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Now tracking the new emerging South Africa Omicron Variant

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Dutch Josh View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 13 2023 at 4:40am







"The US accounts for more than a third of the expansion of global oil and gas production planned by mid-century, despite its claims of climate leadership. Canada and Russia have the next biggest expansion plans, followed by Iran, China and Brazil." (1/2)

link [url]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/12/us-behind-more-than-a-third-of-global-oil-and-gas-expansion-plans-report-finds?CMP=share_btn_tw[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/12/us-behind-more-than-a-third-of-global-oil-and-gas-expansion-plans-report-finds?CMP=share_btn_tw (guardian=embedded media). 

. writes: "We are truly in the midst of the climate battle now, all around the world, with new developments daily in the ongoing fight between activists who want to speed up the transition to clean energy and the fossil fuel industry that wants to slow it down."

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All we hear from the fossil fuel cheerleaders is that if Canada doesn't extract all its oil and gas other "bad" countries will do it instead. But five nations are planning a majority of the world's new fossil fuel production: US, Canada, Australia, UK and Norway — in that order.

DJ, today the main road leading into The Hague again will be blocked by climate protesters. 

[url]https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/police-criticised-for-reporting-xr-demo-children-to-abuse-agency/[/url] or https://www.dutchnews.nl/2023/09/police-criticised-for-reporting-xr-demo-children-to-abuse-agency/  (xr=Extinction Rebellion)

Domestic abuse watchdog Veilig Thuis has criticised police for reporting around 30 children who were arrested during Extinction Rebellion protests in The Hague as at-risk cases.

Veilig Thuis said it was “surprised” to have received dozens of referrals for parents who took their children on the demonstrations on Saturday and Sunday, which ended peacefully.

“We think it was unnecessary to refer these cases to us,” said spokesman Onno Aerden. “Demonstrating is not a form of child abuse.”

Police arrested more than 2,900 people over the two days for taking part in the unauthorised protests that blocked the A12 motorway heading into the city.

One mother, Musetta Blaauw, told AD the police decision to refer her two children, aged 16 and six, to the agency was “pure intimidation”.

“This was a peaceful demonstration, not hooligans rioting,” she said. “We were just sitting on the motorway singing songs and eating biscuits.”

Dick Goijers, spokesman for The Hague’s police division, admitted that almost all the children arrested had been referred to Veilig Thuis, but said this was “standard procedure” for “arrests and other situations where children are at risk, such as neglect.”

But Aerden said police appeared to be using the agency’s name “as a kind of threat” to parents taking part in the demonstration. “A referral to Veilig Thuis is not a punitive measure and shouldn’t be used as such,” he said.

DJ, "Veilig thuis"/Safe-at-home is already overloaded with taking care of children that are in real risk situations. The police may report children in climate protests to "safe-at-home" following political orders... the Mayor of The Hague is [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jan_van_Zanen[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jan_van_Zanen a member of the neo-liberal party for decades...

-------------

DJ-There is a very large gap between those taking climate problems very serious and those "trying to make a living"....My view; blocking roads in protest against fossil fuel subsidies (over 47 million per year in NL) has to be part of a communication strategy.  

In the UK XR/eXtinction Rebellion almost ends up at a terrorist list. NL did criminalize other protest groups (peace movement, squaters, anti-nuclear)...in part by violent actions by the police and than blaming the protest groups. Also right wing groups may decide climate protests go to far...so "the police" than would act as an in-between party while in fact possibly involved in organizing right wing protests...

Maybe most of the public only will learn reality the hard way....we may need more, worse, climate disasters...

The global economy for now is based on a high level of fossil energy consumption. The damage that brings are kept out of the energy costs...tax payers end up paying for it....We may need an elite-responsible of wasting most energy...it is just a small group-to take steps back. Stop private jets, cheap flying etc. Also here it are the poor paying for the rich...if not dying for a rich exclusive club of billionaires almost claiming 0,1% "own this planet"...

For that matter it is also a fight for democracy....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 15 2023 at 2:39am

[url]https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458[/url] or https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 ;

Abstract

This planetary boundaries framework update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity. Ocean acidification is close to being breached, while aerosol loading regionally exceeds the boundary. Stratospheric ozone levels have slightly recovered. The transgression level has increased for all boundaries earlier identified as overstepped. As primary production drives Earth system biosphere functions, human appropriation of net primary production is proposed as a control variable for functional biosphere integrity. This boundary is also transgressed. Earth system modeling of different levels of the transgression of the climate and land system change boundaries illustrates that these anthropogenic impacts on Earth system must be considered in a systemic context.

See also [url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html 

The bold black line at the top of the image below, adapted from Climate Reanalyzer, shows extremely high sea surface temperatures up to September 13, 2023, much higher than in any previous year on record.

The image below, created with NASA data, shows why these extremely high sea surface temperatures are so worrying. The image shows monthly mean global surface temperature anomalies (open ocean) vs 1901-1930. The ochre trend, based on January 1900-August 2023 data, indicates the latent heat tipping point was crossed in 2021 and the seafloor methane tipping point could be crossed in 2033. The red trend, based on August 2008-August 2023 data and better reflecting variables such as El Niño, indicates that the seafloor methane tipping point could be crossed late 2023. Data show the seafloor methane tipping point was reached in August 2023. 

The latent heat tipping point is estimated to correspond with a sea surface temperature anomaly of 1°C above the long term average, 1901-1930 on the above image, as discussed in earlier posts such as this one

Sea ice constitutes a latent heat buffer, consuming incoming heat as it melts. While the ice is melting, all energy (at 334 J/g) goes into changing ice into water and the temperature remains at 0°C (273.15K or 32 °F). Once all ice has turned into water, all subsequent energy goes into heating up the water, and will do so at 4.18 J/g for every 1°C the temperature of the water rises. 

DJ, we are ignoring public health risks -to secure profits for the very rich criminal 0,1%...That "elite" in part is also making money out of wars....

"Never waste a good crisis" for profits...has turned into creating profit making crises....We CAN and SHOULD !!!! stop a lot of diseases before they become pandemics ! We CAN and SHOULD limit further climate destruction...We NEED international cooperation to deal with these major crises. 

Pushing for NATO expansion now is yet another act of insanity !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 16 2023 at 2:01am






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Ahead of a March to End Fossil Fuels in New York on Sunday, scientist  talks about why she and hundreds of others wrote a letter to President Biden demanding climate action. "The science has come to such a complete consensus and we just want fossil fuels to stop."

DJ, governments, most political parties, end up working for fossil fuel economies...In that way AGAINST public basic safety...

[url]https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4755642/liveblog-mogelijk-opnieuw-tienduizenden-mensen-naar-klimaatdemonstratie-op-a12[/url] or https://www.omroepwest.nl/nieuws/4755642/liveblog-mogelijk-opnieuw-tienduizenden-mensen-naar-klimaatdemonstratie-op-a12 ;

THE HAGUE - Day eight of the announced blockades of the A12 motorway. Where several hundred people demonstrated in recent days, Extinction Rebellion expects tens of thousands of people on and around the Utrechtsebaan in The Hague today - just like last Saturday. In our live blog we will keep you informed throughout the day.

10.30 am: Still quiet around A12

It is still very quiet around the Malieveld and the A12 on Saturday morning around 10.30 am, our reporter sees.

DJ...democracy has become democrazy...investing trillions into wars while NOT dealing with essential problems....








