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Tracking the next pandemic: Avian Flu Talk

USA trends
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EdwinSm, View Drop Down
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    Posted: May 11 2020 at 1:44am

I have added the emphasis to the report, but the graphs below give hints of good news.  Note also how the peak in deaths was two to three weeks after the peak in cases.

Originally posted by "BBC" "BBC" wrote:

These charts show the daily number of cases and deaths in the US, and the rolling average.

In both cases, the rolling averages remain stubbornly high, although with a downward trend.

Newly-released figures - not included in these charts - show the US had 776 deaths in the past 24 hours, the lowest figure since March.


[From BBC live news, so not worth posting a link as it changes each day]
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Technophobe View Drop Down
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Points: 88450 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Technophobe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2020 at 3:39am

Ok, so we slowed our fall into chaos a bit.  So now we start undoing the parachute straps?

AAAAARGH!
How do you tell if a politician is lying?
His lips or pen are moving.
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EdwinSm, View Drop Down
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Points: 24065 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote EdwinSm, Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2020 at 3:58am

What that chart does not show is that the CFR (Case Fatality Rate) in the USA has been increasing.  So either this is mutating in real time to be more dangerous or, in my opinion more likely, more and more cases are being missed and the case numbers actually are rising.    


Tech, I think the lack of self-discipline will mean that we have to unharness too soon and will go splat!
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WitchMisspelled View Drop Down
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Points: 17170 		Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote WitchMisspelled Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 11 2020 at 6:36am

I wouldn't be too confident that those charts mean infection rates are down everywhere in America.  It's flatted for sure, but the overwhelming number of infections were out of New York.  New York is on the downtrend.  It makes me wonder if this rolling average isn't about less infections, but that the curve went down slightly because NY is having vastly fewer infections and other states' infection rates are ramped up considerably.  
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