing amount of time....

We HAVE !!!! to prepare for this but we push trillions into crazy wars....In a democracy you may not get much votes by warning for very bad scenario's...Even if people could see present, last few years, as a very clear warning...

Masks may help keeping virus particles out...but when dealing with a flood, extreme heat in combination with pandemics people may no longer care about those masks...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 07 2023 at 7:50am








πŸ‘€ Scotland have updated their Covid wastewater signal today. It’s now DOUBLE the previous high from the whole of the last 12 months. This isn’t just a little ‘blip’, we’re looking at some serious exponential growth here.  , are you paying attention?

a look at [url]https://health-study.zoe.com/data[/url] or https://health-study.zoe.com/data ;

People with COVID-19

From ZOE Health Study reports

1,219,750

People are currently predicted to have symptomatic COVID in the UK

Updated 7 September, 5:00am

DJ...very likely the UK numbers may give a hint on global increase...

Nature: SARS-CoV-2 infection and persistence in the human body and brain at autopsy. "We show that SARS-CoV-2 is widely distributed .. and that virus replication is  present in multiple respiratory and non-respiratory tissues, including  the brain.

link [url]https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05542-y[/url] or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05542-y 

CDC: Around 15% of all U.S. adults have experienced Long Covid. Some states have far higher rates of Long Covid than others. https://cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/pulse/long-covid.htm

DJ long-often chronic-CoViD infection makes CoViD much worse than a flu or cold...

84 BA.2.86 now, because of 10 new ones from South Africa. Gauteng 6 Mpumalanga 3 North West 1 In total since the 15th of July, 13 out of 103 samples were BA.2.86 in SA.   8/57, 3/3 and 1/1 for the 3 provences resp.! Please note how different this chart looks. No cluster!

The BA.2.86 by now will have several sub-variants...

[url]https://twitter.com/JosetteSchoenma/status/1699429618543956373/photo/1[/url] or https://twitter.com/JosetteSchoenma/status/1699429618543956373/photo/1 also in NL waste water...

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/experts-and-health-authorities-claims-that-current-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-do-not-cause-disease-severity-so-why-are-covid-19-hospitalizations-increasi[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/experts-and-health-authorities-claims-that-current-sars-cov-2-sub-lineages-do-not-cause-disease-severity-so-why-are-covid-19-hospitalizations-increasi 

and 

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/south-korean-ferret-study-finds-sars-cov-2-nsp12-p323l-and-g671s-mutations-causes-enhanced-transmissibility-and-virus-replication-in-upper-airway[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/south-korean-ferret-study-finds-sars-cov-2-nsp12-p323l-and-g671s-mutations-causes-enhanced-transmissibility-and-virus-replication-in-upper-airway 

Of course mainstream ignoring real news...."pandemic is over" , "climate problems after 2100", "Ukraine is winning" insanity...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote badger2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 07 2023 at 8:17am

The post above showing 'CoronaHeadsUp'  does not align with the date on its Twitter thread, which only goes to 19 Aug., apparently 2023. Until recently, all Twitter threads showed the most recent posts first. 

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 09 2023 at 4:42am

[url]https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000kufc/executive[/url] or https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000kufc/executive 

M 6.8 - Morocco

  • 2023-09-08 22:11:01 (UTC)
  • 31.110°N 8.440°W
  • 18.5 km depth

-

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/rutte-and-royals-express-concerns-for-moroccan-quake-victims/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/rutte-and-royals-express-concerns-for-moroccan-quake-victims/ ;

The magnitude 7.2 quake, which hit southern Morocco overnight on Friday, has killed more than 600 people according to Reuters. It is the worst earthquake since 2004, and struck in the High Atlas mountains where the most casualties occurred.

DJ, related [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1960_Agadir_earthquake[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1960_Agadir_earthquake 

In Morocco over 800 people got killed by a relative not that strong earthquake. Very likely most people were at home, some sleeping, when the quake happened. 

[url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/084731.shtml?cone#contents[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/084731.shtml?cone#contents In the Atlantic "Lee" may bring problems. Within a week to the east of the US, Canada...later on it may move hot air towards Greenland/Arctic. 

Brazil, China a.o. did see major damage due to extreme weather the past few days. 

Climate collapse is a motor behind worsening storms, quakes and pandemics. 

UK: "Pressures inside my hospital & many others have to be seen to be believed at the moment. Horrendous, worse than so-called winter crises."

and


Rachel Clarke

@doctor_oxford
·
1. Summer is over and pressures inside my hospital & many others have to be seen to be believed at the moment. Horrendous, worse than so-called “winter” crises. The government knows this, they know it will only get worse in the run up to winter, & they simply don’t give a damn.

DJ...I would have loved it to be WRONG on a pandemic pause !!! I would LOVE to see CoViD, H5N1 NOT to be a risk...

"Politics" is supposed to work for the public...at present derailed "politics" are working AGAINST public interests ! (When I look at NL most "politicians" have an ego more than an answer...). 