Earth ‘well outside safe operating space for humanity’, scientists find - First complete ‘scientific health check’ shows most global systems beyond stable range in which modern civilisation emerged Story by me

link [url]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other[/url] or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other (DJ-guardian is promoting war...it has become part of the problem...) 

Earth’s life support systems have been so damaged that the planet is “well outside the safe operating space for humanity”, scientists have warned.

Their assessment found that six out of nine “planetary boundaries” had been broken because of human-caused pollution and destruction of the natural world. The planetary boundaries are the limits of key global systems – such as climate, water and wildlife diversity – beyond which their ability to maintain a healthy planet is in danger of failing.


The broken boundaries mean the systems have been driven far from the safe and stable state that existed from the end of the last ice age, about 10,000 years ago, to the start of the industrial revolution. The whole of modern civilisation arose in this time period, called the Holocene.

The assessment was the first of all nine planetary boundaries and represented the “first scientific health check for the entire planet”, the researchers said. Six boundaries have been passed and two are judged to be close to being broken: air pollution and ocean acidification. The one boundary that is not threatened is atmospheric ozone, after action to phase out destructive chemicals in recent decades led to the ozone hole shrinking.

The scientists said the “most worrying” finding was that all four of the biological boundaries, which cover the living world, were at, or close to, the highest risk level. The living world is particularly vital to the Earth as it provides resilience by compensating for some physical changes, for example, trees absorbing carbon dioxide pollution.

-

The assessment, which was published in the journal Science Advances and was based on 2,000 studies, indicated that several planetary boundaries were passed long ago. The boundary for biosphere integrity, which includes the healthy functioning of ecosystems, was broken in the late 19th century, the researchers said, as destruction of the natural world decimated wildlife. The same destruction, particularly the razing of forests, means the boundary for land use was broken last century.

Climate models have suggested the safe boundary for climate change was surpassed in the late 1980s. For freshwater, a new metric involving both water in lakes and rivers and in soil, showed this boundary was crossed in the early 20th century.

Another boundary is the flow of nitrogen and phosphorus in the environment. These are vital for life but excessive use of fertilisers mean many waters are heavily polluted by these nutrients, which can lead to algal blooms and ocean dead zones. According to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization data, three times the safe level of nitrogen is added to fields every year.

The boundary for synthetic pollution, such as pesticides, plastics and nuclear waste, was shown to have been passed by a 2022 study. The Richardson-led analysis assessed air pollution for the first time, which affects plant growth and monsoon rains. It found air pollution has passed the planetary boundary in some regions such as south Asia and China, but not yet globally. Ocean acidification is also assessed as getting worse and being close to exceeding the safe boundary.

The scientists said: “This update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity.”

-

Rockstrom said: “If you want to have security, prosperity and equity for humanity on Earth, you have to come back into the safe space and we’re not seeing that progress currently in the world.”

Phasing out fossil fuel burning and ending destructive farming are the key actions required.

The planetary boundaries are set using specific metrics, such as the level of CO2 in the atmosphere for climate change. The Earth’s systems are resilient to some level of change, so most of the boundaries have been set at a level higher than that which persisted over the last 10,000 years. For example, CO2 was at 280 parts per million until the industrial revolution but the planetary boundary is set at 350ppm.

Prof Simon Lewis, at University College London and not part of the study team, said: “This is a strikingly gloomy update on an already alarming picture. The planet is entering a new and much less stable state – it couldn’t be a more stark warning of the need for deep structural changes to how we treat the environment.”

DJ...the article is describing the picture science agrees upon...The "feed backs" due to global warming-like "explosive increase" of methane release may NOT be included...because they did not happen yet...[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/seafloor-methane-tipping-point-reached.html 

If "politics" keeps failing we should know what the outcome means for us. We-as humans-may not survive at +3C above pre-industrial. Some regions run higher risks. Those regions now did see extreme high temperatures, wild fires, extreme rain...(Mediterranean region as an example). It does decrease food production, logistics...

DJ-my view- extreme weather itself may become the main killer...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 22 2023 at 4:12am

How humans are killing themselves, a "mega-mix" of;

-War 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/09/how-will-the-biden-administration-cope-with-its-loss-in-ukraine.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/09/how-will-the-biden-administration-cope-with-its-loss-in-ukraine.html 

Declare victory over Russia  because Russia was stopped at the border with Poland. Then forget about all the details and consequences and move towards war on China.

and [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gplplX40H8o[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gplplX40H8o ;

Geopolitical Review: US Preps Taiwan Proxy vs. China, NATO Postures as Ukraine Fails

DJ...I am not that "optimistic" on US/NATO not going nuclear over Ukraine. The underlying mental "problem" is "western superiority" or nuclear war...

For some in "the west" non-western global dominance seems to be unacceptable....

-Diseases

Of course one can ignore CoViD, flu, M-pox, etc..."living with diseases" ...make insane claims catching a disease makes you stronger/gets you immunity (for a.o. CoViD)....however reality is more and more people end up with long term health issues...For now it look likes vaccines do limit damage however most children never were vaccinated...

H5N1 soon will reach even the millions of birds in Antarctica-soon in a "warm summer"....H5N1 is spreading also in more and more mammals-increasing the risks of recombination/mix with H1/H2 types of (human) flu...

-Climate

Food production and logistics is moving towards the danger zone...From chickens/eggs to harvests getting destroyed. Getting food to the places in need of food is getting harder...Also extreme weather/heat/drought is becoming a mass killer...

We may have run out of time to stop major disasters...

-Economic collapse

You can not have a real economy based on fiat-money...someone has to pay for that. China, Africa etc. may no longer be willing to pay for western currencies...So hyperinflation may be around the corner...

Western companies may move to BRICS+ countries-now with over half of the global population per 2024...Foreign "policy/insanity" is leaving the west both without afordable energy, basic materials and a market...

---------------

Can we still limit damage ? The longer we wait the harder it gets...

-Global cooperation on climate, health, "green" economies and an end to poverty should be on top of a global agenda.

-Media/journalist going for the best available info-not des-info...

-Creating public support -worldwide- for needed changes;

 -We have to reduce fossil fuel use (cars, air travel) NOW !

 -Public health is not "free" but the outcome of hard work by many

 -If we do not end war, war will end us....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 23 2023 at 3:23am

[url]https://tass.com/economy/1676903[/url] or https://tass.com/economy/1676903 ;

19 SEP, 13:51

Tropical fish caught in White Sea near Arkhangelsk

It is noted that its appearance in the White Sea is an exceptional phenomenon

ARKHANGELSK, September 19. /TASS/. Garfish, which normally is found near Africa's western coast and near Europe's south, was caught in the White Sea in the Arkhangelsk Region, the Kenozero National Park's press service said.

"The migrant from far-away southern waters - garfish (or sea needle) was caught in the White Sea, not far from the village of Lopshenga," the press service said. "The garfish's habitat is the western coast of Africa and Europe."

Garfish is a long and slender fish with a laterally compressed body and elongated jaws, resembling a pterodactyl's beak.

Garfish can be found in the Black and Baltic Seas. But, according to the national park's ichthyologist Gennady Dvoryankin, its appearance in the White Sea is an exceptional phenomenon. "Obviously, the fish has been brought to the Barents Sea by the Gulf Stream, and then it just got lost and after long wanderings it ended up near the national park shores," the press service quoted the expert as saying. "Presently, the fish is being studied at the laboratory."

