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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

Update, 1900 deaths

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pheasant View Drop Down
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    Posted: September 03 2014 at 9:23am
From Bloomberg....

Ebola Milestone: More Deaths Than Past Outbreaks Combined
By Simeon Bennett Sep 3, 2014 11:57 AM ET
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Deaths from Ebola in West Africa surpassed 1,900, more than in all previous outbreaks combined, as a lack of health workers and fear of the often-fatal illness keep infections hidden and fuel the spread of the disease.

Since the virus surfaced in Guinea in December, more than 3,500 people have been infected, World Health Organization Director-General Margaret Chan said today in Washington. In 24 earlier outbreaks, including the first recorded one in 1976, 1,590 people died, statistics from the Geneva-based agency show.

The number of cases may exceed 20,000 before the epidemic is controlled, the WHO said last week in announcing a plan to respond to the outbreak. Months of work are needed to bring the situation in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia under control, Chan wrote in the New England Journal of Medicine last month. The unexpected appearance of the virus in countries that hadn’t had it before, and which have weak health systems, contributed to the worsening of the epidemic, said Andrew Easton of the University of Warwick.

“Nobody would have predicted the appearance of this in West Africa,” Easton, a virologist, said by phone. “It was entirely unexpected in that regard, and there was no local experience, which inevitably means there’s a delay in the response.”
Drugs, Vaccines

After aid groups criticized the WHO’s initial reaction, the agency accelerated its effort. The outbreak also has jump-started programs to develop drugs and vaccines against Ebola, which kills more than half of those infected. The virus has since spread to Nigeria and Senegal, and an unrelated outbreak is under way in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

More than 240 health workers have contracted Ebola, an unprecedented number, and more than 120 of them have died, the WHO said last week. Among the dead are prominent doctors in Sierra Leone and Liberia, robbing those countries of experienced medical personnel and thwarting outbreak control.

Ebola is passed to people through the blood and other secretions of wild animals such as chimpanzees, gorillas, bats and porcupines, according to the WHO.

Humans transmit the virus to each other through direct contact with blood and other body fluids. Early symptoms include a sudden onset of fever, intense weakness, muscle pain, headache and sore throat. That’s followed by vomiting, diarrhea, a rash, and sometimes, both internal and external bleeding.
Fighting Infection

Other, more common diseases kill far more people -- malaria resulted in more than 600,000 deaths in 2012, 90 percent of those in Africa. Malaria is preventable and curable, while there’s no treatment yet for Ebola and as many as 90 percent of those with the virus die. The fatality rate in the current outbreak is about 54 percent.

In the absence of an effective treatment, patients are kept hydrated and given nutrition as the body’s immune system tries to fight off the infection.

Ebola in the past has been seen almost exclusively in central and eastern Africa. The virus was named for a river in what is now the Democratic Republic of Congo, where the first recorded outbreak occurred.

The large number of cases in the current outbreak, more than eight times that of the next-largest outbreak in Uganda in 2000, has sown fear that Ebola will spread to more populous nations on other continents.

Numerous false alarms occurred from Singapore to the U.S. as travelers from the affected nations arrived with a fever or other Ebola-like symptoms. None has tested positive for Ebola.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-03/ebola-milestone-more-deaths-than-past-outbreaks-combined.html
The only thing we have to fear, is fear itself......FDR
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Albert View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Albert Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 03 2014 at 9:42am
Excellent job Pheasant.  It appears that that the fatality rate is going up quite a bit, or maybe it's easier to track deaths than cases.

The statement regarding Malaria killing 600,000 is an attempt to downplay the situation.  Malaria is spread by mosquitos, and will always be contained in that area and will never be a global threat. Ebola is spread via human-to-human transmission - big difference - and a global threat.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote onefluover Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: September 03 2014 at 9:55am
"The statement regarding Malaria killing 600,000 is an attempt to downplay the situation."

It's the silver platter syndrome.
"And then there were none."
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