A short thread about the current accuracy of reporting of daily covid death counts in England. My experience of the situation in England is that most hospitals are only testing people with serious respiratory illness for Covid.

DJ...BA.2.86 "not a major risk"...only spreading like wildfire....[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/u-s-medical-news-modeling-platform-shows-720,000-new-daily-covid-19-infections-in-america-in-last-24-hours-with-1-in-46-americans-currently-infected[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/u-s-medical-news-modeling-platform-shows-720,000-new-daily-covid-19-infections-in-america-in-last-24-hours-with-1-in-46-americans-currently-infected ...

So what will be next ? A total ban on CoViD testing ? Punishments for any info on the next pandemic wave on the internet ? 








September 8th US update: Community spread of Covid is "high", with a correction upwards last week as well. Current estimates: πŸ”Έ720,000 new infections/day πŸ”Έ1 in every 460 new people were infected today πŸ”Έ1 in every 46 people currently infected

DJ, defund scientists not spreading the message politics want them to spread ? 








Claim: “67% of #COVID hospitalized are vaccinated? Vaccines not working?” πŸ“No—due to “base rate fallacy”. To illustrate—suppose 50% of unvaccinated are hospitalized, while 10% of vaxxed are, but many more vaccinated. You can get the 67% above. βž‘️Don’t be misled!

Or do "politics" support des-info campains...? 

DJ-I hate to go for claims like "When does a politician lie ? When (s)he opens her/his mouth !" But just like with climate collapse politics FAIL !!!

So...further escalation of NATO wars ? As an excuse for even more censorship ? 

The basic pandemic problem is both bad politics and most of the public going for non-sense des-info...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 10 2023 at 5:28am
Neher: "BA.2.86 is clearly transmitting well and has likely caused 100s of thousands infections since its emergence earlier this year. Otherwise it would not have been picked up by the much scaled down surveillance."

and






Richard Neher

@richardneher
·
Some more thoughts on BA.2.86 and preprint with @sigallab  https://mstdn.science/@richardneher/111035088239391703

DJ and BA.2.86 may be only part of the new high risk new variants...Public healthcare is exhausted and destroyed by politics...

Children between the ages of 4 months and 2 years who have had covid-19 are more likely to have antibodies that attack insulin-producing cells, a feature of type 1 diabetes

Politics just let it happen..."boosting natural immunity"....








Chapel Hill COVID-19 Wastewater values currently the highest of the ENTIRE pandemic: 150M copies per person, higher than 137M copies during Omicron. #CovidIsNotOver  https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard/wastewater-monitoring

and

Kei Sato: "Neutralizing antibodies induced by any vaccine, including 3 and 4 doses of monovalent vaccine, bivalent vaccination of BA.1, and bivalent vaccination of BA.5, have almost no effect on BA.2.86." https://naokoiwanaga.theletter.jp/posts/fa689430-4df5-11ee-a74c-ab7fc073140e

DJ, again...there is hardly any testing left...

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/political/americans-divided-mask-mandates-make-comeback-amid-covid-19-surge[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/political/americans-divided-mask-mandates-make-comeback-amid-covid-19-surge Governments have lost public trust...In crisis communication others may give it a try...

I think there is a point in 

-limiting social contacts AND

-masks in public spaces AND

-ventilation AND

-good testing AND

-honest info AND etc....

It was supposed to be a government job to protect the public from danger...and governments simply did not do their job !

[url]https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-news-amidst-flawed-covid-19-variant-monitoring-and-fake-claims,-new-preprint-suggest-ba-2-86-is-more-transmissible-and-possibly-wide-spread[/url] or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/breaking-news-amidst-flawed-covid-19-variant-monitoring-and-fake-claims,-new-preprint-suggest-ba-2-86-is-more-transmissible-and-possibly-wide-spread 

and [url]https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/09/two-respiratory-virus-updates-from-cdc.html[/url] or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/09/two-respiratory-virus-updates-from-cdc.html 


We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 11 2023 at 4:32am

DJ, I think the CoViD-pandemic-pause may be over. One of many questions is if BA.2.86 [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BA.2.86[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BA.2.86 is behind a lot of spread. 

Pinned







#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #USA Top #SARSCoV2 Lineages #21DAYTRENDS XBB.1.16.6  (8.3%) EG.5.1.1  (7.3%) EG.5.1  (6.7%) FL.1.5.1  (6.3%) XBB.1.16  (5.9%) GJ.1.2  (3.7%) XBB.1.5  (2.9%) EG.5.1.3  (2.7%) HV.1  (2.7%) Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7 | 09/08/23

A.o. indicate a mix of (sub)variants may be increasing.

Japan: 100,000+ new Covid cases in one week. The  average number of cases at the 5,000 institutions came to 20.50, marking the third straight week of an increase in the average.

and

Japan to end free COVID-19 vaccinations in March 2024.

-

Scotland: Infection expert calls for return of free Covid tests "If you can, get a lateral flow test, and I would like to see lateral flow tests become freely available again because a lot of the people who  would be taking them, can't afford them."

DJ..."politics" simply in denial of the pandemic make matters worse...