DJ...just another warning ! All kinds of forms of life are on the move searching for a new place to find food, to survive. Lots of species will NOT survive ! 








The new  revelations about Clarence Thomas are the most shocking yet. He wasn't just taking cash from right-wing billionaires, he was helping them raise it--all in the sacred cause of blocking environmental regulations

link; [url]https://www.propublica.org/article/clarence-thomas-secretly-attended-koch-brothers-donor-events-scotus[/url] or https://www.propublica.org/article/clarence-thomas-secretly-attended-koch-brothers-donor-events-scotus 

DJ-Uncontrolled capitalism leads to widespread corruption and "democrazy"....at the end "everything has to be for sale"...from politicians to science...

[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4066.0.html[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4066.0.html Arctic refreezing season may have started. However storms may see reduction of Arctic Sea ice later on...Greenland, Antarctic Ice is in a dramatic shape...

Projections. (Table JAXA-Ant1)

Average remaining melt (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Feb 2024 of 0.80 million km2, 1.15 million km2 BELOW the 2023 record low minimum of 1.95 million km2 which would be 1st lowest in the satellite record.
This projection probably exaggerates the melt in the Weddell Sea in particular

DJ...glaciers, icebergs breaking away..Warmer (often record hot) ocean water will result in more extreme weather events. It will increase famines/starvation-with increasing food supply risk also for area's that believed to be safe. (US, Europe, India, China). 

We have a very complex supply/logistcs system where a lot of steps may go wrong.

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 26 2023 at 2:45am

DJ, more climate disasters in the news; South Africa, Central America-floods/landslides...abnormal heat in Brazil...

[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/september-2023-highest-anomaly-on-record.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/09/september-2023-highest-anomaly-on-record.html 

The above image shows the temperature in 2023 as a bold black line, up to September 22, 2023, with the temperature reaching an anomaly of 1.12°C above the 1979-2000 mean for that day.


It looks like September 2023 will be the month with the highest temperature anomaly on record and the year 2023 will be the hottest year on record.


Note: 1979-2000 is not pre-industrial. The current El Niño is still strengthening, as illustrated by the image on the right, adapted from IRI.

DJ...so already on september 22 1,12C above the 1979-2000 mean temperature....

Until now, February 2016 has been the hottest month on record. The above image, from an earlier post, shows that February 2016 was 3.28°C (5.904°F) hotter than 1880-1896 on land, and 3.68°C (6.624°F) hotter compared to February 1880 on land. Note that 1880-1896 is not pre-industrial. The image adds an even more poignant note: Looking at global averages over long periods is a diversion, peak temperature rise is the killer!

The situation raises questions. How much has the temperature risen? Will the temperature keep rising? What can be done about it? How can these questions best be answered?

DJ.....so more than 3C februray 2016 than the 1880-1896 average...

While many politicians keep pushing the idea that 1.5°C above pre-industrial hasn't been crossed yet, we may already have crossed 2°C above pre-industrial, as discussed in this analysis.

-

emission reductions are best achieved early, rather than late. Yet, many politicians keep supporting fuel (fossil fuel and biofuels) and envisage burning of fuel to continue well beyond 2050 (combined with BECCS). Instead, when taking into account damage to health and the environment, and the danger of runaway temperature rise, it should be clear that better policies must be implemented soon, such as local feebates, to support better methods and technologies such as biochar, heat pumps and eVTOL air taxis. 

DJ....politics seem to go for short term profits...even if it would kill all of us within years....

Alarms bells have sounded loud and clear, such as here, warning that the temperature rise could be more than 3°C as early as in 2026. The precautionary principle should prevail and the looming dangers should prompt people into demanding comprehensive and effective action to reduce the damage and to improve the situation. To combat rising temperatures, a transformation of society should be undertaken, along the lines of this 2022 post in combination with a declaration of a climate emergency.

DJ....every time there is a new climate conference "things went faster than expected".....

In the "still NOT over pandemic" we see politics often still in denial-very likely looking for scape goats, blame games..."of course they did know the pandemic was not over"...even if they made other claims just a few months ago...

In the NATO-BRICS war "stand by Ukraine" could mean regime change in Kiev to get out of that disaster-war made by NATO...O-yes "we won" ....only the petro-$ is gone, western industry is in BRICS hands etc...but "we won"....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2023 at 9:53pm

DJ, People are better in noticing fast changes-may miss "slower" ones [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEuxDJ1XEi0[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEuxDJ1XEi0 Carribean risks growing with "Philippe" moving more west than expected earlier...Also flooding-risks in Haïti...mud slides...

Here in NL it may get even 26C-almost 80F...very warm for early october !

When you move from one-in a 100 year event per year to "a few" of those it is easy to NOT want to see a pattern...When extreme weather stays away from your house "it is not your problem"...The heavy rain flooding New York City a few days back may reach the Bahamas today...

DJ, exponential changes have a very slow start...we are beyond the start of the process....

The amount of greenhouse gases entering the atmosphere right now is way more than what is being taken out and as long as that continues to happen, the world will just keep getting warmer.
I can change the words of that sentence and the same truth can be seen.
The amount of money entering their wallets is way more than being taken out and as long as that continues to happen, the rich just keep getting richer.
See?
It really isn't too hard to understand.

a link [url]https://phys.org/news/2023-09-politicians-grasp-scientific-reality-climate.html?fbclid=IwAR0vHwynmiw4N0cdn7DwIwOFbhrqgoDicByFaiNp1SNsn8q_D1MtMZ2RUVI[/url] or https://phys.org/news/2023-09-politicians-grasp-scientific-reality-climate.html?fbclid=IwAR0vHwynmiw4N0cdn7DwIwOFbhrqgoDicByFaiNp1SNsn8q_D1MtMZ2RUVI ;

Wavering ambition by governments and a growing belief that science is politically subjective are great causes for concern in a rapidly escalating climate crisis, an expert told AFP.


A cascade of extreme weather events have inflicted devastation in 2023, which the European Union's climate monitor says is likely to be the hottest in human history.

It underscores the urgency of slashing planet-heating greenhouse gas emissions to avert the catastrophic impacts of greater global warming.

Yet several countries have drawn criticism for moves to weaken their  in recent weeks, including Sweden and Britain, which has also approved a new oil project.

Meanwhile in the United States, climate-skeptic —notably Donald Trump—are Republican frontrunners.

For Francois Gemenne, a  who contributed to the last report series of the UN's expert advisory panel, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the trends are worrying.

"I am very concerned by a whole series of climbdowns we are seeing from a political or economic point of view," the Belgian told AFP.

The IPCC lead author cited British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's latest policy changes and leading Republican politicians in the United States "who do not recognize the scientific reality of ".

"What bothers me is the fact that science, for a part of the population that might be growing, is becoming a matter of belief, opinion, even ideology," said Gemenne.

Current climate-related damage is happening with  at around 1.2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and as the world lurches towards breaching the key 1.5C target agreed in Paris in 2015.

DJ....the basic idea that "if you do not like the science you can ignore science" is the basics of pandemics, climate collapse...Ignoring or even rewriting history is the basics for "the last war"...

[url]https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/mad-propaganda-push-normalize-war-profiteering-ukraine[/url] or https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/mad-propaganda-push-normalize-war-profiteering-ukraine 

DJ-On this -once- a forum I try to "form an opinion" , make up my mind...hope to be very wrong often ! 

If some people are using, even creating, all kinds of crises to make lots of money then there is a very major basic problem. If we fail to stop such a major problem we - as humans- have failed and may become extinct...

A mean reason why "we" do not learn from history is we do not want to be confronted with our mistakes and dark sides...Genocides are all over history..."better technology" is "improving" the "killer ratio"...You can get more people killed per $/€ invested...and that is kalled progress...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
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DJ, We once had a "Pacifist Socialist Party" (PSP) in the Netherlands trying to limit the two basic evils destroying this planet; wars and (blind) capitalism...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rB1HuCpmdmU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rB1HuCpmdmU

Planet-Killing Wars

Join Dr. Peter Carter, Paul Beckwith and Regina Valdez as they discuss the effects of war and the war machine on the living planet that we inhabit and the urgent need to ‘smarten up’ as a civilization. This video was recorded on September 27th, 2023, and published on October 1st, 2023. 

Some of the topics discussed: 

- How wars are an atrocity with no real winners, only victims and how warfare has evolved from primitive tools to advanced weaponry that leaves a lasting impact on the planet. 

- The interconnectedness of humans and the planet and thus what affects the environment affects us all. 

- The current state of armed conflicts worldwide and the high number of casualties. 

- How the conflict in Ukraine has led to ecological issues, such as dolphins washing up dead in the Black Sea as well as damage to farmland and forests. 

- The need for a greater focus on ethics, morality, and cooperation to avoid the culture of war such as the glamorization and normalization of war. 

- How fossil fuels are an integral part of modern warfare - The significant military budgets and fossil fuel subsidies. 

- How the impacts of war versus climate change are not given an appropriate level of media coverage when one considers the magnitude of their environmental and human impact. 

- The need for technological solutions to combat climate change. 

- The Fermi paradox regarding intelligent life in the universe. 

- and much more. . . 

Links: - Stonewall Jackson Quotes  https://www.historynet.com/stonewall-... - Global conflicts: Death toll at highest in 21st century  https://www.dw.com/en/global-conflict... - Oppenheimer 2023 Movie Poster  https://www.amazon.ca/Oppenheimer-Mov... - Bikini  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bikini - Military Budget of the United States  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Militar... - Fossil Fuel Subsidies  https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/climate... - Fermi paradox  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_p... - We Don't Have Time  https://app.wedonthavetime.org/home/f... 

Panelists: 

Dr. Peter Carter - MD, Expert IPCC Reviewer and the director of the Climate Emergency Institute 

Paul Beckwith - Climate Systems Scientist. Professor at the University of Ottawa in the Paleoclimatology Laboratory as well as at Carleton University 

Regina Valdez - Program Director, Climate Reality Project, NYC. GreenFaith Fellow and LEED Green Associate 

Our Website: https://climateemergencyforum.org/ 

DJ, If we do not end war war will end us.....No one -NO ONE !!!!!- has ANY !!!! right to kill !!! NEVER !!!!

There are some people making money out of destruction...."never wasting a good crisis" even willing to create those crises...The Sui-Cene, "more or less "end-time" is political ! 

We now face record heat in many places...Spain dealing with another heatwave...Yes-I do like summer weather...but NOT in october here in NL !

[url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/ has more on the -lack of- ice keeping our planet "a cool place for live"....

[url]https://app.wedonthavetime.org/[/url] or https://app.wedonthavetime.org/ 

---------------

DJ, To "save the economy=profits"  "politics" are denying problems..now even rewrite history to make it fit their insanity...

We urgently need "other politics"...Wealth may NOT be a sign of success but of evil...We live in an "economy" that simply ignores lots of damages and costs...Profits are private, costs are tax-funded...

Public health, education, housing, transport getting de-funded to put trillions into a war-for-profit-machine is self destruction. But if I make that point "I am the crazy one".....

Are humans becoming an "insane naked ape"? 

"We do not have time"...we need to change the way "we" live NOW ! 

But we keep transporting diseases all over the world by planes and ships...We do NOT control pandemics, only the "news" on pandemics..."Do net test-do not tell"  is NOT a solution but just another problem...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 16 2023 at 12:24am

[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html 

The temperature rose about 0.5°C from November 2022 to March 2023, and this occurred at a time when we were not even in an El Niño yet

DJ, from el nino to sunspots to green house gas increasing...All these factors at themselves are not new...however the global temperature now is record high...With these factors further increasing feed backs also will increase further; less (Ant)Arctic ice=more polar heat...more methane (etc) release...We soon will be over the 2C+ temperature rise compared to "pre-industrial"...Even the "most green policies" can no longer stop that...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0qRoeEcKtY[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0qRoeEcKtY Just have a think; 

 Oct 15, 2023

Global ocean surface temperatures are so high that climate scientists are describing them as "off the charts". September 2023 global average surface temperatures obliterated the previous record high, causing those same scientists to declare the result 'shocking' and 'out of control'. The consequences for the world's largest ice sheet are already measurable. The 2023 Antarctic Sea ice maximum was more than a million square kilometres lower than the previous low record. Now two scientific research teams published data on just how bad it is likely to get. 

DJ, IPCC -political- models exclude a lot of factors...Main stream propaganda keeps talking about sea level rise/2100...reality is 2023 is already an extreme weather-year..It is certain 2024 will be even worse...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 19 2023 at 11:36pm

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXrY4ESpIII[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXrY4ESpIII Paul Beckwith/PB ;

11 Reasons Our Civilization Will Soon Collapse

An excellent article came out recently, explaining 10 reasons why our civilization will soon collapse; here is the link: https://www.okdoomer.io/10-reasons-ou... Since this article is so well written, well referenced, and hard hitting I felt that it was very important to do a detailed video on it. Given the total destruction of a hospital in the Gaza Strip today with the loss of over 500 human lives, almost certainly by a U.S. built JDAM 1000 pound bomb dropped intentionally from an Israeli warplane, I have added an additional reason to the ten in the article. Given the events of the day, we appear to be marching closer to global catastrophe and civilization collapse, and it is hard to argue that we don’t deserve it. 

..[url]https://www.okdoomer.io/10-reasons-our-civilization-will-soon-collapse/[/url] or https://www.okdoomer.io/10-reasons-our-civilization-will-soon-collapse/ ;

That’s right. Our entire global industrial civilization is going to collapse. And soon, which means within the lifetimes of most people alive today.

I realize this is quite the claim, and a pretty terrifying one if you’re under 50 or so. In this article, I will list 10 problems the world is facing, each of which could cause the collapse of civilization all on its own. Which means, if even one of these problems isn’t solved, our civilization is doomed.

Before I continue, let me explain what I mean by “collapse.” First of all, it doesn’t necessarily mean that humans will go extinct. While that is certainly a plausible scenario given the many existential threats we are facing, I still believe it is unlikely. Small groups of humans survived in very difficult conditions for tens of thousands of years.

By collapse, I mean a breakdown of social institutions like governments and economies, followed by a dramatic decline in the human population. I realize that’s still kind of vague, so here’s a more specific definition I found in the book, How Everything Can Collapse.

It says, “A collapse is the process at the end of which basic needs (water, food, housing, clothing, energy, etc.) can no longer be provided [at a reasonable cost] to a majority of the population by services under legal supervision.”

As society breaks down, life will get simpler and simpler. By the late 21st century, people will be living the way they did in the early 19th century.

DJ, Paul Beckwith does not agree with "climate alarmists" predicting temperature rise will increase that fast humans will no longer survive within a few years...[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html 

When you look at ends of empires (West/East Roman Empire a.o.) the reasons for collapse are complex. The "western Empire" Europe-US telling the rest of the world what to do lasted 500 years...BRICS+ ended it just recently...NATO/biden made wars are the -insane- reactions to these changes only speeding up western collapse...

Global collapse may be the outcome of a "mega mix" of climate collapse, diseases/pandemics (denied by "politics" for sale...), wars and "peak fiat currency"...A western economic collapse pulling the rest of the globe with it...

We already are IN !!! the collapse process ! All we may be able to do is try to limit further damage...What is needed most NOW is international cooperation...but we are further away from that than we may have EVER !!! been....

When predators are removed or a new food source is introduced, the population skyrockets then collapses as the food source is exhausted. (There’s a great book called Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change which explains this in detail.)


So the question is: How long until humans overshoot the Earth’s carrying capacity?

We already did. About 50 years ago.


That’s according to the Global Footprint Network. Every year, they calculate the date when humans have used up as many resources as the planet can generate in a year. It’s called Earth Overshoot Day, and last year it was on July 28th, which means that every year, humans use the equivalent of nearly 1.75 Earths.


You might be wondering, if we used up an entire planet’s worth of resources by July 28th, then how did we continue to live after that date? We continued by using resources that had accumulated long before humans came along. Things like forests, aquifers, topsoil, and fossil fuels. Eventually, those surplus resources will be gone, and every year we will be forced to live on what the planet can generate that year.


This is something the average climate activist doesn’t seem to understand. Even if we could stop climate change, our civilization would still have the problem of dwindling resources. Now that we’ve gone into overshoot, the population is destined to plummet no matter what we do.


We should have seen this coming. (Some people did.) Why did anyone think that infinite growth on a finite planet was possible? Of course we would eventually reach the limits of what the planet can support, but most of us assumed it would happen far in the future, long after we’re dead.


Now, we have officially surpassed the carrying capacity of our planet. As we begin to run out of essential resources and food becomes harder to produce, the economy will collapse, the population will finally go back down, and civilization as we know it will come to an end.

DJ, we have to decrease our consumption...Good family planning = less consumers...but we have run out of time...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 23 2023 at 12:10am

Paul Beckwith on the lack of ice on Antarctica [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIR6mH1lSsE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIR6mH1lSsE ;

Missing Antarctic Sea Ice to Warm Planet an Equivalent of Roughly an Arctic Blue Ocean Event

The last few years, the Antarctic Sea ice extent has literally fallen off a cliff. This most recent Antarctica winter (our northern hemisphere summer) the sea ice did not form properly, and we are essentially missing around 2 million square km of Antarctic sea ice, as we head into the Antarctica summer (which is our northern hemisphere boreal winter). 

Roughly, if this 2 million square km of sea ice deficit occurred in the northern hemisphere, we would be having a Blue Ocean event there. 

According to peer-reviewed science on what the consequences would be, it would be an increase of 0.71 W/m2 radiative forcing, or an equivalent of 1 trillion tons of CO2 emitted, with an equivalence of 25 years of additional global warming at present global emission rates. 

So the bottom line is this: today we are experiencing the 5-signa level collapse of Antarctic sea ice, and the Sun is rising above the horizon as we head into the Southern Hemisphere summer, with all that sea ice missing. 

The ice-albedo feedbacks will kick in, and the warming in the southern hemisphere (and Antarctica Amplification (AAA)) will increase global radiative forcing roughly 0.71 W/m2 which is equivalent to a sudden increase of 1 Trillion tons of CO2 emitted, which is roughly equivalent to 25 years of global emissions (at 40 Gtons CO2 per year). 

Sorry folks, but that is the bottom line. 

We missed our change to tackle climate change, and we will be experiencing super-exponential, abrupt 

Heaviside function like temperature spikes to a much warmer, destabilized climate world. Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I connect the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. 

We are living the consequences. 

Abrupt climate change is upon us, and the Antarctic sea ice deficit of around 2 million square km will hit us like a sledgehammer over the next year, with global warming effects roughly equivalent to what we would experience with a Blue Ocean Event (BOE) in the Arctic. 

The risk of cascading tipping points also spikes up, with the AMOC and every other climate system on the planet approaching ever nearer to their tipping point thresholds.

DJ, El Nino further also pushing up both global average temperature AND methane release...

It will also bring more seismic/volcanic activity. Water vapor may increase global heating, dust on snow means even less reflection of solar heat...

We DID destroy the planet to get a few people very rich...Humans are crazy apes...

On Antarctic ice [url]https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3950.html#lastPost[/url] or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.3950.html#lastPost 

[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/temperature-rise-september-2023-and-beyond.html 

DJ-There has been a lot of discussion on "BOE" Blue Ocean Events-less than 1 million km2 sea ice in the Arctic...Some believe arctic sea-ice may "repair" itself in a few cold winters...maybe with some help of land-ice from Greenland, continents...Others go for "what is gone is gone"....a "BOE"=increase of global warming...

Food production/logistics, extreme weather will become very major problems ..."main stream media" keep pushing stories on "sea level rise in 2100"...."bad for tourism"...

We are BEYOND the point we can limit global temperature rise...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-q_S2bqnfxM[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-q_S2bqnfxM Guy McPherson/Nature Bats Last;

“Many Scientists Don’t Want to Tell the Truth about Climate Change”

DJ, A problem with lots of science-experts may be a "specialist tunnelvision" NOT connecting the dots....I love "hopium"...but I hate to "live on hopium"....

We have to try to limit destruction the best we can, share information and get informed....

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 27 2023 at 11:06am

[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/a-climate-of-the-unthinkable-on-a-burning-earth.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/10/a-climate-of-the-unthinkable-on-a-burning-earth.html ;

A climate of the unthinkable on a burning Earth


by Andrew Glikson
“The climate is an angry beast and we are poking at it with sticks” - Wallace Smith Broecker
Having turned a deaf ear to the basic laws of nature, ignoring the essential lessons from climate science, the powers that be have no idea, nor do they appear to care about, the rate and scale of the calamity life on Earth is facing.

Global civilization having effectively replaced the United Nations with the United States and other super powers, having built a veritable nuclear doomsday machine, enhancing the military-industrial complex and atmosphere-poisoning fossil fuel corporations, preoccupied with arming proxy states, allowing regional blood baths to enhance the arms trade, the powers that be are allowing the demise of human civilization as well a myriad of intelligent and beautiful animal and bird species.

-

Nowadays major untruths are propagated by a media subservient to the powers that be.

  • With the CO₂ level reaching 418.51 ppm at a rate of ~2.5 ppm/year and methane CH₄ level reaching 1917.1 ppb at a rate of near-12 ppb per year, greenhouse gas rises are exceeding any in recent geological history, representing the most severe atmospheric crisis since the asteroid impact which killed the dinosaurs 66 million years ago. Oblivious to the physical laws on which climate science is based and to the time factor of the impending climate crisis, setting artificial targets such as “1.5°C by 2030” or “2°C by 2050”, the powers that be may not be aware of what life on planet Earth is facing.
  • As if proposed limits on domestic pollution are meaningful to the arrest of global warming despite continuing mining, export and combustion of fossil fuels, greenhouse gases disperse through the atmosphere regardless of where the fossil fuel is burnt. As conveys by McNeill: “The government denies responsibility for emissions created by the vast amounts of coal and gas Australia exports overseas as one of the world’s largest fossil fuel producers, and has flatly ruled out any discussion on banning new fossil fuel projects”.
  • While ongoing combustion of fossil fuels is raising greenhouse gas concentration at a rate unprecedented in the geological record, current global heating being a self-amplifying process, the utilization of clean energy: solar, wind, hydropower and thermal power cannot by itself stem global warming, now rising above 420 ppm CO₂, well above the 180-280 ppm range of the preceding glacial-interglacial cycles. Such a high CO₂ level, compared to that which existed in the Miocene before 5.3 million years ago when mean global temperature was about ~4°C, has risen within the last century at a rate to which fauna and flora can hardly adjust.

-

Cover-up, censorship and suppression of environmental and climate science in governments, industry and universities occur in countries professing freedom of information policies. One of the latest revelations is the story of Dana Bergstrom.

Nowadays, as bombs keep falling, children are dying, heads of governments jet around the world genuflecting to each other, signing arms deals, uttering honey words, while the corporate media discusses their official dinner menus, they reach no solutions for the worsening humanitarian crises, nor for the future of life on Earth.


A/Prof. Andrew Y Glikson
Earth and Paleo-climate scientist

DJ [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Pacific_hurricane_season#Season_effects[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Pacific_hurricane_season#Season_effects There is lots of discussion on how climate collapse will unfold...Wich area's may see extreme drought, wich area's may have more chance of extreme rain/wind...

Extreme weather is on its way as a "new normal" with that weather only getting more extreme...

[url]https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/8028528/graanoogst-opnieuw-gehinderd-door-extreem-weer-krankjorum[/url] or https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/8028528/graanoogst-opnieuw-gehinderd-door-extreem-weer-krankjorum ;

Last summer, the harvest failed in large part due to prolonged drought and persistent rain at harvest time. Therefore, it must now come from the winter cereals. The first varieties, such as winter barley, now have to go into the ground, but in many places it is too wet to sow and so again part of the harvest is doomed to fail.

DJ, Blue tongue is now widespread in NL sheep...meaning no lambs will be born next year in many cases...Growing risk other farm animals may show they can catch blue tongue as well..

------------

We may be seeing Israeli "forces" moving into Gaza this evening...this very likely will see an international reaction. 

[url]https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/two-middle-east-outlooks.html[/url] or https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/two-middle-east-outlooks.html ;

Alastair Crooke, who has personally negotiated prisoner exchanges between Hamas and Israel, has published a rather bleak outlook.

Escalations Cannot Be Stopped – The White House Is Rattled; Escalations Might All Fuse Into ‘One’
The reality of the necessity of war is permeating widely the consciousness of the Arabic and Islamic world.

...
It is no coincidence that Netanyahu flourished a map of Israel during his General Assembly address last month in which Israel dominated from the River to the Sea – and Palestine (indeed any Palestinian territory) was non-existent.

Tom Friedman in his NYT reflections may fear that just as NATO’s impaired performance in Ukraine has ruptured ‘the NATO myth’, so too the 7 October Israeli military and intelligence collapse and what happens in its wake in Gaza ‘might explode the entire pro-American alliance structure’ in the Middle East.

The confluence of two such humiliations might break the spine of western primacy. This seems to be the gist to Friedman’s analysis. (He likely is correct).

Hamas has succeeded in smashing the Israel deterrence paradigm: They were not afraid, the IDF proved far from invincible, and the Arab street mobilised as never before (confounding western cynics who laugh at the very notion of there being an ‘Arab Street’).

Well, that is where we are – and the White House is rattled.
...
This is what worries the White House Team. They are deeply unconfident that an Israeli invasion of Gaza will put ‘Humpty’ together again. Rather, they fear that events may go badly for the IDF, and further, that the images relayed across the Middle East of Israel using overwhelming force in a civilian urban setting will revolt the Islamic sphere.

In spite of western scepticism, there are signs that this insurrection in the Arab sphere is different, and resembles more the 1916 Arab Revolt that overthrew the Ottoman Empire. It is taking on a distinct ‘edge’ as both Shi’a and Sunni religious authorities state the duty of Muslims to stand with Palestinians. In other words, as the Israeli polity becomes plainly ‘Prophetical’, so the Islamic mood is turning eschatological, in its turn.

That the White House should be floating kites about ‘moderate’ Arab leaders pressing ‘moderate’ Palestinians to form an Israeli-friendly government in Gaza that would displace Hamas and impose security and order shows just how severed is the West from reality. Recall that Mahmoud Abbas, General Sisi and the King of Jordan (some of the region’s most pliable leaders) pointedly refused even to meet with Biden after the latter’s Israel trip.

The anger across the region is real and threatens ‘moderate’ Arab leaders, whose room for manoeuvre is now circumscribed.

So hotspots are proliferating, as are attacks on U.S. deployments around the region. Some in Washington claim to perceive an Iranian hand, and are hoping to expand a window for war with Iran.
...
Should Israel enter Gaza (and Israel may decide it has no choice but to launch a ground operation, given the domestic political dynamics and public sentiment), it is likely that Hizbullah will incrementally be drawn further in, leaving the U.S. with the binary option of seeing Israel defeated, or launching a major war in which all the hotspots become fused ‘as one’.

In a sense, the Israeli-Islamic conflict now may only be resolved in this kinetic way. All efforts since 1947 have seen the divide only deepen. The reality of the necessity of war is permeating widely the consciousness of the Arabic and Islamic world.

DJ, we may be very close to a war in West Asia/North Africa...US attacks on/in Syria, Iraq only make matters worse...

Crazy "joe" biden-not willing to look weak-could push the world towards further escalation...Some US "leaders" still believe the US runs the world...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 31 2023 at 12:51am

Central America may see interesting weather; [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7 ;

1. Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
A trough of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to 
produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for further development during the next 
several days while the system moves westward over the central and 
southwestern Caribbean Sea, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form by the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, 
this system has the potential to produce heavy rains over portions 
of Central America towards the end of this week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

and [url]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/053822.shtml?key_messages#contents[/url] or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/053822.shtml?key_messages#contents ;

HEAVY RAINS FROM PILAR MOVING INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR... ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

DJ...so from the Atlantic later on this week, first "Pilar" from the Pacific side...The region may face major problemms for months...Mexico-Acapulcu after "Otis" also expected to be problematic for months...

An increase of extreme weather does mean less time for recovery of a region=more people move to other regions + more illnesses...

Food production + logistics an increasing problem. 

DJ-Some "climate experts" see "major problems per 2100" and "sea level" as the main issue...Most climate experts warn we are allready in very major problems now...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 01 2023 at 11:54pm

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=infNWYZ88U4[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=infNWYZ88U4 Paul Beckwith;

Extremely Rapid Acceleration of Ocean Heating in Regions like Southern Oceans: Devils in the Details

-

A new peer-reviewed paper called “Recent acceleration in global ocean heat accumulation by mode and intermediate waters” was just published online on October 28: https://www.nature.com/articles/s4146... 

It’s scarier than Halloween. We know that over 90% of global warming is actually ocean warming, with the remaining 10% melting ice, heating the atmosphere, and heating the land. This new study shows how the rate of ocean warming has greatly accelerated recently: in fact the warming in the most recent decade from 2010-2020 has been almost double the warming in the decade from 1990-2000, for water extending from the surface down to depths of 2000 meters (6600 feet). 

This is a massive increase in a short period of time. Since the heat capacity of water is huge, that warming is all the more surprising and significant. The ocean warming is highly nonuniform in the oceans around the planet. 

For example, most of the warming has occurred in the vast Southern Oceans, and also in the North Atlantic. This has vital implications for sea level rise, making it highly nonuniform as well around the planet. Also, this vitally important paper shows that many of the oceans around the world are becoming more stratified as they warm; namely more layered with less vertical mixing as warm water is a lot less dense than colder water. 

Since vertical mixing is vital for bringing carbon near the surface down below (eventually to the sediments in the ocean floor) stratification weakens the ocean sink for carbon, so more carbon stays in the atmosphere. Also, the vertical mixing is vital for bringing surface oxygenated water to depth to support marine life, so stratification reduces this and threatens the marine food chain. 

Our warming oceans have an enormous detrimental affect on our climate system, making it vital for maintenance of life on our planet that we slash fossil fuel emissions immediately. 

DJ, hotter oceans mean;

-more rain

-more energy for storms

-more ice melting on the poles

Simply put; we are moving the wrong direction only faster...

"Politics" seem only to be interested in wars...getting the rich more rich, ignoring climate, pandemic problems...pushing for global war in the interest of a very small group...

WE NEED CHANGE NOW !!!!

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 02 2023 at 10:28pm

DJ, Europe did see storm Ciarán yesterday. [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%9324_European_windstorm_season#Storm_Ciar%C3%A1n_(Emir)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%9324_European_windstorm_season#Storm_Ciar%C3%A1n_(Emir) 

a few remarks;

-wind gusts over 110 mph/180 kmh in France

-stormsystem stretched/moved from Ireland via UK/France but affected Spain, Italy in the south, south of Scandinavia in the north and still is moving east

-At least 11 killed (the wiki-page may be updated)

 -Italy 3

 -France and Belgium both 2

 -NL, Germany, Spain and UK (?) 1

DJ-My goal on this -once a- forum is trying to get at least a bit realistic view on complex events...

The bigger picture is extreme weather is getting both more extreme and showing up more often...

Return to "normal" may take longer...but could be impossible/hard after to much damage makes repair not cost effective or risks run to high...Rebuilding houses/buildings close to a coast or riverbank may simply not be insured...

Another aspect of more extreme weather is costs of food production/logistics going up...Of course there are also lots of links between weather/climate and health/pandemics...Here in NL the idea is cold weather may reduce the number of cases of blue tongue in sheep, cattle etc. Spread of colds, flu etc. also believed to see weather effects ("bad" weather = more indoor spread. Ventilation/wind=lower viral loads)

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 10 2023 at 4:36am

Another climate get-together for politicians that do nothing...[url]https://oneplanetsummit.fr/en/events-16/one-planet-polar-summit-284[/url] or https://oneplanetsummit.fr/en/events-16/one-planet-polar-summit-284 ;

The Arctic and Antarctic are today major strategic areas on which the planet's equilibrium largely depends. Like the oceans to which they are intrinsically linked, the North and South Poles play a central role in climate regulation and the preservation of biodiversity. Actors and first victims of climate change, they are also sounding the alarm.

The state of the world's glaciers and high plateaus is no less worrying; they show the extent to which the collapse of the cryosphere on a global scale can have effects on populations, ecosystems as a whole, water resources, sea-level rise…

If the phenomenon of cryospheric collapse is irreversible, the world's leaders must take it into account in order to enable ecosystems and populations to adapt to the challenges and disasters already visible. The effects of climate disruption, which are warming the Arctic and Antarctic very strongly and causing the Greenland ice sheet and sea ice to melt, as well as the Antarctic glaciers and other emblematic glaciers such as the Himalayas and Kilimanjaro, justify an exceptional and concerted mobilisation of the international community.

France has just adopted its first National Polar Strategy in 2022, explained here. It does not only provide new resources for scientific research, but also sets a number of international objectives, including the organisation in France in 2023 of the first international summit for glaciers and poles, in the form of a One Planet Summit.

DJ...good scientists need to go to this kind of meetings to get funding...For the rest they are ignored...

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_BoZDS1gjU  Dr. Gilbz;

We can’t save the West Antarctic. So what now?


34,139 views  Nov 8, 2023  #Antarctica #ClimateChange

It’s not often that I make a video with a title this bleak, but unfortunately, needs must. Several pieces of new research point to the inevitability of West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse, which is pretty bad news. But what we do with this bad news is still up to us. Here, I talk to the lead author of one of these new papers, Dr Kaitlin Naughten. She tells me what it all means, including why we need to focus on adaptation, and why we must take courage, not hope, from this information.

Contents 00:00 Intro 01:06 Who cares about the Amundsen Sea 01:58 What the study shows 03:06 Mechanisms of change 05:34 Can we trust it? 06:36 The link to sea level rise 07:02 Time to adapt 08:53 Why our actions DO matter 10:51 Courage vs hope 13:52 Thank yous

with a link to lots of other sources;

References and resources THE PAPER: Naughten et al. (2023) https://www.nature.com/articles/s4155...  Kaitlin’s twitter thread:   / 1716472710107222440    Kaitlin’s article in The Conversation: https://theconversation.com/increasin...  Coverage in the Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/environme...  Commentary in Nature (Sohail, 2023): https://www.nature.com/articles/s4155...  Carbon Brief on West Antarctic tipping points:  https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-pos...  Carbon Brief on tipping points in Pine Island Glacier: https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-pos...  Reese et al. (2023) https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/17...  Hill et al. (2023) https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/17...  Armstrong McKay et al. (2022) https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/s...  Garbe et al. (2020) https://www.nature.com/articles/s4158...  Joughin et al. (2014) https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.11...  Park et al. (2013) https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c...  Feldmann & Levermann (2015) https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas...  Joughin et al. (2021) https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/s...  Morlighem et al. (2020) https://www.nature.com/articles/s4156...  Wiabel et al. (2018) https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c...  Sutter et al. (2023) https://www.nature.com/articles/s4155... Abrams et al. (2023) https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003250

DJ, my view on climate change; We are already seeing this crazy amount of extreme weather in a downward spiral...It is already decreasing food/water availability & logistics...It has a lot of links with pandemics increasing...

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Israel dropped 25 kilo-ton of bombs on Gaza...the Hiroshima bomb had 15 kiloton, Nagasaki 21 Kt....

Non-nuclear war may take more time to get the same outcome as nuclear war could have...Both in Ukraine and Israel NATO is supporting crazy leaders willing to cause nuclear disasters (by using nuclear bombs or attacking nuclear powerplants...) ...of course in the US, UK, France also "leading politicians" are over their ears involved in the Gaza and Ukraine genocides...

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#Prevalence of JN.1* (BA.2.86.1.1*) in #France  Predicted Prevalence Week 44 : 20.1% (LB 10.2% - UB 30%) Week 45 : 30.2% (LB 19.4% - UB 41%) Week 46 : 45.4% (LB 34.6% - UB 56.2%) Data source: GISAID

DJ...in the UK at least former/future (???) PM boris johnson/bojo is honest; He believes CoViD is killing those that will die anyway..."Genocide by pandemic" as a UK conservatives strategy...

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Climate, wars, pandemics further increase socio-economic problems-at a certain moment beyond socio-economic collapse...It is the mega-mix that may end humans...could end live on this planet...

Present "politics" are out of contact with reality...the measures that need to be taken do not get public support/votes...yet...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 18 2023 at 10:54pm

In my latest "november"post; Pandemic is NOT over...

In WAR The Ukraine war is getting to a bloody end...only to see a next mass murder-with full NATO support-by Israel...

The basic war is an economic one;

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSljq-_QRzs[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSljq-_QRzs

JEFFREY SACHS ON A HISTORIC DEBT

Jeffrey David Sachs (/sæks/; born November 5, 1954) is an American economist, academic and public policy analyst. He is the former director of The Earth Institute at Columbia University. He is known as one of the world's leading experts on economic development and the fight against poverty. Detroit, Michigan, U.S.

In short;

2000 US GDP/debt ratio was 35% (So the yearly income of the US did see an amount of debt 35% of that income)

2023 it is 95%, within a few decades it may grow to 185%....

Related [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Og7IC4uRhWE[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Og7IC4uRhWE Lena Petrova;

PENTAGON FAILS Audit of $3.8 TRILLION In Military Assets, Once Again

DJ, US "politics" is paid/run by "donors"...those companies/billionaires do NOT want to pay tax but want US/NATO to secure their investments overseas...

The US is spending 3x the amount of China on military/war (industry), more than the next 10 countries spent on wars put together...

So far China, Japan did buy shares in US debts...they now try to get rid of them...

Interests rates going up soon will mean the US will not spent most of its tax income on wars...but on interests...

DJ-Under this "ocean of debt" there is a "galaxy of debt" in [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derivative_(finance)[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derivative_(finance) ;

Buffett called them 'financial weapons of mass destruction.' A potential problem with derivatives is that they comprise an increasingly larger notional amount of assets which may lead to distortions in the underlying capital and equities markets themselves

DJ A few problems;

-US "politics" is funded by a the same group of very rich funding BOTH parties...The US is NOT a democracy it is a racket [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racketeering[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racketeering ;

Racketeering is a type of organized crime in which the persons set up a coercivefraudulentextortionary, or otherwise illegal coordinated scheme or operation (a "racket") to repeatedly or consistently collect a profit.[1] Narrowly, it means coercive or fraudulent business practices; broadly, it can mean any criminal organization with ongoing profit, as defined in the 1970 U.S. RICO Act, which aimed to curtail the power of the Mafia and other organized crime

DJ...a few will get very rich while the rest will go broke....

But that is even the "optimistic/controlled" scenario....The "uncontrolled scenario" will be a sort of "peak credits"...all of a sudden we may be in a global digital bank run with -world wide- major investors trying to get their tens-of-billions $/€ etc. in safety...The 1929 collapse may look small compared to that...

My view is BRICS+ may be driven by this knowledge...The US in many ways is still the major global economy but it is also bankrupt...broken...

So -by now- many non-western countries/companies try to buy up the "productive western factors" ...This could mean Lockheed, Boeing, Ratheon -US war industry- may find out they are -at that moment- in fact Chinese...

The big problem however is US (and UK, EU may be in the same situation more or less) still has to provide "government"...Most-if not all-sources of major income may be gone...

Socio-economic and political collapse may go very high speed...within a day...

You may lose your job, your income, your house, your retirement...The schools may have closed...Supermarkets are next if money has become worthless...

We are on our way to "failed state-status" [url]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state[/url] or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state ;

failed state is a state that has lost its effective ability to govern its populace. A failed state maintains legal sovereignty but experiences a breakdown in political powerlaw enforcement, and civil society, leading to a state of near-anarchy.

Common characteristics of a failing state include a government unable to tax and police its populace, control and maintain its territory, fill political or civil offices, or maintain its infrastructure. When this happens, widespread corruption and criminality, the intervention of state and non-state actors, the appearance of refugees and the involuntary movement of populations, sharp economic decline, and military intervention from both within and without the state are much more likely to occur.[1]

Metrics have been developed to describe the level of governance of states. The precise level of government control required to avoid being considered a failed state varies considerably amongst authorities.[2] Furthermore, the declaration that a state has "failed" is generally controversial and, when made authoritatively, may carry significant geopolitical consequences

DJ...[url]https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/11/arctic-ocean-heatstroke.html[/url] or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2023/11/arctic-ocean-heatstroke.html 

We are in a "mega-mix crisis" and ignoring that only is increasing the many problems...

As I did write in my latest november writing; Have we gone crazy ? My answer is "yes" crazy seems to be the new normal....We can not survive this crisis !

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 21 2023 at 1:06am

Western democrazy is about choices; Do you want to die from disease? 

[url]https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/11/20/uk-covid-inquiry-latest-patrick-vallance-live/[/url] or https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/11/20/uk-covid-inquiry-latest-patrick-vallance-live/ ;

Rishi Sunak thought the Government should “just let people die” as arguments raged over a second lockdown, the Covid Inquiry was told.

from war, Military Summary on Ukraine

-Total war with Russia

-Men 17-70 y/o and women mobilized

-Mud/snow on frontlines

-Ukraine "anti retreat forces" shelling other Ukraine forces refusing to die

-NATO limiting "aid" but also against "surrender"

The Gaza-genocide is pushing millions of Palestinians into "a corner"...

DJ-Both Ukraine and Palestinians face hunger/starvation, shortage of water, heat, protection with lots of diseases just waiting for a chance...

And then-also ignored-climate collapse; Paul Beckwith [url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXbjccFsZIg[/url] or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXbjccFsZIg ;

New Report: Dire Sea Level Rise up to 20 meters (66 ft) Locked-In Even if Climate Goals Met

New climate change reports are being released every single day as we approach the start of the 28th version of the United Nations Climate Conference (COP28 - Conference of Parties 28)

 In this video I chat about the new report on the vanishing cryosphere with massive sea level rise called: “State of the Cryosphere 2023: Two degrees is too high: We cannot negotiate with the melting point of ice”; link is in this article: https://apple.news/AaPaaajMYT-iWfWXxc...  

Essentially, this report argues that Earth is facing dire sea level rise — up to 20m — even if climate goals are met and the global average temperature is stabilized at 2 degrees Celsius relative to the IPCC baseline 1850-1900 average. 

I discuss the main findings in this report, and have a look at what the figures tell us in specific areas of glacier melt, permafrost thaw and emissions feedbacks, Arctic and Antarctica polar temperature amplification and sea ice loss, polar ocean acidification, and changes to ocean circulation patterns and consequences. 

By the way, we are heading to a 2023 global average temperature of 1.54 degrees Celsius or higher, and on November 18, 2023 the daily average temperature reached 2.0 degrees C above the IPCC baseline for the first time. 

It appears that by the start of next year, we will only legitimately and honestly be able to discuss the 1.5 C temperature goal in the past tense. 

Recall that in the James Hansen video recently, I chatted about 1.71 C by 2030 and 2 C by 2038 with James. 

Please donate to http://paulbeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

DJ, Good info -as always...but terrible news...Arctic West Antarctic even East Antarctic, Greenland ice melting at record levels...We need that ice to cool the planet...but "short term profits" seem to be more important...We are on our way to;

-More climate collapse related diseases/pandemics

-More water/food/refugee wars...

-Exploding water/food shortages

-Mega death...

Of course I hope to be very wrong but we are in such a big mess -ignored by "politics" I am losing any hopium left...

We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
~Albert Einstein
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